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Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

It’s Friday and we have ourselves a nice sized 11-game slate of MLB DFS.  We have ourselves a Jacob Degrom night.  Our dilemma will be do we use him against a good Yankees lineup?  We also have ourselves a Coors slate and that always brings into question whether or not to fade that game.  One thing we’ll need to keep an eye on is the weather tonight.  Things look pretty dicey in the northeast.  The Mets/Braves should play, but anything can happen when it rains.  The Pirates/Nationals game doesn’t have a remote chance of playing as it’s supposed to rain all day in DC.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Jacob deGrom vs. New York Yankees

I miss him in the blue and orange.  I talked myself into, “it’s ok, he’s always hurt.”.  But man, when he’s on he’s the best pitcher of our generation and I don’t think it’s even close.  deGrom proved in his last outing that getting pulled for the wrist issue was truly precautionary.  In that outing, he went on to strikeout 11 A’s hitters in just 6 innings of work. 

Over his last 26 innings, deGrom has an insane 42% k rate.  He’ll face a Yankees team that is striking out 25% of the time against normal righties.  That number will just go up against someone like deGrom.  The Yankees will also be without Aaron Judge tonight, making this Yankees lineup that much weaker.  deGrom for all the monies tonight. 

Max Fried vs. New York Mets

As a Mets fan, it pains me to recommend a pitcher vs. them.  That said, the offense just hasn’t been good of late.  Although they scored 9 last night, they were coming off a 4-game stretch where the offense was laughable.  They also haven’t been that good vs. lefties this season or really in the recent past.  Fried has the chance to be one of the top pitchers on the slate tonight. 

While he hasn’t been striking a ton of batters out, he’s been really good.  His ERA on the year is a measly .6. He’s been doing this by limiting hard contact and flyballs.   His hard-hit rate is just 12% and his flyball rate is less than 28%.  If he can continue to limit the hard contact and fly balls, he’ll be able to have his way tonight vs. the Mets. 

Other pitchers that I like tonight are Luis Castillo vs. and inconsistent Blue Jays lineup and Framber Valdez vs. Philly.   

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tyler Anderson

The season started out great for Tyler Anderson as he shut out the Oakland Athletics.  Since then he’s gone on to give up 16 ER in his last 13 innings of work.  Anderson’s numbers this season look a little wonky.  He’s given up just a 25% hard-hit rate, but he’s also given up 7 barrels in the 20 innings of work.  This means he’s making mistakes and the opponents are taking full advantage of it when he does.  We’ll mostly want the righties here.  They have a .442 wOBA vs. Anderson and a .294 ISO.

I’ll start my Brewers stack off with William Contreras and Brian Anderson.  These 2 have been the Brewers’ most consistent hitters vs. lefties this year.  Contreras has been by far the best too.  On the year he has a .250 ISO and a .458 wOBA.  Over the last week, he’s also done well with 5 hits in 15 AB and an OPS over 1.000. 

While Willy Adames hasn’t don’t well vs. lefties this year, he lines up well against Anderson.  Other than his fastball, Anderson’s main pitch vs. righties is his changeup.  Adames has a wOBA over .400 vs. this pitch over the last few years.  This is a great get-right spot for him.  Other bats to look at here will be Mike Brosseau, Luke Voit, and Joey Wiemer.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Lucas Giolito

There was a time when you just wouldn’t want to stack against Lucas Giolito.  Those days are long done.  Gio is going to have his hands full tonight with arguably the best team in all of baseball.  I like picking on Gio because he makes a ton of mental mistakes. 

He’s already given up 10 barrels and 4 homers on the year.  His 50% flyball rate is something that we want to attack.  I’m going to give a slight lean to the lefties in this lineup tonight for the Rays. 

The important bats I want here are going to be Wander Franco, Brandon Lowe, and Josh Lowe.  Wander Franco is one of the most talented bats in all of baseball.  This is a matchup that he should be able to take full advantage of tonight.  He hasn’t homered in over a week, but he’s 9 for his last 29 and almost always puts the ball in play.  Look for him to continue his strong play. 

He’s not a lefty, but Yandy Diaz has been one of the best bats on this team of late.  He’s 12 for his last 30 and has a team-leading 7 wRC over the last week.  And last but not least, Randy Arozarena is always in play.  The Rays have one of the highest implied run totals for anyone not in Coors tonight.  They should smash like usual. 

Oakland Athletics vs. Luis Cessa

The A’s pitching this season has been atrocious.  Their bats however have not.  They’ve surprisingly hung around in many games this season that they had no business hanging around in.  Tonight they’ll get a tasty matchup vs. Luis Cessa.  Cessa is coming off a good start vs. the Pirates, but in the 2 starts prior to that, he gave up a combined 16 ER. 

He’s someone that has struggled with putting runners on.  His WHIP on the year is a massive 2.34.  That means he’s putting more than 2 runners in an inning.  That’s something I want to attack.  Both sides of the plate have a wOBA over .400 vs. him this season so I won’t be overly concerned with splits.  That said, lefties have been getting more power so we don’t want to miss them.

The 2 main bats I’m looking at here are Brent Rooker and Jesus Aguilar.  Rooker has been by far their best bat this season.  Over the last week, he’s 6 for 22 with 3 bombs.  He’s crushed righties this season with a .400 ISO and a .491 wOBA.  His price is still just $3.4k and is a great value.  Aguilar also had a solid week.  Over his last 20 AB, he has 3 homers and 4 barrels.  He’s seeing the ball well right now and should be able to do well vs. Cessa tonight. 

Other bats to look at here are Jace Peterson and Conner Capel.  Also, a complete game stack is very much in play here. Both sides should get in some offense tonight.

MLB DFS Summary

We’ll want to monitor the weather carefully tonight as there are a handful of games that could be delayed or PPD. 

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s eight-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

No heavy rain in the forecast tonight, but there are a few light showers in the San Francisco area for Braves-Giants. Nothing that should keep us off the game.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Corbin Burnes ($11,200)

Burnes is coming off an 8.0 IP, 14 K (and no-hit) masterpiece in Cleveland on Sept. 11 where he racked up 76 FD points. The only thing that gives me pause is the fact that after a 15 K game against this Cubs team on Aug. 11, he only recorded 3 Ks in his next outing versus the Cards. But that’s nitpicking. He’s the best arm of the slate with the highest floor and ceiling, and it’s not particularly close. Unless he gets lit up, he’s probably looking at a 40-point floor and 70-point upside again.

Best GPP Value: Lance McCullers ($9,900)

I think we probably need to find a way to fit Burnes into most of our GPP builds tonight as well, but McCullers in a home matchup against the Diamondbacks does offer some opportunity for salary relief with about 75-80% of the upside that the Milwaukee hurler does. The biggest knock against him tonight is the fact that Lance isn’t great against lefties, and Arizona (a high strikeout team for sure) could roll out up to seven against McCullers in this game. Still — there are not any really cheap options on this slate that don’t involve massive risk, so I think the best bet is still using a top arm and finding value in the bats.

Contrarian GPP Play: Lance Lynn ($10,300)

Lynn is the only other pitcher on the slate with 65-70 points upside, but it’s ben a while since we’ve seen that kind of dominance out of the right-hander. The appeal here is the tasty matchup facing the Rangers, a small cost savings from Burnes and lower projected ownership, but I’m not sure that sacrificing the upside and floor is worth rolling him out in any more than one or two GPP lineups out of 10. McCullers and Lynn project for similar outcomes tonight.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Houston Astros

It’ll be damn near impossible to afford the top bats (Jose Altuve at $4,200, Alex Bregman at $4,300 and Yordan Alvarez at $4,000) from Houston tonight in lineups that lock in Burnes, but if we grab some value bats from the bottom of this potent lineup, we can get a piece of this high projected run total (5.7) and still get exposure. I’m looking primarily at righty killers Kyle Tucker ($3,900) and Yuri Gurriel ($3,300) with Jose Siri ($2,700) and Jake Meyers ($2,400). Chas McCormick ($2,400) is obviously also an option if one of the other OF sits.

GPP Value Stack: Los Angeles Angels

Attacking objectively bad sinkerballer Daulton Jeffries, who is starting for the A’s, is where we can find the necessary firepower to build a winning lineup. If we start out our FD builds with Burnes and sinker destroyer extraordinaire Shohei Ohtani ($4,400), we have $2,771 per remaining hitter left in salary. This leaves us with the value options in the aforementioned stack and guys like Brandon Marsh ($2,400), Darrin Fletcher ($2,600), Max Stassi ($2,400), Jared Walsh ($3,000) and Luis Rengifo ($2,300) — who hits sinkers particularly well, as Adam Strangis points out in his MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.18 article.

GPP Stack #2: Oakland Athletics

If we’re grabbing some Angels, there’s no reason we can’t get some of the other side of this matchup as well, as the Athletics offer some excellent value options in their lineup facing lefty Jose Suarez. Those bargain bats include 2B/3B/UTIL eligible leadoff man Josh Harrison ($2,900), Chad Pinder ($2,200), Yan Gomes ($2,600) (or Sean Murphy at $2,100) and Khris Davis ($2,100). If there’s room for Mark Canha ($3,200), Starling Marte ($3,800) and Matt Olson ($4,200), that’s great — we could even mix and match and exclusively game stack OAK-LAA — avoiding the chalky Houston bats altogether in some of our GPPs.

Bonus Contrarian Stacks: Seattle Mariners, Milwaukee Brewers

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

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Welcome to the Saturday edition of Picks and Pivots.  Today we have a 6 game afternoon slate and a 9 game main slate of MLB DFS on DraftKings to navigate through. 

Hey all, it’s Jared and I’ll be filling in for Brian the next couple of days.  My goal today will be to walk you through my thought on process on tonight’s slate and find the best path to victory.

Let’s dig in to today’s slates!

Afternoon Slate Breakdown

Today’s afternoon slate leaves us without any real aces.  The most expensive pitcher is Montas at $9.3k and I just don’t want to use any pitcher against the Yankees right now. 

My pool of pitchers on the afternoon slate will consist ofAlex Manoah ($8.7k) vs. Detroit Tigers, Vladimir Gutierrez ($8.5k) vs. Miami Marlinsand Sandy Alcantara ($7.7k) vs. Cincinnati Reds.  My lean right now is to go with Gutierrez and Alcantara. 

Both guys are rolling and get soft match ups.  The Marlins aren’t hitting for much power and striking out nearly 25% of the time against righties over the past month.  It sets up for Gutierrez to continue his string of solid outings. 

On the other side of this game we have Alcantara who’s also rolling right along with 3 consecutive gems.  The Reds have a lot of power to the lineup but they also strike out a ton.  Over the past week they’ve struck out more than 31% of the time.  Look for a pitcher’s duel here.  

The first place I’m going to look to for offense on the afternoon slate will be Oakland with theAthletics vs. Nestor Cortes.  Cortes has not been good over the last month with a 5.35 xFIP.  My main focus here is going to be the A’s righties. 

Righties have a 52% fly ball rate against Cortes over the last 30 days and I’ll want to exploit that.  My building block here will be Chapman ($4.9k) who has been crushing lefties of late with .429 ISO over the last month.  If Yan Gomes ($3.8k) cracks the lineup he’s set up well for a great too as he’s had a lot of success against lefties over the course of his career. 

I say this time and time again, don’t leave off the lefty bats in match ups like this.  Olson ($5.4k) is really solid vs. lefties and we could potentially get him under owned. 

One of my favorite targets for offense returns tonight with Jose Urena coming off the DL.  He is a career GB pitcher who has forgotten how to throw ground balls.  The two Blue Jays I’m most interested in are Gurriel ($4k) and Semien ($4.9k)

Both guys have been doing well against righties in August with ISO’s over .240 for both of them.  Yes, the Blue Jays are struggling right now.  Urena is the perfect pitcher to break them out of their slumps.

I’ll also make sure to sprinkle in some Royals against Anderson.  Perez ($5.9k) is expensive but he’s extremely hot right now.  We paid down for pitchers so we have some room for salary.  No Royals stack against lefties would be complete without Merrifield ($5.2k).  

Main Slate

Pitching tonight has to start with Lance Lynn ($9.6k) vs. Chicago Cubs.  His price tonight is way too low for the match up.  He’s facing a team that’s striking out more than 30% of the time over the last week. 

Pitchers against the Cubs have been a thing since the trade deadline.  Lynn will be chalky tonight but with his price and match up I just don’t think fading this chalk will be worth it. 

The guy I plan on pairing with Lynn isn’t a sexy pick, but it’s a pick that’s been pretty consistent.  Stroman ($8.9k) has been the lone reliable arm for the Mets all season. 

Over the past month he’s really taken it up a notch with a 27.8% K rate and a 3.56 xFIP.  The Nats have been playing better ball of late but they struck out 17 times last night.  They’re coming back down to earth and with Stroman on the hill tonight that descent will continue. 

The only other guy tonight I’d consider is Wainwright ($9.2k).  He has shown some serious upside over the last month with multiple games over 38 DK points, with one of those against this same Pirates team.  Pairing either Wainwright or Stroman with Lynn tonight will be the way my lineup will work tonight.  

While the Rays for the most disappointed last night, Brian would absolutely have me go right back to the well tonight.  W/ John Means on the mound we have another great opportunity for offense. 

Means has been a different pitcher since he came back from injury.  His biggest obstacle has been the long ball.  Since coming off the IL he’s given up 10 in just 7 starts.  We want to attack Means with Rays righties as they rightes have a .326 ISO against him over the past month. 

There are 3 guys here I’m laser focused on.  It starts with Zunino ($4.6k) who has been absolutely crushing lefties over the last month.  He has an insane .722 is over that period.  

Arozarena ($4.2k) and Cruz ($5k) are my other targets here.  Both guys are also great against lefties with their respective .500 and .389 wOBAs over the last month. 

For the rest of my lineup, I’m going w/ a full game stack of the Bal/TB game.  Patino has really struggled over the past month.  He has a 5.94 xFIP and has given up 5 bombs in the last 26 innings. 

We want to attack Patino w/ lefties as his fly ball rate sky rockets to 54%.  They also have a .286 ISO against him in the last month.  The Orioles have some cheap lefties that are going to enable us to play the expensive Rays. 

Stewart ($2.1k) and Santander ($3.2k) are both extremely cheap and have been extremely productive vs. righties.  Over the last 30 days Santander has a .396 ISO and Stewart has a .429 ISO.  It’s still going to be hot and humid in Baltimore and I’d expect a high scoring game tonight.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

Pitching on both slates seem pretty straight forward with a Gutierrez/Alcantara pairing in the afternoon and then Lynn and a Stroman/Wainwright pairing.  With bats I’m going to anchor my early stack w/ the A’s and then the late night hammer w/ the Rays.  

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Welcome to the Monday edition of Aces and Bases.  Tonight we have a small 6 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. 

My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day.  With a small slate comes a limited pool of options.

Let’s dig in to today’s slates!

MLB DFS: The “Aces”

I’ll start by saying pitching today is tough.  We have one pitcher priced above $10k in Lance Lynn and I just don’t think I can go there with him against the Blue Jays.  The next guy down is Alek Manoah and he too is facing a tough lineup in the White Sox. 

Will Crowe ($6.2k)  vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – This tells you all you need to know about pitching today.  Crowe hasn’t been awful over the past 30 days.  His xFIP is in the low 4 range and he’s actually been striking some batters out.  His K rate is 25% over that same period. 

Of the pitchers throwing today, only 2 have a higher K rate over the same period.  I’m going here today because the match up is soft.  Arizona just came out of the best hitting environment and outside of yesterday’s break out they weren’t able to muster much offense. 

The lineup today for Arizona should have 6 lefties in it.  Although Crowe does tend to give up more fly balls to lefties, he also strikes them out more.  Over the past 30 days he has a near 30% K rate vs. lefties.  With his salary, you can just about get any bat you want to day. 

Antonio Senzatela ($7.3k) vs. Chicago Cubs – I told you it was bad today.  The projected cubs lineup tonight has 25.5% K rate over the 30 days against righties with just a .134 ISO.  They’re striking out at a good rate and not putting up much power. 

The wind is projected to be blowing out of Wrigley tonight but I’m not as worried with Senzatela on the mound as he’s a ground ball pitcher.  With pitching so awful tonight I’m more looking for a decent floor.  Senzatela provides that has 7 consecutive starts with at least 20 FD points. 

Over the last month he has a 4.13 xFIP so he hasn’t been that bad at all. He’s not a high strike out guy at just 14% during that same period but a match up against the Cubs should see that number climb tonight.

Huascar Ynoa ($8.6k) vs. New York Yankees – I probably won’t get here tonight because of the match up vs. a hot Yankees lineup, but Ynoa provides some decent K upside tonight.  While Ynoa has missed some time this year, he has a 27% K rate on the year. 

The Yankees hit for a lot of power, but they also K a lot.  Over the past month they have a 27% K rate vs. righties.  If Ynoa can limit the damage tonight, he has some serious K upside.  He’s my high risk/high reward pitcher tonight.    

MLB DFS: The Bats

Houston Astros vs. Daniel Lynch – That box score of Lynch’s looked great last outing.  He had 5 strikeouts, gave up just 4 hits, and only 1 ER in 7 innings.  Sometimes, looks can be deceiving. 

He also gave up 9 hard “hits” that amounted to a 53% hard hit rate.  His BABIP on the game was a pretty low .235 and his LOB % was over 85%.  What looks good in the final line doesn’t always tell the whole story.  My hope is that the casual fan looks at just the box score and not what actually happened in the game. 

The Astros have a handful of guys that have been absolutely crushing lefties of late.  Alvarez ($4.1k)Gurriel ($3.1k), and Diaz ($2.7k) all have ISO’s north of .300 against lefties over the last 30 days and those 3 are going to be my priority.  I’m focused on these 3 because of a couple of factors.  Alvarez due to the L/L matchup and he will probably go under owned.  Gurriel and Diaz due to the Lynch not being as strong against righties.  His season long K rate drops from 29% against lefties to just 17% against righties. 

There’s regression coming for Lynch and the Astros will bring it out today.

Oakland Athletics vs. Marco Gonzales – Gonzales is another pitcher that has some regression coming his way.  Over the last 30 days he has an insanely low BABIP of just .213 and an LOB of 95%.  With having such a high contact % at 81% and low BABIP it’s only a matter of time before the balls start dropping. 

My focus with Athletics today will be with the righties.  Over the last 30 days Gonzales has been far batter against lefties.  His K rate vs. lefties is over 35% while against righties it’s just 16%.  Righties have a 50% fly ball rate vs. just 29% for lefties. 

The one guy that really stands out here is Matt Chapman ($3.6k).  Over the last month he has a .480 ISO against lefties with a .482 wOBA.  He’s my building block here.  Other guys I’m interested with in this lineup are Marte ($3.9k) and Harrison ($2.7k).  

Both guys have wOBA’s greater than .400 in the last 30 days vs. lefties.  If my hunch is correct and the A’s get to Gonzales we can also look to get Olson ($3.9k) at a depressed ownership.  He’s no slouch against lefties as he has a .351 ISO against them this year. 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Humberto Mejia – It’s looking like Mejia may get the start for the Diamondbacks tonight.  If he does, I’ll look to grab some Pirates bats.  Mejia pitched briefly in the majors with the Marlins last year and it was not pretty. 

In just 3 starts he managed a 5.40 ERA and a 6.18 xFIP.  He gave up ISO’s of at least .250 to both sides of the plate in his limited sample.  My stack here is going to start with Tsutsugo ($2.4k) who has made the most of his time so far with the Pirates.  He has hits in 4 of his first 6 games with them and 2 of the hits have left the park.  While it’s only 6 PA, he has an .833 ISO against righties. 

The other piece I’ll definitely look to lock in from the Pirates will be Brian Reynolds ($3.2k).  Reynolds has been on fire of late as he has a .339 ISO against righties in the last 30 days.  He should have no issue against the fastball/change up mix he’ll see from Mejia tonight. 

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

Pitching tonight is back to a dumpster fire.  The top tiered guys are in awful spots so I plan on living in the mid to low range with the hope they can limit enough damage that my bats will carry me to the top. 

Houston and Oakland will be my core but I’ll be sure to add in a couple of Pirates along the way as Mejia is not good. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Welcome to the Saturday edition of Picks and Pivots.  Tonight we have a 10 game day slate of MLB DFS on Draftkings to navigate through.   

Main Slate Breakdown

It’s Jared and I’ll be filling in for Brian while he takes a much needed and well deserved vacation. 

My focus today will be the 10 game slate tonight.  The afternoon slate looks extremely risky with weather impacting 3 of the 5 games.  Tonight’s slate has a handful of pitching options for us as well some really solid hitting spots for us.

The pitcher’s that I’ll be focusing my efforts on tonight will be centered around three guys. Joe Musgrove ($9.1k)Dylan Cease ($9k), and Luis Garcia ($9.9k).  All three have been pitching well and are in great spots tonight.  Let’s start with Musgrove who gets the softest match up of the group. 

The Diamondbacks have not been good of late.  Over the past week they have a 32% K rate with very limited power.  Musgrove’s top two pitchers are his slider and curveball.  If we look at the Diamondbacks projected lineup, this is a pitch mix they all struggle with.  While Musgrove isn’t someone that’s going to blow us away with double digit K’s every night, he has some serious upside in this match up if both of these pitches are on point tonight.

Next up is Cease.  Cease has been on fire over the last 30 days.  He has a 35% K rate and a 31% CSW.  He gets a match up tonight against a powerful lineup, but one that’s been striking out a good bit recently.  Over the past week they have a 31% K rate. 

The projected lineup that Cease will face tonight has a 27% K rate vs. righties this season.  It’s never an overly easy task facing the Yankees, but Cease is in top form.  He’s definitely going to be in my pool of pitchers tonight.

The final guy I’m looking at tonight is Luis Garcia.  Over the past month Garcia has an elite 37% K rate.  No pitcher on tonight’s slate has been striking batters out at a quicker pace.  Garcia’s top strike out pitch is his cutter. 

His cutter is going to allow him to neutralize the big bats in this lineup.  Ohtani, Upton, and Walsh all have whiff rates over 23% to the pitch.  If Garcia can neutralize those 3, it should be smooth sailing for him tonight. 

Now that we have our double aces out of the way, where are we going to go of for offense?  The first place I’m looking is in Texas with the Oakland Athletics facing gas can Jordan Lyles.  Lyles is someone I always look to target because of the amount of fly balls he gives up. 

Over his past 29 innings of work he’s given up 13 barrels!  That’s almost one every other inning.  That’s bad.  With the Athletics the key that unlocks all is with Mitch Moreland ($2.3k).  Moreland on the year has a .203 ISO against righties and is really heating up.  In his last 3 games he has 5 hits with all of them being extra base hits. 

The other key I’m going to use here to unlock the big guys will be Seth Brown ($2.6k).  He’s also been swinging a hot bat recently with a .961 OPS over the past week.  These two guys are going to help us in bringing in bats like Marte ($6k)Lowrie ($3.9k), and Canha ($4.3k).  

My next focus of offense tonight will be the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Taijuan Walker.  Walker has seen a steep drop in performance month over month.  He continues to give up hard hit after hard hit.  Like Lyles, he has 13 barrels over the last month but in 8 less innings. 

The bat here that I want to prioritize is Cody Bellinger ($4.4k) who is scorching hot.  Over the past week he has 4 homers and a 1.281 OPS.  He gets the platoon advantage tonight and with him being so locked in is a must play. 

Other guys I’ll focus on here are Pollock ($4.3k) and Seager ($4.6k).  The Dodgers have a shot at putting up a really big number tonight against Walker.  As a Mets fan, it’s going to hurt using them but the match up is just too good to pass up. 

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

Tonight I’ll be going back to double aces again.  We’re going to have enough value between the Dodgers lineup and A’s lineup to fit in the bats we want from both teams.  And both teams are primed to have solid days.   

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Welcome to the Friday edition of Picks and Pivots.  Today we have a full 14 game main slate of MLB DFS on Draftkings to navigate through. 

Main Slate Breakdown

It’s Jared and I’ll be filling in Brian over the next 2 weeks when I’m not writing Aces and Bases as he takes a much needed and well deserved vacation. 

We have a full slate of games tonight and with that we actually have some solid options for pitching.  The first pitcher that I’m leading off with is German Marquez ($8.4k).  Marquez continues to be an ace level pitcher who we get at a big discount due to his pitching environment. 

We’re getting a pitcher in the mid $8k range who has scored less than 18 DK points only 3 times in the last 3 months.  Marquez has dialed up the K’s a bit over the past 30 days with a 28% K rate.  That’s up from his season long number of 25.7%. 

The lineup that he’s going to face tonight will be almost entirely right handed, minus Chisholm.  Marquez’s K rate jumps to 31% vs. righties compared to just 21% vs. lefties.  There’s always risk in using a pitcher in Coor’s but this is Marquez’s home turf and he’s been lights out at home this year.

The other two pitchers I’m contemplating using today are Corbin Burnes ($10k) and Chris Bassitt ($9.8k). Both guys are priced around the same but I’m coming at them from different directions.  Burnes is the pitcher with more elite strike out ability but he gets to take on a tough Giants lineup. 

As Adam alluded to in the Starting Rotation today, the Giants are very good at hitting the cutter.  With that being Burnes’ top pitch, it definitely creates some risk in using him as you’re paying top dollar for a pitcher that may have reduced K’s.  That said, no pitcher on this slate has more strike out upside than Burnes. 

For Bassitt, he doesn’t have anywhere near the strike out ability that Burnes has, but he gets the softer match up.  Since the trade deadline their lineup has been anemic.  They have nearly a 26% k rate over the past week with just 11 barrels and 54 hard hits.  Add in that they’ve walked just 7 times and we have a team here that’s free swinging and impatient.  Bassitt is set up to have a nice day today. 

Now that we have pitching out of the way, let’ find us some bats.  The first place I’m looking at is the Oakland Athletics facing off against Mike Foltynewicz.  Folty has faced the A’s three times now this season and hasn’t really had a “blow up” game yet.  It’s coming folks, join me the for the ride. 

The A’s have progressively hit him harder as they see him more.  The first outing, their hard hit rate was 31.6%.  The second was 47.4%. And the third was 55.6%.  In that third game they torched him for 3 solo home runs.  In all 3 games against the A’s this year he had a LOB % greater than 83%. 

Tonight’s the night where he has one of his blow up games.  My main targets here will Olson ($5.3k)Laureano ($3.9k), and Lowrie ($3.7k).  This is the middle of the A’s lineup and they are the ones that have the most power potential.  If you want to get the savings Moreland ($2.8k) is extremely cheap and has had a lot of success against sinkers.

Another great spot for offense today will be the San Diego Padres vs. Caleb Smith.  In Smith we have a pitcher who’s really struggling of late.  Over the last month his xFIP is sitting right at 5.89.  He’s just giving up a ton of hard contact and way too many fly balls. 

While the Padres lineup is quite a bit weaker without Tatis, they have a bunch of guys in that lineup that make it still one of the top lineups in the league.  The guys I want to focus on here will be batters from the right side as Smith’s fly ball rate sky rockets to almost 50% against them. 

Righties will see a mix of low 90’s fastballs and sliders tonight.  Both Machado ($5.6k) and Myers ($3.9k) have strong power numbers against both pitches.  Pham ($4.2k) is also a batter that profiles extremely well tonight. 

The final place I’ll look to for offense is the place that will give us the value.  The Baltimore Orioles are an underrated team when it comes to facing lefties.  On the year they have just a 21% K rate, 111 wRC+, and an ISO of .769.  It’s supposed to be in the upper 80’s at game time tonight and when it gets warm in Baltimore, the ball flies. 

To take advantage of Yarbrough we want to grab batters from the right side as his ISO is significantly higher against righties.  Austin Hays ($2.5k)Mancini ($4.7k), and Mountcastle ($3.4k) all have ISO’s greater than .240 against lefties this year.  Hays is my favorite of the bunch as he’ll provide us with more flexibility with our other bats.  Urias ($2.7k)Santander ($2.3k)Franco ($2.7k), and Martin ($2k) are all in play too as they’ll have the platoon advantage and all under $3k. 

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

With tonight being a full slate we’re back to having some pitching options.  I’m going to be looking to Oakland and San Diego for my main bats tonight and then grab a couple of cheap O’s to complete my lineups. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Welcome to the Monday edition of Aces and Bases.  Today we have a larger than normal 13 game Monday main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. 

For a 13 game slate, today’s pitching is about as bad as you’ll see all year.  Each arm today brings a ton of risk.  With each arm bringing a ton of risk, it also means that we’ll have plenty of bats to pick from.  

Let’s dig in to today’s slates!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Tyler Glasnow ($10.8k) vs. Chicago White Sox – I don’t normally make it a practice to attack the White Sox.  The entire lineup is filled with power.  Glasnow is however the best pitcher on the slate. 

Over the past 30 days he has a 2.74 xFIP and a 30.8% K rate, which is down a bit from his 36% k rate for the year.  While the White Sox do have a ton of power, they’re also striking out at a near 25% clip to righties this year.  While not overly high, it still means there are some K’s in there for Glasnow.   

Adam Wainwright ($8k) vs. Miami Marlins – I told you pitching was bad tonight.  This is more a testament to the Marlins lineup than it is Wainwright.  Marlins on the year are striking out nearly 26% of the time to righties and not hitting for much power with a .135 ISO. 

While Wainwright at this point in his career isn’t going to strike out 10 guys a night, he’s someone that’s going to be resourceful enough to get you more than a handful of K’s while not completely blowing up against a lineup like the Marlins.  His pitch mix of mostly sinkers and curveballs matches up really well with the Marlins.  Not a sexy pick, but I think it’s a pick that will open up salary for you on a night where there are a ton of solid hitting environments.

Lance Lynn ($11k) vs. Tampa Bay Rays – I will most likely be picking between the first 2 guys I mentioned.  That said Lynn is one of the best and most consistent arms on the slate.  He’s surpassed 40 points in 5 of his last 6 starts. 

His match-up carries a ton of risk as the Rays bring a lot of power vs. righties.  While they bring power, they also strike out more than 26% of the time.  If he can somehow limit the damage of the long ball tonight, there could be some upside for him tonight. 

Again, not even remotely a safe pick due to the match-up, but there isn’t a single safe arm tonight.  He’s my third ranked option on the night. 

MLB DFS: The Bats

There is a Coors game tonight.  I wouldn’t blame you for stacking that game.  On a night like tonight where there are so many offenses faces poor pitching you should be able to differentiate yourself from the field by fading that game.  

Oakland Athletics vs. Dylan Bundy – Bundy has been really bad this year, but he’s been especially bad over the past 30 days.  For the year, his xFIP is hovering around 4.4.  If we look at a more recent sample size though, it sky rockets up to 5.49 over his last handful of starts. 

His FB rate is the highest it’s been since 2018, but what’s the most troubling with him is that his HR/FB rate is the highest of his career.  In his last 17 innings he’s given up 8 homers. Is that bad?  It seems bad. 

He’s been pretty impartial to both righties and lefties as his ISO is over .230 to both sides of the plate.  While my slight lean will be to the guys like Matt Olson ($3.8K) and Mitch Moreland ($2.3k) who have the platoon advantage tonight, there’s no reason to shy away from the righties in this one. 

New York Mets vs. Jake Arrietta – When Arrietta is on the mound I make it a point to stack against him. His xFIP this season is north of 5.  That’s not a short sample at this point as we’re midway through June.  To have a xFIP that high this far into the year means you’re struggling at the Major League level to get guys out. 

His ISO to both sides of the plate is over .300.  Villar ($3.2k)Lindor ($3k)Alonso ($4.2k), and Smith ($2.6k) are my main targets here.  But honestly, any guy in this lineup should be able to square up Jake at this point.

Kansas City Royals vs. Matthew Boyd – What I said about Arrietta stands true for Boyd.  His xFIP on the season is also greater than 5.  He’s struggling to get guys out this year. 

Boyd has especially struggled vs. righties this year.  His FB rate is over 46% and his hard rate is almost 43%.  My favorite guy in this lineup is Salvador Perez ($3k) as he crushes left handed pitching.  I will also sprinkle in some Merrifield ($3.7k) and Soler ($2.8k).  Royals have as good of a match-up as anyone out there tonight. 

Another team that I really like tonight is the Cubs.  They’re facing off against Peterson who has been abysmal in his last two outings.  If this game plays tonight it very well may be the top scoring game of the night as it has two awful pitchers going.  There is risk though and since I also wrote up the Mets in that game I didn’t want to give you 2 out of 3 teams that are at risk of not playing. 

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

Pitching is awful tonight but we have plenty of bats we can focus on.  I don’t think you’ll need to go to Coors tonight and fading that game gives you an opportunity to differentiate yourself from the crowd.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green tonight!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s monster 14-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 4:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

The weather concerns in this slate are sparse and minor, and we shouldn’t be concerned about any delays that could impact the pitchers we’re targeting today.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Corbin Burnes ($12,000)

There’s definitely part of me who wants to roster Trevor Bauer, and the Dodgers RHP is certainly worth a look on DK at a discount, but on FD, Burnes makes the most sense as top dog, as he possesses the most strikeout upside on the slate. While some simulations actually have Bauer projected for a higher total tonight (even WinDaily’s model gives Bauer the slight value edge — likely due to the TEX team K rate of 26.8% vs. RHP), the new crackdown on foreign substances has had a detrimental effect on the K numbers of a few pitchers, “Tricky Trevor” included. Burnes, as Adam Strangis points out in his must-read 6/12 Starting Rotation article, is coming off a monster start where he racked up 13K and 70 FD points. He’s a top five MLB pitcher and FanDuel’s scoring allows him and his 18.5% swinging-strike rate (a metric that ranks behind only Jacob deGrom this season) the chance at 60+ each and every night he takes the mound. We’ll have to get a little creative with our hitting stacks to build something we can be confident with, but Burnes is a great option for cash games and I’ll be using him in some GPPs as well.

Best GPP Value: Joe Musgrove ($8,300)

For the second straight week, Muskrat Joe takes our top value spot. He was serviceable in that role last week with a 10 K outing, but he did get knocked around a little bit to the tune of 9 hits and 3 ER — and the pedestrian 5.0 IP kept him from receiving the crucial quality start bonus we need from our SP. Adam and I both like him for today’s slate, and the fact that he’s kept his ERA, FIP, and xFIP under 3.00 in this career year make me happy to recommend him against the Mets. who strike out at a team rate of 23.7%. Musgrove is carrying a career-high 34.2% K rate and limiting his free passes, and the Mets don’t have their usually lefty firepower without a few of their better offensive players. Joe’s unlucky 6/5 start still yielded 36 FD points, and this time he’s the same price and should eclipse the 40 mark.

Contrarian GPP Play: Jameson Taillon ($6,200)

I was actually a little giddy when I saw that Adam was on Taillon as a GPP value play today, because he’s one of the first options I considered when I thought “contrarian play” for this slate. Taillon is effective against right-handed bats and the Phillies (who have a bunch of them) strike out at the third-highest rate in MLB (26.4% — tied with MIA and MIL). I wouldn’t blame anyone for going a little safer with value options like TB LHP Rich Hill ($7,700 vs. BAL), but the Orioles relatively low K rate (20.2%) vs. LHP makes me think he lacks the same upside, value and leverage for GPPs. If we want to stack some of the best bats, we’ll need what Taillon offers in salary relief to get there.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Atlanta Braves vs. MIA RHP Zach Thompson

AS of 11:11 a.m. EST, there’s no line yet on this game, but you’d have to imagine that the high-powered Braves offense is projected for 5+ runs against a 27-year-old rookie making just his second major-league start. Thompson’s minor-league metrics don’t jump off the page and the Braves have just too much firepower to worry about using them. Go with Ronald Acuna ($4,300), Freddie Freeman ($3,400), Ozzie Albies ($3,400) and a still-discounted Austin Riley ($2,700) in a four-man stacks, swapping out Albies for value options (and righty mashers) William Contreras ($2,200) and Abraham Almonte ($2,100) if you need the salary savings to get four Braves in your build.

Value Stack: Milwaukee Brewers vs. PIT RHP Chad Kuhl

The Brewers have a bunch of risky but potent hitters in their lineup to go along with the consistently excellent bat of Christian Yelich ($3,800), including Avisail Garcia ($2,700), Omar Narvaez ($2,200), Daniel Vogelbach ($2,600), Luis Urias ($2,700) and Willy Adames ($2,200). Left-handed OF Jace Peterson is also an option at just $2,200. I’m particularly interested in four-man combos that prominently feature Narvaez, Yelich and Vogelbach as a three-man core, with Urias, Garcia, Peterson and Adames alternately making up the fourth Brewer bat. Giddyup!

Update: Luis Urias is sitting this one out.

Contrarian Stack: Oakland A’s vs. KC RHP Jackson Kowar

The A’s are never all that popular as a team stack on big slates, and today they could be in for an offensive explosion against Jackson Kowar, who carries a 54.00 ERA after one career start — a rocky debut outing against the Angels on Monday. The usual suspects are in play here, from “Mashing” Matt Olson ($3,500) to leadoff hitter Mark Canha ($3,700) and a slew of low-priced options including Tony Kemp (just $2,000!), Jed Lowrie ($2,900) and Sean Murphy ($2,400). I’m also quite enamored with Seth Brown ($2,400) as a risk-reward value option, and I’ll be mixing and matching a few different four-man combinations of these six A’s hitters in my large-field GPP entries.

Update: Both Lowrie and Canha are not starting on Saturday.

Other stacking options: NYY RH bats vs. PHI RHP Vince Velazquez, CIN LH bats vs. COL RHP German Marquez

Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

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Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases.  Today we have a massive 15 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. 

After last night’s underwhelming 3 game slate, we’re back to a full load today.  There are going to be a ton of options on both the pitching and hitting front.  The slate today at first glance looks to be a ton of fun as some of our favorite targets are on the slate.  

Let’s dig in to today’s slates!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Tyler Glasnow ($11k) vs. Washington Nationals – Glasnow is the top arm on the slate and he gets a solid match-up against a Nationals team that has not been great against righties.  They have just a .136 ISO and a wOBA of .299. 

We know that Glasnow has elite K numbers.  In the match-up against the Nats today there should be some upside for him.  Glasnow throws his slider more than 30% of the time to both righties and lefties.  Not a single projected starter tonight for the Nats has a whiff rate less than 25% against the slider, with most being over 30%.  My bet is that Glasnow ends up being the highest scoring pitcher on the slate. 

Chris Bassitt ($9.7k) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – Bassitt has had 2 sub-par outings on the year, with one being his last time out.  After his first “poor” outing in which he still scored nearly 20 points, he went on to have a dominating performance against the Angels. 

My hope is that his last outing brings his ownership down a bit because the match-up for him tonight screams bounce back.  The Diamondbacks on the year have not been good against righties.  They haven’t hit for any power with an ISO of .136 and wOBA of .293. 

Bassitt is the sixth highest salaried pitcher tonight on FD but he has the potential to be right up there with Glasnow in points and he comes at a $1,300 savings.  

Pablo Lopez ($9.6k) vs. Colorado Rockies – I love attacking the Rockies when they play away from Coors.  If it wasn’t for playing half their games in the top hitter’s ballpark, they would be the worst offense in the league.  Away from Coors they have a team ISO of .092 and an OPS of .563.  Those are just awful numbers. 

Thankfully for us we get to attack them today with a pitcher that has been pretty good this year.  On the year Lopez has a 25% K rate and an xFIP of 3.84.  While neither number is elite, they are both very respectable and with a match-up like he has tonight, he should be able to end with a great final line. 

There are definitely better pitchers tonight than the 2 of 3 that I listed.  I have concern with them though. 

Bieber is taking on a Cardinals team that hasn’t been striking out as much to righties as they were at the start of the year and at $11.5k I don’t think he pays off his salary tonight. 

Carlos Rodon takes on the Blue Jays and I don’t like targeting the Blue Jays, especially against lefties.  The same goes for Robbie Ray.  He’s been great this year and I normally write him up any chance I get.  But he’s facing the White Sox today and the White Sox smash lefties. 

MLB DFS: The Bats

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Jon Lester – I’m not going to get too in depth with this pick because I have no doubt Brian will in his Picks and Pivots today.  Rays are simply too cheap for the match-up today.  Mike Brosseau ($2.5k)Randy Arozarena ($3.4k), and Manual Margot ($3k) are all in a great position to pay off their salary tonight.  Lester just gives up way too much contact and is giving up a ton of fly balls to boot. 

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Drew Smyly – Don’t look now but the Phillies are finally healthy.  Tonight they get to face off against a pitcher that has just not been good.  On the year Smyly has a 5.15 xFIP and a near 50% hard hit rate. 

While he has been very poor to righties with a .337 wOBA and .241 ISO against him, he’s been even worse to lefties with a .420 wOBA and .373 ISO.  This brings Bryce Harper ($3.4k) back into play.  While I love Realmuto ($3.3k) I’m most likely going to go w/ a back end of the lineup stack as Rhys Hoskins ($3.3k)Jean Segura ($3.3k), and Andrew McCutchen ($3.5k) all have great numbers against Smyly’s secondary pitches. 

Oakland Athletics vs. Jon Duplantier – In a very small sample size this season, Duplantier has quite simply been overmatched.  Against the Cardinals he gave up 4 runs in 4 innings and then against the Brewers he gave up 5 in 4. 

The match-up tonight doesn’t get any easier for him as he’s taking on the AL West leading Athletics.  To make matters worse he goes into an AL park and now has to face a DH vs. having a pitcher bat.  Mark Canha ($3.7k), Tony Kemp ($2.1k)Matt Olson ($3.9k), and Jed Lowrie ($3.1k) are all in line to have great days.  

***Bonus Stack Alert – Since my write up of the Rays was brief and there are so many solid match-ups for hitters tonight I’m going to give a bonus stack.

Baltimore Orioles vs. David Peterson – I don’t think Peterson is bad as his last outing.  While he didn’t make it out of the first, he was also pitching on 9 days’ rest.  There was some rust involved in the poor performance.  My focus tonight with the Orioles will be batters from the right side of the plate. 

Peterson has really been able to limit power to lefties with just a .098 ISO against and a 26% hard hit rate.  Righties however have an ISO of .254 and a 46% hard hit rate.  If his sinker doesn’t sink tonight he’s going to have a hard time keeping the ball in the park.  Guys like Trey Mancini ($3.2k)Anthony Santander ($2.6k), and Ryan Mountcastle ($2.9k) all profile extremely well against Peterson’s pitch mix.  

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

Picking the right offense tonight will be key.  There looks to be more than a handful of teams that are in line to put up big numbers.  Detroit, Boston, and Cincinnati all look to be at risk with major rain concerns. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green tonight!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s six-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

No major weather concerns, but there’s a game in Coors with an 11.5 point total and two pitchers, one — LHP Kyle Freeland — with 7 BB in 8.0 IP so far this season and the other, visiting lefty SP Cole Irvin — with a .358 career road wOBA. It goes without saying to get exposure to this game, but we’ll give you some other options to consider.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Jacob deGrom ($11,500)

It’s hard to click any other name at SP on FD, even though Kevin Gausman’s last four starts (averaging 52.5 FD points and 9 K per game) have the edge on deGrom’s last four (43.25 FD points and 8 K per game). The Mets ace costs just $300 more than Gausman and boasts a very silly 1.53 xFIP, compared to a still-impressive 3.07 for the Giants RHP. I’ll have shares of both, but deGrom is still deGOAT.

Best GPP Value: Joe Musgrove ($8,300)

He’s much harder to trust than the big dogs, but Muskrat Joe (2.08 ERA, 2.65 xFIP, 11.72 K/9 in 11 starts this season) is a dynamic pitcher who can break a slate. The salary savings allow you to get whatever Coors game stack you want, albeit with a much higher risk. There are definitely signs that regression is coming, as Musgrove’s .212 BABIP is a solid 80 percentage points lower than his career metric (.294), but I’m willing to ride out another start about this pesky DFS darling.

Contrarian GPP Play: Kevin Gausman ($11,200)

Gausman’s numbers are amazing this season, and as discussed earlier in the deGrom writeup, he’s on a helluva run with his K numbers. The Cubs strike out at a 25.2% team rate, a lot more than the Padres (21.1%), so I’m inclined to be overweight on Gausman in GPPs for the additional leverage, as deGrom should still earn more ownership. Again — pricing is pretty soft for some of the high-projected-total games, so the big spend SPs will make up about 90 percent of the ownership.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Colorado Rockies vs. OAK LHP Cole Irvin

The A’s are a fine choice for top spot too, with Mark Canha ($4,200), Matt Chapman ($3,800), Matt Olson ($4,400)and Jed Lowrie ($3,600) being the obvious four-man stack at or near the top of the order. But they are pretty expensive, and they might be tough to fit in some cases with deGrom or Gausman up top. Canha is an impressive hitter who sees the ball well and makes for an amazing leadoff hitter in Coors, so I’ll haver some Colorado stacks that add on him as the primary one-off for OAK, and then find a three-man stack from another game for leverage. For the Rockies, I prefer C.J. Cron ($3,700), Charlie Blackmon ($3,900), Garrett Hampson ($3,300) and Joshua Fuentes ($3,400) against Irvin (who’s given up 24 hits over his last three starts), though there may be some other necessary value plays depending on who starts.

Value Stack: New York Yankees vs. BOS LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Rodriguez has been very “gettable” in his last three starts, and while the Yankees strike out a lot, Yankee Stadium is getting hot and humid and the wind is blowing out to right center today, aiding some of those power righty bats in the Bronx. There’s loads of value and upside in rostering a three or four-man Yankees stack tonight, with D.J. LeMahieu ($3,000), Aaron Judge ($3,600) and Gleyber Torres ($2,900) as my three favorite “spends” and Gio Urshela ($2,500), Gary Sanchez ($2,400) and Clint Frazier ($2,300) clocking in with serious bargain prices.

Contrarian Stack: Los Angeles Angels vs. SEA LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Kikuchi has been okay in 2021, but he hasn’t been missing as many bats in his last few starts, opening himself up for a possible letdown against the home team Angels and their parade of right-handed power bats, including Justin Upton ($3,000), Anthony Rendon ($3,200) and Taylor Ward. ($2,600) And there’s obviously Shohei Ohtani ($4,000), whose metrics against LHP are a bit down in ’21. But $2K punts Phil Gosselin ($2,000) and Juan Lagares ($2,000) are in play (if they play) tonight, as Gosselin boasts great numbers vs. LHP (.460 wOBA in 26 AB this season)

Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

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