Stix is back with another week of Fantasy Football Gems and uncovered trends. NFL Week 4 is shaping up to be a potential jackpot. Find out who to target with @StixPicks AETY Model for your lineups and get ready to WIN!
Stix is back with another week of Fantasy Football Gems and uncovered trends. NFL Week 3 is shaping up to be a potential jackpot. Find out who to target with @StixPicks AETY Model for your lineups and get ready to WIN!
The 1st and Stix Pod cashed many tickets last week and Week 2 is shaping up to be a potential jackpot. Find out who to target with @StixPicks AETY Model for your lineups and get ready to WIN!
Stix is back with another season full of Fantasy Football Gems and uncovered trends. The NFL Week 1 breakdown is LIVE!
Could Kenny Pickett save your NFL Fantasy Football Season? Week 13 is upon us and there’s alot of action on the wire. Julia Papworth is here to break down ownership percentages and strategies for adding players to your team!
Make sure to keep it locked in every Tuesday for her gems and follow her on socials (@juliapapworth) for all her great content!
Will Joshua Dobbs save your #nflfantasyfootball Season? Week 11 is upon us and there’s alot of action on the wire. Julia Papworth is here to break down ownership percentages and strategies for adding players to your team!
We have finally reached one of my favorite slates of the season. Five games, solid matchups and clear plays, doesn’t get much better than that! Let’s get into the 10/25 NHL DFS slate!
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10/25 NHL DFS Centers
Auston Matthews (FD $8,400 | DK $7,700) – With Tavares sidelined with a finger injury Matthews is set as the clear cut top center and will face off against the San Jose Sharks, who are on the second half of an away back to back, only two days removed from a flight with a three hour time difference, so jet lag has to set in.
Jack Hughes (FD $4,600 | DK $5,000) – This year’s first overall draft pick is finally getting his time to shine with an injury to top-line center Nico Hischier. Hughes is slotting in on the top pairing and the top power-play unit alongside superstar Taylor Hall. If Hischer returns to the top line Hughes loses a bit of value tonight.
Honorable Mention: Jack Eichel
10/25 NHL DFS Wingers
Victor Olofsson (FD $6,300 | DK $5,600) – The Swedish rookie has made quite an impression to start the season, absolutely lighting it up for the Sabres through 11 games. He has already posted six goals, all of which came on the man advantage, as well as three assists. Olofsson is also seeing top-line minutes and playing alongside top talent in Eichel and Reinhart. Given the small slate he’s a must have.
JT Miller (FD $5,800 | DK $6,100) – Miller is coming off a strong two-assist performance against the Red Wings’ last game and will get an opportunity to improve upon his record in his last five against a tired Washington side, which last night blew a 3-1 lead against the Edmonton Oilers. Miller has recorded five points in his last five games (3 goals, 2 assists)
HM: Tom Wilson, Nick Schmaltz
10/25 NHL DFS Defensemen
Jake Muzzin (FD $4,300 | DK $4,400) – Muzzin has been steadily averaging over 20 minutes of ice time a game and has posted four assists in his last four appearances. On top of that, he will play against the aforementioned tired San Jose side. As far as Leafs defensemen go Muzzin is a bargain.
John Carlson (FD $7,300 | DK $7,100) – Carlson has maintained his scoring touch but that comes with a price. Carlson has been in the upper echelon in terms of offensive defensemen and recorded another assist last night against the Oilers, extending his point streak to nine games, along with seeing 25 minutes of ice-time. He now has five goals and 13 assists through 12 games and has posted 29 shots and 25 blocked shots, truly a spectacular stat line. Given that he played last night, exercise caution but Carlson is the real deal, a true stud defenceman.
HM: Rasmus Ristolainen
10/25 NHL DFS Goalies
10/24 NHL DFS Goalies
Thomas Greiss (FD $7,700 | DK $8,100) – Greiss will enter the Canadian Tire Centre tonight with a two-game winning streak and give Ottawa’s abysmal offence, he figures to improve to a three-game winning streak. Ottawa ranks 5th worst in the league for goals, the bottom of the league in power-play conversion and 6th worst in shooting percentage. The Isles are sixth-best in the league and third-best on the slate in goals-against average.
Jacob Markstrom (FD $8,300 | DK $7,700) – Markstrom will be looking to extend his four-game winning streak tonight against the tired Capitals and despite the inherent risk with playing a goalie against the high flying Capitals top line, Markstrom has been scary consistent, allowing exactly two goals in each of his last five contests, with over 30 saves in his last four. Vancouver is tied for the lowest goals-against average in the league. Given the high volume of saves and the low number of goals against, Markstrom is a “safer” pick in goal tonight.
HM: Linus Ullmark
10/25 NHL DFS STACKS OF THE NIGHT
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 – The Sharks have been averaging 3.4 goals allowed per game and 32.4 shots per game. Aside from being tired after playing against the Canadiens last night the Sharks will be icing a goalie with a 3.46 GAA and a .894 Save Percentage along with a weak 2-4-1 record, with neither win coming on the road for an away record of 0-3. Given the Leafs are averaging 3.64 goals per game, this may not have been the homecoming Marleau is hoping for.
HM: New Jersey Devils 1, Buffalo Sabres 1
10/25 NHL DFS Game Stacks
Washington vs Vancouver – We’re going for the late game for today’s recommended game stack. Although, it doesn’t seem like a game stack is ideal for tonight’s slate this would probably be the best fit as both teams have potent and affordable offences and take a lot of shots.
10/25 NHL DFS Punts
Josh Bailey (FD $5,400 | DK $5,100) – Bailey has been finding the back of the net as of late with two goals and two assists in his last three games. Along with playing on the Isles top line, the Winger also appears on the top power-play unit and last game played a whopping 19 minutes of ice time. Bailey’s usage figures to be rather low but against the Sens, he can be the spark plug the Isles need to walk away from this matchup with two points.
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The Leafs allow a lot of shots to get past their defence, 33.7 to be exact, good for 5th worst in the league. Luckily for them steady Freddy has been just that stopping a vast majority of pucks coming his way. Unfortunately the same cannot be said for Martin Jones and he may get peppered this game but I don’t see him having a strong performance against the Leafs. Take the over on saves for Andersen and the under on saves for Jones
Hey everyone, we’re back with another edition of the Daily Hot Shot here at Win Daily! Tonight, we have two NHL games for the main slate. We’ll do a quick game-by-game breakdown followed by locks, punts, defensemen and goalies. Remember: for two-game slates it may be acceptable to play skaters against your goalie but its never advisable unless it’s in an attempt to create a variance.
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Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators – Ottawa is in serious trouble this season. If they’re not careful they could quickly become the league’s laughingstock with an 1-7-0 record thus far. Tonight’s game will be Ottawa’s most “winnable” matchup since the start of the season as both teams are looking to end lengthy losing streaks. Neither goalie is particularly good in this matchup and I can see this one getting ugly for both sides fast. I have skaters on both sides of this matchup in play.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Given that the Pens lost to the Panthers last night and now have to take a bus up to Tampa Bay, this definitely isn’t their ideal situation. Tonight will be the second half of a back-to-back and the Pens will start backup goalie Tristan Jarry, who is 1-1 to start the season but overall hasn’t found much success at the NHL level.
Pittsburgh has also had its fair share of injury trouble to begin the season with four top-six forwards and one top-four defenseman on the disabled list. For Tampa Bay, tonight represents a pristine opportunity to set their season on the right track against a team that’s back peddling. The Bolts threw their lines in the blender, which has provided us with excellent value plays littered throughout the slate and increased the number of viable targets tonight.
10/23 NHL DFS: Locks of the Night
1. Nikita Kucherov (FD $8,400 | DK $7,500) – Last season’s MVP, Kucherov has picked up right where he left off with eight points in eight games to start the season. Now that he is off that pricey top line, he is much more stackable with affordable pieces that complement him on even strength. Against Jarry, Kuch can do some damage.
2. Anthony Mantha (FD $6,400 | DK $6,800) – Despite not maintaining his electric start to the season, Mantha has still regularly produced offensively for the Red Wings and has been averaging just under 20 minutes of ice time per night.
Tonight, the Red Wings are facing off against Craig Anderson, who has proven yet again to be one of the worst starters in the league, not that backup Anders Nilsson is doing too much better. Expect Mantha to get on the board tonight.
3. Brady Tkachuk (FD $5,200 | DK $6,300) – Tkachuk is Ottawa’s clear cut best forward and despite the fact that I don’t think Ottawa will take this one, Brady will at least give them a fighting chance. Brady is averaging around 19 minutes per game and appears on the top power-play unit. Although his team has been atrocious defensively, his opponents haven’t done much better, with Detroit allowing more goals per game than Ottawa through nine games.
If this becomes a true barn-burner, Tkachuk will have to get involved in the scoring.
Honorable Mention: Steven Stamkos
10/23 NHL DFS: Punts of the Night
1. Anthony Cirelli (FD $4,500 | DK $5,000) – As mentioned earlier, Tampa Bay’s lines hit the blender, which placed Cirelli alongside the aforementioned Nikita Kucherov. Cirelli has been able to find the scoresheet with four assists in eight games while averaging around 18 minutes of ice time per game. Alongside Kuch, I can see this number go up. Again, Tampa Bay will be facing a tired squad with a backup tendy at their own barn.
2. Vladislav Namestikov (FD $5,200 | DK $5,000) – Since being acquired from the Rangers, Namestikov has been one of Ottawas top performers, despite not playing on Ottawa’s top line. Against Jonathan Bernier, Namestikov should be able to light the lamp but I remain cautious without stronger line support.
3. Mathieu Joseph (FD $3,600 | DK $4,800) – Joseph has tallied three points this season despite only averaging around 12 minutes per game. That ought to change as the new lines pair him alongside Steven Stamkos. The young winger still poses a significant risk but is very affordable and easily stackable with the former first overall pick.
HM: Connor Brown
10/23 NHL DFS: Defensemen of the Night
1. Filip Hronek (FD $3,900 | DK $4,600) – Hronek has been playing crazy minutes for the Wings this season and has put points to show for it with a goal and three assists through nine games. Hronek is extremely affordable and pairs well alongside Detroit’s pricey top line. Of course, the Craig Anderson effect may result in Hronek ending up on the score sheet.
2. Thomas Chabot (FD $5,300 | DK $6,200) – Probably Ottawa’s only capable defenseman, Chabot anchors the team’s top line and the top power-play unit, posting on average, almost 27 minutes of ice time each night. To his credit, Chabot is leading Ottawa’s defenseman in points with six in eight games.
The real draw to Chabot, however, is his peripheral stats. Chabot has been averaging around two blocked shots and three shots per game, adding to his DFS total at the end of the night
3. Kevin Shattenkirk (FD $5,700 | DK $5,100) – A bit of a stealth pick here, Shattenkirk is experiencing a bit of a renaissance this season with the Lightning. Through eight games, Shattenkirk has put up four goals and three assists while averaging around 21 minutes of ice time per game. Shattenkirk will find himself with Tampa’s second power play unit and will find ice time with the top three stars as well.
HM: Kris Letang
10/23 NHL DFS: Goalies of the Night
1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (FD $8,500 | DK $8,000) – Despite a weak performance in his last start, it seems to be nothing more than a blip on the reigning Vezina winner’s radar. Vas will be up against a tired and broken Pens team and should face his fair share of shots, but will be able to secure a win tonight.
2. Jonathan Bernier (FD $7,200 | DK $7,500) – I honestly can’t believe I am recommending Bernier, but that is what a two-game slate against Ottawa has brought us to. Bernier has been mediocre this season but has still shown flashes of his true self. The only thing going for him tonight is his opponent.
Besides the fact that the Sens are on a four-game losing streak, Ottawa has one of the worst goals per game averages, only just slightly better than the Stars, who are last in the category. To their credit, Ottawa has averaged a fair amount of shots per game but has trouble finding the back of the net. In this case, that benefits Bernier, who happens to be a super GPP play, even to the point where a punt or two against him may work.
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This report will provide favorite positional picks, stacks, and power play units for the 10/20 NHL DFS four-game slate.
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**Exercise caution on these smaller slates, very little room for error and very heavy chalk. Due to size of slate players listed will be limited to two per position.
Adam Henrique (ANH) – Calgary Flames take on the Anaheim Ducks on the second leg of a back to back. Anaheim is coming off a day of rest, and at home. They are a top six team in terms of scoring differential, only allowing a GAA of 1.75. In five out of nine games this season, the Calgary Flames have allowed four or more goals. Adam Henrique has been a top contributor for the Ducks and has tallied five goals on 22 shots, one assist, and seven blocks.
Connor McDavid (EDM) – McDavid serves on the third best scoring team in the NHL through eight games. They average close to four goals per game and allow a GAA of 2.38. A big part of what has made the Oilers so great eight games into the year is their league best 41.7% Power Play percentage. Connor McDavid has five goals on 22 shots and 12 assists through five games this season.
Honorables -Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM), Nicklas Backstrom (WSH)
Rickard Rakell (ANH) – I like to have correlation in my lines and Rakell comes in at a great salary in comparison to his performance this season. He has three goals on 28 shots and three assists. Rakell ice time is trending upward and is projected to serve on the first unit, so hopefully he will see around 20 minutes tonight.
T.J. Oshie (WSH) – Oshie has provided a fairly safe floor through eight games, with single digit fantasy performances in only two of them. Chicago is currently allowing three goals per game and I think the Capitals will do even more damage than that. Oshie has six goals on 21 shots, 2 assists, and four blocks through nine games this season.
Honorables – Jakob Silfverburg (ANH), James Neal (EDM).
Oscar Klefbom (EDM) – I think you kind of get the gist of where I’m going with this Edmonton team tonight. They are my favorite Power Play unit on this short slate and I will look to get a four man stack in most of my builds. Klefbom is projected to serve on the first PP unit and is a top defensemen. He has one goal on 18 shots, eight assists, and 17 blocks through eight games.
John Carlson (WSH) – The four time All-Star defender is off to a very hot 2019-20 campaign. He has three goals on 14 shots, 14 assists, and 19 blocks. He is averaging 25 minutes of ice time and has scored two game-winning goals already this season.
Honorables – Darnell Nurse (EDM), Hampus Lindholm (ANH)
John Gibson (ANH) – Gibson comes in as the highest priced goalie on the slate, but is well worth the spend. He is 4-2 heading into tonight’s game and carries a strong .942 SV%. The All-Star goalie will look to continue his strong play against a Calgary team on a back to back.
Mikko Koskinen (EDM) – The Winnipeg Jets are slight favorite over Edmonton, but I have to give the edge to Edmonton tonight. Their strong power play performance and modest 2.38 GAA has me convinced Edmonton will leave Winnipeg with the win tonight. Koksi has a .934 SV% and has yet to register a loss this season.
Honorables – Braden Holtby (WSH)
Edmonton Oilers – FL#1: Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl/Darnell Nurse
Washington Capitals – FL#1: Niklas Backstrom/T.J. Oshie/John Carlson/Alex Ovechkin
Honorables: Anaheim Ducks FL1, Winnipeg FL2
Edmonton Oilers – PP#1: Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl/Darnell Nurse/Oscar Klefbom
Tom Wilson (WSH), Michal Kempny (WSH), Zack Kassian (EDM), Alex Chiasson (EDM), Drake Caggigula (CHI).
Connor McDavid – Five Goals, 12 Assists, 17 Points : Predicting one goal and two assists for McDavid against the Jets.
John Carlson – Three Goals, 14 Assists, 17 Points in 2019. Predicting Carlson to have one goal and two assists against the Blackhawks.
Leon Draisaitl – Six Goals, 10 assists, 16 points. Predicting one goal and one assist for Draisaitl against the jets
All three of the plays I listed above are averaging over two points per game.
The weekend is finally upon us! We have a nine-game Saturday Night Slate to dig into tonight. There are some interesting value plays and other strong options do discuss. Let’s take a look!
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10/19 NHL DFS Centers
Alexander Kerfoot (FD $4,600 | DK $3,600) – Kerfoot has gotten an upgrade to the second line for tonight’s matchup with Tavares being sidelined with a finger injury. He is set to see an increase in ice-time and will play alongside Mitch Marner during even strength.
Sean Couturier (FD $6,900 | DK $5,700) – Has averaged 20 minutes a game centering the top line and second power play unit. Couturier has two assists in his last two games and has racked up 11 shots. Couturier pairs well alongside Konecny and Provorov
Honorable Mention: Christian Dvorak
10/19 NHL DFS Wingers
Reilly Smith (FD $5,900 | DK $6,000) – Despite his strong performances, Smith’s price hasn’t gone up too high and he is still a great fit for most lines. The top-line winger has goals in each of his last three games and will be facing off against a Pittsburgh team that will be starting their backup in the second half of a back-to-back. You won’t get a much better value play under 6K especially not while seeing 20 minutes of ice time.
Nick Schmaltz (FD $5,000 | DK $5,400) *Arizona 2 Chalk* – Schmaltz’s price has also remained reasonably affordable despite his recent strong performances. Despite the fact that he is seeing limited ice-time he has still managed to put up seven points in his last four games, one of which came on the power play on Arizona’s second unit. Arizona will also be up against one of the worst goalies in the league in Anderson. If Schmaltz will have any chance of continuing his recent success it will be tonight against the lowly Sens.
HM: Oskar Lindblom
10/19 NHL DFS Defensemen
Mark Giordano (FD $6,700 | DK $6,700) *Calgary 1 Chalk* – Giordano is in one of the best defensive spots on the slate and is well worth the high price tag. The former All-Star sees a majority of Calgary’s defensive minutes and has recorded three points in his last two appearances. He is also known for accumulating high levels of both shots and blocked shots and being a strong presence on Calgary’s top power-play unit. Not to mention he will be up against one of the league’s worst starters tonight in Jonathan Quick.
Ivan Provorov (FD $4,700 | DK $4,900) – Provorov has had a strong start to the season with three points in his first two games. Despite a slight drop in production as of late, the Flyers defenseman will average around 23 minutes of ice time per game and is capable of accumulating both shots and blocked shots. He is also a very stackable defenseman and will be playing against a Dallas side that is on the second half of a back-to-back.
HM: Shea Theodore, Mackenzie Weegar
10/19 NHL DFS Goalies
David Rittich (FD $8,200 | DK $8,100) – Big Save Dave is going up against a much weaker opponent in the Kings, who are currently in the midst of a three-game losing streak. The Kings also have an extremly low goals per game rate considering how many shots they are putting on target. Rittich is also coming off two stellar one GA performances and put up 36 saves in his last game against the Kings.
Antti Raanta (FD $7,500 | DK $8,200) – Raanta is a salary saver option in goal tonight and consider he’s facing off against the Ottawa Senators, who are among the league’s worst in goals per game average, along with a power-play conversion rate of zero. The dangers in front of Raanta tonight do not resemble his last start against the Avalanche, which ended with a goal from Burakovsky in OT. He will have a much stronger appearance tonight at home against the Sens, who have yet to win an away game.
HM: Carter Hart
10/19 NHL DFS Punts
Calle Jarnkrok (FD $3,600 | DK $3,300) – Jarnkrok is still too cheap to ignore and has put up four points in his last four games. He will be seeing increasing amounts of ice-time now that he is on the top line and will be facing off against Florida backup Montembault as the Panthers are on the second half of a back-to-back. Jarnkrok is also very stackable as his linemate Johansen is also very reasonably priced, especially on FanDuel.
Patrick Marleau (FD $4,700 | DK $4,600) – Marleau has recorded three points in his first three starts since returning to the Sharks and has consistently averaged around 15 minutes a game on San Jose’s top line. He is also stackable alongside his linemate Timo Meier or could work as a one-off punt. Not to mention, he will appear on San Jose’s second power play unit.
10/19 NHL DFS Optimal Game Stack
Buffalo Sabres 1 – San Jose Sharks 2 – Both teams currently have hot offenses and hot power plays along with risky goaltending and shaky defensive cores. Not to mention they are both affordable together and have high implied totals with the Sharks edging out slightly higher. The O/U is currently set at 6 but it wouldnt surprise me if this game surpassed it. As San Jose are favored at home, however, they are facing the league’s seventh-best offence.
HM: Boston Bruins 1 – Toronto Maple Leafs 2
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