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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 13 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 13 NFL DFS MVP candi...

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Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green screens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 13 Broncos at Chiefs 12.5.

If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best-case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going. If you go all in on a showdown and tilt because it didn’t work out, it is on you.

Vegas Script: Total: 46.5 Chiefs -8.5

Vegas is making it pretty clear, the Broncos are supposed to struggle offesively to keep up and the Chiefs should be ahead quite early. While I am usually inclined to agree, I would not be surprised to see the Chiefs come out and have one of their random struggle Sundays. All else being equal though, I do believe that the Chiefs get out big in the begining and the Broncos play a much too concervative game plan when trying to catch up and never really get themselves within distance of catching up.

Captains:

Chalk: Tyreek Hill, $16,200 (16-17%)

Based on our oprimizer the chalk captain on the even is non other than the Cheetah, and after 4 straight weeks with no less than 10 targets, including 18 targets in one of those I do not blame you. The numbers have been “meh” for the amount of voume so he is (a) underpriced for his upside and (b) due for a massive game. When it comes to the Chiefs we all know what they bring to the table so play your favorite.

Pivot: Javonte Williams, $11,400 (11-12%)

Finally, after 12 weeks we get to see what Javonte can do with the full work load. We also get the added benefit of a Chiefs defense that is historically mediocre against the run. I want to heap all kinds of platitudes and tell you guys and gals to go all in here. But we need to be aware the Chiefs could run away from this one early and Javonte will not get the workload we hope. But if this game does stay close there is an outside chance that Williams is the top raw points scorer on the slate. Do not play him in all of you lineups at captain but you need to have him inseveral of your builds as a captian. I can’t wait to see what this guy can do.

Contrarian #1: Patrick Mahomes: $18,600 (15-16%)

As I mentioned above, we all know what KC brings to the table. Mahomes has been very inconsistent this season but we all know his upside and the Broncos defense does not concern me in the slightest tonight. Would anyone be shocked if he threw for 350 and 3 td’s? No, ok me either.

Contrarian #2: Travis Kelce, $15,000 (11-12%)

The big three of the Chiefs are largely interchangeable in showdown contests but I had to put Kelce as the bottom of the three simply because Denver has covered tight ends very well all season As a matter of fact they are the 4th best in terms of DVOA against guarding tight ends. Kelce is no normal tight end though, and he can easily end the night with 11 targets, 8 catches for 119 and 2 TD’s but paying for all three studs on the Chiefs is gonna be a tough task so for that reason Kelce is at the bottom of the list for KC tonight.

Contrarian #3: Jerry Jeudy, $10,800 (5-6%)

Outside of Javonte I am grasping at straws with this offense. Teddy simply does not put up big games so it may be in your best interest to pick a different Denver wide receiver in each lineup, It just so happens that I am opting to lean on the talent of Jeudy and hope that Teddy decides to lean on him this week. You could just as easily go with Sutton or even Fant in this same scenario for the same reason. The Broncos will likely be playing from behing so you can leverage the low ownership of any of those pass catchers and and pray that they throw for the entire second half.

WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 13 Broncos at Chiefs 12.5. Flex plays:

  1. Patrick Mahomes
  2. Tyreek Hill
  3. Travis Kelce
  4. Teddy Bridgewater
  5. Clyde Edwards-Helaire
  6. Javonte Williams
  7. Jerry Jeudy
  8. Courtland Sutton
  9. Tim Patrick
  10. Noah Fant
  11. Mecole Hardman
  12. Chiefs
  13. Harrison Butker
  14. Mike Boone
  15. Broncos
  16. Darrel Williams
  17. Byron Pringle
  18. Albert Okwuegbunam
  19. Demarcus Robinson
  20. Eric Saubert
  21. Brandon McManus
  22. Blake Bell
  23. Kendall Hinton
  24. Josh Gordon
  25. Marcus Kemp
  26. Michael Burton
  27. Noah Gray

Kickers and defenses:

I’m not really interested in either of these defenses tonight. Teddy really is not prone to turning the ball over and the Broncos play uber conservative football. Even If the Chiefs get ahead big I do not really see them taking too many risks. Both kickers in Butker and McManus are low priced options for me to get close to double digit points if you are looking to load up on all of the obvious big name guys.

It is time folks and I hope WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 13 Broncos at Chiefs 12.5. helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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The Thursday night showdown kicks off the Week 13 NFL DFS contests, and we’ve got the picks to help you win big tonight and make some serious green!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy and how it relates to Week 13 NFL DFS showdowns, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article. Week ...

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 12 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candi...

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Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green screens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 12 Browns at Ravens 11.28.

If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best-case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going. If you go all in on a showdown and tilt because it didn’t work out, it is on you.

Vegas Script: Total: 47 Ravens: -3

This one just feels like a game where a single person will solo takedown the $11 MME contest. We have tons of questionable guys who are expected to play in what Vegas is implying is essentially a pickem game. Then to make it even more interesting, both of these teams’ offenses can and have crapped the bed in contests where the should score like tonight.

Captains:

Chalk: Lamar Jackson, $18,600 :

To the surprise of nobody Lamar is the lock down #1 chalk by a wide margin being projected at over 20% while nobody else is over 10%. I’m going to frame it like this. Will he be the likely top scoring option on the day? Absolutely. Will you take down a showdown contest by yourself with him as your captain? No. If over 20% of the field is on one player as captain you need to build some lineups where you pivot away from him if you to have an opportunity for a big night. Don’t full fade, but do go underweight in one specific scenario. The leverage is far to high for you to not do it.

Pivot: Nick Chubb, $16,800 : 9-10%

I know that Hunt is expected to return after missing the last month with a calf injury but my expectation is that Hunt will be extremely limited and he and D’Ernest Johnson will split the backup duties tonight. I maintain that Chubb is one of the top 3 running backs in the NFL and would have stat lines similar to a healthy Dalvin Cook if he did not have a rushing title winner as his backup. With Kyrie Irving OBJ now in LA the Browns have finally begun to do what they should have been doing since week one, feed their running backs. In the last 2 games Chubb is averaging 7.41 YPC and getting two catches a game and 3 total TD’s. The man is a beast and we can get him at less that half the ownership with similar upside to Lamar. He is the de facto #1 captain for me based on that.

Contrarian #1: Marquis Brown, $16,200: 7-8%

Depending on how people treat his thigh injury when building their lineups Hollywood may find himself closer to 5% than 8% when it is all said and done. It is clear that he is Lamar’s number one receiver and he has upside for days. For me he is one of those players that I am either going to play as the captain or not at all. He has had a few different games this season where he has dropped wide open touchdowns and multiple ones at that. He is either scoring 20 or more DK points or under 10. There is no in between. In the lineups where you do not put him as a captain I recommend flexing the guy below instead.

Contrarian #2: Mark Andrews, $12,300: 7-8%

It took a little time to get Andrews going but in his last 4 weeks he has gotten no less that 7 targets in the last 4 weeks and in the lineups as I said above where I want to play the Hollywood Brown has the drops narrative Mark Andrews makes the most sense. When the Ravens get down into the red zone I am expecting Jackson to target Andrews over Brown with Cleveland’s secondary and defense as a whole being back to 100%. Denzel Ward should be able to keep Hollywood covered up in those scenarios where he is unable to utilize his straight line speed.

Contrarian #3: Jarvis Landry, $11,700: 6-7%

Jarvis Landry was the better Browns wide receiver throughout the duration of time when him and Kyrie Irving OBJ shared the field, full stop. I know he isn’t the flashy name and he has a history of being known as “the possession receiver” but he can and has put up 19+ DK point games when Cleveland needs to pass the ball over the last few years including 3 of the last 5 games he played last season during the playoff push and week one against the Chiefs where he caught 5 of 5 and ran in a touchdown. And it is his birthday for those of you who love a birthday narrative.

WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 12 Browns at Ravens 11.28. Flex plays:

  1. Lamar Jackson
  2. Nick Chubb
  3. Mark Andrews
  4. Baker Mayfield
  5. Marquise Brown
  6. Jarvis Landry
  7. Justin Tucker
  8. Devonta Freeman
  9. Rashod Bateman
  10. Sammy Watkins
  11. Austin Hooper
  12. Kareem Hunt
  13. Devin Duvernay
  14. Ravens
  15. Browns
  16. Kareem Hunt
  17. David Njoku
  18. Chase McLaughlin
  19. Latavius Murray
  20. Rashard Higgins
  21. Donovan Peoples-Jones
  22. D’Ernest Johnson
  23. Ja’Marcus Bradley
  24. Demetric Felton
  25. Harrison Bryant

Kickers and defenses:

I can and will run out some lineups with both either defense tonight. In my summary paragraph I mentioned it but if you glossed over it both teams can and will have terrible offensive outings at random points in the season regardless of who they are facing including last week where the Ravens scored 10 points against the Dolphins and week 7 where they got the snot beat out of them by the Bengals. And the Browns have Baker Mayfield throwing the ball, not much else needs to be said. Justin Tucker is always in play as he puts up WR2 numbers each and every week (9.5 DK PPG average, better than Jarvis Landry)

It is time folks and I hope WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 12 Browns at Ravens 11.28 helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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The Thursday night showdown marks game three today, and we’ve got the picks to help you win in the Week 12 NFL DFS showdown contests on Thanksgiving night!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article. Week 12 NFL DFS is already underway, but tonig...

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 12 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candi...

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Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green screens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 11 Steelers at Chargers 11.21.

If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best-case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going. If you go all in on a showdown and tilt because it didn’t work out, it is on you.

Vegas Script: Total: 47.5, Chargers -6

Something is going to have to give in this Steelers/Chargers game. We have one of the worst defensive fronts in the league versus the worst offensive front. The chargers are dead last in missed tackles, ninth worst in total pressures, sixth worst in sacks, and the worst pair in interior run stoppers in the league. The Steelers are 3rd worst in Run blocking only averaging 3.57 YPC with Najee Harris as their main back (that honestly goes to show how good Najee will be given his production this year) and are only giving Big Ben 2.2 seconds to throw over the length of the season. BUT, even with no time to throw, Ben is on pace for 4,000 passing and 20 TD’s with only 8 picks, and this will be a game where he will likely need to throw at least 40 times in order to keep up. So, this is going to be a very interesting situation tonight. If the Steelers give Ben closer to 2.7 seconds (which is possible given the weakness of the Chargers D) this could very well turn into a shootout.

Captains:

Chalk: Austin Ekeler, $16,200: 16%

I was really expecting to see Herbert as the chalk play but to my surprise all signs point to Ekeler being the big chalk by a wide margin. While I get it to some degree, the Steelers are the 3rd best in DVOA against pass catching running backs and Ekeler has not been getting the volume in the run game to lead me towards playing Ekeler in this contest, especially if he is going to be the highest owned captain on the night.

Pivot: Najee Harris, $17,700: 10%

I know I mentioned just how badly the Steelers have been run blocking for Najee but the Chargers are horrid on the interior and Najee’s usage is massive. If he gets is usual 25-30 targets and touches tonight and LA gives up their usual 4.75 yards per carry Najee has a legitimate 30+ DK point ceiling this evening as around 10% caption ownership. If you are banking that the Steelers O-line can do anything against this Chargers defense Najee needs to be one of your top one or two options at captain. It is also worth noting that Draftkings is so nervous about his ceiling tonight that they pulled all of Najee’s props on this game.

Contrarian #1: Dionte Johnson, $13,200 : 9%

Maybe it is all of the “Big Ben has a noodle arm” people out there, maybe people think the Steelers are terrible, maybe people know how bad the line is and folks just assume it hurts the receivers. No matter what it is people don’t realize that Dionte is is on pace for around 1200 yards and 6 TD’s as the 8th most targeted receiver in the NFL while only playing 8 games. If you translate those numbers to a per game basis he is 6th in the league in targets per game (5th if you don’t count Ridley), 4th in YAC, and 8th in plays of over 30 yards. He also has not scored less than 14.3 DK point in any game this season outside of week 9 where he had 11.7. In a game where the Steelers will presumably need to throw a Juju-less Steelers team will likely lean on Dionte in a big way.

Contrarian #2: Justin Herbert, $16,800 : 7%

While the Steelers are solid against pass catching receivers they are actually a middle of the road defense against receivers ranking 15th in DVOA in the passing game which forces me to take a long look at a 7% captain Herbert. His props imply that he should end up with close to 300 yards through the air and at least 2 td’s and I am inclined think he exceeds both of those in a game that will likely be more of a shootout than people are expecting.

Contrarian #3: Mike Williams, $11,100: 8%

If you have been a member for any length of time this year you know that we have been targeting #1 receivers against the Steelers all season with good success. They have been pretty susceptible to big plays all season allowing 30 explosive plays of at least 20 yards in the passing game on the year. While everyone is going to lean towards Keenan (and I get it) I want to take advantage of the ownership discount and the big play ability of Williams and bank on him catching a couple of long bombs against the Steelers tonight.

WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 11 Steelers at Chargers 11.21 Flex Plays:

  1. Najee Harris
  2. Diontae Johnson
  3. Justin Herbert
  4. Mike Williams
  5. Austin Ekeler
  6. Keenan Allen
  7. Chase Claypool
  8. Ben Roethlisberger
  9. Pat Freiermuth
  10. James Washington
  11. Chargers
  12. Steelers
  13. Jared Cook
  14. Dustin Hopkins
  15. Chris Boswell
  16. Ray-Ray McCloud III
  17. Eric Ebron
  18. Donald Parham Jr.
  19. Jalen Guyton

Kickers and defenses:

If you are going to try and fit multiple studs into your lineup this evening you can make a case for playing either kicker in tonight’s game, but I would do so sparingly. With players who could potentially have a good performance like James Washington, Pat Freiermuth, and the husk of Eric Ebron expected to play you “should” be able to fit skill players into your lineups that will fit whatever script that you are trying to go with. There is an ever smaller chance that the defenses could have a successful night in DFS as we all know the offensive line struggles of the Steelers and the seemingly random games where Herbert just flat out forgets how to read defenses. With TJ Watt presumably putting pressure on Herbert for the entire game there is an outside chance that he will have one those games so I can not rule that out as a viable game script.

It is time folks and I hope WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 11 Steelers at Chargers 11.21: helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 11 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.Let’s get to the game!Week 11 NFL DFS MVP candi...

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 10 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candi...

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