Welcome to the Thursday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
Today we have 2 slates, a 6-game slate starting at 1pm EST and then a 5-game slate starting at the normal 7pm EST. In both slates, there are some solid stacking opportunities.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
It’s going to be tough sledding for Adrian Sampson this afternoon. While he hasn’t pitched all that poorly, he’s going to be facing a tough Orioles lineup today that has been putting up runs more often than not. This Orioles team is no longer the laughing stock of the league, even though they have one of the lowest payrolls of any team. They are threatening for the final Wild Card spot in the AL and this is a matchup that should inch them closer.
The bats that I’m going to be most interested in here are going to be the guys hitting 1-3 in this order. That will be Cedric Mullins, Adley Rutschman, and Anthony Santander. All three of these guys will have the platoon advantage here and have been really good against righties, especially over the last month.
I’ll start with the prized catcher, Adley Rutschman. Rutschman is someone that we really only want to use when facing righties. His numbers as a righty have been bad, but as a lefty, he’s been crushing. Against righties over the last month, Rutschman has a .466 wOBA and a .216 ISO. All 7 of his homers this season have been as a lefty and has a slugging % of .526 from that side of the plate.
Next up will be leadoff hitter Cedric Mullins. He’s also been lights out vs. righties over the last month, with a .390 wOBA. He’s even shown some power with a .211 ISO. He’ll line up extremely well with the fastball/sinker combo that Sampson will throw. He has an ISO over.250 against both of these pitchers. Santander will also lineup extremely well. Against righty fastball, which he’ll 40% of the time today, he has a .336 ISO. He should crush this afternoon vs. Sampson.
Other bats I’ll look to get into this stack will be Ryan Mountcastle, Jorge Mateo, and Terrin Vavra.
Antonio Senzatela has been extremely consistent over the past couple of months. He’s given up at least 3 ER in 7 of his last 9 games. With a matchup against the Cardinals today, that streak should continue against an extremely tough lineup in the Cardinals. While the Cardinals have been one of the best in the league against lefties, they’ve also been extremely solid against righties.
They have a season-long OPS of .727 which is well into the top half of the league. With Senzatela, we’ll want to focus mostly on the righties as they have a .552 slugging % vs. Senzatela this season. That said, lefties have been good against him too with a .455 slugging % and a .364 wOBA. We won’t need to ignore them here
Knowing that Senzatela has been worse against righties automatically has me on the Cardinals’ top 2 guys, Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt. These 2 guys are also two of the best in the league. Over the last month, both of them have been tormenting righties with wOBA’s over .400. They each have also shown a lot of power vs. them, with Goldy having an ISO of .420 and Arenado a .321. They’ll be a lock in my Cardinal stacks today.
I’m also going to look to get Lars Nootbaar, Brendan Donovan, and Nolan Gorman into this stack. Both Nootbaar and Donovan are extremely cheap today and should be hitting at the top of this lineup. Combined, they only cost $5.2k on DK and will make paying up for Arenado and Goldy a lot easier. They’ve also been solid vs. righties over the last month, each having a wOBA over .320. If they get on, they’ll be locks to score some runs hitting in front of the two big Cards.
Some other stacks I like today on the early slate will be the Texas Rangers vs. Zach Logue and the Chicago Cubs vs. Spenser Watkins.
The Padres get an absolute smash spot today against Anibal Sanchez and the Nationals bullpen. This same Padres team put up a 10 spot yesterday and doing it again today is not out of the question. Sanchez has now started 6 games on the year and has allowed at least 3 ER in every single one of them. That trend should continue tonight.
While he only gave up 3 ER in his last start against the Padres, he did give up 2 homers and gave up a 47% hard-hit rate. It could have been a whole lot worse and it should be tonight on the Padres’ home turf. Sanchez’s splits have been extremely clear this season. Prioritize righties against him. Righties have a nearly .700 slugging % against him in 2022 and a .486 wOBA.
Knowing how bad Sanchez is against righties, I’m going to start my Padres stack off with Manny Machado and Brandon Drury. Machado has been lights out vs. righties over the last month. He has a massive .449 wOBA and a .342 ISO. He’s coming into this one hot also, with 8 straight games of at least 2 hits. That’s just an insane pace and with such a soft matchup, it should continue tonight. Brandon Drury has also been really good against righties, with a .343 wOBA and a .250 ISO against them over the last month. He’ll be in a great spot to produce tonight.
Even though my lean is to the righties here, Sanchez is still giving up a .460 slugging % to lefties. While not a priority for me, I’ll also look to get guys like Juan Soto and Jake Cronenworth into my stack. Soto is a beast and can take advantage of any pitcher. He’s not a lock for me tonight due to being tough getting in 3 high salaried guys, but if value opens up today, I’ll get him in there.
Everyone in this lineup though is in play tonight.
Oh, how I wish the calendar read 2021 today and we had the likes of Austin Meadows and a healthy Wander Franco here. It isn’t 2021, but this is still a good spot for the Tampa Bay Rays. They get a great matchup vs. a bad pitcher in Carlos Hernandez. If you were to look up the term gas can in the dictionary, a picture of Hernandez may show up. He’s now made 9 starts on the year and has given up less than 3 ER just once.
He’s been brutal to both sides of the plate this season, with righties and lefties having slugging %’s over .500. We have a slight lean here as righties have a wOBA .437 against him. That said, lefties have a wOBA of .398 vs. him this season so they are 100% in play.
I’m starting off my Rays stack with Randy Arozarena tonight. Although he took an 0-3 last night, he’s been really hot at the plate. Over the last week, he has had 4 homers and 10 RBI. He’s also been decent against righties over the last month, with a wOBA over .320 and an ISO pushing .200. He should be able to put last night’s game in the rear-view mirror and start a new hot streak.
Next up will be Yandy Diaz. Hitting leadoff, he’s been really good recently. He’s hit safely in 6 of his last 8 games and has 5 hits in his last 3. He had a monster night at the plate yesterday with 2 doubles and 3 RBI. He’ll continue with the hot hitting tonight.
Other guys that I really like in this lineup tonight will be Brandon Lowe, David Peralta, and Taylor Walls. These guys have been hitting the ball well and should be in a spot to succeed tonight.
Other places I like for offense tonight will be Boston vs. JT Brubaker and the Pirates vs. Josh Winckowski. That game has the potential for a game stack as both pitchers aren’t very good. There should be plenty of runs to go around there. Yankees vs. Jose Berrios are very much in play as well.
Make sure to check our optimizer here.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Welcome to the Tuesday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
Happy Patrick Corbin Day y’all. That’s right, we have Corbin on the hill and that always makes for a fun slate. We also have a handful of other pitchers that we can look to target.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
We should be very thankful for the Nationals still owing Corbin $60m over the next couple of years. If it wasn’t for that, we wouldn’t get to stack against him once a week because he most certainly would have been DFA’d already. To put into context how bad Corbin has been, in 2 of his last 3 starts he couldn’t make it out of the first inning. Now they were against the Phillies and the Dodgers, but still, to not be able to make it out of the first in 2 starts is epically bad.
He’s now gone 6 consecutive starts with giving up at least 4 ER. While I wouldn’t categorize the Cubs as a powerhouse offense, they still do have some competent pieces that we can use tonight. With the Cubs, we’ll give a slight edge to the righties in their lineup. Corbin, while pretty bad vs. both sides of the plate, gives up just a smidge more power to righties as 18 of the 21 homers he’s given up this season have been to righties.
Core: My core with the Cubs will be Patrick Wisdom, Willson Contreras, and Ian Happ. These are the 3 big boppers in the lineup and also the three guys that have hit lefties the best this season. While he has cooled off against southpaws somewhat over the last month, Contreras still has an OPS of .958 vs. lefties on the season, mostly due to a .600 slugging %. Should Corbin continue to throw his sinker a ton, Contreras should have a monster night. He has a .545 ISO vs. lefty sinkers.
Patrick Wisdom also has monster numbers vs. lefty sinkers, with a .450 ISO and a .531 slugging %. Happ, while not as powerful vs. southpaws, has a .333 AVG this season vs. them. These 3 should make it a long night for Corbin.
Secondary Pieces: Other pieces I like that I’m not going to force in are going to be Seiya Suzuki and Nico Hoerner. These 2 are kind of priced in a no-mans land area in the mid $4k range. If I had to pick between the 2, I’d give a lean to Hoerner as he is coming into this one swinging a decent stick over the last week with an OPS of 1.069.
Value: There’s going to be a lot of value in this Cubs lineup. Nick Madrigal and Franmil Reyes are both under $3k tonight on DK. Reyes is always a 3 strikeout risk but he also has immense power, making him the ultimate GPP play. I give a slight lean to Madrigal here as he’ll be hitting in the leadoff spot and has been swinging a hot bat, with a 1.063 OPS over the last week.
Lefty on the mound vs. the Cardinals? SIGN ME UP. Over the last few years, anytime a lefty was on the mound against the White Sox it was an auto-play in MLB DFS. That has become the Cardinals this season. They have been absolute beasts vs. lefties and today they face off against a very average one in Kyle Freeland. While Freeland hasn’t been awful, he’s still someone that gives up a ton of hard contact and that’s what we want.
Freeland just faced this squad a week ago in Coors and got shelled for 6 ER in just 4 innings of work. The hitting conditions won’t be nearly as solid as they were in Coors, but it doesn’t matter with this Cardinals team, they crush lefties regardless of the stadium.
Core: The three auto plays in this lineup against lefties are Nolan Arenado, Paul Goldschmidt, and Tyler O’Neill. Let’s just start with some of the numbers that Goldy has put up against lefties this season. He’s hitting .432 with a 1.345 OPS. His OBP vs. lefties is .531 this season. Think about that for a second. More than half the time against lefties this season, he’s getting on base.
Arenado is also having a solid year vs. lefties with a 1.026 OPS. He has 9 homers against them this season and very well could add to that total tonight vs. Freeland. After a torrid pace that saw him get hits in 10 straight, Arenado is coming into this one hitless in his last 2 games. Freeland will cure that mini-slump of his.
Secondary: I also really like Paul DeJong and Dylan Carlson tonight. If I had to pick between the 2, I’d give a slight edge to DeJong as he’s been hot since getting called back up from the minors.
Value: Fading Goldy, while tough, is in play tonight. If you decide to do that, just go with Albert Pujols. He’s just $2.2k on DK tonight and is coming into this one with 3 homers in his last 4 games. The chase for 700 is on as he’s down to just needing 11. He’s been solid vs. lefties this season, with a 1.049 OPS. It’s rare that reunions work with someone on the tail end of his career. This one has worked and will work for us with our MLB DFS stacks tonight.
The Toronto Blue Jays get a nice matchup tonight vs. Dean Kremer for our MLB DFS lineups. Kremer has not been pitching all that well over the last month. If we exclude his gem vs. the lowly Pirates, Kremer has 3 starts over his last 4 that have been just plain bad. In those 3 starts, he’s given up 14 ER in just 15 innings of work. Over the last month, Kremer has been giving up just a ton of hard contact and a ton of flyballs. His hard-hit rate is nearly 43% and his flyball rate is pushing 46%. That’s a lethal combo and one that will only be exaggerated tonight vs. a solid Blue Jays lineup.
This is a matchup that will play well into the strengths of the Blue Jays. Kremer is a reverse splits pitcher, with far worse numbers against righties than lefties. Righties have a .477 slugging %, a .305 AVG, and a .355 wOBA vs. Kremer this season. All significantly worse than what lefties have done.
Core: My Blue Jays Core tonight will be George Springer, Vlad Guerrero, and Matt Chapman. Of the three Chapman is my favorite. Over the last month, he’s absolutely crushed righties with a .371 ISO and .430 wOBA. At just $4.5k he’s also the cheapest of the 3. Next up would be Vladimir Guerrero. Compared to last year, you could somewhat say that he’s been a bit of a disappointment. He ONLY has 24 homers this season compared to his 48 last year and ONLY has 65 RBI. That said, he’s 100% in play in this matchup as he’s crushed righties all year with a .507 slugging %. He’s also been really good against them over the last month, with a .423 wOBA.
Secondary Pieces: Other pieces I really like here tonight will be the usual suspects, Teoscar Hernandez, Lourdes Gurriel, and Bo Bichette. They all have immense upside in matchups like this tonight, with Gurriel having the most value with his $4.2k salary tonight. I won’t force any of these guys in tonight, but if I have a square available for them, I’ll be sure to put them in.
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Guardians vs. Garrett Hill, Braves vs. Taijuan Walker, and Brewers vs. Ryan Repiot. The Guardians were really close to making my top 3 tonight and if things shake out with ownership where the Blue Jays become chalk, the Guardians will overtake them in my top 3. They were somewhat stifled by Hill last time out, but they were also BABIP’d in that matchup. It’s a solid matchup for them.
Make sure to check our optimizer here.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Welcome to the Monday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
Tonight we have a decent-sized 10-game slate of MLB DFS to navigate through. We have some really solid options for stacking purposes, and some sneaky spots as well.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
On paper, the ERA looks very solid over the last month for James Kaprielian. It’s sitting at just 2.11. The xFIP and ERA for Kap tell a tail of 2 different stories. The xFIP for Kap is sitting more than 2.5 runs higher at 4.71. Now sometimes you need to take the delta of the 2 with a grain of slate. Not tonight. There’s going to be some regression for Kap against a solid Rangers lineup. My reasoning for bringing up regression is due to the fact that Kap just gives up a ton of what we look for with our MLB DFS stacks. Hard-hit balls and flyballs.
Over the last month, Kap is giving up a nearly 36% hard-hit rate and a nearly 47% flyball rate. This combo is normally a deadly one, especially when you give up an 80% contact rate. He’s been blessed with a BABIP of just .270 over the last month. Those balls are going to start to drop at some point and I want to be along for the ride when they do. With Kap, we’ll have a slight lean towards righties as he has reverse-splits tendencies. Righties have a higher significantly higher slugging % and wOBA.
Core: I’m going to build my Texas core tonight around Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia. This is a solid spot for Garcia tonight. He’s a reverse splits hitter facing a reverse splits pitcher. Those are the spots that I target him in and this is one of those spots. It also helps that he’s coming into this game as one of the Rangers’ better hitters of late. He’s riding an 11-game hitting streak and over that stretch has been filling box scores with stolen bases and home runs. 15 of his 19 bombs this year have come against righties and his average is more than 60 points higher vs. them. I’ll be locking him in. S
Semien has also shown some pop vs. righties this season, with 13 of his 17 homers coming against them. Kap mostly throws his fastball to righties. Against righty fastballs, Semien has a .386 wOBA and a .264 ISO. He’s a little cold right now, but mostly due to an extremely low BABIP. He should bounce back in a solid matchup tonight.
Secondary Pieces: The only reason I don’t have him listed in my core is due to the Kap being a smidge better against lefties. That said, Corey Seager will more than likely still make the cut and get into my Rangers stack tonight. He is extremely hot right now with hits in 5 of his last games and continues to be the main part of this offense. Over the weekend he had 3 hits, 2 of which went extra bases and scored 3 runs. He should be able to carry the momentum from the weekend into a solid matchup against Kap.
Value: The bottom of the Rangers lineup will be littered with value. Leody Tavares, Josh Smith, Ezequiel Duran, and Brad Miller are all $2.5k and below. My favorite of the bunch will be Duran as he’ll have the splits advantage in this one and is hitting the ball well, with 7 hits in his last 20 AB.
Oh, Yusei Kikuchi how frustrating you are. Days we say to stack against you, you end up throwing a gem. Days we think you can throw a gem, you fail. Even though he’s a frustrating pitcher to get right, I’m going to stack against him tonight with a surprisingly good Orioles lineup. Kikuchi threw a dud last week against this same scrappy Orioles lineup. Chances are, he does it again.
This is going to be the third time that Kikuchi is facing the Orioles this season. The prior 2 times he’s faced them are 2 of his worst outings of the year. Let’s make it 3. With Kikuchi, we really want to focus on righties. Righties have a .525 slugging % vs. him this season and a .392 wOBA. He struggles mightily vs. them.
Core: My core with the Orioles tonight will be Jorge Matteo, Ramon Urias, and Anthony Santander. The switch-hitting Santander has been far better hitting vs. lefties this season than righties. His slugging % vs. lefties is .545 and combines with his OBP to give him an OPS of .909. He’s been one of the more underrated pieces of this Orioles lineup and will be a lock in all of my Orioles stacks tonight. Jorge Matteo has been extremely solid for the Orioles. While no one will confuse him for a rookie of the year candidate, his numbers this season have been strong. He’s pushing 30 steals and has scored 48 runs, all while hitting at the very bottom of this Orioles lineup.
Secondary: Other pieces I do like here are going to Ryan Mountcastle, Austin Hays, and to a lesser extent Adley Rutschman. Adley Rutschman is one of the bright young starts in the league, I’m just hesitant to play him tonight because he’s yet to really figure out how to hit left-handed pitchers in the big leagues. Hays has been a bit on the quiet side of late, but he does have solid numbers vs. lefties in his career with a .196 ISO vs. them. He’s also taken Kikuchi deep.
2 of Joe Ryan’s last 3 outings have been an absolute nightmare for the young Twins pitcher. He gave up 10 ER to the Padres and then 5 ER to the Dodgers. While the Royals are a far inferior team to both of those squads, depending on the lineup that Mike Matheny doles out tonight, it could play right into his weakness and that’s lefties. There’s a good chance that Matheny throws out 5 lefties tonight and that’s where we can take advantage of Ryan.
His K-rate plummets and flyball rate sky-rockets. His season-long k rate drops from 30% against righties to a very average 18% for lefties. This is a high-risk MLB DFS stack that can either bite us or take us to the motherland, either way, I’m going for it.
Core: My core to this stack is going to be Vinnie Pasquantino and MJ Melendez. Somehow, Pasquantino is still just $2.1k on DK. All he’s done over the last week is rake, and he’s in a matchup tonight where he should continue to rake. Over the last week, he’s hit safely in 6 games and has 4 homers over that stretch. He has a .219 ISO vs. righties over the last 30 days with just a 13% K-rate. He’s in my core and also one of my favorite value pieces on the board tonight.
MJ Melendez is also one of my favorite hitters tonight. His numbers over the last week aren’t great, but he’s also been extremely unlucky with a .176 BABIP. He has flyball tendencies and pair that with Ryan’s tendencies to give up flyballs to lefties, and this could be a match made in heaven.
Secondary Pieces: He’s not in my core, but Salvador Perez is always in play when stacking the Royals. While Ryan has a massive 46% k-rate vs. righties over the past month, he also has an equally massive 63% hard-hit rate vs. them too. He’s either striking you out or giving up a barrel. Perez has a .298 ISO vs. righties over the past month and could get to Ryan today. Where I can, I’ll try to fit him in.
Value: Other pieces of value in this Royals stack tonight will be Michael Massey, Nick Pratto, and Nicky Lopez. All three are min-priced on DK tonight and will get the platoon advantage. They will all make nice punts tonight if you need them.
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Blue Jays vs. Kyle Bradish, Chicago Cubs vs. home run-prone Josiah Gray, and the Giants vs. Madison Bumgarner.
Make sure to check our optimizer here.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
"*" indicates required fields
