Thursday is another odd slate of games, but at least most are in the evening! There are a few spots to attack, and a couple arms that won’t be exciting to roster, but could pay big dividends! Let’s get to it!
McClanahan has been tremendous in the early going in 2023. Across 23 innings of work, he has allowed just 15 hits and four earned runs with a 27/11 K/BB. The walk rate is higher than we would like to see, but the K upside mitigates that for me.
The White Sox have quietly been pretty terrible on offense, ranking at or below the league average across the board. The own one of the lowest team BB rates (7.1%) in MLB, are 18th in runs scored, and simply have been a disappointment in 2023. The Rays are listed as -190 favorites here, and Shane has a lot do do with that. If he can limit walks, his upside is huge here.
On the opposite side of this one we have Dylan Cease. He has become one of the best pitchers in MLB, and I think he’s a fantastic tournament play today. The Rays are the top offense in baseball, and it hasn’t been particularly close. They have scored 25 more runs than any other team, own a walk rate of 8.8%…AND have hit 9 more home runs than any other squad.
That said, Cease is unhittable at times. Across 22.1 innings in 2023, he has allowed 12 hits and 9 earned runs. He has struck out 29 batters, but has had issues finding the zone at times with 11 walks (all in his last three starts). I mentioned the patience at the plate shown by these Rays. Cease could certainly have a pedestrian outing here, but I’m rolling with him in some GPPs. The talent is too good to pass up at low ownership for me.
I’m really not sure why the Marlins traded Lopez. The player they received in return, Luis Arraez is a very solid hitter, but this is a lineup that lacks power. In fact, only Kansas City and Detroit have scored less runs this season. Enough about the Marlins being dumb.
Lopez is in a fantastic spot here against Washington. He is a -290 favorite with a total of just 7.5 runs. He has earned every bit of it too, striking out 33 batters across 26 innings of work while allowing just 15 hits and five earned runs…and walking just six. Speaking of teams with no power…the Nats have nine home runs this season. NINE. This team has a .087 ISO. Their only saving grace is that the team has a K rate under 18%. That won’t matter against Lopez. He will be chalk, and for good reason.
Everyone knows my hometown Cincinnati Reds are a dumpster fire behind their solid SP trio, and it will be on full display again Saturday evening. The Pirates have been the surprise team of the year, but hanging a big number on Cessa will not be a surprise.
Cincinnati left that man out on the mound to die last time out, as he gave up 14 hits and 11 earned runs in just 3 innings of work. He struck out…zero and walked three. For those of you counting at home, that 17 baserunners in just three innings.
Regardless of how terrible Cessa has been, the Pirates have been equally awesome. They are top 10 in many offensive categories, including runs, walks, ISO, and wOBA.
Expect the big bats of Bryan Reynolds, KeBryan Hayes, and Andrew McCutcheon to lead the way here. The hot-hitting Jake Suwinski should be on your radar as well. Connor Joe could be a solid addition as well if he is in the lineup, he is slashing .377/.459/.679 early on in 2023. PNC Park could see some fireworks early in this one.
Listen, Manoah is still a young pitcher with a potentially bright future. That said, he is in trouble right now. If you remove the Tigers and Royals pathetic offenses from his 2023 starts…yikes. He has given up 10 ER over 8 innings of work vs the Cardinals and Rays, with an 8/6 K/BB.
The Yankees walk over 10% of the time as a team, and have power top to bottom. Manoah has given up four homers so far this season, and I’d be shocked if that number isn’t 6 or higher by the end of the day.
Give me the Anthonys: Volpe and Rizzo. Aaron Judge, Gleyber Torres, and DJ LeMahieu will round out a solid stack. I don’t mind guys like Oswaldo Cabrera down order if you’re going to wrap around also.
We will go back to the well with picking on Kuhl here. He served us (and the Guardians) well last time out. Across 14.2 innings of work, he owns an ERA of close to 9 and a WHIP of 1.70. He doesn’t miss bats (9/7 K/BB), and has given up four long balls already this season.
The Twins offense is due for a monster break out, and I’m banking on that game being today. Give me Carlos Correa, Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach, Joey Gallo, and take your pick with the others. Gallo will be a HR bet for me today as well.
Good luck on Saturday, let’s bring home a wheelbarrow full of cash for the weekend!
Find the team in the Discord and let’s chat about some plays!
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!
Thursday is another odd slate of games, but at least most are in the evening! There are a few spots to attack, and a couple arms that won’t be exciting to roster, but could pay big dividends! Let’s get to it!
Strahm is the only massive favorite on this slate, and for good reason. The Phillies are facing Ryan Feltner and the weak Rockies offense OUTSIDE of Coors. They haven’t been much better in the friendly confines either.
For the season, Colorado is the worst hitting team in MLB in terms of WAR. They have a 76 wRC+ as a TEAM, strike out over 24% of the time, and walk just 7.1%.
Strahm is not a dominant pitcher by any stretch, but he will be uber chalk tonight, and he makes a lot of sense. He is a -235 favorite.
Senga has fared well in his short time in MLB…aside from his last outing against Oakland. He gave up a pair of homers and allowed 11 baserunners (7 hits, 4 BB).
Overall though, he has struck out 21 in 18 frames, and this is a Giants offense that has been very inconsistent. They are third in MLB with 28 homers, so keeping the bases clear will be essential for Senga to find success. Reliable arms are tough to find tonight, but i like his upside.
Listen, this is one that I am not overly excited about, but I also like Manaea more than most. Navigating a Mets lineup that has some scary bats in it is a tall task. That said, the Mets are 25th in team BA, 22nd in Slugging, and just 16 in OPS. This team has been getting on base a lot, but not doing much with it.
Manaea has been solid in his last two outings (9.1 IP, 12/2 K/BB, 7 H, 3 ER). He has the upside to make a difference tonight…and the rest of the games have totals of 10+.
If the weather holds up rain-wise, we are in for a fun one in the Windy City. Winds are blowing out close to 20 MPH, and both pitchers are hittable.
Take your pick with power bats once lineups are out, but I will be heavy on the Dodgers. Freeman, Outman, Betts, even the corpse of JD Martinez. Grabbing pieces of both sides looks like a smart investment here.
The total currently sits at or around 11 runs. Giddy up.
The Phillies overall have been an offensive disappointment thus far in 2023. This is a perfect ”get-right” spot against Feltner.
He has allowed a ridiculous 26 baserunners in just 13.1 IP in 2023.
Kyle Schwarber is my favorite of the bunch. Nick Castellanos has been poor overall, and his batted ball numbers don’t suggest that will change any time soon.
Realmuto, Turner, and Marsh are next in line for me. Fire it up!
Thursday is a small slate, but should be a fun one. I will see you at the top of the leaderboards!
Find the team in the Discord and let’s chat about some plays!
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!
Discord is a popular communication platform that allows users to connect with others through chat, voice, and video. It’s used by gamers, creators, and communities of all kinds to stay connected and engage with one another. In this article, we’ll provide step-by-step instructions on how to join a Discord community and explore the benefits of doing so. As most of you know we have a large community of our Fantasy and Betting pros in our Win Daily Discord along with like minded individuals who talk sports 24/7/365. To turn your love of sports into a profit center hop in here!
Step 1: Create a Discord Account
The first step to joining a Discord community is to create a Discord account. To do this, simply visit the Discord website and click the “Sign Up” button in the top right corner. Follow the prompts to create your account, including entering your email address, choosing a username, and creating a password.
Step 2: Explore the Discord App
Once you’ve created your Discord account, you’ll need to download the Discord app onto your device. Discord is available on desktop, mobile, and web platforms, so choose the option that works best for you. Once you’ve downloaded the app, open it up and explore the various channels and communities that are available.
Step 3: Search for Communities
To join a Discord community, you’ll need to search for communities that interest you. There are thousands of communities on Discord, ranging from gaming communities to art communities to language exchange communities. To find a community that interests you, you can use Discord’s search function or browse through popular communities on the Discord homepage.
Step 4: Join a Community
Once you’ve found a community that interests you, click on the community’s name to learn more about it. You’ll be able to see information about the community, including its purpose, rules, and members. If you’re interested in joining the community, click the “Join” button and follow any additional prompts to gain access to the community.
Benefits of Joining a Discord Community
Now that you know how to join a Discord community, let’s explore some of the benefits of doing so:
In conclusion, joining a Discord community is a great way to connect with like-minded individuals, build a support network, gain access to exclusive content, and collaborate and network with others. By following the steps outlined above, you can join a Discord community and start reaping the benefits of this powerful communication platform.
Fantasy baseball is a game of statistics, and understanding the key metrics that determine a player’s value is critical to building a winning team. In this article, we’ll provide a detailed glossary of the top 20 MLB statistics for both pitchers and hitters when analyzing fantasy value. All of these statistics are built in to our daily MLB Projection models that are used to build successful lineups for DraftKings and FanDuel.
Pitcher Statistics:
Hitter Statistics:
Understanding these 20 key pitcher and hitter statistics can greatly improve your ability to analyze players for fantasy baseball purposes.
Introduction: In Major League Baseball, the dimensions and environmental conditions of ballparks can significantly affect the performance of the players. Park factors in MLB are statistical measures that help quantify the effects of a ballpark on a team’s offensive and defensive performance. Daily fantasy sports (DFS) players and fantasy baseball owners need to understand park factors to make informed decisions when it comes to drafting and lineup building. In this article, we’ll provide an updated list of the 2023 park factor rankings for hitting, based on the BaseballSavant. These factors are calculated into our MLB Projection Model algorithm along with a massive array of mlb statistics.
What are Park Factors? Park factors are statistical measures that quantify how a particular ballpark affects a team’s offensive and defensive performance. A park factor of 100 is considered neutral, with factors above 100 indicating a hitter-friendly park and factors below 100 indicating a pitcher-friendly park. Park factors take into account the ballpark’s dimensions, altitude, wind patterns, and other environmental conditions that can affect the game.
The Colorado Rockies’ Coors Field ranks as the top offensive environment, with a park factor of 112, a wOBACon of 109, and a BACON of 107. This makes sense given the ballpark’s high altitude and spacious dimensions. The Rockies are followed by the Cincinnati Reds’ Great American Ball Park, which has a park factor of 111, a wOBACon of 114, and a BACON of 110. The Boston Red Sox’s Fenway Park comes in third place, with a park factor of 109, a wOBACon of 109, and a BACON of 108.
The Baltimore Orioles’ Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the fourth-best offensive environment, with a park factor of 103, a wOBACon of 102, and a BACON of 102. The Philadelphia Phillies’ Citizens Bank Park is fifth, with a park factor of 103, a wOBACon of 104, and a BACON of 103. The Los Angeles Angels’ Angel Stadium ranks sixth, with a park factor of 102, a wOBACon of 103, and a BACON of 102.
The Chicago White Sox’s Guaranteed Rate Field, the Kansas City Royals’ Kauffman Stadium, the Pittsburgh Pirates’ PNC Park, and the Arizona Diamondbacks’ Chase Field round out the top 10, respectively.
2023 Park Factor Rankings for Hitting: Data below is provided Baseball Savant averaging the last 3 years data points.
| Rk. | Team | Venue | Park Factor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockies | Coors Field | 112 |
| 2 | Reds | Great American Ball Park | 111 |
| 3 | Red Sox | Fenway Park | 109 |
| 4 | Orioles | Oriole Park at Camden Yards | 103 |
| 5 | Phillies | Citizens Bank Park | 103 |
| 6 | Angels | Angel Stadium | 102 |
| 7 | White Sox | Guaranteed Rate Field | 102 |
| 8 | Royals | Kauffman Stadium | 102 |
| 9 | Pirates | PNC Park | 102 |
| 10 | D-backs | Chase Field | 101 |
| 11 | Dodgers | Dodger Stadium | 101 |
| 12 | Cubs | Wrigley Field | 100 |
| 13 | Brewers | American Family Field | 100 |
| 14 | Astros | Minute Maid Park | 100 |
| 15 | Giants | Oracle Park | 100 |
| 16 | Braves | Truist Park | 100 |
| 17 | Nationals | Nationals Park | 100 |
| 18 | Guardians | Progressive Field | 99 |
| 19 | Blue Jays | Rogers Centre | 99 |
| 20 | Rangers | Globe Life Field | 99 |
| 21 | Yankees | Yankee Stadium | 99 |
| 22 | Marlins | loanDepot park | 98 |
| 23 | Twins | Target Field | 98 |
| 24 | Tigers | Comerica Park | 97 |
| 25 | Rays | Tropicana Field | 96 |
| 26 | Athletics | Oakland Coliseum | 95 |
| 27 | Cardinals | Busch Stadium | 95 |
| 28 | Mets | Citi Field | 95 |
| 29 | Padres | Petco Park | 94 |
| 30 | Mariners | T-Mobile Park | 91 |
At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.
