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We move to the Atlanta Motor Speedway this week for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. This is another 1.5 mile track than has held racing since 1960. Jimmie Johnson once again is the active driver who has had the most success here with 4 wins, tied with legends Richard Petty, Dales Earnhardt, and Bobby Labonte. Brad Keselowski is the only other driver with multiple wins, taking down 2 of the last three in 2017 and 2019.

Hendrick Motorsports leads all owners with 9 wins, followed closely by Joe Gibbs Racing with 7 wins in Atlanta. Neither though have won the last 3 years. Chevrolet leads with 23 wins over the 19 for Ford, but the latter has taken the last 3 races.

Owner Wins at Atlanta Motor Raceway

Hometown Chase Elliott hopes to improve off of his poor Truck Race effort. He is on the Pole with Aric Almirola next to him in the front row. Dominators Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin are also in the top 10. The early race to the lead could be a big factor in who dominates and wins DFS GPP’s.

Starting Grid for Atlanta

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I decided to just lock it in with 41 lineups and not mess with them Sunday AM.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

  1. Brad Keselowski $8,900 (This price is a bit ridiculous – Should by over $10K)
  2. Jimmie Johnson $10,200
  3. Kevin Harvick $11,700

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

  1. Clint Bowyer $8,700
  2. Ryan Blaney $8,700
  3. Alex Bowman $9,100

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

  1. Michael McDowell $5,200
  2. Austin Dillon $6,400
  3. Brennan Poole $4,900

Here is my Driver Usage for Sunday’s Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500.

Driver Usage for Sunday’s Race

I also like 5 plays to win the race. I like Clint Bowyer for the WIN, but the 4 other obviously are in the mix.

WIN Best on Sunday’s Race

I am again on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5 and a couple of driver match ups. 3 units on Clint Bowyer and 1 unit on all other plays.

TOP 3 PICKS: Kurt Busch +500; Clint Bowyer +750

TOP 5 PICKS: Kurt Busch +275; Clint Bowyer +375; Austin Dillon +1100

Matchups: Clint Bowyer over Erik Jones -108; Austin Dillon -130 over Ryan Newman

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

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NASCAR moves to the Bristol Motor Speedway tomorrow for The Supermarket Heroes 500. This half mile track has given me fits in DFS, but I have had a good run at picking the winners. This week will be very tricky on DrafKings as the pricing and starting lineup is very difficult and true to normal form. Brad Keselowski will be on the pole with Almirola at his side. The top 10 is full of drivers who can take this down and is led by Kyle Busch in the 7th spot who has won at Bristol 8 times.

The Supermarket Heroes 500 Starting Lineup

Joe Gibbs has dominated taking 4 of the last 5 races, and 5 of the last 9 with Toyota. Chevrolet has 3 wins in the last 10 with Jimmie Johnson winning 2 of them. Brad Keselowski and Matt Kenseth are the only other active drivers with a win in the last 10 races.

Winners of the last 10 Food City 500 Races at Bristol

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am all about those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

  1. Kyle Busch $12,500
  2. Jimmie Johnson $10,200
  3. Brad Keselowski $9,100

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

  1. Kurt Busch $8,300
  2. Ryan Blaney $8,600
  3. Matt Kenseth $8,100

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

  1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,400
  2. Christopher Bell $7,300
  3. Aric Alirola $6,700

I also like 5 plays to win the race. I am riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win his 3rd Food City 500 in a row this week, but I do like 4 other value plays.

My Picks to WIN at Bristol Sunday

I am also on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5, Top 10, and a couple of driver match ups. 2 units on Kyle Busch and 1 unit on all other plays.

TOP 3 PICKS: Kyle Busch +100; Brad Keselowski +300

TOP 5 PICKS: Kyle Busch -152; Brad Keselowski +170

TOP 10 PICKS: Jimmie Johnson -118, Kurt Busch -137, Ryan Blaney -180

Matchups: Kyle Busch over Chase Elliott -136; Christopher Bell over Austin Dillon +135

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

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Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS

The following DraftKings and FanDuel Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS picks are intended for GPP purposes only. Click here to join us in the #nascar Discord channel now! Follow Josh on twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

The 2020 Alsco Uniforms 500 is set to drop the green flag at Charlotte Motor Speedway in Concord, North Carolina tonight.

This 500-kilometer (approximately 312-miles) race will consist of 208 laps. The stages will be 55-laps, 60-laps, and 93-laps. This race will be official after 104 laps.

The race will be rescheduled for Thursday if rain prevents the race from occurring Wednesday night.

FRONTRUNNERS

NO. 19 – MARTIN TRUEX JR. (FD-$14,000; DK-$9,400; +450) – Truex is among the three favorites to take the checkered flag at this race. Truex offers some point differential upside starting 15th and has the speed and ability to win this race and capture laps led points; he finished 6th on Sunday, with 87-laps led and 56-fastest laps.

NO. 9 – CHASE ELLIOTT (FD-$13,000; DK-$9,700; +500) – Chase was well-positioned to take the checkered flag this past Sunday when a late caution led to a second-place finish. Chase finished Sunday’s race with 38-laps led and 50-fastest laps, and took first place in last night’s Truck Series race, the North Carolina Education Lottery 200.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS: KYLE BUSCH (FD-$13,700; DK-$10,500; +625; starts 12th), KEVIN HARVICK (FD-$12,300; DK-$9,200; +900; starts 16), DENNY HAMLIN (FD-$12,000; DK-$11,200; +1400; starts 29), JOEY LOGANO (FD-$11,000; DK-$8,900; +1000; starts 8), BRAD KESELOWSKI (FD-$11,600; DK-$10,000; +1100, starts 20).

NOTE: Be sure to include the race winner in your Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS lineup, and pass on rostering drivers that finish below their starting position.

NO. 88 – ALEX BOWMAN (FD-$12,200; DK-$8,700; +600) Bowman led an impressive 164-laps on Sunday, and recorded 52-fastest laps. Starting 12th, Bowman dominated much of the race only to finish 19th. Bowman has the speed and ability to win and dominate this race but faces increased negative place differential risk starting second.

NO. 24 – WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$10,700; DK-$8,500; +1200)Byron will be starting for the pole tonight after finishing 20th on Sunday with no laps led and 13-fastest laps. He is one of the best young drivers in the Cup Series but his high starting position increases the risk of a negative place differential.

Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

NO. 48 – JIMMIE JOHNSON (FD-$11,200; DK-$12,300; +1000) – Jimmie Johnson finished second on Sunday but failed the post-race tech inspection. resulting in a disqualification. Therefore, he will be starting 40th this evening. With minimal down-side risk and significant positive place differential upside, Johnson should be found in many lineups tonight. Make sure to try at least one build without Jimmie just in case he takes an early exit. Jimmie’s last Cup Series win was in June 2017.

NO. 14 – CLINT BOWYER (FD-$9,000; DK-$11,800; +6600) – Bowyer crashed hard into the wall Sunday, and therefore, will be starting 39th. Bowyer offers significant positive place differential upside and should garner ownership on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Consider getting at least one build without Bowyer just in case he decides to take another hard right turn.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS: MATT KENSETH (FD-$7,600, DK-$8,100; +3500; starts 26th), BUBBA WALLACE (FD-$5,000; DK-$8,300; +55000; starts 38th).

SECOND-TIER STUDS

The following drivers do not have the most attractive starting positions but do have the ability to move up during the race and provide value if they do so: RYAN NEWMAN (FD-$7,000; DK-$7,500; +12500; starts 27th), KURT BUSCH (FD-$10,000; DK-$9,000; +1800; starts 14th), ERIK JONES (FD-$9,500; DK-$7,800; +1500; starts 10th), RYAN BLANEY (FD-$10,400; DK-$7,800; +1500; starts 18th), and TYLER REDDICK (FD-$8,000; DK-$7,600; +3500; starts 13th).

Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS

STARTING TOO HIGH

The following drivers may be starting a little too high and face risk of negative place differential: Reed Sorenson, Michael McDowell, John Hunter Nemechek, Cole Custer, Matt Benedetto, Austin Dillon (see note below), and Corey LaJoie.

NOTE: Austin Dillon does have the potential to finish top-6 and have a strong performance. Starting 7th increases his risk of negative place differential though.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

The following drivers have not finished on the lead lap during the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series season: Timmy Hill, Quin Houff, Gray Gaulding, Joey Gase, Josh Bilicki, and J.J. Yeley (with exception for the Fan Shield 500).

NOTE: Avoid rostering drivers that will not finish on the lead lap.

JMO’S DRAFTKINGS FAVORITES

Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones, Tyler Reddick, Bubba Wallace, Jimmie Johnson.

JMO’S FANDUEL FAVORITES

Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones, Tyler Reddick, Jimmie Johnson.

NOTE: All relevant updates related to these DraftKings and FanDuel Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS picks will be posted in the #nascar-research channel prior to lock.

“CHANGE YOUR GAME AND CHANGE YOUR LIFE.” Check out windailysports.com for additional insight on NASCAR, MMA, eSports, golf, and more.

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Last Week’s NASCAR Auto Club 400 was a step in the right direction as we made a slight profit. Alex Bowman won the race with the best car. Unfortunately, much of the chalk hit, so winning any big money was difficult with a number of ties at the top. This week’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix should be a bit different, with opportunities to have some lineup diversity.

The 48th running of this race, over the 1-mile tri-oval track, will have 3 stages and 312 laps as Stage 1 is set to end at Lap 75, and Stage 2 Lap 190. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated recently winning four of the last five Phoenix races, leading the most laps in each of the last six races (He has Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Truex Jr., and Jones this year) Many drivers have won multiple times on this surface including Kevin Harvick 9 (Five FanShield 500’s), Jimmie Johnson 4, Kyle Busch 3, and Denny Hamlin 2. Joey Logano and Kurt Busch have also won here before.

FanShield 500 Stats

Chase Elliott shined in Friday’s practice sessions finishing 2nd early and 1st in the late session. Many drivers showed well in both finishing in the top 10 of each including William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Erik Jones.

Practice Session #1 Friday
Practice Session #2 Friday

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Chase Elliot continued his weekend dominance in Phoenix also taking down the Pole in Saturday’s qualifying. His performance is much like what Bowman did last week and is hard to ignore in DFS and Win betting. Phoenix dominator Kevin Harvick joins Elliott in the first row. Hamlin, Larson, a Blaney round out the top 5.

Last year’s winner Kyle Busch will start in 10th and will have other top drives right behind him including Logano 13th, Keselowski 14th, Jimmie Johnson 21st. Martin Truex Jr. who qualified 12th will start the race in the rear due to an engine change.

FanShield 500 Qualifying Results

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track and showed speed in practice and qualifying. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided as they will go down multiple laps quickly with little chance to make a top 15 run. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $11,00
  2. Kyle Busch $12,000
  3. Brad Keselowski $10,400

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Chase Elliott $9.600
  2. William Byron $8,300
  3. Erik Jones $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,500
  2. Kurt Busch $8,100
  3. Bubba Wallace $6,000

I also like 6 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am again riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win this week, but Kevin Harvick can never be ignored.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The NASCAR Pennzoil 400 last week again did not break the bank even though I threw a ton of lineups at it. Many DFS cashes, but not the one perfect lineup needed to make serious cash. This week, we head to Fontana, California for the 24th Auto Club 400. Kyle Busch and Jimmie Johnson have won here three times each. No one else in this year’s field has won multiple times, but Kurt Busch, Keselowski, Truex Jr., Harvick, and Larson have each taken the checkered flag at this event. Roush Fenway leads at Fontana with 6 wins and the manufacturer Ford has 10 victories, but neither have dominated the event.

Alex Bowman dominated Friday as he led both practice sessions showing very good speed. Kurt Busch also did very well with the 4th best speed in each session. Kyle Larson, Matt DiBenedetto, Ryan Blaney, and Brad Keselowski also were able to gain the top 10 speed in each session. Rookies Christopher Bell and Tyler Reddick also showed some promising speed as well as. I think both of these new drivers will win this season.

Practice Session #1 Results
Practice Session #2 Results

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Qualifying Saturday was lead by Clint Bowyer who took the pole with a speed of 179,614 mph. Multiple time winner Jimmie Johnson will join Bowyer in the front row followed by Alex Bowman, who dominated practice, and Kurt Busch who will be in row #2. Other notables in qualifying include Keselowski in 15th, Kyle Busch in 17th, Hamlin in 28th, and Martin Truex Jr. who will start in the rear of the field in 38th after having troubles with pre-qualifying inspections.

Martin Truex Jr. is going to be hard to pass up with all of those points available for position differential. I am still riding Kyle Busch for the win, but Alex Bowman’s performance so far this week is hard to ignore. While I will fade him to win with his low odds, I will play him a bit in DFS as a potential dominator.

Auto Club 400 Qualifying Results

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. My mix of players with huge position differential possibilities and those who could dominate the race will hopefully get me the coverage needed. I will be working my DFS lineups late into the night Saturday and will post on twitter and discord my driver usage early Sunday. I will be playing far fewer lineups this week, but have not yet landed on a specific number.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kyle Busch $11,300
  2. Martin Truex Jr. $10,400
  3. Kevin Harvick $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Alex Bowman $8,800
  2. Aric Almirola $8,300
  3. Kurt Busch $8,600

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $7,000
  2. Matt DiBenedetto $7,600
  3. Bubba Wallace $6,100

I also like 5 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am a bit more chalky this week with 3 of my pick being in the top 5 in odds. Kyle Busch to my pick to win this week.

DraftKings Picks to Win the Auto Club 400 in Las Vegas

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The NASCAR Daytona 500 did not go exactly to plan, as avoiding the “Big One” is very difficult. At times, I was up 4x-5x, but I ended up slightly down after those last 2 crashes. I probably should have play 150 plus lineups. Hamlin had the best car and deserved the win.

NASCAR heads to Las Vegas for the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube. This is a 1.5 mile oval that is running this race for the 23rd time. Jimmie Johnson has won this race 4 times, which is two more than Brad Keselowski and Kevin Harvick who are the only other multiple winners. Joey Logano won last year’s edition and is joined by Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch as the other one-time winners in this year’s field. Keselowski and Truex Jr. also have won on this track in the South Point 400 run in September the last two years.

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The practice sessions heading into qualifying were interesting as 2 Ford’s driven by Aric Almirola and Clint Bowyer was in the top three of both sessions. Jimmie Johnson led the 2nd practice with a speed of 179.432 which topped the day. Bowman, DiBenedetto, Larson, and Blaney were the others who were in the top 10 of both sessions. Ross Chastain also looked good driving the #6 to a 6th place finish in session #2 replacing Ryan Newman.

Practice Session #1 Results
Practice Session #2 Results

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Saturday’s qualifying was canceled due to rain which put Kyle Busch on the pole followed by Truex Jr., Harvick, and Hamlin in the first 2 rows. All the power players on top leaves values play at a minimum. I will lean on those who did well in practice or have had decent success in Las Vegas. Kyle Busch, Hamlin, and Bell will start from the back of the field but will be scored on their starting position. This makes them difficult plays unless you’re looking to be contrarian.

Starting Grid

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I was very torn on how strong to play my top picks. I decided to play hard on those I thought could dominate in laps led and position differential.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $12,000
  2. Brad Keselowski $11,100
  3. Martin Truex Jr. $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Clint Bowyer $8,000
  2. Aric Almirola $7,800
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,400

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,600
  2. Daniel Suarez $6,000
  3. Ross Chastain $6,100

I am working on all of my lineups currently and will be posting these on twitter either later tonight or early Sunday AM on twitter.

I also like 7 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. My #1 pick would be Clint Bowyer at 25/1, but I think there is value with the other plays too.

DraftKings Picks to Win the Pennzoil 400 in Las Vegas

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The NASCAR field is finally set for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations duel races on Thursday help set the starting lineup. The first Duel race was won by Joey Logano who led 19 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. continued his good showing at Daytona with 27 led laps and an 8th place finish. Only Daniel Suarez was not running at the end after his crash. The 2nd Duel race was won by William Byron. Kevin Harvick led the most laps at 34 and finished 4th followed by 12 laps led by Alex Bowman who was the pole-sitter but finished 15th. As with the first duel, only one driver J.J Yeley was off the grid at the finish after the accident.

Bluegreen Vacations Duel 1 At DAYTONA
Bluegreen Vacations Duel 2 At DAYTONA

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Based on the finishes in the Duel races, we are going to have some chalk in DFS Sunday. Stenhouse Jr. leads everyone on the pole followed by Bowman and Duel Winners Logano and Byron.

Friday’s practice was lead by William Byron followed by Ryan Preece and Chase Elliott as Chevrolet dominated taking the top 7 spots for top speed. On Saturday, Joey Logano leads the afternoon practice session as Ford dominated.

Kyle Busch is going to be the top chalk starting in the 28th position. Hamlin 21st, Blaney 27th, and Elliott 25th will also be very highly owned. Only Bowman 2nd and Logano 3rd intrigue me at the top. I see Logano winning this race and leading the most laps. Kyle Busch and Hamlin would be my next 2 choices for top DFS point-getters.

Daytona 500 Starting Grid
Friday’s Daytona 500 Practice
Saturday’ Daytona 500 practice

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I have adjusted my top NASCAR plays at each pricing tier based on the starting grid, duel races, practicing, and most importantly the eye test.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kyle Busch $9,800
  2. Joey Logano $10,500
  3. Denny Hamlin $10,400

Mid-Tier

  1. Erik Jones $7,900
  2. Matt DiBenedetto $7,800
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,200

Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,700
  2. Brendan Gaughan $7,200
  3. Tyler Reddick $6,400

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The practices and qualifying at ISM Raceway have put me in a quandary as I consider the post-qualifying analysis for Phoenix. The big question for me is to play Chase Elliott or not. He dominated the 2nd practice and qualified 6th. His only chance to make the final 4 next week in Miami is to win, and I think he will take any chance to make it happen, He definitely has the talent to do so. Below is our post-qualifying analysis for Phoenix.

Practice Session #1
Practice Session #2

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Blaney, Harvick, Hamlin, Logano, DiBenedetto, and Kyle Busch all finished in the top 10 of both practice sessions and look to have good speed. Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin also took the top 3 spots in qualifying and must be part of a large percentage of DFS lineups. Truex Jr. qualified 4th followed by Larson, Elliott, and Harvick, so as I anticipated the leader board is going to be filled with the top talent all day Sunday. Blaney who qualified 10th was the lowest qualifier of the 8 still in the playoff.

Qualifying Results

I Identified 5 value drivers yesterday that I thought would play a big role in DFS lineups on Sunday. They qualified about where I thought they might except for Dillon who was lower than expected on 28th. I am a little worried that they will not have the speed to compete for a top 5 finish, and I leaned on experience with Johnson and Newman as I build my lineups.

  1. Ryan Newman – 20th
  2. Jimmie Johnson – 22nd
  3. Aric Almirola – 11th
  4. Austin Dillon – 28th
  5. Daniel Suarez – 15th

Some other drivers who intrigued me included Bowman who qualified 14th, DiBenedetto who qualified 16th, and John Nemechek who qualified 26th. I also still like the 4 plays I made yesterday using Almirola 42/1, Johnson and Suarez at 70/1, and the value play of the day Newman at 180/1 to win. The new post-qualifying odds have not come out yet, but it will be dominated I am sure by the top qualifiers and I do not believe there will be enough value on any of them so I will pass.

I ended up with 40 lineups this week on DraftKings. Pricing made it difficult to get as many of the top drivers as I wanted. I also really wanted to avoid too many deep values plays. My driver’s usages are below. Good Luck!!!

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I am leaning towards the under on both drivers here, but I think Blaney has the best chance to hit that number as he goes all in for a playoff spot.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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Finally had a good week of DFS in Texas as Kevin Harvick took care of business and punched his ticket to the final 4 in Miami. This week we head to the ISM Raceway in Phoenix to fill the last 2 spots in the playoff chase. Kyle Busch and Joey Logano have the advantage, but one wrong move on the track or in the pits can change that. Chase Elliott is in a major slump and is in a must win situation. I am interested to see how he practices and qualifies, because he could be an interesting DFS play.

Phoenix is a 1 mile track that opened in 1964. Since 2005 they have held 2 races a year which are currently the TicketGuardian500 and Bluegreen Vacations500. Harvick is the dominator here with 9 wins and 16 top 5 finishes. He will nearly be impossible to fade if he qualifies on top. Other drivers have also had success here like Jimmie Johnson (4 wins – None since 2009), Kyle Busch (3 wins – Including the last two at this track), and Ryan Newman (2 wins)

Playoff standing after Texas

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DFS this week will be very specific for me with the 5 drivers racing for the last 2 spots dominating my lineups. The cream will rise to the top and I can’t imagine any of those five not being in the top 10 unless they get caught up in a wreck. For me, Elliott will be the wild card. I will be over owned on him if he qualifies and practices well, and under owned or will fade him completely if he does not.

Regarding Harvick and Truex Jr. if they get the pole I will probably be 50% or more, otherwise I most likely will play them more as a GPP pivot. Contests will be won based on how the value performs. I have five drivers I will be focusing on.

  1. Ryan Newman – I love the fact that he has won here before and has driven very well the last 2 weeks. Outside of the Hollywood Casino 500 disaster, he has averaged 54 DK points over his last 3 finishes and is only $7,600 this week.
  2. Jimmie Johnson – He is a legend and at $7,900 I always have to give him a look. He has finished 34th or worse the last 3 weeks, but outside of those, he has finished 10th, 8th 9th, 11th, and 11th. He has a top 10 in him and possibly a top 5 if he gets some breaks.
  3. Aric Almirola – He has back to back 4th place finishes at this track his last 2 races, and he has proven week after week he is a top driver qualifying well and always in the mix including last week’s 2nd place finish. He just has to stay out of trouble and another top 5 is very possible.
  4. Austin Dillon – At $6,800 he is a tremendous value. He has been consistent and if everything goes right, he has serious top 10 potential. His value goes up if he qualifies outside the top 20 as long as he practices ok. He finished 8th in this race last year.
  5. Daniel Suarez – After a rough go of it lately, he finished 3rd last week and I think he can bring that momentum to Phoenix. I assume he will qualify in the 10-15 range and I love his top 5 potential. His last 3 finishes of 19th, 21st, and 36th here may also keep his ownership down.
2019 TicketGuardian500 at Phoenix Results
2018 Can Am 500 at Phoenix Results

Below are my pre Practice/Qualifying rankings. I will update my rankings and give my driver usage for DFS once qualifying is official.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $11,500
  2. Kyle Busch $11,900
  3. Kyle Larson $9,600

Mid-Tier

  1. Ryan Newman $7,600
  2. Jimmie Johnson $7,900
  3. Aric Almirola $8,100

Value Plays

  1. Daniel Suarez $7,200
  2. Austin Dillon $6,800
  3. Rickie Stenhouse Jr. $6,600

I was also looking at DraftKings’ and FanDuel’s sportsbooks and FanDuel has the best odd by far. There are 4 plays that I think have great value with Ryan Newman at 180/1 being ridiculous.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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Just 4 events left after a crazy finish in Kansas that saw Joey Logano edge out Brad Keselowski for the last of the 8 playoff spots. Now we head to Martinsville in NASCAR DFS to start the final-four playoff push for Miami. Kyle Busch leads the playoff standings with 46 points followed closely by Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin.

Current Playoff Standings. The top 4 after Martinsville, Texas, and Phoenix race for the title in Miami on November 17th

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The Martinsville Speedway is a 0.52 mile track that opened in 1947. The STP 500 is ran in the Spring and this race, the First Data 500, is always in the Fall. Jimmie Johnson and Hendrick Motorsports have dominated this event in the past as Johnson has 6 wins, with the last in 2016, and Hendrick Motorsports has 16 wins since 1987. Chevrolet dominated with 6 straight wins from 2011 to 2016, but Toyota and Ford have won the last two with Kyle Busch and Joey Logano. Denny Hamlin is the only other multiple winner of this event, winning back to back in 2009-2010. Johnson and Hamlin also have won the Spring STP 500 3 times each with Brad Keselowski winning it twice.

2018 First Data 500 Results

Here were my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings. This is a race where the cream usually rises to the top, and I like to choose drivers that qualify well. Sometimes you are forced to go outside the top 10 for value, but otherwise the top is best. You will also see the best drivers are slightly more expensive this week.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Denny Hamlin $11,000
  2. Joey Logano $10,100
  3. Kyle Busch $11,800

Mid-Tier

  1. Alex Bowman $8,300
  2. William Byron $8,000
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,100

Value Plays

  1. Ty Dillon $6,200
  2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000
  3. Paul Menard $7,100

Qualifying was not too surprising. Denny Hamlin took the pole and will be my main play for the race. Chase Elliott qualified 2nd, but due to a blown engine in practice, he will be starting at the rear of the field. The other playoff drivers were all over the grid with Truex Jr. 3rd, Blaney 6th, Joey Logano 10th, Kyle Busch 13th, Larson 14th, and Kevin Harvick a disappointing 22nd.

I decided to play only 3 lineups this weekend. Hamlin is in all three of them, then I mixed in the rest of my favorite plays. I was planning on playing deeper, but I decided to go with less lineups in more contests. My best week ever in NASCAR DFS was using one lineup that pushed over 600 points, so lets hope this strategy works again. My driver usage is below. Good Luck!

DraftKings DFS Picks for Martinsville

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I am going with the under for both drivers in this play. Elliott is at the back of the pack to start and I do not see Busch contending. Neither will lead enough laps to get the needed Fantasy Points.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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