MLBDaily Fantasy Sports MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 7/10 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s six-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:15PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!No major weather issues except a little light rain in the Windy City, and that wind is blowing in tonight.MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($10,400)With Gerrit Cole still looking lost a bit without his trusty sticky stuff, Buehler probably makes the most sense as the top ace on this small slate. While Cole does has another narrative at play here facing his former team — one that simply doesn’t strike out at normal human baseball team levels — Buehler is the largest favorite on the board and is the clear choice for cash games. Adam Strangis, in his must-read 7.10 Starting Rotation article, cites Buehler’s two appearances this season against a punchless D-Backs offense that resulted in 14.1 IP, 18 K’s, two ER, and just six free passes. His MLB DFS upside isn’t nearly what we’ve come to expect from a top ace, but he’s the safest option on the board.Best GPP Value: Freddy Peralta ($9,900)Peralta gets the nod for best GPP value because he’s under $10K, but if you need the added savings that bad, you could give Joe Musgrove a shot against the road Rockies, The thing I like about Peralta is his very steady K production, which helps give him a daily FD points projection of over 40 just about every game. The Reds do a good job of putting the ball into play, especially on the road, where the team K rate is a few percentage points lower than at home, but if Fab Finger Freddy can avoid the walks and the big blow, this should be a W and another 40-45 points. Musgrove will likely come in with higher ownership and makes more sense for MLB DFS on a site like DK, where you need to start two pitchers, and one can be very chalky.Contrarian GPP Play: Patrick Sandoval ($7,700)If you really want to see some savings at SP in large-field MLB DFS tourneys and stack up the big bats from the Dodgers, Brewers or other high-team-total offenses, you might have some interest in Sandoval, who’s made some adjustments to his pitch repertoire this season and carries a respectable 3.86/3.85 ERA/FIP combo into this matchup against one of the worst offenses in baseball. The Mariners strike out at the third-highest rate in MLB and give Sandoval the opportunity to not only eclipse his 25-30 point FD projection, but have a ceiling game in the 40-345 point range. He whiffed 10 Seattle batters in his last outing against the M’s and yielded just one walk and 2 ER en route to 46 FD points on June 6.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Milwaukee Brewers vs. CIN RHP Vladimir GutierrezWhile the Dodgers bats are simply too cheap, they don’t seem to match up well vs. LHP Caleb Smith, who shut them out in 6.0 IP last time out on June 18. The Brewers, on the other hand, get to face Gutierrez — who’s given up 25 hits and 11 BB over his last 25.1 IP. “Kind of Bad” Vlad has done okay against lefties so far this season, but he’s been abnormally lucky, as his xFIP splits (6.41 vs. LHB) tell a different story. Look to some combination of the first six (also pretty inexpensive) bats here: Luis Urias ($2,600), Christian Yelich ($3,400), Jace Peterson ($2,600), Omar Narvaez ($2,500), Willy Adames ($2,700) and Avisail Garcia ($3,100). Yelich and Narvaez would be my two-man core if I had to pick a couple bats to populate more of my MLB DFS builds.Contrarian Stack #1: Houston Astros vs. NYY RHP Gerrit ColeThe Astros put the ball in play, and they’re at home against a pitcher who’s clearly not looking like his normal self. If they can get to him early, there’s massive GPP potential here in stacking some combination of these high-upside Houston bats, including: Jose Altuve ($4,200), Michael Brantley ($3,600), Kyle Tucker ($3,400) and Yordan Alvarez ($4,100) — who is 2-for-3 with two HR against Cole in his young career. I’m also willing to give a look to Martin Maldonado ($2,100) for some salary relief in a four-man stack that otherwise includes Altuve, Brantley and Alvarez. While it pains me to suggest stacking against my beloved Bombers on a short-handed slate, there just aren’t a ton of high-upside options to feast on tonight. I may have one Yankees stack as well, as Zack Greinke is long past his status as an MLB DFS ace.Contrarian Stack #2: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. ARI LHP Caleb SmithWe discussed how they’ve struggled against LHP and Smith this season, but they are very cheap compared to their usual salaries and the ownership shouldn’t be out of control since they aren’t the highest projected total on the board. Mookie Betts ($3,500) is probably the lowest we’ll see him all season, and there’s plenty of upside in the bats of Justin Turner ($3,000), Chris Taylor ($3,000), Cody Bellinger ($3,300) and Max Muncy ($3,700). I really like the direct cheap prices on Albert Pujols ($2,100) and Will Smith ($2,500) if they end dup in the lineup too.Good luck tonight, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Thursday – 6/24 Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 8 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. Pitching options are pretty limited tonight. However, we have a couple of pitchers with good match-ups that we can exploit. We also have 2 high powe... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Sunday Funday – 06/13 Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Sunday Funday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 11 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. Pitching today is far from what we call safe. We have a $12k Shane Bieber who is way over priced IMO. Today will be m... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Sunday Funday, 5/23 Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Sunday Funday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 10 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. Today’s slate, like many Sundays, is void of true aces. We have some decent pitching options, but none that I’m 100% confident i... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/15 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!Some scattered T-storms in the Colorado vicinity tonight, so we’ll leave that game off our discussion since I don’t have to tell you to deploy bats in Coors if the game looks like it’ll play. Let’s get to it!MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Trevor Bauer ($11,000)We haven’t seen the Bauer ceiling game in a while, and I suspect this could be the night facing the offensively challenged Miami Marlins. There’s no need for a ton of analysis here in determining the top arm of this slate, as Carlos Rodon is an option, but was initially scheduled to start Thursday against the Twins and was pushed back after experiencing back and hamstring tightness. Add to that the prospect of some ugly weather in Chicago and he’s just not nearly as safe as Bauer — although there’s plenty of upside if that game plays without delay. I’ll let that determination fall to the weather watchers, but for me, it’s just easier to build around the chalky but upside-laden Bauer against a Marlins team that hits poorly on the road.Best GPP Value: Ian Anderson ($8,600)For two Saturdays in a row, I’m going to be using Anderson in the hopes he can avoid the big inning and settle down a little sooner than his previous start. The price has come up a bit (from $7,900) since last weekend, but Anderson’s opponent has a team total under 4 and he’s capable of striking out 8-10 batters. I’ll be using Bauer as my go to SP in most of my MLB DFS builds tonight, but Anderson makes plenty of sense on a relatively thin pitching slate without many “sure thing” candidates for 40+ fantasy points.Contrarian GPP Value: Triston McKenzieDomingo German might get a bit of ownership in MLB DFS tonight, as the Yankees take on the Orioles, but McKenzie is coming off his first win of the season on May 6, so he’s rested and ready. While the addition of Jarred Kelenic has added some firepower to the top of the Seattle batting order, the Mariners have a relatively high K rate (26.3% — tied with the Marlins) and there’s lots of upside at this price point for McKenzie — who’s tailor made for FanDuel scoring with his high walk (8.37 BB/9 in five starts) and K rates (12.93 per 9 IP). If he can keep the M’s off the bases and avoid the big fly, he should make value and get you the 30-40 FD points needed to pay off his meager $6,900 salary.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Houston Astros vs. TEX RHP Dane DunningI actually like Dunning a bit in MLB DFS — he’s got swing-and-miss stuff and is coming off a career-high 10K performance against the Mariners on May 9 where he settled down his demons and got back to throwing his effective slider. Unfortunately, the Astros offense has just the kind of firepower and plate patience to make Dunning’s day a long one (or short one, if we’re being honest). The miniscule team K rate (18.7% — lowest in the majors) is a great indicator for stacking against pitchers like Dunning who rely heavily on the K to get outs. While Dunning has fared better against LHB in the small sample of 2021 so far, the Astros are littered with lefty mashers and righties who maintain high wOBA against RHP. Yordan Alvarez ($4,300) is the highest-priced bat on Houston, but I’ll be looking closely at the red-hot Kyle Tucker ($3,400) as well as standard stackers Jose Altuve ($3,800), Alex Bregman ($3,700) and Michael Brantley ($3,100). In his last six games, Tucker has 3 HR, 10 hits and 9 RBI.Value Stack: Philadelphia Phillies vs. TOR LHP Anthony KayThe Phillies offer a bit of a discount from the Astros, but the upside is almost as high facing a young lefty in a minor league park with a high ERA (Kay: 10.24, with a 5.59 FIP). Rhys Hoskins ($3,300), J.T., Realmuto ($3,400), Andrew McCutcheon ($3,200) and just about any other Phillies hitter — Jean Segura ($2,800), Alec Bohm ($2,400) stand out as solid value options — made sense last night and they do again today. I like a few stacks today (more on that later), but this could end up being a huge leverage play on a day where they might get lower ownership than expected.Contrarian Stack: Washington Nationals vs. ARI RHP Seth FrankoffIt’s hard to justify them as a contrarian play after they went off for 17 runs in Arizona last night, but some folks might consider it chasing ands other s will be naturally drawn to the Astros, Phillies and teams like the Indians (also a decent contrarian stack or one-off spot for one-off RHB like Jordan Luplow, Franmil Reyes and Jose Ramirez vs. SEA LHP Justus Sheffield). But the Nats are just loaded with hitters who are heating up like Trea Turner ($3,900), Juan Soto ($4,000) and Kyle Schwarber ($3,200), who has homers in consecutive games and went off for 40.4 FD points last night. Josh Bell ($3,000) and the underpriced Yan Gomes ($2,400) are solid options as well.Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/8 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s seven-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!Some nasty storms firing up later tonight in the area of the White Sox at Royals game but other than that no major weather concerns for the 7:05 slate.MLB DFS: The AcesTop Ace: Clayton Kershaw ($11,000)The pitching in the main slate is pretty ugly, though you should check out the deep dive Adam Strangis gave us in his 5/8 Starting Rotation piece for more info. Kershaw is the top spend of the main slate and I’ll probably be avoiding Lance Lynn and the chance for a weather-impacted start for the White Sox hurler in Kansas City. I do like one pitcher a lot more for GPP value, but it’s silly to think anyone has higher floor tonight than a future HOFer in Kershaw facing their Pasadena counterparts. The Angels — slightly below league average against lefties — have a low team strikeout rate (second-lowest in baseball at 21.6%), but they also have the lowest projected run total of the 14 teams that encompass this slate. Kershaw got knocked around by the Cubs on May 4 but threw just 39 pitches and should be plenty ready for a MLB DFS rebound on short rest.Best GPP Value: Ian Anderson ($7,900)Another solid pitcher looking to bounce back from a bad outing, Anderson didn’t fare well against the high contact Blue Jays in his last start, failing to get into one of his customary bat-missing grooves. But the Phillies have the second-highest team strikeout rate in the majors this year (27.9%) and that’s what I’m looking for on FanDuel, where “Ks are King” for SP in MLB DFS. Anderson whiffs over 10 batters per 9 IP, and he’s been plagued by an abnormally high HR/FB rate so far this season. Expect him to notch himelf 7-8 KS and stand a very good shot at a quality start/win with his Atlanta Braves standing at -170 to -180 favorites at home.Contrarian GPP Value: Garrett Richards ($7,400)Richards has shown the ability to strike out 10+ batters in an outing, which he accomplished against the Mets on April 27 in a monster 58-point FanDuel performance. The Orioles aren’t the pushovers they were a couple years ago, but the team K rate is still 24.6% and their measly team wRC+ of 89 is uninspiring from a DFS perspective. If you’re looking for an off-the-radar play with some upside as a pivot from chalk and the obvious GPP value that Anderson offers, Richards could be a fine MLB DFS leverage play who’s capable of 40-50 FP tonight. Over his past 12 IP, he’s struck out 17 batters to just one BB. MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Atlanta Braves vs. PHI RHP Vince VelasquezThe Braves have the highest total of the slate (5 runs) and while Vince Velasquez has been a dynamic pitcher in the past, his 2021 numbers aren’t great. His painfully high walk rate (6.38 BB/9) and high FIP/xFIP (6.13/4.62) could be a huge problem against an admittedly circular Braves lineup that features some of the best batters in baseball vs. RHP, including Ronald Acuna ($4,400), Freddie Freeman ($4,000), a switch-hitting Ozzie Albies ($3,300) and value-laden Austin Riley ($2,500). There’s also Marcell Ozuna ($3,500) and young C William Contreras ($2,800). The top MLB DFS guys from Atlanta are not chap, so I’ll probably make some different combos of four-man stacks with Anderson and a few with Garrett Richards.Value Stack: Houston Astros vs. TOR LHP Steven MatzI thought the Astros would be more expensive, honestly, but the pricing hasn’t caught up to just how hot Alex Bregman ($3,600) is getting. Bregman’s .420 wOBA this season vs. LHP is a number that’s actually come down since 2019 — when it was .430 from 2018-19. The team’s wRC+ is 124 over the past 14 days, a mark equaled only by the Yankees, who have seen their bats heat up behind a rejuvenated Giancarlo Stanton. Yordan Alvarez ($3,700) is a lefty who mashes lefties and both Yulieski Gurriel ($2,900) and Carlos Correa ($3,100) have massive HR upside in a lineup that produces lots of runs. Did I mention that Jose Altuve ($3,400) has four hits including a HR) in his last nine AB? Even Michael Brantley ($3,000) works just fine as a contrarian LHB play as the No. 2 hitter in a 1-4 stack here, and nobody’s price is too outrageous.Contrarian Stack: Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles LHP Zac LowtherWe know that Bregman mashes lefties, but only Nolan Arenado (.460 wOBA, but with the boost of Mile-High home games) and J.D. Martinez and his .457 wOBA ($4,300) have done more against LHP since 2017. Mrtinex makes foe a great anchor in a four-man Red Sox stack that also includes Rafael Devers ($3,500) — who boats a .410 wOBA in 30 AB vs. LHP this season — Xander Bogaerts ($3,600) and the sneaky Marwin Gonzalez ($2,400), if he gets another spot near the top of the lineups tonight. Stay tuned to see who gets the final nod in the Red Sox starting nine hitters, but a core of Martinez, Devers and Bogaerts is a great start against the inexperienced Lowther, who is bound to struggle against the Sox tonight in Baltimore.Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Sunday Funday – 05/02 Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Sunday Funday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 10 game main slate on Fanduel and that’s what we’ll focus on today. We have a healthy amount of pitching options today, some priced a little higher than I’d like. Bats, well those are ... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 4/29 DFSGhost 3 years ago written by DFSGhost Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have two 4 game slates to navigate through. Both slates today lack obvious pitching options. They each have 1 ace and then a bunch of blah supporting actors. If ever there was a day to either sit one out or play light, today’s that day. With that being said, let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The Early Slate “Aces”The pitching on today’s early slate leaves a lot to be desired. A case could be made for or against a handful of pitchersAaron Nola ($9.9k) vs. St. Louis Cardinals – Nola dominated this same team a couple of weeks ago w/ 10 k’s and a CG SO. Does that happen again today? Doubtful. But the Cardinals are a pretty right handed dominant lineup and righties are a “weakness” for them. They have a 26% k rate vs. righties this year and a wOBA of only .291. While I don’t think Nola has a game like he had last time out vs. this team, I do think he pitches well enough to bring some value to his salary.Jordan Montgomery ($8.1k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – The Orioles have a 27% k rate vs. lefties this season and only a .148 ISO. Montgomery was successful against the Orioles earlier this month and I don’t see any reason why he shouldn’t be again today. The one thing that is giving me caution with Montgomery is that he’s giving up a ton of hard contact this season. To the tune of 35.7% . Highest of any pitcher on the slate. Tread lightly with this one..Kwang-hyun Kim ($7.5k) vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Guess we have ourselves a pitcher’s duel in St. Louis today. Kim showed some serious upside last week with 8 k’s in only 5 innings vs. the Reds, while limiting them to only 1 run. There’s a small sample size on Kim this year but so far he’s pitched to a 2.82 xfip with a 14.4% SSR. The Phillies are k’ing 29% of the time vs. lefties this season. Kim’s ability to miss bats + the Phillies k’ing a ton vs. lefties could equal a nice success story. Similar to Montgomery though, the contact that he’s giving up tends to be hard contact. 33% for the year. Tread lightly with this one too…MLB DFS: The Early Slate BatsNew York Yankees vs. Jorge Lopez – Could the Yankees be heating up? They’ve scored 12 runs over the last 2 games. And they get to face a pitcher today that’s already given up 6 homers in only 17 innings. Over the past week some of the Yankees bats are really hot. Giancarlo Stanton ($3.4k) and Aaron Judge ($3.5k) both have wOBA’s over .400 in the past week and wRC’s over 5. 1-4 in this lineup should be popular this afternoon. Houston Astros vs. Yusei Kikuchi – If for some reason you are fading the Yankees today, the Astros present a good secondary option. Kikuchi hasn’t been missing bats. He has a 10.9% swinging strike rate which is second lowest on the slate. Second only to Lopez. He’s also given up 5 homers in only 23 innings of work. His 2 main pitches are the fastball and slider. I’m going to focus on the Astros success vs. the slider. Jose Altuve ($3.8k) and Alex Bregman ($3.6k) both have hard hit rates greater than 50% vs. this pitch and ISO’s over .230. Both of those guys will be main targets for me. This is an ugly day slate. I anticipate value opening up today so make sure to keep an eye on lineups. MLB DFS: The Main Slate AceTrevor Bauer ($11k) vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Bauer will be chalk tonight. On some nights, you just need to eat because there’s either no other option, or limited options. Tonight is the night to eat the chalk. Bauer is far and away the best pitcher on the slate with a matchup against a team that has a 27% k rate against his handedness. Really don’t need to dig in much to this one.Kyle Gibson ($9.2k) vs. Boston Red Sox – If you take out his first game of the season, Gibson has been one of the better pitchers in the game. He’s only given up 2 ER in his last 27 IP. While is xFIP is more than a run higher than his ERA, it’s still very respectable at 3.67. The majority of the power from the Red Sox comes from the right side of the plate. Gibson’s main pitch to righties is his sinker and the throws it nearly 44% of the time. Martinez, Bogaerts, and Hernandez all have low ISO’s vs. this pitch. When you switch to the left side, one of his main pitches is the changeup. Only Devers profiles well against this pitch. I could see Gibson continuing his solid performance tonight.These are really the only 2 pitchers I’m considering tonight. The only other person I’d even remotely consider is Martin Perez ($6K) vs. the Texas Rangers. MLB DFS: The Main Slate BatsLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Eric Lauer – Lauer makes his season debut today. Because of that, I don’t think he goes very deep. The good news for us? On the season, the Brewers bullpen has a 4.52 xfip. So we’d be going with a pitcher who had a 4.92 xfip from 2019-2020 to a bullpen that has struggled this year. The current lineup of the Dodgers has a .202 ISO and a .327 wOBA over the last couple of season to lefties. Betts ($4.4k), Seagar ($3.9k), Turner ($4k), and Smith ($3.2k) all have wOBA’s over .300 vs. lefties since 2019. Love the spot here for the Dodgers.Atlanta Braves vs. Adbert Alzolay – Alzolay hasn’t pitched as bad as his ERA looks. His xFIP is a full 2 runs lower than his ERA. This is just a bad matchup for him tonight. His main pitch is his 94 mph fastball. Let’s look at what the Braves hitters have done to this pitch if we look back all the way to 2016. Ronald Acuna ($4.3k) .289 ISO and a 57.5% hard hit rate, Freddie Freeman ($4k) .221 ISO and 51.72% hard hit rate, Marcell Ozuna ($2.6k) .269 ISO and 45.24% hard hit rate, and Ozzie Albies ($3k) .391 ISO and 48.28% hard hit rate. The backend of that stack is cheap. MLB DFS: The Main Slate Wrap UpLike pitching, I really only have 2 spots I’m in love with the hitting matchup. This too is an ugly slate and I’m already looking forward to tomorrow’s slate. Play light, play wise, good luck!Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBDaily Fantasy Sports MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 4/17 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis We’ve got some live arms and potent bats in this edition of Aces and Bases focusing ONLY on FanDuel’s five-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET. There are no bad weather issues but a possible COVID outbreak on the Houston Astros means we have to stay vigilant on news and have pivots at the ready!MLB DFS: The AcesTop Ace: Yu Darvish ($9,900)Kershaw is the highest-priced arm and the likely chalk, but I’d venture to say that Darvish has more contrarian upside in a home matchup against a team that’s not known for swing-and-misses, but doesn’t have a lot of experience facing Darvish. The Japanese marvel is notoriously tricky to solve and seemed at ease in his last two starts — and while Kershaw might be the preferred option in cash games, I’ll take the cheaper San Diego RHP in GPPs for some leverage on the field, since only a small percentage of DFS gamers will use pitchers against the “Boys in Blue.”Best Value: Dane Dunning ($8,000)I’m a little concerned about getting six innings from Dunning, and that seems to be where he’d max out at his current pitch count progression, but he’ striking out more than a batter per inning in three major league starts and the command for this 26-year-old RHP. He throws a nasty sinker that complements his four-seamer and mixes in a decent slider and occasional use of a change and curveball. The Orioles strike out at the second-highest clip in the majors this season and Dunning could offer the cheapest path to 8+ Ks and a quality start.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners (RHP Chris Flexen)The Astros have the fourth-highest team xOBA in baseball (.342) and shouldn’t have much trouble against the eminently hittable Chris Flexen. I’m most interested in some combination of the 2-6 hitters here, which could include Aledmys Diaz ($2,600), Michael Brantley ($3,600), Yuri Gurriel ($2,800), Kyle Tucker ($3,500) and Carlos Correa ($3,000). The prices are discounted a bit on these guys without Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman — who all hit the injured listed for undisclosed reasons, prompting rumors of a possible COVID outbreak. Stay tuned since there could be some news of a postponement or more players hitting that list.Value/Contrarian Stack: Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels (Jose Quintana)So far this season, Jose Quintana has had a very difficult time retiring the 27 RH batters he’s faced, and he’s clearly on the downside of his career when those splits tend to become a little more exaggerated. The Twins are loaded with relatively inexpensive powerful righty hitters like Nelson Cruz ($3,800), Josh Donaldson ($3,000), Mitch Garver ($2,400) and Miguel Sano ($2,800). I was on them last night and they didn’t deliver against Andrew Heaney — a solid pitcher in his own right — but I’m going right back to the well. Cruz alone sports an obscene .570 wOBA and .440 ISO vs. LHP over his last 63 games, and Donaldson, Garver and Kyle Garlick ($2,200) all mash against LHP.EDIT: The Twins-Angels game has been postponed, so remove any players associated with that game ASAP.Value Stack: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Trevor Cahill)It’s not one of those slates where you need to deploy a very inexpensive secondary value stack, but the Brewers strike me as a classic boom-or-bust GPP stack you might want to mix into a few large, low-cost tournaments for their upside and potent lefty bats, including Travis Shaw ($2,900), Omar Narvaez ($2,700) and Christian Yelich ($4,100), who’s missed four straight with a back injury but is still considered DTD. If he can’t go, Billy McKinney ($2,000) could get the start, as both he and Jackie Bradley ($2,400) have been used to spell Yelich. Also keep an eye on Daniel Vogelbach at just $2,100. If you’re looking to run a Pirtes hitter back against the group, I’d prefer 3B Phillip Evans, who’s been raking against LHP this season and hits out of the 4 slot.Good luck! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB MLB Strategy: Stacking for Cash David Jones 4 years ago written by David Jones Check out our MLB DFS Data-Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members. David Jones won 100K on FanDuel play MLB DFS! Read about it here!Tenacious Strategy Session: Stacking in MLB DFSIf you are completely new to MLB DFS or just need a reminder, you ALWAYS stack two teams. This means you want four hitters from two different teams to fill out your lineup. The only way I would possibly not do this is on a very short slate (ex. two-game slate, four teams).An example of a two-team stack would be one pitcher, four Astro bats, and four Braves bats.Why do you want to stack in MLB DFS? Why would you not try and pick the best player from each team like with NFL or NBA?The answers are because of all scoring correlates for hitters in baseball. If a hitter gets an RBI you also want the runner(s) on the base(s) who are going to score. For example, if the bases are loaded and your hitter gets a grand slam you get a ton of points for the four RBIs and the home run which is great! However, if you don’t have the three players on the bases that cross home plate during the grand slam you are missing out on three hits (or walks, depending on how the bases got loaded) and the three runs (that get hit in by the grand slam slugger). Not only are you missing out on these points, but it’s more likely than not your competition stacked this team and got the points you are missing out on. Therefore while you are moving up the rankings, you are still getting passed by the people who stacked making it near impossible to get first place. MLB DFS is very momentum dependent. This means if a pitcher is getting lit up momentum builds as players round the bases and the offense smells blood. Every batter wants a piece of the pitching and running up the score is on the table. Also, once a team is winning significantly, the bullpen is no longer putting in their best arms in an attempt to get a win. The BP may even let an unproven arm come in the game who is still developing and take his lumps while working through a high-pressure situation. This is a dream situation if you stacked against him. How do I know who to stack in MLB DFS?This is what I do. I pick my pitcher first. If your pitcher fails, you will most likely not be cashing so that should be your main focus. Once you have your pitcher write down your top six teams. I personally write down the starting lineup for each of the six teams I prefer and go through each eight/nine (depending on DH) hitters in the order they are batting. I cross out any batter that has bad (not average) stats against the pitcher (depending on if the pitcher is right-handed or left-handed). I mainly look at ISO, WOBA, Weather and Home Runs. I will glance at BvP (Batter vs Pitcher) but it is not something I focus on too heavily unless there is a clear advantage that has a long track record. Once you have the hitters you are considering from your top two teams see if you can fit them in a lineup with the pitcher you have selected. If one of your hitting combos in your second favorite team is not fitting then it does not work. You are going to need to move on to your next favorite team. Continue going through your preferred teams until you find a clean fit of the hitters you like. If you can’t fit your favorite team, that also means your competition won’t be able to either. Baseball is a high variance sport. Chalk in baseball tends to fail more than any other sport in my opinion. I hardly ever play chalk in baseball because of this. What order of the batting lineup should I stack in MLB DFS?Try and clump your batters together best you can in MLB DFS. If you can take the 1-4 hitters that’s great. 2-5 works, 3-6 works and so on. You can also skip a player you don’t like and do something like 1; 3-5, 2; 4-6. Do not stack a team by skipping too many batters for example 1,3,5,7. This does not tend to correlate well. You can even go the route of stacking 8,9,1,2. This will be lower owned because you are taking two guys from the back of the lineup however you are still getting batters that are hitting in order. There will be times where you try and stray from stacking in GPP’s. This is a mistake. Your main focus should be picking your pitcher and stacking two teams in MLB DFS and not getting cute and cherry-picking from teams. Below is my best example of stacking from last season. I chose my pitcher and stacked the Mets and the Indians. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. 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