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This week we’ll look back at WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and get you ready for the upcoming Wyndham Championship right here on Win Daily Sports.

Recap of the WGC – FedEx St. Jude Invitational

Brooks Koepka winning a non-major? Yup, he was a shot behind McIlroy heading into Sunday but it did’t take long for Koepka to take over. For every misstep that McIlroy had, Koepka came through shining. The biggest surprise was his putter. He gained a whopping 9.3 strokes putting on the field. As if Koepka needed another weapon in his arsenal.

Right before the tournament kicked off I suggested that I’ll never play Brooks in a non major. One tournament in and he’s already beat me. Granted the top guys could always win, he did putt lights out. I do not know if he wins without his flat stick getting NBA Jam hot though. Without the winner in my personal pool I needed my other guys to play strong. They all pretty much did until Sunday when they shot a combined plus three. Thank you Mr. Wallace and Mr. Olesen. Nonetheless, we move to the Wyndham Championship.

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The Basics

Course: SedgeField CC
Par: 70
Length: 7,127 Yards
Greens: Bermuda
Fairways: Narrower than tour average
Architect: Donald Ross
For a hole by hole breakdown, please visit the PGA website here.

Course Breakdown

The Wyndham Championship is played in Greensboro, North Carolina. The tournament was founded 81 years ago as the Greater Greensboro Open. It wasn’t until 2007 when Wyndham Hotels & Resorts took over as title sponsor and changed the name.

Each year the winning score is around -20. Here is the top 10 golfers on easy scoring relative to par courses.

Despite the narrower fairways they tend to be easy to hit, as long as the golfer is accurate. Lets look at the Top 10 golfers in scoring for easy to average hitting fairways.

Like last week this course has bermuda greens. The golfers below represent the Top 10 in putting on bermuda.

The same faces tend to show up towards the top of the leaderboard. Here are the Top 10 in cumulative strokes gained at the Wyndham Championship.

As always it’s always nice to check and see who’s coming in with excellent form. The chart below illustrates the Top 10 golfers in cumulative strokes gained over the last six events.

Out of the five charts above, three players show up four out of five times. They’re Simpson, Matsuyama and Glover. There is no surprise that two of the top golfers in the field are represented but Glover is on there as well. One thing to note about Glover is that the one he’s missing on is course history at the Wyndham Championship (20th).

Player Fit – Back End Stats

Here is the scorecard for SledgeField and how each hole plays to par.

First thing that stands out to me is the birdie rate on Par 5s from 500 – 550 yards. Next is the amount of holes between the range of 400 – 450 yards.

Going back to the scoring, Par 3s at 175 yards. Not only are the Par 3s counted in the range but it’s also has the most approach shots. Last but not least, Opportunities Gained.

Evenly Weighted

Final Recap

In my early research it feels like it’s a three man race between Simpson, Matsuyama and Snedeker. If I had to decide right now, I’m going with Matsuyama.

Course Setup
Easy to score relative to par
Easy to average hitting fairways
Bermuda Greens

Player Efficiencies
Par 5 scoring from 500 – 550 yards
Par 4 scoring from 400 – 450 yards
Opportunities Gained
Proximity from 150 – 175 yards
Par 3 scoring from 150 – 175 yards

Thanks for reading and I hope this article is a great starting place for your DFS research. Look out for the Insight Sheet dropping Wednesday. It will include my model’s Top 20 with Data Golf World Rankings, Vegas Odds, and analysis on my personal player pool.

While this article, The Range, will remain FREE, the Insight Sheet will require a Premium Gold membership. To make sure you don’t miss out, sign up for our Premium Gold membership right here!

Please leave a comment below or reach out on Twitter if you found this helpful and any questions you may have.

Stats source: FantasyNational

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With the NFL season right around the corner, it’s time to target some Fantasy Football value picks. Let’s take a loot at some Running Backs who seem to be a bit overlooked in regards to their current NFFC ADP. Here are 5 Value Running Backs that I am targeting in my Best Ball and Seasonal drafts.

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Devonta Freeman

With a current ADP of 35, the Atlanta bell cow is one of the first Running Backs on the board that stands out as a “value pick”. Freeman is still relatively young at age 27 and is entering the season fully healthy after basically missing all of 2018 with injuries. In addition to health, Freeman no longer has to worry about splitting snaps with former teammate Tevin Coleman.

Freeman is a proven 3-down back and will be running behind arguably the best offensive line in football. The Falcons are going to score a lot of points this year and you can bet Freeman will be getting in the end zone early and often. There is no reason to think Ito Smith will bite into Devonta’s workload.

All in all, Freeman is going to be a workhorse in 2019 and if he stays healthy (needless to say) he is a lock to be back in the Top-10 fantasy running back tier. With a price tag of a third-round draft pick, Devonta Freeman is absolutely one of the top fantasy football value picks.

Kerryon Johnson

After a very impressive rookie season, I am all over Kerryon Johnson in 2019. Kerryon showed all sorts of ability during the 2018 campaign with an elite 5.4 yards per carry and a catch rate of over 80%. He certainly passes the “eye test” as a stud running back, and I’m extremely excited to see the fantasy numbers he puts up under the new, run-heavy, Offensive Coordinator, Darrell Bevell.

There are certainly concerns with the Offensive Line, but I currently have Johnson ranked as the #11 fantasy running back (much higher than most in the industry), so I am more than happy to draft him early in the third-round where his ADP currently sits.

Tevin Coleman

Tevin Coleman packed his bags and headed out west to get back together with his old Offensive Coordinator, Kyle Shanahan. Shanahan has always been looked at as an “offensive guru”, so I am extremely excited to see Tevin get a chance to be a 3-down running back for a whole season.

We have seen flashes of how explosive Coleman can be over the past few seasons in Atlanta, but now we get the chance to potentially see that for a full season, as the RB1 in San Francisco. I do not care what anyone says about Jerick McKinnon or Matt Breida, the RB1 spot for the 49ers should be Tevin’s job to lose.

I look at it this way:

  • Coleman is only 26 years old and is coming off of his best season in the NFL
  • He will be entering an offensive scheme he is very familiar with and has succeeded in the past
  • Coleman has excellent “big play ability” (great for Best Ball leagues) and his extremely durable (in comparison to McKinnon/Breida)
  • The offensive line in San Francisco is above average, and should continue to improve throughout the season

With an ADP of 70, Tevin Coleman is the poster boy for my fantasy football value picks in 2019. If you need an RB2/RB3, feel confident in drafting Coleman towards the end of Round 5.

Lamar Miller

I never thought I’d have to tout Lamar Miller, but he is still clearly the RB1 in Houston (which should be a Top-10 Offense in 2019) and is coming off his his best fantasy season since he first broke-out in 2014. Miller is currently being drafted as a borderline RB2/high-end RB3 in the late 6th round… there is simply too much value in Lamar Miller at that point in 12-team fantasy drafts.

The Texans were well aware that their offensive line needed help after the 2018 season and that’s exactly what they addressed in the NFL Draft where they locked up two Offensive Linemen in the first two rounds.

There are talks that D’Onta Foreman is finally ready to produce at the running back position for the Texans, but I’m confident that Lamar Miller will have plenty of chances to sustain the RB1 job in Houston. He is a talented runner and a capable pass catcher in a high-octane style offense. At the end of Round 6, why get cute with a “sleeper” when you can just pencil in a starting RB from a high scoring team?

Ronald Jones

Believe it or not, Ronald Jones is my favorite fantasy football value pick in this article. Jones did absolutely nothing in 2018 to warrant excitement for the 2019 season, but Bruce Arians is now the Head Coach and that’s about all I needed to buy-in to Ronald Jones Fantasy stock for 2019. That, and the fact that the Bucs did not take a running back in this year’s draft. I’m assuming this means they are quite certain Ronald Jones can handle the duties as the RB1.

The last two seasons when Arians had a healthy, lead running back, his scheme produced a Top-10 fantasy running back both times (David Johnson in 2015 and 2016, injuries plagued the 2017 season). Obviously, Johnson is a special talent at the running back position so please do not think I’m saying Ronald Jones can produce at the level of a healthy David Johnson.

Jones will likely never become the player David Johnson was in 2015-2016, but it is no secret that Arians loves to give touches to his lead running back (both via the pass and run). When you’re drafting Ronald Jones in the early part of round 10 in 12-team leagues (ADP is currently 121), you’re drafting a successful system for fantasy running backs.

If he doesn’t pan out, it will not hurt your team as he is borderline risk-free with a 10th-round price-point.

Honorable Mention

  • David Montgomery (ADP ~61, round 5 in a 12-team draft)
  • Latavius Murray (ADP ~95, round 7 in a 12-team draft)
  • Jaylen Samuels (ADP ~82, round 9 in a 12-team draft)
  • Adrian Peterson (ADP ~156, round 13 in a 12-team draft)
  • Kalen Ballage (ADP ~160, round 12 in a 12-team draft)
  • Ryquell Armstead (ADP ~240, round 20 in a 12-team draft)

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Jason Mezrahi and Matt Striker discuss the Main MLB DFS Slate on the 7/30 MLB DFS Podcast. This is a schedule that has a lot of interesting pitching picks.

7/30 MLB DFS Podcast Pitching Picks

When you’re done listening to our 7/30 MLB DFS Podcast, please check out our premium weather blog to stay up to date. The game in Coors Field disappointed on Monday night. So what do the daily fantasy baseball experts advise to do tonight? They say stack it up and ignore the recency bias. But there are also some salary savers to consider so you can get the money for pitching if you want to fade the pack.

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An almost full 14-game MLB DFS slate for the last Tuesday in July.

Catcher

We will be talking about this game more in the stacking section below but Coors Field looks like a prime place for MLB DFS bats tonight. Especially on the Dodgers side, as Kyle Freeland takes the hill for the Rockies. Freeland has been historically bad this season, with a WHIP of 1.58 and an ERA of 7.00 through 71 innings. Will Smith ($3,300 FD, $4,500 DK) not only gets the platoon split but also gets the advantage of not being well known by opposing pitching staffs.

First Base

Edwin Encarnacion, Diamondbacks at Yankees ($4,300 FD, $5,300 DK) has been hitting the ball very hard recently. I saw him hit a single off the Green Monster so hard Sunday night that he was almost thrown out at first base. Seriously though, this matchup against Taylor Clarke is a great one. Clarke has given up 11 HRs over his last seven starts.

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Second Base

Ryan McMahon, Dodgers at Rockies ($3,400 FD, $4,800 DK): McMahon, not Story, Arenado or Blackmon, has been swinging the best Rockies bat since the All-Star Break. Wait a minute, lefty on lefty matchup against Julio Urias doesn’t scare you in MLB DFS? Simply put it does not. McMahon has five HRs in less than 100 official ABs vs lefties this year and has a .780 OPS. His OPS against righties you ask? A remarkably similar .780.

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Shortstop:

Let’s go back to Coors Field for Corey Seager ($3,600 FD, $5,100 DK). Yes I know it is another lefty-lefty matchup but let me ask you: how long do you expect Freeland to be around? Take the discount, especially on FD, and be thankful you get such a quality bat at a discount at Coors.

Third Base:

Eugenio Suarez, Pirates at Reds ($3,600 FD, $5,200 DK): Another guy I had to keep scrolling down for to find on FD (that means he is a bargain!), Suarez has been hitting everyone since the All-Star Break. He is thriving at home, which is an extreme hitter’s environment, and against Joe Musgrove and the weak Pittsburgh bullpen, he must be salivating. You should be too, in MLB DFS.

Outfield:

J.D. Martinez, Rays at Red Sox ($4,300 FD, $4,600 DK), Cody Bellinger. Dodgers at Rockies ($4,900 FD, $5,900 DK) and Joc Pederson ($4,100 and first base??? on FD, $5,100 DK) are the three outfielders I am highlighting. J.D. is about as hot as any hitter in MLB DFS right now and the other two are at Coors on the wrong side of a platoon. However, I do not expect that to last long and they can hit Freeland anyway.

MLB DFS Stacks

  1. Dodgers: At Coors against the worst pitcher on the slate? What can go wrong?
  2. Angels: Didn’t highlight any batters here but I certainly could have. Someone named Drew VerHagen gets to toss baseballs to them. And then is followed by a bad Tigesr bullpen.
  3. Yankees: Always in play. Tonight they get Taylor Clarke.

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This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s seven-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Daily Fantasy Stack: Cincinnati Reds

vs. RHP Alex McRae (PIT): 6.15 Runs

**Low Risk

The Reds are facing Jordan Lyles, who has seen better days over his last four starts. He has given up five or more runs in his last three of four games. This isn’t Coors Field, but it is close enough. Lyles carries a 5.36 ERA 4.81 FIP, and 4.43 SIERA on the year. He continues to struggle against left handed batting, allowing them to slash to a .416 wOBA, .630 SLG, and .403 OBP while allowing 28 earned runs over 31 innings pitched. I’m not huge on BvP statistics but the Reds have seen a lot of success against Lyles. They have six players with .900 OPS or better against him. The Reds are slashing to a .355, .194 ISO, and 117 WRC+ against righties the last two weeks. We’ve all come to find out Lyles was traded to the Reds so now we get Alex McRae on the mound. Same struggle to lefties, even better matchup for the Reds. I’ve upgraded this to a low risk play. You cannot beat the value here, but we do have some weather concerns.

Preferred Stack: Yasiel Puig ($3100 FD|$4400 DK), Jesse Winker ($2800 FD|$4100 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($3900 FD|$5100 DK), and Joey Votto ($3300 FD|$4000 DK). Value: Scooter Gennett ($2600 FD|$3400 DK) has been making good contact leading up to tonight’s game and he’s way too cheap on both sites.

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 6.60 Runs

**Low Risk

Jordan Zimmermann is on the mound tonight for the Tigers and he is B-A-D. He owns a 7.57 ERA, 4.88 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. Although he is worse vs. left handed batting, he is no angel to righties. They are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .530 SLG, and .345 OBP while he has allowed 27 earned runs over 31 innings pitched to them. Zimmermann basically allows one earned run per inning pitched so roll out the Angels with confidence this evening. They are slashing to a .315 wOBA, .205 ISO, and 99 WRC+ over the last month.

Preferred Stack: Shohei Ohtani ($4200 FD|$5200 DK), Justin Upton ($3600 FD|$4000 DK), Mike Trout ($4900 FD|$5700 DK), and Albert Pujols ($3100 FD|$4400 DK).

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

vs. RHP Jon Gray (LAD): 6.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

No one is reinventing the wheel by playing either one of these teams at Coors tonight. This game will be highly owned as the Coors matchups typically are. The salaries are too high so we can’t stack both unless you’re okay with pitching Pannone and we’re not going to go there. Jon Gray has closed the gap in his splits and has actually fared decent at home. He is allowing batters to slash to a .333 wOBA, .463 SLG, and .336 OBP. He has allowed 24 earned runs and seven home runs over 55 innings pitched. Most will target the high power lefties like Max Muncy or Cody Bellinger and those plays are great, but you can easily differentiate from the field and play guys like A.J. Pollock and Justin Turner. The Dodgers are slashing to a slate high .381 wOBA, .281 ISO, and 140 WRC+ right now.

Preferred Plays: Justin Turner ($4300 FD|$5200 DK), Max Muncy ($5600 FD|$4500 DK), Cody Bellinger ($4900 FD|$5800 DK), and Alex Verdugo ($3100 FD|$4500 DK). Don’t forget about Joc Pederson ($4200 FD|$5300 DK) and A.J. Pollock ($3800 FD|$4400 DK).

Honorable Mention

Daily Fantasy Stack: Kansas City Royals

vs. LHP Thomas Pannone (TOR): 5.25 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Jorge Soler($3100 FD|$4300 DK), Whit Merrifield ($3400 FD|$4900 DK), Hunter Dozier ($3200 FD|$4500 DK), and Chelsor Cuthbert ($2900 FD|$3800 DK).

Daily Fantasy Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Kenta Maeda (LAD): 6.20 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Charlie Blackmon ($4500 FD|$5500 DK), David Dahl ($3400 FD|$4800 DK), Daniel Murphy ($3600 FD|$4700 DK), and Tony Wolters ($2500 FD|$3100 DK).

Pitching

  1. Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 4.00 Runs
  2. Jaime Barria RHP (LAA): 3.90 Runs
  3. Caleb Smith LHP (MIA): 3.75 Runs

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With only seven games on this small Monday slate, we’re going to take a different approach with this article. It would be easy to sit here and write about all of the players in the Dodgers-Rockies game in Coors Field but that’s too easy. I’m going to focus on all value plays and try to help you fill out a lineup with those Coors Field bats. It’s going to be imperative to stack that game in a seven-game slate, so hopefully, some of these cheap guys will make that build much easier. Let’s get into our 7/29 DFS hitter picks!

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7/29 DFS Hitter Options

Catcher 

Carson Kelly, ARI at MIA 

DK ($3,700)   FD ($2,700) 

I really don’t like to use anyone against Caleb Smith but we need to get creative on a seven-game slate. What makes Kelly such an attractive option here is that he absolutely destroys left-handed pitching. In fact, Kelly has a .475 OBP, .808 SLG and 1.283 OPS against southpaws so far this season. Kelly has also been a much better away from home, as his 1.021 road OPS is more than 300 points higher than his home OPS.  

First Base  

Justin Smoak, TOR at KC 

DK ($3,900)   FD ($3,200) 

Smoak has been one of the unluckiest hitters in the league this season but the luck is finally turning around. Over his last 11 games, Smoak has four homers, seven RBI and 10 walks en route to a .435 OBP and 1.040 OPS. That’s the guy that we’ve been expecting all season, as his .385 xwOBA and .511 xSLG is way off his .339 wOBA and .423 SLG. That means positive regression is right around the corner and this recent hot stretch is hopefully the start of it. Getting to face Brad Keller should only help, with the Kansas City righty pitching to a 4.87 xFIP. It also puts Smoak on the left side and he has a .365 OBP and .857 OPS against righties despite the poor luck.  

Second Base 

Brian Dozier, WSH vs. ATL 

DK ($3,400)   FD ($2,400) 

Dozier really deserves more credit and these sites need to raise his price. Over his last 43 games. Dozier has a .380 OBP and .890 OPS. That’s the former All-Star that we loved and this price doesn’t quite match up with that production. Getting to face a lefty is what really makes him hard to fade, with Dozier generating a .418 OBP, .625 SLG and 1.043 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. Not to mention, Dozier went 2-for-3 on Sunday, with a double, homer and two runs scored.

Third Base  

Manny Machado, SD vs. BAL 

DK ($4,600)   FD ($4,000) 

Machado should have a higher price and he’s easily one of the best 7/29 DFS hitter options on the board. This perennial All-Star is one of the hottest hitters in the game right now and he should be $500 more on each site. In fact, Machado is hitting .329 over his last 35 games while providing a .685 SLG and 1.058 OPS in that span. That’s obviously stupendous production and he should continue that success against a pitching staff that has a 5.53 team ERA. It’s unclear exactly who he’ll face but just the fact that this horrible pitching staff has to call someone up is a very promising sign. I also believe that Franmil Reyes and Hunter Renfroe are too cheap on both sites and these three make for a beautiful stack against this putrid pitching staff.

Shortstop 

Jonathan Villar, BAL at SD 

DK ($4,000)   FD ($3,100) 

Villar is a personal favorite of mine and I really don’t like how these sites continue to disrespect him with these price tags. Any leadoff hitter with 20-30 potential should be much higher, especially when they’re hot. Not only does Villar have multi-hit games in four-straight, he’s also collected nine runs, two homers and five steals in that span. That equates to nearly 35 FanDuel points per game, which is downright absurd. Getting to hit on the left side is a huge bonus too, with Villar accruing a .350 OBP against right-handers this season while swiping 18 of his 22 stolen bases against them. Dinelson Lamet is talented but his 5.00 ERA and 1.39 WHIP make him a pitcher we can exploit. 

Outfield  

Shohei Ohtani, LAA vs. DET 

DK ($5,200)   FD ($4,200) 

Ohtani has done nothing but rake against right-handers since being signed from Japan and he’s my favorite 7/29 DFS hitter. In fact, Ohtani has a .307 AVG, .373 OBP, .613 SLG and .987 OPS against righties since being signed. He also has 15 of his 18 career steals against them and it’s crystal clear just how much more comfortable he is from the left side. This happens to be a pitcher we definitely want to stack against too, with Jordan Zimmermann pitching to a 7.57 ERA and 1.71 WHIP en route to a disastrous 0-8 record.  

Corey Dickerson, PIT at CIN 

DK ($4,200)   FD ($2,800) 

Dickerson is in the same boat as Ohtani and he too loves to mash righties. So far this season, Dickerson has a .376 OBP, .538 SLG and .915 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That’s pretty close to the guy that we’ve seen throughout his career, with Dickerson attaining a .239 ISO, .361 wOBA and .861 OPS against right-handers for his career. That’s all you can ask for from a guy priced so cheaply who gets to hit in in a small park like Great American Ballpark should only help.  If Dickerson misses this game because of a nagging groin, pivot to Jesse Winker atop the Reds lineup in the same price range.

Josh VanMeter, CIN vs. PIT 

DK ($3,700)   FD ($2,700)  

VanMeter has been incredible the last few games and it’s time for these DFS sites to take notice. Four homers in his last eight games tells you everything you need to know, with VanMeter providing a .520 AVG, 1.120 SLG and 1.650 OPS over his last nine games. Those are Barry Bonds-like numbers, as he’s carried over his ridiculous numbers from the minors. At Triple-A this season, VanMeter hit .348 while generating a .669 SLG and 1.098 OPS. Getting the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles is simply the icing on the cake, with the Pirates righty pitching to a 9.57 ERA and 1.99 WHIP over his last nine starts.  

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This Sunday July 28th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

MLB DFS Bats: Houston Astros and Home Run Hunting

Position Rankings and Values

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Catcher: Travis D’Arnaud ($3,200 FD; $4,300 DK) Travis is batting cleanup vs Aaron Sanchez and his 6.06 ERA. Sanchez gives up multiple run games on the regular. In June he gave up at least FOUR runs in EVERY SINGLE ONE of his starts. To say he is struggling would be an understatement. D’Arnaud is batting .316/.409 OBP/.684 SLG in July and is locked in. I feel comfortable with him continuing his dominant month, especially at $3,200.

Catcher Value: Ryan Lavarnway ($2,400 FD; $4,000 DK) I am just hoping he starts. He is batting a ridiculous .667 ISO/ .628 wOBA (small sample size) vs right handed pitching this season with two home runs in only 12 AB’s. He faces Peter Lambert (5.93 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) who has never once pitched in a MLB game without giving up a run. Lambert is actually averaging over a hit per inning. Yes, half of his starts are at Coors Field’s poor pitching environment however he is still getting hit on the road. Lavarnway is your value Red, and yes I do like as a stack. How could you not vs Lambert?

First Base Stud: Paul Goldschmidt ($4,100 FD; $4,400 DK) I like the pitching matchups better for the Gurriel and Abreu (listed below) but Goldy is HOT. Last night he tied the franchise record home run streak. He will no doubt be trying to break it, in his first year as a Cardinal, today. The last sevens days he is batting .338/.385 OBP/.958 SLG with six home runs.

First Base Value Jose Abreu ($3,500 FD; $4,000 DK) is pretty much boom or bust. I see myself paying up at the position but if I am forced to pay down a bit I would play Abreu. He is batting .328 ISO/ .328 wOBA and if he (or Moncada) aren’t hitting than the White Sox don’t have a chance. Opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson is decent, and may even be someone to consider rostering because the overall lack of depth of the Chicago White Sox and his price ($7,200), but he does have a 4.24 ERA and he has given up a home run in every game in July except one. If anyone on the White Sox is going to do it, it’s Abreu or Moncada.

First Base Honorable Mention: Yuli Gurriel ($3,700 FD, $4,500 DK) I expect Astros to put up runs today (See Altuve below) and trying to pick out which of the studs go off on a daily basis is difficult. I would be happy to play him in my Houston stacks.

Second Base: Jose Altuve ($4,100 FD; $4,500 DK) I expect the Houston Astros to tee off on Dakota Hudson. Hudson has given up seven homers in his last six starts and now gets the lethal Astros. I love the Astros stack and if they are scoring, Altuve is contributing. Altuve is batting .349/.379 OBP/.614 SLB in July with a .231 ISO on the season.

Second Base Value: Aledmys Diaz ($2,800 FD) Batting .219 ISO/ .338 wOBA with the Houston platoon advantage. Batting seventh, it helps that I like every single Astro in front of him to help load the bases and beat up on the pitcher.

Shortstop Stud Jorge Polanco ($3,700 FD; $4,900 DK) is batting .242 ISO/.405 wOBA on the season. Last night the Twins got shut down but this lineup is too talented to let that happen twin in a row. Dylan Covey (R) is on the mound, and while I do respect Covey’s strike out ability he carries a 6.04 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP. Once the Twins get going, they usually don’t stop. I will go back to their big bats today.

Short Stop Value Carlos Correa ($3,600 FD; $4,300 DK) is back, is hitting (finally) and is priced too low for his skill set. The Astros are going to score vs Dakota Hudson (see Jose Altuve Above) and Correa is batting fifth behind Spinger, Altuve, Bregman, Alvarez with Gurriel hitting behind him. That is going to be a MAJOR issue for Hudson. Correa has a safe floor and upside. I expect him to be priced close to $4,000 in a couple weeks. He is batting .273/.355 OPB/.503 SLG in July.

Third Base Base: Eugenio Suarez ($3,700 FD; $5,300 DK) may have my vote for July MVP. He has 11 home runs and since the beginning of the month and is batting .421 in the last seven days. I believe in hot streaks. I also believe in hitting home runs off of Peter Lambert (see Lavarnway above). Eugenio is my HR lock of the day.

Third Base Value: Tommy Edeman ($2,900 FD; $4,100 DK) is batting lead vs lefty Wade Miley (3.81 ERA). I don’t necessarily love targeting Miley, as he has been much better this year, but the Cardinals prices are making it easier for me to give it a shot. He has a .200 ISO/.303 wOBA vs lefties with one home run in 29 AB’s. At $2,900 I will be happy with double digit fantasy points which a run, RBI and double can do. I believe he hits value but would much rather pay up for Suarez.

Outfield Stud: Nelson Cruz ($4,400 FD; $5,800 DK) put up only three points last night. It hurt. So now what do we do? Should we fade him because we don’t want our hearts broken again? Nope. He is still slugging a ridiculous .414/.484 OBP/.1.241 SLG/1.726 OPS in the last seven days. The opposing arm Dylan Covey does have some strike out capability, sure, but he is not elite. Nelson Cruz is a seasoned vet and can homer off anyone, and I like him to make a hater out of the faders today.

Outfield MidRange: Tommy Pham ($3,800 FD; $4,400 DK) is on a five game hitting streak, batting second and facing Aaron Sanchez. I mentioned earlier (with D’Arnaud) just how prone Sanchez is to giving up runs. Pham can contribute in every scoring category in MLB DFS which is what we want. He hits, steals, scores and of course and get RBI’s. Pham is batting .204 ISO/. 352 wOBA on the season.

Outfield Value: Jose Martinez ($2,600 FD; $3,700 DK) is just as capable of taking Wade Miley deep today as Paul Goldschmidt is and cost significantly less. I don’t know that I am stacking Cardinals but I like them as one offs or mini stacks. He is batting .345 ISO/ 472 wOBA vs lefties this season with five home runs in 55 AB’s. Martinez has six hits in the last five games and at $2,600 a couple hits will suffice, but the upside for an 18 point home run is great.

Notes: I love all of the Houston Astro Outfielders but they are ALL $4,000 or higher on FanDuel. I could have easily wrote them up but it would be very difficult to get them all on one team.

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 1130-12 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cincinnati Reds

vs. RHP Peter Lambert (COL): 5.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Cincinnati Reds bats get a major boost today. They get a sub par pitching matchup at their home park, one of the more hitting friendly venues in the league. The Reds are hitting well above their season averages over the last two weeks, slashing to a .354 wOBA, .191 ISO, and 117 WRC+ against right handed pitching. Peter Lambert is not the best pitcher, carrying an average 5.93 ERA, 5.61 FIP, and 4.59 SIERA. He is allowing batters to slash to a .382 wOBA, .344 OBP, and .586 SLG. Lambert is allowing 2.45 HR/9 to left handed batters and 1.99 HR/9 to righties. He is allowing a ton of hard contact (47%) to lefties and only has a LOB% of 57 against them. His splits are much better on the road, but Great American is not an ideal place for any pitcher that struggles with the long ball. Stack the Reds with confidence this afternoon.

Preferred Stack: Eugenio Suarez ($3700 FD|$5300 DK), Jesse Winker ($2800 FD|$4100 DK), and Yasiel Puig ($3300 FD|$4500 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Dylan Covey (CWS): 6.10 Runs

**Low Risk

Third time’s a charm? The Twins offense has disappeared the last two games. Ivan Nova put on another excellent performance last night. What in the world is going on? I’m going to remain on the Twins, one of the best hitting teams in the league against another bad pitcher. Covey carries a 6.04 ERA, 5.62 FIP, and 5.75 SIERA over 47 innings pitched. He tends to struggle more to lefties, allowing them to slash to a .415 wOBA, .548 SLG, and .444 OBP over 19.1 innings pitched. Smaller sample size so I’ll take it with a grain of salt, but it is noteworthy to say Covey has been successful (or lucky) at home against righties. They are only slashing to a .179 wOBA, .262 SLG, and .163 OBP over 12 innings pitched. The Twins averages remain high over the last two weeks against right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .384 wOBA, .284 ISO, and 140 WRC+.

Preferred Stack: Jorge Polanco ($3700 FD|$4900 DK), Max Kepler ($4000 FD|$5300 DK), and Nelson Cruz ($4600 FD|$5800 DK). Jason Castro ($2700 FD|$4100 DK) and Luis Arraez ($3000 FD|$4200 DK) for the third day in a row make my top value plays.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Dakota Hudson (STL): 5.10 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Dakota Hudson gets a home matchup against the red hot Astros. They are hitting extremely well to right handed pitching recently, slashing to a .353 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 126 WRC+. Hudson has been exceptional this season, allowing only one game with more than three earned runs. He owns a 3.61 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and 4.95 SIERA. He has true splits, allowing lefties to slash to a .380 wOBA, .515 SLG, and .392 OBP. Something has to give here and I’ve got money on the Astros taking it to Hudson this afternoon.

Preferred Plays: Yordan Alvarez ($4000 FD|$5200 DK), Yuli Gurriel ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), and George Springer ($4400 FD|$5000 DK). I also like Carlos Correa ($3600 FD|$4300 DK) and Jose Altuve ($4100 FD|$4500 DK).

Honorable Mention

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. LHP Danny Duffy (KCR): 5.10 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Jordan Luplow ($2600 FD|$4000 DK), Francisco Lindor ($4400 FD|$5000 DK), Oscar Mercado ($3700 FD|$4400 DK), and Carlos Santana ($3600 FD|$4100 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Tampa Rays

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 5.40 Runs

Preferred Plays: Austin Meadows ($3400 FD|$4700 DK), Nate Lowe ($2800 FD|$4000 DK), Travis D’Arnaud ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), and Tommy Pham ($3800 FD|$4400 DK).

Pitching

  1. Jason Vargas LHP (NYM): 4.30 Runs
  2. Robbie Ray LHP (ARI): 3.40 Runs
  3. Trevor Bauer RHP (CLE): 3.85 Runs

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Jason Mezrahi and Mark Paquette discuss the Main FanDuel MLB DFS Slate on the 7/29 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the main slate on FanDuel. Its your typical Sunday Slate schedule so listen closely to who they like. We got a tough decision on finding the right pitching. The question remains, Do you we pay up for one of the aces or look for value with guys like Vargas, Archer, and Miley. It looks like we have zero weather concerns to deal with but make sure you follow along with Mark as he gives our listeners a preview of all his hot takes for this Sunday slate of fantasy baseball games.

7/28 MLB DFS Podcast Stacks

We have to find bats and Jason thinks we should head back to a Minnesota Twin stack or possibly a full game stack in Cincinnati. Listen closely to the podcast to find the gems that will have you cashing. When your’e done listening to our 7/28 MLB DFS Podcast, please check out our premium weather blog to stay up to date on your busy Sunday

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Scott Engel and Mark Paquette get into the Saturday Daily Fantasy Baseball Slates on the 7/27 MLB DFS Podcast.

Main Night Slate Pitching Decisions

Mike Clevinger and Gerrit Cole are the premier selections, and Clevinger is slightly cheaper. Among the salary savers, Scott suggests Steven Matz against Pittsburgh and Mark backs Homer Bailey for a quality outing.

7/27 MLB DFS Stacks

The Nationals may be the best 7/27 MLB DFS Stack in the early games. Minnesota stands out on the main slate, with Cincinnati another strong consideration. The Angels and A’s may also be in the mix. Listen below to find out more!

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Thank you for listening to the 7/27 MLB DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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