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Erik Jones

NASCAR DFS | Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 Picks

Jacob Nelson 4 years ago

written by Jacob Nelson

FanDuel NASCAR DFS | Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 | Atlanta Motor Speedway

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 picks. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only.

Follow jmo on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Cup Series returns today with the Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway in Speedway, Indiana.

This race is 160-laps, or 400-miles, on this 2.5-mile track.

The optimal lineup to begin race will be Joey Logano, Alex Bowman, Aric Almirola, Kurt Busch, and Justin Allgaier.

THE PICKS | FanDuel

FRONTRUNNERS

NOTE: Roster the race winner.

KEVIN HARVICK, DENNY HAMLIN, RYAN BLANEY

Additional options: Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Aric Almirola, Kurt Busch, Martin Truex, Kyle Busch

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

NOTE: Roster drivers that provide positive place-differential points and a strong finishing position.

ERIK JONES, CHRISTOPHER BELL, CLINT BOWYER, WILLIAM BYRON

Additional options: Ryan Preece, Michael McDowell, Cole Custer, Matt Kenseth, Chris Buescher, Ryan Newman, Matt DiBenedetto, Ricky Stenhouse, Bubba Wallace

STARTING TOO HIGH

NOTE: Avoid rostering drivers that finish below their starting position.

The following drivers are starting to high (increasing their potential for negative-place differential) and/or do not appear likely to hit value:

Justin Allgaier, Alex Bowman, Tyler Reddick, Austin Dillon, John Nemechek, Ty Dillon, and Daniel Suarez.

Drivers that may not be attractive plays on FanDuel, can be better plays on DraftKings. Check out WinDaily’s DraftKings article for today:

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series 7/5/20 by Matt Vecchio.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

NOTE: Only roster drivers that finish on the lead lap.

The following drivers are not expected to finish on the lead lap:

Ross Chastain, Quin Houff, Brennan Poole, Joey Gase, Timmy Hill, BJ McLeod, JJ Yeley, Garrett Smithley, and Josh Bilicki.

SLATE ANALYSIS

LAST TIME OUT AT INDIANAPOLIS

The last time out at Indianapolis (September 8, 2019), Harvick took the checkered flag, followed by Logano, Wallace, Byron, Bowyer, Hamlin, Blaney, Newman, and Elliott.

Harvick recorded the most laps led with 118. Blaney led 19 laps, Logano led 11 laps, and Byron and Chastain each led a lap.

Harvick also recorded the most fastest-laps with 43. Kurt Busch recorded 18, Blaney recorded 13, Hamlin recorded 5, Wallace recorded 4, Kyle Busch recorded 3, Logano, Byron, Bowman, Truex, and Bilicki each recorded 2, and Elliott, McDowell, DiBenedetto, and, Stenhouse each recorded a fastest-lap.

The optimal FanDuel lineup for the 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 included Hamlin, Harvick, Byron, Newman, and Wallace with a total of 316.9 points. The driver’s salary ranged from $5,000 to $14,000 and left $500 salary remaining.

RECENT CUP SERIES RACES

The last two Cup Series races were at a two-and-a-half-mile track, Pocono Raceway.

The 2020 Pocono Organics 325 (Saturday, June 27, 2020) optimal lineup included Harvick, Hamlin, Almirola, Bell, and McDowell (293.4, $49,000).

The 2020 Pocono 350 (Sunday, June 28, 2020) optimal lineup included Hamlin, Jones, Bowyer, Almirola, and DiBenedetto (297.30, $49,500).

2020 NASCAR CUP SERIES PERFORMANCE

Race winners during the 2020 Cup Series:

Hamlin (4), Harvick (3), Keselowski (2), Logano (2), Blaney, Elliott, Truex, Bowman

Top-five finishes during the 2020 Cup Series:

Hamlin (9), Harvick (8), Blaney (7), Elliott (7), Kyle Busch (7), Keselowski (5), Almirola (4), Jones (4), Logano (3), Kurt Busch (3), Stenhouse (3), Truex (2), Bowman (2), Bowyer (2), DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Reddick, Buescher, Bell

Top-ten finishes during the 2020 Cup Series:

Harvick (12), Hamlin (10), Keselowski (10), Elliott (9), Kurt Busch (9), Kyle Busch (8), Truex (8), Blaney (7), Almirola (7), Jones (6), Logano (6), Bowman (5), Bowyer (5), Byron (5), DiBenedetto (4), Austin Dillon (4), Buescher (4), Bell (4), Stenhouse (3), Reddick (3), Wallace (2), Nemechek (2), McDowell, Newman, Custer, LaJoie, Ty Dillon, Kenseth

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

RESOURCES

The starting line up is available here.
Pit stall selections are available here.
Driver rankings are available here.
Race results for the last time out at Indianapolis are available here.
Loop data for the last time out at Indianapolis is available here.

4 years ago 0 comment

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS 2020 Pocono Organics 325 | Cup Series

Jacob Nelson 4 years ago

written by Jacob Nelson

THE SLATE

The following NASCAR DFS 2020 Pocono Organics 325 FanDuel picks are intended for GPP purposes.

Aric Almirola leads the way today at the Pocono Organics 325 in Long Pond, Pennsylvania. Lock for this slate is at 3:30 pm ET.

This 325-mile race will take 130-laps to complete at this 2.5-mile, triangle track.

THE PICKS

FRONTRUNNERS

Martin Truex, Kevin Harvick, Chase Elliott

Additional options: Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Aric Almirola, Kurt Busch, Alex Bowman, Jimmie Johnson

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

Christopher Bell, Erik Jones

Additional options: Clint Bowyer, William Byron, Matt DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Matt Kenseth, Ty Dillon, Daniel Suarez, Michael McDowell, Ryan Preece, Chris Buescher, Bubba Wallace, Ricky Stenhouse, Tyler Reddick

STARTING TOO HIGH

Ryan Newman, John Nemechek, and Cole Custer offer a less attractive upside given their starting positions.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

Roster drivers that will finish on the lead lap, and avoid rostering Joey Gase, Garrett Smithley, Quin Houff, JJ Yeley, Timmy Hill, BJ McLeod, Josh Bilicki, Brennan Poole, James Davison, and Corie Lajoie.

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

Follow jmo on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your NASCAR DFS 2020 Pocono Organics 325 FanDuel picks.

RESOURCES

Starting lineup and pit stall assignments for Saturday’s Cup Series race, the Pocono Organics 325.

2019 Gander RV 400 (7.28.19): Race results, loop data, and video

2019 Pocono 400 (6.2.19): Race results, loop data, and video

2018 Gander Outdoors (7.29.18): Race results, loop data, and video

2018 Pocono 400 (6.3.18): Race results, loop data, and video

2017 Overton’s 400 (7.30.17): Race results, loop data, and video

2017 Pocono 400 (6.11.17): Race results, loop data, and video

4 years ago 0 comment

NASCAR

Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS | DraftKings, FanDuel

Jacob Nelson 4 years ago

written by Jacob Nelson

The following DraftKings and FanDuel Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS picks are intended for GPP purposes only. Click here to join us in the #nascar Discord channel now! Follow Josh on twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

The 2020 Alsco Uniforms 500 is set to drop the green flag at Charlotte Motor Speedway in Concord, North Carolina tonight.

This 500-kilometer (approximately 312-miles) race will consist of 208 laps. The stages will be 55-laps, 60-laps, and 93-laps. This race will be official after 104 laps.

The race will be rescheduled for Thursday if rain prevents the race from occurring Wednesday night.

FRONTRUNNERS

NO. 19 – MARTIN TRUEX JR. (FD-$14,000; DK-$9,400; +450) – Truex is among the three favorites to take the checkered flag at this race. Truex offers some point differential upside starting 15th and has the speed and ability to win this race and capture laps led points; he finished 6th on Sunday, with 87-laps led and 56-fastest laps.

NO. 9 – CHASE ELLIOTT (FD-$13,000; DK-$9,700; +500) – Chase was well-positioned to take the checkered flag this past Sunday when a late caution led to a second-place finish. Chase finished Sunday’s race with 38-laps led and 50-fastest laps, and took first place in last night’s Truck Series race, the North Carolina Education Lottery 200.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS: KYLE BUSCH (FD-$13,700; DK-$10,500; +625; starts 12th), KEVIN HARVICK (FD-$12,300; DK-$9,200; +900; starts 16), DENNY HAMLIN (FD-$12,000; DK-$11,200; +1400; starts 29), JOEY LOGANO (FD-$11,000; DK-$8,900; +1000; starts 8), BRAD KESELOWSKI (FD-$11,600; DK-$10,000; +1100, starts 20).

NOTE: Be sure to include the race winner in your Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS lineup, and pass on rostering drivers that finish below their starting position.

NO. 88 – ALEX BOWMAN (FD-$12,200; DK-$8,700; +600) – Bowman led an impressive 164-laps on Sunday, and recorded 52-fastest laps. Starting 12th, Bowman dominated much of the race only to finish 19th. Bowman has the speed and ability to win and dominate this race but faces increased negative place differential risk starting second.

NO. 24 – WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$10,700; DK-$8,500; +1200) – Byron will be starting for the pole tonight after finishing 20th on Sunday with no laps led and 13-fastest laps. He is one of the best young drivers in the Cup Series but his high starting position increases the risk of a negative place differential.

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

NO. 48 – JIMMIE JOHNSON (FD-$11,200; DK-$12,300; +1000) – Jimmie Johnson finished second on Sunday but failed the post-race tech inspection. resulting in a disqualification. Therefore, he will be starting 40th this evening. With minimal down-side risk and significant positive place differential upside, Johnson should be found in many lineups tonight. Make sure to try at least one build without Jimmie just in case he takes an early exit. Jimmie’s last Cup Series win was in June 2017.

NO. 14 – CLINT BOWYER (FD-$9,000; DK-$11,800; +6600) – Bowyer crashed hard into the wall Sunday, and therefore, will be starting 39th. Bowyer offers significant positive place differential upside and should garner ownership on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Consider getting at least one build without Bowyer just in case he decides to take another hard right turn.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS: MATT KENSETH (FD-$7,600, DK-$8,100; +3500; starts 26th), BUBBA WALLACE (FD-$5,000; DK-$8,300; +55000; starts 38th).

SECOND-TIER STUDS

The following drivers do not have the most attractive starting positions but do have the ability to move up during the race and provide value if they do so: RYAN NEWMAN (FD-$7,000; DK-$7,500; +12500; starts 27th), KURT BUSCH (FD-$10,000; DK-$9,000; +1800; starts 14th), ERIK JONES (FD-$9,500; DK-$7,800; +1500; starts 10th), RYAN BLANEY (FD-$10,400; DK-$7,800; +1500; starts 18th), and TYLER REDDICK (FD-$8,000; DK-$7,600; +3500; starts 13th).

STARTING TOO HIGH

The following drivers may be starting a little too high and face risk of negative place differential: Reed Sorenson, Michael McDowell, John Hunter Nemechek, Cole Custer, Matt Benedetto, Austin Dillon (see note below), and Corey LaJoie.

NOTE: Austin Dillon does have the potential to finish top-6 and have a strong performance. Starting 7th increases his risk of negative place differential though.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

The following drivers have not finished on the lead lap during the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series season: Timmy Hill, Quin Houff, Gray Gaulding, Joey Gase, Josh Bilicki, and J.J. Yeley (with exception for the Fan Shield 500).

NOTE: Avoid rostering drivers that will not finish on the lead lap.

JMO’S DRAFTKINGS FAVORITES

Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones, Tyler Reddick, Bubba Wallace, Jimmie Johnson.

JMO’S FANDUEL FAVORITES

Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones, Tyler Reddick, Jimmie Johnson.

NOTE: All relevant updates related to these DraftKings and FanDuel Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS picks will be posted in the #nascar-research channel prior to lock.

“CHANGE YOUR GAME AND CHANGE YOUR LIFE.” Check out windailysports.com for additional insight on NASCAR, MMA, eSports, golf, and more.

4 years ago 0 comment

NASCAR

DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks | Toyota 500

Joshua Moore 4 years ago

written by Joshua Moore

Want to ask Josh questions about his DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following analysis, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks, is intended for DraftKings NASCAR DFS GPP purposes only (Toyota 500 at Darlington – May 20, 2020). The projections below include the official starting positions for each driver.

THE PICKS

JIMMIE JOHNSON ($9,100) – Johnson got to the front of the pack on Sunday, before crashing, and landing him in the 37th starting position for Wednesday. Johnson is projected to finish 12th, and provides significant positive place differential upside. Given the upside, it appears Johnson may be quite chalky, but go ahead and eat the chalk, and move on to your next driver selection.

WILLIAM BYRON ($8,900) – Bryon also found himself in trouble on Sunday, ending his day early, and securing the 34th start position for the Toyota 500. If Byron can remember this is not an iRace, settle in, and log some solid long-run laps – he can provide excellent positive place differential upside. Along with Johnson, Byron will most likely find his way into a lot of line ups Wednesday.

RICKY STENHOUSE JR. ($7,900) – Wrecky Ricky did not make it through the first lap before he ended up in the wall on Sunday, landing him in the 39th start position for the Toyota 500. With minimal downside risk and significant positive place differential upside, it appears Ricky could make it into a lot of lineups for this slate.

KEVIN HARVICK ($11,600) – Harvick won The Real Heroes 400 at Darlington Raceway this past Sunday, landing him in the 20th position to start the Toyota 500. Harvick had the best car on Wednesday, is the favorite to win on Sunday, provides positive place differential upside, and has the ability to lead laps. Plug Harvick in and watch him roll to a victory.

JOEY LOGANO ($9,400) – Logano has a shot at taking the checkered flag every time he fires up the engine. Logano will be starting 3rd with Ty Dillon and Ryan Preece in front of him, giving him a clear path to clean air and laps led. If Logano grabs a bunch of laps led, and finishes in the top five, he will be a great play.

KYLE BUSCH ($12,000) – Kyle Busch is the most expensive driver on the slate; starting 26th and projected to finish second, he’s well-positioned to provide positive place differential points. If you believe Kyle will lead a significant portion of laps, he’s a fine play.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

Alex Bowman, Kurt Busch, Erik Jones, Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski, Cole Custer, Christopher Bell, Daniel Suarez

NOTE: Be sure to check the #nascar channel in Discord for any updates regarding DraftKings NASCAR DFS!

THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included)*

NO.	DRIVER	TEAM	MANUFACTURER	SALARY_DK	START	PROJECTED_FINSIH	PROJECTED _DK_POINTS*
4	Kevin Harvick	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$11,600	20	1	65
18	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$12,000	26	2	66
11	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$10,700	16	3	54
19	Martin Truex Jr.	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$11,110	15	4	51
88	Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$10,000	19	5	53
9	Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$10,300	17	6	49
22	Joey Logano	Team Penske	Ford	$9,400	3	7	33
2	Brad Keselowski	Team Penske	Ford	$9,700	8	8	36
1	Kurt Busch	Chip Ganassi Racing	Chevrolet	$8,700	18	9	44
20	Erik Jones	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$8,500	13	10	37
24	William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$8,900	34	11	56
48	Jimmie Johnson	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$9,100	37	12	57
12	Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	Ford	$8,300	5	13	23
42	Matt Kenseth	Chip Ganassi Racing	Chevrolet	$7,600	11	14	27
21	Matt DiBenedetto	Wood Brothers Racing	Ford	$7,000	7	15	21
8	Tyler Reddick	Richard Childress Racing	Chevrolet	$7,700	14	16	26
10	Aric Almirola	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$7,400	9	17	19
6	Ryan Newman	Roush Fenway Racing	Ford	$6,400	6	18	14
14	Clint Bowyer	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$7,300	4	19	10
3	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	Chevrolet	$7,200	10	20	14
41	Cole Custer	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$6,600	22	21	24
95	Christopher Bell	Leavine Family Racing	Toyota	$6,800	24	22	24
17	Chris Buescher	Roush Fenway Racing	Ford	$6,100	32	23	30
38	John Nemecheck	Front Row Motorsports	Ford	$6,200	12	24	8
96	Daniel Suarez	Gaunt Brothers Racing	Toyota	$6,100	25	25	19
47	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	JTG Daugherty Racing	Chevrolet	$7,900	39	26	31
13	Ty Dillon	Germain Racing	Chevrolet	$5,900	2	27	-8
37	Ryan Preece	JTG Daugherty Racing	Chevrolet	$5,400	1	28	-11
43	Bubba Wallace	Richard Petty Motorsports	Chevrolet	$5,700	21	29	7
34	Michael McDowell	Front Row Motorsports	Ford	$5,800	23	30	7
66	Timmy Hill	MBM Motorsports	Toyota	$4,900	33	31	15
77	Ross Chastain	Spire Motorsports	Chevrolet	tbd	29	32	9
32	Corie LaJoie	Go Fas Racing	Ford	$5,500	31	33	9
15	Brennan Poole	Premium Motorsports	Chevrolet	$4,800	27	34	3
27	Gray Gaulding	Premium Motorsports	Ford	$4,500	28	35	2
51	Joey Gase	Petty Ware Racing	Chevrolet	$4,600	30	36	2
00	Quin Houff	Starcom Racing	Chevrolet	$4,700	35	37	5
53	Garrett Smithley	Rick Ware Racing	Chevrolet	$5,200	36	38	4
78	BJ McLeod	BJ McLeod Motorsports	Chevrolet	$5,000	38	39	4

Join the Win Daily family today at https://windailysports.com/ and join our discord chat to get real-time updates for DraftKings NASCAR DSF!

4 years ago 0 comment

NASCAR

NASCAR DRAFTKINGS DFS: The Real Heroes 400

Chris Bouchard 4 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Finally we get back to some real NASCAR racing Sunday at Darlington Speedway. This starts a crazy good stretch of seven races is eleven days, but this comes with some negatives. There is no qualifying for this race and the starting grid was based off of owners points in 4 groupings, and a random draw. This will put the cream of the crop at front of the field and will make decisions on value plays critical.

NASCAR has been racing at Darlington since 1950 on this 1.366 mile oval. Joe Gibbs (4 wins)(Jones, Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, and Hamlin on his current team) and Toyota (5 wins)(Joe Gibbs Team plus Bell, Suarez, and Hill) have dominated at this track the last 7 races. Only Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have multiple wins at this track.

Brad Keselowski gained the pole followed by Alex Bowman in the first row. Harvick, Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin are possible dominators in the top ten. I would be shocked if any drivers outside of the top ten make it into the top five without some major crash. My top three picks to possibly break the top five would be Elliott (11th), Byron (18th), and Jones (20th). I am not too thrilled with many outside of the top 20 to make up serious ground, but I would take Newman (21st), Kurt Busch (22nd), and Bell (28th) as my top three. I did have to throw in a few deep value plays just to get some diversity in my lineups, but other than McDowell (31st), T, Dillon (33rd), and Suarez (37th), I do not give many of them any hope to score decent DFS points.

***The Real Heroes 400 Top 10 Starting Grid***

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided other than to add some diversity in case of any big crashes. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Denny Hamlin $11,100
Joey Logano $10,100
Kyle Busch $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Erik Jones $9.200
William Byron $8,700
Kurt Busch $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Ryan Newman $6,500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
Daniel Suarez $6,200

I also like 4 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am riding Denny Hamlin as my pick to win this week, but I do like 3 other value plays.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

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4 years ago 0 comment

NASCAR

NASCAR IS BACK – The Real Heroes 400 DFS – Darlington Raceway – 5/17/20

Joshua Moore 4 years ago

written by Joshua Moore

Want to ask Josh questions about The Real Heroes 400 DFS directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following NASCAR Cup Series – The Real Heroes 400 DFS – Darlington Raceway – 5/17/20 analysis is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes.

1. FRONT RUNNER – JOEY LOGANO (FD-$12,200)

Joey Logano, in the Team Penske Shell Penzoil Ford, will be starting from the 9th position on Sunday. Logano has won two of the four Cup Series races in 2020 and will be in a strong position to take the captured flag again at this track that is, too tough to tame.

Pivots: Denny Hamlin (FD-$12,500), Kyle Busch (FD-$14,000), Kevin Harvick (FD-$14,500), Alex Bowman (FD-$10,600), Brad Keselowski (FD-$12,000)

*Make sure to roster the race winner. A second driver from this category may be rostered if they will capture a significant portion of laps led.

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE!

Select drivers that will give you positive place differential points. Consider rostering the following:

CHASE ELLIOTT (FD-$11,700) – Elliott is starting 11th. Elliott has faced some challenges in 2020 capturing the checkered flag, but continues to be ranked third in driver/owner points.

ERIK JONES (FD-$9,800) – Jones is starting 20th. Jones won the last Cup Series race in Darlington, South Carolina (2019 Bojangles’ Southern 500 – September 1, 2019).

KURT BUSCH (FD-$9,400) – Kurt Busch is starting 22nd. Busch logged 65-fastest laps on his way to a 7th place finish last time out at Darlington.

WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$9,000) – Byron is starting 18th. Byron finished 21st last time out at Darlington, but started on the pole. The combination of Bryon and crew chief Chad Knaus, seems to make Byron a great option to capture the upside.

MARTIN TRUEX (FD-$11,500) – Truex is starting 15th. Truex may be the fifth-best driver after Logano, Busch, Hamlin, and Harvick, but has yet to see a top-10 finish in 2020. The starting position makes Truex attractive, but roster this driver with caution.

TYLER REDDICK (FD-$6,600) – Reddick, a teammate of Austin Dillon, is starting 29th. Reddick has an excellent history in the NASCAR Xfinity Series and looks to continue to excel in his rookie year as a Cup driver.

RYAN NEWMAN (FD-$7,000) – Newman is starting 21st. If nothing else, who does not want to see Newman fighting for the win on Sunday. Newman offers great upside, but roster with caution.

3. DEEP PUNTS

Look towards a balanced build this week for The Real Heroes 400, and roster drivers that will finish on the lead lap. Consider avoiding drivers Timmy Hill, Joey Gase, Quin Houff, Reed Sorenson, and Garrett Smithley that have not finished on the lead lap in a 2020 NASCAR Cup Series race.

Join the Win Daily family today at https://windailysports.com/!

4 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NASCAR

NASCAR DFS: FanShield 500 Analysis

Chris Bouchard 4 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Last Week’s NASCAR Auto Club 400 was a step in the right direction as we made a slight profit. Alex Bowman won the race with the best car. Unfortunately, much of the chalk hit, so winning any big money was difficult with a number of ties at the top. This week’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix should be a bit different, with opportunities to have some lineup diversity.

The 48th running of this race, over the 1-mile tri-oval track, will have 3 stages and 312 laps as Stage 1 is set to end at Lap 75, and Stage 2 Lap 190. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated recently winning four of the last five Phoenix races, leading the most laps in each of the last six races (He has Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Truex Jr., and Jones this year) Many drivers have won multiple times on this surface including Kevin Harvick 9 (Five FanShield 500’s), Jimmie Johnson 4, Kyle Busch 3, and Denny Hamlin 2. Joey Logano and Kurt Busch have also won here before.

Chase Elliott shined in Friday’s practice sessions finishing 2nd early and 1st in the late session. Many drivers showed well in both finishing in the top 10 of each including William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Erik Jones.

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Chase Elliot continued his weekend dominance in Phoenix also taking down the Pole in Saturday’s qualifying. His performance is much like what Bowman did last week and is hard to ignore in DFS and Win betting. Phoenix dominator Kevin Harvick joins Elliott in the first row. Hamlin, Larson, a Blaney round out the top 5.

Last year’s winner Kyle Busch will start in 10th and will have other top drives right behind him including Logano 13th, Keselowski 14th, Jimmie Johnson 21st. Martin Truex Jr. who qualified 12th will start the race in the rear due to an engine change.

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track and showed speed in practice and qualifying. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided as they will go down multiple laps quickly with little chance to make a top 15 run. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kevin Harvick $11,00
Kyle Busch $12,000
Brad Keselowski $10,400

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

Chase Elliott $9.600
William Byron $8,300
Erik Jones $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

Christopher Bell $6,500
Kurt Busch $8,100
Bubba Wallace $6,000

I also like 6 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am again riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win this week, but Kevin Harvick can never be ignored.

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

4 years ago 0 comment

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

NASCAR DFS: Final DraftKings Daytona 500 Analysis

Chris Bouchard 4 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

The NASCAR field is finally set for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations duel races on Thursday help set the starting lineup. The first Duel race was won by Joey Logano who led 19 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. continued his good showing at Daytona with 27 led laps and an 8th place finish. Only Daniel Suarez was not running at the end after his crash. The 2nd Duel race was won by William Byron. Kevin Harvick led the most laps at 34 and finished 4th followed by 12 laps led by Alex Bowman who was the pole-sitter but finished 15th. As with the first duel, only one driver J.J Yeley was off the grid at the finish after the accident.

***Bluegreen Vacations Duel 1 At DAYTONA***

***Bluegreen Vacations Duel 2 At DAYTONA***

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Based on the finishes in the Duel races, we are going to have some chalk in DFS Sunday. Stenhouse Jr. leads everyone on the pole followed by Bowman and Duel Winners Logano and Byron.

Friday’s practice was lead by William Byron followed by Ryan Preece and Chase Elliott as Chevrolet dominated taking the top 7 spots for top speed. On Saturday, Joey Logano leads the afternoon practice session as Ford dominated.

Kyle Busch is going to be the top chalk starting in the 28th position. Hamlin 21st, Blaney 27th, and Elliott 25th will also be very highly owned. Only Bowman 2nd and Logano 3rd intrigue me at the top. I see Logano winning this race and leading the most laps. Kyle Busch and Hamlin would be my next 2 choices for top DFS point-getters.

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I have adjusted my top NASCAR plays at each pricing tier based on the starting grid, duel races, practicing, and most importantly the eye test.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kyle Busch $9,800
Joey Logano $10,500
Denny Hamlin $10,400

Mid-Tier

Erik Jones $7,900
Matt DiBenedetto $7,800
Jimmie Johnson $8,200

Value Plays

Christopher Bell $6,700
Brendan Gaughan $7,200
Tyler Reddick $6,400

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4 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NASCAR Sports Betting

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings Analysis for the Daytona 500

bradleemikeska@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by bradleemikeska@gmail.com

The 2020 NASCAR season is finally here. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations Duels At DAYTONA are on tap for Thursday to complete the field for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. Denny Hamlin took home the trophy last season, and for the 2nd time in 4 years. Jimmie Johnson is the only other driver in the field with multiple wins in this event. While starting position is nice to have for DFS, I will always lean towards talent starting at the back of the field.

**The Bluegreen Vacations Duel #1 At DAYTONA**

**The Bluegreen Vacations Duel #2 At DAYTONA**

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This is my favorite race of the year, as I have taken home huge wins in the past with unlikely winners including Trevor Bayne and Austin Dillon. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the pole for Sunday’s race and leads a slew of driver racing for new teams.

2020 NASCAR driver changes

Richard Childress Racing
#8 Chevrolet
2020: Tyler Reddick
2019: Daniel Hemric

Stewart-Haas Racing
#41 Ford
2020: Cole Custer
2019: Daniel Suarez

Roush Fenway Racing
#17 Ford
2020: Chris Buescher
2019: Ricky Stenhouse Jr

JTG Daugherty Racing
#37 Chevrolet
2020: Ryan Preece
2019: Chris Buescher

JTG Daugherty Racing
#47 Chevrolet
2020: Ricky Stenhouse Jr
2019: Ryan Preece

Wood Brothers Racing
#21 Ford
2020: Matt DiBenedetto
2019: Paul Menard

Levine Family Racing
#95 Toyota
2020: Christopher Bell
2019: Matt DiBenedetto

Front Row Motorsports
#38 Ford
2020: John Hunter Nemechek
2019: David Ragan

Premium Motorsports
#15 Chevrolet
2020: Brennan Poole
2019: Ross Chastain

StarCom Racing
#00 Chevrolet
2020: Quin Houff
2019: Landon Cassill

Many rookies should make an impact in 2020 with Christopher Bell leading the way, but others including Custer and Reddick could give him a nice run It was nice to see these drivers get their chance on the big stage.

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My top DraftKings DFS plays going into this weekend are below. I may tweak them a bit once the final starting grid comes out, but I am fairly confident in these choices at this point. Other than maybe Stenhouse Jr. at the top, the qualifying was not too surprising as 4 Chevrolets were at the top. Erik Jones took down the Busch Clash last Weekend and finished 10th in qualifying.

I will be updating my plays, including my DFS driver usage, on Saturday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kyle Busch $9,800
Denny Hamlin $10,400
Joey Logano $10,500

Mid-Tier

Erik Jones $7,900
Matt DiBenedetto $7,800
Jimmie Johnson $8,200

Value Plays

Christopher Bell $6,700
Tyler Reddick $6,400
Chris Buescher $7,100

I have also chosen 5 NASCAR plays that I think have good value to win on DraftKings. While I think a big odds win is not probable, I am always willing to take some shots. Make sure you always shop around as most of the good odds this week are on FanDuel, not DraftKings.

Kyle Busch 10/1 (13/1 on FanDuel) $250
Jimmie Johnson 20/1 (22/1 on FanDuel) $100
Christopher Bell 33/1 (42/1 on FanDuel) $100
Erick Jones 25/1 $100
Bubba Wallace 50/1 (70/1 on FanDuel) $50

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4 years ago 0 comment

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

DFS NASCAR Post-Qualifying Analysis for Miami

Chris Bouchard 4 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

The weather, unfortunately, wiped out qualifying, thus the starting lineup was put in place using owner’s points. The final four left in the chase for the Championship will start in the top 4 which makes for excitement in the race but does not give us too much for DFS purposes. Below is our DraftKings DFS NASCAR post-qualifying analysis for Miami.

There does not seem to be any huge advantage for anyone, but if I have to rank them in order, I would have to go with the following ranking.

Hamlin
Truex Jr.
Harvick
Kyle Busch

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They were only able to get one practice session in Saturday. Kyle Busch topped the session with the best speed of 168.966 and the best overall lap average. Martin Truex Jr. was 2nd in both categories. Hamlin was 3rd in Practice and 5th in lap averages followed by Harvick who was 9th in practice and 4th in lap averages. Even after these results, I am sticking with my ranking. While you can’t ignore Kyle ever, I just think the other 3 have been better in my eyes.

Joey Logano is still the most intriguing driver in my eyes outside of the championship four. I think he wants to repeat in this race and prove he is still on top of his game. I also like Keselowski. He was fast in practice which helps, but he has had several issues in recent races. I will have him in one of my lineups. I also expect Chase Elliott to be in the mix.

I have ranked my top drivers outside of these seven below. The only addition to my first article this week is Erik Jones who looked good in practice. These are the 14 drivers I focused on for my DFS lineups.

Jimmie Johnson
Alex Bowman
Erik Jones
Austin Dillon
Matt DiBenedetto
Ty Dillon
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

I have decided to only play 5 lineups this week. My Optimal Lineup includes Hamlin, Truex Jr., Logano, and Austin Dillon plus 2 value plays. It was very difficult to decide who to use, but I thought this foursome was the best. I do have Harvick and Kyle Busch in a lineup as well as many of the others I spoke of above.

The odds on DraftKings have not changed as the top four are still +325. My other top picks for this site would be Logano at +2000, Jones at +4000, and Johnson at +10000. I think Logano is the best value.

These odds are so much better than what FanDuel is offering, except for Jones who is +5000. Nothing else intrigued me.

While winning some serious cash is top on my list tomorrow, I do want this championship to come down to the last lap. I think Hamlin edges out Truex Jr. with Logano finishing 3rd. Good Luck!

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Since I am on Hamlin and Truex Jr. to lead, I have to go with the under on both Harvick and Kyle Busch.

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4 years ago 0 comment

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Erik Jones

THE SLATE

THE PICKS | FanDuel

FRONTRUNNERS

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

STARTING TOO HIGH

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

SLATE ANALYSIS

LAST TIME OUT AT INDIANAPOLIS

RECENT CUP SERIES RACES

2020 NASCAR CUP SERIES PERFORMANCE

RESOURCES

THE SLATE

THE PICKS

FRONTRUNNERS

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

STARTING TOO HIGH

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

RESOURCES

THE SLATE

FRONTRUNNERS

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

SECOND-TIER STUDS

STARTING TOO HIGH

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

THE PICKS

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included*)

1. FRONT RUNNER – JOEY LOGANO (FD-$12,200)

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE!

3. DEEP PUNTS

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Join our Gold Membership and receive one on one coaching in our private discord chat, access to cheat sheets, access to projection models, and all of our PRO DFS and Sports Betting articles.

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2020 NASCAR driver changes

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(fastest laps, laps led not included)*

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