Daily Fantasy SportsNFL Week 4 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview: Patriots at Chiefs Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The season continues with the first of two Monday night showdowns, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big in the last two Week 4 NFL DFS contests!Introduction to Single-Game ShowdownsDraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.Let’s get to the game!Week 4 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Chalk: Patrick Mahomes (DK $18,900, FD $17,000)Pivot: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (DK $14,100, FD $13,000)Contrarian #1: Tyreek Hill (DK $16,500, FD $13,500)Contrarian #2: Rex Burkhead (DK $10,500, FD $10,500)Pricing is much softer this week and given the depressed pricing on the Patriots RBs and secondary receiving options (after Julian Edelman), it’s much easier to field a showdown lineup with Patrick Mahomes as captain.I’m still very much interested in using RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and using him up top frees up even more salary to stack up Mahomes and TE Travis Kelce, or even WR Tyreek Hill.The key to smashing this showdown will be which two Patriots offensive players you select, and there’s a few combos I have interest in. But we also need to get shares of Mecole Hardman and DeMarcus Robinson, who are both very affordable.I also have plenty of interest in the Chiefs DST in this matchup, if for any other reason than this will not be your typical Bill Belichick-coached Patriots team, and the tight travel schedule and limited preparation could lead to more mistakes than we’ve become accustomed to. With Cam Newton (COVID-19) unavailable for Monday’s game, Brian Hoyer is the starting QB. And while his price is affordable, I don’t have a ton of interest in using him against the formidable Chiefs unit.Both James White (who is playing but missed the last two weeks) and Julian Edelman (questionable, knee) are question marks, so the two best Patriots offensive players to target might be Rex Burkhead and N’Keal Harry. If Edelman is healthy, he’s probably worth using, and White (the definition of a boom-or-bust DFS play tonight) is a complete wild card with Sony Michel already ruled out and the Pats needing live bodies for their backfield.Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense togetherDON’T: Use Patriots-heavy stacks over the Chiefs tonight. I just don’t see it working out given the events of the past few days.DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.DON’T: Build a showdown lineup without at least three Chiefs players – it’s not the time to get cute.Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):Patrick MahomesClyde Edwards-HelaireTyreek HillTravis KelceRex BurkheadChiefs DSTBrian HoyerJulian Edelman (questionable)James WhiteHarrison ButkerN’Keal HarryMecole HardmanDamiere ByrdSammy Watkins DeMarcus Robinson Darrel Williams Ryan Izzo Nick Folk 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports Week 3 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview: Chiefs at Ravens jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 3 NFL DFS contests!Week 3 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game ShowdownsDraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.Let’s get to the game!Week 3 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Chalk: Lamar Jackson (DK $19,500, FD $16,500)Pivot: Travis Kelce (DK $15,000, FD $13,000)Contrarian #1: Patrick Mahomes (DK $18,000, FD $16,000)Contrarian #2: Mark Andrews (DK $12,000, FD $12,000)Pricing is incredibly tight this week for the Monday night showdown, with both QBs over $16K on FanDuel, making it nearly impossible to fit both in without punting more than one spot. But because of Lamar Jackson’s ability to take over the game (and let’s face it – his team is the favorite to win tonight), we have to consider him for the MVP spot. It’s a lot more feasible on FD, but the move on DraftKings may be to find a low-owned CPT by picking one of the TEs (Travis Kelce is my favorite play) or a different Chiefs position player who might find a loophole in the Ravens defense to exploit. I may have one or two lineups with Patrick Mahomes as MVP, but I prefer Jackson.The matchup for Mahomes is bad, and it’s not much better for Clyde Edwards-Helaire, but at least the latter’s ability to rack up PPR points (full on DK, half on FD) makes him a worthy flex play in Ravens stacks that focus on Jackson and TE Mark Andrews.Tyreek Hill’s speed makes him worthy of consideration, and if we’re fading Hill then we’ve got to have some shares of Mecole Hardman, who’s yet to really break out this season despite his ubiquitous big-play ability.The strategy of starting two Ravens RBs like Mark Ingram and J.K. Dobbins is viable, but assuming they both score enough to warrant inclusion means we’re probably using Mahomes and the Chiefs passing game with them instead of Lamar.Normally I’d ignore the kickers, but in a game that could see this many points, we have to consider that some of them will come via the legs of Justin Tucker and Harrison Butker.Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense togetherDON’T: Play both defenses in this one.DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.DON’T: Use players with almost no shot of seeing the field, regardless of their salary – though sub-$2K players on DraftKings (who may have some impact in possible game narratives) include Gus Edwards (Ravens blowout) and Darwin Thompson (Darrel Williams ankle issues).Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):Lamar JacksonTravis KelcePatrick MahomesMark AndrewsClyde Edwards-HelaireTyreek HillMarquise BrownMark Ingram IIJustin TuckerHarrison ButkerJ.K. DobbinsMecole HardmanWillie Snead IV Ravens DST Miles Boykin DeMarcus Robinson Gus Edwards Darrel Williams Chiefs DST Sammy Watkins (questionable, neck) 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports Week 1 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview: Texans at Chiefs Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season kicks off with a Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 1 NFL DFS contests!Introduction to Single-Game ShowdownsDraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.Let’s say I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP. At least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.Let’s get to the game!Week 1 NFL DFS: MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Chalk: Patrick Mahomes (DK $18,900, FD $16,500)Pivot: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (DK $13,200, FD $12,000)Lower-risk Contrarian #1: DeShaun Watson (DK $17,700, FD $15,000)High-upside Contrarian #2: Will Fuller V (DK $12,000, FD $10,500)High-risk Contrarian #3: Randall Cobb (DK $6,300, FD $8,500)DK-only Punts: Chiefs DST ($5,100) and Darrel Williams ($2,700)With the Chiefs listed as 9-10 point favorites with a 31.75 implied team total in the season opener, we’re going to see Mahomes as MVP in the vast majority of FD lineups and a healthy portion on DK. I’m calling the Chiefs rookie RB “CEH” to avoid too much typing, and I’m going to have a fair share of him at the top spot as well. He’s not a bad anchor if we want to build out with the Chiefs DST, Mahomes and a couple Texans.The path to a low-owned lottery ticket with plenty of upside comes with a great deal of risk if we use Watson, but I’ll have at least one in five GPP lineups that uses this strategy. We’ve seen Watson have many an explosive second half with the Texans trailing by multiple scores and that’s just what could happen here if the Chiefs D does its job in the first half and relaxes with a two or three-score lead in the fourth quarter.Fuller, when healthy (or simple active) is a dangerous man. He’s my favorite Texans player and another possible candidate. Whether Brandin Cooks sits or not, we can give Randall Cobb a huge bump, as he’s always capable of big plays out of the slot and a TD or two. Hint: DeShaun Watson loves throwing to the slot…On DK, it might pair to have some shares of the Chiefs DST in the MVP slot if we’re looking to get three more Chiefs and one of the two Johnsons (David or Duke) with Fuller.The largest unknown in this game is probably how the Chiefs will utilize their RBs (CEH, Darrel Williams, Darwin Thompson), so exploring some different combinations there will be key. I like Darrel Williams a lot because he’s the Chiefs’ top pass-blocking back and short-yardage guy – and he’ll see a handful of touches/targets with the possibility of 8-10 if he gets a “hot hand.” At just $2,700 (just $1,800 in a utility slot), he could be a gamebreaker if he hits his 15-20 point upside.Week 1 NFL DFS: Utility optionsNow that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value:Patrick MahomesDeShaun WatsonTyreek HillTravis Kelce (questionable, knee)Will FullerClyde Edwards-HelaireChiefs DSTDavid JohnsonMecole Hardman Duke Johnson Darrel Williams Harrison Butker Randall CobbSammy Watkins Kenny Stills Jordan Akins Ka’imi’ Fairbairn Brandin Cooks (questionable, quad) Daniel Fells Texans DSTGood luck this week and don’t hesitate to get in Discord and pepper our writers with any question you may have!Image Courtesy of Smashdown Sports News 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL @StixPicks 2020 Wide Receiver Evaluation Michael Rasile 4 years ago written by Michael Rasile @StixPicks 2020 Wide Receiver EvaluationMichael Rasile is joined by Nick Bretwisch to look at and discuss 2020 wide receiver evaluation. Nick breaks down the top 30 thoroughly to give an understanding of who you should be looking to grab and who not to touch. They then look at the upside players towards the end of your draft to make sure that you’ll have some potential on your bench.Understanding who is being drafted where is something that will help you decided when it’s time to draft an elite wide receiver or when you should wait. With running back being very thin and wide receiver being very thick, we run through the top 60 giving insight on who else you may be able to grab instead.The great debate of which Tampa Bay wide receiver to take might be just as exciting as if we forgot about how good AJ Green was.Listen to the episode below and don’t forget to subscribe and leave a 5 star reviewYou can also listen on these platformsApple PodcastsSpotifyAnchorFollow Nick -> https://twitter.com/StixPicksCheck out Nick’s articles on Win Daily Sports -> https://windailysports.com/author/nbretwisch/Check out the QB Evaluation and RB EvaluationWin Daily Sports Discord Chat -> https://discord.com/invite/KEFD2KrMake sure to follow Win Daily, too!https://www.instagram.com/windaily/https://twitter.com/windailysportshttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCY2I3VNyf_dtW-2xl5vwv0Qhttps://www.twitch.tv/windailysportshttps://windailysports.com/ 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports Championship Sunday DFS DraftKings and FanDuel Slate Preview – Best Values and GPP Stacks adam.sardinha1@gmail.com 4 years ago written by adam.sardinha1@gmail.com Welcome to my preview for the Championship Sunday DFS slate. I will be covering value and punt plays, favorite stacks, and my contrarian plays for all four games this weekend. Are you ready for some playoff DFS action? All prices discussed are via DraftKings and FanDuel (DraftKings Price/FanDuel Price). Championship Sunday DFS – Titans at Chiefs – 3:05 PM EST Opening Line: Kansas City -7.5 | Over/Under 51The first thing about this game is the total movement from the open because the spread has stayed steady at 7.5. It started at 51 in total and is up to 53 since the lines were released. Via TeamRankings.com since the start of the 2014 NFL season, there have been 76 games with over/under lines between 52 and 54. In these games:Over the line 37 times (48.7%).Under the line 36 times (47.4%).Pushed the line 3 times (3.9%).Worth noting as well for the Titans they are playing their fourth-straight road game. History has not been kind to teams playing four consecutive road games and there is a reason why the regular-season schedule does not create situations where teams are forced to play four road games in a row. Quarterbacks Championship Sunday DFSIt should come to no surprise that in games that the total exceeds 51 or more points Patrick Mahomes ($7,700/$9,500), puts on an absolute clinic. Before the divisional playoff game (when he scored 40-plus), Mahomes’ splits can be seen in the tweet below. He is clearly the best quarterback on the two-game slate, but that is why he is the most expensive. The Titans finished the regular season allowing the sixth-most fantasy points over the last four weeks to quarterbacks. https://twitter.com/AlZeidenfeld/status/1214638346787377152As for Ryan Tannehill ($5,500/$7,700), he has the tall task of going up versus the Chiefs defense that during the last four weeks of the season allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks. The best approach in deploying Tannehill on this slate would be to play him in lineups that do not feature the Titans being able to run the ball effectively and are forced to play catch-up versus the Chiefs offense. Tannehill back in Week 10 did score over 19 fantasy points when he completed just 13 passes. However, the home/road splits for Tannehill still are always concerning so on the road in an extremely tough environment I do not see myself rostering too much Tannehill considering Jimmy Garroppolo ($5,200/$7,600) is in a better spot and is cheaper on both sites. The one thing to consider is Tannehill is he probably is the only quarterback that I would consider playing naked. Tannehill has averaged five rushing attempts per game over his last three starts. Also, the Chiefs will be without Juan Thornhill and likely pass-rusher Chris Jones which makes Tannehill much more appealing. Defenses For defenses overall on this slate the Chiefs ($3,100/$4,400) are the most expensive on DraftKings and second most expensive on FanDuel. They are worth paying up for in GPPs and could see suppressed ownership with Mahomes being heavily owned. If the Titans fall behind early, Tannehill could get sacked a ton – 31% of pressures on Tannehill result in sacks. That the highest rate among the league’s starters. The Titans are dirt-cheap at $2,000 on DraftKings and honestly, for that reason, they become a viable option. Also, it only takes one turnover for their DST to be a factor and over the past two weeks, they have had a DST score. Most people avoid stacking their quarterback versus the DST they are playing, but in this case, it could make sense; play Mahomes and the Tennesse DST on DraftKings to save the salary. Running BacksDamien Williams ($7,000/$7,600) is the second-most expensive running back on the slate on DraftKings but is cheaper than Aaron Jones on FanDuel. W do not get the price discount this week with Williams but of all the Chiefs skill players, he has the most projectable role. Not to mention during the regular season the Titans allowed the third-most receptions to backs. He probably will not score three touchdowns again, but the Titans did allow the fifth-most rushing touchdowns to running backs over the regular season. We have seen the Chiefs rely on Williams in the postseason in the past, so I am confident going back to him as the lead running back on the team with the highest implied team total (30.25). As for Derrick Henry ($8,700/$9,800), well we all know the story of his production by now. I have faded Henry over the last few weeks and that was against even better run defenses in the Patriots and Ravens. The Chiefs allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to backs over the 2019 regular season. If the Titans are to win this game it will be on the shoulders or QUADs of Henry. You cannot full-on fade him in this spot, even at his price. Teams know they have to stop Henry and up to this point, nobody has been able to execute. In 2019 including the playoffs Henry vs stacked boxes ranks first in attempts, rushing yards, and rushing touchdowns. https://twitter.com/nflnetwork/status/1217808777468092417Wide Receivers, Tight EndsThe Tennesse Titans are the worst team in the NFL this season versus 12 personnel, which according to SharpFootball Stats in that formation they are allowing 8.8 yards per attempt and a 57% success rate from passes in that formation. Kansas City ranks top five in terms of pass-rate from 12 personnel. This is consistent with the Titans’ defense being weak versus tight ends in terms of fantasy points allowed. They allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to the position and third-most receiving touchdowns during the regular season. So yes wheels are indeed up for Travis Kelce ($7,100/$7,800). Blake Bell ($2,800/$4,000) also becomes an interesting punt play if Kelce is limited at all by his injury. Bell ran 15 routes last week and had two targets. As for the Tennessee tight ends, it’s extremely tough to trust any of them in this spot this week, but Jonnu Smith ($3,400/$5,600) could end up being a not only a value but a great leverage play if the two elite tight ends on the slate do not fire. Smith leads the NFL in yards after the catch per target per @Rotounderworld. He also leads the Titans in targets over the past two weeks. https://twitter.com/DBro_FFB/status/1218542993130639365As for the wide receiver position, Tyreek Hill ($7,200/$7,400) seemingly has the highest ceiling of any player on the slate. Hill sees time from the slot and Logan Ryan has been beaten badly by speed guys this season. Also, we saw the speedy Marquise Brown have a super productive day versus this secondary just one week ago. Last week I wanted to be overweight on Kelce, but I think this week is the week to be overweight on Hill. Hill is cheaper than Davante Adams ($7,900/$8,300) on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Via Arrowheadpride.com “The Titans have struggled to defend elite receiving weapons. The last time they saw one was in Week 16 against the New Orleans Saints. Wide receiver Michael Thomas finished with 136 yards on 12 catches and a score. The week before, Tennessee allowed Texans’ Deandre Hopkins to rack up 119 yards on six receptions. The back half of their schedule did not feature many elite passing offenses — but they lost in the two matchups where they faced one after the Chiefs.”As for the value receiver on the Chiefs, I am putting my stamp of approval on Mecole Hardman ($3,800/$4,900). Hardman does not see a ton of snaps, (just eight routes ran last week), but he had four targets. When he is on the field the Chiefs are looking for ways to get him the ball. The last time he played the Titans he scored a 63-yard touchdown. The NFL’s Next Gen Stats showed Hardman reached a top speed of 21.85 mph on his return last Saturday and said no NFL ball carrier has had more touches than topped 21.5 mph than Hardman. He is the target in GPPs, while in cash formats, I am fine going with Sammy Watkins ($4,600/$5,200). On the side of the Titans A.J. Brown ($5,200)/($6,800) will probably be a pretty popular option in GPPs, but the matchup is extremely tough. The Chiefs rank second-best versus the position during the regular season (only the Patriots were better). At his price, he is someone I am definitely looking to fade. I prefer both slot options for the Titans in receivers Tajae Sharpe ($3,100/$4,700) and Adam Humphries ($3,000/$5,000). If Humphries plays I favor him, and obviously if he misses I want to move to Sharpe. The biggest games that the Chiefs have allowed have primarily been to slot receivers.Championship Sunday DFS – Packers @ 49ers – 6:40 PM EST Opening Line: San Francisco -7 | Over/Under 45Quarterbacks, Defenses Championship Sunday DFSIn this game, the total has moved up from 45 to 46.5. The spread has bounced around anywhere between 6.5-7.5. Historically, since the start of the 2014 NFL season, there have been 220 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:San Francisco won the game 165 times (75.0%).Green Bay won the game 54 times (24.5%).Green Bay did better against the spread, going 106-104-10 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.Aaron Rodgers ($6,100/$8,000) has been one of the most matchup dependent quarterbacks this season. Against a much healthier 49ers defense who has allowed the lowest yards per pass attempt this season overall (5.2) and at home (4.5), it is hard to confidently project a ceiling game from him. I think if you wanted to get contrarian at quarterback you roster Garoppolo. He is the cheapest QB on both sites and showed back in Week 12 versus the Packers he can be extremely efficient. He only completed 14 passes in that game, but still threw for 250 yards and two touchdowns. Assuming that this game is slightly more competitive than that first matchup, 300 yards and three touchdowns from Jimmy G is not that far out of reach. The 49ers averaged 30 passing attempts per game at home this season, and he has yet to hit that threshold over his last three contests.I do also think that the Packers DST ($2,400/$4,000) is the safest pay-down option on both sites. They are a ton of playmakers across the Green Bay defense that include Za’Darius Smith, Preston Smith, and Kenny Clark. They all can cause stress to offenses. I am not trying to play the 49ers DST ($2,900/$4,600) especially on FanDuel where they are the most expensive. Green Bay was second in fewest giveaways per game in 2019.Running Backs After his big game last week the price on Tevin Coleman ($5,700/$6,500) has gone way back up. But keep in mind that his 22 carries were the highest of his career. The matchup is extremely juicy versus a terrible Packers’ run defense that ranked 23rd in rushing DVOA during the regular season with the second-worst defensive line in the league, yielding 4.96 adjusted yards per attempt. Still, it is important to note that it was the touchdowns that elevated Coleman, while Raheem Mostert ($4,300/$5,800) still saw 12 carries. Mostert’s price on DraftKings is very low making him a considerable cash game option. I would advise in GPPs to have some exposure to Matt Breida ($3,400/$5,000) because he has that rare big-play ability and if he makes the most of his touches hr could get the hot-hand approach from the head coach. The 49ers backfield is an ambiguous one for sure and cracking this case will surely lead to a big GPP win as we saw last week with Coleman’s performance. There is not a lot of injury news when it comes to this slate specifically, but one thing to note is the Packers are coming in extremely healthy. The only players coming in questionable are fullback Danny Vitale and cornerback Tramon Williams. The return of Vitale could potentially be huge for running back Aaron Jones ($6,700/$7,800). The Packers this season have a 51% success rate when running from 21-personnel averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. I think if Vitale plays that could be a significant boost to the Packers rushing attack. Also, it needs to be said that in the previous matchup where Jones was limited to just 38 yards on 13 carries, that was when DJ Jones was still playing for SF. He went on IR after Week 14. Weeks 15-17 the 49ers allowed a 58% success rate and 4.8 yards per carry from 12 personnel. With more tight ends and the potential for a fullback look for the Packers to go big to run the football to limit the 49ers’ pass rush. Additionally, I think that leveraging the late-game swap with a guy like Jamaal Williams ($3,800/$4,800) will be extremely important. Williams scored 15 fantasy points the last time these two teams faced and he had a season-high eight targets and seven receptions in the passing game. Rodgers has made a note of how important chemistry is entering this playoff game and he does have a solid rapport with Williams. When targeting Williams Rodgers has a 129.4 passer rating with a 90% completion percentage. If the Packers are trailing in this game, as the spread would project we could see more Williams assist with pass protection and play more third-downs. Tyler Ervin ($3,100/$4,700) is mostly a punt play but is returning kicks and punts for Green Bay so I like the GPP stack with the Packers DST. Ervin has 4.41 speed and it’s a college homecoming from the former San Jose State Spartan. The pre-snap motion could be integral to Matt LaFleur’s gameplan, and Ervin has become LaFleur’s go-to motion man over the past several weeks. Wide Receivers, Tight EndsOne of the biggest weaknesses of the Green Bay defense is defending against passes in-between the numbers. According to Sharp Football Stats over the second half of the season, passes in-between the numbers had a 56% success rate. Outside the numbers drop down to 41%. On the season the 49ers throw between the numbers 64% of the time, which is the most in the NFL. Expect for the 49ers to expose this matchup with a bounce-back effort from George Kittle ($5,800)/($7,000). The last time played Green Bay he went for over 125 yards and a score. His price is way too low. Emmanuel Sanders ($4,900)/($5,500) is still leading the receiver group from the slot position so he would be the favorite 49ers receiver to target in this spot, but both Deebo Samuel ($5,500)/$6,300) and Kendrick Bourne ($4,200)/($5,400) also have seen decent work from the slot over the past two weeks.There are definitely trust issues between the lower-end wide receivers for the Packers and the coaching staff. After Allen Lazard ($4,400/$5,100) left last week’s game you would have expected another receiver to take his place right? Nope, the Packers instead opted to use more 13 personnel with no wide receiver outside of Adams seeing more than one target. With Lazard off the injury report, all of these fringy sub-4k Green Bay receivers should be faded for the most part. Jake Kumerow ($3,200/$4,700) is dirt-cheap on DraftKings and ran the second-most routes of any receiver on the Packers. Adams is not an absolute lock to smash coming off his best game of the season. The last time he came off a 30-point game he finished with just 11.1 fantasy points the next week. Adams had just 43 receiving yards the last time he played SF but salvaged the day with a touchdown. As I mentioned the Packers used more three-tight end sets so Jace Sternberger ($2,500)/($4,000) (season-high 36 snaps last week) possesses explosiveness and his 44% snap share was higher than Jimmy Graham and Robert Tonyan. Sternberger wears 87 so perhaps Rodgers thinks he is throwing to Jordy Nelson.https://twitter.com/SeedsofJake/status/1216747273079656450Image via Mike Morbeck 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports Divisional Weekend DFS DraftKings and FanDuel Slate Preview – Best Values and GPP Stacks adam.sardinha1@gmail.com 4 years ago written by adam.sardinha1@gmail.com Welcome to my preview for the Divisional Weekend DFS slate. I will be covering value and punt plays, favorite stacks, and my contrarian plays for all four games this weekend. Are you ready for some playoff DFS action? All prices discussed are via DraftKings and FanDuel (DraftKings Price/FanDuel Price). Divisional Weekend DFS – Minnesota at San Francisco – 4:35 PM EST Opening Line: 49ers -6 | Over/Under 45The first thing about this game is the line movement from the open. It started at 45 in total and is up to 44 from Sunday. Via TeamRankings.com since the start of the 2014 NFL season, there have been 256 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games: The team like San Francisco won the game 184 times (71.9%). The team like Minnesota won the game 71 times (27.7%). The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 128-116-12 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.QuarterbacksFrom a quick glance, these quarterbacks look like some of the least appealing on the slate. Kirk Cousins ($5,700/$7,600) will be facing off versus a vicious 49ers defensive front that is getting healthier. Cousins played well last week, but still only ended up with 13.58 fantasy points. So even if Cousins can duplicate is efforts from last week, that may not translate to fantasy success. Of the two quarterbacks, I prefer Jimmy Garroppolo ($5,600/$7,800) who is the cheaper quarterback on DraftKings but only as a target in larger-field GPPs. Minnesota is down a lot of cornerbacks and its weaknesses are in its secondary. The 49ers this season have averaged 7.9 yards per pass attempt which ranks second-best in the NFL. DefensesFor defenses overall on this slate, the Vikings DST ($2,700/$3,700) seems like the safest pay-down option. They have scored at least eight fantasy points over six straight weeks. The 49ers DST ($3,000/$4,600) I would only play on DraftKings, as the clear-cut choice for best pay-up DST is Kansas City ($3,200/$4,200) on FanDuel. Running BacksDalvin Cook ($8,000/$8,000) arguably is the best running back on the Divisional DFS Weekend slate especially on FanDuel where he is only the third-highest price running back. He is seeing and touching the ball too much to not have him as a core piece in your lineups. As for the 49ers backfield, Raheem Mostert ($5,800/$6,700) is the lead back, but with the other SF running backs healthy, I am sure they will cut into his production. I would prefer to use some more salary and pay up to get to Damien Williams ($6,000/$6,900) who should see more touches and is just $200 more on both sites. The Vikings defense is not good at defending running backs in the passing game, so on DraftKings, Matt Breida ($3,300/$5,000) is an interesting name to consider, because there is a chance they have been saving him for the playoffs. Wide Receivers, Tight EndsThere’s no tougher matchup for George Kittle ($6,200/$7,400) than his spot this week. No team has been better other than the Green Bay Packers versus tight ends over the last four weeks of the season. We saw it last with Jared Cook as well who went just five receptions for 54 yards. That being said you need Kittle to smash in this spot, and at his price, it might just make more sense to have more exposure for Travis Kelce ($6,400)/$7,500). For the Minnesota receivers, both have now popped up on the injury report which means I am limiting my exposure to Stefon Diggs ($5,600/$6,800). He has a brutal track record of underperforming in games where he was on the injury report leading up to that game. The 49ers are strong versus deep passes and Diggs lead the NFL in yards per reception this season. In most cases, I would rather just pay-down to get to either Deebo Samuel ($5,200/$6,100) or Emmanuel Sanders ($5,400/$5,700). Samuel is cheaper on DraftKings and Sanders is cheaper on FanDuel. I like both of them in this spot versus the Minnesota secondary that is dealing with a ton of injuries. Samuel gets rushing attempts which is a plus, and Sanders is actually coming off his first bye week of the season! Remember he was traded to San Francisco after their bye week in Week 4, so he has played 17 straight weeks. He says he feels relieved and much better heading into this game after a lackluster final three-game stretch (eight receptions for 95 yards). Adam Thielen ($6,200/$6,900) is still the receiver you want in Minnesota if he plays. Over the last four weeks, no team allowed more fantasy points to wide receivers than the 49ers.Divisional Weekend DFS – Titans @ Ravens – 8:15 PM EST Opening Line: Baltimore -10 | Over/Under 48Quarterbacks, DefensesThe line on this game has just gone down since it opened at 48 down to 46.5. Not a sign that Vegas considers this game a shootout and it should not be considering both teams want to run the football which shortens the game. But for Lamar Jackson ($8,400)/$9,400) it does not really matter. Play him in cash games, and use him in GPPs in Divisional Weekend DFS. But with which Ravens player should you pair him with? Well, the Ravens DST ($3,600/$4,800) is also in a smash spot as the Titans have allowed 3.4 sacks per game the third-highest average in the NFL. Running BacksMark Ingram has been labeled day-day and I am concerned that even after a two-week absence he is not ready to go. It has been reported that he will play but there is a strong chance that he could be limited in this game, which means Gus Edwards ($4,900/$5,400) would become a lock, especially on FanDuel. In Ingram’s absence in Week 17 behind back-up offensive lineman and RG3 at quarterback versus a great Steelers’ defense Edwards did work. He carried 21 times for 130 yards. If Ingram is active I love him in GPPs. The same goes for Justice Hill ($3,900/$4,800) on FanDuel. He is way too cheap over there.Derrick Henry ($8,200)/($9,600) looks to be really popular in this spot coming off a massive game where absolutely dominated the New England Patriots. However, he is far from a lock for me because this game script is going to be harder to project the Titans playing with a lead. He is also very expensive on both sites, so I would not be touching him heavily on DraftKings. However, you must keep in mind that the Baltimore defense is weak through its run defense. At home this season the Ravens have allowed 4.9 yards per attempt, which was worse than the Carolina Panthers. If the game script somehow goes in the Titans favor than Henry could rack up points quickly with a 25 touch workload looking very projectable. The Ravens can also be exposed versus heavier personnel packages. Versus 12-personnel Baltimore allowed a 48% success rate and 4.5 yards per attempt this season. Wide Receivers, Tight EndsI think Marquise Brown ($4,400)/$5,300) finds himself in a sweet spot on both sites. He is priced down significantly and has a massive upside that you usually cannot get from the receiver at his salary. He can help round out a GPP stack with Jackson. Also, cornerback Adoree Jackson will be returning for Tennesse but he has been dealing with a foot injury, while Brown has not been on the injury report at all this week. That despite being on it almost every week during the regular season. Mark Andrews ($5,600/$6,800) will also be good to go and the matchup is also great for him. The Titans allowed the seventh-most yards to tight ends this season and allowed Ben Watson to be second on the Patriots in receptions and yards last week. Andrews is a great pivot off Kelce/Kittle.On the side of the Titans A.J. Brown ($6,000)/($7,400) had been on absolute fire but was shut down last week. I am not looking to fade Brown this week, because the Titans should be forced to throw the ball more versus the Ravens. We also got a $1,400 discount on him on DraftKings down to 6K. On the season the Ravens allowed the third-most targets, seventh-most receptions, and sixth-most red-zone targets to receivers. The Ravens also ranked number one versus the tight end, so I am looking elsewhere for a cheap tight end than in this game. Divisional Weekend DFS – Texans @ Chiefs – 3:05 PM EST Opening Line: New Orleans -8.0| Over/Under 49Quarterbacks, DefensesWhen we want to target games for DFS we look for games where the totals are moving up. This is the case here with Houston @ KC, where the line opened at 49 and has moved up to 51 with the Chiefs getting two more points in the process. They are now favored by ten. Patrick Mahomes ($7,500/$8,600) is a great option in cash and GPPs if you cannot afford to pay up for Jackson. Houston was the fourth-worst ranked defense in terms of fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks in 2019. That being said the more contrarian approach will be targeting the other QB Deshaun Watson ($6,700/$8,300). He is a nice late-swap pivot if your Mahomes lineups are not looking great after the first two games. I like the savings more on DrafKings than on FanDuel where you only shave off $300. I alluded to it earlier, but I also love the Chiefs DST ($3,200/$4,200) especially on FanDuel. Watson was sacked seven times last week and this season has been sacked an average of 3.3 times per game.Running BackYou have to lock-in, Damien Williams. With his increased workload, and the salary he is too easy to jam into lineups. Houston on the season ranked fifth-worst versus the running back position and gave up the second-most receptions to the position. Wide Receivers, Tight EndsTravis Kelce ($6,400/$7,500) is the clear-cut number one tight end option on the slate. The Texans over the last four weeks rank fourth-worst versus the position. Kelce has yet to see less than nine targets in five of his past six games. Darren Fells ($3,500/$5,200) should only be rostered if we see Jordan Akins miss again. Kansas City allowed the second-most targets to the tight end position over the 2019 season and ranked third in touchdowns at the position. The Houston defense allows a ton of completions towards the middle of the field, but ranks fourth-best versus deep passes. However, Tyreek Hill ($7,600/$7,900) should see enough work in the slot versus Vernon Hargreaves who is one of the single-worst cornerbacks left in the NFL playoffs. Hill’s ceiling is too high to not have exposure and he should dominate. I do prioritize Kelce first in builds. I like Hill on FanDuel more where he is cheaper than DeAndre Hopkins ($7,400/$8,100). Not sure if I will be too heavy on Hopkins especially as Will Fuller ($5,000/$5,600) makes his probable return. I love Fuller in GPPs because the last time he played Kansas City he almost had three touchdowns but dropped them. Still, the plays were there, and I think in the playoffs he makes them this time around. Divisional Weekend DFS – Seahawks @ Packers – 6:40 PM EST Opening Line: Green Bay -4.0| Over/Under 46Quarterbacks, DefensesRussell Wilson ($6,600)/($7,900) has struggled in his few games at Lambeau Field. Just three combined passing touchdowns and six interceptions in his three career games there. Overall versus Green Bay Wilson has never thrown for more than 225 yards or two passing touchdowns. So with the quarterbacks here I lean towards Aaron Rodgers ($6,500/$8,100) especially on DraftKings where is priced lower than Wilson. Rodgers is averaging over 20 DraftKings points per game at home this season. Green Bay is averaging over 260 passing yards per game at home this season (sixth-highest), with 1.8 passing touchdowns per game. I also think the Green Bay DST ($2,800/$4,400) is a very usable DST on DraftKings in the mid-range price. Seattle’s offensive line is really banged up. Packers ranked top-four in forced turnovers per game at home. Running BackAaron Jones ($7,400/$8,200) is in a killer-spot here versus the Seahawks atrocious run defense. Over the last four weeks, they allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to the position and the most rushing touchdowns. Pete Carroll also talked up getting more Marshawn Lynch ($4,800/$6,000) involved, which I think you need to get some exposure to especially because of Lynch’s workload near the goal line. Green Bay has allowed an average of one rushing touchdown per game, so there is a three-touchdown game in Lynch’s outcomes that needs to be accounted for. Wide Receivers, Tight EndsTyler Lockett ($6,600/$6,700) is cheaper than DK Metcalf ($6,800/$7,100) on both sites this week and I will surely be buying him at the discount. Lockett is still seeing targets; he had eight last week and not fewer than seven in the previous three. For the value, I also love using guys like Allen Lazard ($4,500/$5,400) and Jimmy Graham ($3,300/$5,000). It’s a #revengegame for Graham and a great matchup. The Seahawks were the second-worst team versus the tight end this year only behind the Arizona Cardinals. Also, Graham is coming off his second-highest target total (seven) of the season. Speaking of targets that is also why I like Lazard. He has 17 targets in his last two games. The Seattle defense is overrated. Image via Keith Allison 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL Week 16 Wide Receiver DFS Picks Sean Escobar 4 years ago written by Sean Escobar The slate of wide receivers is incredible as we are approaching teams clinching playoff spots. There are some spots where you can afford some expensive receivers and some cheaper options with a good upside. Let’s dive into the best wideouts for Cash Games, GPP and who you should avoid with our Week 16 Wide Receiver DFS Picks. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!If you’d like to see more of my DFS work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @VinPensabeneWeek 16 Wide Receiver Cash Game PlaysDeAndre Hopkins, HOU @ TBDK ($8,500) FD ($8,700)This is going to be a pass-heavy game from both sides. DeAndre Hopkins has the sixth-most receiving yards in the league. Hopkins is going to also be targeted the most in this game as he has 99 receptions, which is the second-most in the NFL. Tampa’s defense completely shuts down the running game but struggles against the pass as they give up 277 passing yards a game. Expect a huge day for Hopkins. Michael Thomas, NO @ TENDK ($9,300) FD ($9,000)It’s a hefty price but it would be a sin to leave him off of this list. Michael Thomas is going to get some MVP votes and break the single-season reception mark. He has double-digit receptions in three of his last four games. Tennessee allows the sixth-most completions in the NFL so this sounds like as close to a lock as it can get. Week 16 Wide Receiver GPP PlaysTyler Lockett, MIN @ LACDK ($7,600) FD ($7,600)He is going to be Russell Wilson’s favorite receiver with Josh Gordon being suspended. The Arizona Cardinals have the worst pass defense in the NFL so this is a good matchup for Lockett to have a huge day. This should be a bounce-back performance from the last times these two teams met and he struggled. With the NFC West still up for grabs, expect Tyler Lockett to build momentum into a Week 17 matchup against the San Francisco 49ers. Amari Cooper, DAL @ PHIDK ($6,700) FD ($7,700)This is the week the Amari Cooper trade really looks like a victory for Dallas. Philadelphia is going to have trouble guarding Cooper with a weak secondary. Last time these two teams met, he finished with five catches for 106 yards. His DFS price dipped a tiny bit after last week’s dud of a performance against the Rams but with his contract expiring after the season, expect a big game in the biggest game for the Cowboys this season. Week 16 Wide Receiver FadesBreshad Perriman, HOU vs TBDK ($6,000) FD ($7,400)Don’t take the bait on this one. It looks like Perriman is likely to have a big game with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin going to miss the game with injuries. However, Bradley Roby will be guarding Perriman and that matchup is leaning towards the defense. The potential is there, but with the price tag close to other elite receivers, I would avoid picking him. T.Y. Hilton, CAR vs INDDK ($6,400) FD ($7,300)Call me crazy but T.Y. Hilton does not look 100 percent to me yet. He returned on Monday night against the New Orleans Saints after about a month due to a calf issue and looked like a shell of himself with just four catches on nine targets for 25 yards. I don’t think he will do as poorly but definitely not enough production to warrant the prices for him. Monkey Knife Fight DFS Picks of the Week Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins and Allen Robinson over 18.5 receptions. The combination of Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins should have a field day against the injury-plagued Chicago defense. The speed of these two receivers should be the difference maker and I expect around eight receptions apiece. I understand it’s a lot but have the Chiefs will need to win to still have a chance for a first-round bye. Allen Robinson has been targeted at least eight times in the last four games, so expect at least five receptions from him. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLMLBNHL 10/18 DFS and Betting Winners: Win Daily Staffer Notches NHL Live Final Ticket Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago written by Vincent Pensabene A flashback at some of the best performances from the Thursday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season. All that and more on the 10/18 DFS and Betting review and look ahead. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Gold right here! DFS Pro Cheat Sheets, projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats with our DFS Pros and more! 10/18 DFS Winner – Javier Prellezohttps://twitter.com/Javi_Prellezo/status/1185079239336316928?s=20Congratulations are in order for our own Javier Prellezo as he won the second qualifier for the NHL Live Final on DraftKings. In addition to a trip to Nashville, he also added $12,500 in his bankroll. Javier is active on our NHL Slack Channel, available to all Premium members. Be sure to check out his DFS Diamonds articles as the NFL, NHL and PGA seasons progress. 10/18 DFS Winner: Carter HuttonAs Allan Fabrykant highlighted in the Daily Hot Shot, Carter Hutton has had an excellent start to the season. Going against the Los Angeles Kings, Hutton had 47 saves and picked up his second consecutive shutout. Now at 5-0-0 this season, Hutton is proving to be one of the top goalies so far this season.Outlook for the rest of the season: Carter Hutton has been phenomenal this season, with 1.70 goals allowed per game. Four of his seven goals allowed came in one game so he has proven he can be an elite goaltender. Expect Hutton to be a big target in NHL DFS for the next few Buffalo Sabres games. 10/18 Betting Winner – Phil Naessens Phil had a great night betting on the NHL as all three of these bets ended up cashing out. His daily article, Cash with the Flash, highlighted these as his top picks for the NHL slate. Phil covers all sports in his bets and is available to all Premium members of the Win Daily family. As a member, you get a myriad of benefits including 24/7 access to our DFS experts on our Slack channel. If you are tired of losing money, give us a try! 10/18 DFS Winner: Tyreek HillEven though there was no players with an incredible statistical game on Thursday Night Football, Tyreek Hill had a solid day. He had three catches for 74 yards and a touchdown, thrown by the backup quarterback, Matt Moore. Outlook for the rest of the season: Even though Hill has not had that huge game we know he is capable of, he is putting decent numbers up. His production depends on the health of Pat Mahomes, which was injured in the second quarter last night. With the questionable secondary of the Green Bay Packers and an extended week of preparation, expect Hill to have a huge day or two in the upcoming weeks. 10/18 DFS Winner: Kansas City DefenseThe Kansas City Chiefs had a solid game against the Denver Broncos last night in a divisional matchup. Their defense stepped up, as they allowed just six total points with a touchdown on the opening drive. They allowed 205 yards of total offense and held the Broncos to 1-of-13 on third downs. Kansas City also had nine sacks and two defensive touchdowns. Outlook for the rest of the season: Kansas City is not an elite defense by any stretch of the imagination, ranking 25th in total defense. However, they allow only 21.4 points per game. They host the Green Bay Packers next Sunday and expect the Chiefs to hold the running game down and make them one dimensional. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy Sports DFS: Week Six Injury Watch Edwin Porras 5 years ago written by Edwin Porras Fortunately, Week Five didn’t bring any severe injuries for skill players across the NFL. However, we are continuing to monitor a couple of the same players with a few new additions and updates. I’ll dive into the DFS Week Six Injury Watch so you can gain an edge against the competition and cash in big this week.Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more! Patrick MahomesMahomes had his ankle rolled up on by one of his linemen on Sunday and was clearly in pain for the rest of the game. He’s been battling that same ankle sprain most of the season now and we have to start wondering if the injury is contributing to the Chiefs’ below average performances. He’ll no doubt be active this week, but check back with me to ensure his practice participation does not begin to move in the wrong direction.Davante AdamsAs I’ve mentioned before, the average missed time for a grade II turf toe injury is approximately four weeks. Given the information the Packers have offered, tissue healing times, and the statistical data available, all signs point to a healthy and active Adams in Week Six. Check back with me later in the week to verify this.David JohnsonOn Sunday Kliff Kinsbury said D.J. played through a “bad back” (whatever that means). Check back with me later this week as I’ll try to gather some more context on this mysterious back ailment.Tyreek HillHill’s first true opportunity at suiting up will come on the heels of the Chiefs’ first loss. He’ll have to take contact, report minimal pain, and obviously have no setbacks before this is a possibility. Check back with me later this week to see a breakdown of his practice participation.Hunter HenryThe Chargers never placed Henry on the IR following his tibial plateau fracture. Sunday marks Four weeks since the injury and speculative reports about a Week Six return are already surfacing as Henry has not been officially ruled out. I am skeptical Henry will be active.Brandin CooksCooks suffered another concussion in Week Five against the Seahawks. The good news is that he’ll have 10 days to clear the protocol. The bad news is that Cooks has a history of concussions, so that extra time might end up being a wash. Check back with me on Cooks’ status for Week Six.Updates and Additions:Christian McCaffreyCMC took quite the tumble on his way to the endzone on Sunday and was ruled out in the fourth quarter after landing in a similar manner. He sat out of practice on Wednesday and now faces a cross-continental flight. This makes me moderately nervous for his participation and performance in London. The worst case scenario here is that he fractured a lumbar vertebrate in his back (unlikely). The best case scenario is that he bruised his tailbone. I want to emphasize that this is speculation based on the video, so check back with me later in the week.That will do it for the Week Six Injury Watch. Follow me on Twitter here and check this article for mid week injury updates.THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. Image via Keith Allison 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy Sports DFS: Week 5 Injury Watch 5 years ago written by No news is usually good news in the physical therapy setting. The same can be said about specific NFL player injuries. Today I’ll take you through the the Week 5 Injury Watch and discuss a few players who may make a return to action this week.Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more! Todd GurleyI want to start here not because Gurley has an injury designation per se, but I want to highlight that his reduced touches and overall volume dip are not coincidences. In the preseason, I discussed that his knee condition inherently calls for workload management and the headaches this might bring. Well, here are in Week 5 and Gurley is a volatile option for the Thursday single game slate. Damien WilliamsAlthough it’s not a sure thing, his return is on the Week 5 Injury Watch radar as he continues to recover from a contusion. The key here will be his pain level, swelling, and ability to practice. I’ll give you more information as it surfaces.Update: Williams practiced on Wednesday in a limited fashion. Check back with me as I have a feeling he suits up this week.Tyreek Hill and A.J. GreenI’ve been getting several questions about these two. Don’t expect them back for at least the next two weeks. End of story.Update: Tyreek Hill initiated practice today. However, he’s not out of the woods yet as his injury was from contact, so he’ll have to wait and see how he progresses. This is good news, but he still is a week or two away from playing.Davante AdamsAdam Schefter reported on Monday that his source does not expect Adams to play in Week 5. Not that I distrust the ever reliable Schefty, but I do have a hard time connecting the dots, clinically speaking. Adams’ structural damage is considered “minor” based on MRI findings leading me to assume it’s a grade I strain, which typically results in fewer than two missed weeks. Even if it’s a grade II injury, the average missed time is two weeks. Furthermore, Sunday will be 10 days since his injury giving him at least a chance to play. This is why definitively ruling him out almost an entire week prior to action is a head scratcher. Ultimately, as I’ve been saying all year, images are only half the story and his pain reports are the other half. If Adams is telling the medical staff he’s in significant pain, then I can see the conclusion would be drawn that he won’t be ready by Sunday. This is an injury you’ll definitely want to check back in with as the week unfolds.Update: Adams did not practice on Wednesday, and his quarterback Aaron Rodgers told reporters “if [he doesn’t play] not this week then next week”. I’m starting to believe that this is a grade II injury for Adams and that he won’t suit up this week, but make sure and check back with me.DeSean JacksonAs I mentioned earlier, no news is good news, Jackson’s groin injury seems to be progressing well. What concerns me is how the Eagles will choose to manage Jackson this week. He’s 32 and if he’s rushed back from this type of injury, re-aggravation is not out of the realm of possibilities. Nevertheless, Jackson has an opportunity to play in Week 5, so check back here to get my analysis as kickoff approaches. Update: The Eagles held Jackson out of practice again on Wednesday so he could get another session of rehab in. It seems like they’re playing the long game here and as a soon-to-be medical professional, I’m thrilled. As a DFS player? Slightly disappointed for his outlook on Sunday. Make sure to check for updates with me as the week progresses.T.Y. HiltonThe media is missing the boat on the significance of Hilton’s injury from Week 3. The medical team pulled him mid-game so he would not continue to tear his quad and he did not play in Week 4. Despite the fact that he was a game time decision, it was never close in my mind. Check back with me for updates, but I expect Hilton to once again be a game-time decision in a matchup against the Chiefs that has DFS players salivating. Marlon MackMack’s availability for the Sunday night game is still questionable to me. The Colts claim he was cleared medically in Week 4, but did not play for virtually the entire fourth quarter. Additionally, I re-watched the play on which he was injured and nothing stood out to me. Check back for updates on Mack.Update: Mack was held out of practice Wednesday, so his status is up in the air. This is a touch and go situation without a clear diagnosis.Mid Week AdditionsDevin Singletary: Be on the lookout for Singletary to play on Sunday as he was close to it last week. Week Five will mark three games since his hamstring strain, so on average he’s almost out of the woods. There is still a small chance he sits out, so check back with me for an update.Michael Gallup: I tweeted that the average return to sport time for the type of procedure Gallup had is 2-4 weeks. Sunday will mark the third week since the injury, so he has a chance to play. D.K. Metcalf just came back from this injury in 18 days to play in Week One.Thank you for reading the Week 5 Injury Watch. This is a constantly updating article leading up to Saturday’s Injury Breakdown, so bookmark or favorite my author page, that way you don’t miss out on any new items THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.Image courtesy of Keith Allison. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
