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Unlocking Success: A Guide to Harnessing the Power of an MLB DFS Lineup Optimizer

Jason Mezrahi
written by Jason Mezrahi

Introduction

In the world of daily fantasy sports (DFS), Major League Baseball (MLB) presents a wealth of opportunities for astute bettors to capitalize on player performance and statistical analysis. An MLB DFS lineup optimizer is a powerful tool that can provide a competitive edge by helping you construct optimal lineups based on data-driven projections for DraftKings and FanDuel. In this article, we will delve into the intricacies of using an MLB DFS lineup optimizer and guide you through the steps to maximize your chances of success.

Understanding an MLB DFS Lineup Optimizer

An MLB DFS lineup optimizer is a software tool that utilizes algorithms to analyze player projections, statistical data, and salary values to generate optimal lineups for DFS contests. It takes into account various factors such as player performance, matchup data, weather conditions, and team dynamics to construct lineups that have the highest projected point totals.

Step-by-Step Guide to Using an MLB DFS Lineup Optimizer

  1. Choose a Reliable Lineup Optimizer: Selecting a reputable MLB DFS lineup optimizer is crucial. Look for an optimizer that offers comprehensive player projections, reliable data sources, and user-friendly features. Explore their functionalities, reviews, and pricing plans to determine the best fit for your needs. Our optimizer can be accessed here.
  2. Research and Analyze Player Projections: To feed the lineup optimizer with accurate data, conduct thorough research on player projections. Factors to consider include recent performance, historical stats, batting order position, and pitcher-hitter matchups. Utilize reputable sources such as MLB team websites, fantasy sports websites, and expert analysis to gather comprehensive player information.
  3. Set Your Constraints: Before using the lineup optimizer, establish your constraints based on the specific DFS contest you are entering. This includes factors such as salary cap limitations, position requirements, and any other contest-specific rules. By setting constraints, you can ensure that the generated lineups adhere to the contest’s guidelines.
  4. Input Data and Customize Settings: Review the player projections, make adjustments where needed, and other relevant data into the lineup optimizer. Customize the settings according to your preferences, such as adjusting the weightage given to specific statistics or incorporating specific stacking strategies. Experiment with different combinations to find the optimal balance that aligns with your desired lineup construction approach.
  5. Generate and Evaluate Lineups: Once you have inputted the necessary data and customized the settings, instruct the optimizer to generate lineups based on the provided inputs. The optimizer will use its algorithms to calculate the projected point totals for each lineup. Review the generated lineups and analyze their strengths and weaknesses, considering factors such as player matchups, potential lineup stacks, ownership percentages, and diversification.
  6. Fine-tune and Optimize: Refine the generated lineups by making manual adjustments based on your knowledge and intuition. Consider factors such as recent news, injuries, and lineup changes that may not be fully accounted for in the initial projections. Use your expertise to make strategic alterations to the lineups to increase their overall potential for success.
  7. Monitor and Track Performance: After finalizing your optimized lineups, it is important to monitor their performance during the actual games. Keep track of player performances, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact your lineups. Continuously analyze the results and adapt your approach for future contests based on the insights gained.

Conclusion

Leveraging an MLB DFS lineup optimizer can significantly enhance your chances of success in daily fantasy baseball. By harnessing the power of data-driven projections and optimizing lineups based on statistical analysis, you can construct lineups that maximize point potential while adhering to contest-specific constraints. Remember, while an MLB DFS lineup optimizer is a valuable tool, it should be used in conjunction with your own research.

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MLB

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (May 6)

Jared Contestabile
written by Jared Contestabile

Saturday is another packed slate of MLB action! Let’s find our path to some money to kick off the weekend!

MLB DFS Aces

Spencer Strider vs Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles just got done putting up a big number on Max Fried, but I expect different results with Strider on the mound. It’s difficult to say that he hasn’t been the best SP in all of baseball in 2023. He has struck out 57 batters over just 35 innings of work. He has a 0.94 WHIP, and three of his outings have been scoreless.

This is a tough Orioles lineup that I don’t like to pick on, but I’m looking to rack up strikeouts with Strider today. He is an enormous -240 favorite.

Jose Berrios vs Pittsburgh Pirates

OK, hear me out. Berrios has moments where he looks like the worst pitcher on the planet. His last outing was nothing short of embarrassing. (11 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 4 K in 5.1 IP vs Boston). However, this is a Pirates lineup that isn’t nearly as good as it seems.

The Pirates like to get on base and steal. Berrios has done an excellent job of limiting free passes this season (7 in 34 IP). He and the Blue Jays are listed as short -135 favorites. He is striking out a batter per inning and will go very low owned on Saturday. I’m ready.

Nick Lodolo vs Chicago White Sox

Another pitcher who has struggled recently, Lodolo has big upside in this one. He has struck out 44 batters over 30.2 innings of work, and the White Sox offense has been terrible all season. They found the seats twice last night, and that was the difference.

Lodolo has served up 8 HR on the season, with 7 of those coming in the last three games. Five of them were at the hands of the Rangers and Rays. Let’s be clear that this White Sox lineup is on neither level. Lodolo is a risky play, but one who has big upside if he can keep the ball in the park.

MLB DFS Stacks

New York Mets vs Austin Gomber

This one could get ugly. The Mets have been pathetic over the last week or so on the offensive end, but that changes Saturday. Gomber has been one of the worst starting pitchers in MLB this season. He owns a 7.57 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. He has a 19/14 K/BB over 27.1 IP, and has given up six HR.

Pete Alonso, Fransisco Lindor, Starling Marte, Brandon Nimmo, and Brett Baty are my main targets here. I think the Mets put up some big numbers here, and I’m sure I’m not alone.

Kansas City Royals vs Ken Waldichuk

The Royals have been historically bad on offense this season, but this is a great spot for them. These two teams have a COMBINED 15 wins on the season, and their 12-8 shootout last night was a lot of fun. A combined 10 pitchers threw in Friday’s battle, which could lead to a longer leash for these starters.

Waldy has a 1.65 WHIP, 7.26 ERA, has given up 10 HR, and has a 25/12 K/BB in 31 IP. It looks like the wind will be blowing out again. The Royals have actually scored 18 runs in their last two games. This is an over I’ll be SMASHING also.

Bobby Witt Jr., Vinne Pasquantino, Sal Perez, MJ Melendez are my favorite targets here. Nick Pratto and a few others are cheap too. Load ’em up!

Oakland Athletics vs Brady Singer

We are hitting both sides of this one. Singer is a young arm with potential and upside, but even this isn’t a spot where I trust him. He has given up either 5 or 8 ER in four of his last five starts. I mentioned the wind again in this one. Want to talk about bad numbers…8.49 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 28 ER in 29.2 IP. He does have a healthy 29/9 K/BB, but that doesn’t matter here.

He is in poor form and this is hitting paradise for early May. Give me the suddenly elite Brent Rooker, Ramon Laureano, Ryan Noda, JJ Bleday, and Estuery Ruiz here. Bombs away in KC on Saturday.

MLB DFS Summary

Let’s smash this weekend with some OAK/KC stacks and build up some bankroll!

Find the team in the Discord and let’s chat about some plays!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!

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MLB

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (May 4)

Jared Contestabile
written by Jared Contestabile

Thursday is a nice, healthy slate for once! We have games all day with the final game starting at 6:10 ET. Lots of day baseball to enjoy, so let’s find some ways to cash in big!

MLB DFS Aces

Justin Verlander vs Detroit Tigers

On Thursday afternoon, Verlander makes his first start in what seems like ages. His buddy Max Scherzer just got lit up by this Tigers lineup last night, but I expect different on Thursday. Verlander is fresh off a 4.2 inning, scoreless rehab appearance with six punchouts.

He has been one of the most consistent arms (when healthy) in MLB, and I expect him to jump right back in where he left off. I’m certain the Mets won’t be giving him too long of a leash, but they were never going to rush him back. Facing his former team, one that is 28th in runs scores, 27th in BA, 29th in OBP…is an ideal return. Verlander looks like he’s ready to roll. He is a -170 favorite with a total of just 7.5.

Grayson Rodriguez vs Kansas City Royals

The Royals have been…terrible in 2023. I mentioned how bad Detroit has been on offense in 2023, and Kansas City may be even worse. They rank 28th in BA, 30th in OBP, 26th in HR, 28th in runs, 27th in hits…long story short, they are the worst offense in MLB.

On the bright side, the Orioles’ young ace has been electric over his last few starts. Across 15 innings of work against the Tigers, he struck out 15, walked four, allowed zero earned runs and just seven hits. The Royals are a carbon copy of that poor offense, and Grayson is once again in a great spot. Vegas has him listed as a -165 favorite here. Sign me up.

George Kirby vs Oakland Athletics

I’ve mentioned my affinity for Kirby before, and this is another great spot. He is a monster favorite (-220) against the lowly Athletics. While we are bashing bad offenses, let’s invite the Athletics to the party. They rank 25th or lower in runs scored, hits, AVG, OBP, SLG, and OPS. The only thing they do even fairly well is hit home runs.

Kirby likes to blast the strike zone, and has elite command. Across 30.2 IP this season, he has walked TWO batters. He is fresh off a dominant performance against the Phillies (8 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K), and I’m expecting more of the same against Oakland today.

MLB DFS Stacks

Baltimore Orioles vs Jordan Lyles

I feel like Jordan Lyles has been in MLB for my entire life. Somehow he is only 32, but one thing he is NOT is an effective pitcher. He has a 6.11 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and continues to have command issues. He has served up 9 round-trippers in 35.1 innings of work, and I’m betting that the Orioles hand out a free baseball or two to some fans in the outfield tonight. He has given up at least two homers in four of his six starts this season.

I’ll start my stack with Ryan Mountcastle, but looking for Cedric Mullins, Adley Rutschman, Jorge Mateo, Austin Hays, and Anthony Santander to round it out.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Conor Seabold

Although Seabold is unlikely to pitch deep in the game, the Brew Crew could do plenty of damage early. As usual, this Coors Field game has a high total at 11.5. This offense has actually been nothing short of offensive of late, including a 1-run performance in Coors last night.

I’m expecting them to break out this afternoon. I’m starting with Rowdy Tellez, Christian Yelich, Willy Adames, and Jesse Winker (if he is in, but he better be). I will be sprinkling in some lower cost bats from the Milwaukee side as well in this one. I’m expecting some fireworks.

Chicago Cubs vs Patrick Corbin

I honestly did try to find a better stacking option here in the final spot, but Corbin is just too fun. He has actually fared well over his last few starts, but I still don’t trust him, and neither should you. The Cubbies have been a solid offense in the early going, ranking 8th in runs, 2nd in hits, and top 8 in every other team category.

That should spell trouble for Mr. Corbin. The resurgent Cody Bellinger, Nico Hoerner, Ian Happ, Dansby Swanson, and Patrick Wisdom are my favorite targets in this one.

MLB DFS Summary

Thursday isn’t one of those weird slates for once! I’ll be locking in Kirby and mixing in Verlander and Grayson across builds. Hopefully the Cubs will be lower owned, but I’m all over them and the Orioles anyway!

Find the team in the Discord and let’s chat about some plays!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!

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MLB

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 29)

Jared Contestabile
written by Jared Contestabile

As usual, there are games and slates all day on Saturday. Early action begins at 12:10 ET for the all day slate, and wraps up with a 9:10 first pitch in Los Angeles. Let’s get going!

MLB DFS Aces

Kevin Gausman vs Seattle Mariners

Gausman is listed as a huge favorite in this on, and for good reason. He continues to pump out solid starts in 2023, and now has 41 punchouts in just 34 innings of work. His last time out was a 7-inning, 3-hit performance against the Yankees. He struck out 11 and didn’t walk a batter. That’s his second 11-K game i his last two outings.

Seattle has some massive pieces in their lineup, but they haven’t put the pieces together just yet in 2023. They rank 20th in runs scores, 25th in hits, 27th in BA, 27th in OBP, the list goes on. Gasman and the Jays are -220 with a total of 8.5 in this one. He seems as solid of an option to click as there is for Saturday.

Hunter Greene vs Oakland Athletics

Yes, Greene has had some struggles in the early going, but strikeouts are the name of the game. He now has totaled a 17/2 K/BB over his last three starts. Over that span, he has totaled 15 innings with just four earned runs.

Oakland’s offense is scaring nobody but their fans, as their only upside has been HR (13th) and SB (4th). They are 20th or worse in BA, OBP, SLG, and OPS. I’ll roll out Greene and his big strikeout upside against the A’s.

Christian Javier vs Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies have been on a solid winning streak of late, but this is still an offense missing some major pieces. Javier is fresh off dominating starts against the Braves and Blue Jays, totaling 11 IP, allowing just 6 hits, 2 ER, and a 15/4 K/BB.

Philadelphia is an offense that is overachieving right now, and I think Javier has his way with them. He limits baserunners (1.07 WHIP), so his propensity to allow the longball shouldn’t hurt him here.

(Spencer Strider may be the best pitcher on the planet right now…I didn’t exclude him for no reason. He is an elite play at all times, I’m here to mix things up! If you have the salary, Strider needs to be a priority. He is a cheat code right now.)

MLB DFS Stacks

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Patrick Corbin

Happy Patrick Corbin day! I did a quick check, and yes, Patrick Corbin is still terrible. His recent results have actually been solid against the Guardians and Twins, but…not for me. I’m ready to attack early and often with the surprise team of the year.

Bryan Reynolds, fresh off his new contract, leads the way for my stack. Andrew McCutcheon has turned back the clock, Jack Suwinski is doing it all with power and speed. Those are my top targets, but I’m all aboard the Pirate ship depending on how the lineup goes. Ke’Bryan Hayes? Yes please.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chris Flexen

I mentioned above how Gausman and company are big favorites. That isn’t all Gausman. This lineup is in a great spot here against Flexen. He is a contact pitcher who has a tendency to get blown up when he isn’t hitting his spots. He has just 14 K and 11 BB over 21.1 IP.

He has served up 18 ER over his last three starts, and I’m expecting a big number here again. Vladdy Daddy is at the top of the list, the hot-hitting Matt Chapman, Bo Bichette, and Daulton Varsho round out my top four. Get yourself some shares, this one may get ugly. Jays run line is looking mighty nice!

Cleveland Guardians vs Bryan Bello

Bello has simply looked outmatched at the MLB level this season. In 7.1 innings of work, he has a 9.82 ERA, 2.18 WHIP, and has served up two home runs. This is a Guardians team simply devoid of power right now (15 total HR in 2023), but I’m all for the stack here anyway.

Jose Ramirez, the struggling Josh Naylor and Josh Bell, Andres Gimenez, Steven Kwan, and Amed Rosario are at the top of the list. I won’t be surprised to see Cleveland hang a few on him in the opening frame here.

MLB DFS Summary

Let’s start the weekend off strong!

Find the team in the Discord and let’s chat about some plays!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!

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MLB

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 27)

Jared Contestabile
written by Jared Contestabile

Thursday offers us a few aces at night, as well as a few arms we can pick on with our stacks. There are only 5 games (first one is at 6:40 ET) for the evening. Here’s who I’m targeting as my top options for tonight!

MLB DFS Aces

Shane McClanahan vs Chicago White Sox

For the second week in a row, we get McClanahan against the struggling White Sox. Last week he didn’t disappoint, going six strong innings while striking out 10. He did serve up homers to Eloy Jimenez and Yasmani Grandal, but both were solo shots.

I’m going back to the well here with McClanahan, as his only weakness thus far in 2023 has been walks. We all know the White Sox are as impatient as toddlers at the plate with just a 6.7% BB rate. Shane should cruise through this lineup once again on this short slate, and Vegas agrees. He is listed as a -155 favorite despite being on the road against Dylan Cease once again.

Tyler Mahle vs Royals

It has to be rough being Bobby Witt Jr. right now. Everyone wants to watch him play, but nobody wants to watch his team. The Royals have been nothing short of pathetic at the plate in 2023. They own a 6.2% BB rate, 24.9% K rate, a .124 ISO, and have outscored only the Marlins and Tigers.

Mahle is no slouch in his own right, and his only struggle this season has been the longball. Good news for him is that Kansas City has just 18 on the entire season. Mahle strikes out about a batter per inning, but that number should increase with ease tonight against a free-swinging Royals team. He has given up more than 2 ER in just one of his four starts this season. Vegas has him listed as a -200 favorite with a total of just 7.5. He seems like the biggest no-brainer of the slate to me.

Gerrit Cole vs Rangers

The Rangers are fresh off a sweep at the hands of the AAAA Cincinnati Reds, and now they return home to face Cole. As usual, Cole has been nothing short of dominant, having allowed just three ER across five starts this season.

The Rangers trail only the Rays in runs scored this season, so this is no easy task for Cole. That said, there isn’t a lineup on the planet that would lead me to a full Cole fade. He and the Bronk Bombers are -175 favorites in this one with a total of just 7.5 at Globe Life Field. Cole already has a complete game shutout on his resume this season. I don’t forsee that here with a fairly patient Rangers lineup, but his upside is still huge on a small slate. Sign me up.

MLB DFS Stacks

Minnesota Twins vs Zack Greinke

Zack Greinke has had a great career, no doubt. He can still eat up innings and get batters out. What he cannot do anymore is strike out batters or keep the ball in the park. He has just a 6.32 K/9 this season to go along with a 1.55 HR/9. That’s a bad combination against a Twins lineup with some big bats in it.

I’m all over Joey Gallo, Byron Buxton, and Trevor Larnach here. Carlos Correa and Max Kepler could have a case as well. The Twins have big upside here against a guy who has served up 5 HR in his last 16 innings or work.

New York Mets vs Trevor Williams

There is somehow a market for Trevor Williams believers, but I am not one of them. At absolute best, he is a back-end starter who can grab you the occasional quality start. He has just 13 strikeouts over 21.1 innings pitched this season, and the Mets are incredibly dangerous.

Williams has actually been very consistent thus far in 2023, allowing 3, 2, 1, and 2 earned runs. I’m betting on that number set to have a new member by the end of tonight. Pete Alonso is absolutely dominating the ball, and this is a lineup that has scored just ONE run in the first two games of this series. Pair Alonso with Brandon Nimmo, Fransisco Lindor, and Starling Marte at the top of the order. Mets are going to put up a big number tonight.

New York Yankees vs Andrew Heaney

A southpaw with career-long issues with home runs against the Yankees? Yes please.

The Bronx Bombers will make it easy on their ace tonight when they hang a big number on Mr. Heaney. He has putaway stuff, so don’t be surprised if he has a solid night in the strikeout department. What I forsee is some poor command (he has 9 walks in 18.2 IP this season), and a few longballs to put this one to rest early.

Aaron Judge, Anthony Rizzo, Gleyber Torres, DJ Lemahieu, Franchy Cordero (if he’s in lineup), you name it. I want big bats who can put one in the seats across my lineup tonight. Heaney has a career 1.61 HR/9. He will stay true to that tonight when the Yankees hand out a few souvenirs to the Rangers faithful.

MLB DFS Summary

We got a fun one on tap, I’ll be locking in top arms and getting power bats wherever I can!

Find the team in the Discord and let’s chat about some plays!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!

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