Daily Fantasy SportsPGA PGA DFS Picks: U.S. Open at Winged Foot jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the 2020 U.S Open at Winged Foot and helping you find some winning teams!Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!PGA DFS Course Notes:Major tournament field of 144 GolfersCut: Top 60 and tiesNo Brooks KoepkaThe course: Winged Foot Golf Club (Mamaroneck, NY)Par 70: 7,469 yards – A.W. Tillinghast design (1923)Poa Annua GreensBrutal rough, tight fairways, oppressive length and scary greens – the bloodbath superfectaThe course has hosted some memorable U.S. Opens, including “The Massacre” in 1974 (won by Hale Irwin at +7) and Phil Mickelson’s epic collapse in 2006 (I was right on the 18th fairway watching it) where Geoff Ogilvy prevailed with a +5 tournament scoreFocus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Ball Striking, Par 4s Gained (450-500), Fairways Gained, Proximity (200+ yards), Bogey AvoidanceBefore we get into the picks this week, let’s talk a little about how this is not your typical tournament. Taking into account the season change, the conditions, the unfamiliarity with the course for the majority of field, and the history of U.S. Opens at this storied venue, we could see the winning score in the +5 to +8 range.That means we don’t necessarily need a slew of birdie makers; the course has only one hole that’s considered a “birdie hole” by the players – the 321-yard Par 4 6th hole. We certainly want talented golfers who can hit fairways, fly in some under-the-wind approaches like D.J., scramble with the best of them and make some putts, but we don’t need to emphasize things like Birdie or Better% and Opportunities Gained.I think exceedingly poor putters are out, and really awesome putters might be too because it’s nearly impossible to gain a lot of strokes with the flat stick this week given the terrifying green complexes.The Picks:Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):Dustin Johnson (DK $11,500) – DJ is the hottest golfer on tour and has the exact set of skills to dominate here. We’ve learned a lot about his mettle the past several weeks and he’s ranked No. 7 overall in my model, with Fairways Gained being the only stat category where he’s outside the Top 10.Jon Rahm (DK $11,000) – We’ve watched Rahm (who’s No. 3 in my model) wrap up the season with of the best values in the “All-around Ranking” in tour history, and he continues to be a presence on the leaderboard in the toughest tournaments. The possibility of a meltdown scares me a bit, but I do think he’s one of the top three to watch.Rory McIlroy (DK $10,500) – Rory will be in a bunch of my GPPs along with alternating combos of DJ, Morikawa and Webb Simpson, but that approach means I’ll have to roster some punts, which is fine. I’m incredibly excited about the prospect of seeing this man play this course under these conditions, because he could lap the field.Collin Morikawa (DK $10,000) – The sticker shock could keep some folks off his DFS coattails, and his elite ball-striking could carry him into position on Sunday. He’s going to be tough to fit with some of the other studs, but I’m making it a priority.Also consider: Justin Thomas (large-field GPP only), Xander Schauffele, Bryson DeChambeau (GPP), Webb SimpsonMid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):Daniel Berger (DK $9,200) – Berger actually finishes second in my mixed model (Webb is first), and he’s really been playing well since the reopening, when he notched a win at Colonial, added a T2 and a pair of third place finishes.Tiger Woods (DK $8,600) – It’s a little crazy that Tiger – who knows how to make pars on tough golf courses and grind out Top 10s – isn’t getting more love this week. His 2006 MC at Winged Foot following the death of his father looms large as a narrative, and I’ll be rooting for him.Patrick Reed (DK $8,500) – On the other end of the feel-good spectrum, we have Reed,who will undoubtedly call upon the Prince of Darkness to keep him out of the rough and summon another U.S. Open Top 15 finish. I don’t know if he can win, but he can contend.Matthew Fitzpatrick (DK $8,000) – Fitzpatrick (No. 10 overall in my mixed model this week) is famous for keeping his ball in play and his elite short game, which he’ll need to save par on some of these tough Par 4s. The wispy Englishman finished second on tour in SG: Putting, and while he’s been inconsistent at times, he seems to show up for majors.Harris English (DK $7,900) – A shoo-in for Comeback Player of the Year, English is elite when it comes to avoiding bogeys and three-putts, he’s Top 15 in both Prox. 200+ and P4: 450-500, and he’s sixth in my overall model. I’ll be at like 50 percent, and he’s my favorite player looming around $8K.Matthew Wolff (DK $7,700) – What Wolff lacks in experience he makes up for with talent and a flair for the dramatic. I’ll only be using him in my balanced GPP builds and without high expectations, but I like the price and it’s a tournament where the X-factor could come into play.Also consider: Tony Finau (GPP), Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton, Paul Casey, Shane Lowry (GPP), Kevin Kisner, Louis Oosthuizen (cash)Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):Brendan Todd (DK $7,400) – I honestly think Todd could be the best golfer in this price range considering his steady play this past year and his growing confidence at tougher venues. A good bet for a Top 20 and a guy who could surprise on Sunday.Ian Poulter (DK $7,300) – Poulty finished in the top 10 here in 2006, but my model is unkind to him. I’ll emphasize experience over the data for him, because he’s a survivor – and just the type of golfer I want rounding out some of my GPPs.Erik Van Rooyen (DK $6,900) – Van Rooyen doesn’t normally get a lot of press, and when he has, he’s disappointed with some less-than-stellar play and some ill-timed MCs. But this might be the spot to roll him out, where his strengths (SG:BS and approaches from 200+ out) will help tremendously.Chez Reavie (DK $6,800) – I’ve run a few different models emphasizing higher percentages among the stat categories we discussed, and Chez finished among the Top 10 in all of them. He’s a sneaky good player and he won’t be intimidated by the venue or the carnage he sees along the way.Kevin Streelman (DK $6,700) – Another darling of my models, Streelman’s form has been pedestrian at best lately. But he’s No. 16 overall in my model and I trust his ability to hit fairways, avoid the majority of trouble and post some decent scores.Mark Hubbard (DK $6,700) – Hubbard is also among the Top 20 in my model this week, and I’ve been impressed by his game in 2020. He’s made the cut in nine of his last ten tournaments and he’s pretty cheap.More value golfers to consider: Billy Horschel, Sergio Garcia, Henrik Stenson, Ryan Palmer, Rasmus Hojgaard, Brandon WuLongshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):Christiaan Bezuidenhout (DK $6,500) – His MC at the PGA will keep the masses from rostering him, but this is talented golfer who could easily finish among the Top 25.Max Homa (DK $6,400) – Homa gets love from my mixed model (No. 14 overall) with solid ball-striking numbers and excellent ranks in avoiding bogeys and navigating long par 4s. He’ll be in 20-25% of my GPPs.Joel Dahmen (DK $6,400) – Dahmen has the overall game to finish in the Top 20 and he’s done that a lot in 2020. Plus, he’s just too cheap given his upside.Additional punts: Mike Lorenzo-Vera (GPP), Lanto Griffin (GPP), Robert Macintyre, Romain Langasque, Andy Sullivan 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsPGA PGA DFS Picks: Safeway Open jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Safeway Open, helping you find some winning teams in GPPs!Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!PGA DFS Course Notes:First event of new “season”156 players in fieldCut: Top 65 and ties after 36 holesThe course: North Course at Silverado Resort and Spa (Napa, CA)Par 72: 7,203 yards – Johnny Miller designPoa Annua GreensLots of slopes and bunkers, Redwood treesFormerly the Frys.com OpenDefending champion: Cameron Champ (-17)Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach & Off the Tee, Par 4s Gained (400-450), Driving Distance, Birdie or Better%The Picks:Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):Si Woo Kim (DK $10,800) – It’s a little curious to see Kim as the most expensive golfer in the field, especially since he’s lacking any real success at this venue, but he has been playing well lately (T13 at the PGA Championship and T3 at the Wyndham). I’m not sure I’ll be looking his way in large-field GPPs, but he’s 9-for-9 with four top 20s and makes for a cash game play if you’re seeking a cutmaker with some decent form.Phil Mickelson (DK 10,600) – While it may be hilarious to see a Champions Tour golfer here in the top pricing tier, Phil is the second most expensive golfer and betting favorite for a reason: He loves California and he has some decent course history here. The wind is manageable this week and Phil can scramble if he misses the fairways and greens, making him a decent GPP play.Brendan Steele (DK $10,000) – He won here in both 2016 and 2017, so he’ll be popular. While Steele struggled here in his last two appearances at the North Course, he did make the cut both times and is playing well (7-for-7 with three top 25s) since his poor showing at the Charles Schwab.Sergio Garcia (DK $9,900) – I love the way Sergio still hits it off the tee and there’s still plenty of talent left in his tank. He putts extremely well on poa, so there’s not as much risk of a meltdown around the greens, and he’s got zero course history – the formula for a smashing GPP play.Emiliano Grillo (DK $9,700) – For all the grief we give Grillo for his poor performance on the greens, he’s done better lately and can really string together some birdies if he’s competent with the flat stick. He’s also made four out of his last five cuts here and even won the event in 2015.Also consider: Shane Lowry, Chez Reavie (cash), Joel Dahmen (GPP)Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):Brandt Snedeker (DK $9,300) – The best worst ball striker in the world, Sneds takes his circus show of missed cuts to the West Coast, and he even gets to putt on his preferred surface. He’s a fan of this venue, with 4-for-4 made cut and some impressive showings, including a playoff loss in 2018 and a pair of T17s. If his back is up to it, he show be okay this week.Harold Varner (DK 9,100) – Varner is a happy-go-lucky PGA grinder who’s had a nice run in 2020, boasting some excellent stats along the way: 15th on TOUR in GIR, eighth in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green. He’s also 5-for-5 with three top 20s at the North Course and will be a staple on my GPP lineups.Cam Davis (DK 8,900) – The talented Australian heads back to the North Course for his third appearance at Silverado – where he posted a T17 in his debut in 2018. I can’t speak to his ability to win here, but he’s probably a solid cash game play (4-for-5 with two top 20s since the 3M).Bud Cauley (DK 8,600) – I’d steer clear in cash games, but Cauley is just the type of golfer I’m looking for in GPPs. He’s made four straight cuts here (including a seventh-place finish in 2017) and the long odds (50-1) mean his ownership won’t get too high.Mark Hubbard (DK 8,100) – Hubbard has made some leaderboard appearances in 2020 and actually finished among the Top 50 in the FedExCup – a run that included a T13 at this venue in 2019. We know Hubbard can go low, and this is one place where his skills should translate.Charl Schwartzel (DK $7,800) – The South Africanhasn’t played here since his 2015 debut, when he finished tied for sixth place. The odds of him winning aren’t great (60-1), but his health and form indicate he’s perfectly capable of a Top 10 finish and paying off his sub-$8K salary.Jim Furyk (DK $7,700) – Another “senior” who still makes appearance son the regular tour, I’ll never count out Furyk, who finished T17 here last season with the likes of Snedeker and Varner, among others. What he lacks in driving distance he makes up for in excellent touch around the greens and solid approaches with his irons.Also consider: Kevin Streelman, Sam Burns, Henrik Norlander, Will Gordon (GPP), Lucas Glover, Luke List, Talor GoochValue PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):Cameron Tringale DK $7,500) – A feast-or-famine GPP player who usually miss the cut or finishes among the Top 30, Tringale has been relatively consistent at this venue, with 4-out-of-5 made cut and three straight finished in the Top 50. He could be ready for a breakthrough here, and nobody will be on him.Maverick McNealy (DK $7,300) – I’ve seen plenty ofdiscussion about McNealy’s roots in Napa, as the Stanford alum actually made his pro PGA tour debut at Silverado in 2017. He’s made the cut each time here without a significant finish, but his form has been decent and he’s capable of a Top 10 finish – good enough for us at this price point.Harry Higgs (DK $7,200) – He’s a great guy and he finished with a Top 25 in his Safeway debut last season, so I still like Higgs for GPPs even if he’s not the best SG: APP golfer around. His odds to win are 80-1, which is kind of intriguing when you consider his SG: OTT numbers (35th on tour) and recent T11 (-14) at the Northern Trust.Troy Merritt (DK $7,100) – He finished second to Richy Wrenski at the Barracuda Championship in nearby Truckee, CA and boasts some of the best Driving Acurcy numbers on tour. His elite putting numbers and impressive course history (T15 in 2016 & T4 in 2018) mean he’ll be on plenty of my GPP lineups.Kristoffer Ventura (DK $7,000) – As a rookie in 2019-20, he ranked fourth in Strokes Gained: Putting and led in average distance of putts made. Played his best out of the break with five top 25s across two tours.Cameron Percy (DK $6,600) – He could be the best option under $7K considering his T7 finish here in 2019, and his game (along with almost all the Camerons, really) seems to fit this course.Also consider: Charley Hoffman (GPP) Sepp Straka (GPP), Brice Garnett, Xinjun Zhang (GPP), J.B. Holmes (GPP) Chesson HadleyLongshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):Zac Blair (DK $6,400) – The options in this range are pretty awful, with almost no success among the golfers remaining, but Blair finished tied for 4th place here last year with Charles Howell III and Justin Thomas, so he’s at least capable of a Top 20. But please don’t go overboard on a guy who’s only made about half of the cuts in the past season, though.Additional GPP punts: Aaron Baddeley, Brian Gay, Hank Lebioda 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA Insight Sheet: The Memorial presented by Nationwide Patrick Waters 4 years ago written by Patrick Waters The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at The Memorial. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.**I’m going hard with stars and scrubs approach this week. Soft pricing tends to lead to balanced builds.** Players priced $10,000 and higher***These players are good. Like most weeks, there’s really no need to explain why the top players are here. This week is no different, here is who I am playing.***Rory McIlroy $10,700 (Model Rank #1, Projected Ownership 17%)Bryson DeChambeau $11,100 (M5, 17%)Players priced between $9,900 and $9,000Xander Schauffele $9,200 (M7, 14%) – Schauffele finished T14 last week at the Workday Charity and is fifth in the field in strokes gained total over the last six weeks. With a T14 last year at The Memorial, Schauffele isn’t only a safe bet to make the cut but could be in the final pairing come Sunday.Jon Rahm $9,300 (M12, 17%) – The talent has always been there and last Sunday, Rahm shot -8 to finish T27. That finish has catapulted his ownership but I don’t mind. This week I’ll be very overweight on Rahm this week.Hideki Matsuyama $9,400 (M13, 15%) – Two top 20 finishes in his last two events out and three top 15 finishes at The Memorial, Matsuyama is one of the favorites. He started out strong last week, but his putter failed on the weekend. The speed of the greens should help a little with the flat stick and Matsuyama could find himself with another top 15 finish.****Tiger Woods $9,000 (M17, 22%) – Ownership is just scary on him. I know he’s Tiger, but if he falters on his official return since the break, it’s a huge leverage spot****Players priced between $8,900 and $8,000Patrick Reed $8,400 (M11, 11%) – It must be the name, that keeps pulling me back. Every other week, Reed burns me but when he gets hot, he can run through a field. Reed has four straight cuts made here at Jack’s place coming in. Reed in 2020 has averaged .74 strokes gained putting, in three of his last four events, he’s lost strokes on the green. If his putter reverts to average, this week could be very good for Reed.Tony Finau $8,300 (M23, 14%) – He missed the cut last year, but prior he finished with three top 15 in four tries at The Memorial. Not exactly a lock as he’s missed a cut since the restart and hasn’t really payed off his price either. Don’t go overboard but Finau has the talent to compete with the best here.Sungjae Im $8,200 (M28, 9%) – What has happened to Im? Sungjae was averaging .39 stroked gained on approaches this year before The PLAYERS (1 round). Since then he’s lost strokes in 4/5 tournaments on approach. Im is more of a play on talent, ownership and price. Matthew Fitzpatrick $8,100 (M36, 6%) – I’m both surprised and delighted that Fitzpatrick’s ownership is projected so low. He finished T27 last week on the same course. Fitzpatrick has made the cut in four of his last five tournaments with two T15. He made his lone cut at The Memorial last year. I know around the green play comes in and Fitzpatrick isn’t the greatest, but the rest of his game is plenty sharp to overcome that. Players priced between $7,900 and $7,500Kevin Kisner $7,500 (M18, 3%) – Kisner is an interesting option. On one hand the approach game and to a lesser degree around the green game are important at The Memorial. While Kisner does have a solid all around game, those are his weak points in 2020. On the other, we have a possible sub 5% owned golfer who in his last tournament (Rocket Mortgage) came in third. On top of that has made the cut here four out of the last five years. Those cuts made include TWO top 10 finishes. Kisner isn’t playing as well as in previous years, but he has the goods to surprise people this week.Joaquim Niemann $7,900 (M25, 16%) – Statistically speaking, Niemann is having his best year of his young career. A world class ball striker, few in the field can compete with his irons. The one problem with Niemann is it seems one part of his game fails him. Charles Schwab (ARG), Travelers (Putter) and Workday (ARG). When it does come together it’s fantastic, RBC (T5). With the inconstant all around game, his ownership is rather high which gives me some pause. At his price though, the upside is tremendous.Doc Redman $7,600 (M32, 7%) – Speaking of ball strikers, Redman is another elite player with the approach aspect of his game. Despite losing strokes with the wedge and putter the last three weeks, Redman has finished T21, T11 & T21. As we all know putting is the highest varying aspect of one’s game. If his can get his putter hot Redman could find himself in the top 5 this week at The Memorial.Players priced between $7,400 and $7,000Brian Harman $7,100 (M21, 1%) – Oh Harman, we meet again. After the RBC I started playing Harman. As I’m sure you know he then proceeded to miss the cut the two following weeks. His game in theory should setup perfect for The Memorial. I’ve said that though for previous weeks and it didn’t matter. He’s coming in with zero traction from the industry, hence the projected ownership. Third time is a charm, right?Kevin Na $7,200 (M24, 6%) – Na withdrew last tournament with a back injury, a tournament he was somewhat popular. Na has always lost strokes off the tee and with the extra long rough this week it could be an issue. With that said all other facets of his game match up wonderfully at The Memorial. Won’t need much to match the field and an injury risk is always in play, but I’ll take a shot on Mr Na this week.Lucas Glover $7,100 (M40, 11%) – Another strong iron player, Glover has been getting some love and it makes sense. Since the restart Glover has averaged over a stroke per round in approach and has finished T23, T21, T20 & T21. He also has not missed the cut since 2015 at The Memorial. While his ownership/price ratio goes against my philosophy I’m going go heavy on Glover this week and double the field in ownership.Brendan Steele $7,100 (M60, 3%) – Steele had a great tournament last week despite the T52 finish. He gained almost a stroke and a half over the field in approach. His problem was the putter, it got cold quick. Losing almost 2 strokes a round is problematic. Now granted Steele has never been a world class putter but his 2020 average is around zero. If the two stroke departure from his putter can regain his 2020 form I could imagine Steele landing inside the top 20.Punt plays $6,900 and lower*****Won’t have more than 10% of any of these guy in my 150 max*****Nick Taylor $6,900 (M20, 2%)Troy Merritt $6,600 (M37, 3%)Talor Gooch $6,500 (M39, 4%)Matthias Schwab $6,400 (M51, 2%)Max Homa $$6,800 (M52, 4%)Christiaan Bezuidenhout $6,800 (M79, 1%)Tyler Duncan $6,300 (M88, 2%)Cash / SE / 3 Max – Core plays******None of my plays in this section will ever be at 10K and above or 6K and lower.******Patrick Cantlay $9,800 (M3, 23%)Webb Simpson $9,600 (M4, 15%)Daniel Berger $8,700 (M9, 17%)Abraham Ancer $8,500 (M8, 21%)Paul Casey $7,900 (M19, 16%)Kevin Streelman $7,600 (M16, 16%)Ian Poulter $7,600 (M22, 11%)Adam Hadwin $7,400 (M14, 9%)Corey Conners $7,400 (M57, 7%)Harris English $7,300 (M29, 8%)Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for The Memorial. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock! 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsPGA PGA DFS Picks: The Memorial Tournament jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Memorial Tournament and helping you find some winning teams!NOTE: The PGA DFS prices are pretty soft in the secondary tier, so it should be easy to build teams that look good and have monster upside. Focus on single entry GPPs and low-price MMEs.PGA DFS Course Notes:Smaller,much stronger tournament field of 133 golfers (including 48 of the world’s top50 players), but more than normal (usually 120) at the MemorialSecondof two consecutive events being played at Muirfield Village, along with last week’sWorkday Charity OpenFirsttime since 1957 the same course will host consecutive tournament events36-hole Cut: Top 65 and ties play theweekend (about 49%)Thecourse: Muirfield Village 7,456 yards, Par 72 – Jack Nicklaus designBentgrass GreensRough will be a little longer than last weekand greens will be faster than last week’s eventWider fairways should still help somelonger hittersFirestone CC and TPC Sawgrass have winnercorrelationBrysonDeChambeau (2018 Memorial winner) back in the field after skipping last week,and Tiger Woods is playing for the first time since FebruaryDefending champ: Patrick Cantlay (2019 Memorial:-19)Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach;SG: Ball Striking, Par 4s Gained (450-500), GIR, Bogey Avoidance, Birdie orBetter %, Sand Saves, Proximity (175-200), ScramblingThe Picks:Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):Bryson DeChambeau (DK $11,100) – If the roughgives him fits, he could struggle, but it’s hard to argue with the success he’shad harnessing his newfound distance. He won here in 2018 and could do itagain.Dustin Johnson (DK $10,300) – DJ has six top 20s at the Memorial with aT8 last year, and he’s only three weeks removed from an impressive victory atthe Travelers. I’ll be using him as a low-owned GPP plug-n-play.Collin Morikawa (DK $10,000) – Morikawa spent most of Sunday at Muirfield knocking down flagsticks and ended up walking away a victor in a playoff against Justin Thomas. There’s no way we can fade him here.Patrick Cantlay (DK 9,800) – If we used plenty of Cantlay last week, there’s no reason we shouldn’t go right back to the well after his T7. He’s well-equipped to finish in the Top 5 this week and should be a leaderboard presence come Sunday.Victor Hovland (DK $9,500) – A few late mistakes cost Hovland a chance at victory, but he was right in the mix all week long and remains one of the better T2G players in the tournament, leading the field in SG: Off the Tee.Also consider: Justin Thomas, RoryMcIlroy (GPP), Webb Simpson (Cash)Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):Jon Rahm (DK $9,300) – Rahm is anabsolute steal at $9,300 given his upside, though form and course fit areconcerns. He works in all formats this week and provides one of the bettervalues in the $9K range.XanderSchauffele (DK $9,200) – Schauffele and Rahm both provide some salary relief from the toptier while maintaining the same upside, so I’ll have some shares. Xander wasquiet lats week but finished with a respectable T14.Tiger Woods (DK $9,000) – I probably won’t deploy Tiger in cash games, since there are plenty of safer options at this price point, but I can’t count him out in his search for his record 83rd win, especially without the normal distractions of a gallery.Rickie Fowler (DK $8,800) – We got a good look at what Rickie can do when his game comes together in the third round at the Workday (66), and he’s trending up. It’s hard to go all-in but mixing in some GPP shares makes sense.AbrahamAncer (DK $8,500) – Ancer’s form is excellent (T14-2-T11 coming outof the break) and he actually tops the tour in SG: APP. Add in the soaringfigures at the key efficiency proximity range (150-175 yards) and we’ve got alive one.MatthewFitzpatrick (DK $8,100) – Fitz shook off his MC at the Travelers and made the cut at the Workday,and the week-to-week changes to the course (faster greens, longer rough) shouldhelp his strengths and set him apart as an even more favorable option.Jason Day (DK $8,000) – Day had his best tournament since February’s fourth-place finish in Pebble Beach, and the price hasn’t yet come up. A classic risk-reward GPP play with Top 5 (and winning) upside.Matt Kuchar (DK $8,000) – His form is somewhat questionable following a pair of ho-hum finishes (T41-T39) since the uncharacteristic missed cut at the Charles Schwab, but Kuchar is affordable and has had success at Muirfield with a pair of T4s in 2016 and 2017.Paul Casey (DK $7,900) – Casey is an enormous risk despite still not missing a cut in 2020, but I love him as a low-owned GPP salary saver given his rankings in the WinDaily model.Also consider: Hideki Matsuyama, DanielBerger, Tony Finau, Joaquin Niemann, Sergio Garcia, Gary Woodland, KevinStreelman, Doc Redman, Ian PoulterValue PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):Rory Sabbatini (DK $7,500) – Sabbs comes at a huge discount in this loaded field, and while he’s yet to break through here, he’s not a terrible cash game play.CameronChamp (DK $7,400) – Champ is at the other end of the spectrum, as he has winning GPPupside but shouldn’t be deployed in cash games.ShaneLowry (DK $7,200) – He’s 2-for-2 at the Memorial and his game fits this venue. I lovethe price and will be using plenty of Lowry this week.Lucas Glover (DK $7,100) – There’s really a ton of value out there in the $7K range, which makes building teams a lot of fun this week. Glover checks all the boxes this week and comes in sporting excellent form, with four straight Top 25s since the restart.Matt Wallace (DK $7,000) – Wallace is my sleeper play this week and should maintain low ownership. You won’t have to go overboard to stay ahead of the field, and he’s in good position to make the cut.Max Homa (DK $6,800) – Homa missed the cut again last week, but he’s at least apologetic. I’ll be using him again in the hops that he can make some putts, as he finished T37 in his Memorial debut in 2019.Zach Johnson (DK $6,700) – ZJ is just way too cheap given his cut-making upside, though he’s more of a cash game play. I don’t expect him to win, but a Top 25 could be in the cards.Bud Cauley (DK $6,600) – Cauley has been all over the place here (T9-113-T25-T38 in his last four) and has missed three straight cuts since the Charles Schwab, but I’m using him in a handful of large-field GPPs.More value golfers forGPPs: Billy Horschel, Adam Hadwin, Corey Conners, Nick Taylor, Maverick McNealy,Sepp Straka, Graeme McDowell, Troy Merritt, Bernd WiesbergerLongshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):Jason Dufner (DK $6,500) – He finished T7 last year and won the Memorial in 2017 – selling points for this enigmatic golfer among the bottom tiers.Henrik Norlander (DK $6,300) – The stronger field is a tougher test, but Norlander’s recent form justifies using him in stud-scrub builds.Tyler Duncan (DK $6,300) – I’m not the only one who likes him this week, but Duncan is one of a few solid golfers under $6,500 who could surprise.Additional punts: Branden Grace, Harry Higgs, Tom Hoge, Andrew PutnamMake sure to check out more PGA content over at WinDailySports.com/golf and follow us on twitter @WinDailySports! 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Daily Fantasy SportsPGA PGA DFS Picks: RSM Classic at Sea Island Brandon C. Williams 4 years ago written by Brandon C. Williams In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re fishing for some finecatches at the RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club in Georgia!Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!PGADFS Course Notes:It’s a full field with 156 golfers playing the Seaside Course and Plantation Course over the first two roundsCut: Top 65 and ties will play the weekend, making it difficult to get 6-of-6 golfers through the cutlineThe first two rounds will be played at Seaside and Plantation courses at Sea Island Golf Club.The Seaside Course is a Par 70 and 7,055 yards (Bermuda grass)The Plantation Course is a Par 72 and 7,060 yards (Bermuda grass)Previous winners: Charles Howell III (defending champion), Austin Cook, Mackenzie Hughes, Kevin Kisner, Robert Streb, Chris Kirk, Tommy Gainey, Ben Crane, Heath SlocumFocus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Birdie or Better %, Par 4 Scoring, SG: PuttingThe Picks:Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,000and up):Webb Simpson (DK $11,600, FD $11,800) – Simpson finished third here last year and loves the venue. He’s the tourney favorite and my pick for winning the whole thing. Kevin Kisner (DK $9,800, FD$11,000) – Kisner is the tournament’s all-timeearnings leader with a win here in 2015 among four top-10s in the five times he’splayed here. I’ll be loading up in all formats.Charles Howell, III (DK $10,400, FD $11,400) – Howell is defending his title and had a top 10 in 2015. He’s worth spending up for and checks all the boxes at this venue.Billy Horschel (DK $11,000, FD $11,600) – He played here once and finished second in a playoff. I know we faded him last week and he finished T8, and I won’t make that same mistake again. Matt Kuchar (DK $11,400, FD $11,800) – Kucharfinished in the top 15 last week and has racked up five top-25s at RSM. He should contend at this Bermudavenue – where he’s a resident – and is a solid bet to make the cut despitemissing in 2016.Scottie Scheffler (DK $9,200, FD $10,800) – Schefflerdoesn’t have any experience here, but that hasn’t mattered much here. Therookie is 6-for-6 with two top-10s and another pair of top-20s. He finished T18at Mayakoba last week.Also consider: Harris English, Aaron Wise, Adam Hadwin, ZachJohnsonMid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,500to $8,900):Austin Cook (DK $7,800, FD $9,600) – Cook won here in 2017 and finished T11 here last year with Dominic Bozzelli. He’s got a couple of Top 20s this season mixed in with some MCs. Worth a look in GPPs.Denny McCarthy (DK $8,600, FD $10,000) – He checks a very important box in our focus stats – Birdie-or-Better % – and his talents might not get noticed in this large field. A solid off-the-radar play.Brian Gay (DK $8,800, FD $10,000) – He has a good feel for the course and its small greens, and he’s a fairway maven with solid course history and good form (6-for-6 this season with two Top 10s among four Top 25s).Brian Harman (DK $7,900, FD $9,900)– The “other” Brian isone of the local residents dubbed the “Sea Island Mafia,” though none of themhas actually won the thing. Could this be the year? Harman finished T4 twoyears ago and has three top-20s in his first three events this season.Russell Henley (DK $8,500, FD $9,800) –He’s technically not part of the Sea Island Mafia-like Kuchar, Harman, and ZJ, but he’s one of the UGA alums to notch a top 10 here. In fact – he’s got three top 10s here. His MC in 2018 could keep some folks off him.ChrisKirk (DK $7,600, FD $9,400) –I’mrooting for Kirk, who played well in his return last week and is the courserecord holder at Plantation with a T4, T4 and a win in three of his last sixhere. He’s perfect at this price point in GPPs, though he could get chalky.Harry Higgs (DK $7,900, FD $9,900) – Citedfatigue for his mini-slump before the surge in Bermuda. That little bit of restseems to have helped him as he’s now finished runner-up and T33 in his last twostarts. He’s back on track and was one of the hottest golfers on the Korn FerryTour, coming down the stretch last season. Someone that should be much higheron the draft board. Also consider: Dylan Fritelli, Russell Knox, VaughnTaylor, Rory Sabbatini, Lanto GriffinValue PGA DFS (DK Under $7,500):Brian Stuard (DK $7,400, FD $9,600) – Another Brian! Stuard is sporting monster form right now as he’s made six consecutive cuts on the PGA Tour – something we’ll need this week in such a big field. He’s also racked up four top 30 finishes in that span including a T4 at the Shriners, and he finished 22nd at the 2017 RSM Classic.Kevin Streelman, (DK$7,400, FD $9,500) – He’s got a checkered history at Sea Island,with just one Top 20 and a couple of missed cuts. Nobody will be on him thisweek and his accuracy should be considered a great strength at this relatively shortcourse. A boom-or-bust GPP play.Kyle Stanley (DK $7,200, FD $8,700)– We haven’t heard much from Stanley lately, but he’s 2-for-2here and we need to find some value. Stanley gives us that along with Top 25upside. Peter Uihlein (DK $7,100, $9,200) – Not much form to speak of, but he finished T7 with Kisner and ZJ last year. He’s a longshot to make the Top 10 in consecutive tries here, but don’t count him out.David Hearn (DK $7,000, FD $9,000) – Hearn’s record at Sea Island is impeccable, and he’s made five of six cuts this season dating back to the Greenbrier, including a T8 at Bermuda. But will he fly under the radar?Doc Redman (DK $6,600, FD $7,500) – We’ll throw out his MC last week because Mayakoba does not smile on first-timers and give him some edge because of his obvious talent and ball-striking.More value golfers for GPPs: Adam Schenk, Boo Weekley, PatrickRodgers, Henrik Norlander, Dominic Bozzelli, Sepp Straka, Robert Streb, BrendanSteele, David LingmerthThe PGA DFS Fades:Si Woo Kim (DK $8,700, FD $10,000) – He finished T18 here in 2015 but hasn’t had much success at Sea Island, and the price drop to $7,300 could make him somewhat popular despite an MC last week. No Top 25s yet this season, and I’m not seeing the upside. Kevin Chappell (DK $7,100, FD $8,900) – Chappell has played well here in the past, but he still doesn’t look right after returning from his back injury and isn’t quite ready to contend. A lot of folks will be drawn to the value based on his course history, but we can safely avoid him this week.Rusty’s Sea Island Fade ofthe Week:Alex Noren (DK $9,300, FD $10,900) – “This wayward traveler maycome from fine Stockholm stock, but his recently packed travel itinerary mayhave his sea legs a little tired after such a busy schedule. The Sea Island Mafiais a welcoming gang of scalawags, but this Swedish fish may not be sweet enoughto notch a Top 10 this week.” – Justin “Rusty” SeastrumIt’s great having my boy “Trusty Rusty” fillingin for Spades – who’s taking the week off after recommending a fade of Billy Horscheland his T8 at the Mayakoba. I’m on board with Rusty’s take on Noren, especiallybecause he hasn’t been very good atthe events that he’s been playing all over the globe – and he’s not worth theprice.PGA DFS — Sample DK GPP lineup:Webb Simpson($11,600)Brian Gay($8,800)Austin Cook($7,800)Harry Higgs($7,700)David Hearn ($7,000)HenrikNorlander ($6,900)PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2:Webb Simpson($11,600)Charles HowellIII ($10,400)Kyle Stanley ($7,200)Patrick Rodgers($7,000)Doc Redman($6,900)Robert Streb ($6,800)PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3:Kevin Kisner ($9,800)ScottieScheffler ($9,200)Brian Gay($8,800)Chris Kirk ($7,600)Brian Stuard ($7,400)Peter Uihlein($7,100)Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner whileturning your passion for sports into a second stream of income! 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsPGA PGA DFS Picks: The ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re onto the second leg of theAsian swing with for the inaugural ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP in Japan. Let’s find somegems!Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!PGA DFS — Course Notes: Course:Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club (Par: 70 – Yardage: 7,041 – Greens:Bentgrass).Tree-lined, zoysia fairways with threepar 5s and five par 3s, with water in play off the tee on three holes and fivetotal – and a bunch of greenside bunkers.No-cutevent featuring 78 golfers: 60golfers from last year’s FedExCup standings, 10 from the Japan Golf Tour, and 8sponsor invites.Loaded field with 12 of the Top 20 inOWGR participating.FocusStat Categories are Strokes Gained: Off-the-tee (cross-referencedfor accuracy), Strokes Gained: Approach, Scrambling, Sand Save %, Par 4 Scoring.Rain and wind expected this week, so we may grab some folkswho play well in those conditions. The Picks:Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500and up):Justin Thomas (DK $11,800, FD $12,200) – He won last week in Korea and checks most of the boxes this week. I won’t have massive ownership given the high price and need for a Top 3 to be worth the price, but he’s hard to fade.RoryMcIlroy (DK $11,500, FD $12,300) – Rory said the course really meets his eye off the tee, ashe’s a fan of tree-lined layouts, and the last couple of days he’s been righthere playing in the MGM Resorts The Challenge Japan Skins. He’s one of the top dogswhen it comes to Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, as he’s the best driver of the golfball in the game, and he seems to be enjoying himself alongside his friends inJapan.HidekiMatsuyama (DK $10,700, FD $11,200) – Matsuyama is right at home on thiscourse and is one of the few who has experience with the layout. A great ballstriker who’s a perennial leader in the focus stat categories, he’ll be popularthis week. He’s also beenplaying here a lot this week in the skins event and eventhough he’s one of the betting favorites, I’ll have shares in all formats.Paul Casey (DK $10,100, FD $10,700) – Casey is good fit for this golf course as he was eighth on tour in SG: Approach in this past season and he won at the Valspar on Innisbrook’s Copperhead Course – a correlated course. He plays well in rain, played badly in the Italian Open and he’s also kind of expensive – making him an excellent GPP play who should garner low ownership this week.AdamScott (DK $9,900, FD $10,600) – Much like Casey, Scott could easily fly under the radar athis price point. But he’s a savvy play and good course horse as he’s a regularfinisher among the elite in SG: Approach. The poor showing at the Shriner’swill keep most of the field off him, so I’m buying. TommyFleetwood (DK $9,800, FD $10,400) – He plays well in theseconditions and has no problem competing with the world’s best. He’s got seventop 20s in his last nine starts worldwide since The Open Championship and he’sa closer who plays well in the final rounds of a tournament – something thathelps in no-cut events. I’ll likely have massive shares sicne ownership wiollbe low after he finished just T20 last week.Also consider: Xander Schauffele, Jordan SpiethMid-Range PGA DFS (DK $8,000to $9,400):Victor Hovland (DK $9,400, FD $10,000) – Hovland’s insanesub-70s round streak came to and end in Korea, but he’s still a betting favoritewith plenty to prove on the PGA Tour – and he’s not going to carry the ownershiphe did in last week’s event.Tiger Woods (DK $9,300, FD $10,500) – If he can avoid the long rough and keep it in play, there’s no reason Tiger can’t play well enough to win. He’s been playing the Skins Game this week after getting his knee cleaned out and is optimistic about his chances in the upcoming events. He needs just one more win to tie Sam Snead for most career PGA TOUR victories at 82.Tony Finau (DK $9,200, FD $10,100) – Finau might be my favoritegolfer this week at any price. He checks all the boxes in all the stat categorieswe’re focused on, and he’s playedwell at his most recent events (T9 at Shriner’s and T10 at Alfred Dunhill Links).Narashino has some bizarre, undulating bentgrass greens (he likes bentgrass andthey’ll be using alternating sets of the greens in different days) and thattends to favor the consistency of the longer clubs in the bag, where Finaushines.Louis Oosthuizen (DK $8,400, FD $9,300) – I am loving this price onOosty, who finished second at last year’s Valspar and is seeing his firstaction in a couple of months since concluding the 2018-19 season with four straight top 20s. He’s great offthe tee, a solid ball striker and a fiery competitor who should perform well inthis loaded field.Joaquin Niemann (DK $8,200, FD $9,100) – Niemann has fared well as a ball-strikerand rates well in SG: Off the Tee. He also won a few weeks ago but scrambles outof the sand well and ranks inside the top-20 in Par-4 scoring average. Niemannmakes the short hop to Japan after a top-12 finish at The CJ Cup in Korea lastweek.Also consider: Sergio Garcia, Sungjae Im, Adam Hadwin, Shane Lowry (GPP) Value PGA DFS (DK Under $8K):Matthew Wolff (DK $7,200, FD $8,500) – Wolff played badlyin Korea and finished near the bottom of the leaderboard, but I’m a sucker for aredemption story. A talent like this coupled with a price drop means I’ll be grabbingplenty of exposure in GPPs and counting on him for a Top 20 finish.Chez Reavie (DK $7,400, FD $8,600) – Reavie is another across-the-boardperformer in our focus stats and he’s relatively cheap on DK this week. Hemight be more of a cash game value play at this price, but I’ll be using him ina few GPPs.Charles Howell, III (DK $7,300, FD $8,600) – A long and accurate hitterand bentgrass specialist who seems like an excellent course fit, Howell ischeap and scores well on Par 4s – so I’m giving him the benefit of the doubt onthis unfamiliar layout.Rory Sabbatini (DK $7,100, FD $8,200) – Sabbatini plays wellon the course corollaries and is a modest $7,100 on DK despite a T10 at theItalian Open and a T31 finish last week in Korea. I use him in a lot of GPPsand rarely regret it.Nate Lashley (DK $6,400, FD $7,200) – Another under-the-radarpro who finished T20 last week in Korea, Lashley plays well on similar layoutsand seems to be enjoying the PGA Tour after his breakthrough win last season. Arelatively steady performer, he’s guaranteed to9 be low-owned and has upside inGPPs.Value golfers for GPPs: C.T. Pan, J.T. Poston, JoelDahmen, Bubba Watson, Wyndham ClarkAlso consider: Andrew Putnam, Kevin Streelman, Ryan Moore, Emiliano Grillo, Abraham Ancer, Dylan FrittelliThe PGA DFS Fades:Matthew Fitzpatrick (DK $9,000, FD $9,600) – It pains me to fade him,but I’ll have much fewer shares of Fitzpatrick than usual based on his pricejump and unknown course conditions. He also might draw additional ownershipfollowing his one-stroke defeat at theItalian Open, which was his fifth runner-up finish in 11 months. I do like him,but my exposure will be diminished.Ryan Palmer (DK $6,900, FD $7,900) – He’s a poor bad-weathergolfer and I’m expecting a letdown after a T12 last week in Korea. Palmer alsostruggles with Par 4 scoring and is making a lot of lists as a top value play thisweek, so he might be highly owned. If I was entering 150 lineups I’d have himin 3-5, but he’s far from a core play in this field. Also fading: Daniel Berger and Jason KokrakSpades’ Fade of the Week:Patrick Reed (DK $9,600, FD $10,200)“Everyone else seems to be hanging out with friends outthere, having a good time – but he’s probably just by himself, miserable. I’veseen snapchats of golfers in groups out in the city to eat sushi, but not him.”– Mark “Spades” SpadaOh man, Spades! That’s so mean — and incredibly appropriate for a guy who hates his own family and is universally loathed on tour. Those sentiments also remind me of one of my favorite Neil Young songs, which I just listened to last night on vinyl.Reed says he’s “thrived” since committing to more feel and embracing his fundamentally unsound golf swing. He’s gone T36–T15–T4 on the European Tour and has been playing okay, but I think he’s out of his element on this course.PGA DFS — Sample DK GPP lineup:P. Casey ($10,100)T. Fleetwood ($9,800)T. Finau ($9,200)S. Lowry ($8,000)J.T. Poston ($6,600)C.T. Pan ($6,200)PGA DFS – Sample DK Cash lineup:J. Thomas ($11,800)S. Im ($8,800)R. Moore ($7,800)C. Reavie ($7,400)A. Putnam ($7,400)K. Streelman ($6,700)Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Signup today and become a winner while turning your passionfor sports into a second stream of income! 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
