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The Range: John Deere Classic (TPC Deere Run)



This week we’ll look back at the 3M Open and get you ready for the upcoming John Deere Classic right here on Win Daily.

Recap of the 3M Open

What an incredible finish for the tournament. DeChambeau led by one after a great eagle putt on 18, with the two rookies ready to tee off. Wolff and Morikawa sat on the 18th green after great tee shots and fantastic approaches. Both young guns’ balls were 20 plus feet away leaving tough eagle putts. While Morikawa was able to make birdie, Wolff sunk his putt for eagle to win the 3M Open. The victory came on his third attempt since turning pro. Wolff and Morikawa’s futures both look very bright.

Not only did it make for great TV but the Insight Sheet had two of the three leaders. While the player pool came out swinging with a cut rate of 82%, it was the first true week that did not have the winner. With that said, 11 of the 14 that made the cut, finished inside the Top 25, five inside the Top 10. Let’s keep the good times rolling and dive into the John Deere Classic.

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The Basics

Course: TPC Deere Run
Par: 71
Length: 7,257 yards
Greens: Bent
Fairways: Easy to hit
Architect: D.A. Weibring
For a full hole breakdown please visit the John Deere Classic website.

Course Fit

The tour is finally back to familiar grounds this week at the John Deere Classic. The tournament is held at the TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois. The JDC is always held the week before The Open as it’s the last attempt to qualify for the British Open. With the winning score in the low 20s, we can once again expect a birdie fest.

Let’s take a look at the field and observe who comes does well in Strokes Gained Total and DraftKings points on easy to score courses.

Last 50 Rounds (Burns 29, Im 26)

If you look at the 3M Open leaderboard you might notice a few of these names. With an even weaker field I would expect to see these same golfers towards the top.

Now let’s look at the Top 10 in SG: TOT in which courses have easy to hit fairways.

Last 50 rounds (Ryder 48, Hovland 15, Niemann 43)

Once again we see Glover (who I expect to be one of the highest priced golfers) and Burgoon showing up again.

Like most birdie fests it’s usually the golfer with the hot putter who takes down the tournament. Let us see who does well with bent greens.

Last 50 rounds (Clark 23, Luck 36, McCarthy 30, Wright 11 & Straka 7)

Clark, Glover and McCarthy were close last week at the 3M Open. Perhaps this will be the week one of them wins.

Player Fit – Back End

Here is the scorecard for TPC Deere Run and how each hole plays to par.

With another scoring fest on our hands at the John Deere Classic we’ll want to look at all of the scoring holes (highlighted in green). Presented above, the scorecard shows there’s two Par 4s between 350 – 400 yards and three Par 5s between 550 – 600 yards. As always we’ll add Opportunity Gained to our model to see which golfers put themselves in scoring position. Here are the Top 10 golfers who are weighted evenly in each category.

Final Recap

Last week I went birdie/scoring heavy in my model and it worked out really well. I’ll look to continue that trend here at the John Deere Classic.

Course Setup:
Easy to score
Easy to hit fairways
Bent Grass Greens.

Player Efficiencies:
Opportunity Gained
Par 4 scoring: 350 – 400 yards
Par 5 scoring: 550 – 600 yards

Thanks for reading and I hope this article is a great starting place for your DFS research. Look out for the Insight Sheet dropping Wednesday. It will include my model’s Top 50 with Data Golf World Rankings, Vegas Odds, and analysis on my personal player pool.

While this article, The Range, will remain FREE, the Insight Sheet will only be free for a limited time. Make sure you don’t miss out. Sign up for our Premium Gold membership right here!

Please leave a comment below or reach out on Twitter if you found this helpful and any questions you may have.

Stats source: FantasyNational

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