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Madison Bumgarner

9/24 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

5 years ago

written by

The last time I saw this many Top Guns in one night I was at the Movie Theater watching Tom Cruise. So, with Gorilla Biscuits “Start Today” playing in the background on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate, I bring you today’s pitching picks.

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On theDefense

NoahSyndergaard vs. Miami Marlins

$8,200 FD / $9,000 DK

The Marlins have been red hot as of late, how hot? They arethird in wOBA over the last seven days. This scares me about as much as mydaughter Sam throwing a temper tantrum. They are still the Marlins, the same Marlinsteam that is striking out 24.2 percent of the time versus RHPs while being inthe bottom of the league in offense. Thor also has had his way all season with thefish with 12 strikeouts over 14 innings. Sometimes the best play is not alwaysthe best player and that is the case here on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate. Lock himin because Thor is going to bring the hammer tonight.

Max Scherzervs. Philadelphia Phillies

$10,600 FD / $11,000

This one was a struggle for me tonight. Gerrit Cole is the obvious cash cow but for the price I just feel that you can get close enough numbers from other starters, without paying the highest salary on the board.

Next was Mike Clevinger, easy matchup, seems great right? The White Sox are the number one team offensively over the last seven days, why take a chance this continues tonight? This leaves Max Scherzer on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate.

The Phillies are striking out 23.2 percent of the timeversus RHPs with a subpar .315 wOBA. Over the last seven days they have a wRC+of 65, which has little chance of climbing tonight in this matchup. Scherzerthis season facing the Phils has a 0.75 ERA over 12 innings while striking out19. Mad Max should go totally beyond the Terrordome tonight in this cakematchup.

MadisonBumgarner vs. Colorado Rockies

$8,600 FD / $8,200 DK

Looking for a high upside one-two punch on DK for this 9/24 MLB DFS slate? Well you just found the battle of the splits. The Rockies are 29^th in MLB on the road in offense while striking out 23.4 percent of the time versus LHPs. Meanwhile, Bumgarner’s home ERA is 2.80 versus his 5.29 ERA on the road. With splits both lining up here it feels like this one is a gift from stars at his price.

JeffHoffman vs. San Francisco Giants

$6,500 FD / $4,800 DK

I am sad to say there is no magic split here, Hoffman is generally just as bad outside of Colorado as he is in. But, for the price on DK it makes a strong argument for large field GPP play. The Giants are striking out 23.6 percent of the time versus RHPs with a low .303 wOBA. Over the last seven days they have generated a wRC+ of 63, which is embarrassing. Don’t expect miracles here on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate but it is reasonable to expect 12-to-18 fantasy points on DK.

Today’s Pitching Stats

Name	Team	W	L	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Max Scherzer	Nationals	10	7	166.1	12.61	1.73	0.87	40.60%	10.70%	2.81	2.92
Noah Syndergaard	Mets	10	8	185.2	9.02	2.33	1.07	47.60%	12.80%	4.22	3.93
Madison Bumgarner	Giants	9	9	200.2	8.7	1.84	1.21	35.80%	11.60%	3.86	4.34
Jeff Hoffman	Rockies	2	6	61.2	8.9	4.09	2.63	35.50%	23.40%	6.71	5.29

On the Attack

MitchKeller vs. Chicago Cubs

It feels like a Cubs kind of night. The last time Keller faced Chicago he allowed six earned runs over 4 1/3 innings. The Cubbies are on the ropes here, its basically win every game, or go home. Stack away!

Chicago Cubs vs. RHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	wRC+
Anthony Rizzo	457	12.30%	14.20%	0.86	4	0.418	0.551	0.969	0.406	152
Kris Bryant	505	10.10%	23.20%	0.44	3	0.37	0.495	0.866	0.366	126
Willson Contreras	309	9.10%	24.60%	0.37	1	0.346	0.513	0.859	0.358	120
Kyle Schwarber	470	11.90%	25.10%	0.47	2	0.338	0.538	0.876	0.358	120
David Bote	255	13.30%	24.70%	0.54	3	0.38	0.449	0.829	0.352	116
Jason Heyward	462	12.80%	17.30%	0.74	8	0.366	0.472	0.838	0.352	116
Nicholas Castellanos	536	5.80%	23.50%	0.25	2	0.323	0.493	0.816	0.34	109
Victor Caratini	214	10.30%	21.00%	0.49	1	0.346	0.457	0.803	0.339	108
Ian Happ	101	9.90%	22.80%	0.43	2	0.307	0.467	0.774	0.323	97
Robel Garcia	52	5.80%	40.40%	0.14	0	0.269	0.5	0.769	0.311	90
Jonathan Lucroy	216	9.70%	14.40%	0.68	0	0.333	0.378	0.711	0.31	93
Nico Hoerner	51	5.90%	13.70%	0.43	0	0.314	0.438	0.751	0.31	89
Ben Zobrist	134	10.40%	12.70%	0.82	0	0.351	0.342	0.693	0.306	86
Albert Almora Jr.	241	4.10%	16.20%	0.26	2	0.284	0.442	0.726	0.299	82
Addison Russell	167	6.60%	21.60%	0.31	2	0.301	0.404	0.705	0.298	81

Anthony Kay vs. Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles bats are very unpredictable but go off often.Kay has surrendered nine earned runs in his last 14 innings pitched. In a smallpark like Toronto I am going all in on O’s tonight.

Baltimore Orioles vs. LHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	wRC+
Hanser Alberto	224	2.70%	11.20%	0.24	2	0.415	0.537	0.952	0.402	151
Trey Mancini	215	10.20%	20.90%	0.49	0	0.367	0.545	0.913	0.377	135
Renato Nunez	217	6.50%	19.40%	0.33	0	0.327	0.51	0.837	0.345	113
Pedro Severino	155	6.50%	21.30%	0.3	0	0.323	0.49	0.812	0.339	109
Anthony Santander	145	4.80%	25.50%	0.19	1	0.31	0.5	0.81	0.336	107
D.J. Stewart	42	4.80%	14.30%	0.33	1	0.357	0.375	0.732	0.319	95
Jonathan Villar	243	6.60%	26.70%	0.25	9	0.311	0.435	0.746	0.314	93
Richie Martin Jr.	160	5.60%	21.90%	0.26	6	0.291	0.338	0.629	0.273	65
Rio Ruiz	73	5.50%	24.70%	0.22	0	0.292	0.343	0.635	0.273	65
Dwight Smith Jr.	109	8.30%	29.40%	0.28	3	0.275	0.347	0.622	0.268	62
Mark Trumbo	17	5.90%	17.60%	0.33	0	0.235	0.375	0.61	0.255	53
Mason Williams	10	10.00%	30.00%	0.33	1	0.3	0.222	0.522	0.243	45
Chance Sisco	24	12.50%	37.50%	0.33	0	0.292	0.105	0.397	0.219	28
Steve Wilkerson	127	5.50%	35.40%	0.16	0	0.236	0.228	0.464	0.212	23
Chris Davis	68	8.80%	44.10%	0.2	0	0.221	0.23	0.45	0.205	19

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick – Play These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Although Randal Grichuk has struggled this season versus Bundy going 1-for-9, he has picked it up as of late with three home runs over his last seven days. He is dialing in and I see no reason why that does not continue tonight. Over here for sure.

Trey Mancini is 2-for-2 this season off of Kay, and I know that is not much to go on. Right handed hitters are also batting .283 this season versus Kay, seems easy enough for Trey. Have I said over yet?

Madbum is facing a Rockies team tonight that strikes out a ton versus LHPs, and he has easily reached this number in both home starts this season facing the Rocks. Over, over, and over.

The Giants are a difficult team at times to rack up strikeouts against. Hoffman has a hard enough time against easy prey, I am going under here all the way.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/14 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

5 years ago

written by

We have a Coors Field game on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate, which as usual, leaves you two options: Fade completely and spend up on pitching, or take some chances and get some exposure to both sides of the plate. So, without further delay here is today’s finest matchups.

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On theDefense

JackFlaherty vs. Milwaukee Brewers

$10,500 FD / $10,800 DK

There a several great pitchers taking the mound on this 9/14MLB DFS slate but none in a better position to dominate than Flaherty tonight.The Brewers are striking out 25.3 percent of the time versus RHPs while batting.221 over the last seven days. With Christian Yelich out for the season thislineup looks a lot less scary facing a pitcher who has only allowed sevenearned runs in his last 11 starts with 95 strikeouts over 78 1/3 innings.

Zack Greinkevs. Kansas City Royals

$9,700 FD / $9,300 DK

When comparing pricing to upside on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate, Greinke finds himself at the top of my model. Although the Royals are only striking out 21.7 percent of the time facing RHPs, they do have a low .313 wOBA. Meanwhile, Zack has been on the attack as usual, only allowing more than two earned runs in two of his last 10 starts, going at least six innings in eight of them. All the numbers point to the Royals being completely shut down tonight.

Madison Bumgarnervs. Miami Marlins

$9,900 FD / $8,900 DK

This play is a complete fade for me on FanDuel at $9,900, but 100 percent in play at $8,900 on DK. This 9/14 MLB DFS slate is tricky salary wise, and one on which I would give serious consideration to Mad Bum as an SP1 on DK. The Marlins swim near the bottom of the league versus LHPs sporting a .304 wOBA and pathetic wRC+ of 88. With severe home/road splits favoring Bumgarner at home, combined with a bevy of solid starts going six innings or more, this one is a gem.

MerrillKelly vs. Cincinnati Reds

$7,300 FD / $7,800 DK

Looking for a GPP play on FD? How about a SP2 on DK? Luckilyfor you I have found you the answer on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate, and his name isMerrill Kelly. In an odd turn of events taking ballpark factors intoconsideration Kelly is currently posting a 3.50 home ERA opposed to his 5.89road ERA. With the Reds striking out 24.2 percent of the time versus RHPs whilesporting a wRC+ of 81 over the last seven days, Kelly is where I am looking.

TylerGlasnow vs. Los Angeles Angels

$8,200 FD / $5,000 DK

Obviously with the pitch count for Glasnow highly in question on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate he is a complete fade for me on FD. But oh boy, look at the price on DK. My hope here is that he makes it about three-to-four innings netting 12 or more fantasy points, facing an Angels team batting .212 over the last seven days.

Name	Team	W	L	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Jack Flaherty	Cardinals	10	7	168.1	10.48	2.62	1.23	38.00%	14.20%	2.99	3.8
Zack Greinke	Astros	15	5	189.1	7.94	1.38	0.95	44.20%	11.20%	2.99	3.86
Madison Bumgarner	Giants	9	8	188.2	8.78	1.86	1.24	35.90%	12.10%	3.77	4.29
Merrill Kelly	Diamondbacks	10	14	163.1	7.55	2.76	1.54	41.80%	15.60%	4.68	4.68
Tyler Glasnow	Rays	6	1	50.1	10.73	1.97	0.72	50.80%	10.50%	2.15	2.99

On theAttack

Obviously on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate Coors Field is going to be highly targeted, so here are some other options if you were to go a different route.

Mike Montgomeryvs. Houston Astros

The Houston Astros are the number one offense in MLB facing LHPs. They are posting a .370 wOBA with a wRC+ of 135, while only striking out 17.9 percent of the time (the lowest in MLB). Although Monty’s home/road splits are severe favoring home, he has allowed five earned runs in two of this last four starts. Facing this team, he is going to get blown up on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate.

Notable Bats

Jose Altuve has a .474 wOBA versus LHPs with a wRC+of 227. He is also 3-for-5 with a home run and 3 RBI versus Montgomery.

George Springer has five home runs and 11 RBI overthe last seven days while posting a .379 wOBA versus LHPs.

Abraham Toro comes at a low salary and gives you somecheap exposure to the Astros bats tonight.

DylanCease vs. Seattle Mariners

The Mariners have been less than impressive facing RHPs this season, and the .307 wOBA shows it. There will be some people on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate who will argue Cease makes a nice GPP play. Well, this is also the case the other way. Dylan has not been chillin’, allowing 13 earned runs in his last 12 innings. Attack, Attack, Attack!

Notable Bats

Daniel Vogelbach has been colder than a Massachusetts day in January, batting .118 over the last seven. Regardless he still carries a .363 wOBA versus RHPs, making this a perfect game to break out of the slump.

Kyle Seager makes a nice option tonight with Nolan Arenado being tops at third. He is also in a prime spot for a breakout game, batting .158 over the last seven days.

Omar Narvaez has a .352 wOBA versus RHPs with a wRC+ of 124. He is batting in the cleanup spot most nights and makes a fine play at the catcher position.

Name	Team	PA	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB%	K%	AVG	wRC+	wOBA L	wOBA R
Jose Altuve	Astros	502	28	86	67	6	8.00%	15.10%	0.305	143	0.474	0.352
George Springer	Astros	512	35	88	89	5	11.70%	20.70%	0.296	156	0.379	0.408
Abraham Toro	Astros	67	2	12	5	1	10.40%	19.40%	0.237	106	0.213	0.368
Daniel Vogelbach	Mariners	525	30	71	76	0	16.40%	25.90%	0.214	116	0.277	0.363
Kyle Seager	Mariners	385	22	50	59	2	10.60%	20.30%	0.246	120	0.385	0.328
Omar Narvaez	Mariners	446	20	60	52	0	9.60%	19.50%	0.28	119	0.317	0.352

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

With Milwaukee striking out over 25 percent of the timeversus RHPs, and Flaherty striking out eight or more batters in three of hislast five starts, I am going with the over here.

In Lyles’ last five starts he has only struck out five or more batters once. With the Cardinals being on the lower end of strikeouts versus RHPs, I am on the under all day.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/9 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

5 years ago

written by

Tonight’s 9/9 MLB DFS slate offers a larger than usual amount of great starting pitching on a shortened slate. Not to mention the Yankees are in Boston, which for the record feels like a real offensive trap. So, with the first Sunday of NFL in the books let’s get back to MLB.

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On the Defense

Shane Biebervs. Los Angeles Angels

$11,300 FD / $11,700

Drawing Bieber fever on the day my 9/9 MLB DFS pitching article is due it causes me both excitement, and anxiety. I always want to use him in all my lineups, but at the price he often finds himself sprinkled in instead. Regardless, the last time the Angels were unlucky enough to face him Bieber threw a complete game, allowing two earned runs with eight strikeouts. Facing an Angels team tonight batting .221 over the last seven days, and a near limitless swing and miss upside, Bieber is the clear-cut safest cash game play on the board.

MadisonBumgarner vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

$9,000 FD / $9,200 DK

If you’re looking to have more cash to play with on this 9/9 MLB DFS slate, Mad Bum at home facing the Pirates is an incredible stroke of fortune. The Pirates are 28^th in MLB in wOBA (.296) versus LHPs this season with a low wRC+ of 80. With a strong ballpark shift at home in San Francisco where his ERA is a nice 2.83, and not allowing more than one earned run at home in six of his last seven starts, old Madison shines bright as a top option tonight.

Kyle Hendricksvs. San Diego Padres

$8,500 FD / $8,800 DK

Although I prefer Hendricks at home, he does find himself in a sweet matchup on this 9/9 MLB DFS slate facing the Padres. With San Diego striking out 26.4 percent of the time with a pathetic .298 wOBA versus RHPs, there is no way you do not show him some serious consideration tonight facing the most picked on team in DFS.

Merrill Kellyvs. New York Mets

$7,500 FD / $6,000 DK

The last time Kelly faced the Mets on June 2^nd he had 10 strikeouts over 7 2/3 innings while only allowing one earned run. The Mets hit RHPs to the tune of a .324 wOBA, and this play is riskier than trying to grab a cornered squirrel. But in large field GPP play on this 9/9 MLB DFS slate I plan on having a fair amount of exposure here. Just keep in mind over his last eight starts he has allowed six or more earned runs in four of them.

Name	Team	W	L	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Shane Bieber	Indians	13	7	188.2	11.11	1.81	1.24	0.284	44.70%	16.30%	3.24	3.13
Madison Bumgarner	Giants	9	8	181.2	8.87	1.83	1.24	0.29	36.00%	12.20%	3.81	4.23
Kyle Hendricks	Cubs	9	9	154	7.71	1.75	1.11	0.275	40.40%	11.60%	3.39	4.36
Merrill Kelly	Diamondbacks	10	13	157.1	7.55	2.75	1.49	0.294	41.40%	14.90%	4.69	4.68

On the Attack

Tonight’s 9/9 MLB DFS slate is rather tricky as far as bats are concerned, but there are still some great matchups to exploit. Here are my top two.

Cal Quantrillvs. Chicago Cubs

With the Cubs having a .330 wOBA versus RHPs (9^th in MLB), and Quantrill having allowed eight earned runs in his last two starts facing the Dodgers, and Diamondbacks, this seems easy on this 9/9 MLB DFS slate.

Notable Bats

Anthony Rizzo is posting a .402 wOBA with a wRC+ of 148 versus RHPs while not homering in his last ten games.

Wilson Contreras is posting a .382 wOBA versus RHPs with two home runs over his last three games.

Nico Hoerner batted .284 in AAA prior to his callup and is $2,200 on DK while not available on FD.

TrevorWilliams vs. San Francisco Giants

The sneaky stack for this 9/9 MLB DFS slate is right here. Prior to his last three decent starts he had allowed five earned runs or more in the three previous. With the Giants being the off the radar team every night, on a shortened slate I plan on loading up some in large field GPPs.

Notable Bats

Buster Posey is 4-for-7 lifetime versus Williams, it may be small, but it is something.

Alex Dickerson has a .377 wOBA versus RHPs this season.

Mike Yastrzemski is posting a .341 wOBA versus RHPs while batting .333 over the last seven with a home run.

Name	Team	W	L	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Cal Quantrill	Padres	6	6	90.2	7.44	2.28	1.19	0.281	43.20%	12.00%	4.57	4.61
Trevor Williams	Pirates	7	6	125.2	6.88	2.44	1.5	0.305	36.80%	13.00%	5.16	5.18

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

Although Zobrist struggles more versus LHPs this is an easy matchup facing a scrub pitcher. Over all the way.

With Hendricks allowing his fair share of runs on the road, and Machado being a decent play most nights, I am going over here as well.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

8/30 DFS Pitching and Prop Picks: Mad Bummin’

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

To say this is an ugly slate for pitchers would be an understatement. I can’t remember having so many pitchers that I don’t trust in one particular article, so treading the waters lightly here is going to be key. With that said, there were five guys that I found suitable for recommendation, so with that in mind, let’s get into our 8/30 DFS Pitching options.

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8/30 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitcher of the Day

Madison Bumgarner, SF vs. SD

DK ($10,200) FD ($9,200)

Finding a cash game pitcher was tough with the matchups but Bumgarner probably has the highest floor of any pitcher on this slate. That’s evident by the fact that Bum has at least 24 FanDuel points in 19 of his last 22 starts. Two of those were at Coors Field and versus the Dodgers, so it’s clear that he’s in top form right now. The reason we like him today is because he gets to face a weak offense at home.

Let’s begin with Mad Bum’s splits, with the left-hander generating a 2.95 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 8.9 K/9 rate at Oracle Park this season. That’s no surprise when you consider that San Fran has the best pitching environment in the Majors and that spells disaster for an offense like the Padres. In fact, San Diego currently ranks 27^th in K rate, 26^th in runs scored, 28^th in xwOBA and 23^rd in both OBP and OPS.

8/30 DFS Pitching GPP Plays

Anibal Sanchez, WSH vs. MIA

DK ($8,800) FD ($7,700)

Alright, let’s get into these questionable starters. Sanchez is just that but he’s shown some signs of a resurgence the last two seasons. In that two-year span, Sanchez is pitching to a 3.31 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. That’s really all you can ask for from a pitcher who’s coming off of the best start of his season, allowing just one hit across 8.1 innings against the Chicago Cubs. That Cubbies matchup is a lot tougher than this one, with the Marlins ranked bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That was crystal clear in Sanchez’s last start against Miami on July 4, with the right-hander pitching six one-run innings. Vegas couldn’t agree more with our assessment, making the Nationals a –270 favorite in this tasty matchup.

Dinelson Lamet, SD at SF

DK ($10.700) FD ($8,200)

Lamet is probably my favorite play on the board, as he truly has some of the best upside on this slate. The reason for that is because of his stellar strikeout stuff, with Lamet posting a 30.2 percent K rate this season and a 29 percent K rate for his career. Those are simply some of the best averages around and it’s backed up by a 3.80 xFIP.

While he is a bit volatile, it’s hard to overlook the fact that he’s never allowed more than four runs in all nine starts this season, striking out at least five batters in each one too. That’s truly scary for an offense like this, with the Giants ranked 24^th in runs scored, 27^th in OBP and 26^th in both wOBA and OPS. That’s why we’re looking at a measly total of 7.5 in this pitcher-friendly park, as both of these guys should be great bets to throw a quality start with potential for double-digit Ks.

8/30 DFS Pitching Punt Plays

Kyle Gibson, MIN at DET

DK ($9,500) FD ($8,400)

Nobody is going to use Gibson at this price and that’s why I consider him a punt play. I don’t think I’ve used Gibson once all season long but anyone is worth considering against the Tigers. The reason for that is because the Motor City Kitties currently rank last in runs scored, OBP, K rate and xwOBA. That’s why anyone is worth playing against them, particularly an average arm like Gibson.

The Twins right-hander has been better than we’re giving him credit for, scoring at least 23 FanDuel points in 16 of his last 23 starts. The duds came against teams like the Red Sox, Rays, Yankees, Indians and Brewers, as he’s plenty capable of controlling an offense like this. In his two starts against Detroit this season, Gibson has eight Ks in each, averaging 29 FanDuel points per game. Not to mention, he and the Twins enter this matchup as a –300 favorite.

Max Fried, ATL vs. CWS

DK ($7,500) FD ($8,800)

Let’s cap things off with another great matchup. Any time an A.L. team travels to face an N.L. team, you have to consider picking a pitcher against them, especially one as bad as the White Sox. Chicago currently ranks 28^th in runs scored, 25^th in OPB, 27^th in OPS, 26^th in K rate and 25^th in both wOBA and xwOBA. That’s really frightening with them losing a DH here and that should really benefit a guy like Fried.

The Braves southpaw currently has a 14-4 record to match his 4.03 ERA. 3.46 xFIP and 24 percent K rate. That’s really all you can ask for from a player in this price range with such a good matchup. The lefty has been feeling it recently too, scoring at least 21 FanDuel points in 10-straight starts while averaging 35.1 fantasy points per game in that span. The odds completely agree, making Fried a –200 favorite in this fantastic matchup.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Lamet/Bumgarner Each Over 5.5 Strikeouts

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Since we love both of these guys, we have to like these props. I anticipate both of these guys pitching at least six innings in this spacious ballpark and that would have them on pace for 15 Ks between them if they maintain their K rates. That shouldn’t be an issue against bad offenses like this and I wouldn’t be afraid to get some money on the under too.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/8 MLB DFS Pitching Picks and Prop Plays

Wes Anderson 5 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

The 8/8 MLB DFS slate is a small eight gamer. Despite the limited number of games, there are plenty of interesting pitching options for Daily Fantasy purposes. Below are four pitching recommendations for the 8/8 MLB DFS slate. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Aaron Nola vs. San Francisco Giants

DraftKings – $10,600 FanDuel – $10,800The Phillies’ Aaron Nola might be priced a bit on the high side for this 8/8 MLB DFS slate. But it is hard to argue with his floor. He owns a 26.9% K% and faces a Giants’ offense with a sub-par .138 ISO. With the lack of firepower on the Giants’ side, Nola’s blowup chances are pretty low here, making him an excellent cash game option for Thursday.

Chris Sale vs. Los Angeles Angels

DraftKings – $10,000 FanDuel – $9,600 Sale’s 4.68 ERA is tough to get past for this 8/8 MLB DFS slate. But his 3.06 xFIP and 3.10 SIERA paints a better picture of the type of hurler he is. Regression should be in his favor today. And his strikeout upside with a 34.6% K% always puts him in the player pool. Today should be no different, especially with the suppressed price on FanDuel.

Dallas Keuchel vs. Miami Marlins

DraftKings – $8,000 FanDuel – $8,700No one will ever mistake Dallas Keuchel as a sexy DFS play but on this particular day, he should get some consideration. He has an excellent matchup against the Miami Marlins and their lowly .145 ISO. While his upside will be limited by his pitch to contact approach, Keuchel’s a very safe, cheap pitching option whose floor should provide DFS players comfort on this 8/8 MLB DFS slate.

Madison Bumgarner vs. Philadelphia Phillies

DraftKings – $9,000 FanDuel – $8,300The Giants’ Madison Bumgarner may not be the dominant pitcher he once was, but the southpaw continues to thrive at home in 2019. In San Francisco this season, Bumgarner has a 25.5% K% while holding his opponents to a .236/.274/.377 slash line. With the Phillies owning just a .155 ISO and a 86 wRC+ on the road, Bumgarner’s success at home should continue on this 8/8 MLB DFS slate.

Monkey Knife Fight Pitching Props

Let’s double dip with a Nola and Bumgarner prop play here. An 11.5 goal on the Count Ks contest seems a little low for the duo. MKF

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Picks from The King: Early Slate, Main Pitching

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

FULL AND DAY SLATE MLB DFS PICKS AND OUTLOOKS

If you are playing on the early slate there are two viable pitching options in the San Diego-Miami game for your MLB DFS Picks. Dinelson Lamet is at just $8500 on DraftKings and has allowed two earned runs in each of his first two starts but has not gone six innings yet. This could be the day when he does so and he’s worth a GPP play. I will still spend the $9200 for Caleb Smith instead in cash games.

Chris Sale seems like a contrarian option among MLB DFS Picks at $10,000 against Toronto as he has allowed five runs in each of his last three starts. It would be a daring GPP move to run a Blue Jays stack. Randal Grichuk is just $4000 on DK and Teoscar Hernandez is only $3500 and is coming off a two-homer game. Justin Smoak is $4000 and while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has homered just once in the last month, you may want to take a shot at $3600 in a GPP. He’s gotta start heating up again some time. The prices are friendly enough on the Jays bats. If it comes down to Aaron Nola vs. the Dodgers or Sale vs. the Jays on a two pitcher site, I will take the shot that Sale cannot continue to skid.

Look for some bats in the Royals-White Sox matchup as well. Cheslor Cuthbert is hitting .308 vs. lefties this year and is a good start against journeyman Ross Detwiler. Whit Merrifield will be worth the $5400 spend. You could consider a Kansas City stack if you don’t want to attack Sale on the short day schedule. Brad Keller has started to settle down but could get blown up at any time, and Jose Abreu looks like a good bet at $4400 when you consider he is hitting .306 this month.

MAIN SLATE PITCHING PICKS

Trevor Bauer is the obvious cash game lock for $11,000 in the Cleveland- Detroit game, but in GPPs I will definitely take my chances with Matt Boyd at $9600. While he has allowed four earned runs in each of his past five starts, he also has provided double figure strikeout totals in his last three outings. I’ll gamble on that sort of trending strikeout upside to help Boyd deliver his best start in awhile.

When you consider that Dakota Hudson has not allowed more than three earned runs in a game since April 15, he looks like a standout among MLB DFS Picks for pitching value at $5800. Not a bad price for a guy with an 8-4 record and a 3.84 ERA. The Reds have been sixth in MLB in hitting over the past week but Hudson can really keep things tidy for the price. He is the type of pitcher you can use to save some money for stacks and front loading your lineup with more bats in a GPP.

Madison Bumgarner has never lost to the Mets and can be your prime play at $9000 if you do not want to spend up for Bauer. He is 6-0 in his career against New York with a 2.00 ERA. Bumgarner has allowed three earned runs in his past three starts and held New York to three runs in six innings on June 4, I am going to lock him in against a team that he simply has a magical hold over. The Mets scored 14 runs yesterday and now will be brought back down by a guy they just cannot overcome.

Julio Teheran is at $6400 and at home, where he does his best work (2.86 ERA). He also has allowed three earned runs in his past three starts. The Nationals are 24th in team batting over the past week and Terheran can be confidently used in any format for your MLB DFS Picks. I would not hesitate to utilize him in cash or GPPs.

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

6/25 MLB DFS Podcast With Jason Mezrahi & Matt Striker

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

DFS PROS Jason Mezrahi and Matt Striker are featured in the 6/25 MLB DFS Podcast. Listen to get caught up on who they are planning to play tonight. They break down the large 15-game slate and Matt tries to explain how he feels about the New York Mets.

Is Max Worth Top Dollar?

The first decision you have to make on this slate is to pay up for the top end pitching or not. Max Scherzer and Gerrit Cole are the clear-cut aces, but you will have to pay to play. There are value guys but they each garner some risk. Madison Bumgarner, Robbie Ray, Jack Flaherty, Chris Bassitt, and Andrew Heaney can present some value. They all make sense if you can stomach putting your money at risk. Is it worth it when you know Mad Max is staring you down with two different colored eyes? So listen closely to the 6/25 MLB DFS Podcast to find the hidden gems on the Daily Fantasy Baseball Slate.

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Click play below to listen to the 6/25 MLB DFS Podcast.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB Winners and Losers: Sparkman, Vladdy Jr. and More

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

There was a 12-game slate on Thursday June 21. All points and dollar amounts are from DraftKings.

Winners

Glenn Sparkman ($4,200)

Glenn Sparkman went seven innings against the Minnesota Twins and only gave up a run on five hits. He also had a walk and three strikeouts. His one mistake pitch came against the second batter of the game, when Jorge Polanco hit a solo home run. With a very small price tag for a pitcher, Sparkman has to be on your radar his next start.

Sparkman’s Outlook

Glenn Sparkman had one of his best outings as a big leaguer last night. Even better, he also did that against one of the best lineups in baseball. His next scheduled start is against the Cleveland Indians on Tuesday. Now that he is gaining confidence as a starter, look for Sparkman as a cheap option on Tuesday’s slate.

Jose Iglesias ($3,500)

Jose Iglesias had a good game at the plate against the Milwaukee Brewers last night, going 2-for-5 with a home run, four RBI and a run scored. He upped his batting average to .291 after his performance. Look to use Iglesias on today’s slate.

Iglesias’ Outlook

Jose Iglesias has been hitting .306 (32-for-106) in his previous 30 games with three home runs and 17 RBI in that span. He is putting the ball in play and putting the pressure on the opposing fielders. Tonight the Reds continue the series against the Milwaukee Brewers and Chase Anderson is on the mound. Anderson’s curveball is practically non-existent this season as he is only throwing it 11 percent of the time and batters are hitting .471 against it. Lock Iglesias in for a multi-hit game.

Losers

Madison Bumgarner ($9,200)

Madison Bumgarner struggled last night against against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He ended up working just 3.2 innings with six runs on 10 hits and a 3:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. A five-run fourth inning made Bumgarner’s outing look a lot worse than it was. Madison Bumgarner will bounce back in his next start so use him on his next slate.

Bumgarner’s Outlook

If you take out the fourth inning, Bumgarner had a good beginning of the game against the Dodgers. Bumgarner had one bad inning that blew up his entire outing. His ERA is now at 4.28 and that would be his highest for a season by almost a full run. His next start will be on Tuesday against Colorado. The Rockies have a tendency to hit less on the road than at home, so Bumgarner will have a good start his next time up.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr ($3,500)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr struggled at the plate against the Los Angeles Angels. He finished hitless on four at-bats with a walk, a strikeout and seven runners left on base. He is in the midst of a cold stretch at the plate and should be faded on today’s slate.

Guerrero’s Outlook

Vladimir Guerrero Jr has been slumping this past week, going 5-for-24 with two RBI in that stretch. His season average has dropped to .249 after yesterday’s game. With only one home run in the entire month of June thus far, Guerrero seems to be off at the plate. The Blue Jays travel to Boston to play against the Red Sox and Chris Sale. He is locked in and Sale is hard to face when on a hot streak.

Injury Update

Aaron Judgeofficially returned from his oblique strain to the Yankees’ active roster after last night’s game. Judge originally went on the IL on April 20.

Nolan Arenado was pulled in the ninth inning in last night’s game with a toe contusion. He is considered day-to-day.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Top DFS Pitching Picks for 6/4: Striking Out Sox

Jared Contestabile 5 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

Stephen Strasburg vs. Chicago White Sox

I love attacking the White Sox, as they strike out so much and we know the upside Strasburg holds. Strasburg has been sensational this year, and he is coming off an 11 strikeout gem against the Atlanta Braves. With the strikeouts up and down this White Sox lineup we should expect nothing less than a repeat performance here. At home this season Strasburg has a 10.96 K/9 and is holding hitters to a .220 average. I love the safe feel I get with Strasburg along with the upside he holds.

Blake Snell @ Detroit Tigers

I know his last two starts haven’t paid his price tag off, but I love this as a get right spot for him. This Tigers lineup is absolutely dreadful and the only player I’m ever scared of is Nicholas Castellanos, but Snell is mowing down right-handed bats. This season Snell has a 12.06 K/9 against right-handed bats and the Tigers lean extremely RHB heavy. Right-handed hitters against are only hitting .207 vs. Snell. I know the past couple games might get people off Snell so I’m hoping I can snag low ownership with him in GPP.

Max Fried @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Pitchers in Pittsburgh always give me that little bit of extra comfortability that I need with a non ace. Now Fried doesn’t give you that crazy upside, but he does give me that security blanket. The Pirates are significantly worse against left handed pitching and the ballpark gives me more relief. Fried holds a 53.2% ground ball rate on the road paired with a 40% hard hit rate. Although the balls are getting hit hard, they’re hit on the ground.

Madison Bumgarner @ New York Mets

I’m not worried about the Mets as their offense is dreadful. With Conforto on the shelf and the offense completely banged up I could see MadBum cruising. They have many strikeouts up and down the lineup and Bumgarner can dice them up with the best of them. Bumgarner has been much better this season on the road (somehow) as his ERA drop as almost a full run. Away from SF Bumgarner holds a 9.16 K/9 and I think he could easily touch that in six innings with the way the Mets strike out.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

The King’s DFS Pitching and MLB Prop Picks for 5/29: Miami Mound Machine

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

James Paxton makes his return on the early slate against San Diego and would seem rather chalky at first glance against the Padres. But the New York Post has already reported Paxton does not expect to throw more than 75 pitches and Aaron Boone said he will not get to 100. He will not be worth the $10,700 on DraftKings.

On a two-pitcher site like DraftKings, there seems to be no way you cannot use Chris Paddack at $10,100, even against the Yankees, who are ranked sixth in batting in the majors. You may have to pay up because the rest of the short early slate features too much mediocrity. Oakland are no pushovers, but my other choice has to be Griffin Canning at 8,300. He has allowed three earned runs or less in four of five starts and has struck out at least five in every outing. This is the first time he will face the A’s, so that might help provide a slight advantage, especially in a day game.

John Means is very tempting vs. the Tigers on the night slate at 6,900. He has a 1.54 home ERA in four home starts. But the strikeout upside is not there with Means. You will have to hope the nature of the opponent could help to push him past his normal K output. Detroit is fifth in the league in strikeouts so I will take the tournament play on Means.

The Cardinals have been falling in the overall team batting rankings, but they are only 25^th in terms of team Ks, so Aaron Nola will not be one of my top plays at 9,000.

Blake Snell is the obvious chalk and cash game play vs. Toronto and should be worth the 11,300. Pairing him with Means or our favorite value pitcher of the night on a two-pitcher site like DraftKings could work out well.

That favorite value pitcher, even over Means, is Pablo Lopez of Miami at 6600 vs. the Giants. He has been so much better at home, with a 1.93 ERA and 26 Ks in 23.1 IP. Madison Bumgarner, at 9,900 on the other side, may be my top play of the night. I will use both starters in different lineups.

I also like Walker Buehler as a pivot off Bumgarner in the same price range (9,900) against a patchwork Mets lineup. I will fade Noah Syndergaard at 9,300 against that formidable Dodgers lineup.

MONKEYKNIFE FIGHT PICK OF THE NIGHT

Madison Bumgarner over5.5 strikeouts, Pablo Lopez over 4.5

This should be a pitching duel, as Lopez really enjoys pitching in his home park. A former MLB pitcher once told me that certain starters are so much more at ease at home, with all the familiar surroundings making it more mentally comfortable. But Bumgarner will be prolific too, as there’s no road crowd to get to him here. It will almost be like pitching in a neutral park. Play MLB Prop Games NOW and get 100 percent Bonus!

5 years ago 0 comment

Madison Bumgarner

Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick – Play These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

8/30 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitcher of the Day

Madison Bumgarner, SF vs. SD

DK ($10,200) FD ($9,200)

8/30 DFS Pitching GPP Plays

Anibal Sanchez, WSH vs. MIA

DK ($8,800) FD ($7,700)

Dinelson Lamet, SD at SF

DK ($10.700) FD ($8,200)

8/30 DFS Pitching Punt Plays

Kyle Gibson, MIN at DET

DK ($9,500) FD ($8,400)

Max Fried, ATL vs. CWS

DK ($7,500) FD ($8,800)

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Aaron Nola vs. San Francisco Giants

Chris Sale vs. Los Angeles Angels

Dallas Keuchel vs. Miami Marlins

Madison Bumgarner vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Monkey Knife Fight Pitching Props

FULL AND DAY SLATE MLB DFS PICKS AND OUTLOOKS

MAIN SLATE PITCHING PICKS

Is Max Worth Top Dollar?

Click play below to listen to the 6/25 MLB DFS Podcast.

Winners

Glenn Sparkman ($4,200)

Sparkman’s Outlook

Jose Iglesias ($3,500)

Iglesias’ Outlook

Losers

Madison Bumgarner ($9,200)

Bumgarner’s Outlook

Vladimir Guerrero Jr ($3,500)

Guerrero’s Outlook

Injury Update

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