MLB MLB DFS Hitting for 7/23 Mark Paquette 5 years ago written by Mark Paquette Your preferred MLB DFS Hitting Picks for TuesdayCatcherTyler Flowers, Royals at Braves ($2,400 FD, $3,700 DK): Part of my MLB DFS Hitting Braves stack, Flowers loves to see mediocre lefties on the mound. Well guess who he sees tonight? Danny Duffy. First BaseMatt Adams, Rockies at Nationals ($2,600 FD, $4,100 DK): Even though the Rockies pitching staff got the benefit of an unplanned day of rest after yesterday’s rainout, Adams and the rest of the Colorado bats are still in a great MLB DFS Hitting spot. Over the past four weeks, Colorado is near the bottom of every major pitching category, even away from Coors. Peter Lambert has struggled to begin his MLB career and tonight will likely not be any different.Second BaseLuis Urias, Padres at Mets ($2,400 FD, $3,000 DK): These type of choices allow for MLB DFS Hitting savings and the opportunity to use whatever pitcher you like tonight. Urias is part of the Padres plan to go with youth and Manny Machado the rest of this season and the foreseeable future. And the Padres current second base situation with Ian Kinsler and others has been plain bad offensively. Make sure Urias is in the lineup and pencil this righty in against lefty Jason Vargas. Third BaseJosh Donaldson, Royals at Braves ($3,900 FD, $4,900 DK): This guy is seeing beachballs at the plate right now and the former MVP gets a mediocre lefty in Danny Duffy. Donaldson has homered in five of his last 11 games. A MLB DFS Hitting lock. ShortstopTrea Turner, Rockies at Nationals ($4,000 FD, $4,700 DK): Part of my Nationals stack, he will be in the leadoff spot and will try to get on base and cause chaos in front of some big Nationals bats against the weak Rockies staff.OutfieldersJuan Soto, Rockies at Nationals ($3,900 FD, $4,600 DK), Adam Eaton ($2,800 FD, $3,900 DK) and Ronald Acuna Jr., Royals at Braves ($4,400 FD, $5,700 DK): Completing my Nationals and Braves stacks, we have two of the best young players in the game and a second “leadoff” hitter in Eaton for MLB DFS Hitting purposes. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB DFS Top Hitters and Prop Picks for 7/15: Don’t Dodge the Tribe Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis This is my first DFS hitting article after the break and I’m ecstatic to be back. What I’m really excited about is to get back into the prop groove, with another Monkey Knife Fight pick for you. With the Rockies and Giants playing a doubleheader, we’re going to avoid that game. You all know that the bats are in play at Coors Field, so let’s find you some other values around the Majors. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!Catcher Roberto Perez, CLE vs. DET DK ($4,100) FD ($2,700) It’s always tough to pick a catcher, but Perez makes for a great option with his recent form. Over his last 38 games, Perez has a .614 SLG and .980 OPS. Those are great numbers for anyone, let alone a catcher. What really makes him enticing here is that he gets to face a lefty, with Perez generating a .615 SLG and 1.018 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Daniel Norris is definitely a guy we want to stack against too, and we’ll go over that later in the article. First Base Justin Smoak, TOR at BOS DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900) Smoak is a guy that you need to keep an eye on for DFS purposes in the second half. This dude is literally the unluckiest hitter in the league and it’s just a matter of time before he sees some positive regression. That’s evident by the fact that he has a .513 xSLG and .389 xwOBA, which are way off his .413 SLG and .336 wOBA. That makes me believe that a hot streak is right around the corner and it could start against Rick Porcello. Not only does Smoak have a .374 OBP and .868 OPS against right-handers this season, Porcello is also providing an ugly 5.33 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Second Base Keston Hiura, MIL vs. ATL DK ($4,600) FD ($3,300) Hiura just usurped Travis Shaw as the second baseman for Milwaukee and it’s scary just how much potential this little masher has. Let’s start with his absurd minor league numbers, with Hiura generating a .330 AVG and 1.090 OPS at Triple-A this season. A .284 AVG and .882 OPS at the MLB level shows that it’s no fluke and it’s scary to think how good this guy can be. What we like here is that he gets the platoon advantage against Max Fried, who’s pitching to a 6.17 ERA and 1.80 WHIP over his last eight starts. Keep an eye on this guy for the future for both DFS and season-long formatsThird Base Josh Donaldson, ATL at MIL DK ($5,100) FD ($3,500) Donaldson has been in more of my articles than any other player and this increase in price shows that we’re doing something right. It’s actually getting to the point where he’s hard to trust but we can’t fade a guy who’s this hot. Over his last 27 games, Donaldson has 13 homers and 26 RBI en route to a .740 SLG and 1.125 OPS. That’s the MVP Donaldson that we loved in his days with Toronto and it’s clear that his power stroke is fully back. Getting to hit in Miller Park should only help, as that’s easily one of the best hitter’s parks in the league. Shortstop Corey Seager, LAD at PHI DK ($4,200) FD ($3,100) Seager hasn’t given us a whole lot of reason to use him in DFS this season but this price is too cheap for someone of his abilities. We’re still talking about a guy with a career .297 AVG, .364 wOBA and .844 OPS. That’s way too good for someone priced this cheaply and it’s just a matter of time before he starts raking. Getting to face a weak righty in a hitter’s haven like Citizens Bank Park is a good way to start a hot streak, with Zach Eflin pitching to a 4.78 xFIP and 1.30 WHIP this season. Outfield Joc Pederson, LAD at PHI DK ($4,200) FD ($2,600) Pederson has been mired in a bit of a slump but he’s always worth using against a right-hander. Joc leads off against righties, which is huge for a lineup that is projected for more than five runs. Pederson has been doing some serious damage when facing righties, posting a .556 SLG and .904 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. As we discussed in the Seager write-up, Eflin is not a guy we’re worried about either. Jordan Luplow, CLE vs. DET DK ($3,900) FD ($2,500) These DFS prices made my jaw drop to the floor and I’ll have more stock in Luplow than any other player on this slate. The simple fact is, Luplow destroys left-handers. In fact, the righty masher is posting a .417 OBP, .691 SLG and 1.108 OPS against southpaws so far this season. That’s why he typically bats cleanup in these circumstances and that’s huge against a guy like Daniel Norris. The Tigers lefty is pitching to 4.96 ERA and 1.42 WHIP and will surely struggle with Luplow. Eloy Jimenez, CWS at KC DK ($4,000) FD ($3,100) Much like Donaldson, I have been on Eloy for DFS purposes for over a month now. As someone who follows prospects closely, I can tell you that this is one of the greatest hitters in our game. That was evident when he posted an ISO in the .300 range at the minor league level while approaching an OPS of 1.000. The power potential is clearly there and recent results would indicate that he’s finally getting comfortable at this level. Over his last 26 games, Eloy has collected 10 homers and 24 RBI en route to a .624 SLG and .976 OPS. That raving success should continue against Jakob Junis, who is pitching to a 5.33 ERA and 1.45 WHIP so far this season. Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!Corey Seager/Cody Bellinger/Max Muncy Over 3.5 Hits This one is self-explanatory when looking at the DFS writeups, as the Dodgers are one of the highest projected offenses on this slate. Zach Eflin’s 4.78 xFIP and 1.30 WHIP is the main reason why and they should cruise to double-digit hits in a ballpark like CBP. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB DFS: July 4th Offensive Fireworks Hitting Stacks Wes Anderson 5 years ago written by Wes Anderson Thursday’s MLB action may not include a Coors Game, but there are plenty of offenses to stack in DFS. We have four stacks to target as you assemble your Daily Fantasy Sports entries. Sign up NOW forWIN DAILY Premium Gold right here!Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!Minnesota TwinsI am pretty sure the Oakland Athletics pushed Tanner Anderson’s start back a day just so he could help put on a fireworks show. Anderson has a 7.13 ERA this season, while allowing a robust 48.3% hard contact rate. The high amount of hard contact has led to home runs, as he is allowing 2.04 HR/9. With the Twins leading all of baseball in home runs hit, this seems like an appropriate spot to stack some Twinkies in DFS. Anderson has been awful against lefties. He has allowed a .473 wOBA and 4.91 HR/9. So of course, we want to load up on the left-handed Twins. So our Minnesota stacks will need to start with Max Kepler (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,600). Kepler has an ISO north of .330 versus right-handed pitching. Other Twins bats worth considering are: Jason Castro (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,800) and Jorge Polanco (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500). These two bats have ISOs above .240 versus righties in 2019. Detroit TigersThe Tigers’ offense is not normally in a position to stack. In fact, it has been good to our bank accounts to use starting pitchers against them. But this is just how bad the White Sox’s Lopez is. Lopez has a .5.12 SIERA and a low 10% swinging strike rate. He is not missing many bats and this is a perfect spot for us to pick on while we build DFS lineups. Look to use the Tigers’ offense as a cheap stack to help load up on bats from Minnesota or one of these other teams. But target the likes of Brandon Dixon (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,300) and Gordon Beckham (FanDuel: $2,300 DraftKings: $3,300). All of these Tigers’ bats have ISOs over .200 against right-handed pitching this season. Atlanta BravesThe Phillies’ Zach Eflin is not a terrible pitcher but he is not elite with his SIERA being 1.3 higher than his ERA. That means some regression is coming and it likely is coming today. Not only does Eflin struggle on the road with a 4.64 xFIP, but the Braves’ lineup is stacked with guys that crush righties. The Atlanta Braves have seven guys with regular at bats that are posting .200-plus ISOs against right-handed pitchers. Of course, start your Atlanta DFS stack with Freddie Freeman (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,000). But you can also mix and match the likes of: Austin Riley (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,500), Josh Donaldson (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $4,000), Tyler Flowers (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,600), Dansby Swanson (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500), Brian McCann (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,400) and Ronald Acuna Jr (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,400). All four of these Braves batters have accumulated at least a .200 ISO versus right-handed pitching. Kansas City RoyalsThe Royalsand Indians game should have plenty of fireworks from both offenses and may bea great spot to game stack for DFS purposes. But if you have to chose just oneside, the Royals’ offense is the way to lean. The Indians’ Zach Plesac has a5.01 SIERA and a 5.13 xFIP in 2019. He also is allowing flyballs at a rate of42.4% which has led to 1.91 HR/9. Use HunterDozier (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,700), Jorge Soler (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,000) and Adalberto Mondesi (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,800).These three batters have ISOs greater than .200 against right-handed pitching. But also, Dozier (.250 ISO) and Soler (.409 ISO) have crushed fastballs this season, which Plesac has thrown 55% of the time. THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MYOTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT WinDaily DFS HASTO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO,DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBDaily Fantasy Sports DFS Hitting Picks for 7/3: Swinger’s Party Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis We have a fascinating DFS slate ahead of us. What makes it so interesting is that we have games in Coors Field, Globe Life Park, Great American Ballpark and SunTrust Park. Those are easily five of the best hitting parks in the Majors and it should make for a ton of runs. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more! Catcher James McCann, DET at CWS DK ($4,900) FD ($3,500) McCann has quietly been one of the best catchers in the game and he’s tough to fade in this fantastic matchup. Facing Ross Detweiler is huge for anyone but especially right-handed batters. Not only does he have a 5.17 ERA and 1.61 WHIP dating back to 2015, Detweiler has also allowed right-handed bats to hit .300 against him while approaching an OPS of .900. That’s a scary thought against a guy like McCann, who’s posting a .406 OBP and .978 OPS against southpaws so far this season. That’s why the Tigers are one of the sneakiest DFS stacks of the day at their dirt-cheap price tags. First Base Joey Votto, CIN vs. MIL DK ($4,200) FD ($3,300) Many people assumed that Votto was done about a month ago but he’s been a different player since then. In fact, Votto is hitting .357 over his last 30 games while generating a .965 OPS in that span. That’s the perennial All-Star that we’ve become accustomed to and it’s clear he made some major adjustments to his swing. What we love here is that he gets to face a righty, with Votto providing an OBP and wOBA north of .400 against righties and an ISO above ,200 for his career. It’s a right-hander we definitely want to exploit in DFS too, with Jhoulys Chacin pitching to a 5.60 ERA and 1.52 WHIP so far this season. Second Base Jose Altuve, HOU at COL DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100) While it’s difficult to trust Altuve on FanDuel at this price, the DraftKings price makes him impossible to fade. We’re talking about one of the best pure hitters of our generation hitting in the best BABIP park in baseball. Coors Field caters to a hitter like Altuve, as he should finish this series with a couple of multi-hit games. What really adds to his intrigue here is that he gets to face Peter Lambert, who’s pitching to a 6.57 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. That’s really not far off of his ugly minor league numbers and why the Astros are projected for more than six runs. This $4,600 price tag on DK is really difficult to understand in DFS. Third Base Josh Donaldson, ATL vs. PHI DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000) Donaldson has re-discovered his power stroke over recent weeks and it’s hard to understand why these sites continue to price him so low. Over his last 19 games, Donaldson has seven homers and 14 RBI en route to a 1.010 OPS. That’s the MVP third baseman who used to do so much damage in Toronto and it’s clear he’s capturing some of that prior form. It’s the matchup that really makes him an enticing option here though in DFS, with Philly throwing out Nick Pivetta, who’s posting a 5.63 ERA and 1.52 WHIP this season. Shortstop Jorge Polanco, MIN at OAK DK ($4,400) FD ($3,800) We have to get at least one Twins player into our DFS article, as they could be the highest-scoring team on this slate. The reason is because they’re facing Tanner Anderson, who’s pitching to a 7.13 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. The simple fact is, this is a guy that was forced into the A’s rotation because of the Frankie Montas suspension and he’s simply not ready to face Major League hitters. That’s evident by his 6.26 ERA and 1.70 WHIP at Triple-A this season. Those statistics squarely put Polanco in play, as he is generating a .582 SLG and .978 OPS against right-handed pitching in the heart of this potent Twins lineup. Outfield Shohei Ohtani, LAA at TEX DK ($5,300) FD ($3,900) Ohtani has been one of the best hitters in the league since coming over from Japan and we have to love him in this situation. Not only does he get to work in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park, Ohtani also gets the DFS platoon advantage in his favor. Since joining the Angels last season, Ohtani is generating a .629 SLG and 1.002 OPS against right-handed pitching. That’s huge against a regression candidate like Ariel Jurado, whose xFIP is nearly a run higher than his ERA. Eloy Jimenez, CWS vs. DET DK ($4,300) FD ($3,100) If you read an article of mine a month ago when I told you to buy-low on Eloy in season-long formats, you’re surely happy. After getting off to a dreadful start, Jimenez now has eight homers, 17 runs scored and 19 RBI over his last 19 games. That’s the stud prospect we’ve been waiting for all season long and it’s clear that he’s finally finding his groove at this level. What really makes him attractive here is that he gets to face a lefty, with Jimenez posting a 1.215 OPS against southpaws at Triple-A last season. That hasn’t quite shown yet at this level but it very well could against a guy like Daniel Norris. The Tigers lefty is providing a 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP this season, which is pretty much the guy we’ve seen throughout his disappointing career. Jordan Luplow, CLE at KC DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900) If you don’t know already, Luplow is simply one of the best lefty mashers in the Majors. In fact, the Indians outfielder is posting a .714 SLG and 1.132 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. Those are obviously bonkers numbers and it really makes him attractive against a guy like Danny Duffy. The Kansas City lefty is providing a 4.74 ERA and 1.44 WHIP dating back to last season. His FanDuel price is really hard to understand, as he’ll be good DFS chalk. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB DFS: Top Hitters and Prop Picks for 6/24: Cubs, Phils and Braves Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis Our Monkey Knife Fight Picks and DFS recommendations have been killing it recently and we’re hoping for another strong slate here. We actually have a ton of great premium content available on our site too and you can check out those packages here. Catcher J.T. Realmuto, PHI vs. NYM DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900) Realmuto has actually had a down year by his lofty standards but it’s lowered his price to this intriguing number. What really makes him an attractive DFS option on this slate is that he gets the platoon advantage in his favor, with Realmuto providing an .879 OPS against lefties so far this season. Steven Matz is not a guy we need to worry about either, as he’s posting a 6.21 ERA and 1.59 WHIP on the road this season and will have a tough time navigating through this potent lineup in a hitter’s park. First Base Anthony Rizzo, CHC vs. ATL DK ($4,600) FD ($3,900) Rizzo’s DFS price has actually dropped about $500 on each site recently and it’s hard to understand why. Since starting with a .159 AVG after the first three weeks, Rizzo has returned to his All-Star form recently. In fact, Rizzo is posting a .324 AVG, .423 OBP and 1.054 OPS in the 47 games since that awful start. We always love when Riz faces a righty too, with the slugging first baseman posting a .920 OPS against right-handed pitching since 2017. I want to start batters against Julio Teheran for the next few weeks too, as his 5.08 xFIP and 5.09 SIERA screams major regression from his 3.40 ERA. Second Base Jason Kipnis, CLE vs. KC DK ($4,000) FD ($3,000) Kipnis has quietly been a stud the last two weeks and this DFS price is not indicative of how good he’s been. Over his last seven games, Kipnis is hitting .440 while providing three homers and 11 RBI en route to a 1.437 OPS. Almost all of that production has come against right-handers and it’s no surprise when you consider the fact that he has a career OPS approaching .800 with the platoon advantage in his favor. Brad Keller’s 4.45 ERA and 1.40 WHIP is also a variable in Kipnis’ favor, as he’ll be facing an Indians team that is averaging 6.4 runs per game over their last 10 fixtures. Third Base Josh Donaldson, ATL at CHC DK ($4,300) FD ($3,000) This might be the easiest DFS play on the board, as Donaldson is the greatest value around. Donaldson has obliterated left-handed pitching throughout his career and the slugging third baseman is scorching hot right now. Over his last 12 games. Donaldson is approaching a .400 AVG while collecting seven homers and 12 RBI. That’s the MVP Donaldson that we loved in Toronto and he has a career .956 OPS against lefties in his back pocket. Jon Lester is really struggling right now too and we’ll go over that more in out outfield write-up. Also Consider: The third base position is absolutely stacked on this slate, as we also love Vladimir Guerrero Jr. against C.C. Sabathia and Nolan Arenado versus Drew Pomeranz. Both players are dominant against left-handed pitching and both guys are facing league-average arms.Shortstop Jean Segura, PHI vs. NYM DK ($3,900) FD ($3,400) This DFS play looks pretty obvious after the Realmuto write-up, as we definitely want to stack some Phillies. Matz’s road form is a major reason why and it becomes very scary for him with all of the potent righties in this lineup. Realmuto, Segura, Rhys Hoskins and Scott Kingery are all very much in play but Segura is easily one of their best values. The stud shortstop has absolutely obliterated southpaws this season, to the tune of a .644 SLG and 1.003 OPS. He’ll also be in the heart of an order that is projected for five runs. Outfield Ronald Acuna Jr, ATL at CHC DK ($4,800) FD ($4,300) We left you hanging in the Donaldson write-up, so let’s break down why we love the Braves for DFS today. The simple fact is, Jon Lester is struggling mightily right now, pitching to a 7.17 ERA and 1.59 WHIP over his last seven starts. That spells disaster against these potent righties and particularly a stud like Acuna. Not only has Acuna generated a 1.008 career OPS against southpaws, he’s actually providing a .314 AVG and 1.003 OPS over his last 19 games. Ian Desmond, COL at SF DK ($4,400) FD ($3,300) This guy has actually really turned things around recently, which is evident by his .357 AVG and 1.077 OPS over his last 38 games. That’s incredible production from a guy that many people wrote off earlier in the year and a good amount of that damage has come against left-handed pitching. In fact, Desmond has accrued a 1.103 OPS against southpaws so far this season. Drew Pomeranz is definitely a lefty we want to exploit too, pitching to a 7.08 ERA and 1.78 WHIP. Kyle Schwarber, CHC vs. ATL DK ($3,900) FD ($3,100) It’s weird that Schwarber’s DFS price hasn’t risen more, as he’s been a different player since being moved to the leadoff spot. Over his last 28 games, Schwarber has tallied 10 homers, 20 runs scored and 20 RBI. That’s all you can ask for from someone in this price range and we have to love him with the projected negative regression headed Teheran’s way. Schwarber has always been better against righties too, posting a .493 SLG and .830 OPS against them since 2017. Also Consider: Randal Grichuk has had success against the Yankees throughout his career and gets the DFS platoon advantage against C.C. Sabathia in Yankee Stadium. Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day I’m currently 11-6 over my last 17 MKF recommendations and I’m going to continue to ride strikeout props since those have been the most profitable for me thus far. Steven Matz Under 5.5 Strikeouts This play is just as much about the Phillies as it is Matz, especially considering his aforementioned road statistics in the DFS section. I really think Matz is going to have a hard time navigating through this righty-heavy lineup, particularly in a hitter’s haven like Citizen’s Bank Park. That’s why Vegas has Philadelphia projected for more than five runs, as the statistics don’t help Matz’s case much either. Not only do the Phillies rank 11th in K rate this season, Matz’s 21 percent K rate since 2017 is also nothing to write home about either. Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!Jon Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts Many people don’t realize how good Gray can be at times and he’s truly been brilliant on the road throughout his career. Switching from Coors Field to Oracle Park is comparable to switching from Spirit Airlines to Emirates Airlines. It’s simply the best pitching environment in the Majors and it doesn’t even take into consideration that the Giants rank 28th in runs scored and 29th in OPS. The venue, paired with Gray’s 26 percent K rate since 2016 makes this my favorite prop play of the day. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 6/19: Blasting Baltimore Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis Wednesdays are always fascinating because of the games spread throughout the day and this slate is no different. We have six games during the day and 10 games at night, so we’ll try to get you some quality plays from both slates. If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @BartilottajoelIf you’d like even more information, check out some of our premium packagesCatcher Wilson Ramos, NYM at ATL DK ($4,400) FD ($2,700) Picking catchers is like pulling teeth but Ramos always makes for a solid choice. What really makes Ramos an enticing option here is that he gets to face a lefty, with the Mets catcher posting a .526 SLG and .989 OPS against southpaws since 2017. Those are elite numbers for a catcher and it looks even better when you consider the fact that Max Fried is pitching to a 7.98 ERA and 1.84 WHIP over his last three starts. Ramos is rolling right now too, hitting .338 over his last 23 games en route to a .984 OPS. Also Consider: Travis d’Arnaud led off against a left-hander on Tuesday and could remain a great value if he does that again against C.C. Sabathia. First Base Justin Bour, LAA at TOR DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700) Bour got sent down to the minors early on to find his swing and recent results show that it worked wonders for his bat. In his three games since the call-up, Bour has one double, two homers and five RBI. That’s the masher that we’ve become accustomed to in recent years and he’s simply too cheap in a matchup like this. The Angels square off with Aaron Sanchez, who’s pitching to a 5.04 ERA and 1.60 WHIP this season. Facing Sanchez means that Bour gets the platoon advantage in his favor too, with the slugging first baseman accruing a .491 SLG and .839 OPS against righties in his career. Also Consider: If you’re willing to pay up, Pete Alonso is one of the league leaders in home runs after going 4-for-4 on Tuesday and gets the platoon advantage against Max Fried. Second Base Kike Hernandez, LAD vs. SF DK ($3,200) FD ($3,000) Hernandez has been struggling recently but he always finds his way into the lineup against a left-hander. The reason for that is Hernandez is posting a .840 OPS against southpaws since 2017. This happens to be a lefty we really want to exploit too, with Drew Pomeranz pitching to a 6.43 ERA and 1.73 WHIP so far this season. That puts all of the Dodgers bats in play and Hernandez is one of the few guys who’s actually cheap on this roster. Also Consider: Cavan Biggio has four homers over his last five games and gets to face a lefty. Third Base Josh Donaldson, ATL vs. NYM DK ($4,400) FD ($3,200) Donaldson has made minced meat of lefties throughout his stellar career and now’s the time to hop on the train with his scorching-hot bat. Over his last eight games, Donaldson is 14-for-36 at the plate while providing two doubles, five homers and nine RBI. That equates to an OPS north of 1.200 and it’s clear that he’s finally recapturing some of his MVP form. Facing a left-hander should only help to keep him hot, with Donaldson posting a .382 OBP and .950 OPS against southpaws in his career. Also Consider: As you’ll see in our next write-up, we love the Oakland righties and that squarely puts Matt Chapman in play. Shortstop Marcus Semien, OAK vs. BAL DK ($4,400) FD ($3,600) The shortstop position is usually plentiful with tons of great options but this slate is rather tough. That’s why we’re going to go with Semien, who happens to be the leadoff hitter for one of my favorite offenses on the slate. The reason we like the A’s is because they’re facing Josh Rogers. Yeah, I don’t know who that is either but his 8.24 career ERA, 1.73 WHIP and 8:8 K:BB rate tells us everything we need to know about yet another terrible Orioles pitcher. That’s why the A’s are projected for more than five runs and Semien should be a huge part of that atop this lineup. Getting the platoon advantage is huge too and the fact that he’s posting a 1.115 OPS over his last 13 games only adds to his intrigue. Also Consider: Francisco Lindor is very pricey but he’s traditionally been better against left-handed pitching and gets to face a guy who’s only made one start in the Majors.Outfield Jordan Luplow, CLE at TEX DK ($4,500) FD ($3,000) This guy isn’t getting the credit he deserves, as Luplow is simply destroying left-handed pitching this season. In fact, the righty outfielder is generating a .719 SLG and 1.111 OPS against southpaws. That’s why the Indians typically bat him cleanup against lefties and we have to love that in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park. We’re looking a total of 11, as Vegas anticipates this being one of the highest-scoring games of the day. Joe Palumbo is not a guy we need to worry about either, making just one start at the Major League level. Khris Davis, OAK vs. BAL DK ($4,000) FD ($3,700) Let’s keep our A’s rolling. Davis is probably my favorite play on the board and it’s easy to understand why. Not only does this guy lead the league in home runs since 2016, he’s actually posting an ISO near .300 in that span. That’s absurd power and four homers over his last eight games show us that his power stroke is at full swing right now. Facing a weak lefty like Rogers is simply the icing on the cake, with KD posting a .998 OPS against southpaws so far this season. Eloy Jimenez, CWS at CHC DK ($4,100) FD ($3,100) This young stud has been one of the players I’ve written about most this season and recent results show us that we’re doing something right. Over his last nine games, Jimenez has six homers and 13 RBI en route to a .420 OBP and an OPS approaching 1.400. That power stroke and plate discipline are why he was one of the most touted prospects in the minors and it was just a matter of time before we saw this stud emerge at this level. Getting to face a lefty is a big plus as well, with Jimenez posting a 1.215 OPS against southpaws at Triple-A last season. Jon Lester is struggling right now too, pitching to a 7.59 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over his six last starts. Also Consider: If Chris Taylor bats in the heart of the Dodgers order, he’s definitely in consideration against Pomeranz at his dirt-cheap price. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/20: Texas Two-Step Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis Catcher Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. WSH DK ($3,300) FD ($2,500) I honestly don’t really like this matchup, but this DraftKings price absolutely blows my mind. We’re talking about one of the best hitting catchers in the Majors and it’s a wonder why he’s priced below guys like Rene Rivera, Austin Romine and Caleb Joseph. Ramos is obviously the cream of the crop and that’s just a small sample of the nobodies who are ahead of him. Getting to face a lefty should limit some of the risk, with Ramos posting an .842 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017. Keep an eye on Ramos over the coming weeks, because he should be closer to $4,000. First Base Kendrys Morales, NYY at BAL DK ($3,400) FD ($2,200) Let’s keep the value plays riding, as Morales has found himself in the heart of the Yankees order. In fact, Morales has batted fifth in three of his first four games with New York, picking up a hit in all three fixtures while providing a homer, two runs scored and three RBI. That’s pretty much the Morales we’ve become accustomed to throughout his career and it’s hard to argue with his .860 OPS against righties last season. Getting to hit in Yankee Stadium should only improve that lefty power, considering that bandbox is the friendliest park for left-handed bats in the league. We’re talking about a guy with a career .189 ISO and .334 wOBA and it’s hard to understand why he’s flirting with a minimum price on both sites in the heart of a potent lineup. The icing on the cake is the matchup though, with Andrew Cashner posting a 4.54 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last four years, and the Yankees projected for more than five runs. Second Base Rougned Odor, TEX vs. SEA DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900) Let’s keep our value plays rolling, as I really love Odor on FanDuel. I probably won’t ride him out there on DK at $4,300, but paying below $3,000 on FD is hard to overlook. What really makes Odor intriguing is his recent form. The lefty second baseman is one of the streakiest players in the league and collecting five homers, nine runs scored and 13 RBI over his last 11 games shows that he’s starting to get hot. What should scare off fantasy owners is his lack of discipline at the plate, but that shouldn’t be an issue against a contact pitcher like Mike Leake. Odor always performs better against righties too, posting a .754 career OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor while picking up almost all of his steals against them. Third Base Josh Donaldson, ATL at SF DK ($4,300) FD ($3,500) After a few value plays, let’s get to some higher-end options. While hitting in Oracle Park is a scary proposition, facing Andrew Suarez is not. In fact, the Giants southpaw posted a 4.49 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in the Majors last season, and he tallied a 6.33 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in Triple-A so far this season. This marks his first start of the year at this level and it’s a wonder why he was called up while struggling so badly. Suarez is especially bad against righties, with right-handed bats posting a .504 SLG and .363 wOBA against him in his career. That’s a beautiful sign for Donaldson, with the slugging third baseman posting a career .959 OPS against southpaws. He’s hot right now too, providing 12 doubles and seven homers over his last 35 games. Shortstop Carlos Correa, HOU vs. CWS DK ($5,200) FD ($4,000) Shortstop is an absolute nightmare on this slate, so we’re going to go big here with Correa. The slugging shortstop has been doing some serious damage in the heart of the Astros order, with Correa posting a 1.000 OPS over his last 25 games. That’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that Houston is the highest-scoring team over the last month. While we don’t know who he’s going to face, any time a potent offense like this faces a minor league TBD, it’s worth taking a shot on. Outfield Joey Gallo, TEX vs. SEA DK ($5,700) FD ($4,200) Much like Odor, we love to use Gallo against contact pitchers. The only weakness that Gallo has is that he strikes out a ton. With that K upside dropped a significant amount against Leake, he becomes one of the best options on the slate. Any time Gallo gets the ball in play, he’s a guy we want stock in. In fact, Gallo is one of the league leaders with a .441 xwOBA and a .362 ISO. He’s been even more absurd against right-handers, posting a 1.089 OPS against righties so far this season. Ronald Acuna Jr, ATL at SF DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100) Acuna got off to a slow start this season but recent results indicate that he’s back to his rookie form. Over his last 14 games, Acuna is hitting .304 with 10 runs scored, nine RBI, three homers and three steals. That directly correlates with him returning to leadoff duties and we definitely want to use him against a weak lefty like Suarez. Since his call-up, Acuna owns a .391 OBP and a 1.001 OPS against southpaws while posting a .658 SLG against lefties so far this year. Shohei Ohtani, LAA vs. MIN DK ($4,000) FD ($3,800) This DraftKings price is really hard to understand, as Ohtani has been one of the best hitters in the league since joining the Angels. Dating back to last season, Ohtani actually ranks Top 5 in the league in OPS. One would argue that he’s an even better hitter this year, with the Japanese slugger providing a .391 xwOBA so far this season. The lefty slugger is really finding his form at the plate too, collecting nine hits over his last 28 at-bats. We always want to use him against righties too, with Ohtani posting a 1.011 OPS against right-handers since his signing. Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day Gallo/Odor/Choo combining for more than 4.5 runs+RBI With a limited slate, we’re going to go with just one pick here. I really like the Rangers today and we’re going to back these Texas righties against Mike Leake. While Leake is a solid pitcher, he seems likely to struggle against a lefty-heavy lineup in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park. The main reason is because Leake has a minuscule 16 percent career K rate and that spells disaster in a park like this. Vegas appears to agree with me, as they have the Rangers projected for six runs, the highest total on the slate. Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus! 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/20: Texas Two-Step Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis Catcher Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. WSH DK ($3,300) FD ($2,500) I honestly don’t really like this matchup, but this DraftKings price absolutely blows my mind. We’re talking about one of the best hitting catchers in the Majors and it’s a wonder why he’s priced below guys like Rene Rivera, Austin Romine and Caleb Joseph. Ramos is obviously the cream of the crop and that’s just a small sample of the nobodies who are ahead of him. Getting to face a lefty should limit some of the risk, with Ramos posting an .842 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017. Keep an eye on Ramos over the coming weeks, because he should be closer to $4,000. First Base Kendrys Morales, NYY at BAL DK ($3,400) FD ($2,200) Let’s keep the value plays riding, as Morales has found himself in the heart of the Yankees order. In fact, Morales has batted fifth in three of his first four games with New York, picking up a hit in all three fixtures while providing a homer, two runs scored and three RBI. That’s pretty much the Morales we’ve become accustomed to throughout his career and it’s hard to argue with his .860 OPS against righties last season. Getting to hit in Yankee Stadium should only improve that lefty power, considering that bandbox is the friendliest park for left-handed bats in the league. We’re talking about a guy with a career .189 ISO and .334 wOBA and it’s hard to understand why he’s flirting with a minimum price on both sites in the heart of a potent lineup. The icing on the cake is the matchup though, with Andrew Cashner posting a 4.54 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last four years, and the Yankees projected for more than five runs. Second Base Rougned Odor, TEX vs. SEA DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900) Let’s keep our value plays rolling, as I really love Odor on FanDuel. I probably won’t ride him out there on DK at $4,300, but paying below $3,000 on FD is hard to overlook. What really makes Odor intriguing is his recent form. The lefty second baseman is one of the streakiest players in the league and collecting five homers, nine runs scored and 13 RBI over his last 11 games shows that he’s starting to get hot. What should scare off fantasy owners is his lack of discipline at the plate, but that shouldn’t be an issue against a contact pitcher like Mike Leake. Odor always performs better against righties too, posting a .754 career OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor while picking up almost all of his steals against them. Third Base Josh Donaldson, ATL at SF DK ($4,300) FD ($3,500) After a few value plays, let’s get to some higher-end options. While hitting in Oracle Park is a scary proposition, facing Andrew Suarez is not. In fact, the Giants southpaw posted a 4.49 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in the Majors last season, and he tallied a 6.33 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in Triple-A so far this season. This marks his first start of the year at this level and it’s a wonder why he was called up while struggling so badly. Suarez is especially bad against righties, with right-handed bats posting a .504 SLG and .363 wOBA against him in his career. That’s a beautiful sign for Donaldson, with the slugging third baseman posting a career .959 OPS against southpaws. He’s hot right now too, providing 12 doubles and seven homers over his last 35 games. Shortstop Carlos Correa, HOU vs. CWS DK ($5,200) FD ($4,000) Shortstop is an absolute nightmare on this slate, so we’re going to go big here with Correa. The slugging shortstop has been doing some serious damage in the heart of the Astros order, with Correa posting a 1.000 OPS over his last 25 games. That’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that Houston is the highest-scoring team over the last month. While we don’t know who he’s going to face, any time a potent offense like this faces a minor league TBD, it’s worth taking a shot on. Outfield Joey Gallo, TEX vs. SEA DK ($5,700) FD ($4,200) Much like Odor, we love to use Gallo against contact pitchers. The only weakness that Gallo has is that he strikes out a ton. With that K upside dropped a significant amount against Leake, he becomes one of the best options on the slate. Any time Gallo gets the ball in play, he’s a guy we want stock in. In fact, Gallo is one of the league leaders with a .441 xwOBA and a .362 ISO. He’s been even more absurd against right-handers, posting a 1.089 OPS against righties so far this season. Ronald Acuna Jr, ATL at SF DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100) Acuna got off to a slow start this season but recent results indicate that he’s back to his rookie form. Over his last 14 games, Acuna is hitting .304 with 10 runs scored, nine RBI, three homers and three steals. That directly correlates with him returning to leadoff duties and we definitely want to use him against a weak lefty like Suarez. Since his call-up, Acuna owns a .391 OBP and a 1.001 OPS against southpaws while posting a .658 SLG against lefties so far this year. Shohei Ohtani, LAA vs. MIN DK ($4,000) FD ($3,800) This DraftKings price is really hard to understand, as Ohtani has been one of the best hitters in the league since joining the Angels. Dating back to last season, Ohtani actually ranks Top 5 in the league in OPS. One would argue that he’s an even better hitter this year, with the Japanese slugger providing a .391 xwOBA so far this season. The lefty slugger is really finding his form at the plate too, collecting nine hits over his last 28 at-bats. We always want to use him against righties too, with Ohtani posting a 1.011 OPS against right-handers since his signing. Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day Gallo/Odor/Choo combining for more than 4.5 runs+RBI With a limited slate, we’re going to go with just one pick here. I really like the Rangers today and we’re going to back these Texas righties against Mike Leake. While Leake is a solid pitcher, he seems likely to struggle against a lefty-heavy lineup in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park. The main reason is because Leake has a minuscule 16 percent career K rate and that spells disaster in a park like this. Vegas appears to agree with me, as they have the Rangers projected for six runs, the highest total on the slate. Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus! 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB Bounceback Candidates Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago written by Jason Mezrahi Bounceback CandidatesClayton Kershaw, LAD, (SP): What if I told you that the best pitcher of our generation is being drafted around pick 100 in most season-long drafts? The main reason for that is because Kershaw is dealing with a shoulder issue but he appears to be progressing well in his rehab. In fact, Kershaw is expected to only miss the first two weeks of the year, as he’s already progressed to throwing to live hitters. Taking Kershaw is certainly risky but getting him this cheap takes out most of that risk. The upside is simply impossible to overlook, as Kershaw has finished as the top pitcher in baseball for about half of his career. That’s evident in his 2.39 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 9.77 K/9 career rates. Those are straight ridiculous numbers and it seems very likely that people are over-reacting to his injury status. We’re talking about a pitcher who just turned 32-years-old. You’d think this guy is 50-years-old with the way people are reacting to him. His 2.73 ERA and 1.04 WHIP from last season indicate he’s not far off from the ace we’ve become accustomed to and he’s easily one of the best bounce-back candidates out there. Josh Donaldson, ATL (3B) Donaldson is being overlooked in the fantasy industry, as he could return to his MVP form in Atlanta. Not only does he get to hit in this dominant lineup, but Donaldson also gets the fortune of hitting in this little league ballpark. In its inaugural year, SunTrust Park finished seventh in total runs. That’s a small uptick from Rogers Centre but Donaldson gets to hit in a much better lineup. Having Ronald Acuna Jr. and Freddie Freeman around him in the lineup should open up some better pitches, as Donaldson is not far removed from being one of the best hitters in the majors. Prior to an injury-riddled 2018, Donaldson averaged 32.8 home runs and 98.2 RBI across his previous five seasons. This is a guy who stayed pretty healthy in that stretch too, averaging 149 games per season. The weak 2018 is an outlier in an otherwise impressive career, so don’t let that stray you away from one of the most overlooked hitters in the game. Joey Votto, CIN, (1B) Votto’s 12 home runs last year stands out like a sore thumb but he’s one of the easiest bounce-back candidates for this upcoming season. If you take out an injury-riddled 2014 season, Votto averaged 28.3 home runs and 116.4 RBI across his previous seven seasons before last year’s dud. Those are impressive numbers in itself but the fact that he posted a .433 OBP in that span makes him one of the most dangerous at-bats in the majors. The 12 home runs last season are an absolute fluke too, as his 41 percent hard-hit rate and 9.5 percent HR/FB rates are major outliers for his career. Having a career-high hard-hit rate while posting a career-low HR/FB rate shows just how unlucky he was last season, as he should return to his typical 25-30 homers this year. Adding Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp to an already solid lineup can’t hurt either, as that should help Votto see better pitches, even though he already has the best eyes in the game.Rougned Odor, TEX (2B) Odor was one of the biggest disappointments last season with a .253 AVG, 18 home runs, and 12 steals but one stretch near the end of the year showed just how dominant he can be. Between June 16 and August 11, Odor hit 13 homers and 12 doubles while accruing 31 RBI and nine steals. That came out to a .640 SLG and 1.049 OPS, which was arguably one of the most dominant two-month stretches by any player all season. What’s really encouraging about Odor’s progression is his plate discipline. In fact, Odor nearly doubled his career average by posting an 8.1 percent BB-rate last season while lowering his K-rate below 24 percent. That discipline has carried over big time into spring training, with Odor collecting five walks in 38 spring training at-bats thus far. He’s also 14-of-38 at the plate while accumulating three doubles and four home runs en route to a 1.155 OPS. It’s not like he was chopped liver before either, with Odor tallying 63 home runs and 29 steals across 2016 and 2017. Everything here has the arrow pointing up for Odor and he’s one of few 2B who has legit 25 home run-20 steal potential. Jose Quintana, CHC (SP) Many people forget just how studly Quintana was in his days with the White Sox, as he looks primed to have a bounce-back season. In a disappointing 2018 campaign, Quintana posted a 4.03 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Those numbers really aren’t even that bad but fantasy owners have pretty much given up on him looking at his ADP. This is a guy who averaged a 3.41 ERA and 1.24 WHIP across his first five seasons and that’s the pitcher I expect to see this year. The peripherals show why he struggled last season, as he posted career-highs in BB-rate and HR-rate. That’s a recipe for a boosted ERA and WHIP but his 14.7 percent HR/FB rate and .282 BABIP last season indicates he was slightly unlucky. Those are outlier numbers for his career and a regression to the mean seems like a likely outcome. It’s the price that really makes him attractive though, with Quintana going close to the 200-range in drafts while being priced super cheap in DFS. Some other notable players that I expect to bounce-back include Kris Bryant, Carlos Correa, Daniel Murphy, Cody Bellinger, Yu Darvish and Chris Archer. All of these guys have underlying statistics that show why they struggled last season and they should return closer to their career norms with positive regression headed their way. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
