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Ronald Acuna Jr

8/8 MLB DFS Hitting Stacks and Picks

5 years ago

written by

There’s only eight games on the schedule, and since each will be played under the lights, it will give you time to consider how to load your lineup with 8/8 MLB DFS bargain plays and stacks (besides the obvious one in Yankee Stadium). There’s at least two games with the stench of poor lineups along with a game or two that will produce a sleeper.Top 8/8 MLB DFS Stack: New York Yankees: Blue Jays starter Thomas Pannone has a 7.48 ERA on the road and a 48.1% fly ball rate. Wrong place, wrong time, Thomas. You can start your Pinstripe stack with blistering hot Mike Tauchman ($3,300 at FanDuel), who opened the week with three homers and five RBI. Brett Gardner ($3,000) is hitting .417 with a pair of homers and five ribbies over the past week, and there should be enough available to add Gio Urshela ($3.500), who returned to the lineup on Wednesday to go 3-for-5 with a pair of bombs and four RBI. If Austin Romine gets the start, get greedy and add his $2,700 to the line, as he’s homered in each of his last two starts.Chicago Cubs 8/8 MLB DFS Stack: Entering Wednesday’s play, the Cubs were batting a composite .295/.356/.515 over the past seven days with 10 homers and 26 RBI. Those numbers should remain on point as they play at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark and face Alex Wood, who has allowed three homers in his first two starts. Obviously, Javier Baez ($5,100 at DraftKings) will cost, but you’ll pay considering he’s hit .400 with three homers and nine ribbies over the last week. Kris Bryant ($4,300) also comes with a stiff sticker price, but he’s destroyed Reds pitching (.356, three homers, 1.130 OPS) this season. Kyle Schwarber ($4,500) is another high-priced bat, but he’s homered five times against Cincinnati this season.Detroit Tigers 8/8 MLB DFS Stack: Don’t laugh, but there’s some value in this lineup. Brandon Dixon ($3,100 at FanDuel) is hitting .357 over the past week with a homer and a stolen base to boot. Miguel Cabrera ($3,100) has a .346 average over the same span while also swatting a homer. Cabrera is hidden gold when the Tigers are at home. The ever-versatile Niko Goodrum is batting .333 with six RBI and comes in with a reasonable $3,200 salary.Now that we’ve stacked, I suppose you’ll want to get some more hitting into your system. Give ‘em what they want, right?8/8 DFS Hitting CatcherFrancisco Mejia, SD vs. COLDK ($3,200) FD ($2,200)The highly-touted bat is coming alive. Mejia has consecutive three-hit games and hit his fifth homer of the season on Wednesday. He’s slowly getting his hard contact rate on the upswing (32.7%) while quietly going .302/.351/.453 since the All-Star Break. Rockies pitcher Jon Gray has a 4.17 ERA outside of Coors Field and has allowed four of his 18 homers to Padres hitting.8/8 MLB DFS Hitting 1BMiguel Cabrera, DET vs. KCDK ($3,500), FD (3,100)As mentioned earlier, Cabrera is a solid hitter at Comerica Park, where he slashes at .351/.410/.446. His strong start to the month has seen him produce a 1.049 OPS in his first 22 at-bats. With Danny Duffy on the DL, the Royals will pitch Jorge Lopez, who makes his first start since May 28. Lopez will serve as the opener for K.C., but it doesn’t matter considering he’s allowed 10 homers in 48.2 innings on the road.8/8 MLB DFS Hitting 2BJon Berti, MIA vs. ATLFD ($4,200), DK ($3,000)The journeyman is making the most of his extended trip to The Show with four multi-hit games in his last five starts. Berti has a 1.087 OPS and will continue to keep highly-touted Isan Diaz on the bench. He’s become a line drive machine, hitting them at a 29.5% rate. The Braves will start the Bad version of Dallas Keuchel, as in the one who has a 4.71 road ERA and has allowed opposing batters to hit .301 against him outside of Atlanta. 8/8 MLB DFS Hitting 3BVladimir Guerrero, Jr. TOR vs. NYYFD ($4,500), DK ($3,700)He’s finally brought his OPS above .800 (.803) as Guerrero opened August with 11 hits in 26 at-bats that includes five extra base hits. What makes him interesting here is whether he become more consistent at home, where he’s hitting .254 with four of his 13 homers coming at Rogers Centre. Guerrero is batting .243 with a homer against New York pitching. Still, the one number that’s intriguing is the .390 OBP he’s established since the ASB, a clear sign The Chosen One is starting to get it. 8/8 MLB DFS Hitting SSBo Bichette, TOR vs. NYYFD ($4,400), DK ($3,800)Bichette has doubled in eight straight games; 11 of his first 18 hits have gone for extra bases, and it doesn’t hurt that Bichette has a stolen base to his credit. Yankees starter Domingo German is 14-2 overall but has been addicted to giving up dingers, as he’s allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts. German is also suspect on the road, where his 5.60 ERA is more than double the 2.19 ERA he’s posted in New York. 8/8 MLB DFS Hitting OutfieldersRonald Acuna, Jr. ATL at MIADK ($5,300), FD (4,300)He’s now one homer and four steals away from going 30-30, damn nifty for a 21-year old who’ll get some serious MVP consideration that Cody Bellinger and Christian Yelich won’t hoard. Acuna is locked in, hitting .357/.400/.750 in 28 at-bats this month. As good as his numbers were in the first half, Acuna has been filthy since the break with a .302/.373/.538 slash and a .911 OPS. He loves Marlins pitching, having hit four runs against them this season with a .916 OPS. Jorge Soler, KC at DETDK ($4,200), FD ($3,200)Speaking of impressive second halves, Soler’s .309/.436/.667 (1.103 OPS) would garner more attention if he were playing almost anywhere outside of Kansas City. Soler has raised his walk rate to 9.7% while adding 75 points to his Isolated Power total (.277). He’s never going to win a batting crown, but his reduction in pulling the ball from 53.2% last season to 45.8% this year has helped make him a more complete hitter.Aristides Aquino, CIN vs. CHCDK ($3,800), FD ($2,900)Aquino is swinging the bat in almost the same manner another #44 in a Reds uniform once did. He’s still light years from Eric Davis, but Aquino has a pair of homers and five RBI in his first 16 at-bats and is hitting the ball hard to the tune of a 50% hard contact rate. Aquino is a cheap option with a great upside playing in Great American Ball Park.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting for 7/23

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

Your preferred MLB DFS Hitting Picks for Tuesday

Catcher

Tyler Flowers, Royals at Braves ($2,400 FD, $3,700 DK): Part of my MLB DFS Hitting Braves stack, Flowers loves to see mediocre lefties on the mound. Well guess who he sees tonight? Danny Duffy.

First Base

Matt Adams, Rockies at Nationals ($2,600 FD, $4,100 DK): Even though the Rockies pitching staff got the benefit of an unplanned day of rest after yesterday’s rainout, Adams and the rest of the Colorado bats are still in a great MLB DFS Hitting spot. Over the past four weeks, Colorado is near the bottom of every major pitching category, even away from Coors. Peter Lambert has struggled to begin his MLB career and tonight will likely not be any different.

Second Base

Luis Urias, Padres at Mets ($2,400 FD, $3,000 DK): These type of choices allow for MLB DFS Hitting savings and the opportunity to use whatever pitcher you like tonight. Urias is part of the Padres plan to go with youth and Manny Machado the rest of this season and the foreseeable future. And the Padres current second base situation with Ian Kinsler and others has been plain bad offensively. Make sure Urias is in the lineup and pencil this righty in against lefty Jason Vargas.

Third Base

Josh Donaldson, Royals at Braves ($3,900 FD, $4,900 DK): This guy is seeing beachballs at the plate right now and the former MVP gets a mediocre lefty in Danny Duffy. Donaldson has homered in five of his last 11 games. A MLB DFS Hitting lock.

Shortstop

Trea Turner, Rockies at Nationals ($4,000 FD, $4,700 DK): Part of my Nationals stack, he will be in the leadoff spot and will try to get on base and cause chaos in front of some big Nationals bats against the weak Rockies staff.

Outfielders

Juan Soto, Rockies at Nationals ($3,900 FD, $4,600 DK), Adam Eaton ($2,800 FD, $3,900 DK) and Ronald Acuna Jr., Royals at Braves ($4,400 FD, $5,700 DK): Completing my Nationals and Braves stacks, we have two of the best young players in the game and a second “leadoff” hitter in Eaton for MLB DFS Hitting purposes.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS MLB Hitting and Monkey Knife Fight Picks for 7/18

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

First Base

Christian Walker, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($3000 FD, $4600 DK): An extremely affordable piece of a potent offense, Walker and the rest of the Snakes get a shot at Zach Davies, who is nothing more than a mediocre pitcher. Look for the momentum the Diamondbacks offense displayed last night to continue. Look to the other side of the diamond in Eric Thames ($2700 FD, $4500 DK) for another affordable DFS MLB option. Opposing pitcher Merrill Kelly has not been anything special.

Second Base

Keston Hiura, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($3600 FD, $5000 DK): His price has risen according to his talent. Recently moved up to the cleanup spot, Hiura gets the same matchup that Thames does and I am beginning to see a trend that a Brewers stack could be in a good spot.

Franklin Barreto, Athletics at Twins ($2400 FD, $3700 DK): He is an affordable piece of a hot Athletics offense that gets a major park upgrade heading to Minnesota. An especially good place to hit for righties. Look for Barreto to deposit a ball into the bleachers, something he has done twice in the last six games.

Shortstop

Marcus Semien, Athletics at Twins ($3300 FD, $4500 DK): For many of the same reasons that I like Barreto, I like Semien. Should be batting out of the leadoff spot too!

Didi Gregorius (N/A FD, $3600 DK): is in another DFS MLB bat I was looking at, but because it is the second game of a doubleheader, you will have to be waiting on the Yankees lineup. The price on DK might be too good to ignore if he plays.

Third Base

Anthony Rendon, Nationals at Braves ($4400 FD, $5100 DK): Rendon is consistently hitting the ball with authority and power. But he has not had a true monster DFS MLB game in awhile. That could change tonight with a major park upgrade.

Mike Moustakas, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($3800 FD, $4700 DK): He is in a good spot as well as a major part of the powerful and deep Brewers offense.

Outfield

Michael Brantley, Astros at Angels ($3800 FD, $4500 DK): History tells us to target lefty bats against Matt Harvey and in Anaheim for DFS MLB purposes. With Yordan Alvarez battling a knee injury and questionable to play, Brantley is the best lefty bat Houston has.

Ronald Acuna Jr., Nationals at Braves ($4000 FD, $4700 DK): He has stolen four bases in his last four games. In the previous four games before that stretch, he hit 3 HRs. He is the the best power-speed guy in the game today and going against Strasburg should not scare you away.

Ketel Marte, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($3700 FD, $5300 DK): He is an important part of any DFS MLB stack or mini-stack of Diamondbacks batters.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Let’s go for a minimum of 1 HR from this trio below:

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS: July 4th Offensive Fireworks Hitting Stacks

Wes Anderson 5 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Thursday’s MLB action may not include a Coors Game, but there are plenty of offenses to stack in DFS. We have four stacks to target as you assemble your Daily Fantasy Sports entries.

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Minnesota Twins

I am pretty sure the Oakland Athletics pushed Tanner Anderson’s start back a day just so he could help put on a fireworks show. Anderson has a 7.13 ERA this season, while allowing a robust 48.3% hard contact rate. The high amount of hard contact has led to home runs, as he is allowing 2.04 HR/9. With the Twins leading all of baseball in home runs hit, this seems like an appropriate spot to stack some Twinkies in DFS.

Anderson has been awful against lefties. He has allowed a .473 wOBA and 4.91 HR/9. So of course, we want to load up on the left-handed Twins. So our Minnesota stacks will need to start with Max Kepler (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,600). Kepler has an ISO north of .330 versus right-handed pitching. Other Twins bats worth considering are: Jason Castro (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,800) and Jorge Polanco (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500). These two bats have ISOs above .240 versus righties in 2019.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers’ offense is not normally in a position to stack. In fact, it has been good to our bank accounts to use starting pitchers against them. But this is just how bad the White Sox’s Lopez is. Lopez has a .5.12 SIERA and a low 10% swinging strike rate. He is not missing many bats and this is a perfect spot for us to pick on while we build DFS lineups.

Look to use the Tigers’ offense as a cheap stack to help load up on bats from Minnesota or one of these other teams. But target the likes of Brandon Dixon (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,300) and Gordon Beckham (FanDuel: $2,300 DraftKings: $3,300). All of these Tigers’ bats have ISOs over .200 against right-handed pitching this season.

Atlanta Braves

The Phillies’ Zach Eflin is not a terrible pitcher but he is not elite with his SIERA being 1.3 higher than his ERA. That means some regression is coming and it likely is coming today. Not only does Eflin struggle on the road with a 4.64 xFIP, but the Braves’ lineup is stacked with guys that crush righties. The Atlanta Braves have seven guys with regular at bats that are posting .200-plus ISOs against right-handed pitchers.

Of course, start your Atlanta DFS stack with Freddie Freeman (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,000). But you can also mix and match the likes of: Austin Riley (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,500), Josh Donaldson (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $4,000), Tyler Flowers (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,600), Dansby Swanson (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500), Brian McCann (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,400) and Ronald Acuna Jr (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,400). All four of these Braves batters have accumulated at least a .200 ISO versus right-handed pitching.

Kansas City Royals

The Royalsand Indians game should have plenty of fireworks from both offenses and may bea great spot to game stack for DFS purposes. But if you have to chose just oneside, the Royals’ offense is the way to lean. The Indians’ Zach Plesac has a5.01 SIERA and a 5.13 xFIP in 2019. He also is allowing flyballs at a rate of42.4% which has led to 1.91 HR/9.

Use HunterDozier (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,700), Jorge Soler (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,000) and Adalberto Mondesi (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,800).These three batters have ISOs greater than .200 against right-handed pitching.

But also, Dozier (.250 ISO) and Soler (.409 ISO) have crushed fastballs this season, which Plesac has thrown 55% of the time.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitters and Stacks for 6/29: Smashing Soto

Jared Contestabile 5 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks for Saturday

First Base – Eric Hosmer, San Diego Padres

DraftKings $4,100

Going up against Dakota Hudson in this one is a dream DFS matchup. A pitcher who can’t get lefties out against a left-handed bat who is hot at the plate? I’ll take that all day in DFS.

Second Base – Ketel Marte, Arizona Diamondbacks

DraftKings $5,200

Ketel Marte has been the hottest hitter in baseball over the last couple weeks. Against lefties he is batting .327 with only 12 strikeouts. I’ll ride the hot hand in DFS.

Shortstop – Alex Bregman, Houston Astros

DraftKings $5,100

In his career at Houston against lefties Bregman is a .296 hitter and he’s continuing that trend this season. He also does not strike out against lefties very much so with the ball most likely being put in play, I’ll take my chances in DFS.

Third Base – Anthony Rendon, Washington Nationals

DraftKings $5,200

Anthony Rendon is always a prime DFS play against a lefty. He gets a horrid pitcher in Soto, I’m all in here.

Outfield – Ronald Acuna Jr., Atlanta Braves

DraftKings $5,300

So far in Acuna’s young career he has been exceptional against left-handed pitchers (.308 BA). Matz tends to be on his game or horrible, I’ll lean with the latter and take Acuna

Outfield – Chad Pinder, Oakland Athletics

DraftKings $3,400

Chad Pinder is always worth a DFS look against an average lefty. So far this season he is batting .286 with five home runs against southpaws.

DFS Stacks for Saturday

1.) Washington Nationals

I am an avid Gregory Soto stacker. Every time this man pitches it’s an easy DFS stack and load em’ up situation for me. He is carrying a 4.50 ERA at home and a .350 BAA against righties. As mentioned above, Anthony Rendon is a smash play. I also love Juan Soto and Victor Robles in this one. I think the Nationals get to Soto early and run him out of Detroit.

2.) Houston Astros

Yusei Kikuchi has not been what the Mariners were predicting he would be thus far. His strikeout numbers are depleted and that hurts him because this Astros team just does not strike out. He’s going to be in store for a very rough afternoon.

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

DFS: Top Hitters and Prop Picks for 6/24: Cubs, Phils and Braves

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Our Monkey Knife Fight Picks and DFS recommendations have been killing it recently and we’re hoping for another strong slate here. We actually have a ton of great premium content available on our site too and you can check out those packages here.

Catcher

J.T. Realmuto, PHI vs. NYM

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

Realmuto has actually had a down year by his lofty standards but it’s lowered his price to this intriguing number. What really makes him an attractive DFS option on this slate is that he gets the platoon advantage in his favor, with Realmuto providing an .879 OPS against lefties so far this season. Steven Matz is not a guy we need to worry about either, as he’s posting a 6.21 ERA and 1.59 WHIP on the road this season and will have a tough time navigating through this potent lineup in a hitter’s park.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo, CHC vs. ATL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,900)

Rizzo’s DFS price has actually dropped about $500 on each site recently and it’s hard to understand why. Since starting with a .159 AVG after the first three weeks, Rizzo has returned to his All-Star form recently. In fact, Rizzo is posting a .324 AVG, .423 OBP and 1.054 OPS in the 47 games since that awful start. We always love when Riz faces a righty too, with the slugging first baseman posting a .920 OPS against right-handed pitching since 2017. I want to start batters against Julio Teheran for the next few weeks too, as his 5.08 xFIP and 5.09 SIERA screams major regression from his 3.40 ERA.

Second Base

Jason Kipnis, CLE vs. KC

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,000)

Kipnis has quietly been a stud the last two weeks and this DFS price is not indicative of how good he’s been. Over his last seven games, Kipnis is hitting .440 while providing three homers and 11 RBI en route to a 1.437 OPS. Almost all of that production has come against right-handers and it’s no surprise when you consider the fact that he has a career OPS approaching .800 with the platoon advantage in his favor. Brad Keller’s 4.45 ERA and 1.40 WHIP is also a variable in Kipnis’ favor, as he’ll be facing an Indians team that is averaging 6.4 runs per game over their last 10 fixtures.

Third Base

Josh Donaldson, ATL at CHC

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,000)

This might be the easiest DFS play on the board, as Donaldson is the greatest value around. Donaldson has obliterated left-handed pitching throughout his career and the slugging third baseman is scorching hot right now. Over his last 12 games. Donaldson is approaching a .400 AVG while collecting seven homers and 12 RBI. That’s the MVP Donaldson that we loved in Toronto and he has a career .956 OPS against lefties in his back pocket. Jon Lester is really struggling right now too and we’ll go over that more in out outfield write-up.

Also Consider: The third base position is absolutely stacked on this slate, as we also love Vladimir Guerrero Jr. against C.C. Sabathia and Nolan Arenado versus Drew Pomeranz. Both players are dominant against left-handed pitching and both guys are facing league-average arms.

Shortstop

Jean Segura, PHI vs. NYM

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,400)

This DFS play looks pretty obvious after the Realmuto write-up, as we definitely want to stack some Phillies. Matz’s road form is a major reason why and it becomes very scary for him with all of the potent righties in this lineup. Realmuto, Segura, Rhys Hoskins and Scott Kingery are all very much in play but Segura is easily one of their best values. The stud shortstop has absolutely obliterated southpaws this season, to the tune of a .644 SLG and 1.003 OPS. He’ll also be in the heart of an order that is projected for five runs.

Outfield

Ronald Acuna Jr, ATL at CHC

DK ($4,800) FD ($4,300)

We left you hanging in the Donaldson write-up, so let’s break down why we love the Braves for DFS today. The simple fact is, Jon Lester is struggling mightily right now, pitching to a 7.17 ERA and 1.59 WHIP over his last seven starts. That spells disaster against these potent righties and particularly a stud like Acuna. Not only has Acuna generated a 1.008 career OPS against southpaws, he’s actually providing a .314 AVG and 1.003 OPS over his last 19 games.

Ian Desmond, COL at SF

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,300)

This guy has actually really turned things around recently, which is evident by his .357 AVG and 1.077 OPS over his last 38 games. That’s incredible production from a guy that many people wrote off earlier in the year and a good amount of that damage has come against left-handed pitching. In fact, Desmond has accrued a 1.103 OPS against southpaws so far this season. Drew Pomeranz is definitely a lefty we want to exploit too, pitching to a 7.08 ERA and 1.78 WHIP.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC vs. ATL

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,100)

It’s weird that Schwarber’s DFS price hasn’t risen more, as he’s been a different player since being moved to the leadoff spot. Over his last 28 games, Schwarber has tallied 10 homers, 20 runs scored and 20 RBI. That’s all you can ask for from someone in this price range and we have to love him with the projected negative regression headed Teheran’s way. Schwarber has always been better against righties too, posting a .493 SLG and .830 OPS against them since 2017.

Also Consider: Randal Grichuk has had success against the Yankees throughout his career and gets the DFS platoon advantage against C.C. Sabathia in Yankee Stadium.

M onkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

I’m currently 11-6 over my last 17 MKF recommendations and I’m going to continue to ride strikeout props since those have been the most profitable for me thus far.

Steven Matz Under 5.5 Strikeouts

This play is just as much about the Phillies as it is Matz, especially considering his aforementioned road statistics in the DFS section. I really think Matz is going to have a hard time navigating through this righty-heavy lineup, particularly in a hitter’s haven like Citizen’s Bank Park. That’s why Vegas has Philadelphia projected for more than five runs, as the statistics don’t help Matz’s case much either. Not only do the Phillies rank 11^th in K rate this season, Matz’s 21 percent K rate since 2017 is also nothing to write home about either.

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Jon Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Many people don’t realize how good Gray can be at times and he’s truly been brilliant on the road throughout his career. Switching from Coors Field to Oracle Park is comparable to switching from Spirit Airlines to Emirates Airlines. It’s simply the best pitching environment in the Majors and it doesn’t even take into consideration that the Giants rank 28^th in runs scored and 29^th in OPS. The venue, paired with Gray’s 26 percent K rate since 2016 makes this my favorite prop play of the day.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS: Top Hitters and Stacks for June 23rd

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Sunday’s MLB action will include a couple of DFS studs on the bump in Justin Verlander and Jacob deGrom. But it will also include plenty of pitchers that you can exploit when building your Daily Fantasy Sports lineups. To help you take advantage of today’s situation let’s take a look at some of the top bats and stacks for Sunday, June 23rd.

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Catcher – Yasmani Grandal vs. Anthony DeSclafani

FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $4,700

The Brewers’ catcher has a .255 ISO versus right-handed pitchers in 2019. Grandal also has a .370 wOBA against righties. Grandal should take advantage and keep crushing righties in this one while carrying your DFS entries.

Value:

Zack Collins

FanDuel: $2,300

Danny Jansen

DraftKings: $2,100

First Base – Freddie Freeman vs. Joe Ross

FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,300

Freeman has a .290 ISO and a .416 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The Nationals’ Ross is allowing a .369 wOBA to lefties in his career. Freeman should do well in your DFS lineups.

Value:

Eric Thames

FanDuel: $2,600

Tyler White

DraftKings: $3,200

Second Base – Jose Altuve vs. J.A. Happ

FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $3,900

The Astros’ Altuve has a .389 ISO, a .473 wOBA and a 207 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with J.A. Happ. The lefty is allowing 2.03 HR/9 against right-handed batters this season.

Value:

Rougned Odor

FanDuel: $2,900

Carlos Sanchez

DraftKings: $3,000

Third Base – Yoan Moncada vs. Adrian Sampson

FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $5,100

The White Sox’s third baseman has a .262 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. He also owns a .529 wOBA and a 243 wRC+ against them this season.

Value:

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

FanDuel: $2,800

Travis Shaw

DraftKings: $2,700

Shortstop – Alex Bregman vs. J.A. Happ

FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $4,900

Bregman owns a .333 ISO and a .385 wOBA vs lefties this season.

Value:

Miguel Rojas

FanDuel: $2,300, DraftKings: $3,200

Outfield – Christian Yelich vs. Anthony DeSclafani

FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,700

The reigning MVP has a .430 ISO and a .501 wOBA versus right-handed pitching. Look for Yelich to produce big on Sunday.

Outfield – Ronald Acuna vs. Joe Ross

FanDuel: $4,200 Draftkings: $4,800

Acuna has a .352 wOBA and a 111 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in 2019.

Value:

Nomar Mazara

FanDuel: $3,200

Joc Pederson

FanDuel: $3,100

Eloy Jimenez

FanDuel: $3,100

Jake Cave

DraftKings: $2,900

Top Stacks

Texas Rangers:

When the temperatures are hot in Texas, you want to get Rangers’ bats in your DFS lineups. And today is no different, especially with the White Sox’s Ivan Nova on the bump. The Chicago’ right-hander has a 5.04 SIERA and a 4.73 xFIP this season. With Nova allowing a 43% hard contact rate in 2019, expect the Rangers to take advantage of the hot temps and put the heat on Chicago’s Nova.

Atlanta Braves:

The Braves’ offense comes in red hot. Over their last seven games, the Braves have pounded out 13 home runs. In that span, they have a .244 ISO and a .385 wOBA. The Nationals’ Joe Ross doesn’t seem likely to slow them down any today. The Washington starter has a 6.04 xFIP and a 5.02 SIERA this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers:

The Dodgers have crushed right-handed pitching all season. As an offense, Los Angeles has a .211 ISO and a .344 wOBA against righties. The Rockies’ Antonio Senzatela should be no match for the Dodgers. The Colorado pitcher is not missing any bats this season with a slate low 6.9% swinging strike rate. The Dodgers should put plenty of balls in play with success on Sunday.

Value Stacks

Chicago White Sox:

The Rangers’ Adrian Sampson is allowing a flyball 41.6% of the time. He also is allowing a 46.3% hard contact rate in 2019. Combine the flyballs, with hard contact and mix it into 90+ degree weather and that is a recipe for trouble. The White Sox should feast of this recipe and do it at a discount.

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5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/20: Texas Two-Step

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. WSH

DK ($3,300) FD ($2,500)

I honestly don’t really like this matchup, but this DraftKings price absolutely blows my mind. We’re talking about one of the best hitting catchers in the Majors and it’s a wonder why he’s priced below guys like Rene Rivera, Austin Romine and Caleb Joseph. Ramos is obviously the cream of the crop and that’s just a small sample of the nobodies who are ahead of him. Getting to face a lefty should limit some of the risk, with Ramos posting an .842 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017. Keep an eye on Ramos over the coming weeks, because he should be closer to $4,000.

First Base

Kendrys Morales, NYY at BAL

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,200)

Let’s keep the value plays riding, as Morales has found himself in the heart of the Yankees order. In fact, Morales has batted fifth in three of his first four games with New York, picking up a hit in all three fixtures while providing a homer, two runs scored and three RBI. That’s pretty much the Morales we’ve become accustomed to throughout his career and it’s hard to argue with his .860 OPS against righties last season. Getting to hit in Yankee Stadium should only improve that lefty power, considering that bandbox is the friendliest park for left-handed bats in the league. We’re talking about a guy with a career .189 ISO and .334 wOBA and it’s hard to understand why he’s flirting with a minimum price on both sites in the heart of a potent lineup. The icing on the cake is the matchup though, with Andrew Cashner posting a 4.54 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last four years, and the Yankees projected for more than five runs.

Second Base

Rougned Odor, TEX vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900)

Let’s keep our value plays rolling, as I really love Odor on FanDuel. I probably won’t ride him out there on DK at $4,300, but paying below $3,000 on FD is hard to overlook. What really makes Odor intriguing is his recent form. The lefty second baseman is one of the streakiest players in the league and collecting five homers, nine runs scored and 13 RBI over his last 11 games shows that he’s starting to get hot. What should scare off fantasy owners is his lack of discipline at the plate, but that shouldn’t be an issue against a contact pitcher like Mike Leake. Odor always performs better against righties too, posting a .754 career OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor while picking up almost all of his steals against them.

Third Base

Josh Donaldson, ATL at SF

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,500)

After a few value plays, let’s get to some higher-end options. While hitting in Oracle Park is a scary proposition, facing Andrew Suarez is not. In fact, the Giants southpaw posted a 4.49 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in the Majors last season, and he tallied a 6.33 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in Triple-A so far this season. This marks his first start of the year at this level and it’s a wonder why he was called up while struggling so badly. Suarez is especially bad against righties, with right-handed bats posting a .504 SLG and .363 wOBA against him in his career. That’s a beautiful sign for Donaldson, with the slugging third baseman posting a career .959 OPS against southpaws. He’s hot right now too, providing 12 doubles and seven homers over his last 35 games.

Shortstop

Carlos Correa, HOU vs. CWS

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,000)

Shortstop is an absolute nightmare on this slate, so we’re going to go big here with Correa. The slugging shortstop has been doing some serious damage in the heart of the Astros order, with Correa posting a 1.000 OPS over his last 25 games. That’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that Houston is the highest-scoring team over the last month. While we don’t know who he’s going to face, any time a potent offense like this faces a minor league TBD, it’s worth taking a shot on.

Outfield

Joey Gallo, TEX vs. SEA

DK ($5,700) FD ($4,200)

Much like Odor, we love to use Gallo against contact pitchers. The only weakness that Gallo has is that he strikes out a ton. With that K upside dropped a significant amount against Leake, he becomes one of the best options on the slate. Any time Gallo gets the ball in play, he’s a guy we want stock in. In fact, Gallo is one of the league leaders with a .441 xwOBA and a .362 ISO. He’s been even more absurd against right-handers, posting a 1.089 OPS against righties so far this season.

Ronald Acuna Jr, ATL at SF

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

Acuna got off to a slow start this season but recent results indicate that he’s back to his rookie form. Over his last 14 games, Acuna is hitting .304 with 10 runs scored, nine RBI, three homers and three steals. That directly correlates with him returning to leadoff duties and we definitely want to use him against a weak lefty like Suarez. Since his call-up, Acuna owns a .391 OBP and a 1.001 OPS against southpaws while posting a .658 SLG against lefties so far this year.

Shohei Ohtani, LAA vs. MIN

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,800)

This DraftKings price is really hard to understand, as Ohtani has been one of the best hitters in the league since joining the Angels. Dating back to last season, Ohtani actually ranks Top 5 in the league in OPS. One would argue that he’s an even better hitter this year, with the Japanese slugger providing a .391 xwOBA so far this season. The lefty slugger is really finding his form at the plate too, collecting nine hits over his last 28 at-bats. We always want to use him against righties too, with Ohtani posting a 1.011 OPS against right-handers since his signing.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Gallo/Odor/Choo combining for more than 4.5 runs+RBI

With a limited slate, we’re going to go with just one pick here. I really like the Rangers today and we’re going to back these Texas righties against Mike Leake. While Leake is a solid pitcher, he seems likely to struggle against a lefty-heavy lineup in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park. The main reason is because Leake has a minuscule 16 percent career K rate and that spells disaster in a park like this. Vegas appears to agree with me, as they have the Rangers projected for six runs, the highest total on the slate.

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5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/20: Texas Two-Step

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. WSH

DK ($3,300) FD ($2,500)

First Base

Kendrys Morales, NYY at BAL

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,200)

Second Base

Rougned Odor, TEX vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900)

Third Base

Josh Donaldson, ATL at SF

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,500)

Shortstop

Carlos Correa, HOU vs. CWS

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,000)

Outfield

Joey Gallo, TEX vs. SEA

DK ($5,700) FD ($4,200)

Ronald Acuna Jr, ATL at SF

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

Shohei Ohtani, LAA vs. MIN

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,800)

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Gallo/Odor/Choo combining for more than 4.5 runs+RBI

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Drafting Smart

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Drafting Smart – written by Brian Handzel

Rougned Odor (2nd Base, Texas Rangers)

Drafting smart this time of year is important, but where can you save yourself headaches and still get a value? My value pick of the day is Rougned Odor. With an average draft position of around 128, in season-long leagues, according to RotoBaller, Odor should be a steal for a daily pickup. Since 2014 Odors walk rates have been on the rise;

2014: 4.1%

2015: 4.9%

2016: 3%

2017: 4.9%

2018: 8%

2019: Spring Training, 11.4% (as of 3/20/19)

What does this mean for Odor this season? According to Fangraphs, Odor is projected to keep a walk rate of 8%, while producing a slash line of .249/.307/.445 and a WRC+ of 97. So a league average player with a high walk rate. In a daily prospective Odor should be cheap on a daily basis. You’ll be able to fill your lineup with big hitters without having to scrape the bottom of the barrel for no upside.

At 25 years old, if Odor is on base, which by his projections he will be over 30% of the time, he is a threat to steal. This is no longer the 80’s where everyone is running all over, but Odor should be able to amass some steals. Any player you can pick up who will give you the on-base percentage and steals is definitely a good pickup, especially if you don’t have to spend a lot to obtain them.

So keep an eye out for Rougned Odor this season, especially if he is a cheap option to fill the 2nd base slot so you can load your lineup with big hitters to maximize your daily lineup.

Jung Ho Kang (3rd Base/ShortStop, Pittsburgh Pirates)

Kang is projected to hit .266/.340/.464 in 104 games this season with 17 home runs and 59 runs batted in. Good average, great on base percentage, Kang is going to produce for you, without the giant price tag. With the low price tag, just like Odor, you can maximize other positons while still getting production from your lower paid slots.

Kang, at least in the beginning of the season is going to be relatively forgotten about since he has only played in three Major League games since 2016. Don’t let that deter you from taking the value on Kang though because in 2016 when he played in 103 games he slashed .255/.354/.513 with 21 home runs and 62 runs batted in.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (Atlanta Braves)

Will last year’s National League Rookie of the Year come back for another great sophomore season or will there be a classic case of the sophomore slump? According to Fangraphs, Acuna is going to dominate again. Last season Acuna slashed .293/.366/.552 with 26 home runs and 64 runs batted in. This season he is projected to slash .276/.344/.511 with 30 home runs and 81 runs batted in. Acuna is going to be a costly player, but he is going to be one that you should be willing to spend on.

Not only is Acuna going to get on base and hit the ball hard, but he is also going to grab you some ever-elusive steals. Projected to swipe 25 bags this year, Acuna’s speed is a big difference maker when it comes to spending because he can fill up more categories than just your average power hitter.

Teoscar Hernandez (Outfield, Toronto Blue Jays)

Last season Hernandez came on the scene and played in a career-high 134 games for the Blue Jays.

Hernandez ensured that if he was going to get the playing time, he was going to make the best of it.

Hernandez produced a slash line of .239/.302/.468 which were all career highs. To add to the list of career highs, he also hit 22 home runs, drove in 57 and on top of all that, stole seven bags. With regular playing time, Hernandez could be a key piece to an outfield. But with Toronto’s outfield of Billy McKinney, Kevin Pillar, and Randal Grichuk, it doesn’t look like Hernandez will get the chance to be an everyday player in Toronto.

Even without regular playing time, I feel like Hernandez can be a great cheap option for you. Steamer projects Hernandez to play in 99 games and l to produce a slash line of .236/.301/.435 while amassing 14 home runs and seven stolen bases.

Steamer is also projecting a .320 BABIP and a .316 wOBA. All of these stats equate to essentially a league average player, and the 99 WRC+ shows that. Fangraphs also projects Hernandez to produce a slightly above average WAR, at 0.3.

Don’t sleep on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (3rd Base, Toronto Blue Jays

There is no doubt that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is going to be taken in the first round in every draft this season. If he makes it to you, take him. Last year Vlad Guerrero Jr. slashed .381/.437/.636 with 20 Home runs and posted a WRC+ of 201 over 4 levels. With a steamer projection of .306/.368/.511 with 22 home runs and a WRC+ of 138, Guerrero will be a slam dunk first round pick. It doesn’t matter if you’re in a

redraft league or dynasty, Vlad Guerrero Jr should be taken in your first round, as long as you pick picking up Mike Trout or Mookie Betts.

5 years ago 0 comment

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