Daily Fantasy SportsNFLPremium Week 6 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Bucs at Eagles Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 6 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.Let’s get to the game!Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candida... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy SportsPremium Week 5 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Colts at Ravens Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 5 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 5 NFL DFS MVP candida... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bills at Chiefs 10.10 David Stowe 3 years ago written by David Stowe Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green screens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bills at Chiefs 10.10If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best-case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going.Vegas Script: Total: 56.5 Chiefs -3This game needs no explanation. The two highest-scoring offenses in the league square off against one another in a 56.5 total game. The story as of late has been the defense of the Bills if you ask the pundits, but we all know the truth. They played the Steelers, Dolphins, Washington, and Houston. It is easy to look dominant against backup QBs and the worst O-Line in the NFL. That flat-out just will not happen tonight. But enough of that let us take a look at the most obvious captain’s picks of the year and see where we can find some value because this is honestly one of the hardest showdowns you could play in due to the number of elite options out there on both sides.Captains:Chalk: Josh Allen $18,600:It’s 1A versus 1B between Mahomes and Allen tonight and I think the ownership will play that out. The only reason that I am going with Allen as the main chalk is the higher rushing upside and touchdown equity. After back-to-back 40 point outings for the Bills it is hard to say what they and Allen will be able to do with a team that can actually keep up with them.Pivot: Patrick Mahomes $18,000:It is Patrick Mahomes, what else do you need to know? I know the the big networks were slobbering over the recent play of the Bills defense but they have playing 3 of 4 games against backups and the Steelers have the worst protection schemes in the NFL on the o-line outside of the Jags and Bears (with Nagy calling plays)Contrarian #1: Travis Kelce, $13,800:Kelce let a ton of people down last week so the difference between him and Hill is next to nothing, but we can take that recency bias and hopefully get ourselves the slightest of benefit with ownership. After Hill went off for 50 DK last week I will lean on Kelce attacking the Bill’s safety’s tonight and being my preferred contrarian play at captain in this contest.Contrarian #2: Tyreek Hill12 catches for 186 yards and 3 TDs. That is what the cheetah did to the Eagles last week. Can he do it again, absolutely? But as I mentioned above I am trying to split the finest of hairs and I think we can get Kelce at a few percent discount at captain over Hill. Like everyone else in this article for captain choices, his body of work speaks for itself.Contrarian#3: Stefon Diggs :The Odd man out if you want to get different is Diggs. He has only had one game of over 20 DK points and everyone is shooting for the moon tonight so I think he comes in as by far the lowest “stud” captain. Allen has been finding multiple receivers with guys like Davis, Sanders, and Beasley on the field as well as Dawson Knox, Zack Moss, and Devin Singletary playing nicely in the early going. But in big games, the big-name players are the ones who are supposed to take over and this is a perfect spot to get different and leverage against the four players I listed about.WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bills at Chiefs 10.10 Flex Plays:Emmanuel SandersZack MossDawson KnoxCole BeasleyClyde Edwards-HelaireMecole HardmanDemarcus RobinsonGabriel DavisByron Pringle Harrison ButkerTyler BassJosh GordonJody FortsonKickers and defenses:I am fully fading both of these defenses tonight but with so many high-priced guys if you absolutely have to throw in a kicker to upgrade elsewhere it is an easy way to get a solid floor. Just understand that if you choose to go that route you are going to be limited in your upside with a kicker in this kind of game so make sure that the trade-off is worth it.It is finally time folks and I wish you all great success in 2021 and beyond and that WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bills at Chiefs 10.10. helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNFLPremium Week 5 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Rams at Seahawks Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 5 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.Let’s get to the game!Week 5 NFL DFS MVP candida... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy SportsPremium Week 4 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Raiders at Chargers Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 4 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 4 NFL DFS MVP candida... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Buccaneers at Patriots 10.3 David Stowe 3 years ago written by David Stowe Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green screens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Buccaneers at Patriots 10.3If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best-case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going.Vegas Script: Total: 49.5 Bucs -6.5This game needs no explanation. Tom Brady returns to New England and we all know that he wants to show the world that it was him, not Belichick, who was the real reason New England was the dominant force in the NFL for almost two decades. My feelings on this contest do not quite match up with Vegas because I just do not think Mac is quite ready to take a game as big as this one and put it all on him. I think nerves will be a factor and the Bucs should get up early. If you are placing any bets tonight consider taking the Bucs -6.5.Captains:Chalk: Tom Brady, $19,200:I do not think there is a price high enough to keep Brady from being the big chalk tonight and for good reason. Even in his mid 40’s, he remains one of the best QB’s in the league and he wants to pour it on Bill and the Patriots for even entertaining the possibility of replacing him with Jimmy G years back. It does not matter what the score is tonight, he is not taking his foot off of the gas, and this is a guy who throws is 50 times a night against teams he does not take issue with. He may throw until his arm falls off.Pivot: Antonio Brown, $10,500:Finishing with the silver medal in the petty Olympics we have Antonio Brown. Brady is the one who brought Brown into New England and I can promise you that he has not forgotten that. If I am going to pivot from the goat I am going to do so with the guy I see getting the lion’s share of the passing targets this week with Gronk out with broken ribs. I think people are sleeping on Brown a bit because of the missed time and a Falcons game where he only saw three targets. Do not sleep on him tonight, the narrative is almost as important as the ability tonight and both are high.Contrarian #1: Jakobi Meyers, $12,600:If you want to play the garbage time narrative I like the idea of running Jakobi in the captain spot. Last week with the Patriots down, Meyers saw 14 targets for 94 yards and if the Bucs have one weakness it is with the young secondary pieces. I think Mac will struggle from a real football standpoint but I see him getting a lengthy garbage time period where he and Jakobi can pad some stats.Contrarian #2: Chris Godwin, $16,800:He may have ended up higher on my captain’s list if he were a little cheaper. I love the idea of going after the Pats defense from the slot and Godwin is already at 25 targets in just three games this season. If you choose to not mess with AB this week Godwin would be my other main WR play for the Bucs on the evening. Godwin is the best route runner on this team and Brady will know exactly where to go to find the soft spots in the defense.Contrarian#3: Mac Jones, $14,100 :As I mentioned above I think Mac has a bit of a tough time early on. While it may look ugly on the field if he has troubles in the early going that means that Damien Harris will not be an option (not that I think he does great against the Bucs front) and he will be in catch up mode early. Garbage time against the Bucs should result in a pretty productive day from a fantasy standpoint and Mac should have his first multi TD game in the process.WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Buccaneers at Patriots 10.3 Flex Plays:Mike EvansDamien HarrisHunter HenryKendrick BourneJonnu SmithCameron BrateLeonard FournetteRonald JonesJJ TaylorOJ HowardTyler JohnsonBucs DefenseKickers and defenses:I’m not really messing with kickers as per usual but I really don’t expect Bill or Brady to hold back much tonight. I could see a justification for the Bucs defense as they can be a nightmare forcing turnovers and pressuring the QB and Mac being a rookie QB in the biggest game of his career I think they will be even more aggressive than usual.It is finally time folks and I wish you all great success in 2021 and beyond and that WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Buccaneers at Patriots 10.3 helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy SportsPremium Week 4 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Jaguars at Bengals Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 4 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.Let’s get to the game!Week 4 NFL DFS MVP candida... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNFL Week 3 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Eagles at Cowboys Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 3 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first TNF showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 3 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Week 3 NFL DFS Chalk: Dak Prescott (FD $16,000, DK $16,800)Pivot: Jalen Hurts (FD $16,500, DK $16,500)Contrarian #1: Ezekiel Elliott (FD $12,000, DK $12,600)Contrarian #2: DeVonta Smith(FD $10,500, DK $10,800)Contrarian #3: CeeDee Lamb (FD $12,500, DK $14,700)FanDuel and DraftKings actually have Dak Prescott and Jalen Hurts flip-flopped for the top-priced player, so that could some into play in determining who’s chalkier on either site. Hurts has the better matchup overall, but the Cowboys are favored by 3 points. We can probably pencil in Hurts at captain since he should have plenty of time to throw and use his legs, and I think Prescott is too expensive given both Amari Cooper‘s ribs issue (he’ll play with a flak jacket on and is a risk to reaggravate the injury) and the emergence of both Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard after Prescott’s huge Week 1. Playing Eagles WR DeVonta Smith at Captain could allow us to Hurts and a couple big-time Dallas players.Eagles notes: Hurts is the main target for me because of what he can do with his legs as well. I’m interested in getting exposure to one or both of the Eagles TEs, though the production from Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz is just difficult to predict. The tight ends will have to be more involved than last Sunday, when Goedert didn’t have his first catch until the second half and finished the just two receptions (on two targets) for 24 yards. Ertz is off the COVID list now, and had just one reception (one target) for 6 yards in Week 2, but could see 3-5 targets this week. I don’t think Miles Sanders is a huge priority this week, though I might grab some Kenneth Gainwell exposure as a cheap play in a negative game script. Smith is the best option at WR, but I’ll have shares of Jalen Reagor given his upside.Cowboys notes: We may be able to get away without Prescott, but there are avenues where we get both him and Hurts in some lineups. Ezekiel Elliott might be the top play from a contrarian perspective this week. I have little interest in Cooper, and will get most of my WR exposure with CeeDee Lamb and Cedrick Wilson. Pollard could be used as a WR as well, and I think both he and Zeke are in play this week for the Cowboys against the Eagles run defense. I’ll also have shares of Blake Jarwin and kicker Greg Zuerlein.Week 3 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)Remember to build your team based on a Week 1 NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense togetherDON’T: Go too heavy on the DSTs, which don’t offer much upside in a game that should exceed the 51-point game total.DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.DON’T: Live in the sub-$1K range this week. There’s just no production there.Now that we’ve established some Week 1 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):Dak PrescottJalen HurtsEzekiel ElliottDeVonta SmithCeeDee LambDallas GoedertJalen ReagorMiles SandersAmari Cooper (ribs)Kenneth GainwellTony Pollard Cedrick WilsonDalton SchultzBlake JarwinQuez WatkinsGreg ZuerleinZach ErtzJake ElliottEagles DSTCowboys DSTDon’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week1 action! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNFLPremium Week 3 DFS Sunday Night NFL Showdown: Packers at 49ers Jason Mezrahi 3 years ago written by Jason Mezrahi The NFL DFS season continues with the Sunday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 3 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: Please take a look at our optimizer if you are mass entering lineups!Sunday Night NFL Showdown CAPTAIN / MVP candidates Some notes on the diff... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports Week 3 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Panthers at Texans Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 3 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.Let’s get to the game!Week 3 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Week 3 NFL DFS Chalk: Christian McCaffrey (FD $17,500, DK $20,100)Pivot: Sam Darnold (FD $15,000, DK $16,800)Contrarian #1: D.J. Moore (FD $14,000, DK $15,900)Contrarian #2: Brandin Cooks (FD $13,000, DK $15,000)Contrarian #3: Panthers DST (DK $9,300)Given how he’s used and the yardage props (136.5 rushing + receiving yards) that are posted for tonight, Christian McCaffrey has to be the chalk play, but Sam Darnold should probably be the closest pivot since he has his full complement of receiving weapons’ and the Panthers are 8-point favorites. It’s not going to be easy to get both Darnold and McCaffrey in lineups this week because of their inflated salaries, but it’s possible.Panthers notes: The Panthers offense is mainly Darnold, McCaffrey and D.J. Moore, but Robby Anderson offers some upside at a discount. Stacking up the main options from these teams is near impossibility with any one of the Panthers corps at captain. With pricing so tight, we’re forced to look at kicker Zane Gonzalez, TE Dan Arnold and rookie WR Terrace Marshall, Jr. as the best fringe options. TE Ian Thomas is a punt play I might grab some shares of, and we could see more touches for rookie Chuba Hubbard if the game gets out of hand early. Brandon Zylstra scored a big TD last week and could be relevant tonight, but I’m more interested in the Panthers DST for the extra $1,600. They could be worth using at captain as well if that gets us both McCaffrey, Darnold and the main offensive weapon for the Texans.Texans notes: Davis Mills is not even close to being ready for prime time, so I have little interest in jamming him into builds this week. The Texans projected team total is just 17.25 points, so the main focus of our lineups should be Brandin Cooks, bargain option Chris Conley (who saw his snap share rise up to 90 in Week 2 with the injuries to Danny Amendola and Nico Collins — both out tonight). I’m also comfortable facing Mark Ingram, since we’ll likely see more of both Phillip Lindsay and David Johnson on the short week and assuming a game script that forces Mills to pepper his RBs with dump-offs. Sure, the Texans could just feed Ingram and the other backs all day and find enough success to keep it close, but I just don’t see this happening too far into the second half. Other worthwhile options include TE Jordan Akins and former Bears WR Anthony Miller, who could be in the mix if he suits up tonight. The only sub-$1K guys I see who could contributing are Andre Roberts (who may not see as many snaps if Miller is active) and Rex Burkhead, but he’s probably only an option if one or more of the main Houston RBs sits this one out.Week 3 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense togetherDON’T: Worry about spending every dollar. I’ve built one lineup so far that leaves $1K on the table, and I’m fine leaving up to about $2K out there if the narrative makes sense. It could get weird tonight, even with the tight pricing.DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.DON’T: Tread too much in the sub-$1K range this week. Houston WRs Miller and Conley are about as cheap as I’ll go, even if both are viable in this particular showdown.Now that we’ve established some Week 3 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):Christian McCaffreySam DarnoldD.J. MooreBrandin CooksRobby AndersonDavis MillsMark IngramPanthers DSTPhillip LindsayDan ArnoldDavid JohnsonTerrace Marshall, Jr.Chris ConleyJordan AkinsBrandon ZylstraZane GonzalezJoey SlyeAnthony MillerIan ThomasChuba HubbardTexans DSTAndre RobertsRex BurkheadDon’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week1 action! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
