Gems

As the Founder of WinDailySports.com I figured it was time to jump in and write an article to help everyone have a positive NBA DFS 4/22 slate. As of late, my schedule has been so chaotic with meetings that on a lot of days I fade the main NBA slate, to play the less stressful main MLB DFS slate , and then I sit down and grind the simple 2 game NBA slate which usually starts at 9pm or 10pm. It allows me to have, all or most of the news at hand so I can make the right decisions knowing that I don’t have to follow news from 6pm all the way to 10pm which I don’t have the time commitment for currently. My schedule combined with the fact of how the NBA news has been breaking, makes it so you literally need to invest 6+ hours daily to have any shot of being long term profitable. Being self aware of my schedule and making the proper adjustments has led me to some great nights as of late without stressing the grind of the main NBA slate. If you have the time, there is a huge edge right now and I have seen some 4 and 5 figure screenshots from our members in Discord just this past week. If you don’t have the time right now please be self aware and make the proper adjustments.

So we have a 6 game main slate starting at 7pm and a 2 game night slate tipping off at 9pm. Full disclosure, I am writing this at 10am so I can only assume there will be a ton of news that will force major adjustments to this article and my lineups. So please please please connect with our team in the Discord Expert Chat!

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Cheat Sheet
• Articles of the Day
• Discord Expert Chat!

Enough small talk, lets look into the full NBA DFS 4/22 slate. I’m breaking the slate down from a DraftKings perspective.

Point Guards

Luka Doncic $11,000

Now we all know Luka is great at playing basketball. He’s physical mismatch for anyone who covers him and he is active in every aspect of the game. At $11,000 he is not a must have but he is the only guy I would be spending up on at the PG position. Luka is making a playoff push and this game is meaningful for the Mavericks so we should see a motivated Luka who has dropped 60+ points in 3 straight games. I have Luka slightly ahead of Embiid (on a back to back) and Giannis. In early mocks I made Luka is the only 10k+ guy I have in my builds.

Coby White $5,500 & Jalen Brunson $4,600

I love using my point guard slots to lock in my value plays and on most nights I like jamming in two of them to free up salary at other positions. The reason being is I feel safer with value point guards and the floor they possess over shooting guards, small forwards, and power forwards. A lot of times role players getting a spot start or increased minutes don’t have a real role in the offense. But with point guards you’re at least assured one thing, they will have the ball in their hands and be a facilitator in the offense. This should ensure some assists and points scored which won’t come from a shooting guard who just sits in the corner praying for a shot opportunity. Both White and Brunson are now starters with increased minutes and usage in their offense which should lead to fantasy goodness.

Shooting Guards

Garrett Temple $3800

Trust the damn model! If a guy is at the top of the value model and he’s starting 9 times out of 10 I will have shares of him in my lineup. Temple is now a starter with Lavine sidelined and has exceeded 24 minutes in the last 4 games. At a $3800 price tag I’m content with him getting 20 points, I believe he can easily get 25, and I know if the ball bounces right he can exceed 30+. I like the individuals matchups for the guards in this game and this game should stay close which will allow for some fantasy goodness.

Terry Rozier $8,400

Terry has really stepped during the absence of Ball and Hayward. If you like to track recent game logs you will see Rozier is coming off 53, 52, 69, and a 43 point game. All of which would have exceeding 5x value and once eclipsing more than 8x which is what you need to win a GPP. It really comes down to roster construction for me. Out of the 4 guards mentioned above Rozier will land at number 5 for “safest” value. If I have enough salary to get there Rozier is a fine play and should end up being the highest scoring SG on the slate.

Small Forwards

Josh Jackson $5500

It wouldn’t right to write up a article (which is usually done by my good friend Ghost) without writing up one of his favorite DFS players in Josh Jackson. I know first hand how excited Ghost gets when he gets Josh Jackson in a good spot at less than 10% ownership and I believe we have that spot tonight. With minutes available and usage in his hands Jackson can find a way to 40 points on any given night. Jackson is more of a GPP play than anything but at $5500 I believe we can lock in a floor of 25 in a weak small forward slot. You can avoid this spot by sliding Temple or Doncic in this spot and load up on more guards.

Patrick Williams $4300

This play is all about the minutes. When I am searching for value at the small forward position I need to lock in a solid floor of minutes. The minutes are there for Williams. He has received over 26 minutes in 9 out of the last 10 games and that shouldn’t change tonight. Lets keep this one simple and move on. Give me 26+ minutes against the 30th ranked defense at defending the small forward positions and we should have red flames next to his name on DraftKings. Lock in 25+ fantasy points out of Williams and save the salary to grab another stud.

Power Forwards

PJ Washington $5900

Another safe slot in this Hornets / Bulls game. Give me a cheap price tag on Washington in a good matchup versus the Bulls. Coming off a 33 and 45 point game and 4 out of the last 5 games with over 33 point production makes me land here, if I am looking for mid range value. The model stands behind this play and when you sort by value he is currently sitting at the 3rd best value spot on the board at PF.

A lot of question marks currently on the High End

As I’m writing this, we have Giannis, Tobias, and Jayson all Questionable and we may have the return of Anthony Davis. So lets get this out of the way I am not playing Davis and I will be fading Tobias even if he plays. Up top I like Giannis slightly better than Tatum but I do like them both if I find a way to get two high priced players in my lineup. I will not be forcing them in and the key here is to monitor the news on these two guys throughout the day because if either are out there will be must plays on the Bucks and Celtics that we will need to lock in.

Centers

Here are the Centers that I currently have in my player pool that I haven’t mentioned above who have multiple position eligibility.

• Joel Embiid $10,500
• Nikola Vucevic $10,000
• Jakob Poeltl $5900
• Mason Plumlee $4900
• Tristan Thompson $4800
• Lauri Markkanen $4100
• Daniel Theis $3700

I will continue to stress the importance of having discipline and being self aware of your time and strengths when managing your bankroll. Make sure to constantly check both the projection model and cheat sheet open when building lineups for the NBA DFS 4/22 slate.

This NBA slate is a behemoth and I am absolutely here for it! No better day for a big NBA slate and we’re looking to attack this one with the same process we always do: find the elite game environments and narrow down the individual plays. It’s Wet Wednesday’s edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 FD price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in these price ranges and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like in this range, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Cheat Sheet
• Articles of the Day

Point Guards

Russell Westbrook ($10,800 FD / $10,900 DK)

Make it now eight triple-doubles for Russell Westbrook in his last nine games and we have ourselves the game to attack. Beginning the NBA slate with a banger in in Washington, Westbrook comes into this one with a 29.1% usage rate and a 21.8/13.6/12.9 scoring line in his last nine, shooting 45.8% from the field while taking over 18 FGA per game. Considering this game features the league’s fastest and third-fastest teams going at one another, it is by far the best game environment in total possessions and lack of defensive awareness, making a perfect combination for NBA DFS glory.

Steph Curry ($10,200 FD / $10,500 DK)

Sit back and appreciate greatness; that’s the approach I take when watching Steph Curry take an NBA court and do what he does best – shoot the basketball. Not only has Curry has on a tear in his last eleven games with a 38.1% usage rate and 40/6.1/4.5 scoring line with 78 3PM, but he finds himself in a matchup versus a Washington team that plays at the fastest pace in the league, ranking 28th versus primary ball handlers and 22nd in defensive rating. Need I say more?

Also Consider:

• Luka Doncic ($11,000 FD / $10,800 DK)
• De’Aaron Fox ($9,900 FD / $10,000 DK)
• Kyrie Irving ($9,400 FD / $9,900 DK)
• Malcolm Brogdon ($7,500 FD / $7,700 DK)
• Kyle Lowry ($7,000 FD / $7,700 DK)
• FD Special: Damian Lillard ($8,600)

Shooting Guards

Devin Booker ($8,600 FD / $8,600 DK)

I hate being that guy that looks at game logs from seasons ago, but just take a look at what Devin Booker does versus the 76ers:

Sure, they have only played once this season, but even then, Book dropped a cool 36/5/4 on 23 shots and 60.9% shooting; tune into the NBA stream tonight for why I ride this narrative out.

Bradley Beal ($8,500 FD / $9,400 DK)

Steph Curry overtook him as the leading scorer in the NBA, but Bradley Beal is back, baby. Now having five straight 30+ point performances under his belt, Beal is still underpriced on both sites, especially in this game environment; sporting a 34.6% usage rate across his last fives games, Beal has posted a 32.4/3/3.8 scoring line on 47.2% shooting while taking a ridiculous 25 FGA per night.

Also Consider:

• Paul George ($9,400 FD / $9,300 DK)
• CJ McCollum ($8,100 FD / $8,800 DK)
• Fred VanVleet ($7,500 FD / $8,200 DK)
• Joe Ingles ($6,300 FD / $6,400 DK)

Small Forwards

Michael Porter Jr. ($7,400 FD / $7,900 DK)

While both Kevin Durant and Jimmy Butler are questionable, even if they play, I will have no exposure to either one of them. Not to say that they aren’t good plays on this NBA slate, but my priority spend ups are in that first Washington/Golden State game. Thus, enter MPJ, who has taken over the role of the #2 scorer for the Denver Nuggets in the absence of Jamal Murray. Now having 20 or more points in ten of his last eleven games, MPJ has a 22.5% usage rate and a 22.3/8.8/1.1 scoring line across 34.9 MPG in that stretch, shooting 56.5% from the field, 41.2% from deep, and gets a 29th ranked Portland defense tonight.

Anthony Edwards ($6,900 FD / $7,100 DK)

With Karl-Anthony Towns questionable on the second half of their back-to-back versus the Sacramento Kings, yesterday’s write-up to Anthony Edwards just reiterates my interest in the first overall pick for tonight’s NBA slate:

“The second-best game environment needs to be spoken about when playing tournaments on this NBA slate, and it starts with the Edwards/Towns combination on the Minnesota side. While the return of D’Angelo Russell complicates things a bit for Edwards, his 27.5% usage rate and 34.3 MPG in the month of April shows how much run he gets; averaging 22/4.5/3.5 on 43.3% shooting, this game will feature two of the leagues fastest teams and the 30th and 28th ranked defenses. Giddy up!”

Edwards went on to drop 28/4/3 with three steals and a block, shooting 21 times to lead the team to a 134-120 victory.

Also Consider:

• Bogdan Bogdanovic ($7,500 FD / $7,800 DK)
• OG Anunoby ($6,600 FD / $6,800 DK)
• Bojan Bogdanovic ($5,400 FD / $5,900 DK)

Power Forwards

Pascal Siakam ($8,700 FD / $8,700 DK)

With the Toronto Raptors finally having everyone off the injury report, it’s time to make the push for the play-round and the 10th seed in the Eastern Conference. Holding the tiebreaker with Washington but not with Chicago only means that it’s a “win and you’re in” mentality for The North moving forward, and it starts with the trio of Lowry/VanVleet/Siakam. Sporting a 25.5% usage rate this season, his game has been wildly inconsistent this NBA season, but the matchup versus a Brooklyn Nets team that is ranked 28th versus power forwards and 18th in points allowed in the paint per game bodes well for Siakam’s skillset.

Draymond Green ($7,400 FD / $7,100 DK)

With the Wizards lining up Daniel Gafford for more time at the ‘5’ than Robin Lopez and Alex Len, Draymond will see a ton of minutes against a smaller center than he is accustomed to. His 33.9% assist rate will be on display tonight as the Warriors take on a Wizards team that will be preoccupied with double-teaming the greatest shooter of all time, setting Dray up to both attack the paint and the glass on both ends of the court, while finding Steph for open shots.

Also Consider:

• Julius Randle ($10,000 FD / $10,200 DK)
• Darius Bazely ($6,000 FD / $6,200 DK)
• Xavier Tillman ($5,000 FD / $4,200 DK)

Centers

• Nikola Jokic ($11,300 FD / $11,000 DK)
• Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,500 FD / $10,400 DK)
• Joel Embiid ($10,400 FD / $10,600 DK)
• Goga Bitadze ($5,400 FD / $4,200 DK)

Value Gems: Check the projection model.

I will continue to stress the importance of having both the projection model and cheat sheet open when building lineups for a further player pool and to ease a decision between two players, in addition to finding additional value plays.

You can find me on Twitter @DFS_Ghost