NBA Picks

We have an eight-game slate to break down for NBA GPP Picks 4/11. There is a hefty number of players already ruled out and a few with questionable tags. The main status’ we will be waiting on is Milwaukee, Kyle Lowry, and Jerami Grant. Tonight, we do expect to see Lowry back and Toronto will get one step closer to a healthy squad. Let’s not forget in the NBA World we can see the slate change in a moment.

The best way to make sure you don’t miss any news is by joining the WinDaily family and me in Discord Chat rooms. We help with any questions you may have up until the slate locks. The Wolves vs Bulls game will be my main target with Minnesota allowing over 140 points in two straight games. This Sunday night eight-game slate will be electric so let us get into it!

In this article, I will be breaking down my two top plays at each position using DraftKings pricing. These plays are based upon my research and pending news could change throughout the day. Join us in Discord to further follow my NBA GPP Picks 4/11.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/11

Point Guard
Cole Anthony – ($5,000)
In two games since returning from a rib injury, Anthony has logged 26 minutes with 25 or more fantasy points. During those two games, his usage has yet to fall below 21%. A date with Milwaukee means a massive pace-up spot as Chicago is the third quickest team. If we get a few more minutes out of Anthony he should surpass 30 fantasy points.

Goran Dragic – ($4,700)
With Oladipo suffering another injury and Herro rolling in questionable we could have major guard minutes available. When Herro and Oladipo are off the floor Dragic sees a usage rate of 27%. He is scoring .9 fantasy points per minute during that time and should see the upper 20’s in minutes without Herro. A great matchup awaits Dragic as the Blazers have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to point guards and rank second-worst in defensive rating.

Shooting Guard
Paul George – ($8,400)
We already received news that Kawhi will be out and that’s wonderful for rostering Paul George. When Leonard is off the floor George sees a massive 9.5% usage increase to a team-high 39%. Also, during that time PG is recording over 1.5 fantasy points per minute. The Pistons could be missing Jerami Grant again who is an effective defensive player. A reasonable price is a cherry on top for a guy who scored 50 in two straight games.

D’Angelo Russell – ($6,500)
Russell has played three games since returning from his two-month absence and last game he logged 29 minutes. I believe this price is too cheap especially if we see the Minnesota guard pass the 30-minute mark. He has already scored over 40 fantasy points in two of his three games with under 30 minutes. Since Vucevic was acquired, the Bulls rank sixth-worst in team defense. This game may be the highest total on the slate at 231 a DLO, Lavine, Town’s stack could be the ticket.

Small Forward
Khris Middleton – ($8,000)
Giannis is coming into this game doubtful which means I will ride Middleton yet again. When Giannis is off the floor Middleton sees a 6.3% usage increase bringing his total to 31.5%. It’s not like he hasn’t been taking the shots he did just shoot 27 times against Dallas but only made 6. The Magic isn’t a matchup that scares me and the high usage should allow Middleton to pay off this tag.

Marcus Morris – ($4,800)
When you’re missing a guy like Kawhi there is a ton of usage to makeup and Morris soaks up 6.4% of that. His usage then sits at 26% which is second to only Paul George. That makes this price too cheap and the minutes will be much safer without Kawhi. Let’s not forget that Morris is averaging 1.11 fantasy points per minute with Leonard absent. If Jerami Grant is out again Detroit has no one to guard Morris or George.

Power Forward
Zion Williamson – ($9,400)
New Orleans will be without Ball and Alexander Walker again not to mention Josh Hart. Zion increases his usage by 8.1% with them off the floor in route to a massive 1.66 fantasy points per minute. Last game without Lonzo, Williamson had a 41.5% usage rate and recorded 68 fantasy points against a tough Philly team. About a month ago to the day the Pelicans and Cavs squared off and Zion went for 23 points and 32 fantasy points in just 18 minutes. The small number of minutes was due to a giant blowout.

Taurean Prince – ($5,100)
I will go back to the well here as Nance should remain out and we may see Kevin Love rest on the second half of a back-to-back. Without those two and Jarrett Allen Prince comes in third in usage at 24% behind the two guards. In the six games since he has returned Prince has yet to see below a 21% usage rate. A wonderful spot here against the Pelicans who have given up the most points to power forwards and rank third-worst in defensive efficiency.

Center
Karl-Anthony Towns – ($10,800)
I normally don’t list two bigger names from the same team but with KAT and DLO you can soak up a huge chunk of the Wolves usage. He has scored 52 or more fantasy points in nine straight games while recording a double-double in all nine. This is a beautiful matchup against the Bulls who have given up the third-most fantasy points to centers and rank sixth-worst in defensive rating since getting Vucevic. It’s tough to overlook a guy in a great matchup who has scored 30 real points in four of his last five games.

Wendell Carter Jr. – ($5,700)
Carter may be the only active center tonight with Okeke and Bamba having questionable tags. Since joining his new squad Carter has recorded 30 minutes or more three times. All three of those games led to Carter scoring 40 or more fantasy points. He sees a fast-paced matchup against Milwaukee and may be forced to play big minutes. We saw him record a usage above 20% in five straight games. If one of the two above-listed players is ruled out then Carter is an extremely solid play.

Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/11

I appreciate you reading my article NBA GPP Picks 4/11. Remember that Discord Chat and checking out our Projection Models will be a benefit. This will be a fun eight-game slate that has plenty of injury news to sort through already. A main target of mine will be the Wolves vs Bulls and Pelicans vs Cavs. It is Masters Sunday and I can’t wait to tune in. Enjoy your Sunday filled with golf, baseball, and basketball. Good luck and hopefully you secure some green.

Tonight’s NBA GPP Picks 4/10 slate will be a seven-game slate. There will be plenty of news to watch for as usual in the NBA as Joel Embiid is a rest candidate with Philly playing a depleted Thunder team. A few other notables’ situations to watch are Kyle Lowry, Kyle Kuzma, John Wall, and Mason Plumlee will all be questionable.

As usual, the Discord Chat rooms will be a wonderful place to be to follow all news throughout the day. In there you will find the WinDaily staff and myself answering any questions you may have. at first glance I see the top-paced teams squaring off against some of the slowest teams today. Our top-priced player on DraftKings tonight will be Russell Westbrook in a tough matchup with Phoenix.

My article will consist of two players that will exceed value from each position specifically for tournament/GPP. I will be using DraftKings pricing. Time to jump into todays’ NBA GPP Picks 4/10 breakdown!

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/10

Point Guard
Kyrie Irving – ($10,400)
The Nets will be without Harden again and two of the last three games without Harden Kyrie has shot 27 or more times. Kyrie leads the Nets in usage and is averaging over 1.3 fantasy points per minute without Harden. We should have Durant on a minute’s restriction again so if this game is close Kyrie should see plenty of opportunities. Let’s not forget the Lakers have been a top ten team in pace over the last ten games without Bron and AD.

Theo Maledon – ($5,600)
Over the past five games with all the injuries, Maledon has average a team-high 29% usage rate. It does look as if Bazley will return but should be limited after a month’s absence. We have seen the ceiling with Maledon scoring over 40 in two of his past five. The Thunder have not kept many games close lately but, in the game, they did Maledon played 36 minutes. If Embiid is out this game may be closer and Maledon could see a team-high in usage and minutes.

Shooting Guard
Devin Booker – ($8,900)
A great matchup awaits Booker who is playing the Wizards who are the fastest-paced team in the league. His last three pace-up games against Houston, Charlotte, and Chicago resulted in over 50 fantasy points for Booker in all three. He leads the Suns in usage by a wide margin at 33% on the year. We also need to keep an eye on the status of Beal on the other side of the ball who may be a rest candidate.

Cory Joseph – ($4,000)
Last time out Joseph started with Jerami Grant absent and played 32 minutes while scoring 40 fantasy points. In that game, Joseph went for a 26.5% usage rate against his former team. The matchup is great as well with Portland giving up the eighth-most fantasy points to shooting guards and ranking second-worst in defensive efficiency. We should see Joseph start again and at this price, I will roll him out.

Small Forward
Tobias Harris – ($8,100)
There were reports Embiid landed on his knee awkwardly and may have tweaked it. The 76ers may want to take caution and sit him out against an awful Thunder team. If they sit him Harris sees a 3.7% usage increase and averages 1.17 fantasy points per minute. This matchup is elite with OKC allowing the most fantasy points to power forwards and ranking third-worst in defensive rating over the past ten games.

Joe Ingles – ($5,400)
Utah is expecting to be without Jordan Clarkson again and Ingles went for 33 fantasy points last game without him. A date with the Kings tonight is a wonderful thing as they have given up the fifth-most fantasy points to shooting guards and still rank dead last in defensive efficiency. The price is nice for several Jazz players in this great spot I think Bogdanovic and O’Neale can be solid options as well.

Power Forward
OG Anunoby – ($6,600)
Toronto has been shorthanded which led to Anunoby playing 41 minutes last game against the Bulls. Since returning Anunoby has scored under 32 fantasy points just twice in those eleven games. In those games, he is consistently shooting around 15 times per game. Less than a month ago Anunoby played Cleveland playing 31 minutes while scoring 34.5 fantasy points. He still has a ceiling at this price and has been consistent.

Taurean Prince – ($4,600)
In the five games back on the court Prince has yet to see a usage rate under 21.5%. The Cavs did not rush Prince back into action but in the past three games, he saw at least 26 minutes and recorded over 32 fantasy points in all three. With Prince’s return, Osman has been cut from the rotation, and with Nance already out the potential will be there for another 30-point night.

Center
Pascal Siakam – ($8,400)
We need to watch the Kyle Lowry news if he sits again then Siakam sees a usage increase of 4.5% bringing his total over 30%. Siakam is averaging 1.3 fantasy points per minute with Lowry and the other Raptors that are out off the floor. Let’s remember that Cleveland will be without their primary rim protector Jarrett Allen. An individual matchup with Kevin Love to start the game isn’t anything to be afraid of.

Isaiah Stewart – ($4,500)
For this pick, we need to keep an eye on Mason Plumlee. In the past three games where Plumlee has played little or none, Stewart has played 22 or more minutes. He scored 29 or more fantasy points in those games and the game he failed to do so was a tough spot against Denver. He is in a fantastic spot today against Portland who is allowing the third-most fantasy points to centers over the past ten and ranks second-worst in defensive rating.

Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/10

Thank you for reading my NBA GPP Picks 4/10 article. It should be a fantastic seven-game NBA slate with news bound to fall. I would say that Beal could be a rest candidate being on his first back-to-back since returning from his injury. Keeping up with Discord may be tough for me today as I will be attending the Twins game. After the game, I will hope on and we should have the news we need to finish dissecting today’s slate. I am glad there are starting to be fans at games and glad I get to attend so soon! Enjoy your Saturday and best of luck on your MLB, NBA, or MMA lineups today!

Welcome back to Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/4 for this four-game slate. We have tons of news to watch with several Pelicans players out or questionable. Among the players questionable we see Zion, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball, and Trae Young. We could also see Joel Embiid sit on the second night of a back-to-back since returning from his knee injury.

That being said, the Discord Chat rooms will be an important piece to taking down tonight’s slate. In there you will find the WinDaily staff and myself helping you stay updated on the top plays on the slate. The two games expected to be high totals are Houston vs New Orleans and Atlanta vs Golden State. I won’t waste any more time before rolling into this great four-game NBA slate.

For today’s shorter four-game slate I will go over each game while breaking down the top plays for NBA GPP Picks 4/4. I will be using DraftKings pricing.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/4

Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers
Grizzlies
I haven’t been playing the Grizzlies for a while and that won’t change unless we get word of an injury. They run a deep rotation and spread out the usage enough for me to avoid them.

76ers
Tobias Harris – ($8,400)
I already mentioned we may see Joel Embiid sit on this second leg of a back-to-back set. If that is the case Harris receives a 3.5% usage increase while recording 1.15 fantasy points per minute during that time. While Embiid was missing Harris saw nearly 20 shot attempts per game. The price has come down slightly recently due to poor performances in two straight games. I don’t love much on the 76ers side if Embiid does play though.

Dwight Howard – ($6,200)
Again, this is only if Embiid is indeed ruled out. If Embiid sits we should see Howard dominate the center minutes for Philly since Tony Bradley is no longer with them. When Embiid was just absent Howard averaged above a 20% usage rate and he has recorded 1.18 fantasy points per minute. I see Howard on the floor whenever JOVAL is so he could easily see 30 minutes in this spot.

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks

Warriors
Steph Curry – ($9,800)
The Warriors is pretty simple for me especially today with the prices inflated from Steph’s absence. I will only be playing Steph from this team. He has seen over a 30% usage rate in five straight games. Today he gets a nice matchup against Atlanta who has given up the sixth-most fantasy points to point guards and ranks seventh-worst in defensive efficiency.

Hawks

Trae Young – ($9,500)
When Collins, Hunter, and Reddish are off the floor Young sees a 10% usage increase. During that time Young is averaging a 42.8% usage rate while accumulating 1.55 fantasy points per minute. This matchup is amazing as Golden State is the second-fastest team in the league and Steph’s defense is nothing to be afraid of.

Lou Williams – ($5,500)
I like this play much more as long as Gallinari sits for another game. Trae may sit too as he comes in questionable. In his two games with Atlanta Lou has soaked up a 25% usage rate while scoring 40 fantasy points last game without Young. The Warriors play fast which should allow for plenty of opportunities. I think you can play any mid-priced Hawk player if Gallinari is out again.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets

Pelicans
All of this depends on who plays for them, I assume Ball will miss another game since they signed Isaiah Thomas. We also see Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson questionable. There could be lots of plays from the Pelicans pending who plays with Josh Hart also ruled out.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker – ($7,000)
With all the injuries and now Josh Hart being added to that list will allow Walker to keep his 30-minute streak going. It has been seven straight games that NAW has played 31 or more minutes. During those seven games, Walker has averaged a 24% usage rate and scored under 31 fantasy points just once. The Rockets have been the sixth-worst team in defensive rating over the last ten and will be without John Wall again.

James Johnson – ($4,400)
We will need one of Zion or Ingram to sit for Johnson to be in play. Over the past two games with those two off the floor, Johnson has an average usage rate of 20.5%. In those two games, Johnson played 28 and 29 minutes while recording more than 28 fantasy points in both games. This is a better matchup than those two games facing a depleted Rockets squad.

Rockets
Kevin Porter Jr. – (6,900)
When Wall is absent along with all the other Rockets Porter is seeing a 29% usage rate. He has seen 30 minutes in four straight games and we have seen Porter go for a 45 point or more ceiling without Wall before. He draws an outstanding matchup against the banged-up Pelicans squad who already ranked third-worst in team defense this season.

Avery Bradley – ($3,700)
Bradley has been eased into the rotation with his new team seeing 28 minutes the most since joining the Rockets. Those 28 minutes allowed Bradley to surpass the 28-fantasy point mark. It has now been two straight games that Bradley has eclipsed the 20% usage mark. Today he will get a great matchup against the third-worst defensive team in the NBA.

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Magic
Again, we have another scenario where we have injury news to wait on with Birch, Porter, Mo Bamba, and MCW all questionable with Terrence Ross a possible rest candidate.

Wendell Carter Jr. – ($5,800)
Two straight games of 31 or more fantasy points have allowed Carter to score more than 40 fantasy points in both. In those games, Carter has been over a 21% usage rate shooting it more than 12 times. There is a chance of two centers being out with Birch and Bamba tonight as well. The Magic could be even further shorthanded only solidifying the minutes and shot attempts for Carter.

Chuma Okeke – ($5,700)
Since the Magic got the team makeover Okeke has played 30 minutes in four of five games. The fewest fantasy points he has scored in those games is 28.5. Today Orlando could be thin in the frontcourt with Porter, Birch, and Bamba all questionable. If any of those players are out that will just solidify the minutes of Okeke at a reasonable price.

RJ Hampton – ($3,500)
If the same Magic players are out tonight Hampton may be forced to play 30+ minutes again. In that game last night Hampton was second on the team in usage just behind Terrence Ross at 25%. If he sees that again at this price, he should be able to pay it off easily regardless of the matchup. He was able to go for 28 fantasy points last night in a tough matchup with Utah.

Nuggets
The nuggets players are high priced to me especially since they are getting completely healthy and the new trades.

Aaron Gordon – ($6,400)
It seems as if Gordon is fully acclimated with his new squad after playing 39 minutes last game against the Clippers. He scored 40 fantasy points in that game while shooting over 10 shot attempts for the first time with his new squad. It is tough to avoid talking about the revenge narrative here as well since Gordon was just traded not long ago. Another spot to look could be MPJ who has been very consistent over the past 10-15 games.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/4

Final Thoughts
I mentioned above that Discord Chat will be important for this slate and I can’t stress that enough. We have several big names questionable that can alter this slate in a hurry. Thank you for reading Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/4. Enjoy what is left of your weekend. Hopefully, we help you turn your screens green!

Tonight, for Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/20 we will be breaking down a shorter four-game slate. We have two stars expected to be out with Steph Curry and Joel Embiid. Also sitting is Seth Curry for the 76ers, as is Cody Zeller for Charlotte. and Serge Ibaka remains questionable. Injuries and late news happen to be a huge part of NBA DFS and the Discord Chat room will offer tremendous help on how to adjust to any news. The highest projected total for tonight’s slate is Sacramento vs Philadelphia and it opened at 235 ½. Another game projected for over 230 points is the Hornets vs Clippers matchup. Although this is just a four-game slate I like that we already have several routes to building lineups including the choice of simply playing Giannis or not. Regardless we have a four-game NBA slate to break down so let’s dive into it!

For today’s article, I will be using DraftKings pricing throughout. It will be a bit different today with the shorter slate. I am going to do a brief breakdown of each game and highlight or talk about my top plays. On shorter slates, I may not cover two players from each position depending on the slate.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/20

Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers
Kings
De’Aaron Fox – ($9,500)
It is tough to ignore the 60-point fantasy night he had against the 76ers in their prior meeting. Now Fox is taking a few more shots and has seen an uptick in usage over the past six games. He is averaging 22 shots per game and a 3% uptick in usage. Without Embiid the 76ers have been the fifth-fastest team but do rank 1st in defensive rating during that same period.

76ers
Tobias Harris – ($8,800)
When Embiid and Curry are off the floor Tobias sees a 5% usage increase bringing his total to nearly 29%. He gets a wonderful matchup with the worst defensive-rated team this season. In the three games without Embiid, Harris is averaging 47 fantasy points. This matchup is his most favorable without Embiid with the Kings allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to power forwards as well.

Shake Milton – ($5,200)
We see Milton lead the team in usage at 29.8% when Embiid and Curry are off the floor. He is averaging over a fantasy point per minute during that time. Now he gets an extremely favorable matchup where the Kings are allowing the second-most fantasy points to shooting guards on the year. With these two 76ers, you’re absorbing a good majority of the team’s usage and Milton is a reasonable price.

Dwight Howard ($6,000)
In the past two games, we saw Howard record 28 and 30 minutes which is a good sign. He went for over 30 fantasy points in those games. Now he draws a matchup against a Kings team that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to centers this season. In the previous meeting with Sacramento, Howard went for over 28 fantasy points in just 13 minutes.

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State

Andrew Wiggins – ($6,300)
Last night was a massive night for Wiggins going for 40 real points absorbing 37% of the team’s usage without Curry. We shouldn’t expect a repeat of last night but at this price, the floor is there. Wiggins is averaging over a fantasy point per minute with the several injured players off the floor for Golden State. It wouldn’t surprise me if Oubre possibly sat here as he was relatively ineffective when he played yesterday.

Jordan Poole – ($5,100)
Again, Curry is expected to remain out and Poole got the start which led to 34 minutes and fantasy points with 25 real points. In last night’s game, Poole got up 15 shots and has shot over ten times in six straights. An interesting number is Poole is averaging 1.2 fantasy points per minute when Curry, Wiseman, and Paschall are off the court. It is a small sample size but Poole’s usage is 34% during that time as well which is notable for this price tag.

Memphis
It is unlikely that I will be playing any Grizzlies. Now that everyone is healthy the minutes are everywhere the rotation is deep and tough to predict. If you want to take a shot on someone in large field GPP’s they will likely be low-owned unless we get news.

San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks

San Antonio
Keldon Johnson – ($5,400)
Again, let’s not expect a repeat of last night for Johnson but his price was too cheap before the massive game. The Spurs were slowly working him back after the long absence and now Johnson has seen over 30 minutes in three straight games. Giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to small forwards Is the team he faces tonight in Milwaukee. Keep an eye on DeRozan’s status throughout the day as well.

Milwaukee
Giannis Antetokounmpo – ($11,100)
I will choose to play Giannis on this slate he is just too consistent. He has scored below 57 fantasy points just twice in the last 15 games. His usage has taken a slight dip with Holiday back but that hasn’t mattered as Giannis just scored 76 fantasy points against the Wizards. A lot of lineups will start with Giannis today and it is hard to argue against it.

Jrue Holiday – ($6,500)
Since returning Holiday was slowly worked back and has finally shaken that with his 41 minutes in the overtime game with Philadelphia. The Spurs have given up the second-most fantasy points to point guards this season. If we look at the games that Holiday has gotten over 30 minutes, he rarely scores under 30 fantasy points.

Charlotte Hornets vs Los Angeles Clippers

Clippers
Kawhi Leonard – ($9,200)
The Clippers are easy for me most nights with only Kawhi or PG13 in consideration. Tonight, Kawhi faces a Charlotte who has allowed the most fantasy points to small forwards on the year. This is a huge pace-up spot for the Clippers with Charlotte being the fifth-fastest team in the past ten games. Leonard has gone for 50 in two of his games since the break and a great matchup awaits him here.

Hornets
Bismack Biyombo – ($3,300)
This is projected for an over 230 total and Cody Zeller is out. This isn’t the safest play but he does have over 20 fantasy point potential. The opportunity for more minutes is there with Zeller out as well There is nothing flashy about this play so on this small slate if he gets chalky, I will jump ship. With all the primary usage players healthy for Charlotte I won’t be playing much of them against the Clippers.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/20

Final Thoughts
Thank you for tuning into Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/20. I enjoy these shorter slates because it is almost like a mini-break due to the fewer teams to research. The two main games’ two targets will be the Kings vs 76ers and the Clippers vs Hornets. You may find value in the 76ers and Warriors with a few players out for each squad. More news can break at any minute these days in the NBA due to health protocols so be sure to check out Discord Chat. You will find the WinDaily staff and Me in there helping answer questions you may have. The projection models are also important to help find the cheap plays and best point per dollar plays.

Another reminder is to check out the MMA section and find my article over there for tonight’s UFC fight card. Have a good night and good luck with your DFS lineups!