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We move to Miami this week for the Dixie Vodka 400 at HOMESTEAD-MIAMI SPEEDWAY This is another 1.5 mile track that has been racing since 1995. Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch are the only active, multiple winners of this event with two each, but several drivers have tasted victory. Roush-Fenway Racing and Joe Gibbs Racing lead all owners with 7 wins each, and Ford leads manufactures with 8 wins as Toyota and Chevrolet each have 5.

Once again we had no qualifying and the starting positions were drawn using owner’s points. I am really getting tired of this format as you can’t get a sense of a driver’s speed with out seeing them on the track. I still think caution is the best plan of attack until we get back to normal, but if your using max lineups, this is not as important.

Starting Grid Rules

Denny Hamlin is on the pole this week with Joey Logano also in the front row. The Starting Grid is again littered with dominators due to the qualifying rules. This made it hard to find value this week and you must have the 2 top dominators in your lineup to make real money.

Starting Grid for the Dixie Vodka 400

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am currently at 20 lineups, but I most likely add a couple as the day goes along using the same core.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

  1. Denny Hamlin $10,400
  2. Chase Elliott $11.000
  3. Joey Logano $10,700

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

  1. Christopher Bell $9,300
  2. William Byron $7,800
  3. Matt DiBenedetto $8,000

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

  1. Michael McDowell $5,200
  2. Ty Dillon $6,700
  3. Cole Custer $6,000

Here is my Driver Usage for Sunday’s Dixie Vodka 400

My Driver Usage for the Dixie Vodka 400

I also like 4 plays to win the race. I have Denny Hamlin slightly over Chase Elliott for the WIN, and I am using 2 other value plays.
DraftKings Sportsbook

Drivers to WIN

I am on more plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 10 and three of the driver match ups.
DraftKings Sportsbook

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailySports. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily Sports HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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FanDuel NASCAR DFS | Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 | Atlanta Motor Speedway

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your QuikTrip 500 DFS picks. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only. 

Follow Josh on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Cup Series returns today with the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway in Hampton, Georgia.

This race is 325-laps, or 500.5-miles, on this 1.54-mile track.

The optimal lineup to begin race will be Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola, and Chris Buescher.

THE PICKS | FanDuel

CHASE ELLIOTT – Elliott starts on the pole today and has been one the strongest performing drivers recently. With a victory and four top-five finishes, Elliott offers salary relief from Harvick and Kyle Busch and appears to be in a better position to dominate this race. Starting on the pole does present risk of negative place differential though, so looking for laps led and top-five finish from Chase if he is going to be rostered.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. – Truex had one of the better cars last time out at Atlanta. Starting 11th, Truex provides some place differential upside in comparison to the other top-twelve drivers and is $1,800 less than Harvick.

KEVIN HARVICK – Harvick is the highest-priced driver on this slate and the favorite to win. Starting 9th, Harvick has positive place differential potential and the ability to lead laps in this race. Harvick should garner a considerable amount of ownership today.

BRAD KESELOWSKI – Keselowski is coming off two recent victories and has six top-ten finishes this season. Starting 6th, Keselowski has the potential to lead laps and finish top-five in this race.

JIMMIE JOHNSON – Johnson does not offer the same dominator potential as the other drivers listed above, but starting 15th, and projected to finish 9th, he has the positive place differential upside at a reduced salary. Johnson feels safer than many plays available today, but he’s not a requirement in every line.

CHRISTOPHER BELL – Bell is starting 27th today, provides salary relief, and positive place differential upside. Be careful with punting on FanDuel, so outside of Custer and McDowell, avoid rostering any drivers below Bell.

Additional options: Denny Hamlin, Joey Logano, Alex Bowman, Kyle Busch, Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola, Tyler Reddick, Matt DiBenedetto, Cole Custer, Michael McDowell, Erik Jones, Chris Buescher, and Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

NOTE: Be sure to roster drivers that finish on the lead lap.

The following drivers have not finished on the lead lap during the 2020 Cup Series: Josh Bilicki, Garrett Smithley, BJ McLeod, Timmy Hill (with exception for the Supermarket Heroes 500), Joey Gase, Quinn Houff, JJ Yeley (with exception for the Fan Shield 500), Reed Sorenson, and Brennan Poole (with exception for the Daytona 500).

Timmy Hill finished 19th at the Supermarket Heroes 500, but he does not provide sufficient upside due to the unlikeliness to achieve a top-ten or top-fifteen finish.

SLATE ANALYSIS

LAST TIME OUT AT ATLANTA

The last time out at Atlanta, Brad Keselowski took the checkered flag, followed by Martin Truex Jr., Kurt Busch, Kevin Harvick, Clint Bowyer, Kyle Busch, Erik Jones, Aric Almirola, Chris Buescher, and Daniel Suarez.

Kyle Larson in the number 42 car, now driven by Matt Kenseth recorded the most laps led with 142. Harvick led 45 laps, Ryan Blaney led 41 laps, Almirola led 36 laps, Keselowski led 33 laps, Joey Logano led 22 laps, Truex led four laps, and Kurt Busch and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. each led one lap.

Larson also recorded the most fastest-laps with 54 laps. Harvick and Truex recorded 38 fastest-laps each. Keselowski recorded 28, Kyle Busch recorded 25, Logano recorded 24, Blaney recorded 17, and Almirola recorded 14.

The optimal FanDuel lineup for the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 included Keselowski, Truex, Kurt Busch, Jones, and Buescher with a total of 382.8 points. The driver’s salary ranged from $6,000 to $13,000 and left $100 salary remaining.

The optimal DraftKings lineup for the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 included Keselowski, Truex, Larson, Jones, Buescher, and David Ragan in the number 38 car. The total score was 382.25 points, the driver’s salary ranged from $5,800 to $11,100, and left #-0- salary remaining.

RECENT CUP SERIES RACES

The Cup Series has raced three times at mile-and-a-half tracks during 2020, most recently at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

The optimal lineups for the 2020 Alsco Uniforms 500 were (FD) Elliott, Hamlin, Blaney, Austin Dillon, Stenhouse Jr., and (DK) Elliott, Harvick, Logano, Blaney, Stenhouse Jr., Austin Dillon.

The optimal lineups for the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 were (FD) Elliott, Keselowski, Johnson, Blaney, Custer, and (DK) Truex, Elliott, Bowman, Blaney, Custer, McDowell.

The optimal lines for the 202 Pennzoil 400 were (FD) Logano, DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Stenhouse Jr., Wallace Jr., and (DK) Harvick, Logano, Stenhouse Jr., Wallace Jr., Ty Dillon.

2020 NASCAR CUP SERIES PERFORMANCE

The following drivers have taken the checkered flag during the 2020 Cup Series: Keselowski (2), Hamlin (2), Logano (2), Elliott, Harvick, and Bowman.

The following drivers have top-five finishes during the 2020 Cup Series: Harvick (5), Kyle Busch (5), Elliott (4), Keselowski (4), Hamlin (4), Blaney (3), Kurt Busch (3), Logano (2), Bowman (2), Bowyer (2), Jones (2), Johnson (2), Stenhouse Jr. (2), DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, and Buescher.

The following drivers have top-ten finishes during the 2020 Cup Series: Harvick (8), Keselowski (6), Kurt Busch (6), Kyle Busch (5), Elliott (5), Hamlin (5), Logano (4), Jones (4), Johnson (4), Truex (4), Blaney (3), Bowyer (3), Austin Dillon (3), Almirola (3), Bowman (2), Stenhouse Jr. (2), DiBenedetto (2), Buescher (2), Byron (2), Reddick (2), Wallace (2), Bell (2), Nemechek, Custer, and Newman.

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

RESOURCES

  • The starting line up is available here.
  • Pit stall selections are available here.
  • Driver rankings are available here.
  • Race results for the last time out at Atlanta are available here.
  • Loop data for the last time out at Atlanta is available here.
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NASCAR moves to the Bristol Motor Speedway tomorrow for The Supermarket Heroes 500. This half mile track has given me fits in DFS, but I have had a good run at picking the winners. This week will be very tricky on DrafKings as the pricing and starting lineup is very difficult and true to normal form. Brad Keselowski will be on the pole with Almirola at his side. The top 10 is full of drivers who can take this down and is led by Kyle Busch in the 7th spot who has won at Bristol 8 times.

The Supermarket Heroes 500 Starting Lineup

Joe Gibbs has dominated taking 4 of the last 5 races, and 5 of the last 9 with Toyota. Chevrolet has 3 wins in the last 10 with Jimmie Johnson winning 2 of them. Brad Keselowski and Matt Kenseth are the only other active drivers with a win in the last 10 races.

Winners of the last 10 Food City 500 Races at Bristol

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am all about those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

  1. Kyle Busch $12,500
  2. Jimmie Johnson $10,200
  3. Brad Keselowski $9,100

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

  1. Kurt Busch $8,300
  2. Ryan Blaney $8,600
  3. Matt Kenseth $8,100

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

  1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,400
  2. Christopher Bell $7,300
  3. Aric Alirola $6,700

I also like 5 plays to win the race. I am riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win his 3rd Food City 500 in a row this week, but I do like 4 other value plays.

My Picks to WIN at Bristol Sunday

I am also on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5, Top 10, and a couple of driver match ups. 2 units on Kyle Busch and 1 unit on all other plays.

TOP 3 PICKS: Kyle Busch +100; Brad Keselowski +300

TOP 5 PICKS: Kyle Busch -152; Brad Keselowski +170

TOP 10 PICKS: Jimmie Johnson -118, Kurt Busch -137, Ryan Blaney -180

Matchups: Kyle Busch over Chase Elliott -136; Christopher Bell over Austin Dillon +135

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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This article is going to be a little bit different, seeing as usually the qualifier race is held a day or two before the primary race. For the Coca-Cola 600, the qualifier is being held at 2 pm eastern time on the day of the actual race. With these particular circumstances, and not knowing the starting positions of the drivers, the possibility of drivers increasing or decreasing value is high. I recommend tuning into the Win Daily discord to stay up to date with the upcoming driver starting positions. My article is going to focus on my top three targets for both cash games and GPP’s. I will have a primary focus on DraftKings. Towards the end of the article, I will have a separate section for SuperDraft. The Coca-Cola 600 race starts at 6 pm eastern time, which gives us plenty of time to build a profitable NASCAR DFS lineup on multiple DFS sites.

#1 TARGET: MARTIN TRUEX JR (+550) (10,600).

Toyota cars have been crushing the Coca-Cola 600 the previous years. One of the fastest Toyotas has no doubt been the number 19 car of Truex JR. Even though he didn’t take down any part of the doubleheader at Darlington, he definitely made his presence known and bagged two top-ten finishes (6th and 10th). Charlotte Motor Speedway has been Martin Truex JR’s personal stomping ground. Finishing first and second the previous two years. In 2016 he showed that he’s here to dismantle the field with a victory and dominated 392 out of the 400 laps. Truex has a 50% win rate at Charlotte, yes I said 50%. Out of his last six races at Charlotte Motor Speedway he has claimed the crown three times, that is an unbelievable feat. Martin Truex JR is my clear cut, number one, overall play coming into this race, looking for his second win in a row and fourth first-place finish in seven years. He will be in over 50% of my NASCAR DFS lineups, and there should be no reason that he’s not in yours.

#2 TARGET: KYLE BUSCH (+450) (11,500).

We all just saw Kyle Busch fly through Darlington with his number 18 car to a second-place finish, but not without some drama. He is forever going to be known for his ” I made a mistake” moment that caused Chase Elliot’s car to be spun around and out of the race. It may be challenging to pick Busch for the win here, considering Elliot could be out for blood. Putting that all behind us and focusing on the facts here. Like Truex, Busch has been a dominating factor at Charlotte Motor Speedway. In the previous two years, KB has pumped out a third-place finish (2019) and a First place dominating performance (2018), where he led 377 out of 400 laps. If Kyle Busch can find his way around Truex and now Elliot, he could be added to the list of repeat winners at Charlotte Motor Speedway. I will be rolling out Kyle Busch in about 50% of my NASCAR DFS lineups.

#3 TARGET: JIMMIE JOHNSON (+1200) (9,200).

What more can we say about Jimmie Johnson except that he is well on his way, if not already legendary status? Over Johnsons Career, he has EIGHT wins at Charlotte Motor Speedway, with his most recent coming in 2016. He has been a force at Charlotte over the years, with an average starting position of 19.3 and an average finish position of 9.3. Looking at the potential for place differential and gaining a minimum of ten spots, he is another lock and load for my NASCAR DFS lineups.

HONORABLE MENTION:

KEVIN HARVICK (11,200)

CHASE ELLIOT (9700)

ALEX BOWMAN (9,400)

RICKY STENHOUSE JR (7400)

AUSTIN DILLON (7000)

COREY LAJOIE (5400)

SUPERDRAFT PICKS: IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE.

MARTIN TRUEX JR (1.2X)
KULE BUSCH (1.15X)
JIMMIE JOHNSON (1.5X)
COREY LAJOIE (2.1X)
AUSTIN DILLON (1.7X)
TYLER REDDICK (1.9X)
KEVIN HARVICK (1.2X)
CHASE ELLIOT (1.1X)
ALEX BOWMAN (1.35X)
RICKY STENHOUSE JR (1.4X)
ARIC ALMIROLA (1.45X)

I will be building 10 NASCAR DFS lineups for both DraftKings and SuperDraft. I recommend playing multiple lineups, if possible. The variance in NASCAR is high, and multiple lineups can help you fade some of that variance and give you a better chance to win big money. I am going to focus on my top three targets and try to fit as many of them in my lineups as possible. I will be using the honorable mention drivers to fill in the gaps with the available salary. On DraftKings, I will have a bigger player pool because of the salary cap. On SuperDraft, my player pool will be limited to ONLY my favorite drivers who I see having the best chance to hit value. Good Luck, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

Check out my author page right here and come hang out in our Free Expert Discord Chat for updates!

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Want to ask Josh questions about his DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following analysis, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks, is intended for DraftKings NASCAR DFS GPP purposes only (Toyota 500 at Darlington – May 20, 2020). The projections below include the official starting positions for each driver.

THE PICKS

JIMMIE JOHNSON ($9,100) – Johnson got to the front of the pack on Sunday, before crashing, and landing him in the 37th starting position for Wednesday. Johnson is projected to finish 12th, and provides significant positive place differential upside. Given the upside, it appears Johnson may be quite chalky, but go ahead and eat the chalk, and move on to your next driver selection.

WILLIAM BYRON ($8,900) – Bryon also found himself in trouble on Sunday, ending his day early, and securing the 34th start position for the Toyota 500. If Byron can remember this is not an iRace, settle in, and log some solid long-run laps – he can provide excellent positive place differential upside. Along with Johnson, Byron will most likely find his way into a lot of line ups Wednesday.

RICKY STENHOUSE JR. ($7,900) – Wrecky Ricky did not make it through the first lap before he ended up in the wall on Sunday, landing him in the 39th start position for the Toyota 500. With minimal downside risk and significant positive place differential upside, it appears Ricky could make it into a lot of lineups for this slate.

KEVIN HARVICK ($11,600) – Harvick won The Real Heroes 400 at Darlington Raceway this past Sunday, landing him in the 20th position to start the Toyota 500. Harvick had the best car on Wednesday, is the favorite to win on Sunday, provides positive place differential upside, and has the ability to lead laps. Plug Harvick in and watch him roll to a victory.

JOEY LOGANO ($9,400) – Logano has a shot at taking the checkered flag every time he fires up the engine. Logano will be starting 3rd with Ty Dillon and Ryan Preece in front of him, giving him a clear path to clean air and laps led. If Logano grabs a bunch of laps led, and finishes in the top five, he will be a great play.

KYLE BUSCH ($12,000) – Kyle Busch is the most expensive driver on the slate; starting 26th and projected to finish second, he’s well-positioned to provide positive place differential points. If you believe Kyle will lead a significant portion of laps, he’s a fine play.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

Alex Bowman, Kurt Busch, Erik Jones, Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski, Cole Custer, Christopher Bell, Daniel Suarez

NOTE: Be sure to check the #nascar channel in Discord for any updates regarding DraftKings NASCAR DFS!

THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included*)

NO.DRIVERTEAMMANUFACTURER SALARY_DK STARTPROJECTED_FINSIHPROJECTED _DK_POINTS*
4Kevin HarvickStewart-Haas RacingFord$11,60020165
18Kyle BuschJoe Gibbs RacingToyota$12,00026266
11Denny HamlinJoe Gibbs Racing Toyota $10,70016354
19Martin Truex Jr. Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota $11,11015451
88Alex BowmanHendrick Motorsports Chevrolet $10,00019553
9Chase ElliottHendrick Motorsports Chevrolet $10,30017649
22Joey LoganoTeam PenskeFord$9,4003733
2Brad KeselowskiTeam PenskeFord$9,7008836
1Kurt BuschChip Ganassi RacingChevrolet$8,70018944
20Erik JonesJoe Gibbs Racing Toyota $8,500131037
24William ByronHendrick Motorsports Chevrolet $8,900341156
48Jimmie JohnsonHendrick Motorsports Chevrolet $9,100371257
12Ryan BlaneyTeam PenskeFord$8,30051323
42Matt KensethChip Ganassi RacingChevrolet$7,600111427
21Matt DiBenedettoWood Brothers RacingFord$7,00071521
8Tyler ReddickRichard Childress RacingChevrolet$7,700141626
10Aric AlmirolaStewart-Haas Racing Ford $7,40091719
6Ryan NewmanRoush Fenway RacingFord$6,40061814
14Clint BowyerStewart-Haas Racing Ford $7,30041910
3Austin DillonRichard Childress RacingChevrolet$7,200102014
41Cole CusterStewart-Haas Racing Ford $6,600222124
95Christopher BellLeavine Family RacingToyota$6,800242224
17Chris BuescherRoush Fenway RacingFord$6,100322330
38John NemecheckFront Row MotorsportsFord$6,20012248
96Daniel SuarezGaunt Brothers RacingToyota$6,100252519
47Ricky Stenhouse Jr.JTG Daugherty Racing Chevrolet $7,900392631
13Ty DillonGermain RacingChevrolet$5,900227-8
37Ryan PreeceJTG Daugherty RacingChevrolet$5,400128-11
43Bubba WallaceRichard Petty MotorsportsChevrolet$5,70021297
34Michael McDowellFront Row MotorsportsFord$5,80023307
66Timmy HillMBM MotorsportsToyota$4,900333115
77Ross ChastainSpire MotorsportsChevrolettbd29329
32Corie LaJoieGo Fas RacingFord$5,50031339
15Brennan PoolePremium MotorsportsChevrolet$4,80027343
27Gray Gaulding Premium Motorsports Ford$4,50028352
51Joey GasePetty Ware RacingChevrolet$4,60030362
00Quin HouffStarcom RacingChevrolet$4,70035375
53Garrett SmithleyRick Ware RacingChevrolet$5,20036384
78BJ McLeodBJ McLeod MotorsportsChevrolet$5,00038394

Join the Win Daily family today at https://windailysports.com/ and join our discord chat to get real-time updates for DraftKings NASCAR DSF!

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Finally we get back to some real NASCAR racing Sunday at Darlington Speedway. This starts a crazy good stretch of seven races is eleven days, but this comes with some negatives. There is no qualifying for this race and the starting grid was based off of owners points in 4 groupings, and a random draw. This will put the cream of the crop at front of the field and will make decisions on value plays critical.

The Real Heroes 400 Starting Grid

NASCAR has been racing at Darlington since 1950 on this 1.366 mile oval. Joe Gibbs (4 wins)(Jones, Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, and Hamlin on his current team) and Toyota (5 wins)(Joe Gibbs Team plus Bell, Suarez, and Hill) have dominated at this track the last 7 races. Only Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have multiple wins at this track.

Brad Keselowski gained the pole followed by Alex Bowman in the first row. Harvick, Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin are possible dominators in the top ten. I would be shocked if any drivers outside of the top ten make it into the top five without some major crash. My top three picks to possibly break the top five would be Elliott (11th), Byron (18th), and Jones (20th). I am not too thrilled with many outside of the top 20 to make up serious ground, but I would take Newman (21st), Kurt Busch (22nd), and Bell (28th) as my top three. I did have to throw in a few deep value plays just to get some diversity in my lineups, but other than McDowell (31st), T, Dillon (33rd), and Suarez (37th), I do not give many of them any hope to score decent DFS points.

The Real Heroes 400 Top 10 Starting Grid

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided other than to add some diversity in case of any big crashes. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Denny Hamlin $11,100
  2. Joey Logano $10,100
  3. Kyle Busch $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Erik Jones $9.200
  2. William Byron $8,700
  3. Kurt Busch $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Ryan Newman $6,500
  2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
  3. Daniel Suarez $6,200

I also like 4 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am riding Denny Hamlin as my pick to win this week, but I do like 3 other value plays.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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Last Week’s NASCAR Auto Club 400 was a step in the right direction as we made a slight profit. Alex Bowman won the race with the best car. Unfortunately, much of the chalk hit, so winning any big money was difficult with a number of ties at the top. This week’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix should be a bit different, with opportunities to have some lineup diversity.

The 48th running of this race, over the 1-mile tri-oval track, will have 3 stages and 312 laps as Stage 1 is set to end at Lap 75, and Stage 2 Lap 190. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated recently winning four of the last five Phoenix races, leading the most laps in each of the last six races (He has Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Truex Jr., and Jones this year) Many drivers have won multiple times on this surface including Kevin Harvick 9 (Five FanShield 500’s), Jimmie Johnson 4, Kyle Busch 3, and Denny Hamlin 2. Joey Logano and Kurt Busch have also won here before.

FanShield 500 Stats

Chase Elliott shined in Friday’s practice sessions finishing 2nd early and 1st in the late session. Many drivers showed well in both finishing in the top 10 of each including William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Erik Jones.

Practice Session #1 Friday
Practice Session #2 Friday

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Chase Elliot continued his weekend dominance in Phoenix also taking down the Pole in Saturday’s qualifying. His performance is much like what Bowman did last week and is hard to ignore in DFS and Win betting. Phoenix dominator Kevin Harvick joins Elliott in the first row. Hamlin, Larson, a Blaney round out the top 5.

Last year’s winner Kyle Busch will start in 10th and will have other top drives right behind him including Logano 13th, Keselowski 14th, Jimmie Johnson 21st. Martin Truex Jr. who qualified 12th will start the race in the rear due to an engine change.

FanShield 500 Qualifying Results

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track and showed speed in practice and qualifying. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided as they will go down multiple laps quickly with little chance to make a top 15 run. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $11,00
  2. Kyle Busch $12,000
  3. Brad Keselowski $10,400

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Chase Elliott $9.600
  2. William Byron $8,300
  3. Erik Jones $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,500
  2. Kurt Busch $8,100
  3. Bubba Wallace $6,000

I also like 6 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am again riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win this week, but Kevin Harvick can never be ignored.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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The NASCAR Pennzoil 400 last week again did not break the bank even though I threw a ton of lineups at it. Many DFS cashes, but not the one perfect lineup needed to make serious cash. This week, we head to Fontana, California for the 24th Auto Club 400. Kyle Busch and Jimmie Johnson have won here three times each. No one else in this year’s field has won multiple times, but Kurt Busch, Keselowski, Truex Jr., Harvick, and Larson have each taken the checkered flag at this event. Roush Fenway leads at Fontana with 6 wins and the manufacturer Ford has 10 victories, but neither have dominated the event.

Alex Bowman dominated Friday as he led both practice sessions showing very good speed. Kurt Busch also did very well with the 4th best speed in each session. Kyle Larson, Matt DiBenedetto, Ryan Blaney, and Brad Keselowski also were able to gain the top 10 speed in each session. Rookies Christopher Bell and Tyler Reddick also showed some promising speed as well as. I think both of these new drivers will win this season.

Practice Session #1 Results
Practice Session #2 Results

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Qualifying Saturday was lead by Clint Bowyer who took the pole with a speed of 179,614 mph. Multiple time winner Jimmie Johnson will join Bowyer in the front row followed by Alex Bowman, who dominated practice, and Kurt Busch who will be in row #2. Other notables in qualifying include Keselowski in 15th, Kyle Busch in 17th, Hamlin in 28th, and Martin Truex Jr. who will start in the rear of the field in 38th after having troubles with pre-qualifying inspections.

Martin Truex Jr. is going to be hard to pass up with all of those points available for position differential. I am still riding Kyle Busch for the win, but Alex Bowman’s performance so far this week is hard to ignore. While I will fade him to win with his low odds, I will play him a bit in DFS as a potential dominator.

Auto Club 400 Qualifying Results

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. My mix of players with huge position differential possibilities and those who could dominate the race will hopefully get me the coverage needed. I will be working my DFS lineups late into the night Saturday and will post on twitter and discord my driver usage early Sunday. I will be playing far fewer lineups this week, but have not yet landed on a specific number.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kyle Busch $11,300
  2. Martin Truex Jr. $10,400
  3. Kevin Harvick $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Alex Bowman $8,800
  2. Aric Almirola $8,300
  3. Kurt Busch $8,600

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $7,000
  2. Matt DiBenedetto $7,600
  3. Bubba Wallace $6,100

I also like 5 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am a bit more chalky this week with 3 of my pick being in the top 5 in odds. Kyle Busch to my pick to win this week.

DraftKings Picks to Win the Auto Club 400 in Las Vegas

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The NASCAR Daytona 500 did not go exactly to plan, as avoiding the “Big One” is very difficult. At times, I was up 4x-5x, but I ended up slightly down after those last 2 crashes. I probably should have play 150 plus lineups. Hamlin had the best car and deserved the win.

NASCAR heads to Las Vegas for the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube. This is a 1.5 mile oval that is running this race for the 23rd time. Jimmie Johnson has won this race 4 times, which is two more than Brad Keselowski and Kevin Harvick who are the only other multiple winners. Joey Logano won last year’s edition and is joined by Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch as the other one-time winners in this year’s field. Keselowski and Truex Jr. also have won on this track in the South Point 400 run in September the last two years.

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The practice sessions heading into qualifying were interesting as 2 Ford’s driven by Aric Almirola and Clint Bowyer was in the top three of both sessions. Jimmie Johnson led the 2nd practice with a speed of 179.432 which topped the day. Bowman, DiBenedetto, Larson, and Blaney were the others who were in the top 10 of both sessions. Ross Chastain also looked good driving the #6 to a 6th place finish in session #2 replacing Ryan Newman.

Practice Session #1 Results
Practice Session #2 Results

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Saturday’s qualifying was canceled due to rain which put Kyle Busch on the pole followed by Truex Jr., Harvick, and Hamlin in the first 2 rows. All the power players on top leaves values play at a minimum. I will lean on those who did well in practice or have had decent success in Las Vegas. Kyle Busch, Hamlin, and Bell will start from the back of the field but will be scored on their starting position. This makes them difficult plays unless you’re looking to be contrarian.

Starting Grid

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I was very torn on how strong to play my top picks. I decided to play hard on those I thought could dominate in laps led and position differential.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $12,000
  2. Brad Keselowski $11,100
  3. Martin Truex Jr. $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Clint Bowyer $8,000
  2. Aric Almirola $7,800
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,400

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,600
  2. Daniel Suarez $6,000
  3. Ross Chastain $6,100

I am working on all of my lineups currently and will be posting these on twitter either later tonight or early Sunday AM on twitter.

I also like 7 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. My #1 pick would be Clint Bowyer at 25/1, but I think there is value with the other plays too.

DraftKings Picks to Win the Pennzoil 400 in Las Vegas

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The weather, unfortunately, wiped out qualifying, thus the starting lineup was put in place using owner’s points. The final four left in the chase for the Championship will start in the top 4 which makes for excitement in the race but does not give us too much for DFS purposes. Below is our DraftKings DFS NASCAR post-qualifying analysis for Miami.

There does not seem to be any huge advantage for anyone, but if I have to rank them in order, I would have to go with the following ranking.

  1. Hamlin
  2. Truex Jr.
  3. Harvick
  4. Kyle Busch
Qualifying Results

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They were only able to get one practice session in Saturday. Kyle Busch topped the session with the best speed of 168.966 and the best overall lap average. Martin Truex Jr. was 2nd in both categories. Hamlin was 3rd in Practice and 5th in lap averages followed by Harvick who was 9th in practice and 4th in lap averages. Even after these results, I am sticking with my ranking. While you can’t ignore Kyle ever, I just think the other 3 have been better in my eyes.

Practice Results
Best Lap Averages

Joey Logano is still the most intriguing driver in my eyes outside of the championship four. I think he wants to repeat in this race and prove he is still on top of his game. I also like Keselowski. He was fast in practice which helps, but he has had several issues in recent races. I will have him in one of my lineups. I also expect Chase Elliott to be in the mix.

I have ranked my top drivers outside of these seven below. The only addition to my first article this week is Erik Jones who looked good in practice. These are the 14 drivers I focused on for my DFS lineups.

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Alex Bowman
  3. Erik Jones
  4. Austin Dillon
  5. Matt DiBenedetto
  6. Ty Dillon
  7. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

I have decided to only play 5 lineups this week. My Optimal Lineup includes Hamlin, Truex Jr., Logano, and Austin Dillon plus 2 value plays. It was very difficult to decide who to use, but I thought this foursome was the best. I do have Harvick and Kyle Busch in a lineup as well as many of the others I spoke of above.

Optimal Lineup

The odds on DraftKings have not changed as the top four are still +325. My other top picks for this site would be Logano at +2000, Jones at +4000, and Johnson at +10000. I think Logano is the best value.

These odds are so much better than what FanDuel is offering, except for Jones who is +5000. Nothing else intrigued me.

While winning some serious cash is top on my list tomorrow, I do want this championship to come down to the last lap. I think Hamlin edges out Truex Jr. with Logano finishing 3rd. Good Luck!

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Since I am on Hamlin and Truex Jr. to lead, I have to go with the under on both Harvick and Kyle Busch.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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