NHL DFS

It’s Thursday and we’re thirsty for some NHL. We have ten games tonight so not overwhelming but it’s what I’d call a nice-sized slate. Aside from reading the article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning.

11/10 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*

New York Rangers (-155) at Detroit Red Wings (+135) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Vegas Golden Knights (-170) at Buffalo Sabres (+145) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Calgary Flames (+135) at Boston Bruins (-155) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Edmonton Oilers (+135) at Carolina Hurricanes (-155) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Arizona Coyotes (+225) at New York Islanders (-265) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Ottawa Senators (+155) at New Jersey Devils (-180) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

San Jose Sharks (+140) at St. Louis Blues (-165) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Philadelphia Flyers (+110) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Nashville Predators (+160) at Colorado Avalanche (-190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Chicago Blackhawks (+225) at Los Angeles Kings (-265) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

11/10 NHL Favorite Popular Line

Vegas One “Jack Eichel ($7,100), Chandler Stephenson ($4,800), Mark Stone ($5,300)“

Main lock/early games always tend to be more popular so I’m really pulling from the first six games of the night here. The Devils will be popular as they’re on a roll and later on Colorado will get some ownership, being the champs and all. However, I’ll start off with the Golden Knight’s top line. They are currently tied for third in the NHL with eight goals and strong peripheral stats “4th in the NHL in SATF” to match.

After a hot start, the Sabres have now dropped three straight games while Vegas has coasted to eight straight wins. The Golden Knight’s +20 point differential is second-best in the NHL, only behind the Boston Bruins. As -170 favorites, they are one of the bigger favorites on the slate and the top line is also incredibly affordable. They are priced more like your average second line than a line toward the top of the NHL in both goals scored and all supporting categories.

11/10 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line

Los Angeles Two “Phillip Danault ($4,400), Trevor Moore ($3,900), Viktor Arvidsson ($4,000)”

A super cheap line from the top favorite of the night? A sneaky second line that’s quietly 10th in the NHL in SATF? A late-night hammer galore? We get all of the above and more in the form of the King’s second line. Unfortunately, neither of the three skaters gets any time on Los Angeles’ top power-play unit. They do however share a correlation on the second power-play unit. Overall, the type of line you try to weave into a large field tournament entry and not a 10-man contest.

Defensemen and Goalies

Defensemen

Dougie Hamilton – New Jersey – $7,000 – If splurging up I think I might not try to get on the Erik Karlsson train and with Rasmus Dahlin in a tough matchup look elsewhere. We have yet to get a Dougie ceiling game and with the Devils rolling this could be a nice spot to buy in.

Ryan Graves – New Jersey – $3,300 – For far less money, you could also take a stab at Hamilton’s Devils teammate. Graves has goals in three of his last six games “he seems to alternate every other game”. That’s not bad scoring prowess for a $3,300 defenseman.

Goalies

Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders – $8,100 – Stellar 2.20 GAA and winner of five of his last six starts. Tonight the Islanders are tied with the Kings for the title of slate-high favorites at -265. With the total set a bit low at six, it can be assumed most of that total is not projected to go the Coyote’s way.

Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers – $7,400 – It has not been an ideal start to the season for Shesterkin. However, I think you can trust the talent and just take the discount in tournaments.

11/10 NHL Best Bet

Philadelphia/Columbus Blue Jackets – U 6.5 (-110) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – The model over at our friends at Sharp is showing a total of 4.98 providing for a 19.29% edge. Carter Hart was back in practice Wednesday and wait for him to be confirmed in net before placing this bet. On the other side, Joonas Korpisalo’s 5.00 GAA is surely lacking but he has only had one start “against Colorado no less”. I think we can give that man a pass.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

We have a tiny three-game Sunday slate, but this will allow us to hone in and stick to a couple of lines. Aside from reading the article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning.

11/6 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 5 p.m. ET

*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*

Toronto Maple Leafs (+135) at Carolina Hurricanes (-155) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Detroit Red Wings (+195) at New York Rangers (-230) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Florida Panthers (-205) at Anaheim Ducks (+175) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

11/6 NHL Favorite Popular Line

New York Rangers Two “Vincent Trocheck ($5,900), Artemi Panarin ($6,600), Alexis LaFrenire ($3,200)“

In terms of SATF, the New York Rangers are tearing up the charts thus far this season.

It’s peripheral stats like these that help us determine future scoring to the best of our ability. Given the two options the Rangers offer, let’s roll with the league leaders in SATF, NYR Two. They will be facing an absolute trash can in the opposing net, in the form of Alex Nedeljkovic and his 4.96 GAA. With Detroit on a back-to-back, the Wings will likely be clipped here by the Rangers. Although I’m rolling with the second line, the top line is certainly in play as well.

11/6 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line

Florida One “Aleksandr Barkov ($7,500), Matthew Tkachuk ($8,200), Carter Verhaeghe ($4,600)”

The Ducks have been getting smashed recently. The problem with Florida is that a lot of the production is spread throughout their lines, rather than concentrated. That said, the talent on the top line has finally been shining through a bit. They are currently tied with many others lines for sixth in the NHL in scoring. Speaking of trash cans in goal, with a GAA of 4.58 John Gibson looks like he’s certainly seen better days.

Additional Lines to Consider

New York Rangers One – Mika Zibanejad “$8,400”, Chris Kreider “$6,300”, Kappo Kakko “$3,700”

Florida Two – Sam Bennett “$4,800”, Sam Reinhart “$4,500”, Rudolfs Balcers “$2,700” VALUE LINE

Defensemen

Brent Burns – Carolina – $6,000 – Burnsy is having a career renaissance finally free of San Jose and their losing ways. He has had double-digit DraftKings points in all games this season except two. You could pay an extra $800 for Brandon Montour in a better spot. However, using a Carolina defender allows us some third-team exposure in addition to saving a little bit of salary.

Brett Pesce – Carolina – $3,400 – Not off to the greatest start with only three assists across 11 games. However, Pesce’s due for offensive regression given his usual standards plus cheap.

Goalies

Igor Shesterskin – New York Rangers – $8,400 – The most talented goaltender on the slate also playing for the slate’s largest favorite.

Frederick Andersen – Carolina – $8,200 – Almost here by default as this is not the slate to go dumpster diving and Spencer Knight is blah. He should face some decent shot volume and there of course is the revenge narrative in play.

11/6 NHL Best Bet

Florida Panthers 60 Min Line (-140) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – Seems like Florida might be too much to handle for a struggling John Gibson and company. We also get shorter odds here than for the Rangers against Detroit.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

If last night’s two-game slate let you down, it’s time to get thirsty as we have a thirteen-game NHL Thursday on tap. Aside from reading the article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning.

11/3 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*

Washington Capitals (-120) at Detroit Red Wings (+100) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Carolina Hurricanes (+120) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-140) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Vegas Golden Knights (-135) at Ottawa Senators (+115) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Boston Bruins (+105) at New York Rangers (-125) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Seattle Kraken (+155) at Minnesota Wild (-180) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

New York Islanders (+100) at St. Louis Blues (-120) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Montreal Canadiens (+175) at Winnipeg Jets (-205) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Los Angeles Kings (-170) at Chicago Blackhawks (+145) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Nashville Predators (+160) at Calgary Flames (-190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+135) at Edmonton Oilers (-155) – 7 Projected Goal Total

Dallas Stars (-195) at Arizona Coyotes (+165) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Anaheim Ducks (+140) at Vancouver Canucks (-165) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Florida Panthers (-215) at San Jose Sharks (+185) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

11/3 NHL Favorite Popular Line

Edmonton One “Connor McDavid ($9,900), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins ($6,000), Zach Hyman ($6,700)“

I wouldn’t be particularly worried about any one line being popular on a thirteen-game slate. Not surprisingly, McGod and company have been eating early on. The Oiler’s top line is currently tied for second in the NHL with three other lines with seven full-line goals to their name. They also have a juicy matchup tonight as the home favorite in the highest total game of the night, the only game set at 7. All three skaters are members of Edmonton’s power-play unit, so consider another box checked. If there is a drawback, it’s that Connor McDavid’s sky-high pricetag comprises a lot of salary for one player. But hey, as the saying goes, you get what you pay for.

11/3 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line

Carolina Two “Martin Necas ($5,900), Andrei Svechnikov ($7,600), Jasper Kotkaniemi ($3,000)”

The contrarian line is usually the fun line to write up. While we’re looking for a line that’s off the board, it doesn’t mean we can’t use peripheral stats to our advantage. One of my favorite metrics is SATF which includes all shot attempts, so it factors in both missed shots and blocked shots. I think that analyzing SATF helps us to identify which lines are due for both positive and negative regression in terms of actual goals scored.

Most of the leading lines in terms of SATF are fairly notable. However, as you can see below, we have a relatively obscure line placing third in SATF.

Andrei Svechnikov is a bit of a budding star but I think it’s safe to assume that his linemates tend to go a bit under the radar. I can guarantee you very few people will be playing them with Carolina a +120 underdog against the Tampa Bay Lightning. However, they just could be that line that helps us take down a large field tournament.

Additional Lines to Consider

Dallas One – Roope Hintz “$6,500”, Jason Robertson “$7,000”, Joe Pavelski “$5,300”

Florida Two – Sam Bennett “$4,700”, Sam Reinhart “$4,600”, Rudolfs Balcers “$2,600” VALUE LINE

Defensemen “Goalies covered in Between the Pipes”

Defenseman “high-end” – NONE

“mid-range” – Shea Theodore – Las Vegas – $5,100 – He is finally heating up with double-digits DraftKings points in four of his last five games. He has scored goals in two of his last four games and he’s the type of player who goes on streaks.

“mid-range #2” – Alec Martinez – Las Vegas – $4,500 – While he doesn’t have Theodore’s upside, you can save $600 with his teammate. Martinez has double-digits DraftKings points in five of his last six games, so certainly no slouch.

“low-end” – Erik Gustafsson – Washington – $2,500 – With John Carlson out, Gustafsson is quarterbacking Washington’s top power-play unit at the dead minimum price.

11/3 NHL Best Bet

Washington Capitals (-120) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – The model over at our friends at Sharp is showing some edge here. Both teams have a lot of injuries at the moment, but the Caps are the better team.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for Thursday Night! There have been some awesome games this week and that trend should continue tonight. With ten games on this slate, we will have our work cut out for us. Aside from reading the article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning.

10/27 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*

Detroit Red Wings (+190) at Boston Bruins (-225) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Montreal Canadiens (+135) at Buffalo Sabres (-155) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Edmonton Oilers (-215) at Chicago Blackhawks (+185) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Minnesota Wild (-120) at Ottawa Senators (+100) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Florida Panthers (-200) at Philadelphia Flyers (+170) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

St. Louis Blues (+140) at Nashville Predators (-165) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Washington Capitals (+110) at Dallas Stars (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (+105) at Seattle Kraken (-125) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Winnipeg Jets (+125) at Los Angeles Kings (-145) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Toronto Maple Leafs (-225) at San Jose Sharks (+190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

10/27 NHL Favorite Popular Line

Toronto Two “John Tavares ($6,300), William Nylander ($6,000), Nicholas Robertson ($3,500)“

In the DFS universe, it’s a known occurence that people tend to gravitate towards earlier games in terms of ownership. Many want some degree of certainty, as well as the ability to watch the game. As a result, I think we can grab some lower ownership than usual on one of the best lines of the night. The Toronto Maple Leafs are in a great late-night spot as they head to San Jose as -225 money line favorites. I will rarely if ever use the full top line as a I normally prefer to just play Auston Matthews as a one off if it comes down to it. They do have good numbers so far this season so get an honorable mention below. Furthermore, it is a homecoming of sorts for Matthews, who hails from the greater Phoenix area so don’t mind him individually here.

However, let’s shift to the second line where he have two elite skaters in William Nylander and John Tavares. All this at a more moderate price. Nylander and Tavares are the two priorities of the three linemates and can even be used as a two-man stack as opposed to the full line. However, Nicholas Robertson is also in play and offers some additional savings. I will probably use the full line to weave in his $3,500 salary and open things up in terms of construction. It’s true that this line has yet to really get going and yet all three skaters are averaging double-digit DraftKings points.

10/27 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line

Los Angeles One “Anze Kopitar ($4,300), Kevin Fiala ($5,100), Adrian Kempe ($4,800)”

Believe or not, the Kings’ top line is leading all NHL lines in goals scored thus far into the season.

They should also be totally off the radar tonight, despite L.A. being -145 home favorites. The Winnipeg Jets has outperformed metrics defensively, so this is certainly an exploitable matchup for this line at sub 10% if not lower ownership. All three skaters share correlation on the Kings top power-play unit as well, which is always a huge bonus for any full line. On top of everything else, they are priced more like an ordinary/subpar team’s second line. Overall, they make for a terrific tournament play this evening.

Additional Lines to Consider

Toronto One – Auston Matthews “$8,500”, Mitchell Marner “$6,500”, Michael Bunting “$3,900”

Florida Two – Sam Bennett “$5,200”, Matthew Tkachuk “$7,900”, Rudolfs Balcers “$2,500”

Defensemen “Goalies covered in Between the Pipes”

Defenseman “high-end” – NONE – Waste of salary

“mid-range” – Drew Doughty – Los Angeles – Lots of minutes, on the top power-play unit, blocking shots. He also makes a lot of sense if using the Kings line mentioned above as he correlates with all of them.

“mid-range #2” – Neal Pionk – Winnipeg – The Kings are better offensively than they are on the other end so I think this is a great spot for Pionk. He is priced under $5,000 much like Doughty. Because of his propensity to shoot on goal more, I’m giving him the nod over teammate Josh Morrisey. Morrisey does have power-play time on the top power-play unit as opposed to second unit, as is Pionk’s case.

“low-end” – Justin Holl – Toronto – Cheap and playing for a massive favorite. He also plays on Toronto’s second unit so has correlation with the Leafs line listed above.

10/27 NHL Best Bet

Minnesota Wild/Ottawa Senators – O 6.5 (-130) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – The Senators are allowing nearly three goals and contest and Minnesota well over four. With both offenses playing so well, this sets up as a shootout.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/