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Silicon Valley-backed start-up Novig has launched its innovative sports prediction market in 42 states and Washington DC, utilizing a sweepstakes model that offers users a commission-free platform for sports betting. The launch introduces a new way to play, allowing users to engage with Novig Coins for fun or testing strategies, and Novig Cash for real cash prizes.

A New Approach to Sports Betting

Novig, available to users 21 and older, is revolutionizing the sports betting industry by offering an alternative to traditional sportsbooks. The platform is not available in Alabama, Colorado, Idaho, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, and Tennessee.

Jacob Fortinsky, Novig’s CEO and co-founder, emphasized the app’s appeal:
“Players are fed up with apps where the house always wins, and the odds are stacked against them. On Novig, 43% of users are profitable, compared to an industry average of just 3%. We’re excited to offer a commission-free sports prediction market nationwide.”

A Strong Backing and Colorado Setback

Last year, Novig secured $6.4 million in seed funding from a range of prominent investors, including Lux Capital, Y Combinator, and Joe Montana. In January 2023, the company launched its commission-free sports betting app in Colorado, where it initially received a license from the Colorado Division of Gaming.

However, despite its initial success in Colorado, state regulators did not approve Novig’s betting exchange system, forcing the company to operate as a traditional sportsbook. Three months after its debut, Novig shut down the app to work on significant updates. As of now, the platform remains unavailable in Colorado.

What Novig Offers

The Novig platform currently offers a wide range of betting options, including moneyline, spread, totals, and player props across NFL, NBA, WNBA, NCAAF, NCAAB, and MLB. The company has ambitious plans to expand its offerings in the coming months, including introducing parlays, same-game parlays (SGPs), futures, and more sports. Additionally, it will launch a web-based trading interface to enhance the user experience.

Regulatory Scrutiny of Sweepstakes Model

While Novig expands its reach, the company’s sweepstakes model has attracted the attention of regulators. Last month, the American Gaming Association (AGA) issued a memo urging state regulators and attorney generals to investigate sweepstakes-based gaming platforms, citing concerns about the lack of regulatory oversight and the potential risks posed to consumers.

The AGA highlighted that the sweepstakes model could undermine the economic integrity of the legal gaming market, especially given the rapid growth of sports betting across the country.

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A full day of hearings has left the Missouri sports betting initiative lawsuit unresolved, with Judge Daniel Green neither dismissing the case nor delivering a final ruling. The case centers around whether the sports betting ballot question will be featured in the upcoming general election, as the Sept. 10 deadline to finalize ballots quickly approaches.

Key Points of the Lawsuit

The lawsuit, filed by Jacqueline Wood and Blake Lawrence on Aug. 21, contends that Secretary of State John “Jay” Ashcroft miscalculated the number of necessary valid signatures in some of Missouri’s Congressional districts. The plaintiffs argue that the initiative lacked enough valid signatures in the first and fifth Congressional districts, while Ashcroft’s office maintains that the measure exceeded the required threshold.

According to the Secretary of State’s Office, the Winning for Missouri Education campaign needed 25,632 valid signatures in the first Congressional district but submitted 55,864 signatures, with 25,714 deemed valid—just 82 signatures over the required threshold. However, the plaintiffs argue that the number of necessary signatures should be over 30,120 due to an updated electoral map from the 2020 gubernatorial election.

Courtroom Debate Over Signature Validity

During the hearing, both sides presented witnesses, including a member of the Winning for Missouri Education campaign and a handwriting expert, to challenge or defend the validity of the submitted signatures. An electoral expert testifying for the plaintiffs claimed he found issues with 2,500 to 3,000 signatures in the first district. The defense countered with a handwriting expert, stating that it is difficult to determine signature validity without 10 to 20 examples of confirmed valid signatures.

While Judge Green did not agree to the defense’s motion to dismiss the case due to a lack of evidence, he allowed the hearing to continue without making a decision by the end of the day.

What’s at Stake?

If the lawsuit is dismissed or no ruling is made by Sept. 10, the sports betting ballot question will automatically appear on the Nov. 5 general election ballot. However, if Judge Green rules in favor of the plaintiffs, the measure could be removed from the ballot or the election results could be invalidated if the case is resolved after voters cast their ballots.

Missouri voters are showing increasing support for legalized sports betting, with a recent Saint Louis University/YouGov poll of 900 likely voters revealing 50% in favor of a constitutional amendment to legalize sports betting, while 30% oppose it, and 21% remain undecided. Support is strongest among Democrats and voters in the St. Louis and Kansas City metro areas.

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A new study from the University of Bristol suggests that major online sports betting companies—BetMGM, DraftKings, ESPN Bet, and FanDuel—are breaching industry guidelines with their social media marketing. According to the study, conducted over one week this summer, 75% of these companies’ non-sponsored posts on platforms like Facebook, Instagram, X, and TikTok failed to include problem gambling support messages or a helpline number, as required by the American Gaming Association (AGA).

The Study’s Findings

The research, which analyzed 1,353 social media posts published between July 29 and August 4, 2023, found that 1,012 posts may have violated the AGA’s responsible marketing code. These posts reached an estimated 29 million views. In contrast, all of the 310 sponsored ads observed during the same period adhered to the AGA’s standards.

Despite these findings, the AGA pushed back, calling the study an “irresponsible misinterpretation.” Joe Maloney, AGA’s Senior Vice President, argued that not all social media posts should be classified as ads. He pointed out that the AGA’s code only applies to posts that directly link to real-money sports betting services.

Rapid Growth of Social Media Marketing

The four companies targeted by the study—BetMGM, DraftKings, ESPN Bet, and FanDuel—have leaned heavily on social media to promote sports betting in the 38 states where it is now legal. With more than 237 social media posts and ads published daily, the companies are tapping into a vast audience. However, experts warn that this constant exposure normalizes gambling and increases risk among young and vulnerable users.

Raffaello Rossi, a lecturer at the University of Bristol and co-author of the study, stated:
“It feels like they are doing anything just to get people signing on… This relentless exposure can make gambling seem like a normal activity, increasing participation and risk among young and vulnerable groups.”

AGA’s Response to the Allegations

While the AGA acknowledged that all paid-for ads complied with its code, it disagreed with the study’s interpretation of social media posts as advertisements. Maloney stated:
“Like companies across other industries, sports betting operators provide relevant, engaging content to customers designed to maintain brand awareness without promoting a specific offering covered by the code, like sports betting.”

The AGA’s marketing code, first published in 2019 and updated in March 2023, requires that any operator-controlled messages on digital platforms comply with the organization’s responsible gambling guidelines, including the inclusion of a conspicuous responsible gaming message and a helpline number. Yet, the study identified that a significant number of posts from BetMGM, DraftKings, ESPN Bet, and FanDuel failed to meet these standards.

Call for Stricter Regulation

The study’s authors are calling for stronger oversight and federal legislation to ensure consistent regulation of gambling advertising across the U.S. They argue that the current state-based regulations are insufficient, allowing gambling companies to avoid full compliance.

Rossi emphasized the need for more stringent rules:
Social media posts are clearly seen as advertising now… The aim is to promote the product or promote the brand. The industry has been growing so fast, and regulation hasn’t kept up.”

While the AGA maintains that its members follow robust state-based rules and federal standards, Rossi and his team believe that federal legislation would create a uniform framework for gambling ads.

A Growing Concern

As sports betting continues to expand in the U.S., companies like FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM are coming under increased scrutiny for their marketing practices, particularly on social media. The lack of consistent problem gambling messaging in many of their posts raises questions about the industry’s commitment to responsible gaming. As the market evolves, the push for stronger regulations and federal oversight may continue to gain momentum.

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As the NFL season kicks off Thursday night with a much-anticipated rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Kansas City Chiefs, the spotlight is not only on Patrick Mahomes and his quest for a fourth Super Bowl victory but also on the millions of Americans engaging in sports betting. The start of the NFL season coincides with the busiest time of year for the sports betting industry, a game-within-the-game that has seen explosive growth since the 2018 US Supreme Court decision that legalized sports betting across the country.

A Record-Breaking Year for Sports Betting

Since that landmark decision, over $300 billion has been wagered on sports, with $120 billion in 2023 alone—a figure that 2024 is set to surpass. The NFL season is widely considered the marquee event for sports betting in the United States, with more than 70 million Americans expected to participate this year. As of now, 38 states and the District of Columbia have legalized sports betting, with most wagers placed via smartphone apps operated by industry giants like DraftKings and FanDuel.

Despite the rapid expansion of legal sports gambling (LSG), questions about its financial and social impacts are surfacing, particularly with the release of new studies examining the consequences of widespread, app-based betting. These studies challenge the idea that legalized sports betting is a safer, more regulated alternative to illegal gambling.

Financial Impact of Legalized Sports Betting

New research is shedding light on the financial consequences of LSG, especially in the context of mobile and online betting. One key study, The Financial Consequences of Legalized Sports Gambling by Brett Hollenbeck, Poet Larsen, and Davide Proserpio, analyzed the financial health of seven million individuals in states with legal mobile sports betting. Their findings revealed that:

  • Credit scores worsened by up to 1% on average.
  • The odds of bankruptcy increased by 25% to 30% after four years.
  • Collections of unpaid debts rose by 8%.

These figures indicate a significant link between online access to sports betting and a rise in financial distress. The study also noted that lenders proactively reduced credit card limits to minimize their exposure to the financial risks posed by LSG.

Another study, Gambling Away Stability, observed that for every $1 bet on sports, net investment into traditional brokerage accounts decreased by more than $2, with financially constrained households depositing a larger portion of their income into betting. These studies highlight the disproportionate burden that LSG places on low-income and young male bettors, making it even harder for these groups to build wealth and maintain financial stability.

The Hidden Costs of Easy Access

While LSG was initially pitched as a way to combat illegal gambling and generate state revenue, the social costs are becoming increasingly evident. The studies underscore how online sports betting, in particular, makes it easier for individuals to gamble without accountability. The absence of interpersonal scrutiny and the ease with which bettors can top up accounts via smartphones make it harder for gamblers to track their losses until it’s too late.

Digital platforms also intensify these effects. One interviewee shared how they found it difficult to sit through family events without sneaking off to place bets, even resorting to placing wagers while in the shower. The barrage of advertisements, promos, and free plays from betting companies keeps customers engaged, while mobile betting apps offer frictionless access, amplifying the financial strain on bettors.

A Need for Responsible Regulation

With 38 states already embracing LSG, more are likely to follow, despite the rising evidence of its negative consequences. The financial benefits to states may not be as significant as initially thought. For instance, while New York expects to generate $2 billion from gambling revenues for education over two years, this pales in comparison to the state’s $30 billion annual spending on public schools.

States like New Jersey, Connecticut, and Massachusetts are already investing more in problem gambling services, with New York lagging behind at just $0.50 per resident. As more data becomes available, it’s clear that while LSG may provide a revenue boost, the social and financial costs—especially for vulnerable groups—are still coming into focus.

As NFL fans place their bets this season, it’s important to recognize the hidden costs of legal sports betting. The ease of access through mobile apps makes it particularly dangerous for young men and financially constrained households, while the broader societal impacts continue to unfold. Though sports betting has created new opportunities for revenue, the financial well-being of millions of Americans may be at risk without stronger regulation and consumer protections.

For those struggling with problem gambling, help is available. In the US, contact the National Council on Problem Gambling at 800-GAMBLER or text 800GAM. In the UK, support is available via the NHS National Problem Gambling Clinic on 020 7381 7722 or GamCare on 0808 8020 133. In Australia, Gambling Help Online is available on 1800 858 858.

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