RBC Heritage Preview: DeepDiveGolf’s Tournament Analysis, Weather, And Advice DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 1 week ago
RBC Heritage Preview: DeepDiveGolf’s Tournament Analysis, Weather, And Advice DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 1 week ago
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 9/25 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s nine-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!No weather that will likely impact play, and best hitting environments are in Baltimore, Cincinnati, Coors Field and Anaheim.MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Corbin Burnes ($11,100)He’s the top ace of the day with a fine matchup against the Mets, and will likely be the most popular for cash games. With an obnoxious, almost unheard-of 1.58 FIP and 2.34 ERA in line with his 2.31 XFIP, Burnes is having a historic season. His 12.59 K/9 is amazing, but it’s even more implausible when we consider the 1.82 BB/9 rate. The Mets just got flummoxed by Eric Lauer last night, and now they face a pitcher with a curveball/cutter combo that’s among the best we’ve seen over the past 20 years. Lock him into cash lineups and move on.Best GPP Play: Robbie Ray ($10,800)Ray has had two poor starts among his last three, but his regularity in the 45-70 point range this season means he’s the best GPP play on the board against the Twins in Minnesota. We could see some portion of the field move to Burnes given the recency bias of Ray’s last start. The Toronto ace shouldn’t have too many problems with the righty-heavy Twins lineup, and although they hit fastballs well, Ray’s is among the best in baseball. Adam Strangis goes through some of the same rationales in his excellent Starting Rotation article for 9/25, and while that mainly looks at DK pricing, the thought process only affirms itself even more on FD, where you have to choose one pitcher. Ray is the best GPP option considering price and upside.Contrarian GPP Play: Lance Lynn ($10,000)He’s a contrarian play based on the other two pitcher I’ve discussed, so if you really want to get different I don’t have a problem with using Lynn in large-field GPPs. For single entry I’d prefer both Burnes and Ray, but Lynn does have some upside in this matchup vs. Cleveland and still boasts ands nice 30-35 point floor because of his solid metrics (3.26 FIP and 27.8% K rate). The mases won’t be on him, so maybe he’s a good pivot in one-third to half your multi-entry lineups.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: San Francisco GiantsIf we can fit these guys, I think today is one of the days we have to play them. Brandon Crawford ($3,900), LaMonte Wade, Jr. ($3,800), Tommy La Stella ($3,600), Brandon Belt ($4,300) and Kris Bryant ($4,300) and Evan Longoria ($3,700) are not cheap, but I’m hoping we can find a way to get a full four-man stack in there with a couple of value plays from the Reds and a two more (one-offs or two-man mini stack). , Mike Yastrzemski ($3,800) is day-to-day after being removed from Friday’s contest with knee soreness, so keep an eye on who starts in the outfield. We may find a player like Alex Dickerson ($2,500) in a good spot at a reduced salary.GPP Value Stack: Cincinnati RedsThis just feels like a Reds day facing Erick Fedde, and they’ve got good hitting weather, a hittable pitcher, and a lineup peppered with enough value plays that will let us spend at SP without much discomfort. I’m looking at four-man combinations of the following hitters: Joey Votto ($4,100), Nick Castellanos ($3,800), Max Schrock ($2,100), Jonathan India ($3,500), Tucker Barnhart ($2,200), Kyle Farmer ($3,300) and T.J. Friedl ($2,100). And that’s in order of priority. GPP Value Stack #2: Seattle MarinersAngels SP Jaime Barria has an xFIP over 5.00, and we have a slew of relatively inexpensive hitters from both sides of the plate who match up well in this spot. Prioritize the 1-5 hitters, especially J.P. Crawford ($3,000), Ty France ($3,000) and Mitch Haniger ($3,600) and mix in guys like Jake Fraley ($2,000) and Abraham Toro ($2,400) if you’re tight on salary.Bonus Contrarian Stacks: Chicago White Sox, Baltimore OriolesMake sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBDaily Fantasy Sports MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 9/11 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s eight-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:10PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!No rain in the forecast but we do have winds blowing out in St. Louis for the Reds-Cards game — something to consider for Cincinnati GPP stacks.MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($9,700)We can chalk up his last outing (3 IP, 7 H, 1 K, 6 ER @SF) to a bad day, and his last start vs. the Padres yielded a solid outcome. The K rate is down a bit in 2021, but the walks are down, the ground ball rate has increased and the solid 2.31 ERA isn’t too far separated from the 3.18/3.59 FIP/xFIP combo. We’re looking at about a 35-40 point projections here, with a 50-point ceiling, and that’s good enough to make him the top SP for cash games and single-entry.Best GPP Value: Charlie Morton ($9,000)Morton looks like a solid value tonight against the Marlins, who have the second-highest team K% in MLB. The veteran’s upside probably even exceeds Buehler’s tonight given the matchup, and that upside comes with a built-in discount from the top two arms on the slate in Buehler and Luis Castillo. I’m not as interested in Castillo because of how he can get lit up, especially against a team filled with potent bats like the Cards, but he’d make for a semi-contrarian choice given that tougher matchup. Morton seems to fit the best and carry the highest chance of notching both a QS and W, so he’s my first choice for GPPs.Contrarian GPP Play: Luis Garcia ($8,300)Garcia isn’t a very exciting play, but if we need a leverage pivot with some upside, he’s probably it. His ownership should be lower than Morton’s, and he’s seen an uptick in velocity on his pitches lately. The problem is that he’s got a much lower floor than either Morton or Buehler, and while the price is severely discounted compared to DraftKings, he hasn’t notched double-digit Ks in any start this season despite a 10.41 K% because he rarely pitches six full innings.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Houston AstrosThe implied run total is well over 5, and the Astros have been red-hot offensively over the past few games, so we should start any stack off with Alex Bregman ($3,200), and then play some combination of Jose Altuve ($3,800) and Yordan Alvarez ($3,400), Carlos Correa ($3,500), Kyle Tucker ($3,200) Yuri Gurriel ($2,900) and value options Michael Brantley ($2,600) and Martin Maldonado ($2,100). There’s really nobody that’s out of consideration given the circular nature of this powerful lineup.GPP Stack #1: Chicago White SoxThe prices are still relatively affordable for the White Sox (even moreso on DK), with Luis Robert ($3,900), Jose Abreu ($3,800), Eloy Jimenez ($3,500) and Yasmani Grandal ($3,800) all in play for stacks against Red Sox projected starter Connor Seabold. Andrew Vaughn is just $2,300, and both Brian Goodwin ($2,200) and Yoan Moncada ($3,200) are in play as well. It’s simply a great spot for mixing and matching a few different four-man stacks of White Sox.GPP Stack #2: Cincinnati RedsMiles Mikolas doesn’t scare me one bit, and while the Reds are a dynamic bunch who can disappoint on occasion, I like the four-man stack of Jonathan India ($3,700), Nick Castellanos ($4,100), Joey Votto ($3,700) and Tyler Naquin ($2,700) the best among this bunch, with Eugenio Suarez ($3,200), Max Schrock ($2,100) and Tucker Barnhart ($2,400) the best of the rest. Bonus Value Stacks: Seattle Mariners, Minnesota TwinsMake sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 8/7 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!Some light rain in Baltimore, where I’m not looking at pitchers anyway, and some normal pop-up chances in Atlanta and Cincy, but nothing tumultuous that could PPD a game we’re featuring. Giddyup!MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Julio Urias ($10,000)Urias may not have the highest upside on the slate, but both he and a pitcher to be named later offer the best chance at safety in cash games. His solid July numbers (2.30 ERA, .264 wOBA, 20% K rate, 5.6% BB rate) portend a more steady stretch in the season’s second half. The scuffling Angels have hit just .216/.271/.342 over the past week and this should not be considered a get-right spot for the halos. I’ll be plugging Urias in about half my cash and a third of my GPP lines tonight and moving on to some value stacks.Best GPP Value: Yu Darvish ($9,600)Last week we discussed how Darvish has struggled in July and had a good spot against the Rockies and he got lit up (including yielding a HR to the opposing pitcher, German Marquez) for 5 ER — though he did rack up 8 Ks and 27 FD points. This time we have reason to expect he can improve on those numbers and hit the 40+ threshold we’re looking for in GPPs. Adam Strangis discusses Darvish’s matchup in the 8/7 Starting Rotation article and as usual it’s a must-read. Darvish has been a reverse-splits pitcher in 2021 because of the soft contact he induces against LHB, and with the D-Backs’ featuring a slew of lefty hitters and the team K rate at 23.6% (24.4% vs. RHP), he’s once again in a great spot for GPPs.Value Cash/Single-Entry GPP Play: Charlie Morton ($8,700)At one point, a matchup against the Nationals would have scared me off a guy like Morton, and there may still be some oblivious DFS folks who don’t take advantage of what we’re really getting on this slate with the veteran hurler in this spot. That’s a solid floor of around 30-35 FD points and the opportunity to notch 55-60+ points if he hits his ceiling. Over his past nine starts dating back to June 17, Morton has at least 25 FD points in every one, with four in the 45+ point range and three at 52, 54 and 64 FD points. The Nats have been decimated by injuries and trades and have only or two hitters that really frighten me, so I’ll have some shares of Morton in both cash and GPPs where I may need the extra $1,000 to $1,300 to squeeze in a potent stack.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Colorado RockiesThis idea that we don’t have to tell you to play hitters n Coors has been around for quite a while, but some days you need to reiterate just how high the team total for Colorado (or in many cases their opponent) is. Today’s the home team is in a really great spot against a talented but unproven starter in Jesus Luzardo that may not be ready for the Mile-High treatment. There’s a very good avenue to some decent value in fastball-mashing Brendan Rogers ($3,500) and Elias Diaz ($3,400) before we have to pay a premium for Trevor Story ($4,300) and C.J. Cron ($4,000), and we could always mix in a guy like Yonathan Daza ($3,000). It’s not a slate we need to overthink, and getting exposure to the Rockies is a good idea on a slate where they won’t garner that high of the ownership share.GPP Stack: Cincinnati RedsThey’ve been RED-hot as of late and just got Mike Moustakas back from the IL Damn near everybody in the lineup got in on the action last night, and now we’ve got a roster chock full of left-handed hitters looking to annihilate Mitch Keller and exceed the massive projected 6+ run total the Cincy crew is carrying into the slate. Moustakas is a ridiculous bargain at $2,500, while some of the usual suspects — Joey Votto ($4,100), Jesse Winker ($4,100), Jonathan India ($3,700) and Nick Castellanos ($3,500) — still feel underpriced somehow. Throw in Kyle Farmer ($2,900), who’s been on absolute fire in the second half (.421/.470/.671 slash line, 1.141 OPS with a 200 wRC+), and lefty Tyler Naquin ($2,900) — and you’ve got plenty of options to choose from.Contrarian Stack: Cleveland IndiansWith the majority of ownership heading to the Rockies, Reds and likley the Dodgers and Braves, I’m more than happy to give the future Guardians a chance to put up galactic numbers against a weak Detroit southpaw (Tyler Alexander) and bullpen. Getting exposure to the top four — Myles Straw ($2,600), Amed Rosario ($2,900), Jose Ramirez ($3,700), Franmil Reyes ($3,500) is optimal, and we can take a few shots with Harold Ramirez (2,400), Bobby Bradley ($2,500) and Oscar Mercado ($2,500) if we need some bargain plays. If we want to pay up for a top arm and fade Coors in some lineups, there’s a few cheap and potent bats on the Detroit end (facing the hittable Eli Morgan) to make this a full game stack! Let’s go DET-CLE!!Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports Betting Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 07/28 Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.Claim OfferToday I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. For those not familiar with this contest, you get to pick 3 players that you’ll think will hit a homer. Within the game there are different tiers you can play. .5 you will only need 1 homer to cash and that pays double. 1.5 you will need 2 homers and that pays 5x your entry fee. 2.5 you will need 3 homers and that pays 10x your entry fee. With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!Home Run BlastJose Abreu vs. Kris BubicAnytime that I see the White Sox face off against a lefty, using their bats automatically comes to mind. Tonight they get to take on a lefty who has been extremely hittable this year. On the year Bubic is has a 5.27 xFIP and a 39% hard hit rate. While his FB rate isn’t the higest at 33.3%, he has shown a tendency to give up the long ball with 5 in his last 20 innings of work. With Abreu we have someone that smashes lefties as he has a .329 ISO against them this year with a .377 wOBA. In looking at pitch mix, Abreu should see a healthy stream of fastballs and change ups tonight as they account for about 85% of the pitches that Bubic throws to righties. Over the last several years Abreu has a .362 ISO against change ups with an average distance greater than 300 feet. Confidence Level – HighJoe Votto vs. Zach DaviesDavies isn’t a guy that gives up a ton of homers. He’s only given up 3 in his last 23 innings of work. That said, Votto is on an absolute heater right now and the environment tonight should be prime for offense. Votto will see a mix of sinkers and change ups tonight. Let’s zero in on the sinker as he’ll see that about 40% of the time. Over the last 5 years he has an ISO of .269 with a 54% hard hit rate against right handed sinkers. Look for Votto to make it 5 straight with homer. Confidence Level – HighRowdy Tellez vs. Max KranickKranick doesn’t have a whole lot of experience at the Major League level so far, but from what we’ve seen he has a lot of work to do before he can be considered a solid pitcher. In just 3 appearances so far he’s pitched to a 5.71 xFIP due to a 48% fly ball rate and a 40% hard hit rate. The guy I’m going to attack him with is Rowdy Tellez. 1 – he has a great first name. 2 – he lines up pretty well with Kranick from a pitch mix stand point. He should see a mid 90’s fastball more than 50% of the time tonight. Against this pitch he has a .234 ISO with an average distance of around 330 feet. Look for him to pull one over the right field fence tonight. Confidence Level – MediumHome Run Blast Wrap UpAll three of the guys I’m picking on tonight have the ability to really get hammered tonight. Bubic is facing one of the best lineups in baseball against lefties and Davies is facing a Reds team that hits for a lot of power. Good luck and hope to find some homers with you! Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 4/10 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis We’ve got some live arms and potent bats in this edition of Aces and Bases focusing ONLY on FanDuel’s six-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET. There’s a couple of bad weather spots to look out for (BOS @ BAL & LAA @ TOR), both of which could offer some scoring opportunities, but we’ll give you some safer and more appealing options.MLB DFS: The AcesTop Ace: Ian Anderson ($8,600)Anderson gave up four hits, two BB and just 1 ER in his 2021 debut against these same Philadelphia Phillies on April 4, striking out seven batters in just 5.0 IP. He’s an electric young pitcher who’s shown us both bat-missing dominance in his career so far (11.57 K/9 in the first 37.1 IP over 2020-21). While it’s tempting to slot in Julio Urias ($10K on FD and a solid pitcher in his own right) Anderson has the most upside on the slate and should be locked into most of your builds.Best Value: Chris Paddack ($6,900)Paddack makes sense as a low-cost pivot from Anderson a slate without too many usable DFS arms, and it’s because he sports a low walk rate (5.5% for his career) and 9.46 K/9 rate over 203.2 major league IP. He gives up a few solo shots once in a while, and the 1.64 HR/9 metric is one of the more alarming ones on his resume, but strikeouts and preventing huge innings on FD are king, and that’s where he’ll give you more than any other pitcher at this price point. MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Dodgers vs. Nationals (RHP Austin Voth)There’s only one team in baseball with better offensive numbers than the Dodgers (and we’ll discuss them in a bit), but the Bashers in Blue boast a very respectable .377 team wOBA and 143 wRC+ through the first week couple weeks of the season, and they are deep – which means they can still bring the pain without a couple stud hitters. The low-scoring affair from last night is almost sure to see a turnaround tonight via the bats of Corey Seager ($4,300), Max Muncy ($3,300) and some other relatively low-cost secondary options in the lineups. With Mookie Betts day-to-day with a back injury and Cody Bellinger on the IL, we can take advantage of whatever mispriced bats slot into their usual spots and roll with the 1-4 hitters.Value/Contrarian Stack: Padres vs. Rangers (RHP Jordan Lyles)Using the Padres might be the contrarian route when most of the masses turn to the discounted Dodgers and value-packed Reds. I prefer the 1-4 hitters here, with three lefty bats against a right-hander who’s career .357 wOBA versus LHBs gives us something to attack with Trent Grisham ($2,500), Jake Cronenworth ($3,100) and Eric Hosmer ($3,700). Mix in No. 3 hitter Manny Machado ($3,400) at 3B or drift down to Wil Myers ($3,300) and you’ve got a slew of studs without breaking the bank.Value Stack: Reds vs. Diamondbacks (RHP Riley Smith)Virtually any four-man combination of the Reds 1-6 hitters today could yield massive returns against RHP Riley Smith. Righty-lefty doesn’t matter all that much with this bunch, as their best two hitters have been right-handed Nick Castellanos ($4,200) and lefty slugging Tyler Naquin ($3,400). We can expect a positive progression from Eugenio Suarez ($3,100), who always has double-dong potential, and veteran Joey Votto ($2,600), who comes at a massive discount in contrast to his career production. Rounding out the stacking possibilities are Mashin’ Mike Moustakas ($3,300), Jesse Winker ($3,000 – who normally leads off against RHP but is day-to-day with a calf injury) and the red-hot Jonathan India ($3,200), who had 10 hits in his fist 21 ABs of 2021.Good luck! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBDaily Fantasy Sports 7/26 MLB DFS: The Fearless Five (DK GPP) TimmySigs 4 years ago written by TimmySigs I’ve got five hitters for you to consider for the early 7/26 MLB DFS 11-game slate in DK GPPs, where it pays to be fearless and swing for the fences!7/26 MLB DFS – C Robinson Chirinos (DK $3,900) TEX vs. COLThe Rangers offense has been a bit slow out of the gate, but RHBsin that lineup have a favorable matchup vs. LHP Kyle Freeland. One fearless leftymasher who comes at a considerable discount is Chirinos – an ample power sourceat catcher and a guy who often flies under the radar in DFS. If you’re notpaying up for J.T. Realmuto (DK $4,800), Mitch Garver ($4,900) or ChristianVazquez (DK $4,300), Chirinos makes sense as part of a stack or as a one-off tosave a few bucks and get similar upside. *Note: Chirinos battled an ankleinjury near the close of camp and sat out Saturday but looks to be good to gofor today.7/26 MLB DFS – 1B Joey Votto (DK $3,800) CIN vs. DETSpeaking of discounts, Votto is a relatively inexpensive veteran slugger off to an uncharacteristically hot start, with a couple HRs in his first two games. I’m intrigued by the Reds stack against eminently hittable Spencer Turnbull, who’s been known to issue the occasional free pass and give up the long ball. Spend-up options include Anthony Rizzo (DK $5,000) and one-off Josh Bell (DK $4,900), and the punt-worthy Michael Chavis (DK $2,900) is available at both 1B and 2B – but I’m putting about half my GPP eggs in the Votto basket on the early slate.7/26 MLB DFS – SS Alex Bregman (DK $4,900) HOU vs. SEAThankfully, Bregman is available at both SS and 3B on DK, where there’s a few other guys I’d like to play at the hot corner. The Astros have the second-highest projected total after the Red Sox, and it’s a GPP priority to lock in Bregman and his eye-popping .417 career wOBA vs. LHP against Yusei Kikuchi, a southpaw with a home run problem. Xander Bogaerts (DK $4,600) got the day off Saturday but returns to the BoSox lineup this afternoon, so he’s a viable option as pivot from Bregman, in Boston stacks or alongside Bregman if you plug the latter in at 3B. Red-hot Didi Gregorius (DK $3,500) sticks out as a value option for the Phillies.7/26 MLB DFS – 3B Mike Moustakas (DK $4,000) CIN vs. DETI’d like to play both Reds 3B Eugenio Suarez (DK $4,500) and Moustakas on DK, but you have to take your pick since each player is limited to a singular position at the hot corner. While Suarez might see lower ownership, we can probably get our variance elsewhere, as the man who sounds like a delicious Mediterranean casserole comes in with the highest daily simulated projections in the Cincy lineup. He’s the anchor of a 1-2-4-5-6 Reds stack that won’t cost you a bundle, and his upside is similar to more expensive options like Josh Donaldson (DK $4,200) and Rafael Devers (DK $5,200).7/26 MLB DFS – OF Christian Yelich (DK $5,600) MIL at CHCI’m on board with using potent Reds leadoff hitter Jesse Winker (DK $3,500) and value option Shogo Akiyama (DK $2,000) – easy-to-fit stack components who could make or break the slate – but my favorite spend-up at OF on DK is Yelich, who annihilated RHPs to the tune of a .473 wOBA and 195 wRC+ in 2019. The Brewers star went 1-for-5 with a dinger in yesterday’s game and we could see the wind blowing out in Wrigley this afternoon. I’m also interested in seeing Joey Gallo (DK $4,300) solve the new roofed park in Texas, so I’ll be mixing in shares of him as well. Yelich is expensive, but my first few builds include him and all of the aforementioned players with Trevor Bauer and Carlos Carrasco at my pitching spots – two of the highest projected starters in the slate.ANOTHER NOTE: It’s also my 45th birthday today, so taking down one of the big GPPs on DraftKings would be the ultimate present! Good luck… and be fearless!Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @LouisLipps and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.Image of Christian Yelich courtesy of Erik Drost. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB Top Daily Fantasy Sports Hitters and Stacks for July 14th Marshall Rosen 5 years ago written by Marshall Rosen Let’s take a look at some of the MLB Daily Fantasy Sports Top Plays and Stacks for Sunday, July 14th. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. Marcus StromanFanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $4,300The Yankees’ catcher has a .316 ISO versus right-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez also has a .359 wOBA against righties. Sanchez should take advantage and keep crushing righties in this one.Value:Jason CastroFanDuel: $2,600Tony WoltersDraftKings: $2,900First Base –Joey Votto vs. Antonio SenzatelaFanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,300Votto has a .330 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. And now he faces a below league average pitcher in Senzatela in Coors Field.Value:Tyler WhiteFanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $2,700Second Base – Scooter Gennett vs. Antonio SenzatelaFanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,700Scooter is in a smash spot on Sunday. If he can’t go, plugin teammate Derek Dietrich. Dietrich has a .350 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.Value:Franklin BarretoFanDuel: $2,100Robinson CanoDraftKings: $3,000Third Base – Eugenio Suarez vs. Antonio SenzatelaFanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,000The Reds’ third baseman has a .231 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.Value:Giovanny UrshelaFanDuel: $2,900Marwin GonzalezDraftKings: $3,700Shortstop – Alex Bregman vs. Ariel JuradoFanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,900Bregman has a .934 OPS and a .393 wOBA against right-handed pitching in 2019.Brandon CrawfordFanDuel: $2,400Jose IglesiasDraftKings: $3,200Outfield – Charlie Blackmon vs. Tyler MahleFanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,400Blackmon is crushing right-handed pitching this season. He has a 1.068 OPS and a .437 wOBA against righties in 2019. Outfield – Yasiel Puig vs. Antonio SenzatelaFanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300Puig has a .235 ISO against right-handed pitching this season. Outfield – Yordan Alvarez vs. Ariel JuradoFanDuel: $4,200 Draftkings: $5,200Alvarez owns a 1.187 OPS against right-handed pitching in 2019. He also adds a 209 wRC+ against righties. Value:Marwin GonzalezFanDuel: $2,500Josh ReddickFanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $3,600Jesse WinkerDraftKings: $4,000Top StacksTampa Bay Rays:The Baltimore Orioles’ pitching staff is a mess. They own a league-high 5.78 ERA, while also allowing a league-high 172 home runs. And now the pitching staff is coming off a doubleheader on Saturday, so you know it’s going to be ugly today. The Rays, who have scored double-digit runs in two of three already this weekend from Baltimore, are in a great spot to capitalize again today as well as carry your DFS lineups into the green. Kansas City Royals:The Tigers’ Jordan Zimmerman will face the Royals on Sunday. Zimmerman owns a 5.34 SIERA and a 5.43 xFIP on the season so he should be no match for the Royals’ offense. The Royals could be a sneaky play on Sunday for your DFS lineups. Milwaukee Brewers: The Giants’ Tyler Beede has struggled in 2019. He has a 5.37 SIERA and a 5.24 xFIP this season. The San Francisco pitcher also is allowing a 41.8% hard contact rate and 1.61 HR/9. The Brewers have five regulars in their lineup that have greater than a .200 ISO versus righties. Milwaukee should have no problem putting up runs in this one and helping you win some cash in DFS. Houston Astros:The Astros’ offense has come alive in this series against Texas and we should expect more of the same on Sunday. The Rangers’ Ariel Jurado has a 4.73 SIERA and is allowing a 43.5% hard contact rate. Houston’s everyday lineup consists of five players with ISOs over .200 so look for another big day from the Astros’ lineup in this one. Be sure you get an Astros’ stack or two in your DFS lineups. Los Angeles Angels: The Angels’ offense has come out blazing here in the second half. And there is no reason to believe that stops today as they face Seattle’s Yusei Kikuchi. The Mariners’ pitcher has a 5.09 SIERA and a low 9.1% swinging-strike rate. He also is allowing 1.74 HR/9. You will want some Angels’ exposure in your DFS entries on Sunday.Oakland Athletics:The White Sox’s Reynaldo Lopez is a target for DFS stacking anytime he takes the bump. He has a 5.12 SIERA and is allowing flyballs at a 47.1% clip. The high amount of flyballs has led to him allowing 2.11 HR/9. Game StackCincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies:Any time Las Vegas pins a 14 on a game total you are going to want some action from that game in your DFS lineup. This one is no different. Target as many Rockies and Reds in your entries as possible. THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER@WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB DFS Hitting Picks for 7/3: Swinger’s Party Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis We have a fascinating DFS slate ahead of us. What makes it so interesting is that we have games in Coors Field, Globe Life Park, Great American Ballpark and SunTrust Park. Those are easily five of the best hitting parks in the Majors and it should make for a ton of runs. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more! Catcher James McCann, DET at CWS DK ($4,900) FD ($3,500) McCann has quietly been one of the best catchers in the game and he’s tough to fade in this fantastic matchup. Facing Ross Detweiler is huge for anyone but especially right-handed batters. Not only does he have a 5.17 ERA and 1.61 WHIP dating back to 2015, Detweiler has also allowed right-handed bats to hit .300 against him while approaching an OPS of .900. That’s a scary thought against a guy like McCann, who’s posting a .406 OBP and .978 OPS against southpaws so far this season. That’s why the Tigers are one of the sneakiest DFS stacks of the day at their dirt-cheap price tags. First Base Joey Votto, CIN vs. MIL DK ($4,200) FD ($3,300) Many people assumed that Votto was done about a month ago but he’s been a different player since then. In fact, Votto is hitting .357 over his last 30 games while generating a .965 OPS in that span. That’s the perennial All-Star that we’ve become accustomed to and it’s clear he made some major adjustments to his swing. What we love here is that he gets to face a righty, with Votto providing an OBP and wOBA north of .400 against righties and an ISO above ,200 for his career. It’s a right-hander we definitely want to exploit in DFS too, with Jhoulys Chacin pitching to a 5.60 ERA and 1.52 WHIP so far this season. Second Base Jose Altuve, HOU at COL DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100) While it’s difficult to trust Altuve on FanDuel at this price, the DraftKings price makes him impossible to fade. We’re talking about one of the best pure hitters of our generation hitting in the best BABIP park in baseball. Coors Field caters to a hitter like Altuve, as he should finish this series with a couple of multi-hit games. What really adds to his intrigue here is that he gets to face Peter Lambert, who’s pitching to a 6.57 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. That’s really not far off of his ugly minor league numbers and why the Astros are projected for more than six runs. This $4,600 price tag on DK is really difficult to understand in DFS. Third Base Josh Donaldson, ATL vs. PHI DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000) Donaldson has re-discovered his power stroke over recent weeks and it’s hard to understand why these sites continue to price him so low. Over his last 19 games, Donaldson has seven homers and 14 RBI en route to a 1.010 OPS. That’s the MVP third baseman who used to do so much damage in Toronto and it’s clear he’s capturing some of that prior form. It’s the matchup that really makes him an enticing option here though in DFS, with Philly throwing out Nick Pivetta, who’s posting a 5.63 ERA and 1.52 WHIP this season. Shortstop Jorge Polanco, MIN at OAK DK ($4,400) FD ($3,800) We have to get at least one Twins player into our DFS article, as they could be the highest-scoring team on this slate. The reason is because they’re facing Tanner Anderson, who’s pitching to a 7.13 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. The simple fact is, this is a guy that was forced into the A’s rotation because of the Frankie Montas suspension and he’s simply not ready to face Major League hitters. That’s evident by his 6.26 ERA and 1.70 WHIP at Triple-A this season. Those statistics squarely put Polanco in play, as he is generating a .582 SLG and .978 OPS against right-handed pitching in the heart of this potent Twins lineup. Outfield Shohei Ohtani, LAA at TEX DK ($5,300) FD ($3,900) Ohtani has been one of the best hitters in the league since coming over from Japan and we have to love him in this situation. Not only does he get to work in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park, Ohtani also gets the DFS platoon advantage in his favor. Since joining the Angels last season, Ohtani is generating a .629 SLG and 1.002 OPS against right-handed pitching. That’s huge against a regression candidate like Ariel Jurado, whose xFIP is nearly a run higher than his ERA. Eloy Jimenez, CWS vs. DET DK ($4,300) FD ($3,100) If you read an article of mine a month ago when I told you to buy-low on Eloy in season-long formats, you’re surely happy. After getting off to a dreadful start, Jimenez now has eight homers, 17 runs scored and 19 RBI over his last 19 games. That’s the stud prospect we’ve been waiting for all season long and it’s clear that he’s finally finding his groove at this level. What really makes him attractive here is that he gets to face a lefty, with Jimenez posting a 1.215 OPS against southpaws at Triple-A last season. That hasn’t quite shown yet at this level but it very well could against a guy like Daniel Norris. The Tigers lefty is providing a 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP this season, which is pretty much the guy we’ve seen throughout his disappointing career. Jordan Luplow, CLE at KC DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900) If you don’t know already, Luplow is simply one of the best lefty mashers in the Majors. In fact, the Indians outfielder is posting a .714 SLG and 1.132 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. Those are obviously bonkers numbers and it really makes him attractive against a guy like Danny Duffy. The Kansas City lefty is providing a 4.74 ERA and 1.44 WHIP dating back to last season. His FanDuel price is really hard to understand, as he’ll be good DFS chalk. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks from the King for July 2 Scott Engel 5 years ago written by Scott Engel Joe Musgrove looked better in June and his road numbers reflecta more positive DFS outlook. But he is always prone to a blowup start and couldbe in some danger at Wrigley Field tonight. I would opt for Anthony Rizzo at$4700 on DraftKings and Kyle Schwarber at $4100. Victor Carantini is just $3700if he is in the lineup. Kris Bryant is worth the $4800, as he is hitting .333with two homers and five RBI over the past week. Jayson Heyward (4800) ishitting .304 with three homers and 10 RBI in the past week. I will considerseveral Cubs as DFS GPP plays. Trent Thornton held down the Red Sox on June 21 in Fenwaybut I do not believe he will do so again at home, seeing Boston again in such ashort time span. Rafael Devers ($4,900) is hitting .556 over the past week andJ.D. Martinez ($4600) is at .529 with two homers and five RBI in that span.Jackie Bradley Jr. is at just $3600 and is hitting .500 over the past week andXander Bogaerts ($4800) is at .357 with two homers and six RBI. Brock Holt is at $3700 if he is in the lineup.The Rays will be facing Asher Wojciechwoski, who has not appeared in an MLB game since 2017. He has a 6.64 career MLB ERA. Tampa Bay offers some friendly priced DFS options. Willy Adames ($3900) is hitting .308 with three homers and five RBI over the past week. As noted in our Winners and Losers column today, Kevin Kiermaier ($3700) may be starting to heat up as well. Ji-Man Choi is just $3600 and Brandon Lowe is at $4200 for the lefty/righty split. Yandy Diaz ($4400) is always worth consideration when the Rays are in a spot to fare well. Zack Wheeler allowed six homers in five June starts with apair of two-HR games, so you should expect him to surrender at least twolongballs against the Yankees. Aaron Judge (4,300) , D.J. LeMahieu ($5300) andDidi Gregorius ($3600) have all homered twice in the past week. Judge andGregorious give you nice DFS exposure to a powerful lineup against an erraticstarter. Their prices are friendly after recent long injury layoffs. Chase Anderson’s first name is fitting because that whatopposing hitters seem to do to him often this year. He only has lasted past 5.1IP once. The Reds hammered him for six runs on June 21 and should “chase” Andersonagain to your DFS delight. Joey Votto is at just $4100 and is hitting .364 overthe past week. Eugenio Suarez is at a nifty $4200 and is hitting .364 withthree HRs and seven RBI over the past week. Jesse Winker gives you a lefty/rightysplit at $4000, and so does Scooter Gennett at $3900. Jose Suarez had a 5.57 ERA in four starts earlier this yearand now returns from the minors to face the Rangers. Joey Gallo ($5,500) is ishitting .328 with seven homers and 28 RBI vs. LHPs this year, and Elvis Andrus ($4,600)is at .317 with 12 RBI and 13 runs scored. Both hitters are worth spending upfor in DFS tonight. The Houston/Colorado game is very stackable in DFS tonight from both sides, as German Marquez is way more hittable at home. Houston prospect Jose Urquidy has pitched pretty well in the minors this season, so I lean to the Astros bats in this one. Yuli Gurriel ($4,100) is hitting .350 over the past week and Alex Bregman ($5,000) has hit .348 over that span, as has Josh Reddick ($4,200). You will have to check on the status of Gurriel, though, as an ankle issue caused him to miss Sunday’s game. Cleveland stacks will also be popular against Jakob Junis.Jason Kipnis ($3600) and Bobby Bradley ($3300) are some DFS salary saversthere. Minnesota bats will certainly get consideration againstDaniel Mengden, but the park factor may make it better to steer in some otherdirections tonight when the schedule is so full. Nelson Cruz ($4,900) ishitting .435 with three home runs and 10 RBI over the past week. Dodgers bats will get DFS play against Taylor Clarke, too,as he saw them just a week ago. Cody Bellinger ($5,700) homered against him andAlex Verdugo is a very good play at $4400.The Padres have been hot and should tear up Tyler Beede.Spend in DFS for Manny Machado at $5200. Eric Hosmer ($4,600) is at .481 withnine RBI over the past week. If Greg Garcia ($4,300) is in the lineup, he hashit .308 over the past week. Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the DayLet’s have some Subway Series fun here. In my DFS hitting outlook for the Yankees above, I indicated that Zack Wheeler could give up at least two homers. So he may not last long enough to go over 6.5 strikeouts. I will take the under. Wheeler lasted 4.2 innings last time he faced the Yanks and finished at six Ks. Paxton had his worst start of the year against the Mets last month, lasting only 2.2 innings with one strikeout. I’ll take the under on both in another high scoring Subway Series affair. Play MLB Props for tonight and get 100 percent bonus! 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/27: Lingering Love for Votto Cora Baylis 5 years ago written by Cora Baylis We’re 5-1 over our last six picks in Monkey Knife Fight recommendations, so let’s keep it rolling here!Catcher Gary Sanchez, NYY vs. SD DK ($5,500) FD ($4,200) If you’ve read my articles before, you know that I either pay up for catcher or punt the position. For this slate, we’re going to pay up for the best catcher in the game. It’s really hard to argue with Sanchez’s numbers, with the stud hitting 15 dingers while posting a .961 OPS so far this season. One would argue that his numbers should be even better when looking at his peripherals, with Sanchez posting a .449 xwOBA and .371 ISO. Both those numbers rank Top-5 in the league and we have to love him at home against a lefty. First Base Joey Votto, CIN vs. PIT DK ($3,700) FD ($2,900) This one may surprise some people but the Joey Votto hate train has gone too far. While he’s struggled mightily for over a year now, the track record is too good for someone priced this cheaply. We’re talking about a guy who has a career ISO near .220, an OBP over .420 and a wOBA north of .400. That means he’ll inevitably get better and recent results would indicate that it’s starting to happen now. Not only does Votto enter this matchup in the midst of a five-game hitting streak, he actually has multi-hit games in three straight. Getting to face a righty is the icing on the cake, with Votto posting a .436 OBP and .978 OPS against right-handed pitching in his career. Second Base Jonathan Schoop, MIN vs, MIL DK ($4,500) FD ($3,300) Using the Twins is always a good idea, as they simply have the best offense in baseball. In fact, Minnesota currently leads the Majors in runs scored, OPS, wOBA and xwOBA. While Schoop moves around in the order, that really doesn’t matter. The reason we really like him today is because he’s only $3,300 on FanDuel and gets the platoon advantage against Gio Gonzalez. Since the beginning of 2016, Schoop has an OPS just shy of .800 against southpaws. He comes into this matchup raking too, collecting four homers, eight runs scored and 10 RBI over his last six games. Stacking Twins is one of the best strategies on this slate and Schoop is a great piece to that approach with this friendly price tag. Third Base Miguel Sano, MIN vs. MIL DK ($4,400) FD ($3,900) Sano has quietly been one of the best power hitters in the league this season, as he’s absolutely destroying baseballs since coming off the IL. In fact, Sano actually leads all hitters with a .531 ISO, hitting two doubles and five homers in just eight games played. That’s obviously absurd power and it’s no surprise when you consider the fact that he has a .240 career ISO. We absolutely love Sano against southpaws too, with the slugger posting an OPS just shy of .850 against left-handers for his career. Shortstop Gleyber Torres, NYY vs. SD DK ($4,600) FD ($3,600) If you want to use Sanchez, it’s hard to fade Torres for a two-man Yankee choice. What makes Torres so intriguing is his unbelievable hot streak, with the slugging shortstop providing three doubles, eight homers, 13 runs scored and 13 RBI over his last 15 games. That makes these price tags hard to understand, as he should be $500 more on each site. Getting to face a lefty makes the prices even more baffling, with Torres posting a .576 SLG last season with the platoon advantage in his favor. OutfieldersYasiel Puig, CIN vs. PIT DK ($4,300) FD ($3,000) Last time we recommended Puig, he went yard, and we’re going to bet on him continuing his recent hot streak. Over his last 12 games, Puig has hit four homers while accruing 12 RBI. That’s a significant improvement after a nightmare opening month and Puig is actually known for getting off to slow starts. Getting to face Nick Kingham is what makes him so enticing on this slate though, with the Pittsburgh righty posting an 8.76 ERA and 1.99 WHIP so far this season. That’s obviously terrible and Puig is actually a rare guy who has opposite splits. That means we want to use him against righties, especially considering it gives him a much better chance at a steal while improving his hitting profile. Wil Myers, SD at NYY DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000) I’m one of those rare Myers truthers out there and he’s simply been much better than what people give him credit for. If you average his numbers to 160 games, we’re talking about a guy who’s averaging 30 homers and 30 steals over his last three years. That’s simply elite production and recent results indicate that he’s returning to that form. In fact, Myers has three homers and three walks over his last two games. Getting to hit in Yankee Stadium should only help him continue that form, as that’s easily one of the best hitting parks in the Majors. It’s not like New York is throwing out anyone we need to worry about either, with Luis Cessa and Nestor Cortes Jr. toeing the rubber for the Stripes. Eloy Jimenez, CWS vs. KC DK ($3,800) FD ($3,200) Jimenez’s early-season numbers don’t give us much reason to use him, but he looks like a different player since coming off the IL. Over his last five games, Jimenez has swatted three dingers. That’s the stud prospect we’ve all been waiting for and it’s hard to argue with the fact that he posted a wOBA north of .400 at the minor league level and an ISO well above .200. We really like that he gets to face Homer Bailey too, with the Royals righty posting a 6.13 ERA and 1.53 WHIP en route to an ugly .371 xwOBA. Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day Gio Gonzalez under 5.5 strikeouts vs. MIN Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!It was tough to find a MKF pick that I liked, but this Gonzalez prop looked too good to be true. The main reason we want to take the under here is because of this offense, with Minnesota sitting first in nearly every offensive statistic. That’s no surprise when you consider the fact they’re averaging 9.2 runs across their last 11 games. In addition, no starter has struck out more than six batters in any of the Twins last 18 games while 12 of them have had three Ks or less. Those trends, paired with the fact that the Twins sit with the third-lowest K rate in the Majors, puts Gonzalez in a tough spot, as he has a K rate below 20 percent over the last two years. This is bold but I don’t even think Gonzalez will get past three Ks. 5 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
