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It’s the first round of the FedEx Cup Playoffs! The Northern Trust will feature the top 124 players in the standings, so plenty of great golfers for the tournament to choose from! Sia, Joel and Spencer give a full DFS breakdown and picks on the Northern Trust DFS Breakdown!

Sia Nejad – @SiaNejad

Joel – @DraftMasterFlex

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HCoIh1B6n8A

Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com

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The Northern Trust: Initial Picks

Sia

Welcome to the first round of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The Northern Trust features the Top 124 in the standings (125 minus Louis) and it is therefore a field that is packed with talent. This course will require all features of the golf game to be firing which means to be successful you’ll need to be good with the short and long game. We will talk plenty about course dymanics and metrics on tonight’s PGA Livestream with Joel and Spencer and myself so tune in at 8:00 EST for that. And now let’s get to the picks for The Northern Trust.

Jon Rahm (11500) – Just like anyone else, Rahm can sometimes have a bad putting tournament but he is absolutely elite in every other department.  Only thing that can stop this guy in 2021 is Covid.  Tough to play him at this price, but if that keeps his ownership down, I’m all aboard.

Jordan Spieth (10800) – The only knock on Spieth is that his long iron game hasn’t been clicking on all cylinders, but outside off that he checks all the boxes.  Last 36 rounds he’s Number 1 in this field in the following categories that I’ve put into my model:  BOB Gained, SG Par 5 and Draftking points.  He’s also inside the Top 15 in the following categories:  APP, PUTT, ARG, T2G, P4 450-500 and Bogey Avoidance.  He’s got the all around game you’re looking for.

Abraham Ancer (9400) – The only issue with Ancer in this tournament is that you’re obviously buying the stock at its height as he’s coming off a win at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude.  With that said, he’s been in good form for a while and has all-around game that we are looking for with the Ball Striking and the short game.

Scottie Scheffler (9300) – This guy hasn’t lost strokes ball striking since the Reagan Administration.  He’s also 2nd in this field in BOB gained over the Last 36 rounds. Plenty of upside here at The Northern Trust.

Webb Simpson (8900) – Webb was a pick of ours last week because he had great course history and because it looked like he had finally turned a corner.  He may not be the best course fit this week, but the corner appears to have been turned which makes this the right price.

Paul Casey (8700) – Seems like a very fair price for a golfer who is in great form and also has the all-around game to compete at this course.  He’s great with the long irons and is actually a much better scorer than most people think as the last 36 rounds establish:  15th in BOB gained, 2nd in SG Par 5, 8th in DK Points and 2nd T2G.  If he gets super popular then he may be relegated to cash only, but for now he can be used in both formats.

Jason Kokrak (7700) – Another golfer that has the upside to smash his soft price and who can pile up the DFS points in a hurry.  His main issue is the SG ARG, but even with that he is still inside the Top 20 in my model (with the upside to finish much higher than that).

Shane Lowry (7500) – Lowry has some flaws OTT and with the PUTT but he really makes up for it on APP.  If he can get things going OTT then I think he can be inside the Top 10 at the close of this tournament.  A GPP play with some upside here.

Brendan Grace (7200) – Much like Lowry, he can be a little erratic OTT, but he makes up for it with great APP play and he can sometimes get red-hot with the putter.  He has finished inside the Top 10 in 3 of his last 5 tournaments so the upside is there to finish high at The Northern Trust.

Charley Hoffman (7000) – He hasn’t played much golf at all lately and I think the time off will help him get back on track.  Hoffman is a consummate ball striker, and quite frankly, does everything well.  If he were coming in with some recent play and good form under his belt, he’d be priced 1000 dollars higher.  I’m happy to take this leap.

Charl Schwartzl (6900) – The DFS community is sophisticated enough to not jump off of a guy due to an MC, but we’ll need to wait and see what happens with Charl after his very poor showing last week.  He’s been in good form overall and I think he’s a value at this price in spite of burning plenty of lineups last week.  A GPP consideration only.

Hank Lebioda (6300) – the metrics are starting to slip a bit for this DFS Darling, but he still rates out as 50th in my model.  He’s pretty weak OTT but he rates out above average on everything else I looked at. 

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 42-12. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all Northern Trust lineup adjustments, late breaking news and weather reports.

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In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re aiming for a big payday at the Wyndham Championship – helping you find some winning teams in your contests!

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PGA DFS Course Notes:

  • Full tournament field of 156 golfers
  • Cut: Top 65 and ties play the weekend
  • Conclusion of PGA Tour regular season
  • Weaker field but a few big names – and a few guys looking to crack into Top 125 in FedEx Cup standings
  • The course: Sedgefield Country Club (Greensboro, NC)
    • Par 70: 7,130 yards – Donald Ross design
    • Fast Bermuda greens on a shorter course that yield lots of birdies
    • Tree-lined fairways make Driving Accuracy more important than distance
    • Not incredibly long, with eight par 4s between 400-450 and two reachable par 5s
    • The best round here is a 59 (by Brandt Snedeker in 2018’s Rd. 1), so we should expect receptive greens and low scores
    • RBC Heritage (Harbour Town) is still a good course comp (in terms of crossover success) and greens are comparable to those at Country Club of Jackson (Sanderson Farms)
    • Other course comps include the Sea Island Resort that’s populated by scores of PGA golfers and some TPC courses – including TPC San Antonio, TPC River Highlands, TPC Sawgrass, TPC Summerlin and TPC Deere Run
  • Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Birdie or Better %, SG: Putting (Bermuda), SG: Off the Tee, Driving Accuracy (over Distance), Par 4s Gained (450-500)

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Louis Oosthuizen (DK $10,700) – Coming off a disappointing T17 at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, Louis still has to be considered as one of the best ball strikers and putters in the field. Sedgefield isn’t one of his normal tour stops, so there’s also some concern if he can get into a birdie-making rhythm right away as he feels out this course. But he’s got the best 2021 numbers of anybody in the field and there’s no reason he can’t thrive here in the Carolina suburbs.

Update: Louis withdrew today, so we can pivot to Hideki Matsuyama in GPPs and/or eat the Webb chalk. But we can’t play Mr. Major Runner Up this week.

Webb Simpson (DK $10,600) – Webb is actually $600 cheaper than last year, which is great considering he’s rounding back into form with Top 20 finishes in his last two events – both against much stiffer competition. He finished T9 at the RBC Heritage and most importantly is a course horse and perennial threat to win here with top 3 finishes in his last four Wyndham championships. He’ll be chalky – so many contrarian-forward builders may opt for leverage by fading him in large-field GPPs – but he’s fine for cash and single-entry.

Jason Kokrak (DK $10,000) – I love Kokrak this week. He’s performed well here before with three Top 20s in his last four tries (including a T6 in 2019 and T15 last year), and 2021 has given him the confidence to win – not just place. His stat profile checks a few boxes this week too, as he’s 28th in GIR and fifth in SG:Putting this week.

Sungjae Im (DK $9,600) – It was great to hear Bettor Golf Podcast metrics guru Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) talk up Sungjae and his affinity for “short Bermuda tracks” on The Breakdown with Sia and Joel last night. Im is one of the first golfers I wrote down to cover this week and he’s at a solid price point for his accuracy and overall PGA DFS upside.

Also consider: Hideki Matsuyama, Will Zalatoris (GPP), Brian Harman

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Russell Henley (DK $9,400) – Henley isn’t knighting the world on fire lately, but he’s played well enough to notch top 20 finishes in the three tournaments bookended by MCs at the Memorial and Open Championship. Sia mentions in his Initial Picks article that Henley has solid accuracy numbers and elite SG:APP metrics, so we can definitely look his way in all formats.

Robert MacIntyre (DK $8,900) MacIntyre is making his first appearance at the Wyndham Championship this year, and he does an excellent job of staying out of trouble and giving himself opportunities to make birdies. At TPC Southwind, he posted four consecutive round in the 60s, and a second consecutive week on fats Bermuda greens could be a huge help.

Kevin Na (DK $8,800) – We haven’t heard his name much lately, and that’s usually when Na pounces for a top 5 finish – which he had the last time he played here in 2017 (T4). The WinDaily crew is mostly united in considering Na a sneaky GPP play this week, and while his viability in cash games leaves a lot to be desired, I may consider him for a low-cost, larger-field single-entry tournament and a bunch of lottery-ticket GPPs.

Rickie Fowler (DK $8,600) – He’s made three straight cuts and he should be able to make plenty of birdies on this golf course if he doesn’t force things off the tee and clubs down when appropriate. I’m not in love with the $8,000-8,500 range this week, so I’ll be paying up for Fowler on plenty of my GPP builds.

Mito Pereira (DK $7,900) – We’ve spoken ad nauseum about course history at this venue, but while there’s no course history to speak of with the swashbuckling Chilean, he just seems to handle whatever course designers have been throwing at him. Pereira is a huge bargain under $8K considering his talent and form, so we should get some exposure in GPPs at this price.

J.T. Poston (DK $7,800) – Poston missed the cut last year after dismantling this golf course when he won here in 2019. He’s playing well, with a solo second at the Barbasol and a T28 at the 3M Open. J.T. could be a solid GPP option if we can keep him around 20% ownership to stay well ahead of the field without going all in.

Talor Gooch (DK $7,700) – Gooch is good on birdie fests and he’s made seven straight cuts – an encouraging sign considering he’s traditionally not the most consistent golfer. The shorter course should help him hit less than driver and find more fairways this week, and he’s solid on approach and with his ball-striking T2G.

Harold Varner III (DK $7,500) – Varner is always comfortable returning to the Carolinas, is a solid ball-striker and was one of my favorite plays last year when he finished T7. This season he’s alternated good performances with bad, but I like his chances for another top 10 or 15 at Sedgefield.

Also consider: Matthew Wolff (GPP), Si Woo Kim, Seamus Power (GPP), Kevin Kisner (GPP), Kevin Streelman (GPP), Justin Rose (GPP), Lucas Glover, Patton Kizzire (GPP), Hank Lebioda (GPP)

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

C.T. Pan (DK $7,400) – I’m all over Pan in GPPs this week despite the occasional three-putt and missed opportunity that continues to plague his game. Watching him charge back into contention and finishing on the podium in Tokyo was a proud moment as I touted him quite a bit that week in my article and on Discord.

Rory Sabbatini (DK $7,300) There’s plenty of favorable course history (two of Sabbatini’s last nine top 10s came on this course in 2017 and 2019).and he’s the reigning Olympic silver medalists – so we know he can go low here. Sabbatini needs a decent finish here as he’s just 141st in the FedExCup standings, and the price is great for his upside.

Brendan Todd (DK $7,100) – Todd was $8,900 here last year when he was in the middle of a little heater, and while the game isn’t quite where it was last year, he remains a good fit for this golf course and could be a guy who benefits from the shorter layout and accessible greens. I’ll have some exposure in GPPs.

Ryan Armour (DK $7,000) – Joel’s BFF is streaky player who I wouldn’t touch in cash games, but has had lots of success at Sedgefield. Armour posted a T4 in 2017, T8 in 2018, T22 in 2019 and T25 last year. He was T5 at the Barbasol and T6 at the 3M before his MC at the Barracuda last week. I’m not nearly as excited to roster him as Mr. Shreck is, but perhaps maybe I should be.

Brian Stuard (DK$6,900) – The MC last week belies some stellar iron play over the past 12 sounds, and Stuard is checking the SG:APP and SG: OTT boxes this week because of his burgeoning accuracy. If his putter behaves this week on these fast Bermuda greens, he should be able to post some good scores on this shorter-than-usual PGA course.

Jim Herman (DK $6,900) – The veteran is a great course fit and coming off a week where he had some early success before faltering on the weekend. He’s also the defending champ at Sedgefield, so I’ll swallow hard and grab some exposure in GPPs. I don’t love playing him, but he’s a birdie-maker with upside who loves the track.

More value golfers to consider: Ryan Moore, Lanto Griffin, Chez Reavie, Patrick Rodgers (single-day and GPP), Chris Kirk, Matt Jones, Joel Dahmen, Bo Hoag, Mark Hubbard (GPP), Brice Garnett (GPP), Kramer Hickok (GPP), Francesco Molinari (GPP), Adam Long (GPP), Roger Sloan (GPP), Henrik Norlander (GPP), Chesson Hadley (GPP)

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Denny McCarthy (DK $6,400) – His form is awful but he plays well at this venue, with T9-T22-T36 in his three appearances here. That’s enough for 2 or 3 lineups in my 20-max builds.

Vincent Whaley (DK $6,400) – Whaley was playing super consistent golf until a six-event stretch where he missed four cuts in six tournaments. Last week he finished T9 and there’s something to be said for getting back on this consistent horse who debuted with a T37 at this course last year.

Tyler Duncan (DK $6,200) – Last year I had Duncan in my punts to consider and he finished T13, so I’ll give the wayward ball striker another shot this year in 1/20 GPPs.

Additional GPP punts: Fabian Gomez, Rob Oppenheim, Chris Baker, Brian Gay, Michael Gellerman

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The last week of the regular season wraps up in North Carolina at the Wyndham Championship. Some of the golfers will be chasing down the top FedEx Cup prize while others will be simply trying to get into the Top 125. This week we have a pretty straightforward course that will play short and relatively easy. I’ll be focused on hitting fairways, being great on APP and being a good putter. Distance OTT and ARG are not big factors this week. More on course dynamics and on all the players in the field on tonight’s PGA Livestream at 8:00 EST. Now let’s get to the Initial Picks for the Wyndham Championship.

Louis Ooshtuizen (10700) – King Louis has been playing very well and if not for a poor Day 4 at the WGC, he would have had his 4th Top 5 in a row.  Louis makes birdies, is a great putter and is great on APP.  The two main drawbacks are he can be a little erratic OTT (but I don’t expect that to be a problem here) and he has no course history whatsoever.  If you’re looking for pivots in this range I think Hideki and Zalatoris will be far less owned than Louis and Webb (below).

Webb Simpson (10600) – Webb has the best course history at the Wyndham Championship that I’ve ever seen (outside of Tiger Woods there is no golfer that dominates any course like Webb dominates this course).  His game has been a little off but it appears that he found some confidence last week and appears highly motivated to charge into the FedEx Cup playoffs with a Wyndham Championship win under his belt.

Russell Henley (9400) – I’m not inlove with this 9k range but I do think Henley sets up well for this course.  Other than an MC at the Open he has played well (Top 20s in the three tournaments prior to the Open).  Henley can keep it in the fairway, is elite on APP and appears to be rebounding from a stretch of bad putting. 

Seamus Power (8500) – Looking for a ball striker who has a recent outright win and is allergic to finishing outside of the Top 20?  Perfect!  He also happens to rank 2nd in the field in Birdie or Better Gained percentage over the last 24 rounds (Kizzire ranks 1st but not a part of this Initial Picks article).

Kevin Streelman (8300) – Not much by way of course history, but I like the course fit and specifically like his APP numbers.  The formula this week is to keep in the fairway, be great on APP (especially from 150-175) and get hot with the putter.  Streelman can do all those things.  He does carry some volatility so only a GPP play for me this week.

Charl Schwartzl (8100) – His weakness is typically ARG and that shouldn’t hurt him here.  His BS and finishing positions have been solid and he’s no stranger to a hot putter.  I should note that he doesn’t rate out very well in the more important proximities (125-175) and therefore I may consider him for GPP only, especially if he’s low owned.

Mito Pereira (7900) – Very impressive start to this young man’s career. His ball striking has been excellent and he simply needs an average putter in order to outperform his soft pricetag.  I should note the 7k range is rich with value and although Vegas and Kizzire did not make the Initial Picks cut, I do think they carry plenty of upside (my concern was staying in the fairway OTT).

Hank Lebioda (7600) – He had to WD at the 3M due to a family emergency but he was on his way to making yet another cut.  The ball striking has been good, the putter has been hot and he is 5th in BOB gained over last 24 rounds.  The finishes have also been great for Lebioda (3 Top 10s in a row prior to the 3M WD) and if he once again finds a hot putter, well, see you on Sunday afternoon.

Chez Reavie (7400) – Reavie has been inconsistent this season but should find comfort at The Wyndham Championship as it appears to suit his game.  With that said, his history here isn’t great so be careful.  I’m leaning on his ball striking (significant BS gains over the last 6 measured rounds) and hoping for the best with the putter.   

Ryan Armour (7000) – He checks quite a few boxes as he is a great Wyndham Championship course fit (keeps it in the fairway, good on APP and good with the putter), has good course history and is in good form.  He is a great value play here and likely to be popular.  If you’re interested in some pivots I think Brendon Todd and Doc Redman will be low owned with upside.

Henrik Norlander (6600) – The ball striking has been good since May, but we were still waiting for the putter to come around as it was struggling the entire year.  Well, he’s gained with the putter in 5 of his last 6 tournaments and in his last 4 in a row.  Pair that with what has become elite ball striking since the Palmetto and you have some upside with Norlander.  I have at least four others to consider in this 6k range which I will be happy to share in Discord and on our PGA Livestream tonight.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 41-12. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late breaking news and weather reports.

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The PGA Tour is back on American soil for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational! Sia Nejad, Joel and Nick give a full breakdown of the event including DFS plays and bets on the WGC-FedEX St. Jude Invitational DFS breakdown!

Sia Nejad – @SiaNejad

Joel – @DraftMasterFlex

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PnX7FuWyog&t=2s

Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com

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We are in the stretch run heading toward the FedEx Cup Playoffs and the PGA Tour is back on American soil for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude.  This Par 70 7200 yard TPC Southwind course will test the complete game as golfers will need to be good in all areas.  My focus will be on keeping it in the fairway and being good with the longer proximities (150-200 will be an emphasis), but I’m also looking for golfers that have the short game (ARG/PUTT) on these small Bermuda greens.  This is another no-cut event. More on course dynamics, favored builds and players on Tuesday’s WinDaily Sports PGA Livestream which you can watch here at 8:00 EST.  Let’s get to the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Initial Picks.

Collin Morikawa (11000) – Collin lost strokes on APP last week in a fairly significant way and still managed a 4th place finish.  I don’t expect the APP to continue to fail him, which means this brilliant ball-striker will be contending again on Sunday afternoon.

Brooks Koepka (10600) – In three of his last four measured tournaments he’s gained over eight strokes ball striking (BS).  That’s pretty incredible.  His track record here is also incredible (2nd, 1st, 5th over his last three efforts). 

Louis Oosthuizen (9600) – I’m looking for ball strikers at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude who are in good recent form and who have good course history.  Check.  Check.  Check.

Scottie Scheffler (9100) – The 9k range is rich with talent and I have no issue with Hovland, Cantlay or Berger but I’m going to take a shot with Scottie.  He shows up in a big way in talent-laden fields, ball striking has been excellent and the putter can get hot.

Webb Simpson (8500) – There’s no reason to trust Webb right now, but that’s why he may be a great pivot and play in a GPP.  He’s coming off a Top 20 at The Open which is pretty great considering where his game was immediately prior to that.  He also has some good history here with a 12th and 2nd over his last two efforts at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude.

Abraham Ancer (8300) – Ancer grades out very well in my model and really does check all the boxes in terms of hitting fairways, being superb with his long irons, being good on Par 4’s between 450-500, bogey avoidance and GIR.  His upside may be capped, but he’s likely paying off his price either way.

Corey Conners (8100) – Another elite ball striker who just needs to find short game, which is more likely here because of the Bermuda greens.  Be careful as his ARG game could get him into trouble.  As for cash game potential I like Ancer (above) and English (below) a bit better than Conners.

Harris English (7600) – Over his last five measured starts he’s gained in BS.  Over his last six measured starts he’s gained ARG.  Finally, he’s gained PUTT in 5 of the last 6 measured rounds.  He is putting the entire game together and he’s tremendous value at this price.

Tyrrell Hatton (7400) – Two missed cuts in a row should keep ownership down but he has great upside, not just in theory, but also in practice.  At the Palmetto in June he gained 11.75 strokes BS on his way to a 2nd place finish (thanks to losing 3 strokes with the putter).  Bermuda is a preferred green for Hatton.  Not a cash play but should be great savings and upside for GPPs.

Stewart Cink (6500) – He’s hit a rough patch with the putter which is part of the reason he’s missed two cuts in a row.  But he’s only one month removed from gaining 9.42 strokes at The Travelers.  You’re hoping he can turn the putter around and putt like he did earlier this year while also capturing some consistency with the ball striking.

Ryan Palmer (6500) – Palmer is the type of player that you simply wouldn’t take in a normal cut event because the game has fallen off a cliff over the last few months.  With that said, because the WGC-FedEx St. Jude has no cut, I’m more willing to push a few Palmer chips into the middle.  He may not be good for 4 rounds, but he has the ability to pop for 2-3.

Jim Herman (6000) – He hits fairways and has a solid long iron game and that’s led to four Top 30’s in a row.  He’s also gained in BS and in putting five tournaments in a row.  Herman is an absolute no-name, but if you put these numbers next to a guy with a pedigree, he’d be priced a thousand dollars higher.  

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 41-12. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all WGC-FedEx St. Jude lineup changes and weather reports.

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The Open Championship has come and gone, and do we have a story to tell. Joel was just a few points away from winning a million and he shares that story on the 3M Open DFS Breakdown. Also, get Sia Nejad and Joel’s DFS plays and betting picks for the 3M Open.

Sia Nejad – @SiaNejad

Joel – @DraftMasterFlex

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r92QouYCneg

Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com

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The 3M Open: Initial Picks

Sia

The PGA Tour is in Minnesota this week for the 3M Open. This is a relatively watered down field which should provide some opportunity for 2nd and 3rd tier golfers to go out and rack up the DFS points. I’ll be looking for ball strikers (OTT and APP) with an emphasis on APP. I’m also going to put a slight bump on PUTT as these greens are big and may be fast as the tournament progresses. More on the 3M tournament course and the players during tonight’s Win Daily PGA Livestream. We will also be discussing Joel’s $100,000.00 hit and his near outright for one million dollars! Now, onto the Initial Picks for the 3M Open.

Tony Finau (10700) – I have no issue if you want to skip this range altogether, but I do like the upside of Finau.  He placed a very respectable 15th at The Open Championship after missing two cuts in a row.  Prior to the two missed cuts he was striking the ball very well.  The putter may be an issue but he can get hot in that department.  A GPP play only.

Emiliano Grillo (9300) – I’m looking for ball strikers at The 3M and Grillo certainly fits that description.  His ARG game is terrible but that shouldn’t hurt him here.  His PUTT can get him into trouble, but he’s just about average in this field and that’s fine with me.  Tied for 3rd here last year, and oh by the way, he was 12th at the Open last week. 

Bubba Watson (9100) – I’m not a Bubba guy in general, but his ball striking has been great after a recent slump with the APP game.  Bubba finished 6th at the Rocket Mortgage and 19th at The Travelers and is in a weak field where he has to think he can win a tournament.  A GPP play only.

Stewart Cink (8700) – A great ball striker who has been great on APP as of late.  He’s coming off an MC at The Open which doesn’t bother me too much.  Prior to that he was your consummate cut maker and he made the cut at the 3M Open last year as well (finished an underwhelming 46th).  I think the good year continues for Cink.

Maverick McNealy (8400) – This will be a birdie-fest and Mav is a birdie-maker.  He’s got 4 Top 30s in a row due to good ball striking and a good putter.  A very fair price here.

Charl Schwartl (8200) – The PUTT worries me as he’s just outside the Top 100 in this field last 24 rounds.  But his BS is Top 10 and his BOB% (‘Birdie or Better) is 35th.  Charl isn’t usually on my radar, but these metrics are very solid.  He finished T3 last year at the 3M last year.

Luke List (8100) – Another bad PUTT on my 3M list (extremely lazy pun right there), but another guy who is really striking the ball and closing well.  He’s got two Top 5’s over his last two tournaments and finished 32nd here last year.  I prefer List as a GPP play.

Doug Ghim (7900) – He gained almost 9 strokes T2G at the JDC which is insane.  Problem has always been the PUTT for Ghim, but the good news is he hasn’t been quite as bad in that department over the last three tournaments and he’s a better putter on Bentgrass. 

Hank Lebioda (7900) – Well, hello old friend.  Lebioda’s ball striking has been excellent for almost six weeks and he’s also killing it with the putter.  This has resulted in made cuts and Top 10 finishes.  Is this the new kid on the block or a flash in the pan?  I’m not sure to be honest, but there’s not chance I’m jumping ship in this field and at this price.

Mito Pereira (7600) – Haven’t rostered this KFT monster yet, but I think now is the time to dive in.  It appears that it has taken him a couple of tournaments to adjust to the PGA Tour, but last week’s 5th place finish has him on the upward trajectory that I’m looking for.

Jhonattan Vegas (7500) – Great OTT and great on APP with an erratic putter than can get hot (albeit not very often).  In every GPP you need to be chasing upside and I think Vegas fits the description. 

Chez Reavie (7400) – You don’t need to be a bomber on this 3M Open track (but it certainly helps), but Reavie is really striking the ball well and he should be a very good course fit.  He’s made 5 out of 6 cuts.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 40-12. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all The Open Championship late tips, lineup changes and weather reports.

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