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NHL DFS

NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Mar. 1)

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NHL DFS Man Advantage for the 2021-22 season.

If you are new to my articles, NHL, or WinDaily Sports then I will tell you that my articles are not going to give you the chalk plays or the obvious plays. I try to dig in and find ways for you to build lineups for GPP contests. I will always point out those top plays to help you build cash but that is not the point of this article.

…and down the stretch they come!

We have made it to March and the home stretch of the NHL season. There are now less than two months left in the NHL season and only three weeks until the trade deadline.

Tonight we have nine games on the schedule after just three games on Monday. I love the NHL but their schedules are just so strange. Both Boston and New Jersey put up seven goals on Monday and are back at it tonight in matchups that are just as juicy for them. Both teams will be high on my list of stacking options and it’s the same lines as last night. If you weren’t here yesterday take a look back at my article to see what I am talking about with New Jersey.

As for the other seven games on the schedule tonight outside of Calgary at Minnesota, no other matchup features two current playoff teams so this appears to be a very lopsided slate. My goal is to give you some of the best options to focus your builds around on Tuesday in brief breakdowns, unlike yesterday when I spent time focusing on one game essentially.

NHL Bets:

Edmonton goals scored O3.5: +105

Cole Caufield Over 0.5 points: -120

Boston Bruins Puckline -1.5: +125

(I typically do not bet and therefore may not place a bet on any or all of the above bets. Use caution when betting)

NHL DFS: Goaltenders

Top Ranked (SE/Cash) Goalies:

Frederick Andersen (@ Det): After an up and down start to February, Andersen has righted the ship and has reeled off three excellent starts. We saw Detroit put up 7 on Toronto Saturday night, but that was against Jack Campbell and the Leafs and while Andersen used to play there, he is much better than Campbell right now. In those previous three starts, Andersen has allowed just four goals and averaging 28.7 saves per game, including 1 shutout. I know he is more expesive then I prefer to pay for a goalie, but Andersen has what I see as the best matchup on the slate.
Francouz/Kuemper (vs NYI): I don’t care who starts for Colorado on Tuesday, they will be in one of my lineups. Contrary to their last game, the Islanders offense is putrid. They rank 27th in the league in goals scored and Colorado has been outstanding at home this season (17-7-2). I would prefer if Francouz got the start since he has been playing better than Kuemper, but either goalie is a good start tonight.
Linus Ullmark (@ Anh): The Ducks are in a tailspin and Boston should have another easy go of it, similar to Monday night. Ullmark has not been spectacular of late for the Bruins, but he projects as one of the top plays on the slate. Anaheim is allowing over 30 saves per game to goalies in their last 10 and Ullmark is in my preferred $8K and under price range.

Value/GPP Goalies:

J.F. Berube (vs NJD): I know I mentioned the Devils in the open, but Berube is a goalie with immense upside even if he gives up a few goals. Columbus has allowed 42.5 shots per game in his four starts and he is averaging 39.3 saves per game. This is a risky, GPP only, type of play but to get that elusive takedown, sometimes you gotta take that risk.
Matt Murray (@ TB): This is another high risk, high reward type of play. Murray has had a coupe of shaky starts after having five great starts in his previous six games. Tampa is a high powered, potent offense that will put a few past Murray on Tuesday, but the shots will be there to make value. Tampa Bay is averaging 31.9 SOG P/G in their last five and in Murray’s last five starts the Senators have allowed 35.2.

Other Options: Connor Hellebuyck (vs Mtl), James Reimer (@ VGK)

Teams to build around:

There are so many ways to go on this slate and with 18 teams on the schedule tonight, one thing I will tell you is DO NOT worry about ownership. Of course, there will be a few teams that may be a little higher owned than the rest, but nothing that drastic that you should fade a team in GPP’s.

These are three lines that just pop off the screen to me as the top lines to build around on this slate.

Colorado L1: Burakovsky – MacKinnon – Rantanen (This MAY change after the morning skate, check the lines in the afternoon before building lineups.) Dmen to use: Makar, Toews, Girard

Carolina L1: Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov. Dmen to use: Pesce, Skjei, Slavin, Cole (value)

Boston L1: DeBrusk – Bergeron – Marchand – This line TORE the King apart on Monday including a hat-trick from DeBrusk. I am going right back to them tonight. Dmen to use: Reilly, Carlo, McAvoy

**NOTE**: On a slate this large stick to no more than THREE-MAN stacks. You want to try and get exposure to as many teams as possible so going with a three-man stack, two two-man stacks, and a one-off play is something I do recommend tonight when I typically don’t. Of course, you can build however you like, but this is just something I have noticed working in the past for slates this large.

Roster construction:

Now, after you pick 1-2 teams to build around in your lineups, you will need to fill in the rest of your lineups. My preference would be to use Boston/Carolina as your two main stacks to build around because there is more value there and you can work in a good two-man stack and one-off play. You won’t need to dig too deep in the value bin to make that work.

One thing I will recommend is, and this goes back to the “note” above, don’t one-off your defenseman. I see a lot of lineups in discord with a one-off cheap defenseman. While that does work sometimes, typically forwards have more upside, especially centers. Try to correlate your defenseman with a forward and do not worry about what line a defenseman is listed on. They will spend time on the ice with all four forward lines, but you should look at the power-play lines and see if they play together there first. If you need some salary savings it is perfectly ok to pick a value dman, say someone like Ian Cole (Car) tonight. He is min price on DK and will see time with the top line throughout the night. This lowers your correlation but gives you the salary bump needed to get a better one-off forward.

Other top stacks:

Minnesota L1: Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov. Dmen to use: Spurgeon (PP1), Merrill
Tampa Bay L1: Kucherov – Point – Palat. Dmen to use: Hedman (PP1), Sergachev, McDonagh
Columbus L1: Nyquist – Jenner – Laine. Dmen to use: Kukan, PEeke, Gavrikov (all three are pretty cheap)

You can use any of those three lines as full stacks, or as one forward – one defenseman stacks as well. They can also be used as your main stacks to build around, especially the Wild stack IF Vladar starts for Calgary.

It’s value time!

With the value stacks, I am going to give you some of my favorite two-man combos that can be used to fill out your lineups.

Top Priced Stacks:

McDavid/Draisaitl (Edm)
Blake Wheeler/Kyle Connor (Wpg) – PP1 stack
Timo Meier/Brent Burns – Dman (SJ) – PP1 stack
Matthew Tkachuk/Johnny Gaudreau (Cgy)
Dylan Larkin/Moritz Seider -Dman (Det) – PP1 stack
Jack Eichel/Shea Theodore -Dman – (VGK) – PP1 stack

Value Priced Stacks:

Jack Hughes or Nico Hischier/Jesper Bratt (NJ) – PP1 stack
Blake Coleman/Christopher Tanev – Dman or Mikael Backlund (Cgy)
Jonathan Marchessault/Brayden McNabb – Dman (VGK)
Jake Evans/Artturi Lehkonen (Mtl)
Zach Parise/Ryan Pulock – Dman (NYI) – PP2 stack
Matthew Tkachuk/Tyler Toffoli (Cgy) – PP1 Stack
Oskar Lindblom/Scott Laughton (Phi)

Thanks for reading this article on the NHL DFS Man Advantage for today. Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow! W cover all things Fantasy Sports and make sure to check out WinDailySports.com for more money-making content.

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 28)

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NHL DFS Man Advantage for the 2021-22 season.

It’s a Mini-Monday slate

Tonight we have just three games on the slate that locks 30 minutes late than usual. In the early games, Vancouver is on a back-to-back in New Jersey one night after throttling the Rangers. Toronto, fresh off dropping 10 on the Red Wings, heads to D.C., and in the late game, Boston is in Hollywood.

NHL Bets:

Bruins puckline (-1.5): +185

Auston Matthews over 1.5: +170

Jack Hughes over .5: -200

(I typically do not bet and therefore may not place a bet on any or all of the above bets. Use caution when betting)

NHL DFS: Goaltenders

Jeremy Swayman (@ Los Angeles)

Swayman has won three straight starts and four of five and I fully expect the Bruins to win again on Monday as they continue their West Coast trip. What worries me is how stingy the B’s are defensively. Swayman has only had one game this season where he surpassed the 35 save plateau (bonus on DK). Looking on the bright side, Los Angeles is a team that shoots the puck a lot. If he was going to have a second 35 save performance, tonight could be the game for it. I know it doesn’t seem like much to love about this play, but on a slate this small, there isn’t much to choose from.

*** If Linus Ullmark gets the start, he is still the top goalie on the slate as well. ***

Other Options: Jaroslav Halak (@ NJ), Petersen/Quick ( vs Boston), Mrazek/Campbell ( @ Washington)

Teams to build around:

As I have mentioned already, this is a small slate with not a lot to really pick from with only three games on it. I believe that the Leafs/Caps game will garner most of the DFS attention and probably be the popular game to attack. That is not necessarily a bad idea after what we saw Toronto do on Saturday and what we saw them allow to Detroit. Since that will potentially be the popular way to go, let’s break down another path that could be successful.

Vancouver Canucks @ New Jersey Devils: Game stack

New Jersey themselves gave up eight in their last game after dropping six on the Penguins the night before so they have recently shown they can put up goals in bunches and allow them as such. In their eight-goal drubbing in Chicago, the Devils did score five of their own. So, eleven goals for and nine against in their last two games, that sounds like a team I both want to stack and attack.

Jack Hughes has been on fire since returning to the lineup. In his four games since coming back, he has three goals and six assists, and points in all four. Hughes also has hit the shoots on goal bonus on DK twice and has put up over 20 DKFP in all four games. Playing with Hughes on the top line is Yegor Sharangovich who himself is on a six-game point streak and three-game goal streak. Sharangovich has four goals and five assists during his current streaks. Rounding out the top line is Dawson Mercer with just two goals and two assists for the Devils in his last three games.

New Jersey is unique in that there are so many ways to stack them. Only Hughes plays on the top power-play unit from this line. He joins Nico Hischier and Jesper Bratt from the second line (also a GREAT stack tonight with Pavel Zacha), and Nathan Bastian from the fourth line. On defense on that unit is Damon Severson. As for Sharangovich and Mercer, they are on the second unit with the aforementioned Zacha, Tomas Tatar, and Dougie Hamilton. If you are looking to find some value on defense, and I know you are, Jonas Siegenthaler is near min price on DK and is coming off a three-point performance in the Devils’ last game.

…”and now do Vancouver”

As for the Devils’ opponents tonight, the Canucks are fresh off a five-goal performance last night at MSG. Now, we usually don’t use a team’s fourth lines but every night I tend to see the Canucks fourth line pop up as a potential stack but I never go there. It’s a fourth line, what kind of value can they have? Well last night you would’ve been wise to do so, Juho Lammiko netted his 6th goal of the season, and Matthew Highmore also scored a goal and added an assist. They are joined by Tyler Motte on this line who adds the ancillary points (blocked shots, SOG). This is by no means the only way I want to attack the Canucks tonight, but instead, I just wanted to show some love to a line that can be useful tonight in the expensive Leafs/Caps game stacks.

Vancouver’s top 2 lines have pieces that are good, but as a whole, they have not been productive lately. Elias Pettersen is killing it now with eleven points in his last four games but his linemates on the second line have not chipped in. Both Bo Horvat and Brock Boeser have three points in their last five, but only one goal from linemate Podkolzin. As two-man or one-off plays, they are fine, but I am not looking to stack their lines or the power-play from Vancouver (NJ ranks 8th in PK% and is one of the least penalized teams in the league).

It’s the Canucks third line that I have interest in on Monday. They are the most expensive stack from Vancouver but they are the best stack and it starts with JT Miller. During his current six-game point streak, Miller has four goals and nine assists, including two last night. Tanner Pearson is on his own four-game point streak with three goals and two assists during this streak. Lastly, Conor Garland is not on a point streak, but he has three goals and an assist in his last 5. All three of these guys are top plays on this slate for me and my preference is to stack Pearson and Miller with Travis Hamonic on defense. Hamonic hasn’t scored much, but he has hit the shots blocked bonus three times in the last five games.

Other top stacks:

Boston L1 and L2: You can use either of these lines as a three-man unit or take two forwards to pair with a defenseman. Dmen to use: Reilly, Carlo, McAvoy

Toronto L1: Bunting – Matthew – Marner. Dmen to use: Rielly, Liljegren, Brodie

Los Angeles L1 or L2: Similar to Boston, if you want to run these as full lines that is fine or you can use them with a defenseman in a two or three-man stack. Dmen to use: Doughty, Roy, Durzi

Washington L2: Snively – Backstrom – Wilson. Dmen to use: van Riemsdyk, Orlov, Carlson.

Obviously, any line Ovechkin is on can be in play, but he has not been productive like his typical self lately and I don’t know if I am comfortable paying that salary on a small slate with so many other great options.

It’s value time!

There is not a lot of value on this slate, but these are a few lines along with Vancouver L4 you can use.

Toronto L3: Kerfoot – Kampf – Mikheyev

Washington L4: Hathaway – Dowd – Hagelin

Los Angeles L4: Kaliyev – Lizotte – Lemieux

New Jersey L3: Tatar – Boqvist – Johnsson

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS The Saturday Slapshot (Feb. 26)

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot where I’ll be highlighting some of my top plays for tonight’s NHL DFS slate on Fanduel and DraftKings. Tonight we have a solid 7 game main slate.

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.

Goaltending

Jeremy Swayman ($8.2k DK/$8.1k FD) vs. San Jose Sharks – Over the past month, the Sharks have not been able to muster much offense. They’ve been averaging just 2.44 goals per game over the last 30 days. Guys like Hertl and Meier have gone ice cold and because of that, I’m happy to use a goalie against them tonight.

Swayman himself has been pretty good of late. Over his last 4 contests, he hasn’t scored less than 19 DK points and has only given up 4 goals over that stretch. He’s in a great spot tonight and I plan on going heavy on him. He’s already been confirmed as the starter tonight.

Andrew Hammond ($7.2k DK/$6.9k FD) vs.Ottawa Senators – Another team struggling to score goals right now is the Ottawa Senators. Since January 26, they’ve been averaging just 2.21 goals per game. That’s bad. Hammond hasn’t played much this season. In fact, he’s only played in one contest but he fared extremely well against the Islanders, stopping 30 of 32 shots. He’s not safe by any means. But he’s extremely cheap and opens up a ton of salary for us to spend on offense tonight.

Stacks

Montreal 1 (Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, Josh Anderson) + Jeff Petry

If you would have told me a month ago that I’d be writing up a Canadiens line as one of my favorite lines, I would have laughed at you. Martin St. Louis has changed the culture around the team. They’re currently riding a 4 game winning streak since MSL took over behind the bench and are finally playing some inspired hockey. With Montreal, it all starts the kid Cole Caufield.

Over his last 5 games he has 4 goals and 4 assists. He has a solid 19 scoring chances over that stretch as well. He’s making things happen right now and is somehow still priced under $5k on DK. I’m going to side with Anderson on this stack, although I wouldn’t blame if you go with Suzuki or all 3. Anderson is just $3.7k tonight on DK and has 3 goals in his last 5. Look for the good times to keep rolling against the Senators tonight.

Toronto 1 (Matthews, Bunting, Marner) + Reilly

With the savings we’re getting from the Canadiens tonight, we should be able to squeeze in the expensive and explosive Maple Leafs against the Red Wings tonight. If we look at what the Red Wings have done defensively over their last 10 games, they’re someone that we can attack. They’ve been averaging 4.20 goals against over their last 10. That’s the highest on the slate. It’s been due to some really poor goaltending as their goalies have just an 87% save percentage over their past 10.

When it comes to the Leafs’ offense, it all starts with Matthews. I saw an interesting stat about him the other day. Over his last 100 games, he has scored 77 goals. That’s an insane pace. The duo of Matthews and Marner is one of the best in the league. They are extremely expensive as they’ll combine for $17.2k on DK tonight. The cheap way to go here is to pair Matthews with Bunting tonight. The Leafs should put up a crooked number tonight and I’ll want a part of it.

Ottawa 1 (Stutzle, Tkachuk, Gaudette) + Chabot

I know, I recommended Hammond tonight. He’s a risky play and if you aren’t comfortable playing him, I’d recommend going with some Senators tonight. The Canadiens are playing much better hockey since MSL took over. That’s undeniable. That said though, it’s still the same personnel that’s been hot garbage for the majority of the year. While they’ve been solid for 4, over their last 11 games they are still giving up almost 4 goals per game. At some point the honeymoon will be over and the Canadiens defense will come back down to earth.

It’s entirely possible it happens tonight. While the Senators haven’t been scoring much, they still have some pieces that are doing well and are inexpensive. Stutzle has 4 goals over his past 5 games to go along with 13 scoring chances. While Tkachuk hasn’t been overly productive, he still has 18 scoring chances over his last 5, 7 of which were high danger chances. He’s got all the talent in the world and can easily blow up tonight against the Canadiens.

Other stacks (TB 1 and 2, Col 1, Nash 1, Det 1 and 2, CGY 1 and 2)

Top Defenseman

Moritz Seider
Thomas Chabot
Mikhail Sergachev
Brayden McNabb
Roman Josi
Christopher Tanev
Cale Makar

Summary

We have some high-powered offenses going tonight with the Leafs, Avalanche, and Flames in action. I love the Canadiens/Senators game as a potential game stack tonight. 2 suspect defenses going in that one.

Make sure to use our optimizer when setting lineups.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 25)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com 3 years ago

written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

Friday 2/25 NHL Breakdown

Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports. This Friday gives us a decent six game slate with a lot of places to go. It should be a fun one. Good luck!

Goalies

Ville Husso – St. Louis Blues: The Blues host the Sabres tonight, and they are heavy favorites. Husso has some of the best numbers on the slate, and the Sabres have been struggling mightily on the road over their last five. This is a great spot for Husso, and probably the safest on the board tonight.

Laurent Brossoit – Vegas Golden Knights: The Knights head to the desert tonight to face the Coyotes, where they should be able to control the game. Vegas has also been struggling to score on the road over their last five, so Broissoit may be called on to keep them in the game tonight, which is kind of wild when you consider how bad Arizona is overall.

Darcy Kuemper – Colorado Avalanche: The Avalanche host the Jets tonight, and this is a bit of a riskier play than Husso and Brossoit. Kuemper has had an up and down season for sure, but his recent numbers definitely look good. The Jets have been struggling over their last five road games, and this looks like a really good spot for the Avs, so hopefully, Darcy can put in a good performance tonight.

GPP Goalie Pick – Marc-Andre Fleury – Chicago Blackhawks: The Hawks host the Devils tonight, who are in the second leg of a traveling back to back. Fleury is always a risk in net, but he has these games where he just shows up, and the Devils should be tired tonight. He should be a solid play, and with others on the board, he should go under the radar from an ownership standpoint.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Vegas Golden Knights 1 – Jack Eichel/Max Pacioretty/Chandler Stephenson/Shea Theodore: As mentioned above, the Knights head to Arizona tonight in what should be a very good spot for them. This top line should see the Galchenyuk line for more of the night, and when they don’t, it’ll be the Boyd line. Both of these matchups should give this line plenty of opportunity to produce tonight. Feel free to drop Stephenson for a three-man.

Carolina Hurricanes 1 – Sebastian Aho/Andrei Svechnikov/Teuvo Teravainen/Jaccob Slavin: The Hurricanes’ top line should be matched up with the Blue Jackets’ top line tonight, and what a matchup that is for them. This line has a great chance to break the slate tonight, especially considering that they are up against J.F. Berube in net.

Colorado Avalanche 1 – Mikko Rantanen/Gabriel Landeskog/Andre Burakovsky/Cale Makar: Without MacKinnon, this line is just a little cheaper, and in their line matching, they should see the likes of the 4th line for the Jets for most of the night. What a matchup this is. Hellebuyck for the Jets has been up and down, so this game in theory could go either way, but look for this line to do some big damage tonight against the Jets’ depth. Feeling frisky? Andre Burakovsky as an anytime scorer prop is at +195 early in the day on DraftKings Sportsbook, and is definitely worth a look.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

St. Louis Blues 2 – Robert Thomas/Pavel Buchnevich/Vladimir Tarasenko/Torey Krug: Truthfully, the Blues’ second line is interchangeable with the Vegas top line, and this play borders on one to build around. These guys should see the likes of Buffalo 2 for a good portion of the night, setting them up for a really nice opportunity. Craig Anderson in net for the Sabres is the cherry on top, and this line may just fly under the radar. As long as Anderson gets the start for the Sabres, a team total over 3.5 bet is worth a look at -125 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Los Angeles Kings 2 – Phillip Danault/Trevor Moore/Viktor Arvidsson/Mikey Anderson: The Kings head to Anaheim to take on the Ducks tonight, and the line matching trends suggest that this line is in for yet another good night. They have been the hot hand recently, and they could very well fly way under the radar tonight as a late night hammer. Gibson for Anaheim is decent, but he has not quite been himself recently, so this is an interesting, yet risky look.

Chicago Blackhawks 1 – Dylan Strome/Alex Debrincat/Patrick Kane/Seth Jones: On paper, this line looks like a fantastic spot tonight, especially going up against the Devils, who are on the back end of a traveling back to back. They are the Hawks, though, and they have been very inconsistent, even bad most of the time, throughout the season. The risk is there, but if there is a possibility that this line could dominate the game tonight against Jersey.

Winnipeg Jets 1 – Mark Scheifele/Blake Wheeler/Paul Stastny/Josh Morrissey: This is a contrarian play that is big opportunity at what should be very low ownership. The top line should see the third and fourth lines for the Avalanche tonight, creating a very nice plus matchup for them. If Kuemper has one of his off nights, this could be a line that makes a big difference on the slate. They may not break it, but they could very well combine for multiple goals. This one is reserved for deeper GPPs to be super contrarian.

Honorable Mentions: ANH2, VGK2, NJD1, CBJ1

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Kirby Dach ($3300) – Chicago Blackhawks – not a part of the stacks above, but can be used as a one-off, as he should see extended ice time against the top line for the Devils

Wing: Paul Stastny ($3200) – Winnipeg Jets

Defense: Mikey Anderson ($2500) – Los Angeles Kings

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: Chandler Stephenson ($5100) – Vegas Golden Knights

Wing: Trevor Moore ($5000) – Los Angeles Kings

Defense: Mikey Anderson ($3800) – Los Angeles Kings

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Center: Sebastian Aho – Carolina Hurricanes

Wing: Andre Burakovsky – Colorado Avalanche

Defense: Shea Theodore – Vegas Golden Knights

Goalie: Ville Husso – St. Louis Blues

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Center: Sebastian Aho – Carolina Hurricanes

Wing: Andre Burakovsky – Colorado Avalanche

Defense: Shea Theodore – Vegas Golden Knights

Goalie: Ville Husso – St. Louis Blues

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and any advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 24)

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 2/24 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for an eight-game Thursday slate!

Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

2/24 NHL Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Top Line – Pittsburgh One “Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel, Bryan Rust”

They will be the chalk de jour of the night. but popularity be damned, this line is certainly necessary to mention all things considered. Pittsburgh stands out along with the Panthers as the slates’ biggest favorites by a wide margin. The Pens host the Devils and as of the time of writing are -330 money line favorites and this is one of three 6.5 total games on the night. This line is tied for fifth in the NHL over the span of the last ten games with 135 shot attempts for “SATF”, which includes all shot attempts, and six goals tying them for tenth among all lines. Jon Gillies should start in net for the Devils and his .893 save % and 3.50 GAA are worth targeting. As far as each skater individually, Sidney Crosby looks like a “Kid” again, has been the most consistent of the three, and fills a center spot; so he would be my choice at the moment of the three.

Secondary Line – Florida Three “Mason Marchment, Anton Lundell, Sam Reinhart”

It is rare that I write up a team’s third line but there are certainly exceptions to the rule. Florida, much like Pittsburgh above, is a huge home favorite (-370) in one of the three 6.5 total games. The Panther’s third line has been on fire recently to the tune of eleven full-line goals over their last ten games, good for a three-way tie for second-best in the NHL “tied with two lines mentioned below” over that sample size. Now keep in mind they have been doing some exceptional shooting, as their 51 SATF is super low and feels more indicative of what you might normally see from a third line. However, neither of Florida’s top two lines falls anywhere on the top 30, so the assumption is this is the line that will somehow find a way to do some damage. Given the paltry SATF and lack of top power-play time aside from Sam Reinhart’s exposure, I’d normally fade, but here between price and matchup, I think you hope that the hot shooting continues.

Honorable Mention: Calgary One “Elias Lindholm, Johnny Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk”

Tonight’s matchup for the Flames in Vancouver is not optimal with Thatcher Demko set up to man the opposing net and the low 5.5 total as of the time of writing reflects. However, this line has been nothing short of fire with a league-high “by a wide margin” 200 SATF over their last ten games “as well as the league’s best SATF for any line over this entire season”. Right now, it is Elias Lindholm with the hottest hand of the bunch with goals in a whopping eight straight games over Calgary’s ten-game win streak. The Flames’ second line is certainly a viable option as well as their 11 goals over their last ten games ties the top line and the Panthers’ third line mentioned above, for the second-best in the NHL within this timeframe. These are more contrarian picks but can certainly pay off if the earlier games bust.

2/24 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Washington Capitals (+105) at New York Rangers (-125) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Columbus Blue Jackets (+285) at Florida Panthers (-370) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Minnesota Wild (+135) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-155) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+260) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-330) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Dallas Stars (+130) at Nashville Predators (-150) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Calgary Flames (-170) at Vancouver Canucks (+150) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Boston Bruins (-230) at Seattle Kraken (+185) – 6 Projected Goal Total

New York Islanders (-120) at San Jose Sharks (+100) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

2/24 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

Auston Matthews – Toronto – $9,300
Aleksander Barkov – Florida – $8,100
Sidney Crosby – Pittsburgh – $7,500
Elias Lindholm – Calgary – $6,900
Sam Bennett – Florida – $5,200

Wingers

Sam Reinhart – Florida – $5,000
David Pastrnak – Boston – $8,400
Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida – $7,200
Filip Forsberg – Nashville – $6,500
Patrik Laine – Columbus – $6,200

Defense

Aaron Ekblad – Florida – $6,800
Brandon Montour – Florida – $2,800
Roman Josi – Nashville – $7,500
Alexandre Carrier – Nashville – $3,500
Zach Werenski – Columbus – $6,900

Goalies

Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders – $7,300
Jacob Markstrom – Calgary – $8,200

Cash Considerations

Auston Matthews, Sam Reinhart, Sam Bennett, David Pastrnak, Brandon Montour, Ilya Sorokin

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

3 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 22)

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NHL DFS Man Advantage for the 2021-22 season.

Happy Twos-day!

Happy 2/22/22 Tuesday, and to stick with the two theme the NHL gave us..wait…six games? Oh well, would have been fun if it was two, but six is a better slate anyway.

This slate was made for me, we have a Forsberg Tuesday in the same game as the Panthers (Hello game stack!), coupled with John Gibson night as the Ducks host San Jose! Well, that’s the article, good luck tonight! No, I’m kidding obviously, I should at least give you one more team for value purposes. Three of the teams on this slate are on the second night of a back-to-back with both Toronto (@ CBJ) and Seattle (vs NYI) having to travel while Philadelphia stays home but welcomes St. Louis. The aforementioned Nashville at Florida game is the game of the night and we have Minnesota in Ottawa as well.

NHL DFS: Goaltenders

Kaapo Kahkonen/Cam Talbot (@ Ottawa): I have decided to just put both Minnesota games because it seems every week I write up a Wild goalie and they decide to start the opposite one. Both of these goalies have been great at some point this season for Minnesota, for me Kahkonen should be the guy but there is more money invested in Talbot, so yeah. Either way Ottawa is a pretty soft matchup for Minnesota and should result in a good fantasy day for whoever starts.
John Gibson ( vs San Jose): Gibson is my favorite goalie, personally not just in fantasy, and there is a good chance he goes completely overlooked on this slate. San Jose has been putrid of late winnning just two of their last ten and scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game. I know Gibson is also in a bit of a rut, losing four of five, but he did win his last start and prior to that he won three of four allowing just 8 goals in that stretch.
Ilya Sorokin (@ Seattle): We picked on them last night with Demko and he did well, so why not go back to the well again. Similar to Gibson, Sorokin is in a slump of late but this matchup with Seattle could be one to snap him out of it. Prior to losing four of his last five, Sorokin won seven of eight starts allowing just 16 goals and posting a .919 save %. There is a good goalie in there, he just needs to bring him out and tonight is the night for it.
Ville Husso (@ Philadelphia): This is me trying to wish these into existence, because of the Blues start Binnington then I switch up and add some Philly stacks to my lineups. Husso is the clear better goalie in this tandem, but similar to Minnnesota there is more money tied up in Binner so they want to give him every chance to succeed. If it is Husso, he is unbeaten in regualtion in February (3-0-1) and has only allowed nine goals and put up a .913 save %. Philly did score three times on Monday and played overtime in that game so they could have some tired legs.

Other Options: Sergei Bobrovsky (vs Nsh), Jack Campbell (@ CBJ), James Reimer (@ Anh)

NHL DFS: Slate Overview

Teams to build around:

Nashville/Florida Game Stack

This game has a 6.5 O/U and I don’t see the under hitting tonight. Both teams can score goals in bunches, especially Floriday at home. Looking at the home team first, their top line of Duclair – Barkov – Huberdeau is the top line on this entire slate, and for good reason. Duclair is the “weak” link on this line with just two goals and an assist in his last four games. As for Barkov and Huberdeau, they have been on fire seemingly all season. Huberdeau is riding a seven-game point streak during which he has one goal and eleven assists and as for Barkov, he has five goals and six assists during Huberdeau’s seven-game point streak himself. You can use both Sam Bennett and/or Aaron Ekblad with pieces of this line to make a PP1 stack as well.

Even though I wrote up a long paragraph on line one, it’s actually line three that is more interesting to me. Mason Marchment has been making a name for himself this season and has nine goals and seven assists since January 25th (eight games). Joining him on line three is Anton Lundell who himself has a goal and seven assists in the club’s last five and Sam Reinhart who has his own six-game point streak with five goals and five assists during his point streak. Outside of Ekblad on defense, you can use MacKenzie Weegar or for value, you can go with Brandon Montour who is on the second power-play unit with all three forwards from line three.

On to Nashville…

I am only interested in using the Predators’ top line because their depth scoring isn’t as fruitful as the Panthers are. Filip Forsberg is the centerpiece of any Nashville stack with five points and four shots on goal per game in his last five. Matt Duchene has six goals and three assists in his last eight games while Mikael Granlund has just one goal and three assists in his last seven. If you only want to run a two-man here then it should be Forsberg and Duchene. If you are going with the Panthers’ third line as a stack you can fit Roman Josi in on defense with Forsberg/Duchene. That is probably going to net you the rights point total. If you are looking to use value on defense, Dante Fabbro is the best option, you can also look at Alexandre Carrier.

More stacking options:

Minnesota L1: Kaprizov – Hartman – Zuccarello (I prefer using Eriksson Ek or Boldy over Hartman for a PP stack). Dmen to use: Brodin, Merrill, Kulikov, Spurgeon (PP1)

St. Louis L2: Buchnevich – Thomas – Tarasenko. Dmen to use: Parayko, Krug, Faulk

Columbus L1: Voracek – Jenner – Laine (I love this line for a low-owned stack or just pieces). Dmen to use: Werenski, Gavrikov, Peeke

Toronto L1: Marner – Matthews – Bunting (big let down last night, lowers ownership?) Dmen to use: Rielly, Brodie

Philadelphia L1: Lindblom – Giroux – Atkinson (less interested in Husso starts, but if it’s Binnington then all systems go!) Dmen to use: Sanheim, Ristolainen, Braun

New York Islanders L1: Lee – Barzal – Palmieri (not overly expensive on either site and could be a late-night hammer) Dmen to use: Dobson, Aho, Chara

Bargain Bin!

Toronto L3: Kase – Kampf – Mikheyev

Anaheim L1: Milano – Steel – Terry Dmen to use: Mahura, Shattenkirk, Drysdale

St. Louis L3: Barbashev – Schenn – Sundqvist

San Jose L2: Balcers – Couture – Nieto Dmen to use: Burns, Ferraro, Vlasic

Columbus L2: Nyquist – Sillinger – Bjorkstrand

New York Islanders L2: Beauvillier – Nelson – Bellows

3 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 21)

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NHL DFS Man Advantage for the 2021-22 season.

Holiday hockey (for those of us states side)!

It’s a holiday here in the states so that means daytime hockey! This is actually one of the strangest slates I’ve ever seen with five games all starting at five distinct times. This also may be the longest slate we’ve ever had with the first game starting at 1 pm eastern (Colorado @ Boston) and the last game dropping the puck at 10 pm eastern (Seattle @ Vancouver)

There is one team that is going to be the chalk or all chalk on today’s slate, the Toronto Maple Leafs. Toronto is a great play on the road in Montreal who is coming home after a road win on Long Island on Sunday. For me, the Leafs’ top line (Marner – Matthews – Bunting) is one of the top plays on this slate. I expect them to be some of the highest owned players on the slate along with defenseman Morgan Rielly but I do think there is one line that I prefer to stack on this slate and they will be much lower owned.

*** As a reminder, this article will be based around the 5 game slate on DraftKings. FanDuel has separated the schedule into two slates and has the three early games as their main slate***

NHL DFS: Goaltenders

Jacob Markstrom ($8,400) : Markstrom is not only the best goalie on the slate, he is the best play at home versus WInnipeg. If there is a downside to Markstrom today, it’s that the Flames have been solid defensively recently and are not allowing shots (Markstrom has just 25.6 saves per game in his last 8 games). Winnipeg is averaging nearly 32 shots on goal per game in eight February games so that is a positive.
Thatcher Demko ($7,900): Even though I ranked Markstrom higher, Demko is my favorite goalie on this slate. Demko has had a couple of bad starts back-to-back, he is due for some positive regression. Seattle is only scoring 2.3 goals per game in their last 10 games, and Demko is allowing 2.3 in his last nine appearances. During that same 9 game stretch, Demko has a .923 save %. I see this as a bounce back game for the Canucks netminder that will also be an extremely low owned play as the last game on the slate.
Frederick Andersen ($8,200): I love the price and the matchup for Andersen on Monday. Even though the Canes played in Pittsburgh on Sunday and are in Philly today I still think they win on Monday. Andersen has been stellar all season but is probably having his “roughest” patch currently losing three (two in OT) of his last 11 games. I do expect Andersen to carry some owenrship based on this matchup, but not as much as the next goalie on the list.
Petr Mrazek ($8,500): This play is here because of his recent performances. After a slow start to the season, Mrazek has won four of five and has the perceived easiest matchup. If I am being honest, I may not have any exposure to Mrazek (depending on how many lineups I make) on Monday because I expect him to be the chalk play. If you know anything about me when it comes to goalies, you know I don’t like paying high salaries for my goalie also.

Other Options: Darcy Kuemper ($8,300), Jeremy Swayman ($8,000)

NHL DFS: Slate Overview

Teams to build around:

I have previously mentioned the Maple Leafs as a top play and the overall chalk of the slate, so you won’t see them here, but know they are a great option tonight and will be in my lineups.

Calgary Flames: Tkachuk – Lindholm – Gaudreau

Calgary has a home matchup with the Jets on Monday as mentioned in the goalie section, and I am expecting their top line to have a great day. All three of these guys are on fire over the team’s last five, well over the entire season. My favorite play of this stack is actually Elias Lindholm ($7.5K). I know, I am shocked too, but Lindholm has six goals over the Flames last five to go with four assists and averaging 3 shots on goal per game. This stack s expensive ($22.4K – $300 less than the Leafs’ first line) but there is a ton of value on this slate that makes it easy to use.

If you want to pay up elsewhere (plenty of options for that as well) the Flames second (Mangiapane – Backlund – Coleman) and third lines (Toffoli – Monahan – Lucic) are good value stacks. On defense, Rasmus Andersson is the PP1 captain and the pay-up spot, but I much prefer the value of Christopher Tanev and Erik Gudbranson.

Vanouver Canucks: Garland – Pettersson – Pearson

Not only do I want to use Demko, but I definitely want plenty of exposure to the Canucks skaters as well tonight. Vancouver’s second line projects as one of the top value lines on this slate and again will probably be low owned. Both Conor Garland and Elias Pettersson have been on fire of late with Pettersson having eight points in the Canucks last five and Garland a point per game player in that same stretch. I think the ideal way to use this stack is to pair up the two Canucks I just mentioned with Travis Hamonic on defense. While he has not picked up a point in his three games since returning from injury he has hit the shots blocked bonus is back to back games and is averaging 10.7 DKFP per game since his return.

If you care to spend up on the Canucks, their top line (Miller – Horvat – Boeser) is a more expensive, but equally as good play. As for the dmen, both Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Quinn Hughes are in play but again more expensive.

Other top stacks:

Colorado L1: Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen Dmen to use: Makar, Toews, Erik Johnson

Carolina L1: Svechnikov – Aho – Teravainen Dmen to use: DeAngelo, Skjei, Slavin

Boston L1: Hall – Bergeron – Pastrnak Dmen to use: Reilly, Carlo, Grzelcyk

Colorado L2: Nichushkin – Kadri – Burakovsky (can be used as value with a cheap dman in place of Kadri)

Winnipeg L1: Wheeler – Scheifele – Stastny Dmen to use: Morrissey, Stanley, Dillon

Bargain bin!

Toronto L3 (ok, so Toronto does show up here): Mikheyev – Kampf – Kase Dmen to use: Rielly, Muzzin, Brodie

Montreal L1: Caufield – Suzuki – Anderson Dmen to use: Petry, Romanov, Kulak

Carolina L3: Niederreiter – Staal – Fast

Philadelphia L2: van Riemsdyk – Laughton – Konecny Dmen to use: Provorov, Sanheim, Braun

Seattle L3: Donskoi – McCann – Donato Dmen to use: Giordano, Dunn, Fleury

3 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS The Saturday Slapshot (Feb. 19)

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot where I’ll be highlighting some of my top plays for tonight’s NHL DFS slate on Fanduel and DraftKings. Tonight we have a smaller than usual 5 game slate.

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.

Goaltending

Jacob Markstrom ($8.5k DK/$8.4k FD) vs. Seattle Kraken – The Calgary Flames get to take on the Seattle Kraken tonight and because of it, I’m all over Markstrom. Markstrom is definitely priced up for the match-up, but he’s facing a team that’s been scoring just 2.5 goals per game over the past month. If we look at the Kraken’s season as a whole, the past month is pretty indicative of their offensive prowess.

Markstrom is playing pretty well as he’s won 6 of his last 7 games, only allowing more than 2 goals once in the game that he lost. I’ll add though that there is a lower ceiling for him tonight as the Kraken are only registering 29 shots per game. While there is a ceiling, there’s also a chance at a shutout. If you’re playing cash games tonight, Markstrom should be your first choice at goalie. He’s still viable in GPP’s, just know he’s not going to face 40 shots and save 39 of them. There’s a limit to his potential tonight.

Thatcher Demko ($7.5k DK/$7.4k FD) vs. Buffalo Sabres – Demko comes into tonight’s match-up vs. the Ducks playing rather inconsistently. Mixed in over his last 4 games, he has games of 36 DK points and 44. Also in that stretch, he has games of 7 and 15. He’s definitely more of a GPP play for me tonight and being that I only play GPP’s, Demko will be my starting goalie.

He too gets to face a team that has just been struggling to score goals. Over the past month, the Ducks have been scoring just 2.9 goals per game. While they don’t take too many shots, the Canucks are giving up 33 shots per game over the past month. They play a little looser defensively and it should allow the Ducks to get more shots on net, raising Demko’s ceiling a bit. At $1k cheaper than Markstrom, we can deal with a lower ceiling as well.

The only other goalie I have any interest in tonight is Cal Petersen vs. Arizona.

Stacks

Los Angeles 2 (Philip Danault, Trevor Moore, Viktor Arvidsson) + Drew Doughty

I know that there has been a lot of love for Vejmelka in our Discord this season, and rightfully so as he’s put up some monster games. He’s had multiple games this season with over 40 saves. That said, he’s not playing particularly well right now and I want to take advantage of that tonight. Over his last 7 games, he has just 2 games where he’s given up less than 4 goals. That’s not going to cut it and that’s something we want to attack.

Tonight, we attack him with the second line for L.A. Over their last 5 games, this line has combined for 29 high danger chances. They’ve also combined for 51 shots. They’re playing well together and should get a ton of pucks on net tonight. Of all the players on the ice tonight, no player has a higher iCF over their last 5 games than Arvidsson. Not even Auston Matthews. He’s going to be my main cog for the Kings tonight.

Calgary 1 (Lindholm, Gaudreau, Tkachuk) + Hanifin or Tanev

I suspect that Calgary will be chalky tonight. Seattle is struggling on both sides of the ice. They aren’t scoring goals and they’re also giving up more than 3.3 goals per game. I’d start this stack with Lindholm as he’s one of the hottest players in the NHL right now. Over his last 5 games, he has 6 goals and 9 points.

If I had to pick between Gaudreau and Tkachuk, I’d side with good ole Johnny right now as he’s also playing some amazing hockey. Over his last 5 games he has 7, yes 7 assists, and 9 points. Can this line fail tonight? Yes, they certainly can. They are however in an amazing spot and the chances of them excelling are greater than them failing. No need to overthink this line.

Vancouver 1 (Horvat, Miller, Boeser)

The Ducks are giving up a ton of shots, and a healthy amount of goals right now. Over the past month, the Ducks are giving up almost 36 shots per game. They’re giving up a ton of volume and volume equals chances. In net for Anaheim tonight should be Gibson. While he’s had a solid season to date, he’s also been someone that can give up some goals as he’s given up 15 in his last 3 games.

The top line for Vancouver tonight is where I’d look for the offense. Over their last 5 games, this line has combined for 7 goals and 14 points. All three of these guys are also extremely affordable, with not a single one over $6k. They should do some damage against a defensively challenged Ducks team.

While I didn’t write them up, the top line of Toronto is always in play. They are just always extremely expensive. With some of the solid spots for offense tonight, I just don’t think there’s going to be a need to spend up on Matthews tonight, especially in GPP’s.

Other stacks (CGY 2 and 3, Tor 1 and 2, Bos 1, Stl 2)

Top Defenseman

Jakob Chychrun
Drew Doughty
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Christopher Tanev
Nick Holden
Justin Faulk
Niko Mikkola

Summary

Even though tonight’s a smaller than normal Saturday night slate, it should still be a fun one. We have some defensively challenged teams facing off against offenses that are playing well. My focus with my lineups tonight will be the top 3 stacks I wrote up as they are in great spots and fit very well together when building lineups.

Make sure to use our optimizer when setting lineups.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 18)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com 3 years ago

written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

Friday 2/18 NHL Breakdown

Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports. A nice four game slate is on tap with some interesting spots, and one game that should be fun to watch. It’s a tougher slate that you would think for four games, but we will do our best to narrow down how to attack it. Good luck!

Goalies

Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars: The Stars travel to Chicago to take on the Blackhawks, who played Thursday night. The back to back situation, and, well, the fact that it is Chicago, puts Jake in a good spot, despite having a road matchup. Frankly, this feels like the only ‘safe’ goalie on the slate tonight, but you can also consider Frederik Andersen or Juuse Saros in this spot if you don’t want to put all of your eggs in the Oettinger basket.

GPP Goalie Pick – Laurent Brossoit – Vegas Golden Knights: With Lehner on the shelf, potentially long term, Brossoit has a legitimate chance to make a name for himself in Vegas. He is arguably a slightly better goalie than Lehner and could really benefit from a stretch of good hockey. In a home matchup against the Kings, he should be able to put a decent game together. He is a risk, however, simply because he has an ability to just blow up and not save anything.

Lines to Build Around

Florida Panthers Power Play – Aleksander Barkov/Anthony Duclair/Sam Reinhart/Jonathan Huberdeau/Aaron Ekblad: It is very hard to argue with the way the Panthers have been playing this year, especially over the last month or so. They have been finding scoring everywhere and have become an offensive powerhouse. Tonight, they head to Minnesota for a date with the Wild in what should be a fun game to watch. The priority in the PP unit is usually Barkov/Huberdeau/Ekblad, but feel free to mix and match as your build allows.

Dallas Stars 1 – Roope Hintz/Jason Robertson/Joe Pavelski/John Klingberg: The Stars head to Chicago tonight to take on a Blackhawks team that is playing the second game of a back to back, and they get a matchup against Fleury, who has been less than stellar all season. If Klingberg can’t go, then Heiskanen can be played in his spot. This top line for the Stars should have its way with the Hawks and make great core pieces in any lineup.

High Risk Lines

Nashville Predators 2 – Ryan Johansen/Luke Kunin/Eeli Tolvanen/Mattias Ekholm: The Preds’ second line is in a very interesting spot tonight. The Canes match the Staal line to the opposing top line, the top line to the second, and the second to the third. That matching scheme sets this line up for a date with the top Canes’ line in a very nice matchup. This line is not necessarily known for its scoring, but they have a chance to be a super low owned, sneaky upside play.

Chicago Blackhawks 2 – Kirby Dach/Mackenzie Entwistle/Alex Debrincat: The even strength matchup for this line should be against the second line for the Stars, which is a nice matchup that should provide plenty of opportunity. This is a sneaky play that carries more risk than usual, setting this play up as a deep GPP look only. Of course, don’t play this line in the same lineup where you have Oettinger as your goalie.

Minnesota Wild 1 – Ryan Hartman/Mats Zuccarello/Kirill Kaprizov/Jared Spurgeon: the MIN/FLA game should be the most exciting game on the night, showcasing Kirill the Thrill and some other Young Guns against a slightly more seasoned, but very exciting Florida team. Because this game should be high event, it is recommended to get at least a piece of it in your lineup. These guys have a nice matchup, even though FLA gets the slight edge in this game. If playing multiple lineups, be sure to get both sides of this game.

Vegas Golden Knights 2 – William Karlsson/Jonathan Marchessault/Reilly Smith/Alex Pietrangelo: Everyone is rightfully excited about Jack Eichel finally suiting up for the Knights. He is going to make a great fit out there and really make the Knights a tough team. However, this second line should still be strongly considered as the better line until Eichel can skate with Stone and Patches consistently. Against the Kings, this line should see a mix of both top lines, spending just a touch more time against the second line. This matchup is very nice for the second line for Vegas tonight. Keep in mind, it is also a very nice matchup for LAK2 here, so you can go either way in this game.

Honorable Mentions: CAR1, NSH1, LAK2

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Ryan Johansen ($3400) – Nashville Predators

Wing: Eeli Tolvanen ($2800) – Nashville Predators

Defense: Alex Goligoski ($2900) – Minnesota Wild

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: William Karlsson ($4900) – Vegas Golden Knights

Wing: Owen Tippett ($3600) – Florida Panthers

Defense: Brayden McNabb ($3800) – Vegas Golden Knights

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Center: Roope Hintz – Dallas Stars

Wing: Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida Panthers

Defense: Jared Spurgeon – Minnesota Wild

Goalie: Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Center: Roope Hintz – Dallas Stars

Wing: Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida Panthers

Defense: Jared Spurgeon – Minnesota Wild

Goalie: Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

3 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 17)

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 2/17 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a ten-game Thursday slate!

Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

Three Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Top Line – Buffalo One “Alex Tuch, Jeff Skinner, Tage Thompson”

In terms of affordability and production, it doesn’t get much better than the Sabres top line. They will be hosting the Senators in a game that is sure to feature some goals “six total as of the time of writing, but I’d take the over”. Alex Tuch is the stand out of the bunch and no matter what he does, his price seems to never increase by much. Mr. Tuch has been averaging over a point a game “19 over 16” with goals in four of his last six games. His shot totals in recent games have been five sog, five sog, seven sog, four sog, four sog, seven sog, and five sog before hitting a game where he didn’t have any shots on goal “but did have two assists”.

Jeff Skinner, who has a monster game on Sunday, is only $5,100 and Tage Thompson at $6,500 might be the most expensive of the bunch but has finished with double digits DraftKings points in eight of his last nine games. This is matchup proof stuff at the line’s current price let alone good value for an even money matchup hosting the Senators.

Secondary Line – New York Rangers One Two Man “Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider”

The star of Rangers’ first half of the season, Chris Kreider, clocks in at only $5,600 and makes for a perfect pairing with Mika Zibanejad at center. They host in the Red Wings in a six total game and with the home team -190 favorites, we can rightfully assume that the Rangers are expected to provide most of the goals here.

I’m surprised that the recent sample size on this line “or any Rangers line for that matter” isn’t better but it seems like that might be the byproduct of a tough recent schedule. That’s the sort of thing that can turn around in an instant with the Red Wings “an awful road team” coming to town. I left off Alexis Lafreniere as he’s a side piece at most and lacks power play correlation with the two mentioned skaters. However, he is super cheap at $2,900 and does have goals in two of his last three in case you need the savings.

2/17 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Detroit Red Wings (+160) at New York Rangers (-190) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Washington Capitals (-175) at Philadelphia Flyers (+150) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Pittsburgh Penguins (+130) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-150) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Ottawa Senators (-105) at Buffalo Sabres (-115) – 6 Projected Goal Total

St. Louis Blues (-265) at Montreal Canadiens (+210) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Boston Bruins (+100) at New York Islanders (-115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Seattle Kraken (+135) at Winnipeg Jets (-165) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Columbus Blue Jackets (+125) at Chicago Blackhawks (-145) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Anaheim Ducks (+185) at Edmonton Oilers (-230) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (-115) at San Jose Sharks (-105) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

2/17 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

Mika Zibanejad – New York Rangers – $7,000
Tage Thompson – Buffalo – $6,500
Evgeny Kuznetsov – Washington – $6,200
Boone Jenner – Columbus – $6,000
Bo Horvat – Vancouver – $4,300

Wingers

Alex Tuch – Buffalo – $5,800
Chris Krieder – New York Rangers – $5,600
Patrik Laine – Columbus – $5,400
Vladimir Tarasenko – St. Louis – $6,400
Evander Kane – Edmonton – $5,100

Defense

Rasmus Dahlin – Buffalo – $4,800
Erik Brannstrom – Ottawa – $2,700
Connor Murphy – Chicago – $3,200
Mike Matheson – Pittsburgh – $3,000
Vince Dunn – Seattle – $3,800

Goalies

Ville Husso – St. Louis – $8,600
Linus Ullmark – Boston – $7,400

Cash Considerations

Patrik

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