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Kyle Schwarber

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 8/21 (FanDuel Main Slate)

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s six-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 6:40PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

The biggest weather threat is in Baltimore for the Braves-Orioles, and while we can certainly target hitters for this game, I’m not interested in either pitching option. Pricing is really tight on FD, much unlike the free squares for Colorado on DK, and it feels like all the best hitters on the slate are $3,500 and up — but we have some ways to attack this in GPPs and give ourselves a great shot at spiking a top finish.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Eduardo Rodriguez ($9,800)

It may seem crazy to say given his dynamic range of outcomes, but Rodriguez facing the strikeout-prone Rangers is the clear ace of the slate, especially with how much weight FD gives Ks and just how iffy the next two options (Joe Musgrove and Aaron Nola) have been over their past few starts. I love a good risk-reward pick as much as the next guy, but we just haven’t seen enough from the starting pitchers in the PHI-SD game to warrant using them at those prices. Rodriguez, though, gets a great spot against a Rangers team that is dead last in wOBA (.284) vs. LHP. He has 10K upside in this matchup and should get the requisite run support to notch a W. The only problem in rostering him comes when it’s time to stack up some hitters, but we do have some great value options on the Cardinals (more on that later).

Best GPP Value: J.A. Happ ($8,100)

The crafty veteran lefty is definitely someone that we could have looked to attack with right-handed mashers earlier in the season, but he’s completely turned around his season this August. Since he was traded to St. Louis, Happ’s allowed just three runs over 16.2 innings (1.62 ERA) with an 11:5 K:BB in his three outings. He’s sporting a dynamite .251 wOBA against opposing hitters in that stretch, and there’s nobody on this Pirates lineup that really scares me. He’s looking at around 25-30 as a floor with 45+ upside at a price point where nobody else has that kind of ceiling. He’s worth the investment and leaves $3,300+ per hitter — which helps us get the guys we need.

The other GPP Play: Wade Miley ($8,800)

Nobody likes playing soft-tossing Wade Miley, but he’s probably going to be relatively popular on this slate because he draws the Marlins, a lineup that’s chock full of some guys that aren’t necessarily household names. In fact, his popularity could dictate a few GPP stacks of the Marlins hitters just because it’ll be easy to get a portion of our builds way ahead of the projected ownership for guys like Lewis Brinson, Jesus Aguilar and Brian Anderson. But in my GPP builds where I’m not stacking Marlins, he’s a viable value option. I just wouldn’t exceed 20-25% with him if we’re doing 10+ lineups. He’s another guy with a 25-30 point floor and 45+ upside, but like I said — he’ll be pretty chalky, and if we’re looking for leverage we’re looking elsewhere.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Boston Red Sox

With all due respect to the game in Coors and the Braves against Matt Harvey in a game that’s likely to get pretty wet, my top stack is going to be the Red Sox against Jordan Lyles, who’s been dreadful. Lyles sports a .355 wOBA, .207 ISO, 40+% hard contact rate, 1.7 HR/9, a miniscule 16% K rate, a hilariously high 11% BB rate and a 49% fly ball rate. The Sox are going to mash, and getting exposure to their 1-7 hitters is a priority. The top four among them would be J.D. Martinez ($4,000), Rafael Devers ($4,200), Xander Bogaerts ($4,100) and Hunter Renfroe ($3,600) — who’s having a career year and has greatly improved his production vs. RHP. I also like leadoff man Kike Hernandez ($3,600), Kyle Schwarber ($3,700) and Alex Verdugo ($3,000) and, if he gets the start, a dirt-cheap Travis Shaw ($2,300). I’ll be mixing and matching Sox builds in just about all of my GPP entries, except for the random couple where I get some Coors exposure — which I don’t think is a huge priority on this slate based on FD’s inflated pricing. There’s plenty of value in that Colorado lineup on DK, but it’s cost prohibitive on FD where we need to save a few bucks.

GPP Value Stack: St. Louis Cardinals

The Cards are the clear value play that allows us to fit Rodriguez and/or the necessary Red Sox bats. Tommy Edman ($3,000), Tyler O’Neill ($3,200), Paul Goldschmidt ($3,800) and Nolan Arenado ($4,300) are the best four bats, but we might not be able to get Goldy and Arenado in there because of their hefty prices — which is fine in GPPs since we have more options in Paul DeJong ($2,700) and Harrison Bader ($2,900). Yadier Molina is really inexpensive at $2,500, and he’s locked into that No. 5 spot right in the middle of all the action.

Contrarian GPP Stack: Miami Marlins

We’ll start with the guys I mentioned earlier — Aguilar ($2,900), Brinson ($2,800) and Anderson ($2,900) and throw in Miguel Rojas ($2,800) for good measure. Wade Miley limits hard contact, but this is a bunch that could fluster him by just getting the ball in play, and relying on the “bloop and a blast” method. Again — this is a contrarian mini-stack not to be used in more than 20-25% of your GPP builds if you’re multi-entering. Jazz Chisholm, Jr. ($3,200) and Jesus Sanchez ($2,300) are also options.

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comment

9/26 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Indians Can’t Cease Fire

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The main slate for 9/26 DFS is just a simple, five-game assembly of MLB DFS matchups featuring some playoff implications and some sneaky stacks! Let’s find the best one-off plays and a couple quality stacks to get you on the road to cash!

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9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks ofthe Day

Cleveland Indians at DylanCease

With Jose Ramirez back, the Indians have another titanic bat in their lineup as they try to sneak into the playoffs via the Wild Card. Eliminated from securing their fourth straight AL Central title with Wednesday’s loss (coupled with a victory by the Minnesota Twins), the Indians have a Thursday night matchup that bodes well for the bats facing a hittable Dylan Cease (5.79 ERA). Expect Francisco Lindor to erase that poor showing last night and get some exposure to the 2-5 bats, along with Franmil Reyes and a dirt-cheap Mike Freeman ($3,200 DK, $2,500 FD) at the bottom of the order.

Oakland Athletics atSeattle Mariners

We’ve come to expect a lot from the A’s as September winds down, and this is a prime opportunity for the bats to come alive and pile on some runs on this 9/26 DFS slate. Mark Canha left the game early last night and Khris Davis is battling a stomach bug, but there are plenty of bats to go to in their stead, and while Felix Hernandez is a historically solid pitcher, he’s nearing the end of his career (6.51 ERA this season) and just isn’t the same old King Felix. The A’s also hit well on the road, with a .329 wOBA as a team. I like Matt Olson, Matt Chapman and Marcus Semien.

Houston Astros at JaimeBarria

The Astros plan on sitting Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and George Springer, but that just means you can grab some value at the top of their lineup with Kyle Tucker and mix in some “next man up” types who’ve performed well in limited duty this season. They’re not my favorite stack for 9/26 DFS, but they’re certainly viable and a little cheaper to fit in without all the regulars.

9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks toConsider

Chicago Cubs at Joe Musgrove – The Cubs face ahittable pitcher who can hand out free passes and get lit up as easily as hecan rack up the Ks.

New York Mets vs. Jordan Yamamoto – Yamamoto isn’t a bad young pitcher, but he struggles with RHBs and the Mets have a bunch of really good ones.

9/26 DFS HittingCatcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,600) FD ($2600)

Unfortunately, the pickings are slim at catcher today, so I’ll be looking to Wilson Ramos and his power upside. The Mets regular catcher is slashing .286/.350/.415 this season and Yamamoto has trouble with right-handed bats (.322wOBA vs. RHBs, .250 wOBA vs. LHBs). Just make sure he’s in the lineup before you lock him in.

9/26 DFS Hitting FirstBaseman

Matt Olson, OAK at SEA

DK (4,600) FD ($3,700)

My affinity for Matt Olson is well-known among my peers, and he’s deliveredfor me time and again in GPPs. This matchup is an interesting one, because Olsonhas a .293 ISO and 150 wRC+ against righties. Olson, who’s been hitting forpower this month with a .345 ISO, will likely face a couple of RHPs and has agood chance at going deep in this game.

9/26 DFS Hitting SecondBaseman

Aledmys Diaz, HOU at LAA

DK($4,100) FD ($2,900)

With some Astros sitting, Diaz probably gets another start tonight and is carrying a decent slash line (.271/.349/.457) into the 9/26 contest. He has a 122 wRC+ against RHPs this season, is fairly priced on DK and is unbelievably cheap on FD. It looks like I may give him a shot in about half my lineups this evening.

9/26 DFS Hitting ThirdBaseman

Matt Chapman, OAK at SEA

(DK $4,100) FD ($3,600)

Mr. Chapman homered last night, is very affordable on both sites, and is slightly better against RHPs (124 wRC+ vs. RHPs, 122 wRC+ vs. LHPs). While he had a relatively quiet September, I like the matchup for Chapman against King Felix here here — and there are not many 3B who stick out in this slate other than him, Alex Bregman (who’s available at SS on DK), and Yoan Moncada.

9/26 DFSHitting Shortstop

Alex Bregman, HOU at LAA

DK ($2,600) FD ($2,000)

Some of the veteran Astros players will get spelled tonight, but Bregman is slated to stay in the lineup and is red hot at the plate (3-4, two 2B, RBI, R last night). He sports a robust 168 wRC+ and is slashing .298/.421/.595 triple-slash line with 119 runs scored, 40 homers, 110 RBI and five steals this season. The hard-hitting Bregman is a fine place to anchor your SS slot.

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9/26 DFS HittingOutfielders

Kyle Tucker, HOU at LAA

DK($4,800) FD ($2,900)

Tucker draws the leadoff spot for 9/26 DFS a night after launching a solo homer against the Mariners. With Jose Altuve getting the day off, he takes over a prime spot in the Astros lineup and has done ell with his chances so far: The 22-year-old rookie outfielder is hitting .304/.339/.571 with 11 runs scored, three HRs, 10 RBI and five SB in 59 plate appearances this season. The price on DK is fair, but on FD he’s just way too cheap.

Brandon Nimmo, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

I love Nimmo in the leadoff spot today for the Mets, who don’t havea lot to play for but still have an exciting group of young hitters. Nimmo hasa 133 wRC+ against RHPs in his career and will have plenty of run scoringopportunities here. He also has a 16.4 BB% facing RHPs in his career and a 19.7BB% this season against righties – a nice patience complement to his burgeoningpower.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC at PIT

DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

While he’s not much of a contact/average hitter, Schwarber has been heating up at the plate (2-4 last night with a pair of singles on Wednesday) just in time for his team to be eliminated from the playoffs. Schwarber is hitting .248/.337/.527 with 37 homers, 91 RBI and 80 runs scored in 152 games overall in 2019, and he’s got a great matchup vs. RHP Joe Musgrove.

9/26 DFS Additional StackOptions:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,700 DK, $3,000 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $2,900 FD)

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $3,900 FD), Pete Alonso ($5,000 DK,$4,000 FD)

2B: Ian Happ ($4,000 DK, $2,600 FD), Yolmer Sanchez ($2,700 DK) ($2,300FD)

3B: Yoan Moncada ($4,800 DK, $3,500 FD), David Fletcher ($3,900DK, $2,800 FD)

SS: Francisco Lindor ($4,600 DK, $4,200 FD), Jack Mayfield ($2,600 DK, $2,000 FD)

OF: Yordan Alvarez ($5,400 DK, $4,400 FD), Nick Castellanos ($4,600DK, $3,800 FD), Michael Brantley ($4,000 DK, $3,500 FD), Oscar Mercado ($4,900DK, $3,400 FD), Michael Conforto ($4,600 DK, $3,500 FD), Robbie Grossman, ($3,500DK, $2,400 FD),

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/18 DFS Hitting Picks & Stacks: Dial O for Offense

5 years ago

written by

The 9/18 Hitting Picks — at least the main slate — is hampered by the fact that five of the 15 games are daytime starts. Rather than be completely single-minded, we’ll give a nudge or two to the daytime folk.

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9/18 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Omar Navarez, SEA at PIT

DK ($4,200), FD ($2,800)

Navarez hit his 22nd homer of the season in Tuesday’s shutout win over the Pirates, continuing a run that has seen the lefty-swinging backstop hit .391 with three homers, six RBI and five runs scored over the past week. His .861 OPS versus right-handers sets him up well against Pirates hurler Dario Agrazal, who has a 7.08 ERA since July 26. Agrazal has allowed 12 homers in just 62.1 innings.

9/18 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

Trey Mancini, BAL at TOR

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,900)

One of the few highlights of another dismal season in B-More, Mancini (who also has OF eligibility) has spent much of 2019 pounding Blue Jays pitching. Entering tonight’s game, Mancini has a .996 OPS with six homers and 19 RBI versus Toronto. His 8.9% walk rate has helped Mancini become more than just a masher. Mancini hits to all fields and sports a 25% HR/FB rate despite a surprisingly low 31.6% fly ball rate.

9/18 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Ozzie Albies, ATL vs. PHI

DK ($4,800), FD ($3,400)

He’s put the hammer down this month. Albies has a 1.029 OPS in September with four homers, 10 RBI and 13 runs scored. He’s also recorded five multi-hit games over his last nine starts along with building upon an already impressive 42.4% hard contact rate. Like Mancini with the Blue Jays, Albies has thrived versus Phillies pitching, going .343/.395/.600 (.995 OPS), earning him the same vulgar looks Philly fans have given to the likes of other enemies like Joe Carter, Terrell Owens and Santa Claus.

9/18 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Miguel Sano, MIN at CWS

DK ($5,000), FD ($3,600)

Sano’s 486-foot moonshot on Tuesday was his third blast in his last four games since the Twins returned to American League play. After missing four straight games, Sano will continue to rake, as he has recorded four hits and a .955 OPS in 10 at-bats against Ivan Nova, who gets the nod tonight against the White Sox. A cool stat about Sano: he has a .708 slugging percentage in his last 58 at-bats against curveball specialists like Nova. Hmmm…

9/18 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Adalberto Mondesi, KC at OAK

DK ($4,600), FD ($3,600)

Wait, wasn’t he not supposed to run? Mondesi didn’t get the memo, having recorded a pair of stolen bases over the past week. After a sluggish start to his return from the DL, Mondesi has stolen eight bases this month. He’s also recorded six hits over his last three games, making him an exception to the day’s main slate rule. Mondesi has a good 38.1% hard contact rate and remains a pull-centric hitter (45.9% rate). Even with missing a significant portion of the season, Mondesi will get at least 40 steals. Imagine how many more he could tally if he improved his 4% walk rate and 29.1% strikeout rate.

9/18 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Kyle Schwarber, CHI vs. CIN

DK ($4,400), FD ($3,600)

In his deepest thoughts, Schwarber must be thinking, “this is what plate discipline feels like!” He’s put together a .369 OBP this month to go along with a 1.064 OPS. Schwarber has banged out five homers, 17 RBI and 13 runs scored. Whether he can bottle that up for traditional Fantasy isn’t the issue here. What is is that Schwarber is 4-for-10 against Reds starter Tyler Mahle with a homer and an 1.155 OPS.

9/18 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at MIN

DK ($4,000), FD ($3,900)

With a pair of three-hit games over the past three, Jimenez has tacked on 12 points to his batting average, putting him at .261. While he has scuffled against Twins pitching, Jimenez does have three homers against them and comes into tonight having hit .433 with three homers and eight RBI over the past week. Jimenez has boosted his Isolated Power to .234 along with raising his hard contact rate to 37.8%.

9/18 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Kyle Lewis, SEA at PIT

DK ($3,800), FD ($3,500)

The rookie’s 34.4% strikeout rate looks like some grotesque scene from the Saw movie franchise, but — like Jigsaw — Lewis is alive. It certainly helps to have a .467 Isolated Power and making the most of a 55% medium contact rate. There’s the prospect of a mild Mariners stack that begins with Lewis and Navarez.

9/11 DFS Hitting Stacks

9/18 Hitting Stack of the Day: Minnesota Twins: The White Sox plan to use Ivan Nova in the opener role. That means the Twins can tee off on a Chicago bullpen that has allowed 75 homers. Nelson Cruz ($3,200 FD) has two homers and an 1.134 OPS against Nova. Mitch Garver ($3,100 FD) could also be fit into a stack that would include the aforementioned Sano.

9/18 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Houston Astros: Rangers starter Kolby Allard has a 2.28 ERA on the road. The Astros are expensive, as usual, but building with Yordan Alvarez ($5,600 DK) and Yuli Gurriel ($4.400 DK) would be helped with bargain bats Jake Marisnick ($3,700 DK) and Abraham Toro ($3,500) should both find their way into the lineup.

9/18 Hitting Stack to Consider: Cincinnati Reds: Cubs lefty Jon Lester has allowed 15 runs in his last 10.1 innings. Eugenio Suarez ($3,900 FD) has five career homers off Lester. Aristides Aquino ($3,400 FD) snapped out of a funk by hitting his 16th homer on Tuesday, Light-hitting Jose Peraza ($2,000 FD) has also tagged Lester well, having hit .353 against him 34 career at-bats.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/17 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Monday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/17 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/17 MLB DFS Winner: Robbie Ray

As Jason had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value pitcher, Robbie Ray had a solid start against the Miami Marlins last night. He supplied six innings of one run ball while giving up one hit with four walks and seven punchouts.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Ray hasn’t been a huge factor in terms of innings, as he hasn’t pitched more than 6.0 innings in his last 11 starts. The Diamondbacks are all but out on a postseason berth, but with a couple of outings left, Ray could be a good value option. Expect him to throw a quality amount of innings but give up a good amount of baserunners as well.

9/17 MLB DFS Winner: Jake Lamb

Facing the Miami Marlins at the plate, Jake Lamb had a pretty good day at the plate. Lamb went 1-for-3 with a double and four RBI on the day. In an injury-plagued season, Lamb is getting some more power in his swing as the season starts to near the finish.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Jake Lamb has not had the 2019 season that he envisioned after a short 2018 as well. It’s not a huge sample size with just 164 at-bats, but he has a .693 OPS which isn’t terrible either. Expect him to get his swing right and hope he remains healthy for the 2020 campaign.

9/17 MLB DFS Winner: Kyle Schwarber

Here is a screenshot from the Premium Projection Model of Kyle Schwarber, who was also a value outfielder on the cheatsheet. Going up against the division-rival Cincinnati Reds, Schwarber had a good day at the plate. He ended the day going 1-for-4 with a three-run home run and was a big factor in the victory for the Cubs,

Outlook for the rest of the season: Schwarber has been not a good for average, but has a .840 OPS on the year. This also was the second game in a row where he slugged a home run and five HRs in his last 15 games. Now is the perfect time for Schwarber to heat up as Anthony Rizzo is out of the lineup while the Cubs fight to possibly win the N.L. Central crown. Expect Schwarber to keep slugging down the final stretch.

9/17 MLB DFS Winner: Adalberto Mondesi

Aldalberto Mondesi had a good day at the plate on the road against the Oakland Athletics and Jason predicted this, as he was his value shortstop. He went 3-for-5 with him being a home run shy of the cycle while adding two RBI. This is great considering he is going against a playoff-contending pitching staff.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Mondesi has been one of the few bright spots for Kansas City this season, as he is batting .270 with 39 stolen bases. He isn’t going to provide much pop off the bat, but his speed makes him avoid slumping for long stretches. Expect Mondesi to get a good amount of hits and produce for the final couple of weeks of the season.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/6 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Thursday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/6 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/6 MLB DFS Winner: Kyle Schwarber

As Jason had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value outfielder, Kyle Schwarber had a terrific day at the plate. Going up against the Milwaukee Brewers, Schwarber went 2-for-3 with a grand slam and added a walk as well.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Kyle Schwarber is having another incredible season at the plate. He has an .857 OPS on the year, which is the highest in a season for him. As the Cubs battle for the division title, expect Schwarber to continue smacking the ball all over the field.

9/6 MLB DFS Winner: Bo Bichette

Above is a list of all shortstops from our Premium Gold Hitters Projection model and Bo Bichette was projected to have a good game and did just that. Against the Tampa Bay Rays, Bichette went 2-for-5 with two home runs and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Bichette is doing well at the plate in his last 30 games, batting .313 with nine HRs and 15 RBI in that span. He has such a violent swing, so be aware that one rip can be the reason he is out for a week or so. Expect him to continue to wield a hot bat and build on his rookie campaign

9/6 MLB DFS Winner: Max Fried

Here is a screenshot from our Premium Gold Pitchers Projection model from last night’s slate. Max Fried was one of the top priced guys and arguably was a value pick still. Against the Washington Nationals, he went seven innings of shutout ball while allowing one hit with nine strikeouts.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Max Fried is now up to 16 wins on the season and has a 2.90 ERA in his last seven starts. He is going to be a N.L. Cy Young award finalist at year’s end. Expect Fried to continue his dominance for the final month of the regular season.

9/6 MLB DFS Winner: Miami Marlins Offense

The Miami Marlins had an offensive explosion against the Pittsburgh Pirates last night as they put up 10 runs on 16 hits. Neil Walker went 2-for-4 with three RBI, which led all players on the team.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Miami Marlins are rarely going to be here as a team. They do not have a lineup with big-name players and much production with just 522 runs, the lowest in the National League. Don’t expect another outburst like this for the remainder of the season.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/3 DFS Hitting Stacks and Picks: It’s Easy to Be Brave

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

Today we’ll be examining a fine 12-game Tuesday 9/3 DFS MLB slate (one without a super-obvious Coors Field game), looking to embrace the variance, find some compelling stacks to focus on in our lineup builds, and list some viable hitters in GPPs – as well as some additional plays that might be worth a punt or contrarian pivot.

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9/3 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

AtlantaBraves vs. Wilmer Font/T.J. Zeuch

The Braves have the highest implied total (6 runs) on the 12-game 7:05 slate, with the Dodgers close behind. Both Font and Zeuch (the proposed primary reliever who’ll be making his MLB debut) are RHPs — so it’s safe to stack the 1-5 hitters as there are no weak links in the bunch. Don’t overthink this one – the Braves have punished RHPs, are a better offense at home this season, and have plenty of value bats if you’re building a non-traditional stack.

LosAngeles Dodgers vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez

The Dodgers have six hitters in their projected lineup with ISOmarks north of .200 against RHP, including some of the best xwOBA marks on the slate(Will Smith at .487 and Cody Bellinger at .446). Feel free to attack Chi Chi’sterrible splits against lefties regardless of the barely beneficial shift awayfrom Coors. Joc Pederson (who you will have to double check on because he leftMonday’s game after a leaping catch at the wall), Corey Seager, Bellinger, A.J.Pollock and Matt Beaty should be the core of this group.

ClevelandIndians vs. Dylan Cease

It’s been a few days, but the Indians bats came alive last night and knocked around Ross Detwiler, and the matchup against Dylan Cease shouldn’t offer too much resistance. Cease is vulnerable to both RHBs and lefties, so it doesn’t really matter which side of the plate your stacked players hit from – just make sure you’re building around a core of Francisco Lindor, Oscar Mercado and Carlos Santana. You have myriad options for additional power bats in the heart of the lineup and a bit further down (Yasiel Puig, Franmil Reyes, Jakob Bauers), so it might be worth it to build some variety if you’re multi-entering in GPPs.

9/3 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Minnesota Twins at Rick Porcello

Boston Red Sox vs. Randy Dobnak

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Matthew Strahm

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Dereck Rodriguez

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Sandy Alcantara

9/3 DFS Hitting Catcher

JasonCastro, MIN at BOS

DK ($3,700) FD($2,400)

We’re looking for some value at catcher given some of the prices of these bigger bats in the stacks we need to fit, and Castro is exactly the type of hitter we’re looking for – a sneaky option with ample power and plenty of bats surrounding him. If the Twins roll out Castro against Porcello, I’d be comfortable with the BvP data (5-for-13 with a HR) and overall against RHP (.476 xwOBA).

9/3 DFS Hitting First Baseman

JoshBell, PIT vs. MIA

DK ($5,100) FD($4,400)

You’re going to get Josh Bell at a very low ownership, and while the $5,100 price seems oppressive, the Pirates still sport a decent implied total and Bell (.426 xwOBA vs. RHP) might fly under the radar in this slate. The Pirates aren’t the safest stack, but Bell stands out as an excellent one-off, especially if you’re steering clear of Freddie Freeman and looking for a more contrarian play.

9/3 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

KoltenWong, STL vs. SF

DK($4,300) FD ($3,100)

Wong is red-hot at the plate, with a seven-game hitting streak and a triple in three straight games (the record is five, by Chief Wilson in 1912). A streaky hitter who’s having an excellent second half (.381/.462/.545 in 42 games since the break), Wong’s got an affordable price tag and could be banging out some more extra base hits from that 2-slot against the Giants.

9/3 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

RafaelDevers, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,400) FD($4,100)

Devers and the Red Sox are a formidable stack against just about anyopposing pitcher, but this is an especially tasty matchup with rookie Randy Dobnakon the mound for the Twins. Since Anthony Rendon and Alex Bregman aren’t in idealspots Tuesday, I’m rolling with Devers and his obscene metrics vs. RHP (.429xwOBA, .247 ISO). He’s never far from a run-producing spot and he’s got all theprotection he needs surrounded by the Boston sluggers.

9/3 DFS Hitting Shortstop

AdalbertoMondesi, KC vs. DET

DK ($5,200) FD($3,100)

Mondesiobviously missed being a part of the Royals lineup, because he went 4-for-5with two runs scored and three SB in the Royals’ 6-4 comeback win against theOrioles on Sunday. He’s facing a LHP in Daniel Norris on Tuesday and he’sclearly recovered from his shoulder injury – and while the price on DK issteep, he’s very affordable on FD.

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9/3 DFS Hitting Outfielders

MattJoyce, ATL vs. TOR

DK ($3,900) FD($2,400)

Joyceis a classic value GPP play because of his power potential and assault on RHP(.392 xwOBA). It’s also helpful that both the projected starter and primaryreliever are right handers – which could give him an extra AB or two before he mustface a lefty out of the bullpen or get pulled for a pinch hitter or defensivereplacement. In a search for some bargains to offset the rest of the Bravesstack, Joyce could be a key cog.

MaxKepler, MIN at BOS

DK ($5,300) FD($3,500)

MaxKepler is batting leadoff for one of the top stacks of the day, so he’s definitelya fly ball hitter to build around despite his steep price tag on DraftKings. He’scoming off a 2-for-5 day in a win over Detroit and is slashing .258/.339/.537with 36 home runs and 90 RBI over 127 games in 2019. He’s an excellent roadhitter (.266/.357/.548) and he’s a real bargain on FanDuel at just $3,500.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD($3,100)

It’s always a weather-dependent recommendation to use or fade batsin Wrigley, so make sure there’s not a stiff breeze blowing in before youcommit to Schwarber here. The enigmatic Schwarber does his best work at homevs. RHP (125 wRC+ in 2019, .250/.355/.545 slash), and while he’s not the besthitter in high leverage spots (65 wRC+), that’s a figure that’s bound toimprove. King Felix is not the pitcher he once was, and it’s a fine spot forlefty mashers against him.

Additional 9/3 DFS hitting options (by position):

C: Carson Kelly, Chris Herrmann (value)

1B: Anthony Rizzo, Matt Olson

2B: Brock Holt (value), Eduardo Escobar

3B: Matt Carpenter, Abraham Toro

SS: Corey Seager, Nick Ahmed

OF: Matt Beaty, Dexter Fowler, Nick Castellanos, Adam Jones. Franmil Reyes, Oscar Mercado

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 7

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 11 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one-offs and value plays.

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP Gregory Soto (DET): 6.30 Runs

The Red Sox come in with the highest implied run total on the slate today. I do not expect Soto to pitch more than an inning or two but once he comes out he has an awful bullpen behind him. The Red Sox are slashing a league best .382 wOBA, .216 ISO, and .920 OPS over the last two weeks. Greg Soto carries 8.06 ERA, 6.29 FIP, and 5.88 SIERA over a small sample of 22 innings pitched. He is atrocious to righties. They are slashing .415 wOBA, .632 SLG, and .391 OBP against him. The Red Sox have a lot of right handed power early in the lineup and Soto struggles there the most as indicated above. This makes guy’s like Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, and J.D. Martinez early on a priority. The bullpen should open things up for Rafael Devers to crack the slate open, although he also hits lefties well.

Preferred Stack: J.D. Martinez ($4000 FD|$4700 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4900 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5000 DK), and Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5600 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 5.95 Runs

Asher Wojciechowski has bounced around multiple farm systems since 2010 and has limited big show experience other than the 62 innings pitched he tossed for the Reds in 2017. Through his career, Wojciechowski carries 6.62 ERA, 4.92 FIP, and 4.25 SIERA. He surrenders 1.81 HR/9 over that same time span and typically gives up over 50% fly ball rate. The Blue Jays offense has hit extremely well against right handed pitching the last few weeks. They are slashing a massive .399 wOBA, .318 ISO, and 152 WRC+ in that time span. I like this lineup a lot more when Randal Grichuk is in it. He is currently projected to start but is nursing a back injury. Boost to Toronto if he plays today.

Preferred Stack: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5500 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3800 FD|$4700 DK), Freddie Galvis $3400 FD|$4300 DK), Eric Sogard ($3400 FD|$4700 DK) and Justin Smoak ($3000 FD|$4100 DK) are my preferred plays. Danny Jansen ($2900 FD|$3800 DK) is okay for value but I typically won’t waste my utility spot on a catcher. Randal Grichuk ($3200 FD|$3800 DK) if he plays, if not Brandon Drury ($2500 FD|$3300 DK) is a decent value play.

Chicago Cubs Stack

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 6.00 Runs

I’m going to jump on this Cubs train before it passes me by this weekend. This team has quietly hit very well to right handed pitching over the last two weeks, slashing .354 wOBA, .233 ISO, and .515 SLG. Ivan Nova carries 5.92 ERA, 5.43 FIP, and 5.06 SIERA into today’s matchup. Nova isn’t giving up a ton of fly balls, but he does have a .339 BABIP to compliment his 45% ground ball rate. His splits are awful and close to identical. He holds a .386 wOBA, .512 SLG, and .368 OBP on the season. Wilson Contreras, Javier Baez, Kyle Schwarber, Anthony Rizzo, and Jason Heyward all sit in the top 45 hitters in the league with the best HR/FB ratio.

Preferred Stack: Jason Heyward ($3500 FD|$4800 DK), Kyle Schwarber ($3900 FD|$4300), Anthony Rizzo ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Wilson Contreras ($3600 FD|$5300 DK), and Javier Baez ($4100|$5300). I have a ton of interest in Robel Garcia ($2000 FD|$2200 DK). He’s essentially a free square with the fantastic matchup and minimum pricing. Lock him in.

Honorable Mentions

Houston Astros Stack

vs. LHP Jose Saurez (LAA): 5.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Jose Altuve ($3600 FD|$3900 DK), Alex Bregman ($4100 FD|$4700 DK), and Yordan Alvarez ($4200 FD|$4700 DK).

Baltimore Orioles Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton(TOR): 4.55 Runs

One-Offs and Value Plays

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Top Hitters and Prop Picks for 7/1: Who’s Your Padre?

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

We have a rather short DFS slate here with only six games on the schedule. That makes our jobs much easier, as we only have 12 teams to zone in on. This is the perfect sort of slate for me and we’re going to look to continue our hot MKF picks!

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Catcher

Buster Posey. SF at SD

DK ($2,800) FD ($2,300)

To say the catching options on this slate are ugly would be an understatement, as Posey makes for a nice punt play. While his power has fallen off the face of the earth, this guy is still a Hall of Fame player. That’s evident by his .302 career average and .832 OPS. Those are incredible numbers from any catcher and his .669 OPS this season will inevitably see some positive regression. The reason we like him here is because he gets the platoon advantage against a lefty, with Posey generating a .322 AVG, .909 OPS and .389 wOBA against southpaws for his career.

First Base

Eric Thames, MIL at CIN

DK ($4,900) FD ($2,800)

It’s really hard to understand why Thames remains so cheap on these DFS sites. This lefty masher has obliterated righties throughout his career and he’s being priced like a slap-hitter on FanDuel. Since joining the Brewers, Thames is providing a .535 SLG and .884 OPS against right-handers. That’s amazing production from a player priced this cheap and it doesn’t even take into consideration that he enters this game in the midst of a four-game hitting streak, collecting a .500 AVG in that span while accumulating three doubles, one triple, two homers and five RBI. Tyler Mahle is not a guy we need to feat either, with the righty pitching to a 4.80 FIP for his career.

Second Base

Scooter Gennett, CIN vs. MIL

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,000)

Gennett has only one hit in his first two games off the IL but this is a guy who’s way too good to be this low. Since joining the Reds in 2017. Gennett has a .303 AVG to match his .508 SLG and .859 OPS. Those are stellar numbers from a little guy and he’s typically better against righties. In fact, Gennett has a .903 OPS against right-handers since joining Cincinnati. That’s way too much potential from a player below $4,000 on both DFS sites.

Third Base

Manny Machado, SD vs. SF

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

Machado’s season-long numbers are nothing special but he’s probably the hottest hitter in the league right now. What got him going was a series in Coors Field, with Machado generating a .429 AVG, a .962 SLG and a 1.415 OPS in 14 games since then. That’s obviously absurd production and it pretty much puts him in play no matter what. We love him against a guy like Jeff Samardzija too, who’s pitching to a 5.12 ERA and 1.41 WHIP dating back to last season.

Shortstop

Willy Adames, TB vs. BAL

DK ($3,800) FD ($3,400)

Adames was incredibly cheap on both DFS sites just last week and the recent price increase indicates just how good he’s been recently. Not only does he have a hit in 10 of his last 12 games, Adames is also posting a 1.153 OPS over his last eight games in total. What’s cool about Adames is that he’s actually a reverse splits guy, which means he’s much better against right-handed pitching. That’s made crystal clear by the fact that he’s posting an .807 career OPS against righties. Jimmy Yacobonis is definitely a guy we want to exploit too, with the Orioles righty pitching to a 5.32 ERA and 1.49 WHIP across 86 innings in his career.

Outfield

Kyle Schwarber, CHC at PIT

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,600)

Schwarber just continues to be undervalued on DK and it really doesn’t make any sense. Since being moved to the leadoff spot, Schwarber has been a different player. It us evident by the fact that he’s got 14 homers over his last 44 games while accruing 31 runs scored and 31 RBI in that span. That’s all you can ask for from someone in this price range and he should have success against a guy who’s due for some serious regression. Trevor Williams has a 4.51 career xFIP, which tells us that he’s been extremely lucky up to this point. That luck could end here, with Schwarber posting a .495 SLG and .826 OPS against righties since 2017 and Williams allowing seven runs in his last start.

Franmil Reyes, SD vs. SF

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,000)

This is yet another guy who continues to be disrespected by the DFS sites and he’ll continue to be in my articles until they raise his price. Last time we recommended him, Reyes actually provided two dingers against the Orioles. While that’s unlikely to happen again, it shows the power potential he possesses. We’re talking about a 6’5”, 280-pound dude who’s got 24 homers to match his .564 SLG, .384 xwOBA and .312 ISO. That doesn’t even take into consideration that this monster of a man is in Top 20 in hard-hit rate, exit velocity and barrel percentage. Don’t underestimate a beast like the Franmial!

Jorge Soler, KC at TOR

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,200)

Soler has 22 home runs and 55 RBI this season. Yes, you read that correctly. Soler ranks Top 8 in the AL in both home runs and RBI. Even as someone who loved Soler in his struggling days with the Cubs, those numbers really surprised me. The simple fact is, this dude is a masher right now and it’s clear that playing every day has done wonders for his consistency. What really adds to his intrigue here is that he gets to face Clayton Richard, who’s pitching to a 6.89 ERA and 1.69 WHIP while recording more walks than Ks. Those terrible numbers are even more worrisome considering the fact that it gives Soler the platoon advantage. Dating back to last year, Soler has a wOBA north of .400 against lefties while providing an .860 OPS.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

I’ve hit 13 of my last 20 MKF picks and we’re going to look to keep that hot stretch going here. With only six games on the schedule, I’m going to go with just one recommendation.

Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Adbert Alzolay Over 4.5 Strikeouts

My mouth was watering when I saw this prop. A 2.08 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in his first two starts say a lot but his 3.09 ERA and 0.94 WHIP at Triple-A this season says even more. That doesn’t even take into consideration that he has 46 Ks in 32 innings this season, which equates to a K rate north of 30 percent. The Pirates rank 20th in both runs scored and wOBA, as Alzolay should cruise right through this 4.5-total.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitters and Stacks for June 30th

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Sunday’s MLB action will include a couple of DFS studs on the bump in Max Scherzer and Gerrit Cole. But it will also include plenty of pitchers that you can exploit when building your Daily Fantasy Sports lineups.

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Catcher – Yasmani Grandal vs. Steven Brault

FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,800

The Brewers’ catcher has a .284 ISO versus left-handed pitchers in 2019. Grandal also has a .385 wOBA against lefties. Grandal should take advantage and keep crushing righties in this one while leading your DFS lineup to the green.

Value:

Buster Posey

DraftKings: $3,000

First Base – Joc Pederson vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez

FanDuel: $4,000

Pederson has a .340 ISO and a .379 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. And now he faces a below league average pitcher in Coors Field. If playing on DraftKings, the Chicago Cubs’ Anthony Rizzo is your play. Either option should do just fine for your DFS hopes.

Value:

Jesus Aguilar

FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,300

Second Base – Mike Moustakas vs. Steven Brault

FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,100

The Brewers’ Moustakas has a .315 ISO, a .393 wOBA and a 142 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with Brault. The lefty is allowing a .374 wOBA against right-handed batters this season. Moustakas is a great DFS option on Sunday.

Value:

Keston Hiura

FanDuel: $2,600

Tommy Edman

DraftKings: $2,300

Third Base – Justin Turner vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez

FanDuel: $3,900

The Dodgers third baseman has a .374 wOBA versus right-handed pitching in 2019. If playing on DraftKings, your preferred third base play is the Nationals’ Anthony Rendon. Both third basemen are good DFS options.

Value:

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500

Shortstop – Trea Turner vs.Jordan Zimmermann

FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,300

Zimmermann has a 5.20 xFIP against righties. Turner has a .238 ISO and a .356 wOBA versus right-handed pitchers in 2019. Turner should be plenty good enough for your DFS lineups.

Value:

Tommy Edman

FanDuel: $2,500

Jose Peraza

DraftKings: $3,100

Outfield – Cody Bellinger vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez

FanDuel: $5,200 DraftKings:

Bellinger has a .356 ISO and a .457 wOBA versus right-handed pitching. Look for Bellinger to produce big DFS numbers on Sunday.

Outfield – Kyle Schwarber vs. Anthony DeSclafani

FanDuel: $3,300 Draftkings: $4,200

Schwarber has a .244 ISO against right-handed pitching in 2019. He should add excellent value to your DFS entries.

Value:

Ryan Braun

FanDuel: $3,100

Bobby Bradley

FanDuel: $2,200

Stephen Piscotty

DraftKings: $3,600

Top Stacks

Cleveland Indians:

After letting us down yesterday, the Indians’ offense will look to get back in good graces today. And Cleveland should have no problem doing just that with Baltimore’s Gabriel Ynoa taking the bump. The Orioles’ right-hander has a 5.17 SIERA and a 5.54 xFIP this season. With Ynoa allowing 2.38 HR/9 this year, expect us to be much happier with Cleveland and our DFS lineups at the end of the day Sunday.

Chicago Cubs:

A flyball pitcher (41.6%) that allows a lot of hard contact (44.6%) seems like a good place to start a stack. The Reds’ Anthony DeSclafani seems to be the perfect pitcher to attack with your DFS lineups. The Reds’ starter has a 4.44 xFIP and a 4.27 SIERA this season.

Milwaukee Brewers:

The Brewers have crushed left-handed pitching all season. As an offense, Milwaukee has a .210 ISO against lefties. The Pirates’ Steven Brault should be no match for the Brewers. The Pirates’ pitcher is not missing any bats this season with a low 9.8% swinging strike rate. The Brewers should put plenty of balls in play with success on Sunday. Milwaukee is a very suitable stack for DFS purposes today.

Los Angeles Dodgers:

Any time you can get the Dodgers against a righty, you fill up your DFS lineups with Dodger Blue. Los Angles has .216 ISO and a .347 wOBA versus righties this season. The Rockies’ Chi Chi Gonzalez could be in trouble in this one.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER@WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitting/Monkey Knife Fight Picks- Dodgers and Rockies in Coors

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

It’s a strange Thursday DFS slate with 10 games, but at least there is a Coors game between the Dodgers and the Rockies! Two of the most well-known teams in MLB in the Yankees and the Red Sox are traveling (or have already arrived at this point) to London, England in preparation for a historic, two-game series in one of the most prestigious cities in the world. Temperatures are going to be hot in Coors so the ball will carry even better than normal.

First Basemen

Joc Pederson, FanDuel Only ($4,100): For whatever reason, FanDuel has Joc Pederson as a First Baseman at Coors Field as the Dodgers visit the Rockies. Well isn’t that convenient ladies and gentlemen! He will be batting leadoff for the Dodgers, and with warm temperatures at Coors, expect the ball to carry well. Obviously, he is in his correct position on DraftKings so on that site let’s go with his Dodgers teammate Max Muncy ($5,600 DK). Both players are notorious righty mashers with 20 and 11 HRs, respectively, on the season. By the way, Muncy is listed as a second basemen on FanDuel. Peter Lambert has been blasted in his first two career starts at Coors so we can expect the same in this start.

Second Basemen

Luis Arraez, Rays at Twins ($2,600 FD, $3,500 DK): In only 17 games, Arraez is hitting .436 on 17 hits in 39 ABs with three doubles, eight walks, eight runs scored, four RBIs and a home run. To be able to afford some big bats from the Dodgers and Rockies game in Coors, you are going to need some bargains. Facing a likely bullpen game, this left-handed batter from Venezuela will likely start the game as long as a right-handed opens for the Rays.

Shortstop

Garrett Hampson, Dodgers at Rockies ($2,700 FD, $3,300 DK but listed as a 2B/OF): This top-prospect was recently recalled from the minors and seems ready this time. On Wednesday, Hampson went two for four with two runs, a double and a stolen base. With Brandon Rodgers joining Trevor Story on the IL, shortstop is Hampson’s position for the foreseeable future. The only issue the Rockies face tonight is ace right-handed Walker Buehler of the Dodgers.

Third Basemen

Justin Turner, Dodgers at Rockies ($3,900 FD,$4,900 DK): Dodgers third baseman Turner is a reverse-splits guy, meaning he hits righties better than lefties even though he himself is a right-handed batter. Turner’s batting average and OPS against righties is considerably better than against lefties. Probably batting third in the order behind Pederson and Muncy, this Dodger stud will get plenty of opportunities to produce.

Outfielders

Dominic Smith, Mets at Phillies ($2,400 FD, $4,100 DK): Just pencil him in into your all-day FD lineup. Dominic is also first base eligible on DK to give you extra flexibility. There are fewer hotter bats in the league and the savings he gives you allows you to get those Coors bats you want. Smith has hit home runs in three consecutive games and reached base four times in last night’s game. With temperatures expected to be near 90 degrees for this afternoon game, expect the ball to be flying out of Citizens Bank Park.

Kyle Schwarber, Braves at Cubs ($3,200 FD, $3,600 DK): For as much power as Schwarber possesses, his price is extremely affordable. Throw in the fact that he will be playing in an afternoon game with temperatures in the 80s and against an unproven Braves starter in Bryse Wilson. His WHIP is over two in a tiny sample size, Schwarber could be in for a good game.

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Monkey Knife Fight Play of the Night

What is not to like about Dodgers batters tonight? Go for the minimum total bases and make some $ or go all-in and go for the big prize. I really could not blame you either way. Follow me with Dodgers batters here tonight and get 100 percent bonus!

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS!

5 years ago 0 comment

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