DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
 
Home / Monkey Knife Fight / Page 6
Tag:

Monkey Knife Fight

It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! I have some great news for everyone ,all of us over at the Win Daily Sports team have chosen to expand our Monkey Knife Fight coverage from a weekly format to a daily format. So now we will not only be providing weekly selections for NFL but we will also be giving daily plays for all other sports as well! WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more

Quick Note: One thing that you will see is that I will try to stay away from high risk plays. Everyone loves the big win but the goal here is steady growth over the long term. It’s ok to take the occasional shot whenever it makes sense but that should not be your standard “go to” if you want to continue to grow your bankroll.

Now that we are doing our MKF articles daily over here at Win Daily one thing that I want to make sure that I do is recap my plays and keep track of how we’re doing overall so that we can demonstrably show our track record for everyone who follows and uses the plays that we provide. Our first day was pretty mediocre and we’ll be sure to rebound over the long term. I was dead on with my expectations when it came to David Montgomery and Mike Evans going under on their props and I was on track with Ronald Jones performing above Vegas’s projections but I missed on my analysis when it came to Allen Robinson for NFL even though Foles failed to hit his 248 yard prop and my MLB plays with Kyle Wright exceeding his 14.5 total outs in his first start since the 25th of September and Jordan Montgomery only striking out four after three straight with at least seven K’s. That starts us of with a sub par 1 of 5. Lets fix that today.

*Since today we are having a rare slow day as of late with only one MLB and one NBA game we’re going to go with 4 prop plays total. MKF has done a pretty good job with their lines today and I don’t want to reach for otherwise bad plays just to get five on the article.

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 10.9 NBA:

Who knows if we get another shot at this so let’s go ahead and get some NBA plays in for what very well be our last game until the next calendar year. I know Jimmy Butler and the Heat are trying to will this championship into existence and as much as I would love to see it keep going I just don’t see them going past tonight. They’ve lost two of their three games this series but double digits and it took a massive performance by Butler to get them over the hump in game three with a 40 point triple-double and even then the Lakers were still within five points with two minutes left. While I think the Heat lose tonight, I think they are going to fight to the end so aside from favoring Lebron wherever possible I think we’re going to have a few spots where scorers like Duncan Robinson and Jimmy Butler will outperform expectations for the Heat.

In this rapid fire contest you get 2x your ROI getting three of four correct. I’ll always take a bonus on Lebron when given and even more so when he has gotten no less than 10 boards in the previous 4 games, Rondo has outpaced Caruso 66 to 23 assists in the last 10 games including 24 to 6 in this series, and Butler will do anything he can to carry his team tonight while Davis has the luxury of playing next to a man who has won more playoff series than Davis has played playoff games (38 series wins to 32 total games). Robinson gets my lean on 3’s due to his roll but Crowder has hit 10 3’s to Robinson’s 11 this series.
As I mentioned above if the Heat are to have even the slightest chance to pull this one out Butler is going to have to carry them with another performance like he had in game three, I don’t think he duplicates it but I think he does enough to get him past Davis with a 4.5 point bonus as the primary scoring option and Rajon Rondo has only gotten within three assists of Lebron once in the last 5 games and only averages 5.4 APG to James’s 9.9 APG on the season and he typically plays 10 to 12 less minutes per game.
With the final selection I like the idea of pairing Butler and Lebron to exceed 59.5 points plus three’s made combined. Lebron has scored no less than 25 points and shot no less than four 3’s in any game this series and Butler is scoring from 20.5 PPG to 26.4 PPG while taking 2-3 three pointers per contest. I don’t think you will need to risk going beyond the 59.5 total goal but as I noted earlier Butler is going to do everything possible to carry this team so another 45 minute game and 30+ point output is something I don’t see being out of the ordinary.

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 10.9 MLB:

The first place that I usually go with MLB props is to pitching but the K prop is tough. The 8.5 number for Cole is tough to pick either way and Tyler Glasnow while striking out less than seven only twice in 11 starts this season he has never started on three days rest and in only 6 innings of total work on limited days off he has allowed 10 earned on 6 K’s and Tampa is hanging on by a thread and will likely turn to Snell at the first sign of trouble. Instead I will go with rapid fire for my MLB choice today.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight 10.9 edition. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets… It’s time to let her shine! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

NFL Prop Bets: AETY Model Week 1 Plays

Player Prop DescriptionOddsUnit Risk
Marlon Mack O54.5 Rush Yds-1121.5
Rodgers O252.5 P Yds+1001.5
Anthony Miller O39.5 yds-1121.25
Anthony Miller O3.5 Rec+1151
Stefon Diggs O51.5 Rec Yds-1121
Ryan Fitzpatrick O234.5 P Yds-1120.5
Julio Jones U90.5 Rec Yds+1011
Todd Gurley O17.5 Rec Yds-1121
Julio Jones U6.5 REC+1150.5
Tyler Lockett O4.5 REC-1411
Bridgewater P Yds > Carr P Yds+1110.5
Darren Waller U4.5 REC+1100.5
Curtis Samuel O3.5 REC+1251
DJ Moore O5.5 REC+1100.5
Lamar Jackson O219.5 P Yds-1120.5
Lamar Jax P Yds > Baker P Yds+1300.5
Jarvis Landry O4.5 REC+1200.5
TY Hilton U63.5 Yds-1120.5
Jack Doyle O30.5 Yds-1120.5
Tyrod Taylor O219.5 P Yds-1122
Keenan Allen O55.5 Rec Yds-1121
Austin Ekeler O34.5 Rec Yds-1121
Drew Brees U292.5 P Yds-1120.5
Raheem Mostert O52.5 Rush Yds-1251

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

The quarterback is the most important position in sports, let alone football. Choosing the correct quarterback on your DFS lineup could be the difference between winning a tournament and walking out empty-handed. With that all out of the way, let’s get into the Quarterbacks DFS Picks for Cash Games, GPP and who to punt!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

If you’d like to see more of my work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @VinPensabene

Week 17 Quarterback Cash Game Plays

Sam Darnold, NYJ @ BUF

DK ($5,000) FD ($7,200)

Starting off with a bit of a wild card here. Sam Darnold has been looking improved in his last five games with a 7:2 touchdown-to-interception ratio in that span. The Buffalo Bills are locked into the fifth seed for the playoffs and this game means absolutely nothing but pride for them. They have already ruled Shaq Lawson out and Darnold played decent against the Bills Week One while dealing with mono. Expect a great performance at this price and pay up for other skill positions in your lineup.

Tom Brady, NE @ MIA

DK ($6,000) FD ($7,600)

The naysayers will say that Brady doesn’t perform well in South Florida but I would counter that with a look at this Miami Dolphins team. This is a great chance for the Patriots offense to get back in stride with a weaker opponent heading into a probable bye week. Tom Brady had one of his better statistical games against this Dolphins team with 264 yards and two touchdowns. Expect a nice performance at another relatively cheaper price than normal for the quarterback slot.

Aaron Rodgers, GB @ DET

DK ($6,900) FD ($8,300)

Aaron Rodgers doesn’t turn the ball over with just three interceptions this season. The Lions have surpassed the Arizona Cardinals as the worst passing defense in the NFL and have six interceptions, the lowest in the league. Aaron Rodgers should be a gunslinger in this game and be around 300 yards as well. No need to discount double-check this decision.

Week 17 Quarterback GPP Plays

Russell Wilson, SF vs SEA

DK ($15,000) FD ($7,900)

With the division title on the line in Week 17 in a primetime matchup, there are very few quarterbacks I would want outside of Russell Wilson. Coming off an all-around stinker against the Arizona Cardinals, the Seahawks should come out on all cylinders against the 49ers. Yes, the numbers say the 49ers pass defense should limit him but the last three weeks do not look good for that defense.

Deshaun Watson, TEN vs HOU

DK ($6,700) FD ($8,000)

He currently is listed as questionable with a back injury but I wouldn’t be shocked if he is under center on Sunday afternoon. Going up against a hungry Titans team still competing for a playoff opportunity, Watson will have the energy to compete instead of “taking the week off”. He played well in the matchup these two teams had earlier in the season and I expect very similar numbers out of him as well.

Patrick Mahomes, LAC vs KC

DK ($ 7,200) FD ($8,600)

Patrick Mahomes had a bit of a struggle at points in this season but last year’s MVP has been heating up in his last three games. He played against top-level defenses in that span and should be easier for him with the Chargers in town. With the opportunity of a potential bye still looming, expect Patrick Mahomes to showcase his abilities on Sunday.

Week 17 Quarterback Fades

Jameis Winston, ATL vs TB

DK ($6,600) FD ($8,100)

Jameis is on the injury report ahead of this game with a thumb and knee injury. This Atlanta team is completely different than the one Winston saw a month ago, with three consecutive victories and a team that will not be changing regimes in the offseason. Without some of his favorite targets on the field due to injury, expect a stinker from Jameis to end this season.

Case Keenum, WAS @ DAL

DK ($4,500) FD ($6,800)

Do not buy into last week’s offensive performance from Case Keenum once Dwayne Haskins was carted off. This Cowboys team is somehow still competing for the NFC East crown and need to win this game and hope for an Eagles loss. Keenum had back-to-back stinkers before being demoted to the backup and that’s more of what I expect.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, NE @ MIA

DK ($5,800) FD ($7,400)

The fact that he is facing off against Bill Belichick and the New England defense is the main reason why Fitzpatrick is on this list. With a New England victory, they clinch a Wild Card bye and that will motivate the defense. I don’t necessarily believe he will turn into FitzTragic here, but I’m not believing in the Miami offense either.

Monkey Knife Fight Quarterback Pick of the Day 

Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Patrick Mahomes over 299.5 passing yards and Jameis Winston over 317.5 passing yards.

You can read about each of these quarterbacks above but as a summary, Jameis Winston should struggle without his main weapons against the Atlanta Falcons. Patrick Mahomes on the other hand should have a 300 yard day with the Chargers looking to end their miserable 2019 season.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

The slate of DFS wide receivers is questionable with teams resting their stars with most of the playoff seeding figured out. There are some spots where you can afford some expensive receivers and some cheaper options with a good upside. Let’s dive into the best wideouts for Cash Games, GPP and who you should avoid with our Week 17 Wide Receiver DFS Picks.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

If you’d like to see more of my DFS work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @VinPensabene

Week 17 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays

Davante Adams, GB @ DET

DK ($8,000) FD ($8,400)

Davante Adams had a great game against the Lions earlier this season with four touchdown receptions. You’d be crazy to expect that, but a solid game shouldn’t be questioned. He’s also coming off a game where he was targeted 16 times. He is Top 25 in both receptions and yardage with a weaker defense in Detroit. He should wreak havoc against the Lions yet again.

Michael Thomas, NO @ CAR

DK ($9,900) FD ($9,200)

It would be criminal to not include Michael Thomas on this list. He now has the all-time single-season reception record and still has one more regular-season game to play. He was dealing with a hand injury but won’t affect his status and Carolina (like the rest of the NFL) had trouble stopping him. Last time these teams met, 10 catches for 101 yards and a touchdown. A slight opportunity for a Wild Card bye as well? Expect another big game.

Week 17 Wide Receiver GPP Plays

Jarvis Landry, CLE @ CIN

DK ($5,900) FD ($6,800)

This one is simple: Jarvis Landry is the Browns’ best receiver. The Bengals have nothing to play for while the Browns still have the opportunity to build up chemistry for next season. Landry is 12th in the NFL in yardage and should get a good amount of looks to up to get him closer to the Top 10.

Amari Cooper, WAS vs DAL

DK ($6,500) FD ($7,500)

This is Cooper’s last chance to show teams what he can do with impending free agency in the near future. The Cowboys lost their hold on the NFC East and need to win and have the Eagles lose to make the playoffs. With the reports that he was benched during last week’s game, this should be his chance to attack a weak secondary and show why he is still among the league’s top wideouts.

Week 17 Wide Receiver Fades

Juju Smith-Schuster, PIT @ BAL

DK ($5,500) FD ($5,900)

Juju didn’t look 100 percent last week against the New York Jets and I’m not sure he will be in this matchup either. He had seven catches for 75 yards and a touchdown against the Ravens earlier this season. But with the opportunity of a playoff berth for the Steelers still there, I see Juju trying to pull it out but he isn’t healthy yet.

Stefon Diggs, CHI vs MIN

DK ($6,500) FD ($7,500)

Diggs doesn’t get a crazy amount of targets as he only has one game this year with at least 10 targets. The Vikings have already clinched last Wild Card spot and this could be the reason Diggs gets pulled at halftime to prevent any injuries. Diggs isn’t as explosive against a good defense and I think he won’t produce as well as other wide receivers for this price.

Monkey Knife Fight DFS Picks of the Week 

Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Michael Thomas, Jarvis Landry and Davante Adams over 23.5 receptions.

Arguably three of the best wide receivers this season should hit this mark. Michael Thomas is dealing with a hand injury but will play this week and should continue getting double-digit catches himself. Jarvis Landry is dealing with a hip injury but it won’t affect his status either. The combination of Landry and Davante Adams should easily get 14 catches combined.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

"*" indicates required fields

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” Sure, we want to help you win that big DFS tournament. But we want you to have a greater enjoyment of Daily Fantasy Sports while you are doing it. Along the way, you also may learn some life lessons and gain some perspectives you may have never considered before.

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    -
    00:00
    00:00
    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00