MLB 4.14 Bettor Baseball Podcast Jon Jansen 3 years ago written by Jon Jansen Good mix of day games and night games on today’s MLB slate! Jon Jansen gives out his best bets of the day and is joined by special guest Keith Kavanaugh Jr.!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nlsZ59K1fsIMake sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB 4.13 Bettor Baseball Podcast Jon Jansen 3 years ago written by Jon Jansen The Bettor Baseball Podcast is back and with a large MLB slate to go over. Jon Jansen and Brian Slone look at some of the best games of the day and put together their favorite picks on the 4.13 Bettor Baseball Podcast.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bsr2vDoTAKEMake sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports Betting Monkey Knife Fight Plays 4.12 David Stowe 3 years ago written by David Stowe Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 MLB season! MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more. Happy Monday Morning ladies and gentlemen! We have a nice windy 14 game slate ahead of us that we should have some fun with. We’ll have a little fun with the bats but at the end of the day you have people trying to hit a round ball traveling close to 100 mph with a cylindrical stick so while you will see some hitting props on here I tend to lean towards pitchers when choosing plays. Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.12More or Less: Rangers at RaysThe two top aces and most prolific strikeout pitchers on the board today against two of the most strikeout prone teams in the early part of the 2021 season. It feels like a trap but I’m falling for it. I don’t really think I need to say all that much about either Tyler Glasnow or Gerrit Cole. If you don’t know who they are I don’t really know why you’re reading this. Take the overs and have some fun.Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.12More or Less: Indians at White Sox This prop feels like a trap. Triston Mckenzie is an absolute top young army but way more young than top at this point. He only pitched 3.2 in his first outing on the 5th and it looks like Cleveland is going to take their time getting him going this season. It doesn’t help much that in the 58 pitches he threw he managed to walk four. He can rack up K’s with the best of them, I just don’t know if he’s in long enough. Carlos Rodon on the other hand looked great in his first game striking out 9 and in his last stint as a starter in 2019 he struck out no less than 5 batters in all seven starts. I don’t expect him to have as strong of an outing against Cleveland but I feel pretty good about him fanning 5 today.Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.12More or Less: With a 10+ run implied total, wind blowing out to dead center hard, JD Martinez fresh off of a three home run game, and the team with the highest average launch angle in the league in the Minnesota Twins the home run derby for this game is the perfect fit. My usual stance is to just take the 0.5 goal and take the money but I’m feeling a little froggy given the combination of circumstances in this game. It’s likely I end up taking the 1.5 goal to triple my return. I’ve been trying to talk myself out of it but I just don’t see a scenario where Happ or Perez slows down either of these offenses today.Extra Plays***I will be putting out extra plays as I see them in our discord chat so be sure to pop in there from time to time to see what pops up. As lines change so does the value.This is just a quick little article to get the blood flowing for everyone. Hope you enjoyed my Monkey Knife Fight MLB plays 4.12. Expect more articles with more selections as the data evens out over this long 162 game season. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB 4.9 Bettor Baseball Podcast Jon Jansen 3 years ago written by Jon Jansen A bit of a smaller slate today and some volatile pitching matchups! Jon Jansen and Brian Slone try to find their favorite bets of the day on the 4.9 Bettor Baseball Podcast!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zuSSS-tn5NQMake sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB 4.8 Bettor Baseball Podcast Jon Jansen 3 years ago written by Jon Jansen Another slate of afternoon baseball games today! It’s a short slate, so Jon Jansen and Brian Slone try to find their favorite bets of the day on the 4.8 Bettor Baseball Podcast!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xz9Xwi5kWr8Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports Betting Monkey Knife Fight Plays 4.8 David Stowe 3 years ago written by David Stowe Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 MLB season! MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more. Did you miss me? Sure you did. I hate to have kept you all waiting for so long but I promise you it’ll be worth it. We have six games to choose from as of right now and one of the things I like to do when it comes to MLB is to target wind conditions when choosing hit props. It is by no means a guarantee but the slightest edges make a huge difference over the long term. I won’t melt your face with the math but a 10 mph wind can add or subtract over 30 feet to the distance of a fly ball. Enough chit-chat, here is my Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.8.Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.8More or Less: Cubs at PiratesBoth the Pirates and the Cubs have been at the bottom of the barrel when it comes to K-rate over the last few seasons in the MLB and they have started 2021 in the same way. Cubs have struck out 48 times in five games thus fast including striking out seven times against Tyler Anderson in his first start. Jake Arrieta is a little tougher, but with the Pirates sporting a 26.9% K-rate in the early part of this season I’m willing to take the chance. If you were so inclined to take the under on Jake I would not argue with you but I think he will throw his 85 pitches, get his 5-6 innings and get his 5 K’s and call it a day.Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.8Home Run Derby: Brewers at Cardinals This is one of those situations where I’m using the wind to my advantage. It’s projected to be blowing out to left field at around 13mph and you are giving me guys like Yelich, Arenoda, Cain, and Arenado to choose from. Sign me up for that. I don’t get cute with my risk and I’ll stick with my 1.5x return for a home run but if you wanted 3x your investment for two homers I think you are in a reasonable spot to take advantage. I just think the return isn’t worth the risk for the 3 HR prop so stay away from that. I know the Brewers have started a little slow but I have all the confidence in the world that they’ll get on track.Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.8More or Less: Diamondbacks at RockiesGray had a freak incident in his first start against the Dodger and had to leave the game in the 6th with full body cramping. Even with the issue he fanned seven against one of the most prolific offenses in the MLB and now he gets a Diamondbacks team with a .631 OPS and they were just skunked 8-0 in their last game against Colorado. When it comes to Merrill Kelly…well…did I mention Colorado put up 8 runs on Arizona last night? Did I mention how many they scored the night before? Also 8 runs. Colorado is 4th in the MLB in slugging with a .465 and 9th best in strikeouts only striking out 8.83 per game on average. Kelly will be a target of mine down the road in DFS but he was smashed in his first outing against the Padres giving up three earned in four innings only striking out four batters and walking three batters. I do not expect a much different result against the Rockies in Colorado.This is just a quick little article to get the blood flowing for everyone. Hope you enjoyed my Monkey Knife Fight MLB plays 4.8. Expect more articles with more selections as the data evens out over this long 162 game season. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB 4.7 Bettor Baseball Podcast Jon Jansen 3 years ago written by Jon Jansen The Bettor Baseball podcast is back after a perfect 7-0 on Monday’s picks Jon Jansen and Brian Slone go over a big afternoon MLB slate with plenty of great matchups on today’s 4.7 Bettor Baseball Podcast.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RUls_Qmm63cMake sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB 4.2 Bettor Baseball Podcast Jon Jansen 3 years ago written by Jon Jansen Day number two of the Major League Baseball season is here and we’re coming off a decent 2-2 Opening Day. Jon Jansen and Brian Slone talk about what they learned from Opening Day and look at today’s games to give you sides and props to bet on.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fqTHUInB38MMake sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB Starting Rotation 4.2 Adam Strangis 3 years ago written by Adam Strangis Starting Rotation 4.2 My goodness was it fun to have baseball back yesterday! Between the articles, bets, and calls in the Discord, we had a very solid first day of action. I will remind you guys to not get too crazy with the bankroll. MLB is a grind and is tough as far as the variance. Play within the means, be smart with it, and we’re going to grow that bankroll, continuing with the Starting Rotation 4.2! Starting Rotation 4.2 Cash Picks Note – The numbers under the pitcher represent how often he threw a pitch. The number in the parentheses is how the opposition ranked against said pitch type in 2020 until 2021 data stabilizes. Blake Snell ($9,700 DK/$9,500 FD) FB – 50.6% (29th) CH – 19.8% (29th) SL – 15% (4th) CB – 14.6% (7th) Well, it took all of one day for the starting pitching to look like it got hit with an ugly stick. Yesterday it felt like we had options. Today is different for sure. Snell lands atop the board here but I think the field will take one of two paths. The first is to just lock in Snell. The only other ace-style pitcher on the slate is Trevor Bauer, but he’s in Coors Field. The second path could be to just pay down and get the bats they want. I lean most take the best pitcher they feel comfortable with, hence Snell. That’s not to say there aren’t concerns here. For one, Arizona carried the seventh-best K rate against LHP last season at just 21%. The pitch data is either good for Snell or quite bad for Snell, pending which pitch he’s using. The pitch mix is not guaranteed to be the same since he’s with a new team. All in all, Snell is likely the “safest” option on the board. Even if the strikeouts aren’t flowing, The D-Backs struggled in other ways against the southpaws last season. They were no higher than 25th in OBP, slugging, OPS, ISO, wOBA, and wRC+ through last season. The only real addition to the lineup is veteran Asdrubal Cabrera so Snell stands to likely be popular on both sites. Pablo Lopez ($7,000 DK/$7,800 FD) FB – 55.1% (26th) CH – 29.8% (3rd) CT and CB were under 9% of the time I’m going to come clean right now and flat out say I have a very pro Pablo Lopez bias. I think he’s extremely talented and it’s only a matter of time before he really puts it together. He’s still barely 25 years old and this is an interesting spot for him. For one, he’s always been better at home with a career 3.28 ERA compared to 6.11 on the road. I do have some concerns about the Rays lefties in this matchup because Lopez gave up a .310 wOBA and a 14.7% K rate to that side of the plate. However, the righties whiffed 36% of the time against Lopez. The projected Rays lineup A. loses the DH and B. has four lefties in it. The Marlins righty is dependent on the four-seam and change, having at least a 15% whiff rate on those two pitches. His fastball used to be a weakness but has steadily improved over the past three seasons to the point it was his highest-valued pitch last year. Lopez is cheap and has potential here even with some potentially scary LHH like Austin Meadows and Brandon Lowe in the batter’s box. We would back off this pick if the Rays really overloaded on LHH. Honorable Mention – Possibly Ryan Yarbrough, I’d want to see how popular he’s projected to be Starting Rotation 4.2 GPP Picks Jesus Luzardo ($7,900 DK/$7,200 FD) FB – 53.3% (21st) SL – 22.4% (9th) CH – 23.9% (25th) This is a slate to take some risks so let’s get nuts. Luzardo is one of the most talented pitchers on the slate for just pure stuff and filthiness. He flew through the minors and did scuffle a little bit in his first “full” season last year with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.37 HR/9. There are some encouraging signs underneath for Luzardo. His fly-ball rate was just 30.7% and the hard-hit rate was 32% so there’s nothing totally egregious there. Luzardo also still struck out a hitter per inning, which is nothing to sneer at. Here’s what gives me some strong encouragement. Firstly, Luzardo was excellent at home last year. That’s not a huge shock as Oakland checked in at 31st in runs and home runs last year in park factor. Luzardo also struck out lefties over 25% of the time and the Astros are suddenly a little bit lefty-heavy. Sure, they still have Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, and Carlos Correa. The loss of George Springer is a big deal for the Houston lineup and Luzardo likely has three lefties to face in the heart of the order. This spot is certainly dangerous, but there’s a wider range of outcomes and one includes a strong start from the A’s youngster. The pitch data is encouraging for Luzardo and on this slate, he’s worth some exposure. Yusei Kikuchi ($6,000 DK/$7,500 FD) CT – 39.9% (26th) FB – 37.7% (8th) SL – 16.1% (2nd) SF thrown 6.3% When we’re talking about safe options for tonight, we’re really not going to find them on this slate as far as there not being nit-picks. I feel like Coors Field (especially the Dodgers bats) will be the focus of salary spent. There’s not a ton of great options at pitcher so the field will try to win with the hitters and not blow up with their pitchers. Kikuchi is carrying some momentum from spring training where his fastball had some serious life to it and hit up to 97 MPH. With the Giants ranking 26th against his primary pitch last year, I am interested. Now, we have to talk about the drawbacks here. The Giants were quietly elite against the lefties last season. They finished top-four in average, OBP, slugging, OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ last year against southpaws. That is hard to get by in this spot but if Kikuchi is figuring out how to pitch in the majors, we want to be ahead of the curve. The fact he’s the cheapest starter on DK does help his case, but do not think there isn’t significant risk in playing Kikuchi. He could check in chalky just because of the price and if that’s the case, he’d be my SP2 for cash games. I would just prefer to go GPP-only here. Honorable Mention – Johnny Cueto, (FD only) Note – So we haven’t talked about Trevor Bauer much unless it’s been in passing. It’s easy to say “He’s in Coors” and be done with it but that’s not good enough. Does he have upside, even in a tough environment? Of course, he does. The man is the reigning and defending NL Cy Young. However, there are some frightening metrics overall for Bauer. His strand rate was 90.9% last season. That’s just not happening again. His ERA was 1.73 and the xFIP was 3.25 which means he’s due some home run regression as well. That would be backed up by the massive 47.8% fly-ball rate that Bauer displayed last year. There are not many worse parks to have a monster fly ball rate. It led the league last year and for some context, Gerrit Cole was second at 43.1%. Cole had an 18.7% FB/HR rate while Bauer was 12%. Colorado also only whiffed 22% of the time at home against RHP last year, 21st in the league. The lefties had the advantage on Bauer with a .258 wOBA and a 1.89 HR/9 last year. There are some serious red flags here and I would rather play some Rockies LHH ahead of Bauer. Starting Rotation 4.2 Betting Section Free Strikeout Prop Every day, I’ll have one prop that I’m chasing for free in the article. Anything else that I’m playing will be located in our Premium Sports Bets! Friday Free Bet Orioles O 3.5 Runs Thank you for reading my Starting Rotation 4.2 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB 4.1 Bettor Baseball Podcast Jon Jansen 3 years ago written by Jon Jansen Opening Day for the Major League Baseball season is here and so is the launch of the Bettor Baseball Podcast. Jon Jansen and Brian Slone take a look at futures, bets for Opening Day and a few DFS plays on the Bettor Baseball Podcasthttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzGL09l7VIUMake sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail