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Ryan Braun

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks & Stacks: Freestyle Friday

5 years ago

written by

A fully-loaded main slate awaits us on the final Friday of the regular season. With the postseason picture developed, the focus of the 9/27 DFS Hitting Picks will be to just have fun.

And get paid.

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9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Jorge Alfaro, MIA at PHI

DK ($3,800), FD ($2,700)

Alfaro has three homers this week and has spent September showing signs of becoming a useful offensive backstop. He’s hit .234/.355/.453 (.808 OPS), with his OBP an encouraging sign that Alfaro will start cutting down his 33.6% strikeout rate. His hard contact rate stands at 44%, and with neither the Fish or Phils having little to play for, Alfaro could be in line for a power display against his former teammates.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

Max Muncy, LAD at SF

DK ($4,300), FD ($3,900)

His bat is starting to awaken just in time for the postseason. Muncy has a .952 OPS in the past week and hit his first homer of the month in Tuesday’s win over the Padres. He’s been more potent on the road, sporting a .921 OPS with 21 of his 34 homers hit outside Dodgers Stadium. Despite the drop in Isolated Power from last year’s .319 to this year’s .262, Muncy continues to hammer the ball consistently, as his 45.7 hard contact rate puts oomph in his .282 BABIP.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Garrett Hampson, COL vs. MIL

DK ($4,300), FD ($3,700)

My choice at 2B on Wednesday, Hampson has since added a pair of steals, three hits and an RBI. He now closes out the season at Coors Field, which should add icing on a September that has seen Hampson go .361/.418/.625. His .330 BABIP offsets his 26.7% strikeout rate, while his 38% fly ball rate has resulted in five homers this month. Hampson has the speed to make his 42.7% ground ball rate work in his favor, and the ability to hit to all fields makes him a good fit tonight.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Alex Bregman, HOU at LAA

DK ($5,200), FD ($4,500)

Thursday’s homer was Bregman’s seventh against Angels pitching this season, giving him an 1.186 OPS along with 20 RBI and 18 runs scored. Bregman has a 12.1% strikeout rate that’s countered by a 16.8% walk rate and a 45.5% fly ball rate that’s been the driving force behind his 79 extra base hits. In today’s swinging for the fences craze, the fact Bregman has struck out just 82 times while hitting 40 homers is more impressive. It’s also a reason he should be a more serious AL MVP candidate, but that’s just me…

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Gleyber Torres, NYY at TEX

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,700)

Nothing like Rangers pitching to help spark a bat before the postseason. Torres hasn’t hit well this month (.775 OPS) yet does have five homers and four doubles among his 16 September hits. His .258 Isolated Power is due for an extended power spike, and a 41.6% fly ball rate projects well in homer-friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington. Texas goes with lefty Joe Palumbo, he of the 9.22 ERA and 2.63 HR/9 rate. You know where this is leading to, right?

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN at PIT

DK ($5,000), FD ($4,000)

Like the aforementioned Torres, Aquino hasn’t hit well this month, but is warming up just in time before the end of the season. Aquino slammed his 18th homer on Thursday and has a .929 OPS over the past week. He’s hit the Pirates well in his brief time in the bigs, going .417/.462/.833 with a homer in 12 at-bats versus Bucs hurling. A 28.8% HR/FB rate pairs well with a 44.7% FB rate, and despite the significant dip in hard contact rate, Aquino still has an above-average 39% total.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Ryan Braun, MIL at COL

DK ($5,800), FD ($3,800)

Braun brings a sizzling bat into Coors Field, having gone 8-for-15 with two homers, eight RBI and six runs scored in his past five games. Over the past two weeks, he’s delivered an OPS of 1.210 that has been key toward Milwaukee’s run to the postseason. He’s also boosted his Isolated Power to .221 and brings an exceptional .323 BABIP into tonight. He has hit the ball hard all season, but his 45% hard contact rate has been at its loudest when the Brewers needed it to be.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Kyle Tucker, HOU at LAA

DK ($4,700), FD ($3,100)

The power is coming alive for Tucker, who homered on Thursday, his second straight with a dinger and fourth in 62 September at-bats. His BABIP stands at .350 and his hard contact rate has reached 47.7%. Tucker whiffs too much (27.7%), which remains the biggest thing hampering his upside, and even with the Angels going with lefty Patrick Sandoval, the Astros will likely give Tucker the start.

9/27 DFS Hitting Stacks

9/27 Hitting Stack of the Day: Milwaukee Brewers: Start with Braun and add Mike Moustakas ($4000 FD) and Yasmani Grandal ($3800 FD). I’d sacrifice some pitching if it meant adding Keston Hiura and his $4200 salary at FanDuel.

9/27 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: New York Yankees: As usual, it will cost to stack with Pinstripes, but is worth it tonight. You could go with Torres and follow up with Aaron Judge ($5300 DK) and an affordable Austin Romine ($3800) if he is getting the start behind the plate. D.J. LeMahieu comes in at a stiff $5400, but find a solid punt play at pitcher and load up.

9/27 Hitting Stack to Consider: Oakland Athletics: Even with Khris Davis and Mark Canha banged up, there’s still lumber to stack, starting with Matt Chapman ($3600 FD). Marcus Semien ($4100 FD) is a good middle infield choice, and Ramon Laureano ($3300) is an affordable sleeper pick.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/22 DFS Hitting Picks & Stacks: Sox Appeal

5 years ago

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One more Sunday, and the 2019 MLB regular season is over. The 9/22 DFS Hitting Picks will swing for the fences today, knowing that chances to make the long green are running out.

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9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Tom Murphy, SEA at BAL

DK ($4,200), FD ($3,200)

Murphy’s breakout season has been built on the backs of woeful lefties, whom he has a .348/.402/.714 slash line against with 11 of his 18 homers coming against them. Having a moderate-priced catcher with a 47.8% fly ball rate should pay dividends in Camden Yards. Orioles rookie John Means gets the start and has somehow managed to post a 3.65 ERA despite a 50.6% fly ball rate. Bet on Murphy putting a boost to Means’ 9.7% HR/FB rate.

9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

Ryan Braun, MIL at PIT

DK ($4,500), FD ($3,200)

With six hits in his last three games, Braun is doing his part to keep the Brewers’ postseason hopes alive. Five of his last eight hits have been for extra bases, which has shot his OPS to 1.027 over the last week. His power numbers are similar to his 2018 production, but Braun’s .319 BABIP is 45 points higher, resulting in his career-high 45.3% hard contact rate having more impact.

9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Yoan Moncada, CWS at DET

DK ($4,400), FD ($3,800)

Moncada has spent much of 2019 torturing Tigers pitching. He’s hit .357/.404/.714 with four homers and 11 RBI off Detroit hurlers and comes into today with a .474/.492/754 slash line over the past two weeks. Moncada’s .403 BABIP hides the sins of a 7.6% walk rate and 27.5% strikeout rate. His line drive rate of 23.7% and improved ability to hit to all fields makes him a great play in the 9/22 DFS Hitting Picks lineup.

9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Miguel Sano, MIN vs. KC

DK ($5,200), FD ($4,000)

Despite hitting .244 against Kansas City pitching this season, Sano has made the Royals hurt when he does reach base. Six of his 10 hits off KC hurlers have been for extra bases, including four homers. Sano has a 1.019 OPS this month, driven mainly by a .394 OBP that should scare the hell out of all of us if this carries into 2020. To what should be shocking to no one, Sano manages soft contact just 9.3% of the time, so you’re going to be cheated when using him today.

9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Carlos Correa, HOU vs. LAA

DK ($5,200), FD ($3,800)

Ponder the fact that Correa has 21 homers and 59 RBI in just 75 games. Prorate those numbers, and you’d be talking about a potential AL MVP candidate. He’s a monster at Minute Maid Park, sporting a 1.034 OPS with 11 of his 21 homers coming at home. His .282 Isolated Power and a 17-point improvement in BABIP only makes you wonder what he could have done had he stayed healthy this season. After a 28.8% hard contact rate in 2019, Correa comes into today with a 44.7% rate. Can’t make up for lost time, so indulge in Correa’s final home game of the regular season.

9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at DET

DK ($4,100), FD ($4,100)

He’s had four multi-hit games in his past six starts, continuing a blistering September that has seen Jimenez hit .358 with seven homers and 21 RBI. Jimenez has been surprisingly more effective outside of hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, producing an .875 OPS compared to .750 at home. His modest 33.6% fly ball rate is countered by a 27.1% HR/FB rate, all the more reason Tigers ace Matthew Boyd had better be on notice.

9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Howie Kendrick, WAS at MIA

DK ($5,200), FD ($2,800)

He. Won’t. Stop. Hitting. Kendrick is 10-for-17 (.588) during a September run where he’s swinging it at a .432/.468/.659 clip. Unlike most of the aforementioned players in the 9/22 DFS Hitting Picks, Kendrick isn’t a serious threat to homer, but he will continue spraying the ball all over the field. He’s making hard contact at a 45.8% rate, which means a lot of his grounders (48.9%) are quickly finding their way past outfielders.

9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Trey Mancini, BAL vs. SEA

DK ($4,100), FD ($5,100)

Mancini has a nine-game hitting streak and has scored at least one run in seven of his past 10 games. What has made his season interesting is that for a hitter whose hard contact rate is just about league-average (36.9%) who also doesn’t put the ball in the air as much as you’d think (31.7%), he’s pounding the daylights out of the ball. Mancini’s hitting more line drives (21.8%), but the hidden number just might be his .319 BABIP, which is nearly on par to his 2017 coming out party.

9/22 DFS Hitting Stacks

9/22 Hitting Stack of the Day: Houston Astros: As a team, the Astros hit .282/.360/.512 at Minute Maid Park, so why not load up one last time this season? Yordan Alvarez ($4,300 FD) and Alex Bregman ($5,400 DK) are anchors that can hold on to Jose Altuve ($4,200 FD) and Michael Brantley ($4,500 FD). It will cost to go all-in with an Astros stack, so be prepared to find a punt at pitcher.

9/22 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Minnesota Twins: Start with Sano and build from there with Max Kepler ($4,700 FD), Mitch Garver ($5,500 FD) and Eddie Rosario ($4,900 FD). Make sure to add Ehire Adrianza ($3,400 FD) if the OBP machine is in the lineup.

9/22 Hitting Stack to Consider: Chicago White Sox: Moncada and Jimenez are the building blocks. Add Jose Abreu ($3,700 FD) to corner the market on the heart of the Chicago order. Yolmer Sanchez ($2,500 FD) is an interesting add considering he has five hits in 11 at-bats against Boyd.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/5 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Sporting Sox and Dinger Locks

Joel Bartilotta 5 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

On our Thursday 9/5 DFS 7:05 main slate, there are seven ballgames – with one that stands out as a good single-game stack with a couple one-offs (a hot-hitting Cub and some RHBs on the lefty-mashing Houston buzzsaw). Are we ready to, once again, embrace the variance and win some green? You bet we are – and there’s enough pitching value to fade the top arms and build a lineup with serious studs.

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9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Boston Red Sox vs. Martin Perez

Most of this stack’s full-bodied components will be discussed hitterby hitter in greater detail below, but this is my top stack of the slate and I’llhave plenty of exposure to this game in general. The usual suspects apply. TheRed Sox are slashing a robust .285/.355/.506 at home this season and there’s nobodyI’d be careful to avoid.

Minnesota Twins at Nathan Eovaldi

The Twins have a little tougher matchup as they are underdogs inFenway Park, but they’d slashed .319/.384/.584 as a team over the past 7 daysheading into last night’s tough matchup vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (which resultedin a 6-2 loss). Look for the Twins to rebound in a big way against a hittable Eovaldi(6.23 ERA, 5.62 FIP). I like the outfielders (though Max Kepler was removedfrom last night’s game with upper chest soreness) and the slugging infielders (JorgePolanco, Miguel Sano, C.J. Cron, Luis Arraez).

Houston Astros vs. Marco Gonzales

Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman and Yuri Gurriel make up the core of this stack, with Michael Brantley and/or Yordan Alvarez rounding it out on FD/DK. But if you’ve only got room for hitters like Aledmys Diaz, Abraham Toro and cheap catching option Robinson Chirinos, there’s still plenty of reason to get excited. The Astros has demolished LHPs this season to the tune of a 133 wRC+ and have great number sat home (.217 team ISO with just an 18.8% K rate – the second lowest in the league).

9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Chicago Cubs at Chase Anderson (Reverse splits pitcher and an implied total near 5 runs)

Baltimore Orioles vs. Kolby Allard (high-risk/value/contrarian)

Tampa Rays vs. Trent Thornton (high-risk/value/contrarian)

9/5 DFS Hitting Catcher

Jason Castro, MIN at BOS UPDATE: Castro is not in the starting lineup

PIVOT: Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,000)

With Castro starting this game out on the bench, I’m pivoting to Chirinos. He’s about the same price and offers similar upside in this matchup. Chirinos sports a .444 xwOBA in 174 ABs (217 plate appearances) vs. LHPs over the past couple of seasons.

9/5 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Yuri Gurriel, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,600)

Gurriel has cooled off a little bit since his insane July (.408/.437/.847 in 24 games), but not much, as he posted a .344/.423/.677 slash in August. He’s actually a little better against RHPs but maintains a .237 ISO vs. lefties, so he’s maybe a tad contrarian if you’re mini-stacking stacking Astros along with Boston bats. The .298 home ISO and 148 home wRC+ make him an attractive option.

9/5 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,300)

Altuve (.302/.369/.599 with 14 HR at home this season) isunderpriced on DK and the Astros have the second highest implied total (about 6runs) on the evening slate. The diminutive slugger has been in a bit of a funk withno XBH on the five-game road trip, but a return to friendlier confines could bejust what he needs. It’s hard to find better implied value at this position, sowhy look past the five-and-a-half footer if we’re putting our best foot forward?

9/5 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Rafael Devers, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD($4,100)

Lefty on lefty for Devers hasn’t bothered me since he took AroldisChapman deep as a youngster for the Sox, and he’ll be an overlooked part of theBoston stack and low-owned because of it. He’s completely avoidable if you’renot stacking this team, but I love going with Devers at 3B because he’s alwaysin the thick of this offense and his production this season (.320/.369/.579 slashwith 29 HR and 107 RBI) shows it.

9/5 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Xander Bogaerts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,100)

We’ve had success recently with Bogaerts, and this is agreat matchup for the power-hitting SS to show off his .416 xwOBA against LHPs overthe past two seasons. Martin Perez isn’t a bad pitcher these days, but he has stillyielded a .184 ISO and .865 OPS since 2018. I’ve been doing well not overthinkingon Xander, so that’ll continue as I plug him into most of my lineups at SS. Thesomewhat underpriced Alex Bregman ($4,900 DK, $4,400 FD) is the obvious pivotat 3B and SS if you’re not anxious play both Devers and Bogaerts.

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9/5 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Mookie Betts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,200)

Bettshad a monster game last night and when Mookie gets hot, you continue to playhim. Boston’s leadoff hitter connected for a couple homers last night en routeto a 4-for-5, five RBI night. He’s still underpriced at $5K on DK and is a Benjamincheaper than J.D. Martinez on FD. Since the start of 2018, Betts is sporting anxwOBA of .430 against LHPs and even if Perez gets yanked early, a righthander faceseven more obscene Betts data (.468 xwOBA vs. RHPs and home xwOBA of .478).

Nicholas Castellanos, CHI at MIL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,500)

Mr. Castellanos has taken the Windy City by storm, and he getsto travel to Milwaukee to hit in a controlled environment. The problem is thatthese walls cannot possibly contain him either, and he’s been a revelatory offensivepowerhouse since joining the Cubs in a deadline deal, slashing .346/.378/.709 witha ridiculous .362 ISO, .439 wOBA, 12 homers and 24 RBI in just 31 games. It’snot just Wrigley, either: the bell-ringer has split his dingers 6/6 betweenhome and road. Plus, he’s massively underpriced facing a reverse-splits righty (ChaseAnderson) on a small slate. It’ll be tough to leave him out in any format.

Sam Travis, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($3,300) FD (1B $2,800)

The Sox are my favorite team and Travis is much-welcomed valueto help you finish them off on FD with these four hitters I’ve listed, or even addin another bat on DK if you’re going that route. He hits lefties well (.382 xwOBA,.200 ISO and under a 20% strikeout rate over the past two seasons). He’s higherrisk and may attract some ownership, but at that low, low price I’ll make roomto differentiate elsewhere.

Additional options:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,200 DK, $3,100 FD), Travis d’Arnaud($4,000 DK, $2,700 FD)

1B: Josh Bell ($4,800 DK, $4,200 FD), Garrett Cooper (valueat $3,500 DK, $2,700 FD)

2B: Jonathan Schoop ($4,600 DK, $3,100 FD), Starlin Castro($3,500 DK, $3,000 FD)

3B: Abraham Toro ($2,600 DK, $3,200 FD, Miguel Sano ($5,100DK, $3,900 FD)

SS: Alex Bregman, Jonathan Villar ($4,700 DK, $3,400 FD)and possibly Javier Baez (thumb, DTD – $4,600 DK, $4,100)

OF: Twins galore (Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Nelson Cruz, JakeCave), Trey Mancini, Anthony Santander and Ryan Braun (.475 xwOBA vs. LHPs, 415ISO including five career HR vs. Jose Quintana)

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/24 DFS Hitting and Stacks

5 years ago

written by

With the Giants and A’s playing tonight, Saturday offers a full 15-game slate with just three games scheduled before 7:00pm Eastern. The 8/24 DFS Hitting and Stacks is the calm before the storm that begins next Saturday when college football bogarts its way into the sports schedule.

We’ve got you covered with college football, so keep your attention to the diamond while looking to make some long green as August makes the slow turn to September.

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8/24 DFS Hitting Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. ATL

DK ($3,900), FD ($2,400)

Ramos extended his hitting streak to 17 games on Friday, continuing an August that has seen his OPS approach the gilded 1.000 mark. He’s helped his cause with a career-best 9% walk rate that has offset the dip in Isolated Power (.133) and BABIP (.294). He will get a very favorable matchup in Braves starter Max Fried, as Ramos wears out lefties with a .341/.424/.541 (.965 OPS) with five homers. That he’s managing this stretch of consistent hitting feels odd considering he’s hitting grounders at a 60.1% rate and manages a modest 31.6% hard contact rate.

Sometimes, the numbers can trick the hell out of us; in Ramos’ case, you take them for what they are and get the solid results.

8/24 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Carlos Santana, CLE vs. KC

DK ($5,400), FD ($3,700)

Why not roll with Santana again? He reached base three times in Friday’s win over the Royals to continue an August in which he has nearly as many walks (18) as he does hits (25). Santana has a .473 OBP this month but has reached base at a .627 clip against Kansas City pitching this season with three homers and 10 runs scored. Royals starter Glenn Sparkman makes for another easy mark for Santana, as he comes into the game allowing 1.89 HR/9 and a 23.6% line drive rate.

Sparkman has given up nine walks in 21 innings this month and has been treated like chum by Indians batters, who have hit eight homers against him in just 16.1 innings pitched this season.

8/24 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Howie Kendrick, WAS at CHC

DK ($8,000), FD ($2,600)

If he’s in the lineup, I’m playing him. Kendrick has three multi-hit games in his last four starts, including a pair in Friday’s win at Wrigley. Kendrick is .462/.533/1.154 over the past two weeks with five extra base hits. The 36-year-old jack of all trades has a .934 OPS this season with a career-best .235 Isolated Power, the result of Kendrick delivering hard contact at a 44% rate and a 32.6% fly ball rate. He’ll be licking his chops at the thought of hitting Cubs starter Jose Quintana, as Kendrick has a .912 OPS in 93 at-bats against lefties this season.

8/24 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. TOR at SEA

DK ($4,000), FD ($2,900)

Prior to Friday’s opener against the Mariners, Guerrero was hitting a robust .583/.667/1.083 over the past week with a pair of homers. He’s been more effective on the road, sporting an .896 OPS before Friday night while his walk rate has finally reached double digits at 10.1%. Guerrero’s .191 Isolated Power will continue to rise while his line drive rate (18.1%) has steadily climbed since the All-Star Break.

Both he and his dad will have something to else to share, as Guerrero will get the chance to face Mariners icon Felix Hernandez, who will be making his first start since May 11.

8/24 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Tommy Edman, STL vs. COL

DK ($4,500), FD ($2,800)

Edman had his third multi-hit game this week in Friday’s win over the Rockies, making him 4 for 9 (.444) against the Rockies. Teeing off on Colorado pitching isn’t the only reason for considering Edman. He’s produced a .902 OPS over the past two weeks and has been decisively more dominant at, where his .839 OPS far outweighs his .661 OPS outside St. Louis. Edman is living up to his projections as a line drive hitter (22.8%) with the ability to scald the ball (42.4% hard contact rate) with occasional power outbursts (10% HR/FB rate).

Look for Edman to thrive off Rockies starter Chi Chi Gonzalez, whose control issues (4.40 BB/9) is worsened by his 2.05 HR/9 rate. I won’t be shocked if Edman takes advantage of Gonzalez’s 45.2% hit rate and takes him deep.

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8/24 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Ryan Braun, MIL vs. ARI

DK ($4,800), FD ($2,900)

If it feels like the Brewers love facing Diamondbacks pitching, it’s because….well, they do. Braun rapped out a pair of hits and drove in a run in Friday’s win, giving him a slash of .438/.444/.688 (1.132 OPS) with a homer in 16 at-bats against Arizona this season. This feels like a vintage Braun campaign, evidenced by a .212 Isolated Power and .331 BABIP along with the fact he can still swipe a base or two.

He’s pulling the ball more (42.1%) than in previous years while experiencing a slight uptick in both line drive rate (19.5%) and fly ball rate (29%). The 43.8% hard contact rate helps drive his numbers, but it’s the 6.1% walk rate that’s worth keeping an eye on since Diamondbacks rookie Zac Gallen has struggled with walks. That is all the more reason to Brew up in the 8/24 DFS Hitting and Stacks.

8/24 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Marcell Ozuna, STL vs. COL

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,500)

He’s homered in consecutive games against the Rockies and gets a pitcher (Chi Chi Rodriguez) who is exceptionally homer-prone tonight. I’ll triple my long ball bets with Ozuna, who is hitting .500 with two homers, five RBI and six runs scored in his last four games. Gonzalez, who has also suffered control issues, is an ideal target for Ozuna, whose 10.4% walk rate and .254 Isolated Power has been major factors in the resurgence of his bat. Ozuna sports a 50% hard contact rate, which makes him more viable in 8/24 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks.

8/24 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Willie Calhoun, TEX at CWS

DK ($4,800), FD ($3,700)

Calhoun homered for the third time in five games, accounting for all of Texas’ offense in an 8-3 loss on Friday. The homer also continued displaying Calhoun’s slight edge as a more offensive hitter on the road, where his .911 OPS nudges past his .883 mark in Arlington.

Fly ball hitters are worth targeting when playing in Guaranteed Rate Field, and Calhoun certainly fits the bill with a 44.9% rate. He’s also equaled the strong run he had in the minors earlier in the season, flashing identical 20% HR/FB rates along with displaying an extreme pull nature (53.2%).

8/23 DFS Hitting Stacks

8/24 Hitting Stack of the Day: Cleveland Indians: On top of Santana, I’m tossing in Francisco Lindor ($5,100 DK). Jason Kipnis ($3,900 DK) is a good value play. Make sure Jose Ramirez ($5,100 DK) is part of the party, as he owns a pair of homers off Sparkman. Roberto Perez ($2,900 FD) is a good add as well. This will be a handsome payoff in the 8/24 DFS Hitting and Stacks lineup.

8/24 Hitting Stack Runners-Up: New York Yankees: Coming off a five-HR assault, the Yankees should feast off the the Dodgers. Gleyber Torres ($5,100 DK) has been off the chain during this West Coast swing. Aaron Judge ($3,900 FD) is showing signs of breaking out of a sluggish August. Pay up for Gary Sanchez ($4,100 FD) and smile while doing so.

8/24 Hitting Stack to Consider: Cincinnati Reds: Pirates starter Trevor Williams has a 8.03 ERA in his last 10 starts. He has allowed 18 homers in that span. That’s blood in the water for Aristides Aquino ($4,900 DK), who went deep on Friday night. Jose Iglesias ($3,700 DK) could be a bargain. Catcher Tucker Barnhart ($3,400 DK) has four hits in eight at-bats against Williams. Keep in mind Jesse Winker ($4,100 DK) has a pair of hits in six ABs vs. Williams.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitting and Prop Picks for 7/17: Braun, Cron and More

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Our Monday DFS article was titled “Don’t Fade the Tribe”. That was alluding to the fact that we loved the Indians and Dodgers and we’re going to look to build off that momentum here. Those two offenses combined for 24 runs and we absolutely obliterated our MKF pick that had Bellinger, Muncy and Seager combining for more than 3.5 hits.

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Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM at MIN

DK ($3,700) FD ($2,600)

Ramos has seen his price drop on these DFS sites throughout the year but this is a spot where we definitely want to use him. Aside from the price, facing a lefty is what makes him such an attractive option on this slate. In fact, Ramos is providing a .438 OBP, .556 SLG and .994 OPS against southpaws this season. That’s actually not far off of his three-year averages, with Ramos generating a .912 OPS dating back to 2017. That’s huge for a player this cheap and Martin Perez is certainly not a guy we need to worry about. Over his last seven starts, Perez is pitching to a 6.32 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.

First Base

C.J. Cron, MIN vs. NYM

DK ($3,700) FD ($3,300)

I initially had Pete Alonso in here but I think we have similar upside with Cron at $1,000 cheaper. Not only does Cron have an ISO approaching .250 since the beginning of last season, he’s absolutely obliterated left-handed pitching. So far this year, Cron is posting a .404 OBP and .679 SLG en route to a ridiculous 1.084 OPS against southpaws. That makes these DFS prices hard to figure out, as he should have success against a pitcher with a 5.17 xFIP.

Second Base

Keston Hiura, MIL vs. ATL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,400)

These DFS sites need to take notice of this kid, as he looks like a star in the making. Let’s start with his absurd Triple-A numbers, with Hiura tallying a .330 AVG and 1.089 OPS at that level this season. That fantastic form has appeared to carry over to the Majors, with Hiura accruing a .915 OPS with the Brewers in 117 at-bats, which doesn’t even include a 3-for-3 game with a dinger on Tuesday. Getting to face a lefty is simply the icing on the cake, as that puts the platoon advantage in Hiura’s favor.

Third Base

Jose Ramirez, CLE vs. DET

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,600)

Don’t look now but Ramirez is starting to get hot. This dude was simply one of the best players in fantasy last season and it was really hard to understand why he had such terrible numbers over the first three months. All the hard-hit stats were there and positive regression finally appears to be turning around. Over his last 16 games, Ramirez is hitting .333 while generating a .988 OPS. That’s the guy that we’ve become accustomed to and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him do this for the rest of the season. Spencer Turnbull is not really a guy we need to fade either, with the Tigers righty pitching to a 7.80 ERA and 1.93 WHIP over his last four starts.

Outfield

Charlie Blackmon, COL vs. SF

DK ($5,800) FD ($4,700)

If you’re unfamiliar with Blackmon’s splits, let me reinforce these ridiculous numbers. So far this season, Blackmon is providing a .426 AVG and .826 SLG en route to a 1.357 OPS. Those are Barry Bonds-like numbers and it’s really no surprise that he’s one of the highest-priced players. What we like here is that he gets the platoon advantage against Shaun Anderson, with Blackmon tallying a 1.028 OPS against righties this season while Anderson is posting a 4.48 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.

Ryan Braun, MIL vs. ATL

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,000)

I liked Braun a lot more a few years ago for DFS purposes but he’s still always in consideration against left-handers. For his career, Braun has a .389 OBP and .596 SLG agaimst southpaws en route to a .985 OPS. Even those numbers made me shake my head, as he’s truly put together a fantastic career. That alone makes these prices mind-boggling and the fact that he’s gotten on base in seven of his 11 plate appearances against Dallas Keuchel only adds to his intrigue.

Khris Davis, OAK vs. SEA

DK ($3,600) FD ($3,100)

Davis is mired in a nightmarish slump but these DFS prices are getting kind of insane. The simple fact is, Davis still leads the league in home runs since 2016 while generating an ISO approaching .300 in that span. That sort of power potential isn’t matched by many $4,500 players, let alone a guy who’s on the low $3,000’s. This matchup is fantastic for Davis too, as Leake’s 16 percent career K rate is perfect for a swing-and-miss guy like Davis. That doesn’t even take into consideration that Leake is pitching to a 6.86 ERA and 1.73 WHIP over his last four starts.

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Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Total Bases

So, you’re telling me that all we need is two singles or an extra-base hit from Bellinger to cash this prop? That seems downright silly to me, as Bellinger has been the best hitter in the game. I couldn’t write him up in the article because of his price but we absolutely love him against Nick Pivetta, who’s pitching to a 5.81 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.

Robbie Ray Under 7.5 Strikeouts

Trust me, I get the strikeout projection but its way too high. Ray is one of the best strikeout-pitchers in the league facing a K-heavy offense but I’m not even sure Ray will get through the fifth inning in a stadium like Globe Life Park. The Rangers are projected for more than five runs here and that means it will be tough for Ray to navigate through this lineup in such a hitter-friendly ballpark. That means he needs to get his Ks quickly and it will be tough to reach 8 Ks in just five innings.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Stacks for 6/28: Crack a cold Brew

Jared Contestabile 5 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

With both Coors and Miller hosting games that could turn into high-scoring affairs, there might be a lot of cracking cold brews as we watch the numbers turn on the scoreboard and in our DFS lineups.

1.) Los Angeles Dodgers

Antonio Senzatela is no more than a below average pitcher. At Coors this season he holds a 6.21 ERA and has given up five long balls. What doesn’t help his case is that he struggles against lefties. So far this season he has given up a .336 BAA and a .531 SLG. With the likes of Joc Pederson, Max Muncy, Cody Bellinger and Alex Verdugo, good luck. The Dodgers are going to have a field day and carry your DFS lineups.

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2.) Minnesota Twins

Carson Fulmer has had a horrible start to his young career. So far while at home in his career he holds a 7.81 ERA with a .390 wOBA. He is able to limit his hard contact, but he gives up massive fly ball rates. With the power hitters of Eddie Rosario, Nelson Cruz, CJ Cron and Jorge Polanco, there is no reason why they won’t chase Fulmer back to the minor leagues on your way to winning big in DFS.

3.) San Diego Padres

What a downfall for Michael Wacha. Someone with such promising talent that just lost it all this year. On the road so far this season he holds a 5.21 ERA. So far this season he has been very reverse splits and cannot get a righty out for the life of him. Against righties he has a .338 BAA and a .619 SLG. Hunter Renfroe, Manny Machado and the young phenom in Tatis Jr. should be the staples of your DFS stack here.

4.) Milwaukee Brewers

How bad are the Pirates regretting this Chris Archer Trade? Holllllllllly. Archer has been dreadful this year, but he has been even worse away from Pittsburgh (8.42 ERA). It seems like Archer has been better against lefties, but the underlying numbers show that he gets hit harder, more fly balls and strikes them out less. This makes me love Yelich, Mouse, Grandal and I also don’t mind throwing in Braun for DFS purposes. This is a very sneaky stack for me as I assume everyone will jump all over Coors.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Bauer Power

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

We had a full 15-game slate for Friday June 14. There were 16 games if you included the remainder of the suspended St Louis-New York game. All prices and point values are based off DraftKings.

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Winners

Jakob Bauers ($3,300)

Jakob Bauers had a career night at the plate, hitting for the cycle from the eighth spot in the order against the Detroit Tigers. He finished 4-for-5 with a double, triple, home run, four RBI and two runs scored. Bauers had not been a solid hitter for a long period of time this season, which made the feat even more incredible.

Bauers’ Outlook

Bauers has not looked like a prolific hitter thus far in 2019. He had been on a prolonged cold streak, going 20-for-107 with five home runs, 14 RBI and 36 strikeouts. Bauers is up to eight home runs and 26 RBI. The Cleveland Indians continue their series with the Tigers today, but do not expect Bauers to have a similar night. Fade him today.

Eloy Jimenez ($4,000)

Eloy Jimenez had a monster night at the plate yesterday against CC Sabathia and the New York Yankees. He finished 3-for-5 with a pair of homers, six RBI and three runs scored. Jimenez is now up to 11 home runs and 25 RBI on the season.

Jimenez’s Outlook

This was the best game of Eloy Jimenez’s rookie campaign. He provided the power numbers that usually take him a full calendar month to achieve. He was 9-for-25 in his previous seven games and five of those hits have left the ballpark. The Chicago White Sox continue their series against the New York Yankees today and with the Yanks implementing a bullpen day, Jimenez will continue to hit.

Losers

Blake Snell ($10,000)

Blake Snell did not seem to have his regular stuff against the Los Angeles Angels at the Trop last night. He went 3.1 innings and gave up four runs (three earned) on five hits. He also tallied four walks and three strikeouts but was not a factor in the decision. With the huge price tag and very limited production from Snell, you had to be disappointed in this outing.

Snell’s Outlook

Blake Snell has not looked like the dominant AL Cy Young Award ace that he was just one season ago. The 3.1 innings pitched was tied for his shortest outing of the season. The four walks is uncharacteristic of Snell, as he had four base on balls in the entire month of April. He has worked 38 innings in his past seven starts and has a WHIP of 1.37. His next scheduled start is on Wednesday afternoon in the Bronx against the division-rival New York Yankees. Expect Snell to bounce back and provide some length against the Yankees before they get their power sluggers back from their minor league rehab assignments.

Ryan Braun ($4,300)

Ryan Braun was held hitless in his five at-bats yesterday against the San Francisco Giants. Two of his at-bats ended with strike three and he left four runners on base. Braun has not looked like himself away from Miller Park and is in a miniature slump,, so fade him today.

Braun’s Outlook

Braun has looked like two completely different hitters at home and on the road and the splits show that. Away from Miller Park this season, he is batting .211 with almost a 300-point drop in his OPS. Compare that to a .315 average at home. He has been hitting .233 this past week. The Brewers will continue their series against the Giants this afternoon. Do not expect the former Most Valuable Player to begin hitting on the road today.

Injury Update

Jordan Montgomery of the New York Yankees threw live batting practice yesterday. He has not pitched this season after undergoing Tommy John surgery last May. The Yankees are eyeing an August return for him.

The Athletics announced that Stephen Piscotty had melanoma removed from his right ear. The team expects him to be out of the lineup for a week while he recovers at home and awaits further results.

Rookie phenom Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays was pulled in the first inning after being hit by a pitch in the left hand. The official injury is a left hand contusion and X-rays came back negative.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Bauer Power

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

We had a full 15-game slate for Friday June 14. There were 16 games if you included the remainder of the suspended St Louis-New York game. All prices and point values are based off DraftKings.

Winners

Jakob Bauers ($3,300)

Bauers’ Outlook

Eloy Jimenez ($4,000)

Jimenez’s Outlook

Losers

Blake Snell ($10,000)

Snell’s Outlook

Ryan Braun ($4,300)

Braun’s Outlook

Injury Update

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Cole, Meadows and More

Emely Sharman 5 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

There was a 14 game slate on Memorial Day. I will go into detail on some players who performed really well and a couple who underachieved. The game between the Royals and White Sox was postponed in the fifth inning. Points and salaries are based on DraftKings.

Winners

Gerrit Cole ($11,300)

Cole and the Astros hosted the Chicago Cubs on Monday and got the win 6-5. Cole pitched really well and gave up only two earned runs on three hits and a walk. He gave up one home run over his 99 pitches and six full innings. He was able to rack up 12 strikeouts against the Cubs order. He scored 35.10 fantasy points. Cole got the win in this one and improved to 5-5 on the year. His ERA is now at 4.02 with a WHIP of 1.05. These are very good numbers but his strikeout rate is where he makes up most of his fantasy points. He has 112 strikeouts over 71.2 innings for a K/9 of 14.08. He also only has 18 walks.

Cole’s Outlook

Cole’s next projected start will come against Athletics on Sunday June 2nd. The A’s have scored the the 12th most runs in the league this year and average 4.89 runs per game. They rank 18th in the league in batting average at .246. The Athletics do avoid the strikeout really well and average only 7.56 per game, which ranks them among the Top 5 in the league. Most of Cole’s production comes from his strikeouts and with the A’s being among the leaders in strikeout avoidance I see this as a spot to fade Cole.

Austin Meadows ($5,400)

Austin Meadows of the Tampa Bay Rays played against the Blue Jays at home on Memorial Day. The Rays won this game 8-3 in large part because of Meadows. He went 3-for-5 with a home run and a stolen base. He added three RBI and scored once. He also struck out once. Meadows’ home run came late in the game in the bottom of the eighth. He scored 29 fantasy points. Meadows has put up huge numbers so far. He is hitting .351 with an OPS of 1.105. He has 11 home runs and 30 RBI. He has also added six stolen bases. This is Meadows’ third multi hit game in his last four.

Meadows’ Outlook

The Rays have two more home games against the Blue Jays. Toronto’s pitching staff has been average this year and has the 14th best team ERA in the league at 4.29. They allow an opponent’s batting average of .244, which also ranks 14th in the league. Meadows has been an extremely hot hitter lately and I don’t think he will be slowed down too much by the Blue Jays pitching staff. If you can make room, roster him with confidence for the remainder of this series.

Yonny Chirinos ($7,900)

Yonny Chirinos, also of the Tampa Bay Rays, continued the dominance of the Rays pitching staff. He had a no-hitter for five innings before being pulled after just 69 pitches. He will not go too deep into games and this was not a surprise. He walked two and struck out seven. Chirinos improved to 6-1 on the year and has 11 appearances and five starts. He has an ERA of 2.91 with a WHIP of 0.86. His K/9 is only 6.80, which is right about on his career average.

Chirinos’ Outlook

Chirinos’ next projected start will come against the Twins at home. The Twins offense has been incredible this year and they average over six runs scored per game. They are second in the league with a .273 team batting average. They have hit 104 home runs, tops in the league. They also have the third least strikeouts in the league. All of this adds up to create a spot to fade Chirinos. Moving forward, though, I will look to roster him at his price even as his role doesn’t always allow him to go as deep into games as other pitchers.

Losers

Cole Hamels ($9,200)

Hamels and the Cubs faced off against the Houston Astros on the road and he was roughed up early in this one. He gave up six earned runs on seven hits and four walks over four innings pitched. He was not able to get one single strikeout in this one. Hamels dropped to 4-1 on this year. His ERA is now at 4.02 and his WHIP is at 1.36. He has 60 strikeouts over 62.2 innings this year and his K/9 is just under nine. This was Hamels’ second consecutive bad start after giving up three earned runs on nine hits, over just four innings in his last outing.

Hamels’ Outlook

Hamel’s next projected start will come against the St Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals average exactly five runs per game this year and have a team batting average of .253. With Hamels struggling lately and the Cardinals offense putting up decent numbers, I will be staying away from him in this one. I will most likely be staying away in the future until he can regain his early season form.

Ryan Braun ($4,500)

The Brewers beat the Twins on the road on Monday. They won 5-4, but most of the offensive production did not come from the big names. Braun went 0-for-4 in this one. His batting average is now at .274 and his OPS dropped to .813. He has also added four stolen bases this year. He has been really good lately and has a batting average of .407 in the month of May. He also has four home runs and 14 RBI this month.

Braun’s Outlook

The Brewers have one more game against the Twins before heading to Pittsburgh for a series against the Pirates. Minnesota’s pitching staff has been really good this year but the same cannot be said about the Pirates. The Pirates have a team ERA of 4.60, which ranks them at 19th in the league. They allow an opposing batting average of .250. I will not be rostering Braun against the Twins Tuesday but I will look for him to build on his huge May against the Pirates.

Injury Report

Austin Barnes has been placed on the 10-day IL with a groin injury.

Luke Weaver has been placed on the 10-day IL with a forearm injury.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Cole, Meadows and More

Emely Sharman 5 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

Winners

Gerrit Cole ($11,300)

Cole’s Outlook

Austin Meadows ($5,400)

Meadows’ Outlook

Yonny Chirinos ($7,900)

Chirinos’ Outlook

Losers

Cole Hamels ($9,200)

Hamels’ Outlook

Ryan Braun ($4,500)

Braun’s Outlook

Injury Report

Austin Barnes has been placed on the 10-day IL with a groin injury.

Luke Weaver has been placed on the 10-day IL with a forearm injury.

5 years ago 0 comment