RBC Heritage Preview: DeepDiveGolf’s Tournament Analysis, Weather, And Advice DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 5 days ago
RBC Heritage Preview: DeepDiveGolf’s Tournament Analysis, Weather, And Advice DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 5 days ago
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/15 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!Some scattered T-storms in the Colorado vicinity tonight, so we’ll leave that game off our discussion since I don’t have to tell you to deploy bats in Coors if the game looks like it’ll play. Let’s get to it!MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Trevor Bauer ($11,000)We haven’t seen the Bauer ceiling game in a while, and I suspect this could be the night facing the offensively challenged Miami Marlins. There’s no need for a ton of analysis here in determining the top arm of this slate, as Carlos Rodon is an option, but was initially scheduled to start Thursday against the Twins and was pushed back after experiencing back and hamstring tightness. Add to that the prospect of some ugly weather in Chicago and he’s just not nearly as safe as Bauer — although there’s plenty of upside if that game plays without delay. I’ll let that determination fall to the weather watchers, but for me, it’s just easier to build around the chalky but upside-laden Bauer against a Marlins team that hits poorly on the road.Best GPP Value: Ian Anderson ($8,600)For two Saturdays in a row, I’m going to be using Anderson in the hopes he can avoid the big inning and settle down a little sooner than his previous start. The price has come up a bit (from $7,900) since last weekend, but Anderson’s opponent has a team total under 4 and he’s capable of striking out 8-10 batters. I’ll be using Bauer as my go to SP in most of my MLB DFS builds tonight, but Anderson makes plenty of sense on a relatively thin pitching slate without many “sure thing” candidates for 40+ fantasy points.Contrarian GPP Value: Triston McKenzieDomingo German might get a bit of ownership in MLB DFS tonight, as the Yankees take on the Orioles, but McKenzie is coming off his first win of the season on May 6, so he’s rested and ready. While the addition of Jarred Kelenic has added some firepower to the top of the Seattle batting order, the Mariners have a relatively high K rate (26.3% — tied with the Marlins) and there’s lots of upside at this price point for McKenzie — who’s tailor made for FanDuel scoring with his high walk (8.37 BB/9 in five starts) and K rates (12.93 per 9 IP). If he can keep the M’s off the bases and avoid the big fly, he should make value and get you the 30-40 FD points needed to pay off his meager $6,900 salary.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Houston Astros vs. TEX RHP Dane DunningI actually like Dunning a bit in MLB DFS — he’s got swing-and-miss stuff and is coming off a career-high 10K performance against the Mariners on May 9 where he settled down his demons and got back to throwing his effective slider. Unfortunately, the Astros offense has just the kind of firepower and plate patience to make Dunning’s day a long one (or short one, if we’re being honest). The miniscule team K rate (18.7% — lowest in the majors) is a great indicator for stacking against pitchers like Dunning who rely heavily on the K to get outs. While Dunning has fared better against LHB in the small sample of 2021 so far, the Astros are littered with lefty mashers and righties who maintain high wOBA against RHP. Yordan Alvarez ($4,300) is the highest-priced bat on Houston, but I’ll be looking closely at the red-hot Kyle Tucker ($3,400) as well as standard stackers Jose Altuve ($3,800), Alex Bregman ($3,700) and Michael Brantley ($3,100). In his last six games, Tucker has 3 HR, 10 hits and 9 RBI.Value Stack: Philadelphia Phillies vs. TOR LHP Anthony KayThe Phillies offer a bit of a discount from the Astros, but the upside is almost as high facing a young lefty in a minor league park with a high ERA (Kay: 10.24, with a 5.59 FIP). Rhys Hoskins ($3,300), J.T., Realmuto ($3,400), Andrew McCutcheon ($3,200) and just about any other Phillies hitter — Jean Segura ($2,800), Alec Bohm ($2,400) stand out as solid value options — made sense last night and they do again today. I like a few stacks today (more on that later), but this could end up being a huge leverage play on a day where they might get lower ownership than expected.Contrarian Stack: Washington Nationals vs. ARI RHP Seth FrankoffIt’s hard to justify them as a contrarian play after they went off for 17 runs in Arizona last night, but some folks might consider it chasing ands other s will be naturally drawn to the Astros, Phillies and teams like the Indians (also a decent contrarian stack or one-off spot for one-off RHB like Jordan Luplow, Franmil Reyes and Jose Ramirez vs. SEA LHP Justus Sheffield). But the Nats are just loaded with hitters who are heating up like Trea Turner ($3,900), Juan Soto ($4,000) and Kyle Schwarber ($3,200), who has homers in consecutive games and went off for 40.4 FD points last night. Josh Bell ($3,000) and the underpriced Yan Gomes ($2,400) are solid options as well.Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB 7/26 MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Beatdown in Boston Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago written by Vincent Pensabene We had just a nine-game slate on Thursday July 25. All points and price values for the 7/25 MLB DFS Winners and Losers are based off DraftKings.If you want to check out some of my other work click here!Want to know who the Winners and Losers will be tonight? Premium Gold members can consult our premium projections and rankings!7/26 MLB DFS Winners Rafael Devers ($5,300)Rafael Devers had a very productive game at the plate against Masashiro Tanaka and the New York Yankees. He went 2-for-5 with a double, home run, two RBI, two runs and a walk. Devers upped his average to .323 on the season, which is third in the American League. Look for Devers to continue his hot streak into tonight’s 7/26 MLB DFS game.Devers’ OutlookDevers has been hitting well since being moved up to the two hole. In his past 30 games played, he is batting .360 with 10 HR and 36 RBI. It also doesn’t hurt that the Yankees had a historically bad performance from their starting rotation this time through. The Red Sox play game two of their four-game set against the Yankees and look for Devers to continue producing. Luke Voit ($4,800)Luke Voit had a solid game at the plate against Rick Porcello and the Boston Red Sox. He went 3-for-4 with a double and a run scored. He is creeping up his OPS, which is currently at .891 on the year. Look for Voit to continue producing during tonight’s 7/26 MLB DFS game as well.Voit’s OutlookLuke Voit is an OBP machine lately. In his last seven games, he has a .464 OBP and a 1.116 OPS. Voit was the only Yankee batter to reach base more than one time during last night’s blowout. Hitting in hitter-friendly Fenway Park should help his numbers as well. Voit and the Yankees will face Andrew Cashner today and Voit should continue to tear the cover off the ball during tonight’s game.7/26 MLB DFS LosersJose Suarez ($8,200)Jose Suarez did not provide enough value in his start last night against the Baltimore Orioles. He pitched 4.1 innings and allowed two runs on four hits with a walk and six strikeouts. Suarez threw 80 pitches and if you looked at our Cheat Sheet, you would have faded him in last night’s outing. Suarez’s OutlookThis was a game that the Angels needed Suarez to last a bit longer in,and it went 16 innings. However, this was tied for his longest outing in the month of July. DFS players expected more out of him facing the Baltimore Orioles, who are not a huge threat offensively. His next outing is slated for Tuesday night against the Detroit Tigers. Expect a similar outing, which at a high price tag isn’t going to cut it.Jordan Luplow ($4,200)Jordan Luplow was unable to get it going last night against the Kansas City Royals. He went 0-for-3 with a walk before being pinch-hit for in extra innings, lowering his average to .254. Pass on Luplow for the second straight night in 7/26 MLB DFS.Luplow’s OutlookLuplow is an average hitter at the plate recently. He is batting .235 with a .381 OBP in the last seven games he has appeared in. It also doesn’t help that the Tigers decided to pinch-hit for him in extra innings. The Tigers continue their series in Kansas City and with Jakob Junis on the hill coming off three great starts, including one against the Indians, avoid Luplow again in 7/26 MLB DFS.7/26 MLB DFS Injury UpdateThe Texas Rangers announced that All-Star Joey Gallo will undergo surgery to repair his broken hamate bone. This could potentially end Gallo’s season with a timetable of about six weeks to recover. Blake Snell, the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner, will undergo arthroscopic surgery to remove a loose body in his left elbow. The recovery timeline for him is around six weeks, which could end his season, depending on the Rays playoff chances at the time. If you are enjoying all of the content here on Win Daily Sports, consider joining our premium subscription service by signing up here. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB DFS Hitter Picks and Prop Plays for 7/22: Bringing Vogelbach! Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis We’re back at it with DFS hitter picks for this Monday slate. More importantly, we have a Monkey Knife Fight Pick for you and those have been awesome for us for months now. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!If you’d like to see more of my work click here!Catcher Gary Sanchez, NYY at MIN DK ($4,500) FD ($3,900) Sanchez is actually in a bit of a slump right now but it’s lowered his price to this tasty number. He is arguably the best hitting catcher in the game, which is evident by his .567 xSLG and .376 xwOBA. Those advanced statistics confirm to us that he’s the best hitting catcher in MLB and it’s really no surprise that he has 24 homers in just 283 at-bats this season. That’s one of the best rates around and all of this doesn’t even take into consideration that Sanchez gets to face a lefty. Since 2017, Sanchez has a .525 SLG and .872 OPS against southpaws. Martin Perez is a lefty who’s really struggling right now too, pitching to a 5.65 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over his last eight starts. First Base Daniel Vogelbach, SEA vs. TEX DK ($4,400) FD ($3,800) Vogelbach has been making minced meat of right-handers all season long and it’s fun watching this lumberjack become one of the best DFS hitters. So far this season, Vogelbach is generating a .405 OBP, .588 SLG and .993 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That’s why he has 21 homers and 48 RBI against right-handers, which are some of the best splits in the game. Adrian Sampson is definitely a righty we can exploit too, with the Texas righty pitching to a 4.92 ERA and 1.43 WHIP for the season while posting a 12.96 ERA and 2.40 WHIP over his last four starts. Second Base Brian Dozier, WSH vs. COL DK ($3,700) FD ($2,700) Picking second baseman is like strolling through your Netflix queue when you know there’s nothing good in there. This position is simply terrible and that’s why I always try to find values. Dozier is just that, as I want to get in some Washington bats against Peter Lambert. The Rockies righty is pitching to a 6.06 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season, which is right around his 5.06 ERA and 1.44 WHIP at the Triple-A level. That’s why the Nationals are projected for more than five runs, as Dozier should be a major part of that. The former 40-20 threat is in the midst of a resurgent stretch too, posting a .390 OBP and .938 OPS over his last 36 games. Those are huge numbers from someone in this price range and we need to take advantage of a DFS hitter like this when his value is so low.Third Base Nolan Arenado, COL at WSH DK ($4,400) FD ($4,100) It’s always strange to have to scroll down to find Arenado among the third basemen and that alone makes him an attractive DFS hitter. While he is typically better at home, we have to love this matchup. The Nationals are throwing out Austin Voth and his 5.10 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, which is on par with his 5.06 career xFIP. That’s a scary thought against a hitter who has a minimum of a .362 OBP and .924 OPS dating back to 2016. Shortstop Francisco Lindor, CLE at TOR DK ($4,500) FD ($3,800) The Indians are one of the hottest teams in the league right now and Lindor is a major reason why. Over his last 12 games, Lindor has four doubles, three homers and two steals, as that streak extends much longer than that. Since May 4, Lindor is hitting .301 while generating an .867 OPS in that span. What really makes him intriguing here is that he gets to bat from the right side, with Lindor posting a .380 OBP and .907 OPS against left-handers since 2017. Ryan Borucki is definitely not a guy we need to worry about either, with the southpaw pitching to a 7.55 FIP at the minors this season while providing a 4.62 xFIP in his Major League career. Outfield Jordan Luplow, CLE at TOR DK ($4,200) FD ($2,900) If you’ve been reading my articles, you know that I love Luplow against lefties. The simple fact is, Luplow is one of the best hitters in the league when he faces a southpaw. That’s evident by his .417 OBP, .696 SLG and 1.112 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those are some bonkers statistics and it’s really no surprise that he bats cleanup in these circumstances. We already discussed that we want to stack against Borucki, as he’ll be making his season debut here. This is where people forget that we’re picking DFS hitters and it’s more about matchups than anything else.J.D. Martinez, BOS at TB DK ($4,100) FD ($3,900) Needless to say, if you’re playing on DraftKings, get J.D. into your lineup as a DFS hitter. This price made my jaw drop and it’s a wonder what DraftKings is thinking with this tag. This is simply one of the best hitters in the game facing a weak pitcher with the platoon advantage in his favor. The advanced statistics are simply incredible, with Martinez generating a .578 xSLG and .406 xWOBA this season. Those are some of the best numbers in the league and it doesn’t even take into consideration that J.D. has a 1.136 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017. Corey Dickerson, PIT vs. STL DK ($4,000) FD ($2,900) Can we start giving this dude the credit he deserves as a DFS hitter? Dickerson has done nothing but rake since his days with the Rockies and these sites continue to treat him like a bench player. We’re talking about a guy who has a career .285 AVG and .826 OPS. He’s actually done most of that damage against righties, providing a .239 ISO, .361 wOBA and .860 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those numbers are actually all better this year and it’s strange that he’s priced so low on these sites. Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day After a handful of DFS hitter picks, let’s go over a MKF play that intrigues me. Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!Lindor/Luplow/Ramirez Over 6.5 Total Bases You probably could have seen this coming with the write-ups but Ramirez is one of the hottest hitters in the game too. This offense is projected for more than five runs and these are the guys that should do it. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 19 Daniel Wehr 5 years ago written by Daniel Wehr This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 14-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks. **All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.New York Yankees Stackvs. LHP Kyle Freeland (COL): 6.90 RunsI glared at the computer for awhile this morning trying to figure out how to get away from this Yankees chalk tonight and I can’t do it. Kyle Freeland is just downright terrible. He carries a 7.39 ERA, 6.13 FIP, and 5.18 SIERA on the season. He has allowed 43 earned runs across 53 innings to right-handed batters. Freeland is allowing a massive 2.27 HR/9 innings and 43% hard contact. Freeland is not at Coors, but he is in very hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have been slumping off just a bit coming off the break, but this team is jam packed with talent and it would be foolish to fade them. The Yankees are slashing to a .365 wOBA, .225 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last month. I’m typically an advocate against using the Yankees on most nights, but I feel confident using these right handed power bats this evening.Preferred Plays: Aaron Judge ($4500 FD|$5300 DK), DJ Lemahieu ($3800 FD|$4700 DK), Gary Sanchez ($3900 FD|$4600 DK), and Luke Voit ($3800 FD|$4600 DK). Also consider: Gleyber Torres ($3400 FD|$4500 DK) and Edwin Encarnacion ($4100 FD|$5000 DK).Cleveland Indians Stackvs. LHP Mike Montgomery (KCR): 6.15 RunsMike Montgomery was a top prospect not long ago but has not had a good 2019 campaign. I doubt he’s stretched out all the way so he should be limited today. We have a small sample size to go off of here, but Montgomery carries a 5.67 ERA, 6.21 FIP, and 5.25 SIERA over 27 innings pitched this season. His splits indicate he struggles more with lefties. They are slashing to a .556 wOBA, .868 SLG, and .512 OBP. Montgomery is not much better against righties (thus far). They are slashing to a .336 wOBA, .464 SLG, and .338 OBP. Obviously these numbers are inflated due to limited action this season but most tend to go for the handedness matchup, so don’t be afraid to differentiate with some Cleveland lefties. Cleveland bats are red hot right now. They are slashing to a .369 wOBA, .255 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last couple of weeks.Preferred Plays: Roberto Perez ($2800 FD|$4100 DK), Carlos Santana ($4300 FD|$4900 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2600 FD|$4100 DK), Francisco Lindor ($4100 FD|$5100 DK). Also consider: Oscar Mercado ($3300 FD|$4900 DK) and Tyler Naquin ($3000 FD|$4200 DK).Toronto Blue Jays Stackvs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 5.90 RunsJordan Zimmermann heads into tonight’s matchup carrying a 7.01 ERA, 4.64 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. That ERA is a little elevated compared to his FIP and SIERA. That is because of his .344 BABIP and a lowly 58% LOB. Some of it can be attributed to bad luck but he also has a poor defense behind him, so that will drive his ERA up whereas FIP measures things only the pitcher can control. Bats are slashing to a .350 wOBA, .508 SLG, and .348 OBP on the season against him. Zimmermann has allowed 41 earned runs across 52.2 innings pitched. He has only allowed seven home runs in that span. Blue Jays batters are slashing to a .351 wOBA, .234 ISO, and 120 WRC+ over the last month. They have seen a dip in their batting averages recently, but this is a good spot for Toronto to do some damage.Preferred Plays: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($4000 FD|$4900 DK), Eric Sogard ($3300 FD|$4300 DK), Freddy Galvis ($3200 FD|$3800 DK),Randal Grichuk ($3400 FD|$3700 DK), and Vlad Guerrero Jr. ($2900 FD|$3700 DK) Also consider: Justin Smoak ($3100 FD|$3700 DK) and Billy McKinney ($2400 FD|$3400 DK).Honorable MentionBoston Red Sox Stackvs. LHP John Means (BAL): 6.00 RunsPreferred Stack: Christian Vazquez ($2800 FD|$4700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4500 FD|$5700 DK), Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5400 DK), and J.D. Martinez ($4000 FD|$4700 DK).PitchingRHP Jacob deGrom (NYM): 3.13 RunsLHP Hyun-jin Ryu (LAD): 2.45 RunsRHP Marcus Stroman (TOR): 4.20 RunsLHP Brendan McCay (TAM): 3.29 RunsFollow us on Twitter! 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 15 5 years ago written by This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks. **All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.Cleveland Indians Stackvs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 RunsDaniel Norris takes the mound in Cleveland this evening. He carries a 4.96 ERA, 4.62 FIP, and 4.71 ERA into tonight’s matchup. We get a nice little recipe here with his reverse splits. Left handed batters are slashing to a .367 wOBA, .540 SLG, and .343 OBP across 16 innings pitched. He has allowed 13 runs in that short span. His 40% hard contact rate and 40% pull rate combined with his shakiness to lefties can make for some easy liners to right field. Norris racked up eight strikeouts but gave up six earned runs in his last meeting with Cleveland. Cleveland batters are hitting below their season averages this month, slashing to a .309 wOBA, .154 ISO, and 88 WRC+. These numbers aren’t typically what we look for but they’re in the worst part of their slump and this is a good opportunity to bust out of it. Preferred Stack: Roberto Perez ($2700 FD|$4100 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2500 FD|$3900 DK), Carlos Santana ($3800 FD|$5000 DK), and Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$4900 DK).Colorado Rockies Stackvs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):Dereck Rodriguez was called up from AAA as the 26th man ahead of today’s doubleheader. He carries a 5.27 ERA, 5.57 FIP, and 5.46 SIERA across 57 innings pitched into tonight’s game. He has struggled both to righties and lefties, allowing a .338 wOBA, .462 SLG, and 46% hard contact rate. The Rockies batting averages are creeping up again on this home stand and should continue to rise this evening. They are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .193 ISO, and .457 SLG against right handed pitching recently and the studs in this lineup are coming off a rest day.Preferred Stack:Charlie Blackmon ($4800 FD|$5700 DK), Daniel Murphy ($4100 FD|$5200 DK), David Dahl ($4200 FD|$5500 DK), Trevor Story ($4600 FD|$5600 DK), and Nolan Arenado ($4700 FD|$5400 DK). Every stack report in the industry is going to have the Giants and Rockies. Ownership almost always levitates to Coors, especially when you have Dereck Rodriguez (SFG) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (COL) pitching. Going to be a lot of ownership on both sides here ,so I am not writing up the Giants in detail for that purpose, but I’ve included my preferred stack if you decide to go with the masses tonight. Preferred Stack: Alex Dickerson ($3800 FD|$4800 DK), Stephen Vogt ($2700 FD|$4300 DK), Evan Longoria ($3500 FD|$5300 DK), Pablo Sandoval ($2900 FD|$4900 DK), Brandon Crawford ($3000 FD|$3900 DK), and Austin Slater ($3600 FD|$5000 DK). Los Angeles Dodgers Stackvs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs I imagine ownership here will be higher as well. It’s not very often we get the Dodgers so early in the evening. Zach Eflin carries a 3.78 ERA, 4.66 FIP, and 4.70 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. Left handed batters are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .544 SLG, and .333 OBP. He has allowed 22 earned runs and 11 home runs across 43 innings pitched to lefties as well. The only concern I really have with Dodgers batters here is a possible hangover from last night’s game. The Dodgers are slashing .to a 335 wOBA, .209 ISO, and 109 WRC+ vs. right handed pitching over the last month. Preferred Stack:Max Muncy ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), Alex Verdugo ($3100 FD|$4100 DK), Cody Bellinger ($4800 FD|$5100 DK), and Joc Pederson ($2600 FD|$4200 DK). Boston Red Sox Stackvs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs The Red Sox get another cupcake matchup against Thornton. They have faced him twice this season, his first outing in Boston when he allowed only two earned runs and a recent second outing in Toronto in which he allowed seven earned runs. This Red Sox team is hitting very well recently. They are slashing .372 wOBA, .254 ISO, and 129 WRC+. I have the same concern with the Red Sox as with the Dodgers. They played late last night but they do get the benefit at being at home. Trent Thornton has a 4.85 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.75 ERA on the year. He has identical splits, allowing batters to slash to a .332 wOBA, .321 BABIP, and .444 SLG. Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4100 FD|$5500 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4800 DK), and Christian Vazquez ($2900 FD|$4700 DK).Honorable MentionHouston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 RunsPreferred Stack: Alex Bregman ($4200 FD|$4400 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Michael Brantley ($3900 FD|$4000 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4200 DK).Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 RunsPreferred Stack: Freddy Galvis ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), Eric Sogard ($3300 FD|$4700 DK), and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5300 DK).PitchingRHP Adam Plutko vs. DET: 4.20 RunsRHP Lucas Giolito vs. KCR: 4.40 RunsLHP James Paxton vs. TAM: 4.00 RunsFollow us on Twitter! 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB DFS Top Hitters and Prop Picks for 7/15: Don’t Dodge the Tribe Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis This is my first DFS hitting article after the break and I’m ecstatic to be back. What I’m really excited about is to get back into the prop groove, with another Monkey Knife Fight pick for you. With the Rockies and Giants playing a doubleheader, we’re going to avoid that game. You all know that the bats are in play at Coors Field, so let’s find you some other values around the Majors. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!Catcher Roberto Perez, CLE vs. DET DK ($4,100) FD ($2,700) It’s always tough to pick a catcher, but Perez makes for a great option with his recent form. Over his last 38 games, Perez has a .614 SLG and .980 OPS. Those are great numbers for anyone, let alone a catcher. What really makes him enticing here is that he gets to face a lefty, with Perez generating a .615 SLG and 1.018 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Daniel Norris is definitely a guy we want to stack against too, and we’ll go over that later in the article. First Base Justin Smoak, TOR at BOS DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900) Smoak is a guy that you need to keep an eye on for DFS purposes in the second half. This dude is literally the unluckiest hitter in the league and it’s just a matter of time before he sees some positive regression. That’s evident by the fact that he has a .513 xSLG and .389 xwOBA, which are way off his .413 SLG and .336 wOBA. That makes me believe that a hot streak is right around the corner and it could start against Rick Porcello. Not only does Smoak have a .374 OBP and .868 OPS against right-handers this season, Porcello is also providing an ugly 5.33 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Second Base Keston Hiura, MIL vs. ATL DK ($4,600) FD ($3,300) Hiura just usurped Travis Shaw as the second baseman for Milwaukee and it’s scary just how much potential this little masher has. Let’s start with his absurd minor league numbers, with Hiura generating a .330 AVG and 1.090 OPS at Triple-A this season. A .284 AVG and .882 OPS at the MLB level shows that it’s no fluke and it’s scary to think how good this guy can be. What we like here is that he gets the platoon advantage against Max Fried, who’s pitching to a 6.17 ERA and 1.80 WHIP over his last eight starts. Keep an eye on this guy for the future for both DFS and season-long formatsThird Base Josh Donaldson, ATL at MIL DK ($5,100) FD ($3,500) Donaldson has been in more of my articles than any other player and this increase in price shows that we’re doing something right. It’s actually getting to the point where he’s hard to trust but we can’t fade a guy who’s this hot. Over his last 27 games, Donaldson has 13 homers and 26 RBI en route to a .740 SLG and 1.125 OPS. That’s the MVP Donaldson that we loved in his days with Toronto and it’s clear that his power stroke is fully back. Getting to hit in Miller Park should only help, as that’s easily one of the best hitter’s parks in the league. Shortstop Corey Seager, LAD at PHI DK ($4,200) FD ($3,100) Seager hasn’t given us a whole lot of reason to use him in DFS this season but this price is too cheap for someone of his abilities. We’re still talking about a guy with a career .297 AVG, .364 wOBA and .844 OPS. That’s way too good for someone priced this cheaply and it’s just a matter of time before he starts raking. Getting to face a weak righty in a hitter’s haven like Citizens Bank Park is a good way to start a hot streak, with Zach Eflin pitching to a 4.78 xFIP and 1.30 WHIP this season. Outfield Joc Pederson, LAD at PHI DK ($4,200) FD ($2,600) Pederson has been mired in a bit of a slump but he’s always worth using against a right-hander. Joc leads off against righties, which is huge for a lineup that is projected for more than five runs. Pederson has been doing some serious damage when facing righties, posting a .556 SLG and .904 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. As we discussed in the Seager write-up, Eflin is not a guy we’re worried about either. Jordan Luplow, CLE vs. DET DK ($3,900) FD ($2,500) These DFS prices made my jaw drop to the floor and I’ll have more stock in Luplow than any other player on this slate. The simple fact is, Luplow destroys left-handers. In fact, the righty masher is posting a .417 OBP, .691 SLG and 1.108 OPS against southpaws so far this season. That’s why he typically bats cleanup in these circumstances and that’s huge against a guy like Daniel Norris. The Tigers lefty is pitching to 4.96 ERA and 1.42 WHIP and will surely struggle with Luplow. Eloy Jimenez, CWS at KC DK ($4,000) FD ($3,100) Much like Donaldson, I have been on Eloy for DFS purposes for over a month now. As someone who follows prospects closely, I can tell you that this is one of the greatest hitters in our game. That was evident when he posted an ISO in the .300 range at the minor league level while approaching an OPS of 1.000. The power potential is clearly there and recent results would indicate that he’s finally getting comfortable at this level. Over his last 26 games, Eloy has collected 10 homers and 24 RBI en route to a .624 SLG and .976 OPS. That raving success should continue against Jakob Junis, who is pitching to a 5.33 ERA and 1.45 WHIP so far this season. Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!Corey Seager/Cody Bellinger/Max Muncy Over 3.5 Hits This one is self-explanatory when looking at the DFS writeups, as the Dodgers are one of the highest projected offenses on this slate. Zach Eflin’s 4.78 xFIP and 1.30 WHIP is the main reason why and they should cruise to double-digit hits in a ballpark like CBP. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBDaily Fantasy Sports DFS Hitting Picks for 7/3: Swinger’s Party Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis We have a fascinating DFS slate ahead of us. What makes it so interesting is that we have games in Coors Field, Globe Life Park, Great American Ballpark and SunTrust Park. Those are easily five of the best hitting parks in the Majors and it should make for a ton of runs. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more! Catcher James McCann, DET at CWS DK ($4,900) FD ($3,500) McCann has quietly been one of the best catchers in the game and he’s tough to fade in this fantastic matchup. Facing Ross Detweiler is huge for anyone but especially right-handed batters. Not only does he have a 5.17 ERA and 1.61 WHIP dating back to 2015, Detweiler has also allowed right-handed bats to hit .300 against him while approaching an OPS of .900. That’s a scary thought against a guy like McCann, who’s posting a .406 OBP and .978 OPS against southpaws so far this season. That’s why the Tigers are one of the sneakiest DFS stacks of the day at their dirt-cheap price tags. First Base Joey Votto, CIN vs. MIL DK ($4,200) FD ($3,300) Many people assumed that Votto was done about a month ago but he’s been a different player since then. In fact, Votto is hitting .357 over his last 30 games while generating a .965 OPS in that span. That’s the perennial All-Star that we’ve become accustomed to and it’s clear he made some major adjustments to his swing. What we love here is that he gets to face a righty, with Votto providing an OBP and wOBA north of .400 against righties and an ISO above ,200 for his career. It’s a right-hander we definitely want to exploit in DFS too, with Jhoulys Chacin pitching to a 5.60 ERA and 1.52 WHIP so far this season. Second Base Jose Altuve, HOU at COL DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100) While it’s difficult to trust Altuve on FanDuel at this price, the DraftKings price makes him impossible to fade. We’re talking about one of the best pure hitters of our generation hitting in the best BABIP park in baseball. Coors Field caters to a hitter like Altuve, as he should finish this series with a couple of multi-hit games. What really adds to his intrigue here is that he gets to face Peter Lambert, who’s pitching to a 6.57 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. That’s really not far off of his ugly minor league numbers and why the Astros are projected for more than six runs. This $4,600 price tag on DK is really difficult to understand in DFS. Third Base Josh Donaldson, ATL vs. PHI DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000) Donaldson has re-discovered his power stroke over recent weeks and it’s hard to understand why these sites continue to price him so low. Over his last 19 games, Donaldson has seven homers and 14 RBI en route to a 1.010 OPS. That’s the MVP third baseman who used to do so much damage in Toronto and it’s clear he’s capturing some of that prior form. It’s the matchup that really makes him an enticing option here though in DFS, with Philly throwing out Nick Pivetta, who’s posting a 5.63 ERA and 1.52 WHIP this season. Shortstop Jorge Polanco, MIN at OAK DK ($4,400) FD ($3,800) We have to get at least one Twins player into our DFS article, as they could be the highest-scoring team on this slate. The reason is because they’re facing Tanner Anderson, who’s pitching to a 7.13 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. The simple fact is, this is a guy that was forced into the A’s rotation because of the Frankie Montas suspension and he’s simply not ready to face Major League hitters. That’s evident by his 6.26 ERA and 1.70 WHIP at Triple-A this season. Those statistics squarely put Polanco in play, as he is generating a .582 SLG and .978 OPS against right-handed pitching in the heart of this potent Twins lineup. Outfield Shohei Ohtani, LAA at TEX DK ($5,300) FD ($3,900) Ohtani has been one of the best hitters in the league since coming over from Japan and we have to love him in this situation. Not only does he get to work in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park, Ohtani also gets the DFS platoon advantage in his favor. Since joining the Angels last season, Ohtani is generating a .629 SLG and 1.002 OPS against right-handed pitching. That’s huge against a regression candidate like Ariel Jurado, whose xFIP is nearly a run higher than his ERA. Eloy Jimenez, CWS vs. DET DK ($4,300) FD ($3,100) If you read an article of mine a month ago when I told you to buy-low on Eloy in season-long formats, you’re surely happy. After getting off to a dreadful start, Jimenez now has eight homers, 17 runs scored and 19 RBI over his last 19 games. That’s the stud prospect we’ve been waiting for all season long and it’s clear that he’s finally finding his groove at this level. What really makes him attractive here is that he gets to face a lefty, with Jimenez posting a 1.215 OPS against southpaws at Triple-A last season. That hasn’t quite shown yet at this level but it very well could against a guy like Daniel Norris. The Tigers lefty is providing a 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP this season, which is pretty much the guy we’ve seen throughout his disappointing career. Jordan Luplow, CLE at KC DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900) If you don’t know already, Luplow is simply one of the best lefty mashers in the Majors. In fact, the Indians outfielder is posting a .714 SLG and 1.132 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. Those are obviously bonkers numbers and it really makes him attractive against a guy like Danny Duffy. The Kansas City lefty is providing a 4.74 ERA and 1.44 WHIP dating back to last season. His FanDuel price is really hard to understand, as he’ll be good DFS chalk. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 6/19: Blasting Baltimore Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis Wednesdays are always fascinating because of the games spread throughout the day and this slate is no different. We have six games during the day and 10 games at night, so we’ll try to get you some quality plays from both slates. If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @BartilottajoelIf you’d like even more information, check out some of our premium packagesCatcher Wilson Ramos, NYM at ATL DK ($4,400) FD ($2,700) Picking catchers is like pulling teeth but Ramos always makes for a solid choice. What really makes Ramos an enticing option here is that he gets to face a lefty, with the Mets catcher posting a .526 SLG and .989 OPS against southpaws since 2017. Those are elite numbers for a catcher and it looks even better when you consider the fact that Max Fried is pitching to a 7.98 ERA and 1.84 WHIP over his last three starts. Ramos is rolling right now too, hitting .338 over his last 23 games en route to a .984 OPS. Also Consider: Travis d’Arnaud led off against a left-hander on Tuesday and could remain a great value if he does that again against C.C. Sabathia. First Base Justin Bour, LAA at TOR DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700) Bour got sent down to the minors early on to find his swing and recent results show that it worked wonders for his bat. In his three games since the call-up, Bour has one double, two homers and five RBI. That’s the masher that we’ve become accustomed to in recent years and he’s simply too cheap in a matchup like this. The Angels square off with Aaron Sanchez, who’s pitching to a 5.04 ERA and 1.60 WHIP this season. Facing Sanchez means that Bour gets the platoon advantage in his favor too, with the slugging first baseman accruing a .491 SLG and .839 OPS against righties in his career. Also Consider: If you’re willing to pay up, Pete Alonso is one of the league leaders in home runs after going 4-for-4 on Tuesday and gets the platoon advantage against Max Fried. Second Base Kike Hernandez, LAD vs. SF DK ($3,200) FD ($3,000) Hernandez has been struggling recently but he always finds his way into the lineup against a left-hander. The reason for that is Hernandez is posting a .840 OPS against southpaws since 2017. This happens to be a lefty we really want to exploit too, with Drew Pomeranz pitching to a 6.43 ERA and 1.73 WHIP so far this season. That puts all of the Dodgers bats in play and Hernandez is one of the few guys who’s actually cheap on this roster. Also Consider: Cavan Biggio has four homers over his last five games and gets to face a lefty. Third Base Josh Donaldson, ATL vs. NYM DK ($4,400) FD ($3,200) Donaldson has made minced meat of lefties throughout his stellar career and now’s the time to hop on the train with his scorching-hot bat. Over his last eight games, Donaldson is 14-for-36 at the plate while providing two doubles, five homers and nine RBI. That equates to an OPS north of 1.200 and it’s clear that he’s finally recapturing some of his MVP form. Facing a left-hander should only help to keep him hot, with Donaldson posting a .382 OBP and .950 OPS against southpaws in his career. Also Consider: As you’ll see in our next write-up, we love the Oakland righties and that squarely puts Matt Chapman in play. Shortstop Marcus Semien, OAK vs. BAL DK ($4,400) FD ($3,600) The shortstop position is usually plentiful with tons of great options but this slate is rather tough. That’s why we’re going to go with Semien, who happens to be the leadoff hitter for one of my favorite offenses on the slate. The reason we like the A’s is because they’re facing Josh Rogers. Yeah, I don’t know who that is either but his 8.24 career ERA, 1.73 WHIP and 8:8 K:BB rate tells us everything we need to know about yet another terrible Orioles pitcher. That’s why the A’s are projected for more than five runs and Semien should be a huge part of that atop this lineup. Getting the platoon advantage is huge too and the fact that he’s posting a 1.115 OPS over his last 13 games only adds to his intrigue. Also Consider: Francisco Lindor is very pricey but he’s traditionally been better against left-handed pitching and gets to face a guy who’s only made one start in the Majors.Outfield Jordan Luplow, CLE at TEX DK ($4,500) FD ($3,000) This guy isn’t getting the credit he deserves, as Luplow is simply destroying left-handed pitching this season. In fact, the righty outfielder is generating a .719 SLG and 1.111 OPS against southpaws. That’s why the Indians typically bat him cleanup against lefties and we have to love that in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park. We’re looking a total of 11, as Vegas anticipates this being one of the highest-scoring games of the day. Joe Palumbo is not a guy we need to worry about either, making just one start at the Major League level. Khris Davis, OAK vs. BAL DK ($4,000) FD ($3,700) Let’s keep our A’s rolling. Davis is probably my favorite play on the board and it’s easy to understand why. Not only does this guy lead the league in home runs since 2016, he’s actually posting an ISO near .300 in that span. That’s absurd power and four homers over his last eight games show us that his power stroke is at full swing right now. Facing a weak lefty like Rogers is simply the icing on the cake, with KD posting a .998 OPS against southpaws so far this season. Eloy Jimenez, CWS at CHC DK ($4,100) FD ($3,100) This young stud has been one of the players I’ve written about most this season and recent results show us that we’re doing something right. Over his last nine games, Jimenez has six homers and 13 RBI en route to a .420 OBP and an OPS approaching 1.400. That power stroke and plate discipline are why he was one of the most touted prospects in the minors and it was just a matter of time before we saw this stud emerge at this level. Getting to face a lefty is a big plus as well, with Jimenez posting a 1.215 OPS against southpaws at Triple-A last season. Jon Lester is struggling right now too, pitching to a 7.59 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over his six last starts. Also Consider: If Chris Taylor bats in the heart of the Dodgers order, he’s definitely in consideration against Pomeranz at his dirt-cheap price. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB Win Daily On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 5/30 Louis Cangiano 5 years ago written by Louis Cangiano (Updated 6:26 pm EST)Okay, I found a nice one here! Although I originally liked Willy Adames and Avisail Garcia upon further review I will actually be playing Martin Perez. Don’t you love baseball DFS, one second i’m stacking the TB bats, the next i’m confidently playing the starting pitcher against TB. Well, here’s my reasoning for the sudden change in heart. Martin Perez actually is due for a big game. Tampa Bay has been striking out much more as of late (fourth most team strikeouts this week) and actually exhibit some pretty horrible splits against lefties, batting just .241 as a team with 178 strikeouts in 523 at-bats against opposing left handed pitchers this season. Martin Perez is my pitching GPP play today.(Updated 5:56 pm EST)Ben Gamel leading off, always a high upside play but just as easily can get you zero. I’m staying away, feels like a trap!(Updated 5:36 pm EST) Oscar Mercado and Jordan Luplow, love to see these guys in the two and four holes, where they can do some serious damage! Value with upside, man was I excited to see this! Nothing more to say, include these two value plays in the stack of the night! Cleveland is favored by -195 with an 8.5 under/over.(Updated 5:25 pm EST) Willy Adames is sitting in the cleanup spot at a $2,400 salary on FanDuel and a $2,900 salary on DraftKings. He faces Martin Perez who has very poor splits against right handed batters. Therefore Willy Adames AND Avisail Garcia (batting first) jump to the top of my projections tonight in terms of solid value. Don’t let Perez’s splits this year fool you! I know in a small sample size so far this season, righties aren’t too successful against Perez, but his three year averages indicate otherwise as he allowed a .309 BA to opposing right handed batters in over 1477 AB.Kevin Newman is batting in the leadoff spot tonight against Chase Anderson and a struggling Milwaukee bullpen that has allowed a 4.36 ERA over the past week, ranking them 19th worst in the league. Milwaukee’s bullpen has also allowed 110 RBI over the same span, ranking them eighth highest/worst in the league. So, the question is, will the Pirates get to see four + solid innings against the Brewers shaky bullpen? And the answer is, Yes. Not to mention the potential weather that could bring the starters off the field sooner rather than later, Chase Anderson has not looked well as of late. His last start was horrible against Philadelphia as he only lasted 4.0 IP allowing three earned. Anderson also exhibits reverse splits, meaning right handed batters hit better off him than lefties, despite the fact that Anderson is a right handed pitcher. Anderson is allowing a .250 BA to opposing righties and a mere .208 to opposing lefties. I like the right handed batters on Pittsburgh tonight starting with Kevin Newman but i’m just as high on Starling Marte and Josh Bell.More updated by the minute as lineups start coming in… 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB DFS Hitting Stacks for 5/30: Cleveland Clout Wes Anderson 5 years ago written by Wes Anderson Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 30th main slate action:Cleveland IndiansThe White Sox’s Manny Banuelos is a pitcher that we will want to get some exposure against. The left-handed pitcher has struggled this season as evidenced by his extremely high 7.71 ERA. Banuelos has a 5.07 SIERA and a 5.02 xFIP. The Chicago starter also is serving up 2.57 HR/9, making the Indians look like an excellent stacking option for Thursday. Admittedly the Indians’ numbers against lefties will leave something to be desired here but nonetheless this is still a matchup they should take advantage of. That is mainly due to Banuelos’ lack of success against right-handed batters. He is allowing a .323/.409/.606 slash line to righty bats in 2019.The obvious right-handed Indians are in play, of course. Carlos Santana (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,500), Jose Ramirez (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900) and Francisco Lindor (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,800) will be the big names to focus on.But some lesser known pieces maybe the real key to the Indians’ stack. Jordan Luplow (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,100) and Robert Perez (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,700) but have ISOs greater than .260 against left-handed pitching. Not only are they in position to take advantage of the matchup, but they also will provide some salary relief to your DFS lineups.Boston Red SoxThe Yankees’J.A. Happ has struggled with the long ball this season. He is allowing 2.16HR/9, so we are going to want some the Red Sox hitters in this one. You willwant to start with lefty killer J.D. Martinez (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,200).Martinez has a .500 ISO and a .512 wOBA against southpaws this season. OtherBoston bats to pick from include Xander Bogaerts (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000),Michael Chavis (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $5,100), Sandy Leon (FanDuel: $2,200DraftKings: $3,100) and Christian Vazquez (FanDuel: $2,400 DraftKings: $4,100).These Red Sox batters all have .300 or better ISOs versus lefties in 2019. Texas RangersThe Royals’ Jakob Junis is getting hit hard this season. He is allowing a 42.2% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in some serious damage done against Junis, as he has a 4.64 SIERA. Look for that damage to continue on Thursday. The Rangers have punished right-handed pitching all season. As an offense they have a .214 ISO and a .349 wOBA versus righties.When building your Texas lineups, you want to focus on the lefties first. Junis is allowing a .361 wOBA as well as 42.9% hard contact rate to left-handed batters. So, of course you are going to start the build with Joey Gallo (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,600). The slugger has a .333 ISO and a .434 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. You will also want to get some Nomar Mazara (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,400) and Hunter Pence (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,500) in your lineups as they both are lefty batters with ISOs over .300 versus right-handed pitching. Los Angeles DodgersThe Dodgers’ offense is in position to be the late-night hammer that your DFS lineups need to push across the money line. The Mets’ JasonVargas checks a lot of the boxes in terms of pitchers you like to stackagainst. First off, he has a 5.49 SIERA and a 5.79 xFIP. He also is allowingflyballs at a rate of 43.5%, owns a 49% hard contact rate and has a below leagueaverage 17% K rate. Vargas’ velocity is also low compared to the rest of theleague. His fastball has averaged 85.5 MPH in 2019.The Dodgers’ stack, of course, begins with Cody Bellinger (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800). The MVP frontrunner has crushed left-handed pitching this season with a .358 ISO and a .459 wOBA. Bellinger also owns a .377/.438/.770 slash line and a 1.209 OPS against finesse pitchers, like Vargas is.Other Dodgers to consider in this stack are Max Muncy (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,700), Chris Taylor (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,400), Enrique Hernandez (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,700), Justin Turner (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,200) and Alex Verdugo (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100). These five Dodgers’ hitters all have ISOs in the .200s versus southpaws this season.Good luckand happy stacking! 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
