Tuesday 3/9 UCL DFS

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This article focuses on 3/9 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format. The goal is to gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 3/9 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

The Champion’s League returns for the second legs of the Round of 16 Matches. At this point, it will be make or break for these four teams. Today’s matches both enter the afternoon with the teams only separated by one goal apiece.

If any teams are tied at the end of regulation, away goals scored count as the tiebreaker. Then if the teams are even on away goals, it goes to an extra 30 minute overtime which is not first goals wins, but rather plays in entirety. If no teams score over those thirty minutes, it goes to penalty kicks. 

Sevilla (+220) at Dortmund (+118) – 3 Total Goals – Dortmund Leads 3-2 on Aggregate

Behind the golden leg of Erling Haaland, Dortmund returns to Germany for the second leg up one goal. If there was a full crowd in attendance, this would virtually be a wrap as the Yellow Wall is one of the loudest stadiums on earth. However, the odds suggest that Sevilla will have a fighting chance. Considering Jadon Sancho is out, it is not hard to try to guess the most likely source of any Dortmund goal. With rumors of an exit coming soon enough, Mr. Haaland will look to add to his already impressive resume for a 20-year-old.

Porto (+600) at Juventus (-225) – 2.75 Total Goals – Porto Leads 2-1 on Aggregate

Porto was extremely impressive during the first leg, obtaining the advantage heading into the second leg. Juventus should win and are the heavy favorites here. Nevertheless, I think this will be closer than the odds above suggest “see the Best Bet below”. For DFS purposes, I do expect Juventus to have more of the ball and likely pile on more stats regardless of the final score. If Juventus were to lose this match, it would certainly cause us to entertain questions regarding the future of Cristiano Ronaldo.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds and Key Injuries

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them. All odds are listed +300 or below and projected starters are listed in bold.

Sevilla (+220) at Dortmund (+118) – Erling Braut Haaland (-132), Youssef En-Nesyri (+163), Lucas Ocampos (+205), Steffen Tigges (+210), Luuk de Jong (+235), Marco Reus (+255), Munir El Haddadi (+295), Alejandro “Papu” Gómez (+310), Thorgan Hazard (+310), Raphaël Guerreiro (+310)

Key Injuries

Sevilla:

Dortmund: Jadon Sancho

Porto (+600) at Juventus (-225) – Cristiano Ronaldo (+175), Alvaro Morata (+110), Federico Chiesa (+135), Federico Bernardeschi (+163), Juan Cuadrado (+195), Dejan Kulusevski (+195), Alex Sandro (+260), Mehdi Taremi (+300), Moussa Marega (+300)

Key Injuries

Porto:

Juventus: Paulo Dybala

UCL Best Odds

*Porto to Win* (+600) – 0.25 Units – “DraftKings Sportsbook”

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

Talk about playing with house money. No one in the world expects Porto to win this match. However, they showed they could hold their own during the first leg in Portugal. Therefore, given the massive odds difference, I think this is worth a shot.

3/9 UCL FanDuel Rankings “Set pieces less important on FanDuel”

Forward/Midfield

1. Cristiano Ronaldo – Juventus – $23
2. Erling Haaland – Dortmund – $22
3. Alvaro Morata – Juventus – $19
4. Thorgan Hazard – Dortmund – $15 “Set Pieces”
5. Federico Chiesa – Juventus – $15 “Possible Share of Set Pieces”
6. Luis Ocampos – Sevilla – $9
7. Youssef En-Nesyri – Sevilla – $19
8. Alejandro “Papu” Gomez/Suso – Sevilla – $17/$14 “Set Pieces”
9. Sergio Oliveira – Porto – $16 “Set Pieces”
10. Marco Reus – Dortmund – $17

Defense

1. Juan Cuadrado – Juventus – $15 “At least a Share of Set Pieces”
2. Alex Sandro – Juventus – $14
3. Marcus Acuna – Sevilla – $10
4. Mats Hummels – Dortmund – $13
5. Jesus Navas – Sevilla – $13

Goalies

1. Wojciech Szczesny – Juventus – $14
2. Bono – Sevilla – $7
3. Marwin Hintz – Dortmund – $11

3/9 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Cristiano Ronaldo – Juventus – $10,300
2. Erling Haaland – Dortmund – $10,900
3. Suso – Sevilla – $7,700 “Set Pieces, Not Projected to Start”
4. Thorgan Hazard – Dortmund – $8,500 “Set Pieces”
5. Alvaro Morata – Juventus – $8,300
6. Federico Chiesa – Juventus – $9,200 “Possible Share Set Pieces”
7. Youssef En-Nesyri – Sevilla – $7,100
8. Lucas Ocampos – Sevilla – $7,400
9. Marco Reus – Dortmund – $7,300
10. Moussa Marega – Porto – $6,600
11. Mehdi Taremi – Porto – $6,500

Midfield “Rough Position Today”

1. Alejandro “Papu” Gomez/Suso – Sevilla – $6,000/$7,700 “Set Pieces”
2. Thorgan Hazard – Dortmund – $8,500 “Set Pieces”
3. Federico Chiesa – Juventus – $9,200 “Possible Share of Set Pieces”
4. Sergio Oliveira – Porto – $6,100 “Set Pieces”
5. Lucas Ocampos – Sevilla – $7,400
6. Marco Reus – Dortmund – $7,300
7. Ivan Rakitic – Sevilla – $4,400
8. Joan Jordan – Sevilla – $5,400
9. Jesus Corona – Porto – $4,900
10. Aaron Ramsey – Juventus – $6,400

Defense “Sadly, my favorite position today”

1. Juan Cuadrado – Juventus – $6,900 “At least a Share of Set Pieces”
2. Alex Sandro – Juventus – $6,200
3. Jesus Navas – Sevilla – $5,100
4. Thomas Meunier – Dortmund – $4,800
5. Marcos Acuna – Sevilla – $4,900

Goalies

1. Wojciech Szczsesny – Juventus – $5,800
2. Marwin Hintz – Dortmund – $5,200
3. Agustin Marchesin – Porto – $3,800

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