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ATL@PHI Musgrove vs. Teheran
Will the real Joe Musgrove please stand up ? He is 4-6, pitching to a 4.40 ERA, his FIP ( 3.78) is the outlier here that tells a better story. The difference between FIP and ERA tells me that Musgrove has been a victim of a bit of bad luck to go with some other issues. That isn’t enough for me to play him, it’s merely an observation.
Teheran has pitched well, he has given up one earned run or less in his last seven appearances. Add that to the fact that the Braves as a team are 8-2 in their last 10 with a run differential of +23 and you could go Teheran as a play here. He is worth keeping in mind.
SEA@MIN Kikuchi vs. Pineda
Kikuchi has struggled. The Twins are the best team in baseball. The Twins hit a lot of home runs. The Twins have a run differential of..PLUS 113 !! TWINS BAT Stack is the play.
AZ@WSH Greinke vs. Fedde.
Greinke is a good pitcher. Straight up. That’s not any crazy fantasy advice, it’s just a fact. He is coming off an extra day of rest. For Washington, Fedde has been quietly good. 2.7 ERA over four starts. These elements push me off this game. NO PLAY
TOR@ BAL Stroman vs. Ynoa
The Orioles have been on a strange fantasy roll lately. It is something that I would like to examine at a later date. I have been sticking with trying to get some sort of Vlad mini-stack ( Vlad and whomever is hitting ahead or behind him ) when he is in the lineup.
TEX@BOS Sampson vs. Price
Price has a 1.88 ERA over his last nine starts. Sampson is, are you ready, 5-0, with a 1.99 ERA (!) A WHIP of nearly just 1, and 30 strikeouts. He is downright stingy. I am scared off. NO PLAY anywhere.
LAA@TB Skaggs vs. Yarbrough
I have always favored Ryan Yarbrough, but the handedness concerns me enough to stay away on that end. I find myself ending up on the practicality of TBB BATS , especially with a run differential of +95, they are hard to stay off. TBB BAT STACK
STL@NYM Flaherty vs. deGrom
This is the equivalent of an old professional wrestling type feud. There is just a good rivalry here and this will be a great early June test for both clubs. I would never advocate going against deGrom and I don’t care much for Mets bats. NO PLAY
DET@KC Boyd vs. Bailey
Games like this frighten me. Boyd could be a good value play here as could Tigers bats, but I am not going to be forced into it unless I need to dip into this game to balance out a lineup. I would keep a keen eye on Boyd as a play
NYY@CWS Happ vs. Nova
These are the games where the Yankees are supposed to roll. NYY BATS are a play. I would be aware of Happ’s fly ball tendency.
SD@COL Strahm vs. Gray
Every bat you possibly can. Every SD BAT stack, every COL BAT stack. Play the odds here.
CHC@LAD Lester vs. Kershaw.
Put your money elsewhere. Sit back and watch this game.
I realize that this a very bad heavy stack day for me and I am going to be looking for some value pitchers to fill in a bat cost-heavy lineup. Teheran could be a play, as could Boyd. I know they aren’t sexy but if I am going to build today’s games as I would like to, this is the approach that I need. I may play multiple lineups and go with one lineup built around Kershaw as well.