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It’s the second night of a back-to-back for NHL Top Bets as we dive into the Thursday NHL slate. The people made it known they wanted expanded NHL betting content and Win Daily listened. We have a huge slate of games ahead of us “eleven” including the Chicago/Buffalo game which was postponed yesterday and rescheduled for tonight due to extreme winter weather.

As always, think for yourself. The information below is only meant to supplement your knowledge and if you don’t agree with a portion, that’s fine, we’re all entitled to our own opinions. Also be sure to scour as many sportsbooks as possible before placing a bet as the odds tend to vary a little in most circumstances.

Aside from reading this 1/18 NHL Top Bets article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.

1/18 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*

Colorado Avalanche (+120) at Boston Bruins (-142)6 Projected Goal Total

Montreal Canadiens (+154) at Ottawa Senators (-185)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Chicago Blackhawks (+230) at Buffalo Sabres (-285)6 Projected Goal Total

Minnesota Wild (+120) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-142)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Dallas Stars (-135) at Philadelphia Flyers (+114)6 Projected Goal Total

St. Louis Blues (+100) at Washington Capitals (-120)5.5 Projected Goal Total

Toronto Maple Leafs (-125) at Calgary Flames (+105)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Seattle Kraken (+170) at Edmonton Oilers (-205)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Nashville Predators (+130) at Los Angeles Kings (-155)6 Projected Goal Total

Arizona Coyotes (+170) at Vancouver Canucks (-205)6.5 Projected Goal Total

New York Rangers (-125) at Vegas Golden Knights (+105)6 Projected Goal Total

Record “starting Jan 17, 2024” – 1-1

1/18 NHL Bet One

Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames – Calgary ML (+105)

The home team has won four straight games yet comes in as the underdog with plus odds. The Maple Leafs on the flip side are losers of four straight and remain on a west coast road trip that already isn’t off to a good start. Toronto may stick out due to some of the stars up top and the Flames are dealing with a number of injuries. However, Calgary has a 5-1 record in their last six home games and the Leafs are arriving in middling form.

Calgary will enter the night 10-4-0 over their last fourteen games. Blake Coleman has been leading the charge with 38 points in 44 games, but the talent is spread out across the Flames’ lines. The goaltending split between Jacob Markstrom and Dan Vladar has also worked out for them to date. After a slow start, the Flames are sitting right outside the playoff window and should be motivated against a fellow Canadian visitor.

Meanwhile, Toronto, the “Dallas Cowboys of the NHL?”, has racked up four straight losses while facing quality competition. During this putrid losing stretch, the Leafs have been allowed 17 goals so just over four allowed per game. Prior to that they had won four straight games, but that comes with the caveat that stretch included two games against the Sharks and one against the Ducks. They’re no doubt the more talented of these two teams on the whole but these are two teams clearly in different form at the moment.

It would not be very surprising if by a few hours from gametime the Calgary money line shifts from plus to minus odds and this becomes an even money game. Toronto’s trip out west has not started out well and after facing the Flames they might want to return home as quickly as possible.

1/18 NHL Bet Two

Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers – Under 6.5 (-105)

Nobody in the NHL is hotter than the Edmonton Oilers right now. Winners of eleven straight, it’s surprising these odds aren’t even shorter hosting the Kraken. If it’s a matter of talent, well, there’s simply no comparison here. If it’s a matter of recent form, well, Edmonton could not be any better.

Seattle has been winning games recently which prevents them from being an even bigger underdog here. Even though many of their wins have been against bad teams, they do come in 8-2 over their last ten games. These teams are only separated by two real life points in the standings. However, the point differentials tell the whole story here with the Oilers at +23 to Seattle’s -6.

Despite their reputation for free flowing, high scoring games, Edmonton has been winning differently as of late. Over their last ten games, seven of their ten wins have come in under 6.5 total games with many of those far under the total. Given that this style has let to such consistent success, it is hard to imagine the Oilers going back to open play of old, at least at the moment.

Seattle has similarly had seven of their last ten game totals go under 6.5. It is easy to look at this game and think of the Oilers’ superstars lighting up the scoreboard. However, instead we are probably looking at a close and rather closed off hockey game that Edmonton probably wins with a total under 6.5. The Oilers have owned the Kraken recently, winning four straight games against them overall and two straight at home. In fact, Seattle has won only once over their past seven matchups with the Oilers. Edmonton has limited Seattle to two goals or less in three of their last six meetings.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at NHL – WIN DAILY® (windailysports.com)

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Introducing NHL Top Bets. The people made it known they wanted expanded NHL betting content and Win Daily listened.

Aside from reading this 1/17 NHL Top Bets article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.

1/17 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*

Detroit Red Wings (+170) at Florida Panthers (-205)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Montreal Canadiens (+200) at New Jersey Devils (-245)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Chicago Blackhawks (+235) at Buffalo Sabres (-290)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Record “starting Jan 17, 2024” – 0-0

1/17 NHL Bet One

Red Wings v. Panthers – Red Wings +1.5 (-135)

The Red Wings have been very productive offensively this season, averaging 3.56 goals per game so far. In addition, they have nine goals in their last two games. Most of the scoring has come from the top line. Alex DeBrincat, Lucas Raymond, and Dylan Larkin have collectively scored 46 goals and 66 assists to lead the top two lines, but the rest of the offense has contributed as well. The second line, consisting of Daniel Sprong, J.T. Compher, and Andrew Copp has combined for 28 goals and 45 assists while defensemen Shayne Gostisbehere and Moritz Seider have added 12 goals and 40 assists from the point.

Despite the fact that the offense has been great the Red Wings’ defense has struggled, allowing 3.35 goals per game. The only bright spot has been the play of goaltender Alex Lyon who has a .922 save percentage and a 2.58 goals-against average on 434 shots with 7.9 goals saved above average. That said, they have improved in this regard as of late.

The Panthers are averaging 3.16 goals per game and should be able to increase that figure here with their forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers only allow 2.56 goals per game, they create a lot of turnovers in the defensive zone and limit shots on the net.

The Panthers come into this in fine form but Monday night they were leading the lowly Ducks with ease and allowed them to come back and tie the game, then win in overtime. Playing down to their competition has been a problem for the Panthers. While they did have a nice winning streak, this could be the night that all begins to change.

1/17 NHL Bet Two

Montreal Canadiens v. New Jersey Devils – Over 6.5 (-110)

This one features a team that has lost its last four games in the form of Montreal against a Devils team that has lost three of its last four. On the bright side for both teams, one of them has to win tonight!

Montreal was a huge underdog (+180) last time out, but they pulled out a close 4-3 win against the Colorado Avalanche. The Canadien’s top line was the driving force as Cole Caufield scored a goal and had an assist and Nick Suzuki had two assists. Jake Allen was also strong in that effort, stopping 32 out of 35 shots faced. Despite this recent highlight, the offense has been playing poorly for Montreal this season. They have scored three or fewer goals in seven of their last 10 games. Montreal ranks 28th in goals per game and 27th in shots per game. Defense and goaltending have also both been poor for the Canadiens. Montreal ranks 24th in goals against per game and 29th in shots against per game.

New Jersey was also a decent sized underdog (+150) in their last game which ended up a 3-0 loss against the Boston Bruins. Nico Daws stopped 33 out of 35 shots faced in net so for once, it wasn’t the goalie’s fault. On the bright side, the offense has been very good for the Devils recently. They have scored three or more goals in eight of the last 10 games “with the Boston game an anomaly”. New Jersey ranks seventh in goals per game and 13th in shots per game. Jesper Bratt leads the team with 46 points. Jack Hughes has 45 points. The defense has been about average but overall, goaltending has been poor for New Jersey. They rank 28th in goals against per game and 10th in shots against per game which helps to demonstrate this discrepancy.

The Devils are 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings against Montreal. In those last 10 meetings between these two teams, New Jersey has averaged 4.30 goals per game while has Montreal averaged 3.10 goals per game. Quite frankly, the Devils are the more talented team and should cover the puck line tonight. That said, the better bet is the O 6.5 total given both team’s shortcomings in terms of allowing goals. In 26 of 41 games this season, New Jersey and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals. Furthermore, the Devils have won 62.5% of their games this season when they’ve been a money line favorite.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at NHL – WIN DAILY® (windailysports.com)

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The Hot Shot returns for a loaded Thursday night slate. We have thirteen games and there are lots of options to choose from and we will cover a few of them below. Aside from reading this 1/11 NHL DFS article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.

1/11 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*

Ottawa Senators (+110) at Buffalo Sabres (-130)7 Projected Goal Total

San Jose Sharks (+130) at Montreal Canadiens (-155)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Toronto Maple Leafs (-130) at New York Islanders (+110)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Edmonton Oilers (-175) at Detroit Red Wings (+145)7 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+114) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-135)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Los Angeles Kings (+114) at Florida Panthers (-135)6 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (+105) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-125)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Seattle Kraken (-118) at Washington Capitals (-102)6 Projected Goal Total

Anaheim Ducks (+270) at Carolina Hurricanes (-340)6.5 Projected Goal Total

New York Rangers (-166) at St. Louis Blues (+140)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Chicago Blackhawks (+340) at Winnipeg Jets (-440)6 Projected Goal Total

Calgary Flames (-118) at Arizona Coyotes (-102)6 Projected Goal Total

Boston Bruins (-125) at Vegas Golden Knights (+105)6 Projected Goal Total

1/11 NHL Favorite Lines

Montreal One – “Nick Suzuki ($5,500), Cole Caufield ($6,100)” – TWO MAN ONLY

It’s not often that the Montreal Canadiens are featured in the Hot Shot. In fact, this is likely their first appearance this season. However, I think that we have the perfect storm tonight. First off, the Canadiens play host to one of our favorite punching bags, the San Jose Sharks, and they are -155 favorites in a 6.5 projected total matchup. Next, they happen to have one of the hottest lines in the NHL. Montreal’s top line is currently tied for fifth among all NHL lines in terms of SATF “135” over their last ten games.

The next part comes down to lineup construction and salary considerations. As always, we have two center spots to fill so all else equal we have to give that some weight. Nick Suzuki’s price is fair at $5,500 and he’s had strong production with 34 points in 39 games “12 goals and 22 assists”. The fact that it so easy to pass on Juraj Slafkovsky “only 14 points in the same 39 games” helps make for an easy decision.

Of course, if we’re going to use this line, we’re also going to use Cole Caufield. At $6,100 he seems like a bit of a bargain. While his 27 points in 39 games so far this season are underwhelming for what we might expect from him, he has been much better as of late and is due for a big game. Between filling a center spot and utilizing moderate salaries with upside, so far, we are off to a good start.

Carolina One – “Sebastian Aho ($7,200), Andrei Svechnikov ($5,800)” – TWO MAN ONLY

Let’s start with the setup. The Hurricanes are -350 favorites hosting the Ducks in a projected 6.5 total matchup. On these bigger slates we like to target two-man lines and in some situations like Montreal’s which we previously covered, it’s an easy decision which two skaters to use from the selected line. I similarly think this line sets up similarly. While this line over has had middling stats, the two selected skaters listed above stand out.

Sebastian Aho “$7,200” is the tenth highest priced active center on DraftKings on this slate. However, within his past six games he has put up totals of 22.5, 27.5, 26.0, and 29.5 DraftKings points with at least three real life points in each of those efforts. He is clearly hitting his stride just in time for this soft matchup and also fills our second center spot.

Speaking of hot, at only $5,800, Andrei Svechnikov feels like a steal given his recent production. He has double-digits DraftKings points in six of his last seven games. This includes three performances finishing up with 24.5, 22.8, and 36.0 “hat trick” DraftKings points respectively.

You’d think with his linemates going wild, Teuvo Teravainen “$4,500” would luck into some points, right? Given how putrid he has been I will take a hard pass and pay the extra $1,300 for Svechnikov. I think any further thoughts I have regarding Teravainen are perhaps better left unsaid.

Winnipeg One – “Nikolaj Ehlers ($6,800), Gabriel Vilardi ($5,700)TWO-MAN ONLY

When you’re a -440 favorite in a single hockey game, that speaks volumes. While their matchup with the Blackhawks only has a six total, it is no surprise where most of the goals are expected to be coming from. This line ranks tenth among NHL lines over their last ten games in terms of SATF “128” and is tied for sixth in goals “8”.

It is hard for me to stomach Mark Scheifele’s price at $6,900. Also, as of the time of writing, there has been no clarification regarding his status after an ear injury he suffered the other night. Given that this isn’t the soft NBA and instead it’s the NHL, I’d assume he will tough it out and play.

Since we don’t need any more centers, let’s turn to the two wings, Nikolaj Ehlers “$6,800” and Gabriel Vilardi “$5,700”. Both of the wings share additional correlation on Winnipeg’s first powerplay unit. Given the odds tonight, it’s a fair assessment to say the Jets may have a few powerplay opportunities. Although the price on Ehlers has snuck up a bit over the last few weeks, his production has also increased across that span. Vilardi has not been quite as good as Ehlers but has been solid and saves us $1,200 from Scheifele and these are savings we need.

1/11 NHL Defensemen and Goalies

Defensemen

Lukas Cormier – Vegas -$2,700 – We need very, very cheap defensemen to make everything work salary-wise. Currently due to all of the Golden Knight’s injuries, Cormier, only one game into his NHL career thus far is slated as quarterback of the Golden Knight’s top power-play unit. He grabbed an assist his first time out while seeing nineteen minutes of ice time and we’re just not going to get similar upside for this price.

Nick Perbix – Tampa Bay – $2,800 – Definitely not a sexy pick, but Perbix is contributing in a number of different ways between providing some assists and blocking shots, hence the 5.2 DraftKings points per game average. He fits salary wise and if you use every other player listed in this article your lineup will have $0 left remaining and cannot do any better.

Goalies

This is a rough slate for goalies, so I think the idea is to pay down a little bit as you’re not losing much passing on the highest priced goalies. With as many games as there are I was shocked to like so few goalies.

Adin Hill may be an option if he returns but then we have to keep eyes peeled and the Bruins aren’t the easiest matchup to return to face. Furthermore, were also a bit salary challenged if you used all six main skaters listed.

Alex Lyon – Detroit – $7,200 – I don’t mind Alex Lyon for $7,200 in a boom or bust matchup hosting the Oilers. He is already confirmed to start in net and has a stellar 2.51 GAA and .920 SV % this season. That said being confirmed so early and due to his price he may be chalky and can get blown up given as the seven projected total indicates.

Thatcher Demko – Vancouver – $7,400 – This where I’m currently leaning. We know Demko is a stud “2.54 GAA, .916 SV %”, he is fairly cheap at $7,400, the Canucks are close to even money in this matchup and the Penguins allow the most DraftKings points to opposing goalies. Much like Alex Lyon above, he may get blown up here. However, if taking some chances, I prefer to take them against the Penguins rather than Edmonton.

1/11 NHL Best Bet

Florida ML – (-135) – DraftKings – Facing the Kings who are traveling to the east coast, we have a team that has won eight straight hosting a team that has dropped six straight. While the law of averages isn’t absolute, for such close odds backing the Panthers makes sense.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at NHL – WIN DAILY® (windailysports.com)

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