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MLB DFS

9/11 MLB DFS Winners

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Tuesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/11 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/11 MLB DFS Winner: Zack Wheeler

As Jason had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value pitcher, Wheeler looked really good at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He went seven innings of one run ball on seven hits while adding two walks and seven strikeouts. Wheeler is sitting at 11-7 with a 4.21 ERA on the year.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Wheeler is appoaching career highs in wins and innings pitched. He has also been pitching solid as the Mets have been trying to remain in the second Wild Card hunt. Expect Wheeler to keep on throwing gems like this every fifth day.

9/11 MLB DFS Winner: Marcus Semien

Here is a Premium Gold projections screenshot of the top eight hitters based on salary from Oakland’s lineup on last night’s slate. Marcus Semien was batting leadoff against the Houston Astros and had a solid game before being replaced, going 3-for-5 with a double, home run and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Marcus Semien has been great this season on both sides of the plate. He is slugging .688 in his last 15 games and producing while Oakland is holding onto the second Wild Card spot with Cleveland is 0.5 games back of them. Semien seems to be thriving while playing for playoff chances, so expect more of this from him.

9/11 MLB DFS Winner: Brett Gardner

Another screenshot of the top hitters, this time of the New York Yankees, who were facing off against the Detroit Tigers. Brett Gardner had a huge day at the plate, going 2-for-5 with both hits being home runs and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: At age 36, Gardner has set a new career high in homers with 23 so far this season. With the way manager Aaron Boone has rested his players throughout the season, Gardner has not hit a wall like he had in previous seasons around this time. Expect him to get a handful of days off as the Yankees care more about health at this stage, but Gardner will still be a solid hitter the rest of the way.

9/11 MLB DFS Winner: Oakland Athletics Offense

The Oakland Athletics bounced back last night and looked like they were the Raiders in their game against the Houston Astros. The team combined to score 21 runs on 25 hits. In addition to Marcus Semien, who was talked about earlier, Khris Davis went 3-for-6 with a home run and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This game meant a lot more to Oakland than it did for Houston. The Athletics are in a three-team race for the two Wild Card spots. The Athletics are relatively healthy and are a top offense in the league.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/10 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Monday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/10 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

9/10 MLB DFS Winner: Zack Greinke

As Jason had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value pitcher, Greinke was pretty good against the Oakland Athletics, going six shutout innings with two hits and five strikeouts. He also lowered his combined season ERA to 2.99.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Zack Greinke has been a solid pickup since the Astros acquired him at the Trade Deadline. Since joining Houston, he is 5-1 with a 3.32 ERA in seven starts. Expect Greinke to continue being a solid starting pitcher as he gets ready for the ALDS and potentially beyond.

9/10 MLB DFS Winner: Nicholas Castellanos

Another solid choice by Jason on the Cheatsheet was Nicholas Castellanos for the Chicago Cubs. Facing off against the San Diego Padres, Castellanos went 3-for-5 with a homer, a couple of RBI and three runs scored.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Castellanos has been En Fuego since joining a playoff contender in Chicago. Since August 1 (when he was traded from the Tigers) he has a .364 BABIP and a 1.056 OPS. Not to mention he has yet to commit an error since the trade while playing both corner outfield spots. Expect Castellanos to continue to rake down the final stretch.

9/10 MLB DFS Winner: Trent Grisham

Here is a screenshot of the 25 cheapest outfielders on our Hitter Projection Model, available for all premium users. Trent Grisham batted leadoff against the Miami Marlins yesterday and went 5-for-6 with a double, triple, two RBI and two runs.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Grisham is almost at 100 at-bats for the season and is at .260 wth four HRs and 13 RBI. Getting Grisham some plate appearances in the stretch run could pay dividends for the Brewers as a potential bench piece on a playoff roster.

9/10 MLB DFS Winner: Houston Astros Offense

For the second night in a row, the Houston Astros had an offensive explosion. Against the Oakland Athletics, the team combined for 15 runs on 17 hits with a pair of walks and reached on a throwing error. Robinson Chirinos went 3-for-4 with two homers and six RBI while Jose Altuve went 3-for-3 with a home run and two RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Houston Astros continue to dominate in all facets of the game. This is back-to-back incedible offensive performances throughout the lineup. Houston looks serious to try and own the best record in baseball for home-field advantage throughout the postseason.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/9 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/9 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

9/9 MLB DFS Winner: Shin-Soo Choo

As Wes had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value outfielder, Shin-Soo Choo lit it up against the Baltimore Orioles, going 3-for-6 with two RBI and a run scored from the leadoff spot in the order.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Choo has had one of his best statistical seasons in his career in 2019. He is currently sitting at 21 HRs and is one away from tying a career-high. Expect him to finish the year around .270 with 25 HRs while the Rangers explore what they have going into 2020.

9/9 MLB DFS Winner: Sandy Alcantara

Here is a screenshot from our Premium Gold Pitcher Projection Model. Sandy Alcantara of the Miami Marlins was a middle-of-the-pack choice in terms of prices, but he pitched like an ace against the Kansas City Royals. He pitched a complete game shutout, allowing just four hits and two walks while racking up eight strikeouts as well.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Alcantara has now lowered his ERA to 4.04 with this gem.. All the numbers are looking good for what you want a young starting pitcher to have, so expect him to continue putting innings on his arm and pitching effectively in September.

9/9 MLB DFS Winner: Wilson Ramos

Here is a screenshot from our Premium Hitter Projections of the cheapest catchers/first base options. Wilson Ramos was listed for $2,400 on FanDuel and $4,100 on DraftKings and was a steal for anyone who added him to their lineup. He ended up going 3-for-4 with a double, homer, three RBI, a pair of runs and a walk against the Phillies.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Ramos has been on fire for the past month, batting .416 in that span. With this stretch, he could finish with an average of .300 for the season. Another good offensive season and expect Ramos to keep putting up solid lines in the boxscore throughout September.

9/9 MLB DFS Winner: Houston Astros Offense

The Houston Astros had an offensive explosion against the Seattle Mariners last night as they put up 21 runs on 22 hits with seven walks thrown in there as well. Designated hitter Yordan Alvarez had the best night of the group going 4-for-6 with three doubles, six RBI and a run scored.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Houston Astros have the capability to put up some scary numbers like this against subpar pitching. They are currently tied for the best record in MLB with the New York Yankees but own the tiebreaker.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

The MLB DFS Stacks and Hitting Picks Of Destiny For September 7

6 years ago

written by

This Sunday September 7th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Todays picks are listed in order of preference, not price.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

Stacks

Houston Astros

The Astros face Yusei Kikuchi (L) who has a 5.36 ERA and seems to be losing some control lately. In his last two starts he has only struck out two in nine innings. He has faced the Astros twice this season and given up a total of nine runs while not getting past the fifth inning in either contest. The Astros look to be in a prime MLB DFS spot to get to Kikuchi early again tonight. Statistacally the best bats are Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Alex Bregman and Yuli Gurriel. I break down each of my favorite bats below.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves take on the Washington Nationals and Austin Voth tonight. The Nats are not comfortable extending Voth and has already said he is not going past the fifth inning (if he makes it there). Then the Braves get to go against the Nationals bullpen for the next four innings. The Braves are hot again, winning 16 of their last 18, and I don’t see that slowing down tonight. Best MLB DFS bats are Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Ronald Acuna and Ozzie Albies.

Oakland A’s

Oakland really should give Zimmerman a lot of trouble tonight. They truly do have elite bats. Zimmerman has a 6.03 ERA. While he has been serviceable lately, by only giving two runs in each of his last three contests, he can also implode. I am really like what I am seeing from the A’s bats lately and if they roll out the right lineup, in the right order, then there should be fireworks. Oakland is trying to hang in this playoff hunt. Give me Mark Cahna, Matt Olsen, Matt Chapman, Marcus Semien and Jurickson Profar for MLB DFS.

L.A. Dodgers

Tonight’s MLB DFS theme is stacking hot bats vs below average pitchers. The elite Dodgers get to face Tyler Beede after a disappointing loss Friday night. Beede has a 5.61 ERA and has given up at least one run in 19 of his 20 starts. The Dodgers get some redemption tonight and lay it on thick in what appears to be greatMLB DFS weather in Southern California. Joe Pederson, Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy and the Fresh Prince.

Honorable Mention: Mets

Catcher: Will Smith ($3,000 FD) has 10 homers since getting called up in the bigs and bats .456 ISO/.439 vs righties (like Tyler Beede) this season. Last night Will Smith struck out to another Giants reliever named Will Smith with stranding a man on in the ninth and ending the game for the Dodgers by being down one run. Tonight he gets his redemption and makes Uncle Phil proud.

Catcher Pivot: Tyler Flowers

First Base: Freddie Freeman ($3,900 FD) is in a fantastic MLB DFS spot. He hits to a .302 ISO/.432 wOBA this year with 30 home runs. He bats vs Austin Voth, in what will be a limited appearance before the Nats bullpen comes in to attempt to limit damage. Freeman hasn’t homered in four games and has let the rest of the Braves to the majority of the damage. Tonight he should pull his weight and hopefully hit one in the Chop House.

First Base Pivot: Pete Alonso; Yuli Gurriel

Second Base: Jose Altuve ($4,200 FD) ranks as the best bat on the Astros for me tonight. He crushes lefties and Kikuchi shouldn’t be much competition for the former MVP. He swings to a .378 ISO/.468 wOBA on the season vs southpaws and has multiple hits in his last two games. When Altuve gets hot, you play him in MLB DFS.

Second Base Pivot: Max Muncy; Ozzie Albies; Jurickson Profar

Third Base: Matt Chapman ($3,800 FD) has 21 homers this season vs right handed pitching. The Oakland core is lethal and if they can get this lineup turning over I expect big things. Chapman hits at a .249 ISO/.418 wOBA. Chapman usually doesn’t put up a goose egg in MLB DFS. I expect him to get on the base a couple times at minimum, but I am playing him because he should be able to get one in the bleachers tonight.

Third Base Pivot: Josh Donaldson (HOT)

Shortstop: Alex Bregman ($4,400 FD) is on a tear right now. He has scored 27.9,13,21.7,18.5, 12.5 and 19.2 FanDuel points in his last six contests. He is hitting at a .333 ISO/.440 wOBA vs lefties with 11 home runs. Things are not going to get any harder for him once a right handed pitcher comes in after Kikuchi either. Don’t overthink him, play the hot bat in one of my favorite MLB DFS stacks.

Shortstop Pivots: Marcus Semien; Ahmed Rosario

Outfield: Yordan Alvarez ($4,200 FD) is another Astro I love. With the second most home runs on the team vs lefties Alvarez will be making my main lineup. He swings to a .350 ISO/ .411 wOBA and will be in the sweet spot of the Houston lineup. He will have the opportunity to get some RBIs as well and have the back of the Astros lineup push him around the bases. Very safe.

Outfield: Cody Bellinger ($4,600 FD) is the most expensive outfielder today but has a fantastic matchup vs Tyler Beede. I will do my best to get him in, and with some cheaper pitching options today, I think it is doable. He swings to a .343 ISO/.441 wOBA this season and is of course always a home run threat. You need that from him tonight if you pay up. Joc Pederson is a great play as well. I rank them 1A and 1B on the Dodgers.

Outfield: Mark Canha ($3,400 FD) The A’s are priced pretty good today for what I expect them to do vs Jordan Zimmerman. The core of this lineup all has the chance to go deep honestly but Canha statistically has the best shot. He hits to a .274 ISO/.418 wOBA with 17 homers on the season vs righties. Get him in your Oakland MLB DFS stacks.

Outfield Pivots: Ronald Acuna, Ramon Laureano, Matt Joyce

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/7 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

MLBMovingAvg 6 years ago

written by MLBMovingAvg

After poring over this 9/7 MLB DFS slate it seems to me as though we have one of them nights with several pitchers in great matchups, which for DFS purposes is like finding a needle in a haystack. So, with a whole day of baseball action ahead of us, and some tricky pricing, I bring you today’s pitching picks.

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On the Defense

JustinVerlander vs. Seattle Mariners

$12,500 FD / $12,400 DK

Justin Verlander usually comes at a high salary, and this9/7 MLB DFS slate is no different. So, unless you have access to a DFS paymentplan for salaries he is going to be tough to fit in tonight, especially on DK. Regardless,he is facing a Mariners team striking out 24.8 percent of the time versus RHPs.That last time Verlander faced the Mariners he had 10 strikeouts over sixinnings while only allowing one earned run. This is without a doubt the safestplay on the slate, and the most difficult to use.

JakeOdorizzi vs. Cleveland Indians

$8,900 FD / $10,200 DK

With Andrew Heaney only being $900 less on DK than Odorizzihe shines as the clear cut second SP1 option on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate. Despitethe tribe fairing well this season versus RHPs carrying a .329 wOBA, they stillwhiff more than 20 percent of the time. With Jake from State Farm posting a1.06 ERA with 19 strikeouts over 17 innings this season versus the Indians, Iam all in here tonight.

Tony Gonsolinvs. San Francisco Giants

$6,400 FD / $8,600 DK

Two things are self-evident on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate, TonyGonsolin is the first guy since Tom Selleck to make the moustache look goodagain, and his price on FD is extremely low facing a Giants team with a wRC+ of58 over the last seven days. Over his last 24 innings pitched spanning fivestarts, moustache Tony has only allowed five earned runs while striking out 19batters. This includes a start in Colorado. On DK tonight, with no Coors Fieldgame on the slate, I would try and find a way to pair him with Odorizzi leavingyou with $3,900 per player to start with.

AustinVoth vs. Atlanta Braves

$7,000 FD / $7,200 DK

Here is where we enter the high-risk portion of this 9/7 MLBDFS pitching article. Although the Braves are striking out 23.3 percent of thetime versus RHPs, they also post .328 wOBA which is 11^th in MLB. Theamount of innings Voth will pitch tonight is my biggest concern as he has onlypitched more than five innings twice in his first five starts. Luckily for usone was versus this Braves team where he struck out seven batters over sixinnings while only allowing two earned runs. I will be using hm tonight as mySP2 in GPP play.

JeffHoffman vs. San Diego Padres

$5,500 FD / $5,100 DK

Talk about a boom-or-bust GPP play on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate. Hoffman is facing a Padres team tonight striking out 26.5 percent of the time versus RHPs, with a low .298 wOBA. In his last state facing the Padres in Colorado Hoffman went five innings allowing one earned run with only two strikeouts. With an extreme park shift tonight in San Diego I am totally going to take a shot here and bat load a lineup or two.

Name	Team	W	L	SV	G	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	FIP	xFIP
Justin Verlander	Astros	17	5	0	29	193	11.98	1.63	1.54	0.202	34.60%	16.10%	2.56	3.41	3.31
Jake Odorizzi	Twins	14	6	0	27	142	9.63	3.11	1.01	0.296	35.10%	9.60%	3.61	3.66	4.54
Austin Voth	Nationals	1	0	0	5	23	9.39	2.35	1.17	0.295	40.60%	11.10%	3.91	4	4.64
Tony Gonsolin	Dodgers	2	1	1	6	28	7.07	1.93	0.96	0.222	45.10%	8.80%	2.89	3.68	4.71
Jeff Hoffman	Rockies	1	5	0	10	45.1	9.13	3.77	2.58	0.346	35.30%	22.00%	7.35	6.3	5.17

On the Attack

TylerBeede vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

After a tough loss last night in this historic rivalry, theDodger bats are going to come out swinging tonight. Beede has allowed four ormore earned runs in in five of his last eight starts, never surrendering lessthan three. With the Dodgers onlystriking out 20.9 percent of the time versus RHPs (26^th in MLB), anda .342 wOBA, Beede is going to get walloped.

Notable Bats

Cody Bellinger absolutely mashes opposing pitchersand is batting .316 over the last seven with two home runs.

Joc Pederson is batting .727 with five home runs andnine RBI over the last seven days while posting a wOBA of .379 versus RHPs.

Matt Beaty has been in a bit of slump as of late, batting .167 with one home run over the last seven days but comes at a reduced price and currently has a .372 wOBA versus RHPs.

Yusei Kikuchi vs. Houston Astros

In Kikuchi’s last two starts versus the Astros he has allowed nine earned runs over nine innings. With Houston coming in 1^st in MLB offensively versus LHPs posting a killer wRC+ of 138, which is a full 12 points higher than the Twins coming in at 2^nd, all bats are in play here.

Notable Bats

Jose Altuve has an incredible .486 wOBA versus LHPs,with a wRC+ of 215. He is a top play any night versus lefties.

Alex Bregman is batting .435 with a home run and sevenRBI over his last seven games while posting a .436 wOBA versus LHPs thisseason.

Robinson Chirinos comes in at a value most nights inan expensive Houston lineup. He also has a .400 wOBA versus LHPs with a wRC+ of157. Easily my top catcher play of the night.

DylanCovey vs. Los Angeles Angels

How about a pitcher who has allowed eight earned runs overhis last 4 2/3 innings, including a start versus the Tigers? Yup, here he is.With a whole lot of action heading towards the Astros and Dodgers offensetonight, the Angels should provide some value facing a scrub like Covey.

Notable Bats (besides Mike Trout)

Brian Goodwin may not be a flashy name but he doeshave a wOBA of .356 versus RHPs. He is also batting .333 with a home run andseven RBI over the last seven days while finding himself in the lineup on aregular basis as of late.

Kole Calhoun is another player that also comes in at a nice salary most nights and as a bonus has a home run off Covey in a small sample size. He also has gone nine straight games without putting one in the seats, which I see changing tonight in the cleanup spot.

Name	Team	W	L	SV	G	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	FIP
Tyler Beede	Giants	3	9	0	20	96.1	8.5	3.74	1.87	0.325	44.10%	19.40%	5.61	5.42
Yusei Kikuchi	Mariners	6	9	0	28	144.1	6.55	2.87	2.06	0.298	45.40%	19.50%	5.36	5.79
Dylan Covey	White Sox	1	7	0	16	52.1	6.02	3.96	1.89	0.291	41.60%	18.60%	6.88	6.1

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

With Beede in a tough start tonight in Los Angeles, and Bellinger having the ability on a nightly basis to draw walks, and mash baseballs, I am going with the over here.

Although Posey’s splits favor RHPs, he has yet to face mustache Tony, which often leads to an 0-for-something.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/6 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Thursday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/6 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/6 MLB DFS Winner: Kyle Schwarber

As Jason had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value outfielder, Kyle Schwarber had a terrific day at the plate. Going up against the Milwaukee Brewers, Schwarber went 2-for-3 with a grand slam and added a walk as well.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Kyle Schwarber is having another incredible season at the plate. He has an .857 OPS on the year, which is the highest in a season for him. As the Cubs battle for the division title, expect Schwarber to continue smacking the ball all over the field.

9/6 MLB DFS Winner: Bo Bichette

Above is a list of all shortstops from our Premium Gold Hitters Projection model and Bo Bichette was projected to have a good game and did just that. Against the Tampa Bay Rays, Bichette went 2-for-5 with two home runs and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Bichette is doing well at the plate in his last 30 games, batting .313 with nine HRs and 15 RBI in that span. He has such a violent swing, so be aware that one rip can be the reason he is out for a week or so. Expect him to continue to wield a hot bat and build on his rookie campaign

9/6 MLB DFS Winner: Max Fried

Here is a screenshot from our Premium Gold Pitchers Projection model from last night’s slate. Max Fried was one of the top priced guys and arguably was a value pick still. Against the Washington Nationals, he went seven innings of shutout ball while allowing one hit with nine strikeouts.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Max Fried is now up to 16 wins on the season and has a 2.90 ERA in his last seven starts. He is going to be a N.L. Cy Young award finalist at year’s end. Expect Fried to continue his dominance for the final month of the regular season.

9/6 MLB DFS Winner: Miami Marlins Offense

The Miami Marlins had an offensive explosion against the Pittsburgh Pirates last night as they put up 10 runs on 16 hits. Neil Walker went 2-for-4 with three RBI, which led all players on the team.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Miami Marlins are rarely going to be here as a team. They do not have a lineup with big-name players and much production with just 522 runs, the lowest in the National League. Don’t expect another outburst like this for the remainder of the season.

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

9/5 NFL DFS Podcast: Thursday Showdown Picks, Week 1 WR Rundown

Scott Engel 6 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Fantasy Expert Brandon C. Williams review and recommend WRs for the main Sunday NFL slate. First, they provide the best picks for the Packers-Bears Showdown games on the 9/5 NFL DFS Podcast.

9/5 DFS Podcast NFL: Thursday Night Showdown Picks

Scott and Brandon look through the full field of picks for the Packers-Bears showdown slate. Is either QB a viable play? What RBs will serve you best? Consider the defenses and a kicker as well.

9/5 NFL DFS Podcast – Sunday WRs

Odell Beckham Jr. will be worth the spend. It may be a very busy day for Adam Thielen. DeSean Jackson and Michael Gallup are prime value plays.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/5 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Wednesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/5 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/5 MLB DFS Winner: Zac Gallen

As both guys chose him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value pitcher, Zac Gallen dominated the San Diego Padres. Gallen went seven shutout innings, allowing just one hit with a walk and eight strikeouts. He did not allow a hit through 6.1 innings.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Zac Gallen has been nothing short of great since landing in Arizona at the deadline. He lowered his season ERA to 2.50 and has a .210 opposing batting average. Gallen is looking like a top-line starter after the Diamondbacks gave up Zack Greinke. Expect Gallen to continue looking good on the mound and build confidence going into next season.

9/5 MLB DFS Winner: Joc Pederson

Another value pick by both guys, this time in the outfield, Joc Pederson had a solid day at the plate against the Colorado Rockies. Pederson went 2-for-3 with a pair of homers, three RBI, three runs and a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Joc Pederson is one of the best hitters in the National League and possibly the entire Majors. Now at 32 home runs and an OPS of .872, Pederson has been on fire. In his last seven games, he has five homers. Expect Pederson to continue slugging throughout the month of September and keeping his swing ready for the NLDS and possibly beyond.

9/5 MLB DFS Winner: Brandon Crawford

Here is a screenshot of all the shortstops listed on our Hitter Projection Model, available for all premium users. With a very cheap price of $2,400 on FanDuel or $3,300 on DraftKings, Brandon Crawford excelled expectations last night against the Cardinals. On a bullpen day for the Cards, Crawford went 1-for-4 with a home run, three RBI, three runs and a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: It’s been disappointing offensively for a lot of the Giants and Crawford cannot be excused from that. He is now at .229 with 11 HRs and 54 RBI on the year while batting in the middle of the order. His price won’t waver from here and he will have a few nights of this sort of output, but he isn’t worth a look unless you need a budget guy in the lineup.

9/5 MLB DFS Winner: Ketel Marte

Here is a screenshot of the Top-10 most expensive players on the slate and while some could have burned you, Ketel Marte had a great day at the plate. The offense didn’t need to do much with how Gallen and the rest of the Diamondbacks pitched, but Marte went 3-for-4 with a grand slam and added a walk as well.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Don’t look now but the Diamondbacks are just three games out of a playoff spot and 9-1 in their last 10 games. Ketel Marte is a huge factor in how the team has turned it around lately. In his last 30 games, he is batting .361 with eight HRs, 23 RBI and added four stolen bases. He is showing off all five tools and won’t be stopped as Arizona, who were sellers at the deadline, are playing meaningful games. Don’t be too surprised if the Diamondbacks are in the Wild Card thanks to Marte’s extraordinary play.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/5 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Sporting Sox and Dinger Locks

Joel Bartilotta 6 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

On our Thursday 9/5 DFS 7:05 main slate, there are seven ballgames – with one that stands out as a good single-game stack with a couple one-offs (a hot-hitting Cub and some RHBs on the lefty-mashing Houston buzzsaw). Are we ready to, once again, embrace the variance and win some green? You bet we are – and there’s enough pitching value to fade the top arms and build a lineup with serious studs.

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9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Boston Red Sox vs. Martin Perez

Most of this stack’s full-bodied components will be discussed hitterby hitter in greater detail below, but this is my top stack of the slate and I’llhave plenty of exposure to this game in general. The usual suspects apply. TheRed Sox are slashing a robust .285/.355/.506 at home this season and there’s nobodyI’d be careful to avoid.

Minnesota Twins at Nathan Eovaldi

The Twins have a little tougher matchup as they are underdogs inFenway Park, but they’d slashed .319/.384/.584 as a team over the past 7 daysheading into last night’s tough matchup vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (which resultedin a 6-2 loss). Look for the Twins to rebound in a big way against a hittable Eovaldi(6.23 ERA, 5.62 FIP). I like the outfielders (though Max Kepler was removedfrom last night’s game with upper chest soreness) and the slugging infielders (JorgePolanco, Miguel Sano, C.J. Cron, Luis Arraez).

Houston Astros vs. Marco Gonzales

Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman and Yuri Gurriel make up the core of this stack, with Michael Brantley and/or Yordan Alvarez rounding it out on FD/DK. But if you’ve only got room for hitters like Aledmys Diaz, Abraham Toro and cheap catching option Robinson Chirinos, there’s still plenty of reason to get excited. The Astros has demolished LHPs this season to the tune of a 133 wRC+ and have great number sat home (.217 team ISO with just an 18.8% K rate – the second lowest in the league).

9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Chicago Cubs at Chase Anderson (Reverse splits pitcher and an implied total near 5 runs)

Baltimore Orioles vs. Kolby Allard (high-risk/value/contrarian)

Tampa Rays vs. Trent Thornton (high-risk/value/contrarian)

9/5 DFS Hitting Catcher

Jason Castro, MIN at BOS UPDATE: Castro is not in the starting lineup

PIVOT: Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,000)

With Castro starting this game out on the bench, I’m pivoting to Chirinos. He’s about the same price and offers similar upside in this matchup. Chirinos sports a .444 xwOBA in 174 ABs (217 plate appearances) vs. LHPs over the past couple of seasons.

9/5 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Yuri Gurriel, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,600)

Gurriel has cooled off a little bit since his insane July (.408/.437/.847 in 24 games), but not much, as he posted a .344/.423/.677 slash in August. He’s actually a little better against RHPs but maintains a .237 ISO vs. lefties, so he’s maybe a tad contrarian if you’re mini-stacking stacking Astros along with Boston bats. The .298 home ISO and 148 home wRC+ make him an attractive option.

9/5 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,300)

Altuve (.302/.369/.599 with 14 HR at home this season) isunderpriced on DK and the Astros have the second highest implied total (about 6runs) on the evening slate. The diminutive slugger has been in a bit of a funk withno XBH on the five-game road trip, but a return to friendlier confines could bejust what he needs. It’s hard to find better implied value at this position, sowhy look past the five-and-a-half footer if we’re putting our best foot forward?

9/5 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Rafael Devers, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD($4,100)

Lefty on lefty for Devers hasn’t bothered me since he took AroldisChapman deep as a youngster for the Sox, and he’ll be an overlooked part of theBoston stack and low-owned because of it. He’s completely avoidable if you’renot stacking this team, but I love going with Devers at 3B because he’s alwaysin the thick of this offense and his production this season (.320/.369/.579 slashwith 29 HR and 107 RBI) shows it.

9/5 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Xander Bogaerts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,100)

We’ve had success recently with Bogaerts, and this is agreat matchup for the power-hitting SS to show off his .416 xwOBA against LHPs overthe past two seasons. Martin Perez isn’t a bad pitcher these days, but he has stillyielded a .184 ISO and .865 OPS since 2018. I’ve been doing well not overthinkingon Xander, so that’ll continue as I plug him into most of my lineups at SS. Thesomewhat underpriced Alex Bregman ($4,900 DK, $4,400 FD) is the obvious pivotat 3B and SS if you’re not anxious play both Devers and Bogaerts.

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9/5 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Mookie Betts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,200)

Bettshad a monster game last night and when Mookie gets hot, you continue to playhim. Boston’s leadoff hitter connected for a couple homers last night en routeto a 4-for-5, five RBI night. He’s still underpriced at $5K on DK and is a Benjamincheaper than J.D. Martinez on FD. Since the start of 2018, Betts is sporting anxwOBA of .430 against LHPs and even if Perez gets yanked early, a righthander faceseven more obscene Betts data (.468 xwOBA vs. RHPs and home xwOBA of .478).

Nicholas Castellanos, CHI at MIL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,500)

Mr. Castellanos has taken the Windy City by storm, and he getsto travel to Milwaukee to hit in a controlled environment. The problem is thatthese walls cannot possibly contain him either, and he’s been a revelatory offensivepowerhouse since joining the Cubs in a deadline deal, slashing .346/.378/.709 witha ridiculous .362 ISO, .439 wOBA, 12 homers and 24 RBI in just 31 games. It’snot just Wrigley, either: the bell-ringer has split his dingers 6/6 betweenhome and road. Plus, he’s massively underpriced facing a reverse-splits righty (ChaseAnderson) on a small slate. It’ll be tough to leave him out in any format.

Sam Travis, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($3,300) FD (1B $2,800)

The Sox are my favorite team and Travis is much-welcomed valueto help you finish them off on FD with these four hitters I’ve listed, or even addin another bat on DK if you’re going that route. He hits lefties well (.382 xwOBA,.200 ISO and under a 20% strikeout rate over the past two seasons). He’s higherrisk and may attract some ownership, but at that low, low price I’ll make roomto differentiate elsewhere.

Additional options:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,200 DK, $3,100 FD), Travis d’Arnaud($4,000 DK, $2,700 FD)

1B: Josh Bell ($4,800 DK, $4,200 FD), Garrett Cooper (valueat $3,500 DK, $2,700 FD)

2B: Jonathan Schoop ($4,600 DK, $3,100 FD), Starlin Castro($3,500 DK, $3,000 FD)

3B: Abraham Toro ($2,600 DK, $3,200 FD, Miguel Sano ($5,100DK, $3,900 FD)

SS: Alex Bregman, Jonathan Villar ($4,700 DK, $3,400 FD)and possibly Javier Baez (thumb, DTD – $4,600 DK, $4,100)

OF: Twins galore (Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Nelson Cruz, JakeCave), Trey Mancini, Anthony Santander and Ryan Braun (.475 xwOBA vs. LHPs, 415ISO including five career HR vs. Jose Quintana)

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/4 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

6 years ago

written by

It’s Wednesday, and along with it we have a shortened slate of MLB split into two. As usual we will focus on the main slate for tonight’s action which features eight exciting games. So I bring you today’s 9/4 MLB DFS Pitching picks.

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On the Defense

Shane Bieber vs. Chicago White Sox

$11,000 FD / $11,500

I am pretty sure everybody is going to have “Bieber Fever” on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate. Despite his checkered past versus the White Sox this season allowing eight earned runs over 12 2/3 innings, this should be the cash game play of the night. The White Sox are still striking out 25.8 percent of the time versus RHPs with a sub-par .311 wOBA. With Bieber having a current 11.9 K/9 and striking out batters left and right in every start, even if he was to give up some runs today the strikeout upside alone still could land him the top SP slot on the slate.

Zac Gallen vs. San Diego Padres

$8,500 FD / $9,600

The Padres are 12^th in MLB over the last seven days in offense. That is a fact. They also strike out 25.8 percent of the time versus RHPs, another fact. Gallen has 22 strikeouts over his last 16 innings while only allowing six earned runs, all versus much tougher opponents. His price is a bit high for a SP2 on DK to pair with Bieber, but on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate he sure makes a fine pivot off of him in GPPs.

Hyun-Jin Ryu vs. Colorado Rockies

$8,400 FD / $9,200

Despite Hyun-Jin Ryu pitching more like Hyun-Jin Pyu as of late, for the deflated price on FD I will be using him in a few large field GPPs. The Rockies still strike out 22.4 percent of the time versus LHPs, and outside of Coors Field have a .292 wOBA to complement a pathetic wRC+ of 76. I have confidence Ryu rights the ship on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate at home where is ERA is 1.54.

Jacob Junis vs. Detroit Tigers

$7,900 FD / $7,500 DK

The Detroit Tigers are a team you can attack most days. They strike out 27.3 percent of the time versus RHPs with a low .292 wOBA. In case you missed it Junis has 19 strikeouts versus Detroit this season over 19 innings while allowing five earned runs. With the 9/4 MLB DFS slate offering limited choices Junis shines as the clear cut SP2 option and great value play on FD.

On the Attack

Anthony Senzatela vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

This is certainly the 9/4 MLB DFS chalk stack of the night. Senzatela has allowed a whopping 33 earned runs over his last 13 1/3 innings. Now he goes into Dodger Stadium to face one of the most powerful offenses in MLB. He is going to take an absolute shellacking tonight.

Notable Bats

A.J .Pollock is 4-for-9 with one home run off Senzatela, but keep in mind he hits lefties better than righties.

Gavin Lux now has a wOBA of .695 versus RHPs with 343 wRC+. It may be a small sample size by why not ride the hot bat before the scouts catch up with him.

Cody Bellinger, if you use your budget wisely, is the top play, and price. With a .434 wOBA versus RHPs over this long season he should feast tonight.

Patrick Sandoval vs. Oakland Athletics

Prior to his great last outing versus the Rangers, Sandoval allowed seven earned runs over 7 1/3 innings. I see clear regression on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate facing an A’s team with a .331 wOBA versus LHPs.

Notable Bats

Matt Chapman has .376 wOBA versus LHPs with a wRC+ of 139 this season.

Khris Davis has a decreased price as of late and is posting a .355 wOBA versus LHPs.

Mark Canha is batting cleanup with little surprise carrying a .342 wOBA versus LHPs. He also has five straight games without a home run, he is due.

Edwin Jackson vs. Kansas City Royals

My sneaky stack on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate is the Royals. The last time he faced Kansas City he only allowed one earned run over 6 1/3 innings while striking out four, this may scare some people off. After watching him get rocked for 12 earned runs in his last two starts versus the Twins in 7 1/3 innings, I am on the attack here.

Jorge Soler is the Nelson Cruz of the Royals. He has a .370 wOBA versus RHPs this season and is batting .348 with three home runs over the last seven.

Hunter Dozier, who in my opinion has the best name for a third baseman in baseball, mashes RHPs to the tune of a .363 wOBA with a wRC+ of 166. He also has two home runs and seven RBI over the last seven days.

Alex Gordon may have slowed down but he is only striking out 14.8 percent of the time versus RHPs and has a solid shot at some real hard contact today.

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

I am going with the over with Junis facing a Tigers team that is leading MLB in strikeouts versus RHPs.

Miguel Cabrera has had some success versus Junis, going 4-for-14 lifetime. The Over is where I am looking.

6 years ago 0 comments

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9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Boston Red Sox vs. Martin Perez

Minnesota Twins at Nathan Eovaldi

Houston Astros vs. Marco Gonzales

9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

9/5 DFS Hitting Catcher

Jason Castro, MIN at BOS UPDATE: Castro is not in the starting lineup

PIVOT: Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,000)

9/5 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Yuri Gurriel, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,600)

9/5 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,300)

9/5 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Rafael Devers, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD($4,100)

9/5 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Xander Bogaerts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,100)

9/5 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Mookie Betts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,200)

Nicholas Castellanos, CHI at MIL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,500)

Sam Travis, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($3,300) FD (1B $2,800)

Additional options:

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