NBA Picks

Today’s NBA GPP Picks 6/6 will be an afternoon slate featuring our first game seven between DAL and LAC. The other game we have to break down is Atlanta vs Philly game one of that series. Speaking of that series we have injury news to watch for as Joel Embiid and De’Andre Hunter both enter today questionable. That will make Discord Chat an important piece of your morning to follow the story of these two players.

Our WinDaily family will be in and out of there helping you adjust to any news that falls. There is no time to waste with an exciting game seven to keep tabs on.

Today will be different because of the two-game slate. I will break down my top plays from each game on both sides of the ball using DraftKings pricing.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 6/6

Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta
De’Andre Hunter – ($4,400)
Hunter has played over 32 minutes in three of Atlanta’s last four games which is a positive. In three of those games Hunter went for over 22 fantasy points He is questionable today but came into the last game with the same status and played through it. The 76ers play at a much faster pace than the slowest-paced Knicks. That will benefit Hunter itself and the minutes shouldn’t be capped as long as he gets the green light.

Danillo Gallinari – ($4,100)
Gallinari averaged above a 20% usage rate the last series and has a very nice price tag for that. He has scored 20 fantasy points in three of four and in the game he didn’t score 20 he missed every shot he took. That likely won’t happen again and he gets a plus matchup against a quicker-paced Philly team. If Hunter were to sit Gallinari will be a lock for me as his minutes should be solidified. Trae Young is the only other guy I will consider from Atlanta but it will be tough to get there with my exposure to game two.

Philadelphia
Seth Curry – ($5,100)
Last game that Embiid sat out Curry led Philly in usage at a rate just over 30% and scored 33 fantasy points. Most of those points were from real points as he had 30 but he went 3-6 from three so it isn’t like he was scorching from downtown. His 17 shot attempts last game were his most in nearly two months and if Embiid is out again he should get close to that. I do like that he will likely be guarded by Trae Young as well.

Dwight Howard – ($4,500)
In Howard’s last matchup against Atlanta, he played just 17 minutes and scored nearly 40 fantasy points. If Embiid is out Howard will likely need to play as many minutes as Capela does for Atlanta. With Capela averaging above 30 minutes in the last series, we could see Howard get close to that pending Embiid’s status. His ceiling is high in my eyes if Embiid is out and I will take that shot to save some salary. If Embiid sits Harris and Simmons will be great options as well it will just be tough for me to get to them with all the salary I’m spending in this next game.

Dallas vs LA Clippers

Dallas
Luka Doncic – ($11,100)
For me, the Mavs are easy it’s Luka or no one. The man has scored under 61 fantasy points just once in their six games so far. In these six games, Luka is averaging an absurd 40.75% usage rate. His minutes in the past two games eclipsed 40 and now he faces a win or go home scenario. A massive usage rate and over 40 minutes should easily allow Luka to surpass 60 fantasy points again. I do think Jalen Brunson is a cheap option if you want to go that route.

LA Clippers
Paul George – ($9,000)
It will be tough to squeeze both Luka and Kawhi on a squad so I’ll take the near thousand dollars saving for PG. He is averaging a usage rate of 27.4% in this series and scored over 46 fantasy points in four of the last five meetings between these two. Last game in a win or go home situation PG played 46 minutes and put up over 50 fantasy points. We can expect much of the same here in this game seven matchups between these squads.

Reggie Jackson – ($5,400)
Jackson has been a solid third option this series scoring 15 or more real points and 25 or more fantasy points in five straight games. His minutes last game was the highest they have been all series at 38 minutes played. That is encouraging since Jackson turned those minutes into the performance of a 43-fantasy point. In these past five games, Reggie is averaging a 24% usage rate which is plenty given his reasonable price tag.

Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 6/6

I will have plenty of exposure to that game seven especially if Embiid is out more DFS players will shift toward Philly. The minutes for guys like Kawhi and Luka will be through the roof with their seasons on the line tonight. I will have Luka or Kawhi as my main staple in most of my lines. Be sure to get in Discord this morning to stay updated on when the Embiid news falls. That will wrap it up for NBA GPP Picks 6/6, best of luck on your DFS lines, and enjoy your Sunday!

Tonight’s NBA GPP Picks 5/24 slate will bring us just two games. It will be Miami vs Milwaukee and Portland vs Denver. As far as I know, there is no injury news to watch with Will Barton already ruled out. That doesn’t mean we can’t have a surprise Covid situation so make sure you pop in Discord Chat throughout the day. Join the WinDaily staff and me in there talking tonight’s basketball games and hop in our MLB chat as well. I’ll keep it short and sweet today so let’s roll into our picks.

Today will be different because of the two-game slate. I will break down my top game stack for tonight’s slate using DraftKings pricing.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 5/24

Portland vs Denver

Portland
Damian Lillard – ($9,500)
In-game one it was certainly Dame time and I will ride that train again. He played 40 minutes, shot 25 times, and scored a total of 59 fantasy points. His usage of 35% stood out as it was 10% higher than anyone else on the team. It wasn’t like he was scorching from the field either as he shot 10-25. In my opinion, he is still underpriced which is enough to put him as a centerpiece in my builds.

Jusuf Nurkic – ($6,700)
I watched all of the last game and I saw Jokic eat up Kanter when those two were matched up. That may be a big reason Nurkic played 33 minutes and I would expect him to again. The Former teammate of Jokic holds his own against the MVP candidate, which should solidify his minutes on the floor this series. I know one game was the season finale but Nurkic has scored 42 fantasy points or greater in two straight games against Denver. Since he is guarding Jokic there is foul trouble potential here but he’s got a 40-point upside with those minutes.

Honorable Mention – Norman Powell and Anfernee Simons

Denver

Michael Porter Jr. – ($7,000)
MPJ is the clear-cut number two option as long as Barton is out. In-game one Porter took 21 shots in route to a 28.5% usage rate. With that, he scored just shy of 40 fantasy points falling one rebound shy of a double-double. The Blazers have been the second-worst defensive squad all season so buckets against them aren’t hard to come by.

Austin Rivers – ($3,800)
There is nothing fancy about this play other than the value with minutes. In-game one Rivers was trusted to play 33 minutes and logged 20 fantasy points. If he continues to play that many minutes against the second-worst defense in the league you cannot ignore him at this price. With those minutes Rivers provides a floor that won’t hurt a lineup and on a two-game slate with limited cheap options, I will take it. I do believe Monte Morris is also in play at just $100 more you get more shot attempts but fewer minutes.

Miami vs Milwaukee

Miami

Jimmy Butler – ($8,500)

I will try to fit Jimmy in with those other four up top. He owned a 30% usage rate in game one and scored 47 fantasy points but shot only 4-22 from the field. If he makes two more of those shots he is above 50 fantasy points and 6-22 is still pretty bad. The pace up spot helps Jimmy with rebounds and I believe he will flirt with a triple double most of this series.

Goran Dragic – ($5,000)

In game one Dragic played 35 minutes on his way to over 30 fantasy points. He was third on the team in usage just above 25% while taking 17 shot attempts. The Bucks rank second fastest in pace this season which is a massive pace up spot for Dragic and the Heat. That 5K price tag is too cheap for me if he is going to play more than 30 minutes.

Honorable Mention – Trevor Ariza

Milwaukee

Jrue Holiday – ($7,700)

If I play anyone from the Bucks side it is Holiday who has scored over 43 fantasy points and recorded a double-double in three straight games. Holiday and Middleton were basically tied in usage behind Giannis last game at 24.5%. The Buck point guard gets peripheral stats at a solid clip to provide a solid floor. He is also the cheapest of Milwaukee’s primary usage guys. The Heat slow the pace enough and do a good job defending him for me to play him in game two. I believe Dame can get me near the same ceiling in his matchup for over a thousand less.

Honorable Mention – Brook Lopez
Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 5/24
When you plug those four into a lineup it leaves you with $5,750 to play with. That amount of salary will allow you to plug in Holiday, Middleton, or Jimmy Butler from the other game. You would still be left with around $5,000 to spend pending which player you selected. I hope you enjoyed NBA GPP Picks 5/24 and may your screens be green!

Today starts the seven-game series and we get our first set of game ones for NBA GPP Picks 5/22. Most of the sitting and late scratch shenanigans should be done now. We can’t rule out some Covid protocol stuff so still, be tuned into Discord Chat rooms for this slate. Three of these games are projected at a 227-228 total with only the DAL vs LAC coming in at 218. My builds will start under the 10K range and go for a more balanced build for this first night. I think you can get a ton of usage still well below 10K, I mean we see Kawhi at just 8K. Let’s lock into these playoffs and get into the picks!

For this first round, I will do it a little differently. I will go over each game giving my top plays while considering ownership slightly more for GPP’s due to the smaller slates. This article will be using DraftKings pricing.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 5/22

Miami vs Milwaukee

Miami
Jimmy Butler – ($8,400)
Jimmy is one of those players at a bargain as he was priced at $9,500 toward the end of the year. In seven of his last eight games that he played full minutes, Butler scored 43 or more fantasy points. The Bucks have been the second fastest team in the league this season while Miami has been the second slowest. A massive increase in pace will allow the usage leader for the Heat to pay off this tag easily. The only other player I am looking at for Miami is Herro.

Milwaukee
Jrue Holiday – ($7,700)
First off, the Heat have done well defending Giannis in their three prior matchups and that was without Butler. In those three matchup Holiday, however, has averaged 42.5 fantasy points. That total is reachable again with Miami giving up the seventh-most fantasy points to point guards on the year. In five of his last seven games to close the year Holiday scored 45 or more fantasy points. Given the matchup and playoff minutes, we should see Holiday have a great outing.

Donte DiVincenzo – ($5,100)
This isn’t the prettiest play but all signs point toward it being a safe one for me. In five of six games to end the year Donte saw a usage rate several points above his season average. In that stretch of games, DiVincenzo had gone seven straight games scoring at least 26 fantasy points. Now that playoffs are here, he may get a slight minute increase and play more than 30 minutes which would be a bonus.

Dallas vs LA Clippers

Dallas
Jalen Brunson – ($4,100)
I’m not a huge fan of this game specifically from the Dallas side of the ball. In eight of Brunson’s past nine games, he scored at least 20 fantasy points. In five of those games, Brunson had a usage rate of 22% or greater. Some of those were without Porzingis but it is still a healthy number for a player at this price. This game is the lowest total, so be sure to remember this is for GPP only. I think Richardson could be an option too if you do not play one of the two Dallas stars.

Clippers
Kawhi Leonard – ($8,000)
This is an easy lock button for me. His price is too cheap especially now that he should be seeing playoff minutes toward 36-38 minutes pending game script. Leonard has played Dallas twice this year averaging 46 fantasy points. I know this total is low but these Clipper prices seem even lower. In my eyes, you should play either Kawhi or PG13 in your lineup. Both would work as one-off pieces where they are your only piece of this game.

Boston vs Brooklyn

Boston
Kemba Walker – ($7,500)
Since Jaylen Brown got hurt Kemba is averaging above a 31% usage rate. In seven of those eight games, Walker has scored at least 39 fantasy points flashing a ceiling above 50. His minutes were in question the majority of the season. It is playoff time though and he played 40 minutes at the end of the year. The Nets play at the eleventh fastest pace and rank in the bottom ten of defensive rating this season. Kawhi and Kemba will be my first two guys locked in my lines.

Brooklyn
Jeff Green – ($3,900)
It is tough to choose from the big three and they spread the ball out well for their high prices. I will look toward the cheaper Nets like Green who offers me a reasonable floor at a cheap price. In the last ten games to close the season Green’s lowest fantasy output was 15.5. His usage in the team’s final five games is encouraging as he averages above a 21% rate in those five. I will look at Green and some Blake Griffin from this game.

Portland vs Denver

Portland
Damian Lillard – ($9,400)
It’s Dame time now that we are in the playoffs. In eight of his last ten games, the Blazer star has scored 49 or more fantasy points. His lowest output in those ten games was 42.75 in the regular-season finale. His average usage of 30% on the year is 5% above anyone else on his squad. The ball will be in Lillard or McCollum’s hand’s majority of the contest. It seems to me that McCollum is priced right but Lillard is a little cheap. Regardless, I am only playing Lillard or may take a GPP shot at Nurkic.

Denver
Michael Porter Jr. – ($8,200)
When you take Barton and Murray off the court you will see Porter with a 4.9% increase. That puts his total usage at 27% which is second on the team behind Joker. To go with that usage, we have Porter recording 1.13 fantasy points per minute on average without Murray and Barton. Today is not your average matchup though as Denver is facing the team that ranked second-worst in team defense to end the season. Someone must shoot and score other than Jokic, and Porter will need to step up.

Monte Morris – ($3,300)
Morris returned for three games before the end of the year and played 18 minutes in two. His lowest fantasy total was 16 points in those games with no lower than a 17% usage rate. These numbers are lower than they should be due to slowly working back from his month-long absence. When you take all the Nuggets that are out off the floor Morris sees the largest usage increase of 5.2%. Also, worth mentioning that during that team he averages .92 fantasy points per minute a superb number for a player at this salary.

Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 5/22
That is it for NBA GPP Picks 5/22 as we wrap up our first real playoff slate. It is a busy day in sports with MLB, NBA Playoffs, and a UFC fight card all today. With it being a busy day come hang out with the WinDaily family as we break down all the action for each sport. Check out all the projections for each sport and we will help you see green!

Tonight is the regular-season finale that brings us a ten-game slate for NBA GPP Picks 5/16. It will likely be full of injuries and players resting to end the year. If you just scroll the list of players there is a plethora already ruled out. That makes joining the WinDaily family in Discord Chat important for tonight’s slate. In there you will find us keeping you updated on our favorite plays and all injury news throughout the day. Today’s article will be slightly different I will select a few teams I am keeping an eye on pending injuries. With an injury-filled season finale and the potential for tons of rest before playoffs, I don’t want to waste too much time.

For today’s article, I will be selecting a few teams that interest me as stacks on DraftKings due to injuries and matchups. With this slate, we will have teams thin especially those playoffs bound and locked in.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 5/16

New Orleans Pelicans
Nickeil Alexander-Walker – ($6,800)
The Pelicans will be without three starters yet again as Ball, Ingram, and Zion will all sit again. When you take them off the floor NAW sees a team-high 27.6% usage rate and averages 1.1 fantasy points per minute. He is coming off a game where he played 40 minutes and recorded over 50 fantasy points. If the minutes are that high again, he should easily pay off this price.

Naji Marshall – ($5,100)
In two straight games, we have seen Marshall record above a 20% usage rate. That will continue with three Pelicans starters ruled out yet again. He has played over 30 minutes in three straight games and has recorded greater than 38 fantasy points in two of those three. His price Is elevated but the minutes and usage shouldn’t be lacking for Marshall.

Detroit Pistons
Killian Hayes – ($5,600)
Detroit is tanking and Hayes has been a primary beneficiary of that. In three straight games, the rookie has played 36 or more minutes. His lowest fantasy output was 21 points but he shot 1-8 from the field in that game. In the two games, prior Hayes scored 30 and 38 fantasy points. He has averaged above a 20% usage rate in his last four games. Minutes won’t be the question so firing up the rookie isn’t a bad idea.

Hamidou Diallo – ($4,700)
The former Thunder has averaged a 25% usage rate in the past three games he played. Detroit will be thin again to finish the year which should allow for plenty of usage. When we take all these Pistons off the floor although it is a small sample size Diallo is averaging 1.2 fantasy points per minute. The matchup isn’t the best but Miami will already be without Jimmy Butler.
Houston Rockets

Kelly Olynyk – ($8,500)
With all these Rocket players off the floor, Olynyk is averaging a 26% usage rate while accumulating nearly 1.5 fantasy points per minute. The Houston big man has posted over 40 fantasy points in six straight games. In half of those games, Olynyk has eclipsed 50 fantasy points. Houston needs someone to shoot the ball and Olynyk will be a big part of that with this short-handed squad.

Armoni Brooks – ($4,900)
Brooks has played over 30 minutes in five of six games. His lowest fantasy total of those games is 24.75 fantasy points. The highest he has scored in that same stretch is over 40 fantasy points. Houston’s rookie point guard will get a good long look in their season finale. That will allow Brooks to score more than 30 fantasy points and pay off his salary.

Sacramento Kings
Terence Davis – ($6,600)
When you take all these Kings off the court Davis is averaging a 25% usage rate and holding a 1.07 fantasy point per minute mark. Davis has averaged more than a 21% usage rate in seven straight games. He has scored under 35 fantasy points just once in his last five games. With all these Kings out again he should see plenty of shot attempts to surpass the 35 fantasy points threshold.

Louis King – ($3,300)
With all these injuries Louis King will see plenty of minutes. Justin James got hurt last game which resulted in King recording 34 minutes while recording 53 fantasy points. James is already ruled out so King should see all the minutes in this season finally. For a player priced at $3,300 he saw a 23% usage rate last game and had a quality performance. His minutes will be massive in the finale especially with all the injuries to this Kings squad.

As far as the studs go on this slate I think you can pick any of them because they all come with some risk tonight. My two personal favorites tonight are Damian Lillard $9,400 and Luka Doncic at $10,300. Both are high-usage players that lead their team but they both need a win to try to avoid the play-in tournament. There is plenty of value to go with these two as your studs for tonight’s slate.

Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 5/16
That will wrap it up for this year’s regular season. Our final slate is NBA GPP Picks 5/16 which brings a ten-game slate to us. It is not an easy one to dissect and you will need to pay attention up to lock for this slate. Next time you hear from me we will be in the midst of playoffs breaking down important matchups. I can’t wait for the playoffs to be here and we get some serious battles down the stretch. For now, though, enjoy your Sunday, and good luck with your lineups.