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New York Yankees

10/12 DFS MLB Two-Game Slate & Showdown Picks

5 years ago

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The 10/12 DFS MLB Two-Game Slate is about the Nationals seeking to move one step closer to really loving Life After Bryce (WAS @ STL, 4:08 ET, FS1) while Act 1 of Clash of the Titans goes down in H-Town (NYY @ HOU, 8:08 ET, FOX).

Showdown and Hitting picks follow, and I’m pretty sure we won’t forget the four starting hurlers in question.

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10/12 DFS Showdown: WAS @ STL

MVP/Captain (2X)

Trea Turner, SS, WAS (DK $14700, FD $9500)

Runs will be at a premium today, so I’ll go with the one player capable of creating runs on his own. Four of Turner’s eight postseason hits are for extra bases, and I feel today’s the day he becomes aggressive on the basepaths.

All-Star (1.5X)

Adam Eaton, OF, WAS (DK $7600, FD $7000)

Eaton has a great track record against Cards starter Adam Wainright, having recorded a .545 batting average (6-for-11) with a homer and a 1.455 OPS. Yes, he’s scuffling thus far in the postseason (.167 batting average, .560 OPS), but the thought of hitting Wainright is the wake-up call his bat needs.

Utility

Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, WAS (DK $7000, FD $6500)

Like Eaton, Zimmerman has a strong record against Wainright. In 34 career at-bats, Zimmerman has hit .353 with a pair of homers and a 1.048 OPS. He’s facing Wainright at a time where Zimmerman has five hits in his last three games while showing there’s still some pop left in his bat with a homer and a double among his hits.

Utility

Tommy Edman, 3B, STL (DK $9000, FD $7000)

You’re going to be hard-pressed to find anyone in the Cards lineup with success against Max Scherzer, but Edman — albeit a brief sample — is an exception, having gone 2-for-3 with a homer off the Nats ace. He was hitless in Game 1 yet had four hits in the previous two games. Edman is more dominant at home, where he’s posted a .959 OPS with four homers and 26 runs scored at Busch Stadium.

Utility

Yadier Molina, C, STL (DK $4400, FD $5000)

I’ve had a decent rate of success with catchers in the postseason, so consider Molina a roll of the dice. Molina is hitting just .130 thus far in the playoffs but there’s a feeling he can pay off here this afternoon. Sometimes, you have to play a hunch, and at this low a salary, I’ll take my chances.

10/12 DFS Showdown: NYY @ HOU

MVP/Captain (2X)

George Springer, OF, HOU (DK $15,000, FD $8000)

One of a handful of Astros who have hit well against Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka, Springer has two homers and a 1.126 OPS in 14 at-bats against him. He also had three hits in Games 4 and 5 in the ALDS, a good sign that his postseason woes have moved past. Springer has a .931 OPS at home and a .998 OPS versus righties. Run with him tonight.

All-Star

D.J. LeMahieu, 3B, NYY (DK $9600, FD $7500)

LeMahieu knows a thing or two about Astros starter Zack Greinke, having faced him 58 times as a member of the Rockies while Greinke was bouncing around the National League. He’s hit Greinke with a .293 average with a homer among his six extra base hits against him. LeMahieu has tagged Astros pitching with a .429/.480/.905 with a pair of dingers and six runs scored.

Utility

Gleyber Torres, 2B, NYY (DK $8200, FD $6500)

Youth be damned, Torres hit a sizzling .417 in the ALDS with four of his five hits going for extra bases. He hasn’t fared well against the Astros this season (.708 OPS) but does have a pair of homers against them. He’d be my early choice for ALCS MVP. Clip and save that last sentence.

Utility

Yuli Gurriel 1B, HOU (DK $7800, FD $5500)

One of the most impressive LDS facts was Gurriel not striking out in 19 at-bats. He’s lethal at Minute Maid Park, where he’s gone .311/.351/.615 with 19 homers. While he owns just one hit in eight at-bats against Tanaka, Gurriel has the look of a silent assassin waiting to strike big time for us DFSers.

Utility

Carlos Correa, SS, HOU (DK $8000, FD $7000)

C-Squared has struggled in the postseason, but the sight of facing Tanaka should make his bat happy. Correa has two homers and an 1.108 OPS in 15 at-bats against Tanaka. He thrives at home (1.034 OPS) and is the one overdue bat in the Astros’ lineup that could change the complexion of this series if he gets hot.

10/6 DFS Pitching Picks

1) Max Scherzer, WAS @ STL (DK $10,200, FD $11,400)

The easy lay-up among today’s pitchers, I really don’t have to explain why, but here goes: 12.69 K/9, 1.72 BB/9 and an 0.94 HR/9. We’re done here.

2) Zack Greinke, HOU vs. NYY (DK $7,500, FD $8,700)

There’s reason to be hesitant about Greinke after he was lit up for three homers by the Rays in Game 3 of the ALDS. His season total of 0.91 HR/9 suggests it was a blip on the radar, along with his 36.2% hard contact rate.

3) Adam Wainwright, STL vs. WAS (DK $6,100, FD $8,000)

A solid September has carried into October for Wainwright, who has an ERA of 3.06 at home since the start of the 2015 season. There’s risk with a hurler who has allowed opponents to record a .286 batting average against him since the All-Star break, but Wainwright’s postseason experience will help attract users.

4) Masahiro Tanaka (DK $7,300, FD $8,000)

Tanaka has a 2.25 ERA against the Astros this season, yet it was the only time he saw them. I’m not sure I’d want to risk him, even with the friendly salary.

10/12 DFS Hitters

10/12 DFS C: Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. NYY (DK $3600, FD $2500)

Plug him into the eighth spot, A.J. Hinch. After all, Chirinos does have an .887 OPS with nine homers when placed there.

10/12 DFS 1B: Ryan Zimmerman, WAS at STL (DK $3700, FD $3000)

Going strictly on the track record he has against Adam Wainwright. He’ll be a value play that allows you spend big elsewhere.

10/12 DFS 2B: Jose Altuve, HOU vs. NYY (DK $4700, FD $4300)

Crushed it with a 1.281 OPS in the ALDS. Increased hard contact rate makes Altuve a dangerous presence. If you’re looking at an Astros stack, make sure Altuve is in it.

10/12 DFS 3B: Alex Bregman, HOU vs. NYY (DK $5100, FD $4100)

Damned if his 17.2% walk rate and 12% strikeout rate isn’t the most impressive things of the 2019 season. That 44.7% hard contact rate is lethal.

10/12 DFS SS: Carlos Correa, HOU vs. NYY (DK $4100, FD $3700)

Career-best .289 Isolated Power falls under the radar due to his injuries. Correa also had a career-high 36.9% fly ball rate and a scary good 25.6 HR/FB rate.

10/12 DFS OF: Aaron Judge, NYY at HOU (DK $9000, FD $8500)

Somewhat quiet in the ALDS, Judge had four hits in 10 at-bats in Minute Maid Park. He’s another overdue bat that will pay off.

10/12 DFS OF: Juan Soto, WAS at STL

He’s homered twice in the postseason despite a tepid .259 batting average.

10/12 DFS OF: Marcell Ozuna, STL vs. WAS

Friday night aside, Ozuna has mashed it in the postseason, going .360/.407/.727.

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5 years ago 0 comment

10/4 DFS MLB Picks: Four on the Floor

5 years ago

written by

Today’s four-game playoff slate means the 10/4 DFS MLB Hitting Picks can go back to basics with a full lineup.

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10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. TB

DK ($3,600), FD ($2,800)

Chirinos is devastating at Minute Maid Park, evidenced by a .915 OPS with 10 of his 14 homers coming in front of the H-Town faithful. He does have a homer among his four hits in 15 at-bats this season against the Rays. You do have to like his 39.5% hard contact rate and a similar 39.5% fly ball rate. He’s the best overall play among 10/4 DFS Hitting Picks behind the plate.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

C.J. Cron, MIN at NYY

DK ($3,600), FD ($3,100)

A value pick with good reason: Cron has six hits in 18 career at-bats against New York starter James Paxton. Two of those hits were homers, giving Cron a 1.017 OPS against the Pinstripes southpaw. Cron was able to cut his strikeout rate to 21.4% this season and maintained a solid fly ball rate (36.3%) while taking his hard contact rate from 39.6% last season to 41.1% this year.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Kolten Wong, STL at ATL

DK ($3,800), FD ($2,600)

Like Cron, I’m looking for past success against today’s starters. Enter Wong, who has a homer and a stolen base in 11 career at-bats versus Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz, producing a 1.625 OPS in the process. Wong went 2-for-4 with two RBI and a walk in Thursday’s Game 1 victory. That’s a tremendous way to shake off a sluggish September that saw Wong offer up a .735 OPS despite hitting .290. The free pass is encouraging since Wong had a mere .315 OBP in September that put a scratch on a Post All-Star break OBP of .409.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Miguel Sano, MIN at NYY

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,800)

Sano gives the Twins another hammer that has nailed James Paxton in the past. In 11 career at-bats versus Paxton, Sano has four hits that include a homer that helped boost his OPS to 1.326 against Paxton. A strong second half OBP of .362 was helped in part of Sano improving his walk rate to 12.5%. His HR/FB rate of 36.6% is downright frightening in homer-friendly Yankee Stadium. More frightening is Sano’s 52.7% hard contact rate.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Trea Turner, WAS at LAD

DK ($4,600), FD ($4,200)

Turner admitted to “trying too hard” on Thursday night, so let’s take him at his word. He’ll need a different approach against Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw, even though he has three hits in 10 at-bats against him. One way Turner could achieve that would be resuming his more aggressive ways on the road when it comes to baserunning. Of his 35 steals, 20 have come in enemy territory. He has a .444 slugging percentage against southpaws, compared to .512 versus righties, so look for him to more contact-oriented.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Yordan Alvarez, HOU vs. TB

DK ($4,800), FD ($4,000)

The Rays were not exempt from Alvarez’s tour of destruction, as Tampa Bay hurlers allowed a pair of homers and a double to him in 11 at-bats. Alvarez’s best work came at Minute Maid Park, where he sported an 1.140 OPS built on a slash line of .349/.441/.699. Rays starter Tyler Glasnow allowed just one homer in 97 at-bats versus left-handed hitters. Facing a slugger with a 51.1% hard contact rate, Glasnow could see that number increase by at least one.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Marcell Ozuna, STL at ATL

DK ($4,100), FD ($3,600)

Ozuna has a pair of homers off Braves hurler Mike Foltynewicz, who was shelled by the Cardinals this season for nine runs (eight earned) and 12 hits over 10.2 innings for a robust 6.79 ERA. Ozuna doubled twice, drove in a pair of runs and scored once on Thursday, making us all forget his .143 average against Atlanta pitching this season. Ozuna’s .243 batting average and .259 BABIP also make you forget his career-best 48.1% hard contact rate and the fact his 2018 BABIP was exactly 50 points higher.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. MIN

DK ($4,700), FD ($4,400)

Although he failed to record a homer against them this season, Judge did hit .462 (6-for-13) against Twins pitching, making him a good 10/4 DFS Hitting Picks play. He also comes into the postseason with the momentum of an 1.109 OPS with four homers over the past two weeks and an equally imposing .948 OPS under the lights. Judge also has three hits in five career at-bats versus Twins starter Jose Berrios, while his late season surge boosted his Isolated Power to .267. Ignore the 31.5% strikeout rate, and Judge offers you a hitter with a .360 BABIP and an intimidating 53.8% hard contact rate.

10/4 DFS Hitting Stacks

10/4 Hitting Stack of the Day: St. Louis Cardinals: Wong and Ozuna should be paired with Paul DeJong ($3100 FD), who has a homer and a 1.064 OPS versus Foltynewicz, along with Matt Carpenter ($4100 DK), who also sports a career dinger off the Braves’ Game 2 starter.

10/4 DFS Showdown

Using the FanDuel template, it’s 2x the points for MVP, 1.5x the points for All-Star and regular production for the three Utility spots. October is filled with unsung efforts, something to keep in mind when filling out the Utility roles. Look for players who’ve had success this season against a particular team, along with taking a gander of recent production. I’m a strong believer in OPS, more so if a strong OPS is bolstered with stolen bases.

My MVP plays for Showdown:

Tampa Bay at Houston: Yordan Alvarez, HOU, OF, $8,000 Salary

St. Louis at Atlanta: Paul Goldschmidt, STL, 1B, $8,500 Salary

Minnesota at NY Yankees: Gleyber Torres, NYY, 2B, $6,500 Salary

Washington at LA Dodgers: Cody Bellinger, LAD, OF, $9,500 Salary

10/4 DFS Pitching Picks

Justin Verlander, HOU vs. TB

DK ($10,700), FD ($11,200)

No shock here, as he is projected to deliver 45.03 points at FanDuel and 26.03 points at DraftKings. Verlander has produced 15 straight starts of at least 30 points at FD, hitting above 50 points nine times in the same span. The 12.11 K/9 rate assures DFSers of plenty of whiffs, and while the 1.45 HR/9 rate raises the eyebrows a wee, Verlander has been able to keep most them solo blasts.

Jack Flaherty, STL at ATL

DK ($8,200), FD ($10,500)

You could save some salary and run with Flaherty over Verlander. In his one start versus the Braves this season, Flaherty allowed one hit and struck out 11 over seven innings. His 0.91 ERA and .142 OBA after the All-Star break was overshadowed by a host of hitting performances and the “can you top this?” clash between Verlander and Astros teammate Gerrit Cole, but Flaherty’s 124 strikeouts over 99.1 post-ASB frames were anything but a fluke.

Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs. WAS

DK ($9,300), FD ($10,300)

Only Kershaw can post a 2.95 ERA and fan nearly 10 batters per nine innings post-ASB and still have people wondering about his effectiveness. The home run rate (1.41) was a career-high, and the 2.07 BB/9 was his highest since 2012. Name recognition will make his usage rate climb, yet Kershaw presents something of a bargain compared to the two hurlers above him.

Stephen Strasburg, WAS at LAD

DK ($9,600), FD ($10,100)

He’s good to go after throwing 34 pitches in relief on Tuesday, allowing just two hits and fanning four. Strasburg could be overlooked by some, yet he did strike out 16 and allowed only three earned runs in 16 innings against the Dodgers this season, sporting a 2.08 ERA.

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5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/19 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Twins Will Get You Wins

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got a split slate for 9/19 DFS: DraftKings has a six-game slate that starts at 6:35, while FanDuel is excluding the Angels-Yankees again and starting a four-gamer at 7:05. We’re focusing on three stacks and just a couple contrarian builds, as well as our usual buffet of hitters at every position. Let’s get rolling, because the Yanks and Twins will get you wins!

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9/19 DFS Hitting Stacks ofthe Day

Minnesota Twins vs. Mike Montgomery

The Twins were a total dud on Wednesday night against the fullWhite Sox bullpen, scoring just one run on three hits across nine boringinnings. Today is a great day for a rebound, as the Royals left-hander can beexposed by hitters from both sides of the plate. Montgomery has been a reversesplits pitcher this season, yielding an amusing .443/.464/.709 slash toopposing LHBs. Over the course of his whole career, the disparity isn’t as noticeable.I like all the Twins here, since they brutalize lefties (.287/.353/.523 slash,.363 wOBA and a 127 wRC+) and will be starting my stacks with Eddie Rosario,Nelson Cruz and Mitch Garver (who’s an insane $5,600 on DK). Add in Miguel Sanoor C.J. Cron on FD and Jorge Polanco on DK.

New York Yankees vs. Andrew Heaney (DK)

I was little concerned about the Yankees rolling out an unorthodoxlineup with the division clinched, but Tampa came back and beat the Dodgers! They’llbe hungry for their 100^th win of the season and thirsty forchampagne on their home turf, but they’ll be facing a left-hander who’s pitchedquite well in 2019. Their salaries are a little low because of the matchup, butHeaney isn’t enough to keep me off them. I’ll be using a lot of Mike Clevinger withMasahiro Tanaka/Kyle Gibson/Drew Verhagen, so there will be plenty of combosthat will allow me to stack D.J. LeMahieu ($4,600), Gleyber Torres ($4,700), AaronJudge ($4,500), Gio Urshela ($4,300) and Luke Voit ($4,400) though I’ll only begrabbing a few shares of Giancarlo Stanton at his outrageous price ($5,400)

Toronto Blue Jays at Gabriel Ynoa

I said Tuesday the Blue Jays would be a sneaky stack, and CavanBiggio responded by hitting for the cycle. They’re not as sneaky this timearound, since they battled with Baltimore last night as the teams combined for21 runs. Ynoa is 1-8 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, and he’s given up 25 homeruns in just 100.1 IP. All the usual suspects make sense here, with the 1-5hitters as the priority bats.

9/19 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Cleveland Indians vs. Daniel Norris/Drew VerHagen

St. Louis Cardinals at Kyle Hendricks (contrarian)

9/19 DFS HittingCatcher

Austin Romine, NYY vs. LAA

DK ($3,600)

Pay $2,000 more for Mitch Garver on DK if you want, but if youwant some cheap exposure to the Yankees, blend Romine into your Yankees stacks.He’s slashing .281/.312/.438 this season and sports an impressive .172 ISO vs.LHPsthis season. Romine isn’t the most exciting option, but we need to save a littleit of salary somewhere, and if we’re not paying way up or Garver, Romine makessense.

9/19 DFS Hitting FirstBaseman

Rowdy Tellez or JustinSmoak, TOR at BAL

DK (both$3,900) FD ($2,600/$2,700)

Since Tellez sat on Tuesday and ruined all my work recommendinghim, I’ll bring you up to speed: Rowdy scored three runs on Wednesday and isstill destroying right-handed pitching (.209 ISO this season). It’s usuallyeither him or Justin Smoak in the lineup, and I like them both in Baltimore’sbandbox. Smoak boasts a .231 ISO vs. RHPs in 2019.

9/19 DFS Hitting SecondBaseman

Cavan Biggio, TOR at BAL

DK ($5.300) FD($3,900)

Biggio hit for the cycle on Tuesday and is the one Jays bat I wantin all my GPP lineups. I touted is speed and power abilities and he respondedby doing what five-tool platers do – mashing and slashing. Biggio is 14-for-29 overhis last seven games with 133 DK points over that span (19 FPPG). And his .112wRC+ this season is in the top 10 among 2B.

9/19 DFS Hitting ThirdBaseman

D.J. LeMahieu, NYY vs. LAA

(DK $4,600)

LeMahieu is having an MVP-caliber season for the Yankeeswith a wRC+ of 136 and a torrid slash line of .329/.378/.515. He’s ben their steadiestplayer and has flashed impressive power (.186 ISO) against both LHPs and RHPs. His.402 wOBA and 154 wRC+ in Yankee Stadium is tops on the team, and he’ll be inmost of my lineups tonight.

9/19 DFSHitting Shortstop

Gleyber Torres, NYY vs. LAA

DK ($4,700)

Lindor was a complete disappointment Tuesday, so I’ll be goingback to him in about 2/10 lineups, but the rest of them will have shares of Torresat SS or 2B, where he’s also eligible. Torres has a .255 ISO, .353 OBP, .369wOBA and 132 wRC+ vs. LHPs in 2019, and he’s now hitting in the heart of the Yankeeslineup.

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9/19 DFS HittingOutfielders

Eddie Rosario, MIN vs. KC

DK ($4,800) FD($3,200)

You can’t keep a great hitter down for long, and Rosario(.281/.313/.453 slash vs. LHPs in 2019) is a solid GPP play because he’ll onlybe in about half of the Twins stacks because he’s a lefty bat against a southpaw– a great opportunity against a guy like Montgomery. The Royals starter mightget pulled for a righty after he gets lit up by these Twins, and then your shortsightedDFS opponents will be kicking themselves for not having more exposure to Rosario’s.378 xwOBA against RHPs since 2018.

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. LAA

DK($4,500)

It’s hard to believe this price on Judge, who went deep again onWednesday, but it’s something I’ll be taking advantage of in cash games andGPPS alike. Judge brutalizes lefties, with a .461 wOBA in 120 PA this season,including .347/.467/.663 slash and 8 homers. He hits the ball as hard as anyonewho’s ever played the game, as he sits in the 100^th percentile forExit Velocity and Hard Hit %. Get him in there – he’s primed for a monster day.

Marcell Ozuna, STL vs. CHC

DK ($4,200) FD($3,700)

Ozuna has been relatively quiet lately, so he’s really cheap. Healso has .382 xwOBA this year and has been a much better road hitter this seasonwith a .262/.336/.519 slash and 15 of his 28 HRs in away games. Ozuna also ranksin the 93th percentile for Exit Velocity and 98^th percentile forHard Hit % — and makes for a nice contrarian play vs. a capable hurler in Kyle Hendricks.

Additional options:

C: Reese McGuire ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD), Mitch Garver ($5,600 DK,$3,000 FD)

1B: Carlos Santana ($4,700 DK, $3,800 FD), C.J. Cron ($3,900 DK, $2,800FD)

3B: Gio Urshela ($4,300 DK) Vladimir Guerrero Jr, ($4,100 DK,$2,900 FD)

2B: Jonathan Villar ($4,800 DK, $3,600 FD), Luis Arraez ($4,200DK, $2,700 FD)

SS: Bo Bichette ($5,400 DK, $3,900 FD), Jorge Polance ($4,800 DK, $3,300FD)

OF: Whit Merrifield ($4,500 DK, $3,300 FD), Anthony Santander ($3,900 DK, $3,100 FD), Trey Mancini ($4,900 DK, $3,800 FD), Brett Gardner ($4,300 DK), Randal Grichuk ($4,500 DK, $3,000 FD), Dexter Fowler ($3,600 DK, $2,900 FD)

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB Stacks: Winning Edge for September 1

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s eight-game main slate (10 games on DK). I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you stay up to date with all our favorite plays on our Premium Gold DFS Cheat Sheet as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

MLB Stack: New York Yankees

vs. LHP Sean Manaea (COL): 6.00 Runs

Sean Manaea is back for his first start in the show since having surgery for a small tear in his shoulder. He doesn’t look to be on a pitch count, he threw seven scoreless innings while only allowing two hits in triple-A Las Vegas on Augugst 23rd. He comes into Yankee Stadium sporting a lofty .289 wOBA, .398 OBP, and .275 OBP against righties in 2018. If he were on a pitch count I would be more into the Yankees. Manaea had a good 2018 campaign and he is coming off eight days of rest. He also showed us in his latest minor league game he can pitch without restriction. The Yankees are slashing to a massive .434 wOBA, .325 ISO, and 175 WRC+ to lefties over the last month.

Preferred Stack:DJ LeMahieu ($4200 FD|$5100 DK), Aaron Judge ($4400 FD|$5200 DK), Gleyber Torres ($4000 FD|$4800 DK), and Gary Sanchez ($4000 FD|$4600 DK).

MLB Stack: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Wilmer Font (TOR): 5.90 Runs

The Astros continue to ride their strong hitting averages, slashing to a .402 wOBA, .250 ISO, and 158 WRC+ recently against righties. Wilmer Font maintains a 1.76 ERA in the month of August (15.1 IP). He does tend to struggle to left handed batting (.364 wOBA, .529 SLG). I’m not to crazy about any of the righties other than George Springer and Yuli Gurriel. The core lefties (Brantley, Springer) are my top plays in this lineup.

Preferred Stack: George Springer ($4200 FD|$5400 DK), Michael Brantley ($4000 FD|$4900 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4100 FD|$5700 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3700 FD|$5000 DK).

MLB Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez (CWS): 5.75 Runs

I am really loving the Twins again right now. Spencer Turnbull does just enough to escape it seems. He is also sitting in front of one of the worst bullpens in baseball. The Twins have been surging against righties the last few weeks, boasting a .361 wOBA, .212 ISO, and .352 BABIP. This is an easy tournament play that may go overlooked and underplayed.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

MLB Stack: Chicago Cubs

vs. LHP Gio Gonzalez (MIL): UPDATE

Preferred Plays: Kris Bryant ($3900 FD|$4400 DK), Nicholas Castellanos ($3200 FD|$4700 DK), Anthony Rizzo ($3900 FD|$5200 DK), and Ian Happ ($2600 FD|$4000 DK).

MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. LHP Danny Duffy (KCR): 4.50 Runs

Preferred Plays: Trey Mancini ($3600 FD|$4400 DK), Anthony Santander ($3000 FD|$4300 DK), Hanser Alberto ($2900 FD|$4100 DK), Jonathan Villar ($3600 FD|$5200 DK). Pedro Severino ($3700 DK).

Pitching

Patrick Corbin LHP (WSH): 3.00 Runs
Michael Pineda RHP (MIN): 3.75 Runs
Charlie Morton RHP (TAM): 3.50 Runs

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

The MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny For September 1

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

This Sunday September 1st slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Todays picks are listed in order of preference, not price.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

Catcher: UPDATE: NOT STARTING Mitch Garver ($3,300 FD) has five hits and three home runs in his last two games. He is slashing .429/ 1.143 ISO over the last seven days. He takes on the Detroit Tigers starter Spencer Turnbull and his deceptive 4.18 ERA. As the season has progressed, Turnbull has gotten less reliable. In August he touts a 6.55 ERA. He has given up at least one (usually more) runs in every game he has pitched in since June 11th. In his last eight innings he has given up nine runs. Garver is in a fantastic MLB DFS spot to keep his elite run alive.

Catcher Value: Jason Castro, Robinson Chirinos

First Base: Yuli Gurriel ($3,700 FD) Here is a reasonably priced Astro for MLB DFS. Gurriel is hitting .247 ISO/.386 wOBA with 22 homers vs righties. He is En Fuego right now and on a nine game hit streak. He should be batting sixth behind five fantastic Astro bats. Gurriel should easily be able to reach double digit FanDuel points today with upside for over 20 if he can send one over the wall. Spoiler alert; he can.

First Base Pivot: UPDATE NOT STARTING: Mike Ford, Matt Olsen

Second Base: Whit Merrifield ($3,400 FD) is my favorite second baseman to exceed MLB DFS value today. He is underpriced and gets and fantastic matchup vs one of my favorite pitchers to target in Aaron Brooks (and the Baltimore Bullpen). Brooks has a 5.79 ERA and gets blown up almost every game he pitches in. Throw out his last start in Washington where he shutout the Nats. I watched that whole game and I blame the Nationals lack of enthusiasm more than Brooks suddenly “figuring it out”. Before last game, Brooks has only scoring over 31 fantasy points ONE TIME since April Fools Day (not joking). Royals are my favorite stack on the day and Whit is going to help lead the charge.

Second Base Pivot: Jose Altuve

Third Base: DJ LaMahieu ($4,200 FD) is on a hot streak with multiple hits in four of his last six games. He hits .286 ISO/.477 wOBA on the season vs lefties and gets to face Sean Manaea this afternoon in Yankee Stadium. Manaea is coming off the 60 day IL after shoulder surgery and I wouldn’t expect him to last six innings here. He has looked sharp in is rehab starts in Triple-A but facing this bomb hitting Yankees squad will be a much different task. LaMahieu should be batting lead off and has not put up a goose egg in his last eight starts. He feels safe with big MLB DFS upside today.

Third Base Pivot: Miguel Sano, Hunter Dozier, Matt Chapman

Shortstop: Alex Bregman ($4,200 FD) I really like the Astros today but the price of all the bats is making it difficult to stack them. He hits .259 ISO/.395 wOBA with 21 home runs. He is batting cleanup and no matter which pitcher Toronto chooses to follow Font (Gaviglio or Godley), Bregman is a solid play at shortstop. He is always contributing. Bregman has not put up a zero in the box score since August 2nd. That alone is impressive. He is safe.

Shortstop Pivots: Adalberto Mondesi, Trea Turner, Marcus Semien

Outfield: Aaron Judge ($4,400 FD) is possibly the hottest hitter in baseball right now. He has a home run in six of his last eight games. He is absolutely locked in. He faces Sean Manaea in his first start since his shoulder surgery. Manaea is not a terrible pitcher but Judge is an elite bat that should be able to take advantage of him, AND the Oakland A’s bullpen. Lock in Judge and figure the rest out.

Outfield: Max Kepler ($3,500 FD) is way to cheap on FanDuel. He should easily be priced over 4K today. He has 26 home runs on the season vs righties and hits .293 ISO/.359 wOBA. He has multiple hits in his last two games in Detroit and at minimum he is getting on base again. The Twins as a team have put up 30 runs combined in their last three games. Today they keep their foot on the gas and Kepler gets his.

Outfield: Jorge Soler ($3,500 FD) is hitting .303 ISO/.373 wOBA vs righties this season and has 33 homers. He goes against my fave pitcher to target in MLB DFS, Aaron Brooks. Easy choice, especially at that price.

Outfield Pivots: Houston Outfield (Springer, Alvarez, Brantley)

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB GPP Stacks: MLB Winning Edge for August 26

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s seven-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

Teams with Highest IRT

MLB GPP Stack: Milwaukee Brewers

vs. RHP Adam Wainwright (STL): 5.10 Runs

**Low Risk

The Brewers and Yankees will likely be your most popular stacks on this short slate and for good reason. Wainwright struggles a lot with left handed batters on the road. They are slashing to a tune of .414 wOBA, .610 SLG, and .423 OBP over 24.2 innings pitched. He has allowed 24 earned runs and five homers over that span. Wainwright is a big time ground ball pitcher at near a 50% clip of batted balls. He faces a team with three players in the top 15 in terms of flyball percentage and he just gave up five earned runs against the Brewers in his last start. Now the Brewers get him at home and are hitting right around their season averages.

GPP Stack: New York Yankees

vs. LHP Tommy Milone (PLR) (SEA): UPDATE

**Moderate Risk

I actually love this entire game and can see myself stacking it with only seven games on the board. No definitive answer on who is pitching for SEA, but it looks like Tommy Milone gets the nod for projected long reliever. Either way the Yankees get a dream matchup against left handed pitching. They are absolutely destroying lefties, slashing to a .400 wOBA, .300 ISO, and 186 WRC+. All of the LHPs on this SEA staff below Marco Gonzalez are horrendous to righties at home so I’m not going to overthink this one and have plenty of exposure to the Yankees.

Preferred Stack: Aaron Judge (an absolute lock at his salary) ($4100 FD|$4600 DK), DJ LeMahieu ($3900 FD|$4900 DK), Gio Urshula ($3300 FD|$4300 DK), and Gleyber Torres ($4200 FD|5100 DK). Mike Tauchman ($2600 FD|$4100 DK) offers salary relief and correlation batting 9th.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

MLB GPP Stack: Seattle Mariners

vs. LHP J.A. Happ (NYM): 5.30 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Like I said, I’m crazy about this game. J.A. Happ is on the other side and he has had a pretty bad season as we all know. I don’t love the Mariners as a full stack but they offer some great value pieces (particularly on FD) for those expensive NYY/MIL stacks.

Preferred Plays: Austin Nola ($2800 FD|$4500 DK), Tom Murphy ($3000 FD|$5100 DK), Tim Lopes ($2600 FD|$4300 DK), and Kyle Seager ($3700 FD|$4600 DK).

MLB GPP Stack: San Francisco Giants

vs. LHP Alex Young (ARI): UPDATE

**Moderate Risk

Pitching

Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 3.30 Runs
Pablo Lopez RHP (MIA): 4.20 Runs
Dustin May RHP (LAD): 4.10 Runs

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Team Stacks: Winning Edge for August 16

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 15-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

DFS Team Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara (COL): 7.75 Runs

**Moderate Risk

The Rockies unsurprisingly come in with the highest implied run total on the slate. They happen to be heating up again over the last month and are slashing to a .347 wOBA, .194 ISO, and 98 WRC+ against RHP. Sandy Alcantara has been fairly decent this year, owning a 4.44 ERA, 4.87 FIP, and 5.65 SIERA. I feel like this game can go either way. It will either be a low scoring pitcher’s night between Gray and Alcantara, or it will be a one sided blowout from the Rockies. Obviously the Rockies are the chalk play but Jon Gray is in a decent spot here despite the ballpark. The Marlins are still priced fairly cheap so they make for a good value stack, but I do prefer Jon Gray.

Preferred Stack: Charlie Blackmon ($4600 FD|$5500 DK), Daniel Murphy** (Way too cheap) ($3000 FD|$4100 DK), Ryan McMahon ($3600 FD|$4700 DK), and Trevor Story ($4400 FD|$5700 DK). Obviously Nolan Arenado ($4400 FD|$5400 DK) is in play but the salaries on this team are too high for both so I prefer Story.

DFS Team Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (BAL): 8.10 Runs

**Low Risk

Another sad day where I have to pick on my Orioles but it is warranted with how they’ve performed this season. The Orioles are the worst team in the league in terms of run differential at -243 and their bullpen is absolutely atrocious, ranking dead last in the league in terms of efficiency. Aaron Brooks will pave the way for that stellar bullpen, owning a 6.35 ERA, 6.13 FIP, and 4.82 SIERA. In addition to his poor season averages, he is allowing 2.36 HR/9 innings and 40% FB rate. The Red Sox are slashing to a .353 wOBA, .216 ISO, and .345 BABIP in the month of August. The Red Sox are another pricey stack but nonetheless in a great spot and a team that I favor more than the Coors chalk.

Preferred Plays: Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5300 DK), Rafael Devers ($4300 FD|$5600 DK), Mitch Moreland ($3200 FD|$4500 DK), and Mookie Betts ($4100 FD|$5200 DK). You should also consider: J.D. Martinez ($4300 FD|$5100 DK) and Marco Hernandez ($

DFS Team Stack: New York Yankees

vs. RHP Aaron Civale (CLE): 5.40 Runs

**High Risk

The Yankees let a lot of people down last night with the Indians breaking their spirit in the top of the first inning. They theoretically should bounce back tonight, but the pitcher they are facing (Civale) has had great outings in his first three starts in the bigs and has maintained a sub 3.00 ERA through his time in A ball. The Yankees are very expensive and I feel there is some uncertainty with this matchup. Obviously the Yankees have raw power and talent, but any time you’re facing a pitcher for the first time it can go either way. Nonetheless, the Yankees are slashing to a .350 wOBA, .276 ISO and 117 WRC+ against RHPs right now. Civale allowed one run and four hits while striking out five batters across six innings against the red hot Twins in his last start. Yankees are a fade for me tonight.

Preferred Plays: D.J. LeMahieu ($4300 FD|$5000 DK), Gio Urshela ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Gleyber Torres ($4200 FD|$4800 DK), and Gary Sanchez ($4100 FD|$4500 DK).

Other Teams I Have Interest in

DFS Team Stack: Tampa Bay Rays

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 5.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

DFS Team Stack: Toronto Blue Jays

vs. LHP Wade LeBlanc (SEA):UPDATE

**Low Risk

DFS Team Stack: New York Mets

vs. LHP Mike Montgomery (KCR): 5.20 Runs

Preferred Plays: Pete Alonso ($4000 FD|$5100 DK), J.D. Davis ($3100 FD|$4800 DK), Michael Conforto ($3500 FD|$4800 DK), and Amed Rosario ($2500 FD|$4000 DK).

Pitching

Charlie Morton (TAM): 2.50 Runs
Noah Syndergaard RHP (NYM): 3.80 Runs
Jon Gray RHP (COL): 4.90 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/15 DFS Hitting: A Hot Summer Night

5 years ago

written by

Welcome, welcome welcome to the 8/15 DFS Hitting lineup. Don’t ask why the theme of this show became stuck in my head, but my misery is now your misery as we load up on what should be an offensive-friendly schedule.

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8/14 DFS Hitting Catcher

Jonathan Lucroy, CHC at PHI

DK ($3,700) FD ($2,300)

To no shock, there’s little quality behind the plate when searching for bargains, so we settle on Lucroy, who has hit .375/.444/.500 with a .944 OPS in his first 16 at-bats with the Cubbies. The small sample size keeps me from getting too deep into his secondary numbers, so let’s just run with Lucroy and take advantage of Smyly’s 6.65 ERA under the lights. Smyly has also allowed 15 of his 23 homers at night and Lucroy still has enough in his bat to jack one out of Citizens Bank Park.

8/14 DFS Hitting First Basemen

J.D. Davis, NYM at ATL

DK ($4,500) FD ($2,900)

Davis has five multi-hit games over his past 10 starts and has spent the month mauling hurlers to the tune of .381/.429/.762 (1.191 OPS) with four homers and 11 RBI. His 41.7% hard contact rate and ability to wear out the left side of the field (37.2% hit rate both pulling and to center) is good reason to plug him into your lineup in a hitter-friendly park against Atlanta starter Julio Teheran, who has a 6.08 ERA in three starts against the Mets this season while allowing a .322 OBA with three homers allowed.

8/14 DFS Hitting Second Basemen

Jason Kipnis, CLE at NYY

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,900)

His bat has cooled over the past week, but Kipnis is a good play in what could be a high-scoring affair at The Stadium. Kipnis has hit the Yankees well, going .444 (4-for-9) with a couple of ribbies and an .844 OPS. You have to feel good about Kipnis’ 39.3% fly ball rate, especially in such a homer-friendly ballpark. Much of his strong August numbers have been in part of his ability to use the entire field, but the recent dip in production stems from an addiction to pulling the ball (43%). That could work well, however, considering the short porch in right field that he’ll get three more stabs at before the end of the weekend.

8/14 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Evan Longoria, SF at ARI

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,900)

As long as he’s on the road, Longoria makes for a solid DFS value play. Away from San Francisco, Longoria has a .954 OPS with 11 of his 14 homers coming outside his playing residence. He’s regained his line drive stroke, putting together a 23.6% rate in liners after hitting just 18.5% last season. The hard contact rate (44.2%) is emphatic on the road but Longoria gets the edge in the lefty-righty matchup against D’Backs rookie southpaw Alex Young, who comes off a 3.1 inning outing against the Dodgers in his last start, allowing four runs.

8/14 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Nick Ahmed, ARI vs. SF

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,400)

You could pay more for one of the elite shortstops in action tonight, but the choice here is the underrated Ahmed, who has been locked in over the past week with three homers, nine RBI and an 1.182 OPS. He’s boosted his BABIP to .296, and his improved plate discipline (8.5% walk rate) comes in handy against Giants starter Dereck Rodriguez, who returns from the minors to make his first appearance since August 1. Rodriguez is getting hammered at at 45.4% hard contact rate while also experiencing control issues that were a non-subject last season.

8/14 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN vs. STL

DK ($4,900) FD ($4,100)

Seriously, we should find someone who loves us the way Aquino loves torching baseballs over the past three weeks. Aquino and his 1.448 OPS bid for his 10th homer in only his 14th game at the expense of Cards starter Michael Wacha, whose 2.12 HR/9 will make Aquino’s at-bats Must Watch viewing (praise the MLB package on my iPhone). What is making Aquino more scary is that his walk rate is slowly rising while the strikeout rate dips. You can’t go wrong with a batter sporting a .636 Isolated Slugging total with a 50% hard contact rate who also happens to have a 46.9% fly ball rate. If Aquino isn’t in your lineup, hang your head in shame.

8/14 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Ender Inciarte, ATL vs. NYM

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,700)

Inciarte has flown under the radar since the All-Star Break, batting .290/.417/.522 (.939 OPS) and has seen three of his last six hits go for extra bases, hence the 1.271 OPS in the last week. He’s raised his walk rate to 11.6% and is using his speed to make the most of his 23.8% line drive rate. His value increases if the Braves bat him seventh; Inciarte has a .333/.500/.639 (1.139 OPS) with two homers, 11 RBI and six runs scored in 36 at-bats in that spot in the order.

8/14 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at LAA

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,000)

It hasn’t come as easy for Jimenez as some of the other members of the 2019 rookie class, but he’s still on pace for 27-30 homers despite a 14.9% line drive rate and a 44.3% medium contact rate. Jimenez homered against the Astros on Wednesday and it stands to reason that if his 35.7% fly ball rate is on line with his minor league rates, he’s going to figure it out. There’s also playing a hunch here, which is why he’s worth taking a low-risk shot, perhaps the lowest of the 8/15 DFS Hitting lineup.

8/15 DFS Hitting Stacks

Top 8/15 DFS Hitting Stack: New York Yankees: Gleyber Torres ($5,200 Draft Kings/$4,000 FanDuel) has three homers and seven ribbies over the past week and would be the best choice if you can’t make a Yankees stack work. Cameron Maybin ($4,800/$3,100) is a good fit and you’ll want to get lefty hitters Didi Gregorius ($4,400/$3,200) and Brett Gardner ($4,700/$3,300) in there against right-hander Adam Plutko and his 4.68 ERA.

8/15 DFS Hitting Stack: Cincinnati Reds: Aquino is the first wave of what could be a short and brutal assault on Wacha. Joey Votto ($4,000/$3,300) should fare well in the lefty v. righty matchup, and I’d consider Phillip Ervin ($4,000/$2,500), especially in FanDuel. You could try and add Eugenio Suarez ($4,600/$3,900), but with the lack of reliable cash game pitchers on the docket, it’s a task that could be done if you’re willing to play a long shot on the mound for the 8/15 DFS Hitting.

Sleeper 8/15 DFS Hitting Stack: San Francisco Giants: A much better-hitting team on the road, you could start with Longoria and follow with Kevin Pillar ($4,300/$3,500), who has gone .435-2-6 in the past week. Mike Yastrzemski ($4,500/$3,100) has added three homers and seven RBI in the same span, and you could do worse than bringing Buster Posey ($3,500/$2,700) into the fray. Of the 8/15 DFS Hitting stacks, this one could be sneaky good.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/9 MLB DFS Winners

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

A look at some of the winners on the MLB DFS slate last night and how members and staff of Win Daily took advantage of them. Here is our 8/9 MLB DFS Winners report.

8/9 MLB DFS Winners: Marlins

Maybe I will take advantage of this the next time we see a lefty starting in Miami! When that happens, use Marlins bats! Here is our own MLB Moving Averages and what he said about them on Twitter and in our Premium Gold slack chat room: DFS Outlook: Can’t say we will or can recommend Marlins much the rest of the season. But against a lefty at home go for it! You can get winning picks from MLB Moving Avg. regularly as part of the betting section. It’s all included with your Premium Gold upgrade.

8/9 MLB DFS Winners: Chris Sale

Sale delivered a performance that the Red Sox sorely needed. Even though the Angels are not a team that generally strikes out a lot, Fenway Park and Sale proved to be the exception. He reached 200 strikeouts for the seventh consecutive season when he struck out the side in top of the seventh. DFS Outlook: The Red Sox wild-card playoff hopes rest squarely on Sale’s left arm. He should be able to prove himself more as the Red Sox have a favorable schedule the rest of the season.

8/9 MLB DFS Winners: Yankees

In our hitting and stacks article found here, the Yankees were highlighted as our favorite stack of the night. Well they came through again, as so often has been the case in 2019.DFS Outlook: For the rest of the season, the Yankees will be a DFS stack option as the deep and powerful lineup takes aim at history as one of the best hitting baseball teams of all-time.

8/9 MLB DFS Winners: Aristides Aquino

In the same article mentioned above, Aquino was written up:DFS Outlook: Aquino has shown a potent bat in the short time he has been in the Majors. He and Josh VanMeter will be seeing plenty of at-bats the rest of the season to prove they belong on the team in 2020. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/5 MLB DFS Stack Selections from The King: Be Brave

MLBMovingAvg 5 years ago

written by MLBMovingAvg

It is not easy to find the most optimum 8/5 MLB DFS Stack. Thereare a handful of seemingly inexperienced and vulnerable pitchers to target onthe slate, but batters are always in danger of not faring as well as hoped whenthey have not seen much of a starter before. Plus, some of the better hittingteams don’t always make it easy for us to build stacks with them because ofseveral top hitters being priced very high. Despite those challenges, we’rehere to identify the best teams to stack for Monday.

Top 8/5 MLB DFS Stack: Atlanta Braves: Jake Odorizzi settled down in his last start, but that was because he faced Miami. Atlanta is fifth in MLB team batting over the past week and that’s good enough to attack Odorizzi with. Adam Duvall pinpoints here at $4200 as he is hitting .385 with four homers and six RBI over the past week. Ozzie Albies ($4300) is hitting .300 over the past week. Josh Donaldson is just $4200 and has five RBI in the past week. Freddie Freeman can easily fit into this 8/5 MLB DFS Stack at $4900 to cap it all off.

Boston Red Sox 8/5 MLB DFS Stack: Mike Montgomery has been hit hard in two of his past three starts. The Red Sox have a good opportunity to bounce back from a sweep by the Yankees here. Start building your 8/5 MLB DFS stack with J.D. Martinez ($5,100 on DraftKings) and Xander Bogaerts will be worth the $5300 tag. Then fit in Christian Vazquez at $4200 and you can get Michael Chavis for $4,300. Martinez is hitting .391 over the past week with two homers and four RBI. Vazquez is hitting .316 during that span. Bogaerts has cooled off lately so you can consider Mookie Betts as your other top anchor at $5500.

Baltimore Orioles 8/5 MLB DFS Stack: This is not as crazy as it may seem as an 8/5 MLB DFS Stack when you consider Masahiro Tanaka has allowed 32 runs in his last six starts, allowing four or more in four of them and five or more in three. Trey Mancini has nine RBI over the past week and leads the way here at $4900. Renato Nunez has been cold over the past week but can rebound and has to be in any Orioles build at $4300. Hanser Alberto is hitting .333 in the past week and can be a salary saver at $3,800. Jonathan Villar also deserves strong consideration at $4700 as does Anthony Santander at $4,600. The prices here are friendly enough that you can possibly fully stack from this game, building a Yankees mini-stack around your Orioles core..

Mini Stack: New York Yankees: We would love to build a four-man 8/5 MLB DFS stack here, but most of the prices of the top hitters are near or above $5,000. Still, against Gabriel Ynoa you have to go for Aaron Judge at $4,600 and get one more Yankees bat in there for good measure. Mike Tauchman and Brett Gardner give you platoon splits and exposure for under $5,000. If you can find a creative way to get four top Yankee bats in a lineup, they should be your prime stack, but the pitching outlook for value plays is not too good tonight, especially on a two-pitcher site.

5 years ago 0 comment

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