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Joc pederson

10/6 DFS MLB Picks: Two-Game N.L. Slate

5 years ago

written by

The 10/6 DFS MLB Picks is all about the National League Divisional Series. Get your Fantasy football lineups in and let’s focus on making the long green, diamond style.

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10/6 DFS Showdown

Using the FanDuel template, it’s 2x the points for MVP, 1.5x the points for All-Star and regular production for the three Utility spots. October is filled with unsung efforts, something to keep in mind when filling out the Utility roles. Look for players who’ve had success this season against a particular team, along with taking a gander of recent production. I’m a strong believer in OPS, more so if a strong OPS is bolstered with stolen bases.

Atlanta at St. Louis Showdown Picks

MVP (2x): Freddie Freeman, 1B, ATL, $9500: Slow start in the first two games, but he’s a .381/.458/.714 hitter versus the Cards this season with a pair of homers and six runs scored.

All-Star (1.5x): Marcell Ozuna, OF, STL, $8000: Went 4-for-8 in first two games of NLDS. Does have a pair of regular season homers off Atlanta pitching.

Utility: Brian McCann, C, ATL: Has produced 12.2 FanDuel points in the first two games. No homers but did have a .357/.412/.357 slash line against the Cards in the regular season.

Utility: Tommy Edman, 3B, STL, $7000: Scoreless in Game 2 yet had produced 43.9 FD points in his previous three games. Has a .929 OPS when batting second in the order.

Utility: Yadier Molina, C, STL, $5500: The pop may be waning, but Molina was an effective .284 when batting sixth with seven of his 10 homers coming from that spot in the order.

LA Dodgers at Washington Showdown Picks

MVP (2x): Trea Turner, SS, WAS, $9000: Three of his first four postseason hits have been for extra bases. Has a .511 slugging percentage at home and is 15-for-16 (93.7%) in stolen bases at Nationals Park.

All-Star (1.5x): Max Muncy, 2B, LAD, $8000: Owns a career homer off Nats starter Anibal Sanchez. Is more effective on the road, sporting a .939 OPS with 22 homers and 56 RBI outside of Dodger Stadium.

Utility: Howie Kendrick, 1B, WAS, $5500: Like Turner, Kendrick will be more valuable when at home. Went .374/.430/.638 (1.068 OPS) with 10 homers at Nationals Park.

Utility: Corey Seager, SS, LAD, $6000: Homered at Nationals Park this season. The pop was there in September (.938 OPS, seven homers). Is overdue for a breakout, so roll the dice and run with him.

Utility: Will Smith, C, LAD, $6500: Mashed righties to a 1.019 OPS with 12 of his 15 homers coming off them. Had four hits in six at-bats with a homer and two doubles at Nationals Park.

10/6 DFS Pitching Picks

1) Mike Soroka, ATL at STL (DK $7,500, FD $8,700)

The best of a pretty uninspiring quartet of pitchers, Sorka should be good for about 27-30 points at FanDuel and 14-17 points at DraftKings. His ability to keep the ball in the yard (0.72 HR/9) is bolstered by his low 2.11 BB/9 rate. Sorka is stingy when it comes to allowing fly balls (25.3%).

2) Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD at WAS (DK $8,900, FD $10,300)

Road ERA of 2.72 is solid, but it’s not the 1.93 ERA Ryu posted this season at Dodger Stadium. Goes from averaging better than a strikeout per inning at home to just 69 Ks over 89.1 innings on the road. However, Ryu allowed just one run in 14.2 frames of work versus the Nationals this season.

3) Adam Wainright, STL vs. ATL (DK $8,500, FD $5,700)

It’s easy to forget Wainright still averaged 8.06 K/9 and held batters to a 28.7% fly ball rate. The 41.9% hard contact rate is a bit concerning, but I’ll put faith in Wainright’s 3.38 ERA and 1.103 WHIP over 12 previous NLDS outings.

4) Anibal Sanchez, WAS vs. LAD (DK $5,500, FD $7,400)

Sneaky enough to run with. Sanchez has three starts of at least 40 points at FanDuel dating back to August 23, with two of his last three starts producing 40 and 46 FD points, respectively. The Dodgers will be hard-pressed to get solid contact off Sanchez, who limited batters to a 31.6 hard contact rate off him this season.

10/6 DFS Hitters

10/6 DFS C: Will Smith, LAD (DK $4,100, FD $3,400)

Off to a slow start in the NLDS, Smith is the best bet to score the most points at the position. I’d pay a little extra to assure his spot in the lineup. Again, keep in mind he did hit well the previous time he played at Nationals Park.

10/6 DFS 1B: Ryan Zimmerman, WAS (DK $3,600, FD $2,600)

Owns a .966 OPS versus left-handers. He’s going to offer enough value to allow DFSers to spend liberally elsewhere.

10/6 DFS 2B: Ozzie Albies, ATL (DK $4,400, FD $3,400)

I’ll pay just enough to get Albies and his 42.3% hard contact rate against Wainright. Albies also has a 25.5% line drive rate.

10/6 DFS 3B: Matt Carpenter, STL (DK $3,900, FD $2,900)

The oldest son of my high school baseball coach had two homers, five RBI and a 1.096 OPS in 23 at-bats versus Braves pitching this season.

10/6 DFS SS: Corey Seager, LAD (DK $4,000, FD $3,200)

Falls into my “I have a hunch about this guy” section of the 10/6 DFS MLB Picks.

10/6 DFS OF: Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL (DK $5,500, FD $4,200)

Slightly better OPS (.885) on the road than at home (.880). Acuna did hit 23 of his 41 homers outside of Atlanta.

10/6 DFS OF: Nick Markakis, ATL (DK $3,600, FD $2,800)

Has five hits in nine career at-bats versus Wainright (1.525 OPS).

10/6 DFS OF: Joc Pederson, LAD (DK $4,400, FD $3,300)

Potential to explode: Pederson has four games of at least 22.90 FD points since September 25.

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5 years ago 0 comment

9/12 DFS Hitting Picks & Stacks: Big Bats for Thursday

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

Today is thirsty Thursday, and I’m going to quench you with some easily digestible lineup selections for the 9/12 DFS main slate, which kicks off at 7:05 and has just seven games. We’ve got DFS stacks, one-offs and some standout options for GPPs, including one squad that’s bound to break through against a veteran hurler with limited stuff. Let’s go win some green!

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9/12 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Atlanta Braves at Drew Smyly

I’m going GPP before cash here and picking on a pitcher with a 2.16% HR/FB rate in Drew Smyly. You can stack Coors all you want in the afternoon slates (what’s with the 2-1 games, fellas?), but I’m looking to a talented Braves lineup that’s loaded with powerful right-handed bats and some left-handed hitters like Freddie Freeman who don’t crumble when a southpaw is on the mound. Atlanta carries a .331 team wOBA against LHPs and Smyly is eminently hittable. The classic 1-5 stack is in play, as are platoon bats Austin Riley (.291/.375/.745 slash) and GPP favorite Adam Duvall (if he cracks the lineup).

LosAngeles Dodgers at Dylan Bundy

Yup, I’m going right back to the Dodgers despite an anemicperformance last night against John Means, who’s a pretty good pitcher in hisown right. Dylan Bundy is a lot easier to attack from both sides of the plate(.398 xwOBA vs. LHBs and .391 vs. RHBs), so I’m not concerned about keepinganybody off. Lefties Joc Pederson, Cody Bellinger and Matt Beaty are all duefor offensive breakouts and Gavin Lux ($2,600 on DK, $2,800 on FD) and CoreySeager ($4,500 on DK, $3,600 on FD) are plenty affordable as well.

Houston Astros vs. Homer Bailey

His name is Homer, and these are the power-hitting Astros. I’m not trying to oversimplify things, because there’s plenty of data to support a blitz on Bailey –including a park shift that favors Houston over the veteran right-hander. Bailey has yielded a .429 xOBA to righties since 2018 when pitching his home games in Oakland and Kansas City, and the Astros are at home and have bats from both sides of the plate that I want exposure to here, including George Springer, Jose Altuve, Michael Brantley, Alex Bregman and Yordan Alvarez. Value options include Aledmys Diaz and Abraham Toro, not to mention inexpensive catcher Robinson Chirinos.

9/12 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Washington Nationals at Kyle Gibson

Boston Red Sox at Clay Buchholz

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Jhoulys Chacin

9/12 DFS Hitting Catcher

Francisco Cervelli, ATL at PHI

DK ($2,700) FD ($2,300)

This is a pure value play considering the Braves have so much talent throughout their lineup and Cervelli does a pretty good job (.414 xwOBA) vs. LHPs. He’s a cheap fifth batter in Braves stacks on DK and makes for an inexpensive utility or C-1B play on FD — if you can stomach rostering just three other bats from this team.

9/12 DFSHitting First Baseman

Mitch Moreland, BOS at TOR

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,800)

You’re getting a great matchup in the middle of a stacked lineup for cheap price with Moreland. Big Mitch has BvP covered in a 4-for-8 small sample against Buchholz, who’s he’s homered against, and there’s plenty to like about going with this sneaky lefty at your 1B spot in a crowded GPP field focused on bigger names. Moreland has double-dinger potential and makes for a fine one-off or part of a Sox mini-stack.

9/12 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Nick Solak, TEX vs. TB

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,300)

Going right back to the well with Solak, who’s made me look good in this spot, and doesn’t command a very high price. The Rangers are probably only worth considering for a contrarian, large-field GPP stack because they’ve struggled against lefties this season (just a .308 wOBA and 82wRC+), but Solak offers a .379 ISO against LHPs and the venue is ripe for hitting. I’m not scared of Brendan McKay, even though he’s been able to whiff some bats here and there, and Solak is in the heart of the Rangers lineup with plenty of run-producing opportunities.

9/12 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Josh Donaldson, ATL at PHI

DK ($5,200) FD ($3,500)

Donaldson is historically good against LHPs with a career xwOBA of .XXX and he’s destroyed Smyly in 19 career ABs, including nine hits, three HRs and a 1.629 OPS. Whatever sample size you’re looking at, he’s a great play in a hitter’s park in that potent Atlanta lineup. He and Acuna will be the main focus of my Braves stacks.

9/12 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD at BAL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,600)

Even after a recent two-homer night, the price on Seager isaffordable and the slick young shortstop has resumed the No. 2 slot in the Dodgersorder. I’ve mentioned my affinity for attacking Bundy in Camden Yards, and thisslate provides an opportunity to get one of the highest upside shortstops (rightthere with Xander Bogaerts) at a cut rate.

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9/12 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Andrew Benintendi, BOS at TOR

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,200)

The Red Sox have been slumping at the plate, but Benintendi’s numbers over the past two seasons against RHBs (.405 xwOBA) make me excited to play him against Buchholz. There aren’t too many outfielders at this price point with as much run-producing upside.

Michael Brantley, HOU vs. OAK

DK ($4,300) FD ($4,000)

I have no qualms about you stacking the Astros outfield in its entirety and using both Alvarez and Springer, but if there’s one bat I’d lean towards as a one-off, especially if I’m building an expensive stack elsewhere, it’s Brantley. He’s always a little too cheap and offers plenty of upside with excellent numbers at home (.381 wOBA) and against RHPs (.207 ISO).

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at PHI

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,100)

Acuna has a .488 xwOBA and .277 ISO vs. LHPs this season andremains the premier leadoff hitter in the NL. He’s an essential part of myBraves stacks, sometimes gets ignored because of his lofty price tag, and isplayable in both cash games and GPPs for his solid floor and soaring upside.

Additional options:

C: Robinson Chirinos ($3,800 DK), Reese McGuire ($3,300 DK)

1B: Jesus Aguilar ($2,800 FD), Matt Adams ($3,400 DK)

2B: Cavan Biggio ($4,200 DK) Brad Miller ($3,000 DK)

3B: Kyle Seager ($4,300 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($4,700 DK)

SS: Bo Bichette ($5,000 DK), Xander Bogaerts (4,900 DK)

OF: Aristides Aquino ($3,700 FD), Philip Ervin ($3,300 DK),Jonathan Davis ($2,600 DK), Danny Santana ($4,700 DK) Jay Bruce (GPP option at 3,800on DK)

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/7 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

MLBMovingAvg 5 years ago

written by MLBMovingAvg

After poring over this 9/7 MLB DFS slate it seems to me as though we have one of them nights with several pitchers in great matchups, which for DFS purposes is like finding a needle in a haystack. So, with a whole day of baseball action ahead of us, and some tricky pricing, I bring you today’s pitching picks.

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On the Defense

JustinVerlander vs. Seattle Mariners

$12,500 FD / $12,400 DK

Justin Verlander usually comes at a high salary, and this9/7 MLB DFS slate is no different. So, unless you have access to a DFS paymentplan for salaries he is going to be tough to fit in tonight, especially on DK. Regardless,he is facing a Mariners team striking out 24.8 percent of the time versus RHPs.That last time Verlander faced the Mariners he had 10 strikeouts over sixinnings while only allowing one earned run. This is without a doubt the safestplay on the slate, and the most difficult to use.

JakeOdorizzi vs. Cleveland Indians

$8,900 FD / $10,200 DK

With Andrew Heaney only being $900 less on DK than Odorizzihe shines as the clear cut second SP1 option on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate. Despitethe tribe fairing well this season versus RHPs carrying a .329 wOBA, they stillwhiff more than 20 percent of the time. With Jake from State Farm posting a1.06 ERA with 19 strikeouts over 17 innings this season versus the Indians, Iam all in here tonight.

Tony Gonsolinvs. San Francisco Giants

$6,400 FD / $8,600 DK

Two things are self-evident on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate, TonyGonsolin is the first guy since Tom Selleck to make the moustache look goodagain, and his price on FD is extremely low facing a Giants team with a wRC+ of58 over the last seven days. Over his last 24 innings pitched spanning fivestarts, moustache Tony has only allowed five earned runs while striking out 19batters. This includes a start in Colorado. On DK tonight, with no Coors Fieldgame on the slate, I would try and find a way to pair him with Odorizzi leavingyou with $3,900 per player to start with.

AustinVoth vs. Atlanta Braves

$7,000 FD / $7,200 DK

Here is where we enter the high-risk portion of this 9/7 MLBDFS pitching article. Although the Braves are striking out 23.3 percent of thetime versus RHPs, they also post .328 wOBA which is 11^th in MLB. Theamount of innings Voth will pitch tonight is my biggest concern as he has onlypitched more than five innings twice in his first five starts. Luckily for usone was versus this Braves team where he struck out seven batters over sixinnings while only allowing two earned runs. I will be using hm tonight as mySP2 in GPP play.

JeffHoffman vs. San Diego Padres

$5,500 FD / $5,100 DK

Talk about a boom-or-bust GPP play on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate. Hoffman is facing a Padres team tonight striking out 26.5 percent of the time versus RHPs, with a low .298 wOBA. In his last state facing the Padres in Colorado Hoffman went five innings allowing one earned run with only two strikeouts. With an extreme park shift tonight in San Diego I am totally going to take a shot here and bat load a lineup or two.

Name	Team	W	L	SV	G	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	FIP	xFIP
Justin Verlander	Astros	17	5	0	29	193	11.98	1.63	1.54	0.202	34.60%	16.10%	2.56	3.41	3.31
Jake Odorizzi	Twins	14	6	0	27	142	9.63	3.11	1.01	0.296	35.10%	9.60%	3.61	3.66	4.54
Austin Voth	Nationals	1	0	0	5	23	9.39	2.35	1.17	0.295	40.60%	11.10%	3.91	4	4.64
Tony Gonsolin	Dodgers	2	1	1	6	28	7.07	1.93	0.96	0.222	45.10%	8.80%	2.89	3.68	4.71
Jeff Hoffman	Rockies	1	5	0	10	45.1	9.13	3.77	2.58	0.346	35.30%	22.00%	7.35	6.3	5.17

On the Attack

TylerBeede vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

After a tough loss last night in this historic rivalry, theDodger bats are going to come out swinging tonight. Beede has allowed four ormore earned runs in in five of his last eight starts, never surrendering lessthan three. With the Dodgers onlystriking out 20.9 percent of the time versus RHPs (26^th in MLB), anda .342 wOBA, Beede is going to get walloped.

Notable Bats

Cody Bellinger absolutely mashes opposing pitchersand is batting .316 over the last seven with two home runs.

Joc Pederson is batting .727 with five home runs andnine RBI over the last seven days while posting a wOBA of .379 versus RHPs.

Matt Beaty has been in a bit of slump as of late, batting .167 with one home run over the last seven days but comes at a reduced price and currently has a .372 wOBA versus RHPs.

Yusei Kikuchi vs. Houston Astros

In Kikuchi’s last two starts versus the Astros he has allowed nine earned runs over nine innings. With Houston coming in 1^st in MLB offensively versus LHPs posting a killer wRC+ of 138, which is a full 12 points higher than the Twins coming in at 2^nd, all bats are in play here.

Notable Bats

Jose Altuve has an incredible .486 wOBA versus LHPs,with a wRC+ of 215. He is a top play any night versus lefties.

Alex Bregman is batting .435 with a home run and sevenRBI over his last seven games while posting a .436 wOBA versus LHPs thisseason.

Robinson Chirinos comes in at a value most nights inan expensive Houston lineup. He also has a .400 wOBA versus LHPs with a wRC+ of157. Easily my top catcher play of the night.

DylanCovey vs. Los Angeles Angels

How about a pitcher who has allowed eight earned runs overhis last 4 2/3 innings, including a start versus the Tigers? Yup, here he is.With a whole lot of action heading towards the Astros and Dodgers offensetonight, the Angels should provide some value facing a scrub like Covey.

Notable Bats (besides Mike Trout)

Brian Goodwin may not be a flashy name but he doeshave a wOBA of .356 versus RHPs. He is also batting .333 with a home run andseven RBI over the last seven days while finding himself in the lineup on aregular basis as of late.

Kole Calhoun is another player that also comes in at a nice salary most nights and as a bonus has a home run off Covey in a small sample size. He also has gone nine straight games without putting one in the seats, which I see changing tonight in the cleanup spot.

Name	Team	W	L	SV	G	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	FIP
Tyler Beede	Giants	3	9	0	20	96.1	8.5	3.74	1.87	0.325	44.10%	19.40%	5.61	5.42
Yusei Kikuchi	Mariners	6	9	0	28	144.1	6.55	2.87	2.06	0.298	45.40%	19.50%	5.36	5.79
Dylan Covey	White Sox	1	7	0	16	52.1	6.02	3.96	1.89	0.291	41.60%	18.60%	6.88	6.1

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

With Beede in a tough start tonight in Los Angeles, and Bellinger having the ability on a nightly basis to draw walks, and mash baseballs, I am going with the over here.

Although Posey’s splits favor RHPs, he has yet to face mustache Tony, which often leads to an 0-for-something.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/5 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Wednesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/5 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/5 MLB DFS Winner: Zac Gallen

As both guys chose him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value pitcher, Zac Gallen dominated the San Diego Padres. Gallen went seven shutout innings, allowing just one hit with a walk and eight strikeouts. He did not allow a hit through 6.1 innings.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Zac Gallen has been nothing short of great since landing in Arizona at the deadline. He lowered his season ERA to 2.50 and has a .210 opposing batting average. Gallen is looking like a top-line starter after the Diamondbacks gave up Zack Greinke. Expect Gallen to continue looking good on the mound and build confidence going into next season.

9/5 MLB DFS Winner: Joc Pederson

Another value pick by both guys, this time in the outfield, Joc Pederson had a solid day at the plate against the Colorado Rockies. Pederson went 2-for-3 with a pair of homers, three RBI, three runs and a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Joc Pederson is one of the best hitters in the National League and possibly the entire Majors. Now at 32 home runs and an OPS of .872, Pederson has been on fire. In his last seven games, he has five homers. Expect Pederson to continue slugging throughout the month of September and keeping his swing ready for the NLDS and possibly beyond.

9/5 MLB DFS Winner: Brandon Crawford

Here is a screenshot of all the shortstops listed on our Hitter Projection Model, available for all premium users. With a very cheap price of $2,400 on FanDuel or $3,300 on DraftKings, Brandon Crawford excelled expectations last night against the Cardinals. On a bullpen day for the Cards, Crawford went 1-for-4 with a home run, three RBI, three runs and a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: It’s been disappointing offensively for a lot of the Giants and Crawford cannot be excused from that. He is now at .229 with 11 HRs and 54 RBI on the year while batting in the middle of the order. His price won’t waver from here and he will have a few nights of this sort of output, but he isn’t worth a look unless you need a budget guy in the lineup.

9/5 MLB DFS Winner: Ketel Marte

Here is a screenshot of the Top-10 most expensive players on the slate and while some could have burned you, Ketel Marte had a great day at the plate. The offense didn’t need to do much with how Gallen and the rest of the Diamondbacks pitched, but Marte went 3-for-4 with a grand slam and added a walk as well.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Don’t look now but the Diamondbacks are just three games out of a playoff spot and 9-1 in their last 10 games. Ketel Marte is a huge factor in how the team has turned it around lately. In his last 30 games, he is batting .361 with eight HRs, 23 RBI and added four stolen bases. He is showing off all five tools and won’t be stopped as Arizona, who were sellers at the deadline, are playing meaningful games. Don’t be too surprised if the Diamondbacks are in the Wild Card thanks to Marte’s extraordinary play.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/1 DFS Hitting Stacks and Picks: Cincy Bats Smylying

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

I feel as though there are a handful of teams worth targeting on this slate and we’ll provide analysis on why we like them and include player recommendations at the end. With that in mind, let’s get into our 9/1 DFS Hitting Stacks and Picks.

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9/1 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Minnesota Twins vs. Jordan Zimmermann

This is easily the best stack on the board. We get the top-scoring offense in the Majors facing a guy with a 1-9 record to match his 6.24 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Minnesota’s not only the top offense in the league, they also rank first with a .477 xSLG, .355 xwOBA and .349 wOBA. Don’t fade this team against a bad pitcher like Zim!

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Asher Wojciechowski

This is one of the sneakier stacks on the board, as I truly anticipate the Rays rolling right through Wojciechowski. While he got off to a good start this season, the Baltimore righty is pitching to a 6.75 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over his last six starts. While the Rays have a league-average offense when looking at the statistics, all of these guys are nice values in their respective price range with an implied team total north of five.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Drew Smyly

Smyly has simply been one of the worst pitchers in the league for years now and it’s truly hard to understand how he still has a job. A 6.95 ERA and 1.68 WHIP tells you everything you need to know, as that’s even tougher in a hitter’s haven like Great American Ballpark. This lineup is full of potent righties right now too, with Eugenio Suarez, Aristedes Aquino and Nick Senzel all breaking out in the second half.

Loa Angeles Dodgers vs. Peter Lambert

The Rockies are my favorite team but they may be the worst club in baseball right now. A major reason why is this pitching staff, with Peter Lambert being one of the worst pitchers of the bunch. His 6.63 ERA and 1.63 WHIP says a lot about how bad he’s been and that’s truly scary against a Dodgers lineup that ranks Top-5 in xwOBA, wOBA, OPS, OBP and runs scored.

9/1 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Chicago Cubs vs. Justus Sheffield

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Tyler Beede

Atlanta Braves vs. Jacob Waguespack

Cleveland Indians vs. Ross Detwiler

9/1 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yadier Molina, STL vs. SFG

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,000)

While the Cardinals didn’t find their way into the stacking section, they’re surely in play against Tyler Beede. The reason for that is because the Giants righty is pitching to a 5.56 ERA and 1.59 WHIP this season. That’s scary against a surging bat like Molina, who’s hitting .472 over his last 11 games en route to a .568 OBP, .889 SLG and 1.457 OPS.

9/1 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Ji-Man Choi, TB vs. BAL

DK ($4,100) FD ($2,800)

Choi might be my favorite play on the board in this brilliant matchup against Woja-whatever. What makes him an attractive option are his splits against righties, with Choi generating a .371 OBP and .860 OPS against right-handers since 2017. That’s why he typically bats leadoff or cleanup in these circumstances, which only adds to his value. All of that makes these price tags surprising, but his .455 AVG, .480 OBP, .818 SLG and 1.298 OPS over his last six games make them truly mind-blowing.

9/1 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Luis Arraez, MIN at DET

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,800)

While Arraez is the only Twin that I’m writing up, all of these guys are in play. The reason I chose him is because he’s a fantastic value. This dude has done nothing but mash since getting called up and it’s hard to understand this pricing. We’re talking about a hitter with a .333 AVG and .829 OPS in 67 games played. That’s truly scary for Zimmermann, especially with Arraez accruing a .353 AVG, .399 OBP, .485 SLG and .884 OPS against righties so far this year.

9/1 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Kris Bryant, CHC vs. SEA

DK ($4,200) FD ($4,100)

The Cubs just missed out on being one of the stacks of the day and the reason I didn’t choose them is because their prices are so high. With that said, I love Bryant no matter the price. This dude has been destroying left-handers all season long, to the tune of a .457 OBP, .702 SLG and 1.159 OPS. Those nearly match his absurd splits from last season and we definitely want to exploit a guy like Justus Sheffield, who’s got an unsightly 7.94 ERA and 1.94 WHIP.

9/1 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD vs. COL

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,300)

Let’s kick off this superb matchup against Lambert with one of the hottest shortstops in the game. Over his last 23 games, Seager has collected 14 doubles and three homers en route to a .294 AVG, .565 SLG and .894 OPS. That’s the stud that we’ve been waiting for all season long and we have to like him against a righty, with Seager amassing a .285 AVG, .523 SLG and .871 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season.

9/1 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Joc Pederson, LAD vs. COL

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,400)

Let’s continue our Dodgers rundown with their leadoff hitter. This dude has quietly had a bounce-back season and it’s hard to fade him anytime he faces a weak righty. So far this season, Pederson is accumulating a .520 SLG and .856 OPS against right-handers. What really adds to his value is the fact that he’s always atop the lineup in these circumstances and that’s huge for a lineup that’s projected for nearly six runs.

Nick Senzel, CIN vs. PHI

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,400)

We’re going to cap things off with the Reds outfielders. These guys have quietly been really good since the All-Star break and it’s definitely one of the sneakiest stacks on the board. While Aristedes Aquino is undoubtedly the best play, these next two guys are some great values. Let’s start with Senzel, as he typically finds himself batting leadoff against left-handers. That’s really no surprise when you see his splits, with Senzel totaling a .311 AVG, .370 OBP, .533 SLG and .903 OPS against southpaws so far this season.

Philip Ervin, CIN vs. PHI

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,400)

If you think those Senzel splits are nice, wait until you see these. While Ervin has yet to see a full-time role with the Reds, he’s always in the heart of the order against left-handers. You can see why when you realize that he has a .411 AVG, .468 OBP, .750 SLG and 1.218 OPS against southpaws this season. That’s truly horrifying for a terrible pitcher like Smyly and it makes these price tags truly mind-boggling.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/29 DFS Hitting and Stacks

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

I was excited to get you all some dingers from three out of my featured eight hitters for the 15-game Tuesday slate, but we’re aiming even higher for my second piece here at Win Daily Sports. Were building GPP stacks for the Thursday 8/29 DFS main slate, and we’ve only got six games on tap. While there’s an obvious game we want to use some hitters from, I’ll try to identify a few value plays so we can throw a potent stack or two in our GPP builds so your bankroll gets a boost.

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8/29DFS Hitting Catcher

JorgeAlfaro, MIA vs. CIN

DK($3,800), FD ($2,800)

We can only hope that Alfaro’s day off on Wednesday hasn’t cooled off one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the past week. Not only is he in the midst of a five-game hitting streak, slashing .524/.424/1.000 with three homers and four RBI during that stretch, but he’s got an excellent matchup in his home park, where he sports a 117 RC+ and .339 wOBA. You can use whomever is catching for the Pirates (Elias Diaz $3,400 DK or Jacob Stallings $3,300 DK) for a few bucks cheaper, but Alfaro should still be low-owned and has solid upside in this 8/29 DFS spot.

8/29DFS Hitting First Baseman

JoshBell, PIT at COL

DK($5,400), FD ($4,300)

Bell’s price is steep, and I wouldn’t dare belittlethe benefit of Clay Bellinger (who’s also OF-eligible on DK) here, but theallure of Coors is what’s drawing me in – along with a .426 xwOBA againstright-handers. The eminently hittable Chi Chi Gonzalez is on the bump for theRockies, and while he’s had more success at home than on the road, it’s a smallenough sample that I feel a market correction and stackable situation buildingfor the Pirates mashers. There’s plenty of 1B/2B/OF combos available if you mixin Bell with the Dodgers bats, so explore them.

8/29DFS Hitting Second Baseman

StarlinCastro, MIA vs. CIN

DK($3,600), FD (3B – $2,400)

On Tuesday we scored bigwith Jason Kipnis in a pitcher’s park here, and I’m looking for hidden valueagain with Castro, a classic variance-positive hero whose price never seems toelevate despite his wide range of DFS outcomes. He had a hand in winning me aGPP and $20K in the past, and I usually fare well by using him at home facingleft-handers. With Alex Wood on the mound and our fearless veteran infielder checkingin with a .405 xwOBA against LHP the past two seasons, I feel comfortable notingan additional BvP tidbit: Castro is 5-for-10 career off Wood. He’s cheap onFanDuel too, but he’s a 3B on that site so you can look to Adam Frazier ($3,600FD) at 2B there.

8/29DFS Hitting Shortstop

TrevorStory, COL vs. PIT

DK($5,600), FD ($4,300)

Story is the top shortstop on the slate, much like Xander Bogaerts was the top SS on Tuesday (ding-dong!!). You can save a few bucks by taking Kevin Newman ($5,100 DK, $4,000 FD) but that seems counterproductive when there’s enough value elsewhere to use the best. Sure, Story is better facing southpaws, but he’s carrying a .446 xwOBA against righties and a .434 wOBA at home over the past two seasons. He’s facing a good contact manager in Trevor Williams (87.5 aEV), but a lot of that goes out the door in Coors, where sinkers and sliders go to die. If you absolutely, positively can’t fit him, Manny Machado (3B/SS $4,100 DK) makes for a bargain upside option.

8/29DFS Hitting Third Baseman

ColinMoran, PIT at COL

DK($4,800), FD ($3,700)

Moran’s aggressive approach could fare well in this hitting environment, and he’s not necessarily going to attract too much ownership with a slew of other priority plays in Pirates stacks. The .405 xwOBA vs. LHPs is an appealing metric, and while he doesn’t have the raw power of some of the other 3B on the slate, including counterpart Nolan Arenado (.309 home ISO), he’s likely to be batting fifth after Bell and looks like the finishing touch on a full 1-5 DK stack. Again, Machado is an option on DK and on FD, where he’s just $3,500.

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8/29DFS Hitting Outfielder

JocPederson, LAD at ARI

DK($4,400), FD ($3,300)

Joc went deep a couple nights ago, and while I mentioned him as an option in my Jackie Bradley Jr. writeup, I didn’t dedicate a unique space for this inconsistent-but-exciting millennial masher. I love the matchup against Merrill Kelly (.413 xwOBA vs. LHBs), who’s shown marginal effectiveness but yields a lot of long balls. Pederson is leading off once again and that’s always nice on a team with an implied total over five runs.

8/29DFS Hitting Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN at MIA

DK($5,000), FD ($4,100)

I know – I’m clicking onway too hitters for a game in a pitcher’s park. But there’s not a ballyard thatcan hold the meteoric Aquino (.426 xwOBA vs. RHP) and he’s facing righty RobertDugger, who go rocked in his only Major League appearance on Aug. 5 in CitiField. We’d prefer Aquino face a lefty (.668 xwOBA against southpaws in 19 AB),but he might do that in the later innings after the Reds dispatch Dugger. Thereare loads of cheaper hitting options in friendlier confines, but I’m low-keyliking this Reds team facing the doe-eyed Dugger.

8/29DFS Hitting Outfielder

J.D. Davis, NYM vs. CHC

DK ($4,200), FD ($2,900)

Davis is batting thirdand gets a left-hander in Jon Lester, and that’s ideal considering his .476xwOBA and .359 OBP against southpaws. He’s also got a .308 ISO at home thisseason and could be entering another hot patch (3-for-8, HR in his last twogames). He’ll save you some salary and makes for a fine one-off or part of amini-Mets stack that includes Pete Alonso ($5,200 DK, $4,100 FD) and MichaelConforto ($4,500 DK, $3,300 FD).

8/29DFS Hitting Stacks

8/29 DFS Hitting Stack of the Day: Pittsburgh Pirates: No surprise here. The trick will be finding the right combination of Newman, Starling Marte ($5,800 DK, $4,200 FD), Bryan Reynolds ($5,300 DK, $4,100 FD), Moran, Jose Osuna (1B/3B $5,000 DK, $3,200 FD), Adam Frazier ($4,800 DK, $3,600 FD) and the starting catcher.

8/29 DFS Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Colorado Rockies: It’s possible to fit in a nearly full game stack in Coors without compromising pitching if we take advantage of the SD-SF game, so I’m bullish on using as many hitters from this 14-run total as we can. Charlie Blackmon ($5.700 DK, $4,400 FD), Ryan McMahon ($4,700 DK, $3,500 FD), Story and Arenado ($5,700 DK, $4,700 FD) are my preferred four in a matchup against Williams and his 5.22 xFIP. If Williams scares you that much, you can lean more heavily toward Dodgers bats or take a gander at the group below.

8/29 DFS Hitting Stack to Consider: Cincinnati Reds: Despite the tasty matchup against a rookie hurler, I don’t expect too many Reds stacks. Let’s look at the projected top five hitters here, including Aquino, Josh VanMeter ($4,200 DK, $3,000 FD), Joey Votto ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD), Eugenio Suarez ($4,500 DK, $4,000 FD) and Freddy Galvis (SS $4,100 DK, 2B $2,700 FD). Nick Senzel ($4,400 DK, $3,200 FD) could be sneaky as well, since he’s solid (.359 xwOBA) vs. RHP.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/6 MLB DFS Winners: Picks That Helped Us Cash Big

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

A 14-game slate yesterday with a few highlights from our team on the 8/6 MLB DFS Report. Initial scouting reports included are from Monday’s columns.

8/6 MLB DFS Winner: Vince Velasquez

Vince Velasquez had a solid start against the Arizona Diamondbacks last night. He went seven innings and allowed two runs on six hits with two walks and three strikeouts while picking up the win. Wes Anderson had this pick on the MLB Cheat Sheet article and his picks and those from our founder, Jason Mezrahi, are highlighted in this 8/6 MLB DFS Report . The Cheat Sheet has been on fire with winning picks and is available to Premium Gold subscribers.

Outlook: His next start is slated for Saturday afternoon on the road against the Giants. Velasquez just went five innings with two runs against San Francisco last time out. Look for him to have a similar outing.

8/6 MLB DFS Winner: Joc Pederson

Another pick by both men on the MLB Cheat Sheet as their value first baseman. Pederson went 2-for-4 from the leadoff spot with a homer, two runs, a RBI and a walk against the St Louis Cardinals

Outlook: Pederson has been ice cold recently, as he is posting a slash line of .130/.200./.304 in the past week. Let him bust out of the slump fully and fade him during today’s slate.

8/6 MLB DFS Winner: Mike Moustakas

Jason Mezrahi chose Moose as his value pick from the hot corner In the Cheat Sheet and Moustakas delivered. He went 1-for-4 with a home run, a walk, RBI and a run scored against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Outlook: Moustakas has been on fire lately as he has a .900 OPS in his last seven games. The Pirates are only ahead of the Rockies in the National League in terms of ERA with 5.00 thus far this season. Look for Moustakas to continue his hitting spree.

8/6 MLB DFS Winner: Jonathan Villar

Joel Bartilotta wrote the above paragraph in his 8/5 MLB DFS Hitting and Prop Picks and Villar showed up against the New York Yankees. From the leadoff spot, Villar went 4-for-5 while hitting for the cycle, two runs and two RBI.

Outlook: Villar has been hitting well lately, as he posted a .318 average in his last 15 games. He will be facing an opener in Johnathan Holder and the rest of the bullpen. The Yankees have a semi-rested bullpen and should cause some doubt about Villar continuing his hot play.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Batting and Stacks for 7/30

Clayton Richer 5 years ago

written by Clayton Richer

An almost full 14-game MLB DFS slate for the last Tuesday in July.

Catcher

We will be talking about this game more in the stacking section below but Coors Field looks like a prime place for MLB DFS bats tonight. Especially on the Dodgers side, as Kyle Freeland takes the hill for the Rockies. Freeland has been historically bad this season, with a WHIP of 1.58 and an ERA of 7.00 through 71 innings. Will Smith ($3,300 FD, $4,500 DK) not only gets the platoon split but also gets the advantage of not being well known by opposing pitching staffs.

First Base

Edwin Encarnacion, Diamondbacks at Yankees ($4,300 FD, $5,300 DK) has been hitting the ball very hard recently. I saw him hit a single off the Green Monster so hard Sunday night that he was almost thrown out at first base. Seriously though, this matchup against Taylor Clarke is a great one. Clarke has given up 11 HRs over his last seven starts.

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Second Base

Ryan McMahon, Dodgers at Rockies ($3,400 FD, $4,800 DK): McMahon, not Story, Arenado or Blackmon, has been swinging the best Rockies bat since the All-Star Break. Wait a minute, lefty on lefty matchup against Julio Urias doesn’t scare you in MLB DFS? Simply put it does not. McMahon has five HRs in less than 100 official ABs vs lefties this year and has a .780 OPS. His OPS against righties you ask? A remarkably similar .780.

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Shortstop:

Let’s go back to Coors Field for Corey Seager ($3,600 FD, $5,100 DK). Yes I know it is another lefty-lefty matchup but let me ask you: how long do you expect Freeland to be around? Take the discount, especially on FD, and be thankful you get such a quality bat at a discount at Coors.

Third Base:

Eugenio Suarez, Pirates at Reds ($3,600 FD, $5,200 DK): Another guy I had to keep scrolling down for to find on FD (that means he is a bargain!), Suarez has been hitting everyone since the All-Star Break. He is thriving at home, which is an extreme hitter’s environment, and against Joe Musgrove and the weak Pittsburgh bullpen, he must be salivating. You should be too, in MLB DFS.

Outfield:

J.D. Martinez, Rays at Red Sox ($4,300 FD, $4,600 DK), Cody Bellinger. Dodgers at Rockies ($4,900 FD, $5,900 DK) and Joc Pederson ($4,100 and first base??? on FD, $5,100 DK) are the three outfielders I am highlighting. J.D. is about as hot as any hitter in MLB DFS right now and the other two are at Coors on the wrong side of a platoon. However, I do not expect that to last long and they can hit Freeland anyway.

MLB DFS Stacks

Dodgers: At Coors against the worst pitcher on the slate? What can go wrong?
Angels: Didn’t highlight any batters here but I certainly could have. Someone named Drew VerHagen gets to toss baseballs to them. And then is followed by a bad Tigesr bullpen.
Yankees: Always in play. Tonight they get Taylor Clarke.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

The MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny For July 26

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

This Friday July 26th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

MLB DFS Bats: Yankees Bats Look To Bounce Back In Boston

Position Rankings and Values

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Catcher: Mitch Garver ($3,700 FD, $5,400 DK) and the Twins have put up 39 runs the past 4 games. Garver boasts a .322 IS0 and .395 wOBA vs right handed pitchers and is getting a hot bat lately. The opposing pitcher Dylan Cease does have some K potential but that doesn’t scare me in this matchup. Cease has given up a home run in every start of his young career which has helped contribute to his 6.19 ERA (small sample size). Garver is a great play at a position where I am having trouble finding much I like.

Catcher Value: Chance Sisco ($3,100 FD; $4,100 DK) is batting .291 ISO/.408 wOBA vs righties, and is at a reasonable price point on a thin position today. Griff Canning is all but guaranteed to give up multiple runs, even to the Orioles. Sisco comes through with a big swing every now and then and because of that, I’ll take him as my value one off today at extremely low ownership

First Base Stud: Joc Pederson ($3,600 FD; $4,700 DK) heads to Washington tied with Cody Bellinger for most home runs hit vs Righties on the Dodgers squad. This season Joc is hitting .387 ISO/.313 wOBA/.910 SLG vs right handed pitching. While opposing pitcher Anibal Sanchez’s stats are respectable, with 3.80 ERA/1.35 WHIP, he really has had an unusually easy schedule. Joc helps Bellinger and the Dodgers put the hurt on the Nationals tonight.

First Base Value: Sam Travis ($2,500 FD; $3,000 DK) is cheap and he hits lefties in a game with a 11 run team total. He has 2 homers in 30 ABs and bats .233 ISO/.325 wOBA vs southpaws. If he gets the start, he is worth a MLB DFS value play, especially if you stack the Red Sox.

Second Base: Gleyber Torres ($4,000 FD; $4,900 DK) The Yankees were embarrassed last night at Fenway when they gave up an all time series high run total (19) to the Boston Red Sox. They will be locked in vs the rival tonight. Torres is batting .305 vs righties, with a .394 wOBA, .233 ISO and .546 SLG. Torres contributes in multiple ways, if he isn’t the one hitting it in the bleachers he will be getting runs and RBI’s. Andrew Cashner is in for a short night here. He has a 7.36 ERA and giving up multiple homers is kinda his thing.. Yankees delivery in a big way.

Second Base Honorable Mention: Max Muncy (with Dodgers stacks)

Shortstop Stud: Xander Bogaerts: ($3,700 FD; $5,000 DK) Batting .315 with 23 homers and 80 RBI this season. He is the second best lefty hitter on the team, behind J.D. Martinez, and also hits behind him in the starting lineup. As far as BVP goes, Bogaerts checks that box too, with a .364 ISO, .380 wOBA vs the opposing James Paxton.

Shortstop Mid Range: Didi Gregoriuos ($3,700 FD; $5,100 DK) If there is anything I remember from playing DFS in years past it is play Didi when he gets hot. I fully expect Yankees to give Cashner nightmares tonight and Didi’s bat has recently come alive. He has a .371 wOBA and expect him to do his part on my Yankees stacks.

Third Base Stud: Yuli Gurriel ($4,000 FD; $4,400 DK) has four homers in his last six games. The Astros are almost at full health again and it is showing. Gurriel is batting .233 ISO/ .364 wOBA and faces Jack Flaherty who has avoided a blowup lately. However his opponents have not been particularly scary in the Reds, Pirates, Giants and Mariners. I think the Astros knock Flaherty out relatively early or at least bend him until he breaks before getting a quality start.

Third Base Value: Renato Nunez ($3,200 FD; $4,200 DK) This guy is hitting value every night and no one ever plays him. He has a .234 ISO/.340 wOBA vs righties and Griff Canning has been getting knocked around a bit lately. Nunes has three homers in his last five games and hasn’t put up a fantasy goose egg since July 14th. He has a safe floor with upside which is what we look for in MLB DFS.

Third Base Value: Maikel Franco ($2,700 FD; $3,400 DK) faces a quality pitcher in Mike Soroka BUT Franco is a vet who loves to break the Braves hearts. This is a low owned, value, gut play. Franco has just as many homers this year for the Phillies vs right handers as Bryce Harper and is batting .250/.443 SLG/.754 OPS. He is capable of a big night.

Outfield Stud: JD Martinez ($4,100 FD; $4,500 DK) He owns lefties with a .405 ISO/.494 wOBA. This series feels like it is going to continue to be explosive and I expect the Red Sox do their part on the scoreboard. I like the Xander/Martinez/Devers mini stack

Outfield Stud: Cody Bellinger ($4,700 FD; $5,600 DK). There is nothing not to like here with Bellinger. Batting .338 with a .371 ISO and .708 SLG vs righties, he is one the league’s most lethal bats. Anibal Sanchez has been pitching over his head lately, largely due to a “cupcake” schedule, and his numbers start to regress today. The last time Sanchez hasn’t gotten popped for a long ball it was all the way back on May 29th. I think the Dodgers pour it on here.

Outfield MidRange: Anthony Santander ($3,300 FD; $4,500 DK) is yet another Oriole doing damage recently and just not seeing a price increase. I have been playing him almost every night the past week or so and haven’t been disappointed once. I’ll keep rolling him out until the price catches up. Santander has four homer runs in his last six games and carries a .263 ISO with a .387 wOBA vs lefties. I’ll play him at no ownership for $3,300.

Outfield Value: Alex Verdugo ($2,900 FD; $4,000 DK) He is cheap, and batting in between two of my favorite plays on the day (Joc and Bellinger). He holds his own with 10 homers .202 IS0/ .350 wOBA vs righties. See above for why I think the Dodgers get to Anibal Sanchez.

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 17

Ethan Thiel 5 years ago

written by Ethan Thiel

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Nick Pivetta (PHI): 5.80 Runs

**Another game with rain out potential. At the moment it looks like the storms should hold off until after the game but i advise you to monitor the weather here as it looks shakey up and down the east coast tonight.

Nick Pivetta is on the mound this evening for the Phillies. He carries an average 5.81 ERA, 5.75 FIP, and 4.89 SIERA on the year. Pivetta has fairly identical splits, with batters slashing to a .360 wOBA, .530 SLG, and .340 OBP across 66.2 innings. He has given up 27 earned runs across 33 innings to right handed batters. He has also allowed 16 earned runs in 33 innings to left handed batters. The core of this Los Angeles Dodgers team is their left handed power and they have been tearing up right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .355 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 121 WRC+ over the last month to righties.

Boston Red Sox Stack

***Weather is a legitimate concern here, possible PPD. Pitching and bats risky. If you want to play a Boston stack, I would reserve it for GPP’s and monitor the weather.

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 6.90 Runs

The Red Sox get a lofty 6.90 implied run total in this matchup against Aaron Sanchez (surprising, I know) and this is one we cannot ignore. I know we have some weather concerns here, so tune in with our weather man Mark for updates as we get closer to lock. Aaron Sanchez carries an average 6.22 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.62 SIERA. Sanchez is allowing batters to slash to a .362 wOBA, .456 SLG, and .388 OBP across 97 innings. He has allowed 67 earned runs in that span. Aaron Sanchez is a ground ball pitcher, averaging a 48% ground ball rate. Although he doesn’t give up many home runs, he has a .330 BABIP and LOB of 66%. The Red Sox are slashing to a .374 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 131 WRC+ over the last two weeks to right handed pitching. These are the best hitting numbers on the slate by a long shot.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4200 FD|$5700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5600 DK), Andrew Benintendi ($3400 FD|$4500 DK), and Mookie Betts ($4300 FD|$5400 DK).

Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Jesse Chavez (TEX): 5.45 Runs

We have Jesse Chavez taking on the Diamondbacks in Coors South this evening. Chavez carries a 3.84 ERA, 4.51 FIP, and 4.24 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. He is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing righties to slash .353 wOBA, .519 SLG, and .329 OBP. He has fallen off recently after having a somewhat successful start to the year. I expect him to stay in this rough patch and we will see his ERA line up with close to his FIP as the season comes to a close. Arizona batters are slashing to a .300 wOBA, .161 ISO, and 82 WRC+ in recent weeks. These are by no means the averages I look for when picking my stacks, but I feel with the ballpark upgrade to the bats and Chavez’s recent struggles we could end up with a nice lower owned Diamondbacks stack.

Honorable Mention

Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Spencer Turnbull (DET): 5.78 Runs

Preferred Plays: Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$5000 DK), Carlos Santana ($4200 FD|$5300 DK), Jason Kipnis ($2900 FD|$3600 DK), Jose Ramirez ($3600 FD|$4400 DK). Jakob Bauers for value ($2900 FD|$3600 DK). Mike Freeman ($2100 FD|$3700 DK and Tyler Naquin ($2800 FD|$4000 DK) are also good value plays.

Washington Nationals

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (40-50 pitches) & RHP Gabriel Ynoa (BAL)

**Another trouble spot with weather otherwise I’d have them as the top stack. I think the game starts on time, but a good chance we do not get a full 9 innings.

Pitching

Chris Paddack (R) (SDP): 3.15 Runs
Mike Clevinger (R) (CLE): 3.27 Runs
Danny Duffy (L) (KCR): 5.01 Runs

Please check out our Daily MLB cheatsheet for more cash oriented plays.

5 years ago 0 comment

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