Tag:

Khris Davis

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 9/18 (FanDuel Main Slate)

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s eight-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

No heavy rain in the forecast tonight, but there are a few light showers in the San Francisco area for Braves-Giants. Nothing that should keep us off the game.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Corbin Burnes ($11,200)

Burnes is coming off an 8.0 IP, 14 K (and no-hit) masterpiece in Cleveland on Sept. 11 where he racked up 76 FD points. The only thing that gives me pause is the fact that after a 15 K game against this Cubs team on Aug. 11, he only recorded 3 Ks in his next outing versus the Cards. But that’s nitpicking. He’s the best arm of the slate with the highest floor and ceiling, and it’s not particularly close. Unless he gets lit up, he’s probably looking at a 40-point floor and 70-point upside again.

Best GPP Value: Lance McCullers ($9,900)

I think we probably need to find a way to fit Burnes into most of our GPP builds tonight as well, but McCullers in a home matchup against the Diamondbacks does offer some opportunity for salary relief with about 75-80% of the upside that the Milwaukee hurler does. The biggest knock against him tonight is the fact that Lance isn’t great against lefties, and Arizona (a high strikeout team for sure) could roll out up to seven against McCullers in this game. Still — there are not any really cheap options on this slate that don’t involve massive risk, so I think the best bet is still using a top arm and finding value in the bats.

Contrarian GPP Play: Lance Lynn ($10,300)

Lynn is the only other pitcher on the slate with 65-70 points upside, but it’s ben a while since we’ve seen that kind of dominance out of the right-hander. The appeal here is the tasty matchup facing the Rangers, a small cost savings from Burnes and lower projected ownership, but I’m not sure that sacrificing the upside and floor is worth rolling him out in any more than one or two GPP lineups out of 10. McCullers and Lynn project for similar outcomes tonight.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Houston Astros

It’ll be damn near impossible to afford the top bats (Jose Altuve at $4,200, Alex Bregman at $4,300 and Yordan Alvarez at $4,000) from Houston tonight in lineups that lock in Burnes, but if we grab some value bats from the bottom of this potent lineup, we can get a piece of this high projected run total (5.7) and still get exposure. I’m looking primarily at righty killers Kyle Tucker ($3,900) and Yuri Gurriel ($3,300) with Jose Siri ($2,700) and Jake Meyers ($2,400). Chas McCormick ($2,400) is obviously also an option if one of the other OF sits.

GPP Value Stack: Los Angeles Angels

Attacking objectively bad sinkerballer Daulton Jeffries, who is starting for the A’s, is where we can find the necessary firepower to build a winning lineup. If we start out our FD builds with Burnes and sinker destroyer extraordinaire Shohei Ohtani ($4,400), we have $2,771 per remaining hitter left in salary. This leaves us with the value options in the aforementioned stack and guys like Brandon Marsh ($2,400), Darrin Fletcher ($2,600), Max Stassi ($2,400), Jared Walsh ($3,000) and Luis Rengifo ($2,300) — who hits sinkers particularly well, as Adam Strangis points out in his MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.18 article.

GPP Stack #2: Oakland Athletics

If we’re grabbing some Angels, there’s no reason we can’t get some of the other side of this matchup as well, as the Athletics offer some excellent value options in their lineup facing lefty Jose Suarez. Those bargain bats include 2B/3B/UTIL eligible leadoff man Josh Harrison ($2,900), Chad Pinder ($2,200), Yan Gomes ($2,600) (or Sean Murphy at $2,100) and Khris Davis ($2,100). If there’s room for Mark Canha ($3,200), Starling Marte ($3,800) and Matt Olson ($4,200), that’s great — we could even mix and match and exclusively game stack OAK-LAA — avoiding the chalky Houston bats altogether in some of our GPPs.

Bonus Contrarian Stacks: Seattle Mariners, Milwaukee Brewers

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comment

9/26 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Indians Can’t Cease Fire

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The main slate for 9/26 DFS is just a simple, five-game assembly of MLB DFS matchups featuring some playoff implications and some sneaky stacks! Let’s find the best one-off plays and a couple quality stacks to get you on the road to cash!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks ofthe Day

Cleveland Indians at DylanCease

With Jose Ramirez back, the Indians have another titanic bat in their lineup as they try to sneak into the playoffs via the Wild Card. Eliminated from securing their fourth straight AL Central title with Wednesday’s loss (coupled with a victory by the Minnesota Twins), the Indians have a Thursday night matchup that bodes well for the bats facing a hittable Dylan Cease (5.79 ERA). Expect Francisco Lindor to erase that poor showing last night and get some exposure to the 2-5 bats, along with Franmil Reyes and a dirt-cheap Mike Freeman ($3,200 DK, $2,500 FD) at the bottom of the order.

Oakland Athletics atSeattle Mariners

We’ve come to expect a lot from the A’s as September winds down, and this is a prime opportunity for the bats to come alive and pile on some runs on this 9/26 DFS slate. Mark Canha left the game early last night and Khris Davis is battling a stomach bug, but there are plenty of bats to go to in their stead, and while Felix Hernandez is a historically solid pitcher, he’s nearing the end of his career (6.51 ERA this season) and just isn’t the same old King Felix. The A’s also hit well on the road, with a .329 wOBA as a team. I like Matt Olson, Matt Chapman and Marcus Semien.

Houston Astros at JaimeBarria

The Astros plan on sitting Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and George Springer, but that just means you can grab some value at the top of their lineup with Kyle Tucker and mix in some “next man up” types who’ve performed well in limited duty this season. They’re not my favorite stack for 9/26 DFS, but they’re certainly viable and a little cheaper to fit in without all the regulars.

9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks toConsider

Chicago Cubs at Joe Musgrove – The Cubs face ahittable pitcher who can hand out free passes and get lit up as easily as hecan rack up the Ks.

New York Mets vs. Jordan Yamamoto – Yamamoto isn’t a bad young pitcher, but he struggles with RHBs and the Mets have a bunch of really good ones.

9/26 DFS HittingCatcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,600) FD ($2600)

Unfortunately, the pickings are slim at catcher today, so I’ll be looking to Wilson Ramos and his power upside. The Mets regular catcher is slashing .286/.350/.415 this season and Yamamoto has trouble with right-handed bats (.322wOBA vs. RHBs, .250 wOBA vs. LHBs). Just make sure he’s in the lineup before you lock him in.

9/26 DFS Hitting FirstBaseman

Matt Olson, OAK at SEA

DK (4,600) FD ($3,700)

My affinity for Matt Olson is well-known among my peers, and he’s deliveredfor me time and again in GPPs. This matchup is an interesting one, because Olsonhas a .293 ISO and 150 wRC+ against righties. Olson, who’s been hitting forpower this month with a .345 ISO, will likely face a couple of RHPs and has agood chance at going deep in this game.

9/26 DFS Hitting SecondBaseman

Aledmys Diaz, HOU at LAA

DK($4,100) FD ($2,900)

With some Astros sitting, Diaz probably gets another start tonight and is carrying a decent slash line (.271/.349/.457) into the 9/26 contest. He has a 122 wRC+ against RHPs this season, is fairly priced on DK and is unbelievably cheap on FD. It looks like I may give him a shot in about half my lineups this evening.

9/26 DFS Hitting ThirdBaseman

Matt Chapman, OAK at SEA

(DK $4,100) FD ($3,600)

Mr. Chapman homered last night, is very affordable on both sites, and is slightly better against RHPs (124 wRC+ vs. RHPs, 122 wRC+ vs. LHPs). While he had a relatively quiet September, I like the matchup for Chapman against King Felix here here — and there are not many 3B who stick out in this slate other than him, Alex Bregman (who’s available at SS on DK), and Yoan Moncada.

9/26 DFSHitting Shortstop

Alex Bregman, HOU at LAA

DK ($2,600) FD ($2,000)

Some of the veteran Astros players will get spelled tonight, but Bregman is slated to stay in the lineup and is red hot at the plate (3-4, two 2B, RBI, R last night). He sports a robust 168 wRC+ and is slashing .298/.421/.595 triple-slash line with 119 runs scored, 40 homers, 110 RBI and five steals this season. The hard-hitting Bregman is a fine place to anchor your SS slot.

Tired of losing money on yourDFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into asecond stream of income!

9/26 DFS HittingOutfielders

Kyle Tucker, HOU at LAA

DK($4,800) FD ($2,900)

Tucker draws the leadoff spot for 9/26 DFS a night after launching a solo homer against the Mariners. With Jose Altuve getting the day off, he takes over a prime spot in the Astros lineup and has done ell with his chances so far: The 22-year-old rookie outfielder is hitting .304/.339/.571 with 11 runs scored, three HRs, 10 RBI and five SB in 59 plate appearances this season. The price on DK is fair, but on FD he’s just way too cheap.

Brandon Nimmo, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

I love Nimmo in the leadoff spot today for the Mets, who don’t havea lot to play for but still have an exciting group of young hitters. Nimmo hasa 133 wRC+ against RHPs in his career and will have plenty of run scoringopportunities here. He also has a 16.4 BB% facing RHPs in his career and a 19.7BB% this season against righties – a nice patience complement to his burgeoningpower.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC at PIT

DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

While he’s not much of a contact/average hitter, Schwarber has been heating up at the plate (2-4 last night with a pair of singles on Wednesday) just in time for his team to be eliminated from the playoffs. Schwarber is hitting .248/.337/.527 with 37 homers, 91 RBI and 80 runs scored in 152 games overall in 2019, and he’s got a great matchup vs. RHP Joe Musgrove.

9/26 DFS Additional StackOptions:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,700 DK, $3,000 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $2,900 FD)

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $3,900 FD), Pete Alonso ($5,000 DK,$4,000 FD)

2B: Ian Happ ($4,000 DK, $2,600 FD), Yolmer Sanchez ($2,700 DK) ($2,300FD)

3B: Yoan Moncada ($4,800 DK, $3,500 FD), David Fletcher ($3,900DK, $2,800 FD)

SS: Francisco Lindor ($4,600 DK, $4,200 FD), Jack Mayfield ($2,600 DK, $2,000 FD)

OF: Yordan Alvarez ($5,400 DK, $4,400 FD), Nick Castellanos ($4,600DK, $3,800 FD), Michael Brantley ($4,000 DK, $3,500 FD), Oscar Mercado ($4,900DK, $3,400 FD), Michael Conforto ($4,600 DK, $3,500 FD), Robbie Grossman, ($3,500DK, $2,400 FD),

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/17 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Mets Marauding Melville

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got a loaded 14-game 7:05 EST main slate for MLB 9/17 DFS – one that we’ve got some high game totals for, including another big-time stack at Coors. The lineups get unstable toward the end of the year, but that just gives us more opportunities to embrace the variance and make it fun on this enormous slate.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

9/17 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

NewYork Mets at Tim Melville (NYM at COL)

The Mets are expensive but have the highest implied total on the slate. Last night they scored just four runs in Coors but on Tuesday get to face Melville, who’s been torched in his three home starts (.516 xwOBA, 9.00 ERA, 6.31 xFIP). I’ll be applying a liberal smattering of Mets hitters in most of my lineups, with most of my exposure coming with the first five hitters: Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeil, Michael Conforto, Robinson Cano and Pete Alonso. Wilson Ramos is a very affordable $2,900 on FD as well, where he can be used in one of two spots.

Boston Red Sox vs. Logan Webb (BOS vs. SF)

The Sox may be missing Mookie Betts (foot) but they’re still a powerful bunch of bats in a hitter’s park. Logan Webb has been tuned up for a .400 xwOBA vs. RHP) during his short time in the Majors, and he’s not going to like the ballpark shift from Oracle. The usual suspects (Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi) are all $5,000 or under on DK, and Mitch Moreland is just $4,200.

Toronto Blue Jays at Dylan Bundy/Chandler Shepherd

The Blue Jays are a sneaky stack in a slate with Coors Field on the docket, and they’ll be playing in Baltimore, where the homers fly out and the Orioles pitching staff has reached a new nadir in allowing the long ball. I’m stacking the 1-5 with occasional shares of Randal Grichuk ($4,300 DK) and Billy McKinney ($3,300 DK).

Cleveland Indians vs. John Schreiber/Spencer Turnbull (CLE vs.DET)

The Indians are underpriced for the matchup on this 9/17 DFS slate, whether it’s against Schreiber (the possible opener) or Turnbull, who’s really struggled this season (3-15 in 27 starts with a 4.77 ERA and 1.48 WHIP). I’m leaning toward mini-stacks considering there are so many other great matchups on this slate, but feel free to grab shares of the 1-5 hitters and get some exposure to the value bats (Franmil Reyes, Mike Freeman and Jordan Luplow, if he’s in the lineup).

9/17 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Atlanta Braves at Vince Velazquez (It’s tough to fadeFreeman and Co. in a hitter’s park)

Miami Marlins at LHP Alex Young (all the righties –including my guy Starlin Castro)

Colorado Rockies vs. Marcus Stroman (The contrarian side ofCoors against a decent RHP)

9/17 DFS Hitting Catcher

J.T. Realmuto, PHI at ATL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,900)

I’m a huge fan of Realmuto, who sports a .443 xwOBA and .227 ISO against LHPs over the past two seasons. It’s a one-off play that should command low ownership and provide a decent floor – as well as immense upside in GPPs.

9/17 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Rowdy Tellez, TOR at BAL

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,600)

Tellez has four homers in his last 11 games, crushes right-handedpitching (.453 xwOBA, .245 ISO since 2018), and bats fourth between Lourdes Gurrieland Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. Tellez is my double-dinger call of the day, and he’snot really thrown off by lefty relievers, either (.430 xwOBA against LHPs since2018).

9/17 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Cavan Biggio, TOR at BAL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,700)

Biggio is another Jays bat I want exposure to in Camden Yards, where he’s already got three homers in five career games and a 168 OPS+ that screams GPP play. As part of stack or simply a value bat at a reasonable price, Biggio makes a solid play for his speed and power.

9/17 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Matt Chapman, OAK vs. KC

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,600)

Chapman and his surging power numbers (4 HRs in September so far) couldbe overlooked on this slate, and if you’re wary of spending more than $5K for J.D.Davis but still want to get some other Coors bats in, he could be a big help.All these games matter for the A’s, and Chapman (.423 xwOBA and .250 ISO vs.RHPs since 2018) is the heart and soul of their lineup along with Matt Olsonand Marcus Semien, the other two Oakland bats with 30+ homers this year.

9/17 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Francisco Lindor, CLE vs. DET

DK ($4,800) FD ($4,000)

Lindor is my favorite shortstop of this slate. He gets lotsof ABs and benefits from a circular Indians lineup that has some decent hittersat the bottom of the order – giving him some run-creating opportunities alongwith table-setting ability. His price is cheaper than Xander Bogaerts, Trevor Storyand Bo Bichette on DK (with just as much GPP upside) and he’s playable in allformats at home (where he owns a .386 wOBA and .403 xwOBA sine 2018) against theTigers.

Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!

9/17 DFS Hitting Outfielders

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. SF

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,200)

Idiscussed the Red Sox stack up top, but if there’s one bat from Boston I’d likein this matchup, it’s J.D. His .506 xwOBA vs. RHPs since 2018 (over a hugesample of 998 plate appearances) means he can hit all types of pitching (it’s apreposterous .560 vs. LHPs) and he’s still surrounded by Bogaerts andBenintendi, who both hit RHPs well. I’m banking on a three-run homer for the RedSox OF/DH in hitter-friendly Fenway against young Logan Webb (.400 xwOBA vs. RHP).

Oscar Mercado, CLE vs. DET

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000)

Thehome numbers for Mercado are impressive (.290/.340/.477) and his bat has beenshowing some life again (10 hits in his last 26 AB). You’re getting thetalented young OF at a discount on both sites, and he’s a great piece to havein Indians mini stacks along with Lindor and Carlos Santana.

Garrett Hampson, COL vs. NYM

DK ($3,500) FD ($3,200)

Hampson is red-hot at the plate and is dirt cheap onDK. He’s played much better since getting more regular time, starting in theRockies’ last five straight and games and going 11-for-22 over that stretch(counting Monday night). He’s easy to overlook in the lineup as the No. 7 hitterand makes plenty of sense in both cash games and GPPs.

Additional options:

C:Roberto Perez ($3,600 DK, $2,900FD), Reese McGuire ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD)

1B: Pete Alonso ($5,600 DK, $4,300 FD), Carlos Santana($4,300 DK, $3,900 FD)

2B: Robinson Cano ($4,700 DK, $3,600 FD), Jonathan Villar($4,700 DK, $3,800 FD)

3B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr, ($3,900 DK, $2,900 FD), EugenioSuarez ($4,500 DK, $3,900 FD)

SS: Bo Bichette ($5,400 DK, $3,900 FD), Xander Bogaerts ($5,000DK, 3,800 FD)

OF: Austin Meadows ($5,600 DK, $4,400 FD), Yordan Alvarez ($5,200DK, $4,100 FD), Brandon Nimmo ($4,500 DK, $3,900 FD), Khris Davis ($3,800 DK,$3,200 FD), Michael Brantley ($4,000 DK, $3,800 FD), Matt Joyce ($4,100 DK, $2,400FD)

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/16 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Rockie Mountain High

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

After another successful weekend, we’re back at it with more hitting picks for Monday’s slate. We only have seven games on this small schedule, though, and that should cause chaos with a Coors Field game overshadowing everything. With that in mind, let’s get into our 9/16 DFS Hitting stacks and hitting picks.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

If you’d like to see more of my work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

9/16 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Colorado Rockies vs. Steven Matz

While Matz is a pretty good pitcher, this start in Colorado spells disaster. The reason for that is because he has to pitch in Coors Field, the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball. The Rockies are regularly looking at implied run totals in the 6-7 range and that’s just the case here. What makes it even worse is the fact that Matz has been struggling mightily on the road this season. In fact, the southpaw has a 6.08 ERA and 1.56 WHIP outside of Citi Field, regularly getting blown up.

New York Mets vs. Antonio Senzatela

On the other end of the ball, we have to like the Mets too. They also have an implied run total north of six and it’s beneficial for anyone to hit in this ballpark. The ballpark boost paired with this matchup is a recipe for success, with Senzatela pitching to a 6.87 ERA and 1.75 WHIP this season. This is a better offense than many people may think too, with N.Y. ranked 10^th in both wOBA and xwOBA.

Oakland A’s vs. Glenn Sparkman

The Athletics have quietly been one of the best offenses in baseball this season, ranking seventh in wOBA and fifth in xwOBA. Those are terrific numbers despite hitting in a pitcher-friendly park, as they should have no problem continuing their success against a guy like Sparkman. The Kansas City righty is currently pitching to a 5.94 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. That’s why Oakland enters this matchup as a –315 favorite with the A’s projected for nearly six runs.

9/16 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. SD

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,200)

Grandal is always one of the first catchers that I consider for this article. Any guy who sits Top-5 at the position in OBP and OPS is definitely worth considering, particularly in such a good matchup. The Padres are sending out the oft-injured Garrett Richards for his first start of the season and that’s terrible news in a ballpark like this. The guy he should really worry about is Grandal, with the backstop generating a .479 OPS and .823 OPS against righties dating back to 2017. Those are actually lower than his season-long averages, with Grandal posting a .385 OBP and .871 OPS in nearly 500 at-bats this year.

9/16 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Matt Olson, OAK vs. KC

DK ($5,200) FD ($3,700)

Olson is my favorite piece to this Oakland stack, as he’s one of the only guys who actually get the platoon advantage in his favor. So far this season, Olson has a .291 AVG, .385 OBP, .589 SLG and .974 OPS against right-handed pitching. That elite power is backed up by a .291 ISO for the season, which is simply one of the best power strokes in the game. He happens to be scorching right now too, hitting five homers over his last six games.

9/16 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Luiz Arraez, MIN vs. CWS

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,600)

It really doesn’t make any sense why this Arraez price remains so low. This dude has done nothing but rake since getting called up, which is evident by his .345 AVG and .861 OPS. He’s actually been even better against right-handers, amassing a .368 AVG, .502 SLG and .917 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That’s bad news for Reynaldo Lopez and his 5.35 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.

9/16 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. NYM

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,700)

The Rockies bats are coming in hot and it’s easy to see why when you see that they have an implied run total approaching seven. Arenado is certainly a big part of that, as he’s fantastic at home and absolutely brilliant against left-handed pitching. In fact, Arenado has a .355 AVG, .663 SLG and 1.079 OPS at home this season and a .367 AVG, .448 OBP, .734 SLG and 1.182 OPS against lefties dating back to 2017.

9/16 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Trevor Story, COL vs. NYM

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,500)

The Arenado splits are truly amazing and it’s incredible just how close he and Story are in terms of success against lefties at home. Dating back to 2017. Story has a .315 AVG, .379 OBP, .625 SLG and 1.004 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. His numbers at home are just as good, accruing a .333 AVG, .401 OBP, .670 SLG and 1.071 OPS at Coors Field so far this year. That’s why these two are the best two-man stack of the day, particularly against a guy who struggles so badly on the road.

9/16 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Michael Conforto, NYM at COL

DK ($5,400) FD ($3,900)

We have to like the other team hitting in Coors Field, as any good hitter is in play at Coors. Conforto is more than that and he should have success against a guy with a 6.87 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. What it does is give Conforto the advantage from the left side, with the outfielder totaling a .383 OBP, .543 SLG and .926 OPS against right-handers this year.

Khris Davis, OAK vs. KC

DK ($3,700) FD ($3,200)

Don’t look now but Davis is starting to find the power stroke that has allowed him to lead the league in dingers dating back to 2016. That power potential is truly amazing, as Davis has an ISO in the .250-range in that four-year span. Getting to face someone like Sparkman is a good way to keep mashing baseballs and he should be right in the heart of this potent lineup. Over his last seven games. Davis has collected three homers and 10 RBI en route to a .411 OBP, .731 SLG and 1.145 OPS.

Ian Desmond, COL vs. NYM

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,300)

Desmond is the final piece to our Rockies stack and he’s really the only one who’s a great value. Like the rest of these righties, he’s made minced meat of lefties all season long. In fact, Desmond has a .291 AVG, .350 OBP, .588 SLG and .938 OPS against southpaws so far this season. His home splits are good too, with Desmond amassing a .291 AVG, .354 OBP, .535 SLG and .890 OPS at Coors Field so far this year.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/11 DFS Hitting Picks & Stacks: America Remembers

5 years ago

written by

To type the numbers 9/11 still causes waves of emotions 18 years after our nation endured one of the darkest days in its history.

I can still shut my eyes and remember how the day went for me in the Satellite Operations office of Fox Sports Net and how a long day of gut-wrenching emotions and visuals that still haunt me culminated in my sitting on the floor of my living room crying uncontrollably at 11:30 pm as the National Anthem was played in the backdrop of the names that were confirmed dead.

Obviously, choosing a winning DFS lineup is secondary to the importance of this date. At the same time, the heroism displayed on that warm Tuesday morning in New York City, Washington D.C. and over the skies of Pennsylvania is a strong reminder of how, as Americans, we persist.

Play Ball, and let’s chase the long green.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Wanna catch my DFS musings on Twitter? Follow me here!

9/11 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Mitch Garver, MIN vs. WAS

DK ($5,700), FD ($3,200)

Garver capped his breakout season with his 30th home run of the season in Tuesday’s win over the Nationals. He now has four dingers in his last three games to go along with seven RBI. He’ll enter the day with a 30.5% HR/FB rate and even against Stephen Strasburg, I’d take Garver and his 46.2% hard contact rate. With a 47.7% fly ball rate and a start to September that has seen Garver’s OPS climb above 1.700, he’s a good 9/11 DFS Hitting Picks play behind the plate (although he’ll likely serve as the DH).

9/11 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

Matt Olson, OAK at HOU

DK ($4,500), FD ($3,600)

Like Garver, Olson reached the 30-HR barrier on Tuesday, serving as the ring leader of the A’s 21-7 payback to the Astros. Olson swatted a pair of homers, drove in four runs and scored three times to pace what was a 25-hit assault. He’s been locked in of late, having recorded hits in nine of his last 11 games that includes five homers. As hard as Garver has hit the ball, Olson has been more pronounced with his swing, delivering hard contact at a 51.2% rate. You have to like the fact Olson is getting line drives at a solid rate (24.7%) while also driving the ball consistently (43.2% fly ball rate). Chances are good he’ll be facing a taxed Astros pitching staff, making him an even stronger option.

9/11 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Ketel Marte, ARI at NYM

DK ($5,300), FD ($4,100)

One game after having a run of at least 21.20 FanDuel points in four of his previous five games, Marte got back on track with a pair of hits on Tuesday. Even with an 0-for-4 on Monday, Marte is hitting .481 (13-for-27) in his last eight games with three homers and 10 RBI. Although he hasn’t hit the Mets well this season, two of his seven hits resulted in slow trots around the bases. Good things indeed do happen when your Isolated Power improves by 90 points (.177 last season, .267 this year). Marte has nearly doubled his HR/FB%, standing currently at 20.4% after a 10.9% output in 2018. His .340 BABIP is yet another reason why he’s a solid 9/11 DFS Hitting Picks member.

9/11 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Gleyber Torres, NYY at DET

DK ($9,400), FD ($4,000)

With D.J. LeMahieu getting Tuesday off, Torres filled the leadoff role. He proceeded to show why he costs a grip at DraftKings by leading off with his 36th homer of the season, helping to give him his fourth of double-digit scoring at FanDuel in his last five games. Torres has a “modest” .815 OPS against lefties (the Tigers will start southpaw Matthew Boyd tonight) yet his road OPS hovers near .950. He has an OPS over 1.200 over the past week and should be able to maintain his 42% fly ball rate.

9/11 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Hunter Dozier, KC at CWS

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,900)

Dozier has multi-hit games in five of his last seven outings and has hit the White Sox well this season. In 48 at-bats against the Pale Hose, Dozier has a .354 batting average with three homers and nine RBI. The ability to draw walks has been a factor in Dozier’s 2019, as he sports a 10.3% walk rate along with elevating his BABIP from .296 last season to .342 this year. His 44.1% fly ball rate plays well in hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Park, even against a red-hot hurler like Reynaldo Lopez, who gets the nod for Chicago tonight.

9/11 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Austin Meadows, TB at TEX

DK ($5,200), FD ($3,900)

With four homers in his last six games, Meadows is putting the Rays on his young back and carrying them closer to the AL Wild Card with each swing. Tuesday marked the sixth time in the last nine games Meadows have produced at least 20 FanDuel points and is on a September tear that has him hitting .536 with eight of his 15 hits going for extra bases. The line drives Meadows hit in the minors are now becoming homers, evidenced by his 18.7% HR/FB rate. If the Rays peg him in the #2 spot, Meadows is a very strong 9/11 DFS Hitting Picks play, as his OPS is at 1.400 when hitting second.

9/11 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at PHI

DK ($5,200), FD ($4,000)

A three-hit effort on Tuesday continued Acuna’s success against Phillies pitching this season, as he is now at .357 with three homers, 10 RBI and 18 runs scored against them. Acuna smokes the ball at a 44.8% hard contact rate, but he’s becoming a complete hitter. He’s reduced his pull rate and is more of an all-fields hitter who is at 24.8% in HR/FB rate despite hitting fly balls 37.7% of the time. Philadelphia pitcher Zach Eflin has been an easy mark for Braves hitters this season, allowing 12 earned runs in 5.2 innings, so count on Acuna to help the Atlanta bats as extended batting practice against Eflin.

9/11 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Wil Myers, SD vs. CHC

DK ($4,100), FD ($2,800)

Myers is looking to finish the season strong, stretching his hitting streak to 10 games on Tuesday night. Myers has added 21 points to his batting average since August 30 and is a bargain play at FanDuel. Keep that in mind as he has also been a solid hitter against lefties, producing an .898 OPS despite a .233 batting average. The recent run has helped boost his walk rate to 10.2% along with one of the few times this season Myers’ 48.3% hard contact rate is being put to good use.

9/11 DFS Hitting Stacks

9/11 Hitting Stack of the Day: Oakland A’s: The Astros will go with righty Jose Urquidy, so stack the Oakland lefty bats starting with Olson. Seth Brown ($3400 FanDuel) should be in the lineup as well. Jurickson Profar ($3900 DraftKings) is a solid stack option, but also keep righty bats Khris Davis (a cheap $2700 at FD) and Marcus Semien ($4600 DK) as options.

9/11 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Atlanta Braves: As previously mentioned, the Braves have hammered Eflin. Acuna is a lock, but Dansby Swanson ($2800 FD) is a value play. Brian McCann ($3500 DK)gets a favorable lefty/righty matchup as well. You have to like Josh Donaldson ($5100 DK) and Ozzie Albies ($3300 FD) among the buffet table of options.

9/11 Hitting Stack to Consider: Tampa Bay Rays: Texas starter Ariel Jurado has a 6.93 ERA in his last 10 appearances while hitters have teed off on him at a .320 clip and 1.60 WHIP. Meadows is front and center in a stack, with Avisail Garcia ($4300 DK) is a good 9/11 DFS Hitting Picks sleeper.

Sign up and get started with WinDailySports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/4 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

5 years ago

written by

It’s Wednesday, and along with it we have a shortened slate of MLB split into two. As usual we will focus on the main slate for tonight’s action which features eight exciting games. So I bring you today’s 9/4 MLB DFS Pitching picks.

Sign up NOWfor WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports,wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

On the Defense

Shane Bieber vs. Chicago White Sox

$11,000 FD / $11,500

I am pretty sure everybody is going to have “Bieber Fever” on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate. Despite his checkered past versus the White Sox this season allowing eight earned runs over 12 2/3 innings, this should be the cash game play of the night. The White Sox are still striking out 25.8 percent of the time versus RHPs with a sub-par .311 wOBA. With Bieber having a current 11.9 K/9 and striking out batters left and right in every start, even if he was to give up some runs today the strikeout upside alone still could land him the top SP slot on the slate.

Zac Gallen vs. San Diego Padres

$8,500 FD / $9,600

The Padres are 12^th in MLB over the last seven days in offense. That is a fact. They also strike out 25.8 percent of the time versus RHPs, another fact. Gallen has 22 strikeouts over his last 16 innings while only allowing six earned runs, all versus much tougher opponents. His price is a bit high for a SP2 on DK to pair with Bieber, but on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate he sure makes a fine pivot off of him in GPPs.

Hyun-Jin Ryu vs. Colorado Rockies

$8,400 FD / $9,200

Despite Hyun-Jin Ryu pitching more like Hyun-Jin Pyu as of late, for the deflated price on FD I will be using him in a few large field GPPs. The Rockies still strike out 22.4 percent of the time versus LHPs, and outside of Coors Field have a .292 wOBA to complement a pathetic wRC+ of 76. I have confidence Ryu rights the ship on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate at home where is ERA is 1.54.

Jacob Junis vs. Detroit Tigers

$7,900 FD / $7,500 DK

The Detroit Tigers are a team you can attack most days. They strike out 27.3 percent of the time versus RHPs with a low .292 wOBA. In case you missed it Junis has 19 strikeouts versus Detroit this season over 19 innings while allowing five earned runs. With the 9/4 MLB DFS slate offering limited choices Junis shines as the clear cut SP2 option and great value play on FD.

On the Attack

Anthony Senzatela vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

This is certainly the 9/4 MLB DFS chalk stack of the night. Senzatela has allowed a whopping 33 earned runs over his last 13 1/3 innings. Now he goes into Dodger Stadium to face one of the most powerful offenses in MLB. He is going to take an absolute shellacking tonight.

Notable Bats

A.J .Pollock is 4-for-9 with one home run off Senzatela, but keep in mind he hits lefties better than righties.

Gavin Lux now has a wOBA of .695 versus RHPs with 343 wRC+. It may be a small sample size by why not ride the hot bat before the scouts catch up with him.

Cody Bellinger, if you use your budget wisely, is the top play, and price. With a .434 wOBA versus RHPs over this long season he should feast tonight.

Patrick Sandoval vs. Oakland Athletics

Prior to his great last outing versus the Rangers, Sandoval allowed seven earned runs over 7 1/3 innings. I see clear regression on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate facing an A’s team with a .331 wOBA versus LHPs.

Notable Bats

Matt Chapman has .376 wOBA versus LHPs with a wRC+ of 139 this season.

Khris Davis has a decreased price as of late and is posting a .355 wOBA versus LHPs.

Mark Canha is batting cleanup with little surprise carrying a .342 wOBA versus LHPs. He also has five straight games without a home run, he is due.

Edwin Jackson vs. Kansas City Royals

My sneaky stack on this 9/4 MLB DFS slate is the Royals. The last time he faced Kansas City he only allowed one earned run over 6 1/3 innings while striking out four, this may scare some people off. After watching him get rocked for 12 earned runs in his last two starts versus the Twins in 7 1/3 innings, I am on the attack here.

Jorge Soler is the Nelson Cruz of the Royals. He has a .370 wOBA versus RHPs this season and is batting .348 with three home runs over the last seven.

Hunter Dozier, who in my opinion has the best name for a third baseman in baseball, mashes RHPs to the tune of a .363 wOBA with a wRC+ of 166. He also has two home runs and seven RBI over the last seven days.

Alex Gordon may have slowed down but he is only striking out 14.8 percent of the time versus RHPs and has a solid shot at some real hard contact today.

Sign up and get started with WinDailySports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

I am going with the over with Junis facing a Tigers team that is leading MLB in strikeouts versus RHPs.

Miguel Cabrera has had some success versus Junis, going 4-for-14 lifetime. The Over is where I am looking.

FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER 
@WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/27 DFS Hitting and Stacks

Antonio D'Arcangelis 5 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Hey folks! It’s my first post here at Win Daily Sports so I’m psyched to get off to a big start and make everybody some money! It’s a full schedule (15 games) so let’s embrace the variance and give you some solid plays for those GPPs in 8/27 DFS!Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!8/27 DFS Hitting CatcherJ.T. Realmuto, PHI vs. PITDK ($4,600), FD ($3,600)I wouldn’t blame you for picking one of the catchers in the Coors Field game, but Realmuto is locked into a good matchup at home versus LHP Steven Brault (who has his biggest problem against RHBs and their cumulative .345 wOBA) and won’t be as highly owned as some of the other studs around his price point. The Phillies backstop sports a .294/.344/.563 slash against southpaws and is a better hitter at home as well (.375 wOBA, 132 wRC+).8/27 DFS Hitting First BasemanRhys Hoskins, PHI vs. PITDK ($4,500), FD ($3,900)You probably have an inkling who one of my non-Coors stacks is going to be at this point, but I’ll refresh your memory a bit on Hoskins and his destruction of LHPs at home this year. In 67 plate appearances, he’s hitting a ridiculous .340/.485/.680 at Citizens Bank versus southpaws with a similarly preposterous .340 ISO. He just ended a long homer drought and he’s been batting near the top of the lineup.8/27 DFS Hitting Second BasemanJason Kipnis, CLE at DETDK ($3,700), FD ($3,200)Kipnis benefits from facing a bad pitcher who struggles against lefties (Turnbull has a .373 xwOBA vs. LHB this season) and is primarily a value play that might help fit some of the more potent stacks. Hitters in Comerica Park are usually smart to avoid, but as a one-off in the middle of a dangerous lineup, Kipnis is worth a look in large-field GPPs for his reduced price on DraftKings and a tasty matchup. For BvP fans, he’s 3-for-9 career against Spencer Turnbull with a HR – the only Indians player who’s gone deep off the Tigers hurler.8/27 DFS Hitting ShortstopXander Bogaerts, BOS at COLDK ($5,700), FD ($4,100)The Red Sox are facing a pitcher making his Major League debut on Tuesday, and we’ll discuss the stack a bit later – but Bogaerts is one of the best Red Sox to start against either LHPs or RHPs (over the past two seasons he’s sporting an xwOBA of .406 against both types of pitcher with an ISO of .244 against RHPs) and he’s an excellent play in all formats if you can afford him. There’s a bevy of decent options at SS on this slate, and Bogaerts is the best of them.8/27 DFS Hitting Third BasemanMatt Chapman, OAK at KCDK ($4,800), FD ($3,600)Chapman endured a prolonged slump in July that saw him hit just two HRs and slash a measly .231/.299/.385, but he’s broken through in August with improved power (.303 ISO in 20 games this month) and is coming off a big night in Kansas City where the entire A’s lineup went wild. If you’re not too ken on going right back to the well with a full Athletics stack, Chapman makes a good one-off bat against the left-handed Mike Montgomery.Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!8/27 DFS Hitting OutfielderKhris Davis, OAK at KCDK ($3,400), FD ($2,400)Another value play that could help you fit in some of the more expensive stacks, Davis had a big Monday night in Kansas City and is starting to heat up with homers in two of his last five games. He’s one of the cheaper options who’s capable of a multi-HR game and sports a .443 xwOBA against lefties over the past two seasons. He’s a risk, for sure, but he’ll be relatively low-owned and doesn’t cost much.8/27 DFS Hitting OutfielderJackie Bradley, Jr., BOS at COLDK ($4,200), FD ($3,000)If Bradley gets the start in Coors, he makes for an excellent value play given the implied run total and the relatively cheap price. He’s homered twice in his last four games and any ball he hits into a gap could end up a triple. Bradley’s a much better hitter versus RHP and provides some much-needed salary relief in an otherwise expensive stack. You’ll have to double check to maker sure he’s in the lineup, but his price range offers some decent swap-outs (Joc Pederson and Matt Beaty are both $4,200 in the later games).8/27 DFS Hitting OutfielderMookie Betts, BOS at COLDK ($5,500), FD ($4,600)Betts is a little cheaper than both Charlie Blackmon and J.D. Martinez and should be busy wreaking havoc against the Rockies pitching staff. An excellent cash game play given his upside and baseline, Betts has a good matchup and makes for a smart anchor in Red Sox GPP stacks as well. He has a .469 xwOBA over the last two seasons facing RHPs and hits left-handers just as well – so the Rockies’ bullpen could be in for a long night.8/27 DFS Hitting Stacks8/27 Hitting Stack of the Day: Boston Red Sox: The first five hitters (Betts, Rafael Devers, Bogaerts and Andrew Benintendi – who’s DTD with side tightness – are my favorite four in that bunch) are going to be awfully expensive, so it might be best to swap out J.D. Martinez ($5,600 DK) for the aforementioned Bradley, Mitch Moreland ($4,800 on DK and $3,500 FD) Brock Holt ($4,000 DK and $2,900 FD) or even catcher Sandy Leon ($2,600 DK).8/27 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Colorado Rockies: Rick Porcello has a lot more experience than counterpart Rico Garcia, but he’s still facing a lineup with an implied total over 6 runs and plenty of potent bats, including Charlie Blackmon ($5,700 DK, $4,500 FD, Trevor Story ($5,600 DK, 4,300 FD), Nolan Arenado ($5,600 DK, $4,600 FD) and Ian Desmond ($4,300 DK, $2,900 FD) – with value options 2B/OF eligible Garrett Hampson ($3,300 DK and $2,700 FD) and C Tony Wolters ($3,400 DK).8/27 Hitting Stack to Consider: Philadelphia Phillies: This could be an overlooked stack with Realmuto and Hoskins, Bryce Harper ($5,100 DK), Scott Kingery ($4,600 DK) and Jean Segura ($4,300) as my favorite options.

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

8/21 DFS Hitting Picks and Prop Plays: ‘Stros and Sox

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

The first few recommendations in this article are going to be affordable guys but don’t let that fool you. We have the studs coming in hot at the end and there’s a great mix out there to build whatever sort of lineup you prefer. With that in mind, let’s get into our 8/21 DFS Hitting selections…

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

If you’d like to see more of my work click here!

8/21 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL at STL

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,100)

Catcher is undoubtedly the weakest position in fantasy baseball but Grandal always softens the blow with his impressive power. While he’s been struggling recently, he’s still on pace to set career-highs in AVG, SLG and OPS. A .377 OBP and .848 OPS shows just how special this guy can be, as he’s actually been much better batting from the left side. Since last season, Grandal has an .361 OBP and .842 OPS against righties and gets a superb matchup against Adam Wainwright here. The St. Louis right-hander is currently allowing left-handed bats to post a .383 OBP, .502 SLG and .368 wOBA against him this season, which is horrifying against guys like Grandal, Eric Thames, Mike Moustakas and Christian Yelich.

8/21 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Jesus Aguilar, TB vs. SEA

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,800)

It’s unclear who will start at first base for the Rays but we like either Aguilar or Choi at their dirt-cheap price tags. We’ll go with Aguilar, since he’s the cheaper option. Since joining the Rays at the trade deadline, he’s been batting in the heart of this order and it’s easy to see why when looking at these numbers. Over his last 34 games, Aguilar is hitting .315 while providing a .379 OBP, .494 SLG and .864 OPS. That’s huge considering he gets the platoon advantage against Wade LeBlanc, who’s allowed 19 runs over his last four appearances.

8/21 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Hanser Alberto, BAL vs. KC

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

Alberto is always a favorite of mine against left-handers and it’s crazy just how low his price is being kept at on these sites. He’s done nothing but rake when facing lefties and that’s why the Orioles bat him leadoff in these circumstances. That’s no surprise when you see his .407 AVG, .533 SLG and .954 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those are bonkers numbers and it’s even more enticing when you see Mike Montgomery’s 4.63 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. Alberto happens to be rolling right now too, hitting .354 over his last 18 games en route to a .970 OPS.

8/21 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Alex Bregman, HOU vs. DET

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,500)

This might be my favorite play on the board. I know that the Astros are my favorite stack and Bregman should be at the heart of that damage. The reason for that is because they face Daniel Norris, who’s pitching to a 4.82 ERA and 1.41 WHIP from the left side. That’s truly scary against all of these potent righties, particularly Bregman. Over his last 15 games, Bregman has a .422 AVG, .522 OBP, .857 SLG and 1.380 OPS. Those are literally video game numbers and it doesn’t even take into consideration that Bregman has a .661 SLG and 1.068 OPS against left-handers this year. Don’t fade the Astros and don’t fade Bregman!

8/21 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD vs. TOR

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,400)

Seager has quietly been turning things around since the All-Star break and it’s about time that he starts living up to expectations. Over his last 13 games, Seager has collected nine doubles and three homers en route to a .630 SLG and .953 OPS. That stellar form. paired with this matchup, makes him one of the best values on the board. Not only does Seager have a .521 SLG and .875 OPS against right-handers this season, he also gets to face Jacob Waguespack and his 5.06 xFIP and 1.31 WHIP.

8/21 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Juan Soto, WSH at PIT

DK ($5,400) FD ($4,100)

Now that we got a bunch of the value bats out of the way, let’s get you some stud outfielders. Soto actually found himself into my article on Monday and we have to keep rolling with him the way he’s hitting. Over his last 19 games, Soto has collected 11 homers, 19 runs scored, 19 RBI and five steals en route to a .438 OVP, .824 SLG and 1.264 OPS. Those are absurd numbers and it’s truly amazing that this kid is only 20 years-old. We really like that he gets the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove too, who’s got a 4.59 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, allowing 20 runs over his last five starts.

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. PHI

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

Much like Soto, J.D. is absolutely scorching right now. Over his last 43 games, Martinez is hitting .349 while generating a .416 OBP, .623 SLG and 1.039 OPS. That’s the dude that we’ve been waiting for all season long and he’s done a good amount of that damage against lefties. In fact, Martinez has a .477 OBP, .848 SLG and 1.325 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. That’s got to be scary for Drew Smyly, who’s got an ugly 7.09 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Don’t forget about Mookie Betts either, with Boston and Houston being the premier stacks of the day.

Khris Davis, OAK vs. NYY

DK ($3,200) FD ($2,500)

This is a total punt play but Davis has a lot of power potential to be priced this cheaply. He’s in such a bad slump that he’s being priced around guys who are in the minors, but we will take the risk here. While he’s earned every bit of that price tag, he’s still among the league leaders in home runs dating back to 2016. He also has an ISO north of .250 in that span and he can swat two dingers on any given night. This matchup is more inducive to do just that, as he gets the platoon advantage against J.A. Happ and his 5.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. So far this year, Davis has an OPS north of .800 against southpaws, which is nearly 200 points higher than his OPS against righties.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Mike Mongomery Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Montgomery has a 1.00 ERA and 1,06 WHIP over his last three starts while striking out 22 batters across 18 innings of action. That great form and elite K rate should fare well against an offense that ranks 26th in runs scored, 27th in OBP, 25th in OPS, 21st in K rate and 28th in wOBA.

Mookie Betts/J.D. Martinez/Corey Dickers Over 14.5 Fantasy Points

All of these guys found themselves into my write-up and I fully expect all three to perform in such a superb matchup.

Jose Altuve/Goerge Springer/Alex Bregman Over 6.5 Total Bases

All of these righties get to face Daniel Norris with an implied run total north of six. Look for these three to fo the majority of the damage.

MKF Record 27-19

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitting and Prop Picks for 7/17: Braun, Cron and More

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Our Monday DFS article was titled “Don’t Fade the Tribe”. That was alluding to the fact that we loved the Indians and Dodgers and we’re going to look to build off that momentum here. Those two offenses combined for 24 runs and we absolutely obliterated our MKF pick that had Bellinger, Muncy and Seager combining for more than 3.5 hits.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM at MIN

DK ($3,700) FD ($2,600)

Ramos has seen his price drop on these DFS sites throughout the year but this is a spot where we definitely want to use him. Aside from the price, facing a lefty is what makes him such an attractive option on this slate. In fact, Ramos is providing a .438 OBP, .556 SLG and .994 OPS against southpaws this season. That’s actually not far off of his three-year averages, with Ramos generating a .912 OPS dating back to 2017. That’s huge for a player this cheap and Martin Perez is certainly not a guy we need to worry about. Over his last seven starts, Perez is pitching to a 6.32 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.

First Base

C.J. Cron, MIN vs. NYM

DK ($3,700) FD ($3,300)

I initially had Pete Alonso in here but I think we have similar upside with Cron at $1,000 cheaper. Not only does Cron have an ISO approaching .250 since the beginning of last season, he’s absolutely obliterated left-handed pitching. So far this year, Cron is posting a .404 OBP and .679 SLG en route to a ridiculous 1.084 OPS against southpaws. That makes these DFS prices hard to figure out, as he should have success against a pitcher with a 5.17 xFIP.

Second Base

Keston Hiura, MIL vs. ATL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,400)

These DFS sites need to take notice of this kid, as he looks like a star in the making. Let’s start with his absurd Triple-A numbers, with Hiura tallying a .330 AVG and 1.089 OPS at that level this season. That fantastic form has appeared to carry over to the Majors, with Hiura accruing a .915 OPS with the Brewers in 117 at-bats, which doesn’t even include a 3-for-3 game with a dinger on Tuesday. Getting to face a lefty is simply the icing on the cake, as that puts the platoon advantage in Hiura’s favor.

Third Base

Jose Ramirez, CLE vs. DET

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,600)

Don’t look now but Ramirez is starting to get hot. This dude was simply one of the best players in fantasy last season and it was really hard to understand why he had such terrible numbers over the first three months. All the hard-hit stats were there and positive regression finally appears to be turning around. Over his last 16 games, Ramirez is hitting .333 while generating a .988 OPS. That’s the guy that we’ve become accustomed to and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him do this for the rest of the season. Spencer Turnbull is not really a guy we need to fade either, with the Tigers righty pitching to a 7.80 ERA and 1.93 WHIP over his last four starts.

Outfield

Charlie Blackmon, COL vs. SF

DK ($5,800) FD ($4,700)

If you’re unfamiliar with Blackmon’s splits, let me reinforce these ridiculous numbers. So far this season, Blackmon is providing a .426 AVG and .826 SLG en route to a 1.357 OPS. Those are Barry Bonds-like numbers and it’s really no surprise that he’s one of the highest-priced players. What we like here is that he gets the platoon advantage against Shaun Anderson, with Blackmon tallying a 1.028 OPS against righties this season while Anderson is posting a 4.48 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.

Ryan Braun, MIL vs. ATL

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,000)

I liked Braun a lot more a few years ago for DFS purposes but he’s still always in consideration against left-handers. For his career, Braun has a .389 OBP and .596 SLG agaimst southpaws en route to a .985 OPS. Even those numbers made me shake my head, as he’s truly put together a fantastic career. That alone makes these prices mind-boggling and the fact that he’s gotten on base in seven of his 11 plate appearances against Dallas Keuchel only adds to his intrigue.

Khris Davis, OAK vs. SEA

DK ($3,600) FD ($3,100)

Davis is mired in a nightmarish slump but these DFS prices are getting kind of insane. The simple fact is, Davis still leads the league in home runs since 2016 while generating an ISO approaching .300 in that span. That sort of power potential isn’t matched by many $4,500 players, let alone a guy who’s on the low $3,000’s. This matchup is fantastic for Davis too, as Leake’s 16 percent career K rate is perfect for a swing-and-miss guy like Davis. That doesn’t even take into consideration that Leake is pitching to a 6.86 ERA and 1.73 WHIP over his last four starts.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Total Bases

So, you’re telling me that all we need is two singles or an extra-base hit from Bellinger to cash this prop? That seems downright silly to me, as Bellinger has been the best hitter in the game. I couldn’t write him up in the article because of his price but we absolutely love him against Nick Pivetta, who’s pitching to a 5.81 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.

Robbie Ray Under 7.5 Strikeouts

Trust me, I get the strikeout projection but its way too high. Ray is one of the best strikeout-pitchers in the league facing a K-heavy offense but I’m not even sure Ray will get through the fifth inning in a stadium like Globe Life Park. The Rangers are projected for more than five runs here and that means it will be tough for Ray to navigate through this lineup in such a hitter-friendly ballpark. That means he needs to get his Ks quickly and it will be tough to reach 8 Ks in just five innings.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 6/19: Blasting Baltimore

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Wednesdays are always fascinating because of the games spread throughout the day and this slate is no different. We have six games during the day and 10 games at night, so we’ll try to get you some quality plays from both slates. If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

If you’d like even more information, check out some of our premium packages

Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM at ATL

DK ($4,400) FD ($2,700)

Picking catchers is like pulling teeth but Ramos always makes for a solid choice. What really makes Ramos an enticing option here is that he gets to face a lefty, with the Mets catcher posting a .526 SLG and .989 OPS against southpaws since 2017. Those are elite numbers for a catcher and it looks even better when you consider the fact that Max Fried is pitching to a 7.98 ERA and 1.84 WHIP over his last three starts. Ramos is rolling right now too, hitting .338 over his last 23 games en route to a .984 OPS.

Also Consider: Travis d’Arnaud led off against a left-hander on Tuesday and could remain a great value if he does that again against C.C. Sabathia.

First Base

Justin Bour, LAA at TOR

DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

Bour got sent down to the minors early on to find his swing and recent results show that it worked wonders for his bat. In his three games since the call-up, Bour has one double, two homers and five RBI. That’s the masher that we’ve become accustomed to in recent years and he’s simply too cheap in a matchup like this. The Angels square off with Aaron Sanchez, who’s pitching to a 5.04 ERA and 1.60 WHIP this season. Facing Sanchez means that Bour gets the platoon advantage in his favor too, with the slugging first baseman accruing a .491 SLG and .839 OPS against righties in his career.

Also Consider: If you’re willing to pay up, Pete Alonso is one of the league leaders in home runs after going 4-for-4 on Tuesday and gets the platoon advantage against Max Fried.

Second Base

Kike Hernandez, LAD vs. SF

DK ($3,200) FD ($3,000)

Hernandez has been struggling recently but he always finds his way into the lineup against a left-hander. The reason for that is Hernandez is posting a .840 OPS against southpaws since 2017. This happens to be a lefty we really want to exploit too, with Drew Pomeranz pitching to a 6.43 ERA and 1.73 WHIP so far this season. That puts all of the Dodgers bats in play and Hernandez is one of the few guys who’s actually cheap on this roster.

Also Consider: Cavan Biggio has four homers over his last five games and gets to face a lefty.

Third Base

Josh Donaldson, ATL vs. NYM

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,200)

Donaldson has made minced meat of lefties throughout his stellar career and now’s the time to hop on the train with his scorching-hot bat. Over his last eight games, Donaldson is 14-for-36 at the plate while providing two doubles, five homers and nine RBI. That equates to an OPS north of 1.200 and it’s clear that he’s finally recapturing some of his MVP form. Facing a left-hander should only help to keep him hot, with Donaldson posting a .382 OBP and .950 OPS against southpaws in his career.

Also Consider: As you’ll see in our next write-up, we love the Oakland righties and that squarely puts Matt Chapman in play.

Shortstop

Marcus Semien, OAK vs. BAL

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,600)

The shortstop position is usually plentiful with tons of great options but this slate is rather tough. That’s why we’re going to go with Semien, who happens to be the leadoff hitter for one of my favorite offenses on the slate. The reason we like the A’s is because they’re facing Josh Rogers. Yeah, I don’t know who that is either but his 8.24 career ERA, 1.73 WHIP and 8:8 K:BB rate tells us everything we need to know about yet another terrible Orioles pitcher. That’s why the A’s are projected for more than five runs and Semien should be a huge part of that atop this lineup. Getting the platoon advantage is huge too and the fact that he’s posting a 1.115 OPS over his last 13 games only adds to his intrigue.

Also Consider: Francisco Lindor is very pricey but he’s traditionally been better against left-handed pitching and gets to face a guy who’s only made one start in the Majors.

Outfield

Jordan Luplow, CLE at TEX

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,000)

This guy isn’t getting the credit he deserves, as Luplow is simply destroying left-handed pitching this season. In fact, the righty outfielder is generating a .719 SLG and 1.111 OPS against southpaws. That’s why the Indians typically bat him cleanup against lefties and we have to love that in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park. We’re looking a total of 11, as Vegas anticipates this being one of the highest-scoring games of the day. Joe Palumbo is not a guy we need to worry about either, making just one start at the Major League level.

Khris Davis, OAK vs. BAL

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,700)

Let’s keep our A’s rolling. Davis is probably my favorite play on the board and it’s easy to understand why. Not only does this guy lead the league in home runs since 2016, he’s actually posting an ISO near .300 in that span. That’s absurd power and four homers over his last eight games show us that his power stroke is at full swing right now. Facing a weak lefty like Rogers is simply the icing on the cake, with KD posting a .998 OPS against southpaws so far this season.

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at CHC

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,100)

This young stud has been one of the players I’ve written about most this season and recent results show us that we’re doing something right. Over his last nine games, Jimenez has six homers and 13 RBI en route to a .420 OBP and an OPS approaching 1.400. That power stroke and plate discipline are why he was one of the most touted prospects in the minors and it was just a matter of time before we saw this stud emerge at this level. Getting to face a lefty is a big plus as well, with Jimenez posting a 1.215 OPS against southpaws at Triple-A last season. Jon Lester is struggling right now too, pitching to a 7.59 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over his six last starts.

Also Consider: If Chris Taylor bats in the heart of the Dodgers order, he’s definitely in consideration against Pomeranz at his dirt-cheap price.

5 years ago 0 comment

Newer Posts

Older Posts