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Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 08/06

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. Every Friday night MKF runs a special contest where if you play in a $5+ Home Run Blast contest and all 3 of your batters hit a home run you get a share of the jackpot. Tonight’s jackpot is $25,000!

With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!

Home Run Blast

Trey Mancini vs. Ryan Yarbrough

The first two guys I have listed tonight are playing in the same game. As someone that lives in Baltimore I’ve been to enough games in Camden Yards to know that when the weather is hot the ball flies out of the yard, especially to left field.

I’m starting with Mancini here because he gets a great match up vs. a pitcher that’s been struggling of late. Over the last month Yarbrough has given up 4 homers in just 22 innings for work. During that same stretch he has a 49% fly ball rate. A fly ball pitcher in Camden is not what you want to be.

On the year Mancini has a .279 ISO and .386 wOBA vs. lefties. What a comeback for him this year! Yarbrough’s struggles come against righties. On the year he’s given up a .198 ISO and .314 wOBA. Mancini is going to get a heavy dose of cutters tonight’s. He has a .735 slugging % and .442 wOBA against cutters this year and if we look back over his career, this is a trend. Confidence Level – High!

Randy Arozarena vs. John Means

Switching dugouts, I’m looking to Randy Arozarena for a long ball. Arozarena is hot, with 3 straight multi-hit games. I like to target batters in this contest that are swing a hot bat. So we can check that box off right from the start.

He also matches up very well with Means. He has great numbers vs. Means and a lot of has to do with Means pitch mix. Means will throw in a large amount of fastballs with some change ups mixed in. Arozarena is a crusher of fastballs this year with a .586 slugging %, a .415 wOBA, and 61% hard hit rate.

Means has given up 4 homers in his 3 outings since returning from injury. Look for number 5 to come off the bat from Arozarena. Confidence Level – High

Joey Votto vs. JT Brubaker

Joey Votto is no longer hitting a home run every game, but he’s still swinging an extremely hot bat. Since July 21 he has only 1 game without a hit and 10 homers.

Tonight he gets to take on a pitcher in Brubaker who is giving up homers at a pretty quick pace with 5 in his last 18 innings of work. Brubaker has been giving up a ton of hard contact with a 48% hard hit rate over the past month.

While he doesn’t give up a ton of fly balls, 30% of the fly balls he does give up end up in a fan’s glove. Just like Camden, when it’s warm in Great American Ballpark the ball has a little extra giddy up to it off the bat. With it supposed to be in the mid 80’s at first pitch, the weather is primed for some long balls. Confidence Level – Medium/High

Home Run Blast Wrap Up

Tonight I’m picking on both pitchers and hitting environment. I’ve selected 3 guys facing pitchers that are prone to giving up homers, but also playing in ball parks that making home runs a little bit easier. If you want to go a different route, Jesse Winker on the Reds also is in a good spot for the Reds. In the Camden Yards game, I can also see Nelson Cruz or Ryan Mountcastle going yard.

Good luck and hope to share the jackpot with you!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

3 years ago 0 comment

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 07/30

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

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With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!

Home Run Blast

Gavin Sheets vs. JC Mejia

Gavin Sheets isn’t someone that comes to mind when talking about White Sox power. He actually has one of the highest ISO’s of anyone on the team this year vs. righties. Tonight he gets a great match up vs. JC Mejia.

Mejia has really struggled in the month of June. In his last 4 starts he’s given up 7 homers. Where we want to attack Mejia is with lefties. His ISO this year vs. lefties is a whopping .302 vs. just .094 against righties.

Mejia’s main pitch to lefties is his sinker which he throws about 45% of the time. Sheets, albeit a very small sample size, has an .857 ISO against this pitch with an average distance of 373 feet. If Mejia’s sinker isn’t on tonight, bombs away for Sheets. Confidence Level – High.

Jorge Soler vs. Ross Stripling

When looking for homers, Stripling is one of the best pitchers to target. Over his last 14 innings of work he’s given up 6 dongs. His outing on Sunday was the first time in nearly 2 months where he hadn’t given up homer.

The next 2 month streak of games with a homer starts tonight and the guy that I like the best to start it is Jorge Soler. To start, Soler has been hot over the past week with 4 homers, a .482 wOBA, and a wRC + of 215.

In looking at pitch mix he’s going to get a steady stream of low 90’s fastballs tonight with some sliders mixed in. Soler has a career ISO of .471 with an average distance of 341 against this pitch. Confidence Level – High

Joey Votto vs. Cookie Carrasco

At some point the law of averages will catch up with Votto. I just don’t see it happening tonight. Carrasco takes the mound for the first time in almost 2 years tonight after opting out last season and tearing his hamstring this season.

If we go all the way back to the 2019 season we can see that lefties were his weakness. He gave up way more fly balls and hard contact to that side of the plate. Votto is on an absolute heater and it won’t slow down tonight. Confidence Level – Highish.

Home Run Blast Wrap Up

Mejia and Stripling are both giving up homers at an insane pace right now. Guys like Moncada and Goodwin are also prime targets for homers on the Sox. With Royals, I also like Salvador Perez and Carlos Santana.

Good luck and hope to share the jackpot with you!

3 years ago 0 comment

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 07/28

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. For those not familiar with this contest, you get to pick 3 players that you’ll think will hit a homer. Within the game there are different tiers you can play. .5 you will only need 1 homer to cash and that pays double. 1.5 you will need 2 homers and that pays 5x your entry fee. 2.5 you will need 3 homers and that pays 10x your entry fee. With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!

Home Run Blast

Jose Abreu vs. Kris Bubic

Anytime that I see the White Sox face off against a lefty, using their bats automatically comes to mind. Tonight they get to take on a lefty who has been extremely hittable this year. On the year Bubic is has a 5.27 xFIP and a 39% hard hit rate.

While his FB rate isn’t the higest at 33.3%, he has shown a tendency to give up the long ball with 5 in his last 20 innings of work. With Abreu we have someone that smashes lefties as he has a .329 ISO against them this year with a .377 wOBA.

In looking at pitch mix, Abreu should see a healthy stream of fastballs and change ups tonight as they account for about 85% of the pitches that Bubic throws to righties. Over the last several years Abreu has a .362 ISO against change ups with an average distance greater than 300 feet. Confidence Level – High

Joe Votto vs. Zach Davies

Davies isn’t a guy that gives up a ton of homers. He’s only given up 3 in his last 23 innings of work. That said, Votto is on an absolute heater right now and the environment tonight should be prime for offense. Votto will see a mix of sinkers and change ups tonight.

Let’s zero in on the sinker as he’ll see that about 40% of the time. Over the last 5 years he has an ISO of .269 with a 54% hard hit rate against right handed sinkers. Look for Votto to make it 5 straight with homer. Confidence Level – High

Rowdy Tellez vs. Max Kranick

Kranick doesn’t have a whole lot of experience at the Major League level so far, but from what we’ve seen he has a lot of work to do before he can be considered a solid pitcher. In just 3 appearances so far he’s pitched to a 5.71 xFIP due to a 48% fly ball rate and a 40% hard hit rate.

The guy I’m going to attack him with is Rowdy Tellez. 1 – he has a great first name. 2 – he lines up pretty well with Kranick from a pitch mix stand point. He should see a mid 90’s fastball more than 50% of the time tonight.

Against this pitch he has a .234 ISO with an average distance of around 330 feet. Look for him to pull one over the right field fence tonight. Confidence Level – Medium

Home Run Blast Wrap Up

All three of the guys I’m picking on tonight have the ability to really get hammered tonight. Bubic is facing one of the best lineups in baseball against lefties and Davies is facing a Reds team that hits for a lot of power.

Good luck and hope to find some homers with you!

3 years ago 0 comment

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 07/26

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Blast. For those not familiar with this contest, you get to pick 3 players that you’ll think will hit a homer. Within the game there are different tiers you can play. .5 you will only need 1 homer to cash and that pays double. 1.5 you will need 2 homers and that pays 5x your entry fee. 2.5 you will need 3 homers and that pays 10x your entry fee. With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!

Home Run Blast

Salvador Perez vs. Dallas Keuchel

No pitcher on tonight’s slate is giving up homers over the past 30 days at a quicker pace than Dallas Keuchel. In his last 21 innings of work he’s given up 5. For a pitcher that’s always been considered a ground ball pitcher, that’s bad.

The guy on the Royals that matches up the best for a homer tonight is Salvador Perez. Keuchel’s main pitches tonight will be his sinker which he throws about 36% of the time and his changeup at about 31% of the time.

His sinker has been getting crushed this year with a .508 slugging % and a near 47% hard hit rate. Perez has a .456 slugging % and a near 48% hard hit rate vs. the pitch this year. Look for Perez to take Keuchel deep tonight. Confidence Level – High

Vladimir Guerrero vs. Nick Pivetta

Nick Pivetta is another pitcher that gives up homers at a pretty fast pace. In his last 22 innings of work he’s given up 5 homers. During the same stretch he’s given up a way too high fly ball rate of 42%. Against a powerful lineup like the Blue Jays giving up that many fly balls is a recipe for disaster.

PIvetta throws a ton of fastballs. More than 50% of the time. No batter in baseball has been better at hitting the fastball than Guerrero this year.

Against the pitch he has an insane .842 slugging % and a 63% hard hit rate. If Pivetta leaves one of his fastballs over the plate tonight to Guerrero, it has no chance of staying in the park. Confidence Level – Extremely High

George Springer vs. Nick Pivetta

I’m not straying too far from Guerrero as I also think his teammate George Springer takes Pivetta deep. Like Guerrero, Springer has great numbers against fastballs this season. He has an .806 slugging %, a .482 wOBA, and a 48% hard hit rate.

While not quite as good as Guererro, Springer is no slouch against the fastball and I really like his chances of leading off the game tonight with a homer. Confidence Level – High

Jose Abreu vs. Mike Minor

The White Sox should put up a big number tonight. Minor over the last 30 days has an xFIP of 5.53. He’s been getting hit hard and giving up a ton of fly balls. His hard hit rate over that period is 35% and his fly ball rate is 38.2%. Giving up that many fly balls that are hit that hard means there’s a much higher chance of giving up a homer.

The guy on the White Sox that takes Minor deep will be Jose Abreu. From a pitch mix stand point he lines up great as he has great numbers vs. 4 seamers and sliders this year. His slugging % is greater than .500 to both pitches. Confidence Level – Highish

Home Run Blast Wrap Up

The three guys I’m picking on tonight have been very susceptible to the long ball or are giving up a ton of barrels. And with barrels often times we see homers too. Look for a ton of offense in Boston tonight with Blue Jays taking Pivetta deep multiple times.

3 years ago 0 comment

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 07/23

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. Every Friday night MKF runs a special contest where if you play in a $5+ Home Run Blast contest and all 3 of your batters hit a home run you get share of the jackpot. Tonight’s jackpot is $5,000.

With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!

Home Run Blast

Pete Alonso vs. Steven Matz

Steven Matz makes his return to Citi Field tonight after being traded over the winter. My guess is it’s a short outing for Mr. Matz as the match-up tonight is not an easy one. Matz is someone that has been very home run prone this season. He only has a handful of starts where he hasn’t given one up.

I’m going to be attacking Matz tonight in both my DFS lineups and my Home Run Blast contests with right handed bats. He gives up way more fly balls to righties and significantly more hard contact.

The guy I’m going to do it with is the Polar Bear himself, Pete Alonso. If we look at pitch mix Matz is going to throw his sinker more than 45% of the time.

This is a pitch that Alonso has historically excelled against. In his brief career he has a .833 ISO with an average distance of 353 feet. Bombs away for Alonso tonight. Confidence Level – High

Eric Haase vs. Kris Bubic

Bubic is slowly becoming one of my favorite pitchers to pick on. Bubic has been giving up a ton of power this year with high ISO’s to both sides of the plate. I’m going to side with a power righty from the Tigers though and that guy is Eric Haase.

For the first time in his brief career Haase has become a full time player. On the year he’s already crushed 15 homers. I’m picking him tonight due to his numbers against lefties this year. He has an insane .500 ISO in 60 plate appearances with a .498 wOBA.

Diving into pitch data he’s going to see a steady stream of low 90’s fastballs tonight. It’s a pitch he tees off when it comes from lefties. He has a .500 ISO against it with an average distance of 317 feet. Confidence Level – Highish

Justin Upton vs. J.A. Happ

Happ is one of my favorite targets when it comes to opposing hitters. When I target him, I almost always do with batters from the right hand side. This year he’s given up a 44% fly ball rate and a 42% hard hit rate against righties. This has added to him giving up a .274 ISO and a .379 wOBA to guys from the right side of the plate.

I’m targeting him tonight with a guy who has a long history against south paws. Over the last several seasons Upton has a .269 ISO against lefties. He’s someone that hits for a ton of power against them. He should have no problem with the low 90’s fastball coming from Happ. Confidence Level – Medium/High

Home Run Blast Wrap Up

The three guys I’m picking on tonight are some of favorite targets when playing fantasy and are guys that give up homers often. While I’m picking Alonso against Matz, I also think that JD Davis and James McCann are also primed for big nights.

Good luck and hope to share the jackpot with you!

3 years ago 0 comment

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 07/21

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

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Home Run Blast

Yordan Alvarez vs. Eli Morgan

Eli Morgan is someone that will eventually turn into a solid pitcher. He’s got solid swing and miss stuff when he’s on, as evidenced by his 11.6% swinging strike rate over the past month. That said, he’s still raw and leaving far too many pitches over the plate.

On the year he’s giving up a 53% fly ball rate with a 47% hard hit rate. He’s been pretty consistent across both sides of the plate as both righties and lefties have an ISO of .300 against him. He’s going to throw Alvarez a mix of fastballs and change ups tonight. Alvarez has had a ton of success against change-ups with a .266 ISO against. Confidence Level – High

Rhys Hoskins vs. Asher Wojciechowski

Woj is making his 2021 debut with a spot start for the Yankees. He last pitched in the Majors in 2020 with the O’s. As someone who has watched a ton of O’s baseball, we’re in for a treat tonight. Over the last few years Woj just has not been able to find success at the Major League level.

Since 2019 his xFIP is sitting at 5.53. That’s a pretty high number and it indicates that we should be able to find some fly balls and homers. My lean here is to the right side of the plate as Woj gives up a 50% fly ball rate to righties. To righties, Woj will throw a mix of a low 90’s fastball, slider, and curve. Hoskins has historically done well against all three of these pitches. Confidence Level – Medium/High

George Springer vs. Garrett Richards

Richards has been one of the most affected pitchers in the game since the ban of the sticky stuff. Over his last 17 innings of work he has a 6.03 xFIP to go with 5 homers and 6 barrels. This is someone that we should take full advantage of. The guy here I’m most interested in is Springer. He just lines up so well tonight.

Richards throws his 94 mph fastball almost 50% of the time to righties. Over the last several seasons Springer has a .733 ISO against this pitch with an average distance of 377 feet. That’s just insane. The next pitch he’ll likely see tonight is a slider. He has a .227 ISO against this pitch. Confidence Level – High

Home Run Blast Wrap Up

The three guys I’m picking on tonight have been very susceptible to the long ball. If you want to go a little bit of a different route, JT Realmuto stands a good chance to also homer against Woj and Guerrero against Richards. All three games should see a healthy amount of long balls tonight.

3 years ago 0 comment

NBA Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Finals 7.20

David Stowe 3 years ago

written by David Stowe

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Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Finals 7.20 and see what we have to work with.

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Finals 7.20

More or Less:

Selections: Giannis Antetokounmpo over, Devin Booker over

I’m not spending too much time on Giannis as if you are playing any Monkey Knife fight or DFS you know that he has been a man possessed since coming back from his injury, scoring at least 32 points in 3 of 4 contests and over 40 in two of them carrying the Bucks to a 3-2 lead and a possible title tonight. Booker has decided that the fate of the Suns is on him and his shooting woes are finally behind him shooting the ball 28 and 33 times in the last two games with a 35% usage rate. With the officiating crew so quick to blow the whistle inside I think we will see the Suns opt to score from outside a bit more giving Booker even more opportunities to score than usual. He has not been as effective from three-point range lately but that is still the achilles heel of the Bucks in 2020-2021.

More or Less:

Devin Booker: Over Jrue Holiday Over

Already talked Booker above. The Jrue line is a full assist off in my opinion. His floor in the last ten outings has been seven assists with him having at least nine in 7 of 10 and at least 12 in three of them while playing 40+ minutes a game. On the season he only averaged 6.7 a game but at this point in the playoffs, he is also playing around 4-6 minutes more than he typically does. In a contest where the Bucks can close it out, it makes no sense for him to play less than 44 minutes if it stays close making this 7.5 prop one that I would jump on.

More or Less: Let’s get a little crazy

Alright, this is just for fun and what may be a final hurrah so let us throw five dollars at something we can get a 125x return on. I am playing the Scott Foster narrative so if you are someone who plays underneath and can not hit from outside I am giving a bit of a downgrade. CP3 and Middleton do not fit that bill but CP3 has a mental block with him on the court and if I think Jrue and Giannis go off I do not think that leaves much room for Kris. Crowder has been playing much better as of late scoring no less than 10 points in four straight and I think he sees close to 40 minutes tonight. Lopez can shoot from outside and I have some concerns that Ayton will be in foul trouble again. Just have a little fun and play around with this one. I am not taking it too seriously. We may not get another NBA game after tonight.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Finals 7.20. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

3 years ago 0 comment

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 07/19

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. For those not familiar with this contest, you get to pick 3 players that you’ll think will hit a homer. Within the game there are different tiers you can play. .5 you will only need 1 homer to cash and that pays double. 1.5 you will need 2 homers and that pays triple. 2.5 you will need 3 homers and that pays 4x your entry fee. With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!

Home Run Blast

Jesse Winker vs. Jerad Eickhoff

In his last 8 innings of work Mr. Eickhoff has given up 6 home runs. That’s almost a homer an inning. He’s a gas can and we should attack him at all costs. The guy that takes him yard tonight is Jesse Winker (and probably others). If we look at the pitch mix that Winker should see tonight we see that he’s set up for success.

Eickhoff will throw his fastball and slider more than 67% of the time to Winker tonight. Against sliders Winker has a .203 ISO and a 47% hard hit rate. Against a very low 90’s fastball his ISO climbs to .238. With the game in Great American Ballpark tonight I really like Winker’s chances of taking Eickhoff deep. Confidence Level – High

Pete Alonso vs. Vlad Gutierrez

The Polar Bear should homer tonight. He’s facing a pitcher that has had some really mixed results at the Major League level. On the year his xFIP is still at a pretty high 5.67. He’s been susceptible to the long ball this year as he’s given up the 6 in his last 27 innings of work.

Gutierrez’s main pitch to righties this season is his 93 MP fastball. Alonso crushes this pitch. Over the last 3 years he has a .564 ISO against this pitch. You read that right. I expect Alonso to take Gutierrez very deep tonight. Confidence Level – High

Adam Duvall vs. Jon Lester

Gone are the years where Lester was a good pitcher. Now, he’s a serviceable pitcher for those playing DFS as he is one of the most attackable pitchers in the game. He just doesn’t have much left in the tank. His last few games have been downright bad.

He’s given up 5 homers in just 19 innings of work to go with a 6.53 xFIP. He’s just giving up way too much contact and way too much of it has been hard contact. Duvall has been hammering left handed pitching this year. His ISO is sitting at .247. If he’s not striking out against lefties, he crushing them. Look for Duvall to be one of the Marlins that takes Lester deep. Confidence Level – High

Home Run Blast Wrap Up

The ball should be flying in Cincinnati tonight. While Alonso and Winker are my top picks to homer from that game, guys like Naquin on the Reds and Conforto on the Mets are also primed to homer tonight. For the Fish, I also like Aguilar to take Lester deep.

3 years ago 0 comment

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 07/16

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. Every Friday night MKF runs a special contest where if you play in a $5+ Home Run Blast contest and all 3 of your batters hit a home run you get share of the jackpot. Tonight’s jackpot is $10,000!

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some homers!

Home Run Blast

Michael Conforto vs. Chad Kuhl

I should preface this pick with saying that there is risk with this game. You’ll need to monitor the weather up until first pitch before locking in Conforto. If that game plays I really like Conforto’s chances of hitting a homer today.

Prior to last Sunday’s game Conforto went 89 at bats without a homer which was one of the longest stretches of his career without one. As a die-hard Mets fan I know that with Conforto, when he gets his swing locked in he goes on stretches where he hits for a ton of power. I’m hopeful that his homer last weekend before the break is a start of things to come for him.

It also helps that Conforto matches up well with Kuhl. The main pitch that Conforto will see is the are slider from Kuhl. This is a pitch that Conforto has historically crushed. His ISO against the pitch over the past several years is sitting at .300 with a 51% hard hit rate. Confidence Level – High

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs. Jordan Lyles

I’m expecting some regression coming Lyles’ way. Over the past 30 days his SIERA and xFIP are both sitting over 5 while his ERA is at 3.68. He has the lowest CSW of any pitcher on the slate tonight and has an 85% LOB. All of this indicates to me that he’s been skating by with a ton of luck.

Unfortunately for him he’s facing off against one of the best lineups in the business. The guy that I think takes the most advantage of him tonight is Guerrero, fresh off his All Star Game MVP. In looking at Lyles’ pitch mix we see his 93 MPH fastball is the pitch he’ll throw the most to righties. In his career Guerrero has a .378 ISO with a 56% hard hit rate to this pitch. I see no way that Lyles is able to keep Guerrero in the park tonight. Confidence Level – High

Adolis Garcia vs. Robbie Ray

Look, I love Ray as a pitcher. He’s made some huge strides this year with cutting down his walks and improved on his strike outs. Even though he’s made all of those strides, he’s still giving up the occasional long ball and he’s getting tagged by righties.

His fly ball rate jumps from 31% against lefties to 43% against righties. His hard hit rate goes from 36.5% to 43.3%. We know that if we want to take advantage of Ray, we need to do it from the right side of the plate. Insert Garcia. On the year Garcia has a .222 ISO vs. lefties to go along with a .318 wOBA. Really like the chances of Garcia taking Ray long tonight. Confidence Level – Medium/High

Juan Soto vs. Chris Paddack

Paddack has been up and down with his performances since the beginning of the year. He faced off against this Nationals team about 10 days ago and got shelled. I’m not chasing that performance. That’s not why I’m attacking him here. I’m attacking him because of the way he matches up with Soto.

Paddack has a very simple pitch mix. He throws a fastball and a changeup. Soto absolutely crushes fastballs, to the tune of a 70% hard hit rate and .617 slugging % this year. He’s going to face that pitch more than half of the time tonight. With it being in the 90’s today in DC, the ball should be flying. Confidence Level – Medium

Home Run Blast Wrap Up

These are my top picks for home runs tonight. All 4 of these hitters are set up to do well tonight. From a pitch mix standpoint, they line up for success and the pitchers they are going against have shown the propensity to give up bombs.

Good luck and hope to share the $10k with you!

3 years ago 0 comment

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight PGA Plays 07/14

Matt Vecchio 3 years ago

written by Matt Vecchio

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Today I’ll be highlighting another one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Eagle Eye. Every PGA tournament MKF runs a special contest where if you play in a $5+ Eagle Eye contest and all 3 of your golfers get an eagle during the tournament you get share of the jackpot.

This week’s jackpot is $2,500. Last week there was only 1 winner and that person walked away with $2,500!

This week the PGA holds its final Major of the year, The Open Championship at Royal St George’s GC. With the start time of this tournament being when most of us are sleeping, we’ll want to make sure we lock in our picks today.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some eagles!

Eagle Eye

Bryson DeChambeau

DeChambeau is tied for second this year in eagles with 14, trailing only Cam Davis who leads with 16. A big reason why he’s been able to get so many eagles is this year is due to him being great off the tee.

There has been no one better on the year in terms of shots gained off the tee this year than Dechambeau. His lead is pretty sizeable too. So far this year DeChambeau has an eagle in 2 of the 3 Majors. Can he make it 3 out of 4? I think so. Confidence level – High

Justin Thomas

With this contest, I really try to focus on players that have a high frequency of eagling holes. In Thomas, only 5 other golfers this year have been getting eagles at a quicker pace. Thomas is eagling holes about once every 96 holes. In his last 6 tournaments, he’s had 3 eagles.

One reason he’s been able to do this is by being long off the tee at nearly 303 yards. The other reason is that he’s been one of the best at gaining shots with his approach shots. He ranks inside the top 5 there.

The Majors have been a bit of a struggle for Thomas this year with 1 cut missed and a T21 and T19. I like JT to rebound this week and finish out the fourth major with a strong effort and an eagle. Confidence Level – Medium

Tony Finau

Another guy that’s long off the team is Finau as he’s averaging over 304 yards this year. Finau is tied for 5th this year with eagles with 13 on the year. He’s also 5th on tour this year in terms of eagles per hole with an eagle every 91 holes.

While he missed the cut at the US Open this year he had finished in the top 10 in both the Masters and PGA championship. Like Dechambeau he has an eagle in 2 of the year’s 3 Majors. Look for him to get back on the saddle and have a successful final Major of the year with at least 1 eagle. Confidence Level – Medium/High

Eagle Eye Wrap Up

These are my top picks for eagles this week across the pond. All three of these guys eagle holes more than most and I’ll want to make sure I lock them in.

Good luck and hope to share the $2,500 with you!

3 years ago 0 comment

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