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The MLB SWEET SPOT 9/14/22: Wednesday PROP BETS at Win Daily Sports



It was another solid day at the Sweet Spot as we went 5-3 and returned a positive +1.1 unit profit. That puts us at 32-12 on the month on props and bets. The monthly return is at +17.3 units.

Jared has you covered for DFS today so I’ll just post my favorite bets and props below.

There are many tools available, but I hope you’re using the WinDaily Projection Model as that has been very helpful in rostering key players each night.


NOTE: MLB 2022 Season Props/Bets are +72.1 units


DYLAN CEASE over 7.5 K’s (-130 DK):

Cease has gotten back to his strikeout ways in his past 3 games as he’s recorded 24 K’s in those contests. Colorado is striking out at a high rate in September, 25.5%. They also struggle against the FB and slider which are Cease’s primary outpitches.

NICK LODOLO over 7.5 K’s (-110 DK):

Pittsburgh has the 2nd highest K rate against LHP’s this season. And that number has increased from 26.3% to 27.5% in September. Plus, Lodolo has thrown over 100 pitches in his last 3 starts so there is a desire for Cincy to stretch him out as the season ravels down.

CHARLIE MORTON under 6.5 K’s (-140 DK):

Morton is a much different pitcher away from Atlanta. His ERA goes from 2.96 at home to 5.28 on the road. His K rate also drops significantly from 11.5 K/9 at home to 9.2 K/9 on the road. Additionally, he’s gone under 6.5 K’s in 9 of his 13 road starts.

KYLE FREELAND over 5.5 hits (+120 DK):

Freeland is much better away from Coors as his ERA is almost cut in half on the road. However, CHW is #2 on the season in batting average against LHP’s at 0.277. And they’ve raised that to 0.333 in September. Chicago is hot and think they can get hits in bunches versus a lefty today.

ADAM WAINWRIGHT under 2.5 ER (-120 DK):

Wainwright pitched a CG against Milwaukee in August where he allowed only 3 hits and 1 ER. Wainwright is 10-6 against this number at home this year.

EDWARD CABRERA over 15.5 outs and 5.5 K’s (-110 DK):

Cabrera saw the Phillies in August and went 5.2 innings and recorded 6 K’s. That was in Philly and tonight he’s in Miami which is a much friendlier pitchers park.

MINNESOTA TWINS over 2.5 runs F5 (+115 DK):

Zach Greinke has allowed more than 2 runs in 8 of his last 9 starts on the road. He has a 4.24 ERA against Minnesota this year and has allowed 21 hits in 15 innings of work.

Now that you finished reading the MLB Sweet Spot article make sure to check out MLB Lineup Optimizer and our YouTube Livestream that breaks down the entire slate of games and gives you the info to nail MLB Prop Bets and DFS Plays.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

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