PGAPremium Insight Sheet: PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park 4 years ago written by The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the 2020 PGA Championship. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for ove... 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsPGAPremium PGA DFS Picks: PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the PGA Championship helping you find some winning teams in GPPs! All pricing is for DraftKings.Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!PGA DFS Course Notes... 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA Insight Sheet: 2020 WGC FedEx St.Jude Invitational 4 years ago written by The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the 2020 WGC FedEx St.Jude Invitational. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.With the WGC or any other type of no cut event, I never play cash. As the main idea with cash games is to get six golfers into the weekend. There is just too much variance with mainly the best golfers in the world guaranteed to get four days of play.Players priced $10,000 and higherJon Rahm $11,400 (M3, 14%)Justin Thomas $10,700 (M4, 16%)Patrick Cantlay $10,100 (M26, 13%)Players priced $9,900 and $9,000Collin Morikawa $9,500 (M1, 16%)Xander Schauffele $9,800 (M2, 19%)Matthew Fitzpatrick $9,000 (M5, 12%)Daniel Berger $9,600 (M6, 15%)Tyrell Hatton $9,700 (M10, 15%)Webb Simpson $9,900 (M13, 15%)Victor Hovland $9,400 (M14, 15%)Players priced between $8,900 and $8,000Sergio Garcia $8,000 (M16, 11%)Gary Woodland $8,600 (M23, 13%)Hideki Matsuyama $8,900 (M31, 10%)Rickie Fowler $8,300 (M37, 10%)Jason Day $8,200 (M38, 7%)Jordan Spieth $8,100 (M47, 10%)Players priced between $7,900 and $7,000Corey Conners $7,300 (M15, 10%)Bubba Watson $7,100 (M18, 10%)Kevin Na $7,500 (M22, 6%)Kevin Kisner $7,000 (M45, 6%)Matt Kuchar $7,600 (M50, 7%)Danny Willett $7,100 (M54, 4%)Players priced between $6,900 and $6,000Nick Taylor $6,100 (M20, 3%)Ryan Palmer $$6,700 (M24, 5%)C.T. Pan $6,100 (M29, 1%)Tyler Duncan $6,200 (M39, 2%)Christiaan Bezuidenhout $6,800 (M40, 4%)Erik Van Rooyen $6,800 (M42, 5%)J.T. Poston $6,500 (M48, 2%)Shane Lowry $6,600 (M49, 5%)Bernd Wiesberger $6,500 (M53, 3%)Brandt Snedeker $6,400 (M58, 3%)Strategy for the 2020 WGC FedEx St.JudeI wanted to switch it up for this article since we’re dealing with a no cut, invitation only event. The list above is for my 150 max contest of the week. It’s almost half the field and I do not expect you to run as many players as myself unless you’re going the same route. I’m gonna run through each price tier and add the players to individual contest selections and where I would play them.Single Entry9K – Morikawa, Fitpatrick and Xander8K – Woodland, Matsuyama & Day7K – Conners & Watson6k – TaylorThese are guys that I feel can compete at a high level this week with respect to their price range. I did not get into the 10K range, even though there is no cut, I want to try and keep the “floor” as high as possible. I really like Taylor this week and it’s the only reason he’s in this section. If you want to drop him because of his price, by all means.3 Max10K – Rahm or Thomas (Not both)9K – Hovland and Berger8K – GarciaWith these four players, add them to the Single Entry mix.20 Max10K – The other player of Rahm and Thomas9K – Hatton & Simpson7K – Kuchar6K – Palmer & DuncanAdd these six players to the SE/3 Max pool.150 Max10K – Cantlay8K – Fowler & Spieth7K – Kisner & Willett6K – Pan, Bezuidenhout, Rooyen, Poston, Lowry, Wiesberger and SnedekerFinalize the 150 max pool with these golfers. As a general rule of thumb that I follow when “normally” entering 150 max is the higher the golfer is priced, in general you should have more of them in your lineups. For example…10K Player – 40%9K Player – 30%8K Player – 20%7K Player – 10%6K Player – 5%These golfers are priced like they are for a reason (for the most part). Don’t kill good lineups because you have 30% of a 6K player. Could he go off and you’re way up on the competition, sure. There’s a better chance that they sink those lineups instead. This is a no cut, so feel free to get a little more aggressive if you choose, this would be the event for it.Projected Ownership – FanShareSportsMonkey Knife FightUsing the information above, you can even make some money on Monkey Knife Fight! As I said I like Rahm and I’m fading Rory, so you can grab the Over for Rahm, the Under for Rory and make some more money! Check out how to play with our quick overview here. Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the 2020 3M Open. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock! 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsPGA PGA DFS Picks: WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big paydayat the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and helping you find some winning teams!PGA DFS pricing this week seems to encourage a more balanced approach, but I’ll be certain to mix things up in large-field DraftKings GPPs with a few studs-and-scrubs lineups.Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info,24/7 expert chats and more!PGA DFS Course Notes:78Golfers & No CutStackedfield but no Tiger Woods or Justin Rose (OMG thank you)Thecourse: TPC Southwind (Memphis, TN)7,238 yards, Par 70 – Ron Prichard (DonaldRoss disciple & redesign specialist – his style reminds me of DeverauxEmmet, A.W. Tillighast and Ross courses I’ve playedBermuda GreensVERY SNEAKY LONG course (adjusted forpar) featuring myriad water hazards that come into play and have eaten up5,000+ golf balls since 2004 – far and away the most of any venueAnother ball-striker’s course, withemphasis on long and straight off the teePrevious to hosting the WGC FedEx St. JudeInvitational, TPC Southwind was the host course for the St. Jude Classic.Defendingchamp: Matthew Wolff (-21)Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach& SG: Ball Striking, Par 4s Gained (450-500), Opportunities Gained, Birdieor Better %, Bogey Avoidance, SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda), SG: OTT & Aroundthe GreenThe Picks:Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):Justin Thomas (DK $10,900) – For a golfer like Thomas who’s interspersed three MCs with six Tops 10s (three of them Top 3s) over his last 10 tournaments, the advantage of playing all four rounds in a no-cut event is one that we should take advantage of, especially since he’s only the fourth-most expensive option in the field. The record at WGC events is good and there’s winning upside, but it might be wise to check in on his caddie before lock.Rory McIlroy (DK $10,000) – Rory finished fourth here last year in the inaugural event that matched TPC Southwind with this WGC venue, and he’s carrying a chip on his shoulder after losing the No. 1 OWGR to Rahm. He’s an excellent GPP play since he’s no longer the clear betting favorite, and his talent should rise to the top with four guaranteed shots at this course.Patrick Cantley (DK $10,000) – I’m not hearinga ton of chatter about Cantlay, but I like his chances at a sneaky Top 3 or Top5 finish here. The $10K price might drive some ownership toward cheaper golfersand there’s the recency bias of his poor form at the Memorial (T32). Hisall-around game should translate well here.Tyrell Hatton (DK $9,700) – Hatton makes birdies in bunches with his prodigious putting and keeps posting excellent finishes (T6-W-T3-T4 in his last four events) on his journey toward major relevance. I can’t imagine he’ll be chalky enough to scare me off increase exposure in GPPs.Daniel Berger (DK $9,600) – Berger loves this place, as his first two PGA Tour victories came at TPC Southwind, and everything about the venue seems to point to another top 10 finish. I won’t go all-in, but there’s a case to be made for using him even at this elevated price.Also consider: Jon Rahm, WebbSimpson, Xander Schauffele, Collin MorikawaMid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):Viktor Hovland (DK $9,400) – Hovland may bemaking his WGC debut, but the pedigree is there for another leaderboard appearancecome Sunday. The youngster (first in this stackedfield in SG: Ball Striking, SG: Approach and Opportunities Gained)is actually underpriced considering his consistency hitting the ball long andstraight off the tee and right at flagsticks.MatthewFitzpatrick (DK $9,000) – One of his most recent breakthroughs was the T4 he posted atSouthwind last year, and his game is heating up as he becomes more comfortablecompeting with the world’s best. The price will bother some folks so I’m morethan happy to go overweight on the slender 25-year-old with the elite shortgame.PatrickReed (DK $8,800) – When nobody’s talking about Reed, he finds a way into the conversation– a trait that pairs well for GPP use in DFS. The masses don’t like playing aguy they don’t root for, and I’ll gladly cast my personal opinions aside for anedge in single-entry and large-field multi-entry tournaments.Gary Woodland (DK $8,600) – Woodland is another guy flying under the radar this week, but the former masher has transformed his golf game to be straighter off the tee while maintaining his trademark distance. I know I’m in the minority looking his way, but I like Gary’s performance at similar venues and over the past several no-cut events, so I’ll be overweight on him this week.AbrahamAncer (DK $8,400) – Ancer ranks 13th on tourin scoring average, which bodes well over four rounds at no-cut events,and his combination of form, overall ball-striking and affordability make himone of my favorite plays in the $8,000 to $8,500 range. Matthew Wolff (DK $7,900) – The price jumped out at me, even if there’s plenty of risk involved, but Wolff has made some mental adjustments that have paid dividends in his last few events (excluding the Workday Charity Open). An upside-laden bargain in all formats who could see elevated ownership.Matt Kuchar (DK $7,600) – The reason he’s this cheap is because he’s only finished in the Top 5 once in 2020, and it was at the Genesis Invitational in February. But maybe the pressure if off this week and Kuchar can go back to the things that have led to success in in the past.Also consider: Hideki Matsuyama &Billy Horschel (Cash), Sergio Garcia & Sungjae Im (GPP)Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):Ian Poulter (DK $7,400) – Poulter makes for a fine cash game play in the value range, and there’s still plenty of Top 5 upside for a guy who can scramble with the best and doesn’t mind missing a few greens – something that’s going to happen to everyone this week.AdamHadwin (DK $7,200) – The WinDaily writers’ group text inspired me to take a closer lookat Hadwin as a cash game option, but I’m willing to consider him in GPPs if hisownership doesn’t skyrocket. This is the cheapest we’ll probably ever see him,so it’s worth jumping on.KevinKisner (DK $7,000) – Kisner is a frustrating golfer in DFS who cares very little aboutthe emotional rollercoaster this community endures, but he’s actually got agreat attitude for competing in strong fields and seems to bring his game inWGC events. At this price, that’s all we’re looking for – a shot at a Top 10.Chez Reavie (DK $6,700) – Ifwe examine Reavie’s performances at the FedEx St. Jude Classic (which werefull-field events with a cut) from 2013-18, we see no missed cuts and three Top15s in his four tries. His strengths include consistency on approach and aroundthe green, partially explaining his success at Southwind.Shane Lowry (DK $6,600) – Full disclosure: I’m a huge Shane Lowry fan who got burned pretty bad by his MC at the Memorial. But that windswept gauntlet is a different type of course from what awaits the world’s best players this week, and since we don’t have to worry about a missed cut, Lowry makes for a tempting low-cost GPP play.More value golfers to consider: Bubba Watson (GPP), Danny Willett (Cash) Rafael Cabrera-Bello (GPP), Louis Oosthuizen, Ryan PalmerLongshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):Mackenzie Hughes (DK $6,400) – Everybody’s talking about the hot-putting Canadian this week, so there’s a chance we lose the ownership edge we might have had without all the hype. But what Hughes has done recently in undeniable (two Top 10 finishes in his last three events, including a T3 finish at the Travelers and a T6 at the Memorial).Tom Lewis(DK $6,200)– A T12 finish at the Rocket Mortgage in Detroit and T32last week show that Lewis is probably underpriced considering his upside. Aconsistent ball-striker with a pedigree for stiffer competition (T12 at the 2019Open Championship), he’s finally showing off the form to match.Nick Taylor (DK $6,100) – Taylor skipped the 3M after missing the cut at Jack’s Place, but he’s popping on the WinDaily models compared to his near-minimum price and is consistent enough tee-to-green to make sense as a GPP play.Additional punts: ShaunNorris, Robert MacIntyre, Keegan Bradley (large-field GPP only) 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsPGA PGA DFS Picks: The Memorial Tournament jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Memorial Tournament and helping you find some winning teams!NOTE: The PGA DFS prices are pretty soft in the secondary tier, so it should be easy to build teams that look good and have monster upside. Focus on single entry GPPs and low-price MMEs.PGA DFS Course Notes:Smaller,much stronger tournament field of 133 golfers (including 48 of the world’s top50 players), but more than normal (usually 120) at the MemorialSecondof two consecutive events being played at Muirfield Village, along with last week’sWorkday Charity OpenFirsttime since 1957 the same course will host consecutive tournament events36-hole Cut: Top 65 and ties play theweekend (about 49%)Thecourse: Muirfield Village 7,456 yards, Par 72 – Jack Nicklaus designBentgrass GreensRough will be a little longer than last weekand greens will be faster than last week’s eventWider fairways should still help somelonger hittersFirestone CC and TPC Sawgrass have winnercorrelationBrysonDeChambeau (2018 Memorial winner) back in the field after skipping last week,and Tiger Woods is playing for the first time since FebruaryDefending champ: Patrick Cantlay (2019 Memorial:-19)Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach;SG: Ball Striking, Par 4s Gained (450-500), GIR, Bogey Avoidance, Birdie orBetter %, Sand Saves, Proximity (175-200), ScramblingThe Picks:Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):Bryson DeChambeau (DK $11,100) – If the roughgives him fits, he could struggle, but it’s hard to argue with the success he’shad harnessing his newfound distance. He won here in 2018 and could do itagain.Dustin Johnson (DK $10,300) – DJ has six top 20s at the Memorial with aT8 last year, and he’s only three weeks removed from an impressive victory atthe Travelers. I’ll be using him as a low-owned GPP plug-n-play.Collin Morikawa (DK $10,000) – Morikawa spent most of Sunday at Muirfield knocking down flagsticks and ended up walking away a victor in a playoff against Justin Thomas. There’s no way we can fade him here.Patrick Cantlay (DK 9,800) – If we used plenty of Cantlay last week, there’s no reason we shouldn’t go right back to the well after his T7. He’s well-equipped to finish in the Top 5 this week and should be a leaderboard presence come Sunday.Victor Hovland (DK $9,500) – A few late mistakes cost Hovland a chance at victory, but he was right in the mix all week long and remains one of the better T2G players in the tournament, leading the field in SG: Off the Tee.Also consider: Justin Thomas, RoryMcIlroy (GPP), Webb Simpson (Cash)Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):Jon Rahm (DK $9,300) – Rahm is anabsolute steal at $9,300 given his upside, though form and course fit areconcerns. He works in all formats this week and provides one of the bettervalues in the $9K range.XanderSchauffele (DK $9,200) – Schauffele and Rahm both provide some salary relief from the toptier while maintaining the same upside, so I’ll have some shares. Xander wasquiet lats week but finished with a respectable T14.Tiger Woods (DK $9,000) – I probably won’t deploy Tiger in cash games, since there are plenty of safer options at this price point, but I can’t count him out in his search for his record 83rd win, especially without the normal distractions of a gallery.Rickie Fowler (DK $8,800) – We got a good look at what Rickie can do when his game comes together in the third round at the Workday (66), and he’s trending up. It’s hard to go all-in but mixing in some GPP shares makes sense.AbrahamAncer (DK $8,500) – Ancer’s form is excellent (T14-2-T11 coming outof the break) and he actually tops the tour in SG: APP. Add in the soaringfigures at the key efficiency proximity range (150-175 yards) and we’ve got alive one.MatthewFitzpatrick (DK $8,100) – Fitz shook off his MC at the Travelers and made the cut at the Workday,and the week-to-week changes to the course (faster greens, longer rough) shouldhelp his strengths and set him apart as an even more favorable option.Jason Day (DK $8,000) – Day had his best tournament since February’s fourth-place finish in Pebble Beach, and the price hasn’t yet come up. A classic risk-reward GPP play with Top 5 (and winning) upside.Matt Kuchar (DK $8,000) – His form is somewhat questionable following a pair of ho-hum finishes (T41-T39) since the uncharacteristic missed cut at the Charles Schwab, but Kuchar is affordable and has had success at Muirfield with a pair of T4s in 2016 and 2017.Paul Casey (DK $7,900) – Casey is an enormous risk despite still not missing a cut in 2020, but I love him as a low-owned GPP salary saver given his rankings in the WinDaily model.Also consider: Hideki Matsuyama, DanielBerger, Tony Finau, Joaquin Niemann, Sergio Garcia, Gary Woodland, KevinStreelman, Doc Redman, Ian PoulterValue PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):Rory Sabbatini (DK $7,500) – Sabbs comes at a huge discount in this loaded field, and while he’s yet to break through here, he’s not a terrible cash game play.CameronChamp (DK $7,400) – Champ is at the other end of the spectrum, as he has winning GPPupside but shouldn’t be deployed in cash games.ShaneLowry (DK $7,200) – He’s 2-for-2 at the Memorial and his game fits this venue. I lovethe price and will be using plenty of Lowry this week.Lucas Glover (DK $7,100) – There’s really a ton of value out there in the $7K range, which makes building teams a lot of fun this week. Glover checks all the boxes this week and comes in sporting excellent form, with four straight Top 25s since the restart.Matt Wallace (DK $7,000) – Wallace is my sleeper play this week and should maintain low ownership. You won’t have to go overboard to stay ahead of the field, and he’s in good position to make the cut.Max Homa (DK $6,800) – Homa missed the cut again last week, but he’s at least apologetic. I’ll be using him again in the hops that he can make some putts, as he finished T37 in his Memorial debut in 2019.Zach Johnson (DK $6,700) – ZJ is just way too cheap given his cut-making upside, though he’s more of a cash game play. I don’t expect him to win, but a Top 25 could be in the cards.Bud Cauley (DK $6,600) – Cauley has been all over the place here (T9-113-T25-T38 in his last four) and has missed three straight cuts since the Charles Schwab, but I’m using him in a handful of large-field GPPs.More value golfers forGPPs: Billy Horschel, Adam Hadwin, Corey Conners, Nick Taylor, Maverick McNealy,Sepp Straka, Graeme McDowell, Troy Merritt, Bernd WiesbergerLongshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):Jason Dufner (DK $6,500) – He finished T7 last year and won the Memorial in 2017 – selling points for this enigmatic golfer among the bottom tiers.Henrik Norlander (DK $6,300) – The stronger field is a tougher test, but Norlander’s recent form justifies using him in stud-scrub builds.Tyler Duncan (DK $6,300) – I’m not the only one who likes him this week, but Duncan is one of a few solid golfers under $6,500 who could surprise.Additional punts: Branden Grace, Harry Higgs, Tom Hoge, Andrew PutnamMake sure to check out more PGA content over at WinDailySports.com/golf and follow us on twitter @WinDailySports! You can ask us questions in our Expert Chat on Discord free for 3 days! 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA The Range: The Memorial Patrick Waters 4 years ago written by Patrick Waters The Range is a course breakdown for the upcoming PGA tournament with a DFS perspective. This week the tour stays in Ohio as the players face off in The Memorial.**JOIN TODAY FOR ONLY .23 CENTS. IN DOING SO YOU’LL HAVE ACCESS TO EVERYTHING WIN DAILY SPORTS HAS TO OFFER. CLICK HERE NOW TO GET STARTED**The BasicsCourse: Muirfield Village Golf CoursePar: 72Length: 7,392 yardsFairways: BentgrassGreens: Bentgrass / PoaArchitect: Jack NicklausPast winners: ’19 Cantlay (-19), ’18 DeChambeau (-15), ’17 Dufner (-13), ’16 McGirt (-15) & ’15 Lingmerth (-15)For a hole by hole breakdown, visit the PGA Tour website here.Course BreakdownLast week at the Workday Charity Open, my boy Collin Morikawa took down his second win on tour. The tournament was held at the Muirfield Village Golf Course. This week… it’s at the Muirfield Village Golf Course. For what I believe is the first time in PGA Tour history (at least recently), a tournament will held on the same course, on back to back weeks.There will only be a few changes from last week and this week for The Memorial. One will be the speed of the greens. Last week they ran at around 11, with this tournament the speed reaching will be 13 on the stimp meter (fast). Also it’s said the grounds crew will be letting the rough become more penal. They’re letting it grow to 4″ where it was only 3″ last week. Other then that the course will play relatively the same. The Memorial plays pretty average in terms of scoring, with the occasional low score. Last year Cantlay won it at -19 and just last week Morikawa won the tournament at -19 in a playoff against Justin Thomas’ The fairways are relatively easy to hit and while distance can help on a few holes, it’s negated with the setup of the course. While gaining strokes off the tee will help, the approach game is essential. Bentgrass throughout the course, the greens are no exception. This week the greens’ speed will be ramped up and I believe this makes putting easier, overall on average. While I will still look at golfers who can stroke it with the short stick, it will not be as highly emphasized. Just last week two of the top 10 finished the week losing strokes to the field putting.Player FitThe Memorial has several par 4s that fall in the range from 450 – 500 yards. On the flip side the four easiest holes are all par 5 between 500 – 550 yards. While not exactly at 200 yards or less, all four par 3 are between 175 – 200 yards (hole 4 – 206 & hole 16 – 208). On average most of the approach shots come from this 175 – 200 yard range. Looking for golfers that perform well in these areas will be wise to not only scoring birdies but avoiding bogies.Briefly mentioned up in the course breakdown section, Strokes Gained Ball Striking helps but I want to put a heavier weighting on Strokes Gained Approach. This course, like last week is a second shot course.Using Fantasy National targeting golfers who do well in setting up themselves up to score birdies will be huge. On top, look at birdie or better and bogey avoidance for golfers who can score well here. While we want all of our golfers to get up and down if not better with no problems, that’s simply not possible. To help with that though, golfers who do well in Greens In Regulation should be looked at. In case things that go sideways, scrambling will come in handy. Final Recap of The MemorialLast week there was a significant advantage to getting to the weekend stacking the PM/AM wave. Look again this week to see if there is a possible wave to take advantage. A stacked field at The Memorial chalk once again has a chance of winning. It will be finding the few diamonds in the rough that put your lineups over the top.Course SetupAverage scoringEasy to hit fairwaysBentgrass greensPlayer EfficienciesSG: Ball Striking (Heavier on Approach)Par 4 Scoring: 450 – 500 yardsPar 5 Scoring: 500 – 550 YardsProximity: 175 – 200 YardsBirdie or BetterBogey AvoidanceGIRScramblingThanks for reading and I hope this article is a great starting place for your DFS research for The Memorial. Look out for the Insight Sheet dropping Wednesday. It will include my personal player pool and reasoning why each golfer was chosen. Also Wednesday night you can find me in the Win Daily Discord helping members with their lineups and last-minute questions. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsPGA PGA DFS Picks: Workday Charity Open jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Workday Charity Open and helping you find some winning teams!PGA DFS DraftKings pricing is a little soft this week, so it’s pretty easy to put together some stacked teams. Make sure to check out WinDailySports.com for more FREE content, and hop in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with our pros!PGA DFS Course Notes:Fulltournament field of 156 golfers, with some bigger names than last weekFirstof two consecutive events being played at Muirfield Village, along with nextweek’s Memorial36-hole Cut: Top 65 and ties play theweekendThecourse: Muirfield Village 7,456 yards, Par 72 – Jack Nicklaus designBentgrass GreensA little longer than last time(especially Par 3s and Par 4s), but with slower greens than next week’s eventWider fairways could help some longerhittersFirestone CC and TPC Sawgrass have somewinner correlationBrysonDeChambeau (2018 Memorial winner) NOT in the fieldDefending champ: Patrick Cantlay (2019 Memorial: -19)Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach;Par 4s Gained (450-500), GIR, Bogey Avoidance, Sand Saves, Proximity (150-175),SG: Around the GreenThe Picks:Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):Justin Thomas (DK $11,100) – Hopefully the week off did him some good, but the MC at the Travelers looms large for a guy this expensive. A risk-reward play in all formats, it truly depends on how much risk you can handle.Jon Rahm (DK $10,900) – Rahm has the all-around game to make it work here – but he’ll have to limit his desire to overpower the course and take his shots from the fairway – not the long stuff.Patrick Cantlay (DK 10,600) – He’s the defending champ at the Memorial and thus will be popular – especially coming off a T11 at the Travelers. I’ll try to be ahead of the field, even if that’s a tall order.Brooks Koepka (DK $10,400) – One of the best GPP plays in the field, he’s always entertaining, even if it’s just taking jabs at Beefy Bryson. Koepka is definitely heating up and this could be the week he flourishes around the greens and notches a win.Victor Hovland (DK $9,500) – Four straight Top 25s and only three scores in his last 12 rounds in the 70s – he’s a solid cash game option at the bottom of the first tier.Also consider: Xander Schauffele,Justin Rose (GPP), Hideki MatsuyamaMid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):Collin Morikawa (DK $9,200) – Mr. Consistency squeaked by at the Heritage but saw his made cut streak end at the Travelers. With his iron play, the now under-the-radar Morikawa is a near lock to start another one this week. Rickie Fowler (DK $9,000) – The price continues to remain affordable, but Rickie seems to have some stuff figured out (T12 last week) as he heads into a course where he has a couple of Top 10 finishes and a T14 last season.Marc Leishman (DK $8,700) – Tops in the field for SG:APP, when Leishman gets hot with the putter, he can post obnoxiously low scores – and he has a good record at Muirfield. The inactivity and poor play since resuming tournament play is a concern, but I’ll trust the models and the course history.Adam Hadwin (DK $8,200) – The Canadian is coming off a solid performance in Detroit and is another low-risk/solid irons/good scrambler combo player who could adorn the leaderboard come Sunday, Hadwin is worth a look in all formats.Matthew Fitzpatrick (DK $8,000) – He burned me by missing the cut at the Travelers but my crush on his short game and iron play refuses to yield. The Englishman and former U.S. Amatgeur champ still hasn’t won on the PGA Tour, but he’s come close – and he’ll be a staple in my GPPs builds at this price.Scottie Scheffler (DK $7,800) – I’m throwing out the first-round 79 in Detroit and focusing on the 65 he fired in round 2. The course fits his strengths and the combination of recency bias and value makes him a prime target for me.Joel Dahmen (DK $7,700) – The stat models love Joel and he hasn’t missed a cut since January 30 at the Waste Management Open – a stretch that includes six Top 20s in nine starts.Also consider: Jordan Spieth, JoaquinNiemann, Gary Woodland, Cameron Champ, Corey ConnersValue PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):Maverick McNealy (DK $7,500) – One of the best kept secrets in DFS, McNealy should garner more popularity this week following a T8 at the Rocket Mortgage, where he posted 21 birdies to just four bogey and a DBB. The kid can play.Mark Hubbard (DK $7,400) – Hubbard keeps improving his form and establishing himself as a solid DFS option, but the price hasn’t caught up yet. Bogey avoidance will be a key stat for him this week. Cameron Tringale (DK $7,300) – The MC at the Travelers was a letdown but Tringale remains a modest value option with upside and consistency making cuts (12/14 in 2020). If he can block out what the villagers are saying about his clothes, he should be okay.Max Homa (DK $7,100) – Homa missed the cut at the Travelers, but he’s a good fit here with his ball striking and ability to scramble. Great value play for GPPs, as I believe he’s still massively underpriced.Bud Cauley (DK $7,100) – Perhaps my favorite overall play this week, Cauley has the necessary chops around the green and is a solid ball-striker who’s popping in the stat models. I might go a little overboard considering the WD at the Travelers was due to Denny McCarthy testing positive, and not because of his play.Keegan Bradley (DK $7,100) – Keegan’s biggest problem is his nerves, but he played well last week and should be comfortable here in Muirfield Village with the greens running a little slower than usual. An ideal large-field GPP play.Sam Burns (DK $6,900) – Burns is a big risk, but he’s one of my favorite tournament plays and he’s starting to prove he belongs. I’ll be ahead of the field even if he gets popular.Adam Long (DK $6,600) – If Long can keep it in the fairway, he’s a dangerous golfer with plenty of upside. The ultimate risk-reward GPP value play.More value golfers forGPPs: Harold Varner, Rory Sabbatini, Chris Kirk, Troy Merritt, Tom Hoge, SebastianMunoz, Seung-Yul NohLongshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):Henrik Norlander (DK $6,500) – There’s not a lot of upside once you get this cheap, but Norlander sticks out like a sore thumb with his recent finishes compared to his price. I’ll have plenty of shares and don’t mind a $5 or $10 win bet at 250-1.Brandon Wu (DK $6,500) – He tested positive for COVID-19 last week but apparently has jumped through the necessary hoops to get in the field this week. He’s 4/4 making cuts in 2020, though he hasn’t played a tourney since the Pebble Beach Pro-Am in early February. Peter Malnati (DK $6,000) – He finished 17th at the Memorial last year and is coming off a MC after a disappointing second round 74 (following an opening round 66). For $6K, you can’t have it all, but there is some upside. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA Insight Sheet: Travelers Championship John Ryan 4 years ago written by John Ryan The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the Travelers Championship. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites. Players priced $10,000 and higherThese players are good. Like most weeks, there’s really no need to explain why the top players are here. This week is no different, here is who I am playing. Bryson DeChambeau $11,100 (Model Rank #1, Projected Ownership 22%)Rory McIlroy $11,200 (M6, 13%)I have no problem with Justin Thomas as he’s my #1 ranked player this week. For me its a player pool construction exclusion only and JT will be the player I fear the most come Thursday.Players priced between $9,900 and $9,000Patrick Cantlay $9,800 (M8, 15%) – Cantlay is making his debut since the break at the Travelers Championship. I’m assuming he would be priced in the 10K range if he had played prior. He has great tournament history with back to back T15. His absence is a bit worrisome but being an elite player, I hope he can shake the rust off quickly.Collin Morikawa $9,100 (MT9, 19%) – Morikawa flamed out in the last round at the RBC Heritage but that doesn’t seem to bother anyone. His ownership is at his cap and perhaps should be pushed to cash game consideration. I guy I ALWAYS roster, this week won’t be any different.Xander Schauffele $9,600 (M14, 13%) – If you followed me in the discord last week or on twitter, Schauffele cost me a $555 ticket. No hard feelings though and he’s back on the team. Top 10 odds to win and is at sub 15% ownership, is more then ideal.Players priced between $8,900 and $8,000Patrick Reed $8,700 (M4, 12%) – Reed burned a lot of people last week by missing the cut, including myself. Tie that with the fact a lot of chalk is in the upper 8K range, it’s no surprise of his low ownership. Reed is top ten in recent form, tournament history and hole performance. I feel there is a big bounce back for Reed and possibly a win.Gary Woodland $8,300 (M9T, 15%) – Woodland hasn’t done anything spectacular at the Travelers Championship but has made three straight cuts. Woodland almost made my cash game consideration. Combine the course history and recent form with his top 10 ball striking skills and its easy to see why he’s 15% owned.Players priced between $7,900 and $7,000Billy Horschel $7,300 (M28, 4%) – Horschel is coming in with top 25 stats in recent form (despite the MC last week), comp courses and ball striking. Horschel has the 21st best odds in Vegas despite being priced as the 35th golfer on DraftKings for the Travelers Championship.Kevin Kisner $7,700 (M30, 4%) – Kisner came in around 18% owned last week and missed the cut on the number. This week people seem to be still resenting him with the sub 5% ownership. With a great short game, if Kisner can do some damage with his ball striking, watch out.Scottie Scheffler $7,600 (M38, 14%) – Scheffler withdrew last week but before hand made three straight cuts with two top 30 finishes. Vegas loves him and that alone is why im breaking my Ownership/Pricing rules (Can be seen in the PGA Research Tab in Discord). As one of the top DK scorers in the field, I’ll take my chances.Jason Day $7,500 (M37, 6%) – Getting a player like Day at such low ownership, always tickles my fancy. His current form is well…garbage. His tournament history though is with two back to back T15. Probably a better bet then DK play but you won’t need much to be overweight on the field.Players priced $6,900 and lowerVaughn Taylor $6,500 (M15, 3%) – Four made cuts with a top 5 in 2019. Taylor started off strong last week, but couldn’t finish the same way over the weekend. A grinder with upside I would be surprised if Taylor doesn’t finish in the top 20 this week at the Travelers Championship.Ryan Moore $6,900 (M21, 5%) – Moore does not have the greatest recent form like Day. Again though, when it comes to the tournament Moore has performed well. With 2 cuts out of three visits, those two weekends ended with top top 20s. At the price he helps getting the more expensive players in your lineup and comes with upside. Cash Game Plays / Single Entry GPPI wanted to show plays you could build a lineup around for 50/50, double ups, etc in partnership with the plays above. These are plays that I like but are too high owned for my preference in big GPPs. While these plays may get mixed in, they are designated for cash games more. These ownership numbers are reflective of bigger tournaments and will most certainly be higher in Cash / SE games.Last week they went 6/6 making the cut. Lets see if we can do it again for the Travelers Championship.Abraham Ancer $9.000 (M20, 21%)Paul Casey $8,900 (M3, 18%)Sungjae Im $8,600 (M22, 21%)Sergio Garcia $8,500 (M32, 14%)Tony Finau $8,200 (M35, 16%)Marc Leishman $8,000 (M26, 16%)Victor Hovland $7,800 (M16, 22%)Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the Travelers Championship. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock! 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsPGA PGA Picks: The Travelers Championship DFS jason mezrahi 4 years ago written by jason mezrahi In this edition of PGA Picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Travelers Championship DFS and helping you find some winning teams! DraftKings is offering new users a FREE entry to the Milli Maker by depositing into your account!The Travelers Championship DFS Course Notes:Full, stacked tournament field of 152 golfers36-hole Cut: Top 65 and ties play the weekendThe course: TPC River Highlands6,841 yards, Par 70 – Pete Dye redesignSmall Bentgrass/Poa GreensJust two (2) par 5 holesBubba Watson is a three-time winnerDefending champ: Chez ReavieFocus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach; Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450; Proximity 125-150 & 150-175; SG: Putting (Poa)ADDITIONAL NOTE ON DK PRICING: Pricing has gotten considerably more difficult this week, so if you plan on rostering a couple of the 9500 and up golfers, you’re going to need some gems in the $6-7K range. The Picks:Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):Rory McIlroy (DK $11,200) – Rory’s engine has been idling a bit since returning to action, but he’s always a threat and the enormous price could keep folks off him this week. He’s still third overall in my models and doesn’t need a narrative to win here.Justin Thomas (DK $10,800) – Thomas sits atop my rankings this week and I’ll be using him in about half of my teams despite a lack of Top Ten finishes at this venue. His Strokes Gained: Approach numbers and Proximity from the 125-175 range mean he’ll be getting plenty of scoring opportunities.Webb Simpson (DK $10,500) – He’s fresh off a win at the Heritage and has three Top 15s at the Travelers since 2011. Simpson is also popping on my models, ranking second overall between JT and Rory.Patrick Cantlay (DK $9,800) – The main concern with Cantlay is rust, since he hasn’t played an event since mid-February. He’s sporting two T15 finishes in his two tries at TPC River Highlands in 2018 and 2019.Xander Schauffele (DK $9,600) – Schauffele’s course history is lacking (T14 in 2017 and MC in 2018), and his play at Harbour Town was spotty, so this is more of a “trust the models” tournament play. He’s a more dangerous player when he’s off the radar anyway.Also consider: BrysonDeChambeau, Jon Rahm (GPP)Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):Collin Morikawa (DK $9,100) – Morikawa finished 36th last year in his first try and seems like a good fit for this course. He’s on my radar in both cash and GPP.Abraham Ancer (DK $9,000) – The form is magnificent and he’s sporting some obscenely good numbers with his approaches, but he still hasn’t broken through. I expect Ancer to be popular but I use him a lot and if I didn’t here – and he won – I’d lose my mind.Paul Casey (DK $8,900) – A true horse for the course, Casey has never finished worse than T17 in five tries here and has four Top 5s. He’s had a couple tough second-place losses (in 2015 and 2018) but the memories can’t be that bad. Gary Woodland (DK $8,300) – Woodland goes through rough stretches but usually rights the ship quickly, and his iron game seems more refined since the break. I’ll take another crack in the hopes that his putter gets hot.Joaquin Niemann (DK $7,900) – Niemann looked great last week and this course (where he debuted with a T5 last season) demands of the short irons as well. Brian Harman (DK $7,600) – Harman sports a third-place finish at River Highlands (2015) and has been inside the top 10 here the past two years. He’s also in the top 30 of my mixed condition model and won’t break the bank at just $7,600.Also consider: Sungjae Im, JordanSpieth, Tony Finau, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Marc LeishmanValue PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):Keegan Bradley (DK $7,400) – The results here speak for themselves, and I can’t imagine he’ll be over 10% owned.Chez Reavie (DK $7,300) – Reavie won here last year and he cracks the Top 60 in my model. He’s got a strong T2G game but makes for a risky GPP play.Patrick Rodgers (DK $6,900) – His putting numbers on Bentgrass/Poa are excellent and he’s a solid off-the-radar play with plenty of upside.Sebastian Munoz (DK $6,800) – I’m a little worried about two MCs in two tries here, but he fares well in my models and should be very low-owned. GPP only.Russell Knox (DK $6,700) – He’s missed six straight cuts dating back to early February but I’ll give him a shot as a value play in 1/10 GPPs for his ballstriking/approach numbers.More value golfers forGPPs: Corey Conners, Harold Varner, Jim Furyk, Ryan Moore, Danny Lee, DocRedman, Matthew NeSmith, Stewart CinkLongshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):Vaughn Taylor (DK $6,500) – I can’t get off playing this guy, who keeps showing up on early leaderboards and in my models. If only he could put together three or four rounds.Tom Hoge (DK $6,400) – Hoge is cheap, he’s inexplicably ranked fourth overall in my model (between Rory and Cantlay) and he’s tops in the field for Par 4 efficiency (400-450).Emiliano Grillo (DK $6,300) – Grillo has many flaws, the main one being his horrendous putting, but his SG: APP numbers jump off the page.Adam Long (DK $6,300) – Among the Top 25 in my models, we’ve seen stellar play from Long on occasion, and he finished T21 in his debut here last season.Kyle Stanley (DK $6,200) – Like Grillo and Byeong Hun An, his putting is his fatal flaw. But the ball-striking is amazing. GPP only.Cameron Percy (DK $6,200) – A super longshot play, Percy might not crack over 1 percent ownership. But the models say he could play well and he’s made 3/3 (initial) cuts here.Thanks for checking out this article on The Travelers Championship DFS! Make sure to enjoy more Golf DFS info over at WinDailySports.com/Golf. You can also hop into our Expert Discord Chat to discuss your lineups one on one with our DFS pros. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA Insight Sheet: Charles Schwab Challenge Patrick Waters 4 years ago written by Patrick Waters The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites. **This reset is different then what we’ve seen before. With this in mind, I like all four of the $10,000 plus guys to a degree and have zero problems rostering any of them. I do however have them ranked as suchMcIlroyJTRahm (Yes the spacing is intentional and no Bryson isn’t on here. DeChambeau ranked the worst of the four so hes getting axed all together on my lineups but again, no real issue overall, just a roster construction)**Players Priced between $9,900 and $9,000Sungjae Im $9,300 – Im is simply a machine when it comes to playing and practice. There is no doubt, he’s ready for the tour to resume, as it was reported Im was trying to play in fake tournaments during the break. Im is second in the model and is top 20 in all of the important stats.Justin Rose $9,000 – Rose is more of a play on history as he won at Colonial Country Club back in 2018. He does everything well, except sometimes he is lacking in DK scoring. At sub 15% ownership, the scoring is the only thing keeps me from locking in Rose as one of my highest owned golfers.Collin Morikawa $9,100 – If you have been reading my articles at all, you know I’m all about Morikawa. I try to lock him in my core each and every week as he’s simply a cut machine with high upside. His iron game is already elite, but this week he will not be making my core *insert sad face*. While it’s a small sample, Morikawa does not perform all that well on the shorter par 70’s where par 5’s are limited. He will still be in my player pool as I will not miss his next win but not the core.Players priced between $8,900 and $8,000Gary Woodland $8,800 – Woodland comes in at fourth in my model and his lack of course history (much of the industry go to this week) should keep his ownership sub 15%. Great with a driver out of his hand, Woodland might make my core.Jason Day $8,300 – As Sicily (Steven) mentioned in his article, Day seems to be the forgotten man this week. Sitting in fifth in the model, Day is both top 30 in fairway play and scoring, which compliments his short game very well. Injury is always a concern, but Day has the talent to win at the Charles Schwab Challenge.Shane Lowry $8,600 – Like Day. Lowry is another low owned player. Before everything went down the drain, Lowry was coming off back to back top 30s. At possible sub five percent ownership, he is certainly worth a shot.Scottie Scheffler $8,400 – Scheffler is no longer a secret and the public has caught up, with possible 15% ownership. Scheffler had three top 30’s coming into THE PLAYERS and finished round one at T8. Ive been a fan of his for a while and was in my core last time out. Scottie can certainly light a score card (in a good way) and despite higher ownership, should be a regular in your lineups.Tony Finau $8,700 – Speaking of course history, Finau is beast at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Four top 35 in five tries with a second last year. He wasn’t playing his best before the break but Finau has the ability to go low any round and last year showed big hitters can contend as well.Players priced between $7,900 and $7,000Kevin Na $7,600 – I generally never go back to the well with the most recent winner but Na pops in at number one on the model. His lack of play during the break is a bit concerning but this isnt Na’s first go around. He knows himself the best and maybe the rest will be beneficial. His around the green game is special that few can match on tour. He will be roughly 15% owned but I’ll take my shots.Byeong Hun An $7,400 – It was between An and Palmer for this spot but An, when on, is hands down better than Palmer. Palmer’s ownership was creeping up as well. An will need his putter to get hot (like usual) but at $7,400 and possible 10% ownership, the play is too enticing to ignore.Daniel Berger $7,700 – Berger seems to never get the love, and this week at the Charles Schwab Challenge is no exception. With 10% expected ownership I’ll be heavily over weight. Making his appearance in the top 15 of the model, which is lead by his recent play (before the pandemic) and his around the green game.Russell Knox $7,200 – Knox has been starting to gain some traction in the industry which is a bit surprising with his four missed cuts leading into this week. That said, Knox always plays well here with three top 25 in his last five trips. Still sub 10% ownership allows you to be overweight with a smaller investment.Players priced between $6,900 and $6,000 (Punts)Cameron Davis $6,500 – You might be asking yourself, who? Davis has five starts on the PGA Tour in 2020 with five made cuts. He’s finished top 10 twice (Sony and The Honda) where his approach game carried him. He isn’t safe at all as its a small sample size but Davis ranked eighth in the model this week and number one in around the green stats. Jimmy Walker $6,700 – Walker is a grinder at the Charles Schwab Challenge with four made cuts and two top 20’s in his last four tries. What’s nice to know is Walker was playing well before the stoppage with two top 25’s leading up to THE PLAYERS. Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the Charles Schwab Challenge. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock! 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
