DFS

Welcome to the Tuesday edition of the Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

Tonight we have a nice size 12-game slate of MLB DFS to navigate through.  Tonight’s pitching is void of any true ace, but there are still some solid options on the hill.  With the lack of aces, we do have some great targets for our bats.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Blake Snell vs. San Francisco Giants

Blake Snell faced this same Giants team about 3 weeks ago and absolutely dominated them.  He finished the game with 8 k’s and allowed just 1 ER in a little over 5 innings of work.  I wouldn’t be shocked to see him replicate that today against a Giants team that just continues to strike out a ton.  Over the last week, the Giants have struck out more than 28% of the time and have scored just 14 runs.  While they are a bit better vs. lefties, Snell is talented enough that he should mow them down again. 

The lineup that the Giants will throw out today will also play into Snell’s strengths.  He has a 37.6% K rate vs. righties over the last month and he’ll more than likely face 7-8 righties tonight.  I’m going to be locking Snell and his 34.5% K rate over last month in as my SP1 tonight. 

George Kirby vs. Detroit Tigers

George Kirby has been pitching some phenomenal baseball over the last month.  In 5 starts, he’s given up more than 2 ER just once and has a 30% K rate over that stretch.  He’ll get a great matchup tonight vs. the Detroit Tigers.  Over the last month, the projected Tigers lineup tonight has done absolutely nothing vs. righties.  They have a 27% k rate, a .096 ISO, and a .283 wOBA. 

With how well Kirby has been pitching, he should be able to breeze through a lineup that has mostly AAA hitters in it outside of Riley Greene.  He’s extremely cheap tonight on DK at just $8.5k.  With how well he’s pitching and the matchup, he should be priced much higher.

Max Fried vs. Colorado Rockies

I don’t normally like to attack this Rockies lineup with a lefty as they’ve been one of the better teams vs. lefties this season, but this game is in Atlanta and the Rockies offense is nowhere near as potent on the road as they are at home.  We’re in the stretch of baseball now where teams are going to start jockeying for playoff positions or will be in heated races.  The Braves are 3 games back of the Mets and will need huge performances out of their pitchers.  They’ll get that tonight out of Fried who is coming into this game pitching very well. 

Over the last month of baseball, he’s pitched to ERA under 2 and has really limited hard contact as he’s allowed just a 23% hard-hit rate.  The only concern with him at his price point is that he doesn’t have huge K upside.  His K rate over the last month is just 22%.  He’ll have a good game, but his ceiling is somewhat capped.

Other pitchers I like tonight will be Brady Singer vs. a disappointing White Sox team, Erick Fedde vs. Oakland, and Kevin Gausman vs. the Cubs.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Atlanta Braves vs. Jose Urena

While Jose Urena has been way worse at home with a 7.36 ERA in Coors, he’s still sporting a 4.21 ERA on the road.  He’ll have the tough task of facing a deep Braves lineup today.  Urena is coming into this matchup today after having one of his worst outings of the year.  Against the Dodgers a week ago, Urena gave up 9 ER in just over an inning of work.  I doubt we see a replication of that tonight, but we should see the Braves put up a big number. 

Urena is a pitcher that pitches to contact.  Over the last month, Urena has allowed an 87% contact rate which is by far the highest number of any pitcher on tonight’s slate.  He’s also sporting a WHIP of 1.75 over the last month.  That much contact and that many runners on against one of the best lineups in the game are going to make for a fun evening of MLB DFS.  With Urena, we’ll want to prioritize hitters from the left side.  They have a .400 wOBA vs. him and a .480 slugging %

Core:  I wish they hit closer together in the lineup to get some correlation, but I’m going to build my Braves core around Michael Harris and Matt Olson.  Olson may be one of my favorite bats on the board tonight as he should crush in this matchup.  Urena will throw mostly sinkers to both sides of the plate tonight.  Against righty sinkers, Olson has a .256 ISO and an average exit velocity of 95 mph.  He’s set up to have a monster night.  While it’s much smaller sample size for Harris, he’s also had some success vs. this pitch.  He has a 66% hard-hit rate vs. righty sinkers and an average distance of 424 feet.  Both of these guys very well could take Urena deep tonight.     

Secondary Pieces:  After locking in Harris and Olson tonight, I’ll look to add in the usual suspects of Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson, Ronald Acuna, and Eddie Rosario.  I didn’t mention Rosario in my core because he’s been extremely up and down this season, but he’s also in a great spot.  He has a long track record of doing well vs. sinkers and will also have the split advantage.  He’s also extremely cheap at $2.9k and will make paying up for the big bats in this lineup a smidge easier.  This entire lineup is in play tonight as on paper, they have the best matchup on paper.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Mitch Keller

The Brewers are the type of lineup that when they are rolling, you want to jump along for the ride.  They are rolling right now as they’ve scored at least 7 runs in three straight.  With a matchup against Mitch Keller and the Pirates bullpen, there’s an excellent chance that they can make it 4 straight tonight. 

Keller comes into this matchup, not in great form. While he was a bit unlucky in his last outing as he gave up 7 runs, 5 of which were unearned, he still gave up a ton of contact in that game and multiple barrels.  Over the last month, he’s given up an 84% contact rate and a 5.29 ERA.  With Keller, I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits.  Both sides of the plate have a slugging % around .420 and wOBA’s over .330. 

Core: I’m going to build my core for the Brewers around Hunter Renfroe, Willy Adames, and Christian Yelich.  Yelich was arguably the disappointment of the night last night as he only went 1 for 5.  He still hit 3 bullets last night, he was just a bit unlucky.  I’m going to go right back to the well with him as he’s seeing the ball and hitting it as hard as he has all year.  Both Adames and Renfroe have been really solid against righties over the last month.  They both have ISO’s pushing .290 and wOBA’s around .330.  Renfroe now has 5 hits in his last 8 AB.  He’s hot and a streaky hitter.  Ride the wave with me. 

Secondary Pieces:  Other pieces I’ll look to use here will be Kolten Wong, Jace Peterson, and Keston Hiura.  Hiura has been lethal against righties over the last month, with a .429 ISO and a .427 wOBA.  At just $2.7k on DK, he opens up a ton of salary relief and makes paying up for someone like Adames a little bit easier.  Both Wong and Peterson will have the platoon advantage and I love using Peterson against average righties. 

Value:  Garrett Mitchell is min-priced on DK tonight and may be the top MLB DFS value play of the night.  Since debuting on Sunday, he’s had 4 RBI and stole his first base last night.  If he cracks the lineup, he’ll be a lock in my Brewers stack.  

Minnesota Twins vs. Kutter Crawford

The Twins get a great matchup tonight vs. Kutter Crawford.  Crawford has thrown 3 duds in his last 4 outings and very well could make it 4 out of 5 when the night is done tonight.  Crawford has been giving up a ton of hard contact over the last month.  His 45% hard-hit rate is significantly higher than any other pitcher on the mound tonight.  With the amount of hard contact he’s been giving up, a lineup like the Twins should be able to put up a healthy amount of runs tonight.  Vegas currently has their IRT at 4.73 and I think they get all of it.  With Crawford, we’ll want to make sure to get the lefties in this lineup in our MLB DFS stacks.  He’s giving up a .584 slugging % and a .397 wOBA to lefties this season.

Core/Value: I’ll start building my Twins stack tonight with guys like Luis Arraez, Max Kepler, and Nick Gordon.  Gordon is one of my favorite bats in his lineup.  He’s min-priced tonight at $2k on DK and will get the platoon advantage here.  Over the last month, he’s been decent against righties with a .196 ISO and a .338 wOBA.  All 5 of his homers this season have come against righties and I would not be surprised to see him get one tonight.  Baseball Savant has him in the top 25 in expected slugging % in all of baseball.  He has some sneaky power.  While Kepler and Arraez haven’t exactly been great over the last month, this is the type of breakout matchup they’ve been looking for. 

Secondary:  After my core, I’ll look to add in guys like Carlos Correa, Jose Miranda, and Gio Urshela.  Urshela has been their best hitter over the past week, with 7 hits in his last 23 AB and a 5 wRC.  He has back-to-back games in double-digit fantasy points and is only $2.8k on DK.  He’s a solid value.  Miranda is coming off a solid night that saw him reach base 4 times, with 2 hits and 2 walks.  He’ll look to build on that tonight vs. a pitcher that’s struggling. 

MLB DFS Summary

Other stacks I like tonight are going to be the Angels vs. Jameson Taillon, Yankees vs. Mike Mayers, Nationals vs. Cole Irvin, and the Dodgers vs. Taijuan Walker.

Make sure to check out our new Home Run Model, it’s been running white hot!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Welcome to the Friday edition of the Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

Tonight we have a massive 14-game slate of MLB DFS to navigate through.  We have a couple of solid pitchers we can turn to and some smash spots for offense. 

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Gerrit Cole vs. Oakland Athletics

While every game that Gerrit Cole pitches in feels like a trap play, he should do well tonight.  He’ll be facing a weak lineup that, although he didn’t strike out many, Jameson Taillon was able to essentially dominate last night.  This Athletics team doesn’t strike out a whole lot, but they also don’t do much in the way of hitting for power.  The projected lineup tonight for the A’s have just a .154 ISO vs. righties over the past month.  We may not see a 10 K performance from Cole tonight, but we should see him roll through this lineup with ease.  He’s expensive at $10.7k on DK tonight, but he has arguably one of the best matchups on the board tonight.

Justin Steele vs. Milwaukee Brewers

I highlighted this the other day with Andrew Heaney that the Milwaukee Brewers have been pretty bad this season against lefties.  Against lefties this season, the Brewers have struck out more than 26% of the time.  If we dial that back to more recent data, the projected lineup tonight has a 28.2% strike-out rate vs. lefties over the last month.  It also helps that Justin Steele is coming into this one pitching some outstanding baseball.  Over his 26 innings of work, Steele has a 36% k rate and just a .68 ERA.  While that ERA seems exaggerated, his xFIP of 1.85 shows it’s not a fluke.  Justin Steele is coming into his own as a pitcher and he’ll make for a nice value with pitching tonight as he’s only $7.6k on DK. 

Bailey Falter vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Bailey Falter gets the privilege of taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight.  The Pirates lineup has been pretty cold of late, with just 15 runs scored over the last week and a 26% K rate.  With Falter being a southpaw, we’ll be able to neutralize guys like Oneil Cruz.  Falter is coming into this pitching pretty well.  Over the last month, Falter has a nearly 24% k rate and just a 2.25 ERA.  The xFIP of 4.49 does indicate he may have some challenges ahead, but I just don’t see them happening tonight against a lineup that will be trotting out guys like Ben Gamel, Greg Allen, and Rodolfo Castro.  Apologies if any of their parents are reading this, I mean no disrespect. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Bryse Wilson

If you were planning on stacking the Phillies last night, you were probably disappointed at the lineup they threw out last night.  Guys like J.T. Realmuto and Alec Bohm got a breather and it made for a watered-down lineup. Tonight’s Phillies lineup should resemble more of an All-Star team as they’ll get their start slugger back in Bryce Harper.  And having him back tonight will play heavily into the weakness of Pirates’ starter Bryse Wilson.  When you attack Wilson, you do it with lefties.  In 2022, lefties have a .612 slugging % vs. him and a .424 wOBA.  He struggles mightily vs. lefties and there will be a handful of lefties in the Phillies lineup tonight that can do some serious damage. 

Core: With there being some cheap pitchers we can use tonight, there will be plenty of money to go around to fit some expensive bats.  My core with the Phillies tonight will be Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper.  While I still never trust Schwarber, he did homer last night and anytime he does that, there’s always a chance that he can go on an epic run.  With a matchup against a pitcher that can’t get lefties out to save his life, there’s a strong chance he can homer on back-to-back nights.  Harper returns tonight after a 2-month stay on the IL.  He had a brief rehab assignment, but you wouldn’t know it because he absolutely destroyed AAA pitching.  I have little concern that he’ll be rusty tonight.   

Secondary Pieces: After my core, I’ll look to add in J.T. Realmuto, Bryson Stott, and Alec Bohm.  Stott is playing some amazing baseball right now and won’t break the bank at $4k.  He’s hit safely in 7 straight games and has extra-base hits in 3 straight.  With him being a lefty, this is a solid matchup for him tonight against Wilson.  Realmuto, while not having the platoon advantage tonight, is also swinging a hot bat.  He’s been hitting the cover off the ball and until he cools off, I don’t care much about who the pitcher is.   

Chicago White Sox vs. Tommy Henry

The underperforming White Sox draw a sweet matchup tonight vs. the southpaw Tommy Henry.  Over the last few years, the White Sox have been a lock vs. lefties when playing MLB DFS.  While that hasn’t always worked out this season like it has in years past, it should be tonight vs. an average pitcher in Henry.  Henry hasn’t pitched awful through his 4 starts this season, but he does have some pretty dramatic home/road splits.  At home, he’s pitched to a 1.46 ERA.  On the road has been a completely different story as he’s pitched to a 6.10 ERA.  With this game being in Chicago tonight, I’m hopeful the trend will continue of him struggling on the road. 

Core: My White Sox core will be the 2 guys that will most likely hit right at the top of the lineup, A.J. Pollock and Luis Robert.  Pollock will provide us some decent value at just $3.4k while also providing us with some solid production.  Over the last month, he’s been excellent vs. lefties.  He has a .364 ISO and a .371 wOBA vs. them.  His price-plus spot in the lineup makes him one of my favorite bats on the day.  Robert, while a little more expensive, is also in a great spot tonight. He has a massive .421 wOBA vs. lefties over the last month and should be able to do some damage tonight. 

Secondary:  After my core, I’m going to add Jose Abreu, Andrew Vaughn, and Eloy Jimenez.  Jose Abreu has a long career now of abusing southpaws.  He hasn’t shown much power vs. them over the last 30 days, but he does have a high wOBA vs. them of .398.  Andrew Vaughn is coming into this one as one of the most consistent White Sox bats.  He’s sporting a modest 4-game hitting streak and has hits in 6 of his last 7.  He had a solid game last night, with 2 extra-base hits and he’ll look to build on that tonight vs. Henry. 

Value: There will be some decent value at the back of this White Sox lineup tonight.  Elvis Andrus, Josh Harrison, and Romy Gonzalez are all $2.5k and below tonight on DK and will have the platoon advantage.  Andrus has been really good against lefties over the last month, with a .250 ISO and a .468 wOBA.  He’s my favorite value play on the White Sox tonight.

New York Mets vs. Chad Kuhl

Although they won last night, the Mets were somewhat of a disappointment in terms of MLB DFS as they only scored 3 runs.  I’m going to go right back to the well tonight because they face a struggling pitching in Chad Kuhl.  Kuhl has now gone 6 straight starts giving up at least 3 ER.  In his last start vs. the Padres,  he gave up 9 ER before being pulled.  

Kuhl is a borderline Major League pitcher and one that anytime he’s on the mound, we should consider stacking against.  Kuhl has been pretty bad vs. both sides of the plate this season as righties and lefties have a slugging % over .460 vs. him and wOBA’s over .340.  The Mets should be able to put up a big number tonight vs. Kuhl

Core: My core with the Mets tonight will be Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, and Jeff McNeil.  Alonso provided the majority of the Mets’ offense last night with his 2-run homer.  He’s been mostly quiet over the last week or so, but much of it has been due to bad luck thanks to a low BABIP.  Could his homer last night be the start of things to come as we get into the home stretch of the season?  I sure hope so and I’ll be counting on it tonight. 

McNeil has put together a solid season after disappointing last year.  Over the last month, he has had a .428 wOBA vs. righties and a .210 ISO.  He’s reasonably priced at $4.3K on DK and will be a lock in my Mets stack.     

Secondary Pieces:  Other Mets bats I really like tonight will be Francisco Lindor, Starling Marte, and Daniel Vogelbach.  All three are extremely solid vs. righties and will make for nice additions to a Mets stack.  Over the last month, Lindor has a .448 wOBA vs. righties.  He’s pricey at $5.6k, but he’s a stat-sheet stuffer and can always put up a monster number thanks to his combo of power and speed. 

MLB DFS Summary

Other stacks I like tonight are going to be the Houston Astros vs. Kyle Bradish, Tigers vs. Glenn Otto, Rangers vs. Tyler Alexander, and Nationals vs. Mike Minor. 

Make sure to check out our new Home Run Model, it’s been running white hot!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Welcome to the Thursday edition of the Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

Tonight we have a nice-sized 6-game slate of MLB DFS to navigate through.  On the hill, we have one of the best in the game.  Thankfully, we also have some gas cans to attack. 

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Jacob Degrom vs. Colorado Rockies

Even if this game was in Colorado, I’d still be recommending Jacob Degrom.  Altitude means nothing when you can’t hit the ball.  Degrom tonight will be far and away the best pitcher on the slate.  He’s going to be the extreme chalk, but we’ll need to eat it.  Some of his metrics over the last month are just insane.  He has a 45% K rate, a 22.90 swinging strike rate, a 62% contact rate, and a .51 WHIP.  He’s coming into this one with some extra rest as well so he should have some extra juice in the arm.  It also helps that this Rockies offense is nowhere near as good away from Coors as it is in Coors.  Pitch Degrom tonight and don’t overthink it. 

Aaron Nola vs. Cincinnati Reds

Aaron Nola should be able to have his way tonight with the Reds.  Over the last 30 days, Nola has been pretty good.  He’s pitched to a 2.92 xFIP and has a 28.90% k rate.  That k rate ranks second of all the pitchers on the hill tonight over the last month.  Although he struggled in his last outing, that was against the Mets and not the Reds.  Prior to that outing, Nola had 3 straight games giving up no more than 1 ER in each.  The games he’s struggled this season have all been against good lineups.  This lineup he’ll face tonight is not good.  Nola should have a good night on the hill.

Jameson Taillon vs. Oakland Athletics

This is more of a testament to the Athletics and lack of pitching depth tonight than it is Jameson Taillon.  Taillon is also pretty inexpensive tonight at just $7.5k on DK.  I think that Taillon is an average at best pitcher, but he gets a great matchup against a bad Athletics team.  Over the last month, Taillon has pitched to a 4.25 ERA while having an xFIP of just 3.5.  He’s been a little unlucky and with a soft matchup, his luck should turn his way.  While I will more than likely go double aces tonight with Degrom and Nola, going with Taillon as your SP2 will help you load up on some of the biggest bats tonight.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Mets vs. Ryan Feltner

The New York Mets come into this one clinging to a 1.5-game lead over the Atlanta Braves.  They just had a stretch of 27 games in 26 days and had their first day off yesterday in nearly 4 weeks.  That means they’ll be coming into this one well rested.  With a matchup against a struggling Feltner, they’ll be one of my top MLB DFS stacks on the night.  Although Feltner pitched well in his last outing, it was against a struggling Giants lineup.  Prior to that, he had back-to-back games giving up 5 ER. 

This is the type of matchup for him tonight where he could give up another 5 ER outing.  Feltner gives up a ton of hard contact, 38% over the last month.  If he’s sloppy in the zone tonight, he’ll continue to give up hard contact against one of the best teams in the league vs. righty-pitching.  

Core: I’m going to build my core with the Mets tonight around Jeff Mcneil, Starling Marte, and Pete Alonso.  2 of these guys are hot, and one is not.  Let’s start with Alonso.  Alonso has been as unlucky as you can get recently.  Over the last week, Alonso has just 5 hits.  His BABIP over that stretch is a minuscule .160.  At some point, those balls that he’s putting into play are going to fall, and it’s going to happen tonight. 

Now back to the 2 guys that are hot.  Both McNeil and Marte have been 2 of the Mets’ best hitters over the last week.  McNeil has 11 hits in his last 29 AB and Marte has 10 in the same amount of AB.  Marte is my favorite of the 3 tonight as I tend to use him more against righties.  Over the last month, Marte has a .217 ISO vs. righties and a .368 wOBA. 

Secondary Pieces: Not in my core, but definitely in my pool of players tonight for the Mets will be Brandon Nimmo, Francisco Lindor, Mark Canha, and Daniel Vogelbach.  Both Lindor and Vogelbach have crushed righties over the last month.  Lindor has a .448 wOBA vs. them and Vogelbach has a .411.  If you decide to fade Alonso tonight, and I can’t really argue against it, going with Vogelbach makes for a nice play.  He’ll save you some money and he’s been extremely productive for the Mets.     

Value:  Brett Baty will make a fine-value play tonight.  He’ll be making his Citi Field debut tonight and gets the platoon advantage.  Baty is also only $2.5k on DK and he’ll save us a ton of money.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Justin Dunn

Justin Dunn has now made 3 starts in the big leagues this year.  1 good one, 1 average one, and 1 bad one.  He’ll add to the bad one’s tonight vs. a solid Phillies lineup that put up a 7 spot last night.  Through his first 3 starts this season, Dunn has really struggled with his control.  Even though he held the Pirates to just one run in his last outing, he walked 4 batters in just 5 innings of work.  While that may work against a below-average Pirates lineup, putting that many hitters on with a free pass vs. a solid Phillies lineup is a recipe for disaster. 

When he’s not walking batters, he’s also giving up a ton of hard contact.  His hard-hit rate through his first 3 starts is 38%.  Only 3 pitchers on tonight’s slate have given up more hard contact over the last month.  We want to attack Dunn with righties.  Righties have a .577 wOBA vs. him this season and a massive slugging % of 1.000. 

Core: My Phillies core will start with J.T. Realmuto and Rhys Hoskins.  Both guys are coming into this one playing extremely and have done well against righties.  Realmuto homered last night and went 3 for 5.  Against righties over the last month, he has a .399 wOBA and a .277 ISO.  He’s a lock in all of my lineups tonight.  Next up will be Hoskins who also had a solid night last night.  He went 2 for 4 with 3 RBI.  Against righties over the last month, he has an ISO of .200 and should be in a position to build off his solid Wednesday night.     

Secondary:  Other bats that I like in this lineup tonight will be Kyle Schwarber, Alec Bohm, Nick Castellanos, and Jean Segura. I’m still somewhat hands-off with Schwarber in MLB DFS due to his lack of productivity recently, but he didn’t strike out last night and that’s a step in the right direction for him.  Castle has finally been hitting the ball better and now has hit safely in 14 straight games.  His price is only $4.1k and definitely has some upside in this matchup. 

New York Yankees vs. James Kaprielian

The Yankees somewhat woke up vs. the New York Mets this week, taking both games of the series.  They’ll get a great matchup tonight vs. a pitcher that just continues to luck out.  He’s pitched to an ERA of 3.04 over the last month while having an xFIP 2 runs higher. You can only give up the amount of contact that he gives up and the number of flyballs that he gives up before you blow up. 

Kap has also been worse at home this season than on the road.  His home ERA stands at 4.57, while on the road it’s 4.08.  We’ll want to target righties here.  Righties have a .480 slugging % vs. Kap this season, compared to just a .397 for lefties. 

Core: I’m going to build my MLB DFS Stack around Aaron Judge here.  While the Coliseum in Oakland isn’t known for homers, there’s no stadium in the world that can contain Judge.  Over the last month, he’s crushed righties, with a .355 ISO and a .452 wOBA. If you’re stacking the Yankees tonight, start with Judge and then just add around him with pieces.   

Secondary Pieces:  Other pieces I’ll look to add here will be D.J. LeMahieu, Josh Donaldson, Anthony Rizzo, and Andrew Benintendi.  I know my preference is righties here, but Rizzo and Benintendi have been 2 of the better hitters in the Yankees lineup of late, especially against righties.  With LeMahieu and Donaldson, they’re both cold and Kap gives up a ton of contact and this is the type of matchup that can help them break out of their funks. 

MLB DFS Summary

Other stacks I like tonight are going to be the Blue Jays vs. Kutter Crawford, the Astros vs. Chris Archer, and the White Sox vs. Jordan Lyles.

Make sure to check out our new Home Run Model, it’s been running white hot!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Welcome to the Wednesday edition of the Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

Today we have a nice-sized 8-game slate of MLB DFS to navigate through.  We have some solid pitchers on the hill and we also have some solid places to attack. 

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Shane McClanahan vs. Los Angeles Angels

Shane McClanahan is arguably the most talented pitcher on the slate, making him the top MLB DFS pitcher on the slate.  While his season-long K rate of 32% has plummeted to just 20% over the last month, some of that can be attributed to odd matchups.  He had a stretch of 3 games where he K’d a combined 11 hitters.  In his last start against the Royals, the McClanahan we’ve come to rely on re-appeared as he K’d 8.  With a matchup against a bad Angels team (even with Trout, they are bad), we should see more of a return of the old McClanahan.  On the year, the Angels have K’d more than 24% of the time vs. lefties and have a wRC of just 81.  They also hit for limited power vs. lefties with just a .639 OPS.  This is a solid matchup tonight McClanahan

Andrew Heaney vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Another pitcher getting a solid matchup tonight is Andrew Heaney.  Yes, the Brewers are a solid team.  They are a top offense in the league, against righties.  However, against lefties, they just are not very good.  On the year, they have just an 85 wRC, a .649 OPS, and a 25.8% k rate vs. lefties.  If we dial that back a little bit more to get us some recency bias, over the last month the Brewers projected lineup tonight has a 31% k rate vs. lefties.  It also helps that Heaney is coming into this matchup pitching really well. 

Over the last month, Heaney’s pitched to a 2.66 ERA and a slate-leading 32.6% k rate.  He faced this team a week ago and whiffed 10 Brewers.  While I don’t expect the same result, I do expect him to dominate them again tonight.  At $9.8K tonight on DK, he’s fairly priced given the matchup and how well he’s pitched.

Zac Gallen vs. Kansas City Royals

With Vinny Pasquantino being sent to the IL with an injury, this poor Royals lineup got even worse.  That will be a huge plus tonight for a pitcher in Zac Gallen who has been pitching some of the best baseball of his career over the last few weeks.  Gallen is coming into this one having gone at least 7 innings in 3 consecutive games and also without

t allowing a run in all 3.  He’s also K’d 26 batters over those 3 games, including a 10 k performance against the Giants.  He’s in peak form facing off against a bad Royals lineup.  The projected lineup tonight for the Royals will resemble a solid AAAA team, not a Major League team.  They have a .110 ISO against righties over the last month and a 25.6% k rate.  Anything can happen, but I like the chances of Gallen continuing with his solid pitching tonight. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Luke Farrell

The Cubs are expected to call up Luke Farrell to make his 2022 debut tonight.  If it goes anything like his season in the Minors, the Cardinals should be the top MLB DFS stack at the end of the night.  Farrell has pitched to a 5.03 ERA in the minors this season with a 1.46 WHIP.  He has just 49 k’s in 59 innings of work.  The matchup for him tonight will be as bad as it can get. 

The Cardinals are rolling right now, having won 9 of their last 10 games.  Their offense is absolutely rolling also, having scored in double digits 4 times over the last couple of weeks and will make for a solid MLB DFS stack.  This is the type of matchup where they can do it again.  I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits here as Farrell has been pretty splits neutral throughout his brief career.  Both sides of the plate have a wOBA over .330 and slugging %’s over .430. 

Core: When it comes to the Cardinals, you know the drill, Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado.  They are 2 of the best hitters in the game and get a soft matchup tonight vs. Farrell.  Both guys are coming into this game rolling as well, each with at least 12 hits over the last week.  Both guys also have an OPS Over 1 and stand a solid chance here tonight to produce.  The only concern with the 2 of them is that they are both extremely expensive tonight.  They’ll combine to cost over $12k tonight. 

Secondary Pieces: The Cardinals that I’ll look to sprinkle in tonight will be Brendan Donovan, Nolan Gorman, and Paul DeJong.  All three guys have been playing extremely well and have also been hitting righties well.  While Donovan hasn’t hit for much power vs. righties, he does have a wOBA of over .450.  He continues to produce when in the lineup and will only cost us $3.2k tonight on DK.  Another piece I really like here is Gorman.  Gorman’s going to hit for a bit more power than Donovan as he has a .276 ISO vs. righties over the last month.  He also has a .379 wOBA vs. them.  He’s in a solid spot to produce tonight.   

Value:  I didn’t list Lars Nootbaar as a core for me tonight, but that was 100% due to his price and wanting to highlight his value.  He’ll absolutely be in my stack tonight as he’s just $2.6k on DK.  Nootbaar has been playing some amazing baseball right now and is a cheap leadoff hitter for us.  Against righties over the last month, he has a massive .485 wOBA and a .333 ISO. 

Philadelphia Phillies vs. T.J. Zeuch

With Graham Ashcraft being sent to the IL, the Reds will turn the ball over to T.J. Zeuch tonight.  Through 2 starts this season, Zeuch has been horrendous.  In each start this season, he’s given up 6 ER.  One of those starts was to this same Phillies team last week.  Even if we look at what he did last season with the Blue Jays, it was not different as he had a 6.60 ERA in 5 appearances. 

He’s struggled in the majors and he’ll struggle against tonight.  With Zeuch, we don’t need to worry so much about splits.  He’s been an equal opportunist throughout his career.  Both sides of the plate have slugging %’s over .500 vs him. Lefties have been slightly better vs. him as they have a .408 wOBA. 

Core: My Phillies core will start with J.T. Realmuto and Nick Castellanos.  Both guys are playing some extremely solid baseball right now.  Realmuto has 9 hits in his last 23 AB and while he hasn’t homered at all during that stretch, he does have an OPS of 1.049.  He’s been putting the ball in play a ton and also has a nearly 53% hard-hit rate over the last week.  Realmuto’s been seeing the ball as well as he has all year. 

Similar things could be said about Castellanos.  One of the big free agent signings for the Phillies has finally been coming around.  Over the last week, he has 10 hits in 29 AB.  As his production has crept up, so has his salary as it’s up to $4.4k.  It’s still reasonable considering the matchup and how he’s been hitting.   

Secondary:  Other bats that have my attention in this lineup are going to be Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott.  Bohm has been red hot at the plate, with hits in 9 of his last 10 games.  Over his last 12 AB, he has 7 hits.  I normally prefer him vs. lefties, but this is also a solid spot for him tonight vs. Zeuch.  I’ll also look to get Jean Segura in here.  I’m willing to fade Kyle Schwarber in this matchup.  He’s back to his old ways of striking out a ton.  He’s $6k on DK tonight.  Can he return to form and smash tonight?  Absolutely, it’s just a lot of money to pay for someone that has 7 k’s in his last 8 AB. 

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Brayan Bello

The Red Sox will be trotting out Brayan Bello tonight, and there’s a minor chance that Rich Hill goes in after him.  That’s music to our ears as both have struggled in the Majors this season.  In Bello’s 3 Major League starts this season, he really struggled. He gave up 14 ER in just 12 innings of work. Part of his issues was his command, as he walked 8 batters in those 12 innings of work. 

With Blue Jays hitting the ball well again, if they can find some patience at the plate tonight against a pitcher that has control issues, they can put up just as large of a number as they did last night.  Similar to the other pitchers we’re targeting tonight, Bello has struggled vs. both sides of the plate.  Righties and lefties each have a slugging % over .550 vs. Bellow and both sides have wOBA’s over .440.

Core: I’m starting my Blue Jays stack with George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero, and Matt Chapman.  These guys have been the best of the Blue Jays hitters over the last month vs. righties.  Both Springer and Guerrero have wOBA’s over .400 and Chapman is at .359.  Chapman comes in the cheapest of the 3 and has been arguably the best with a .316 ISO vs. righties over the last 30 days.  All 3 guys will be automatics in my Blue Jay stack, as pricey as they may be. 

Secondary Pieces:  After my core, I’ll look to get in guys like Lourdes Gurriel, Teoscar Hernandez, and Bo Bichette.  Bichette is my favorite of the 3 as his bat is starting to heat up.  He now has back-to-back games with 2 hits.  With a matchup vs. Bellow tonight, I like his chances of making it 3 in a row.

Value: For value with this stack, I’ll look to Cavan Biggio and Jackie Bradley.  They aren’t game changes in any sense of the word, but both guys are in a lineup that should smash tonight and are min-priced on DK.  They’ll free up a ton of money and with the way the lineup could potentially shake out, you could go with an 8,9,1,2 wrap-around stack with an average cost of $3.75k.  That gets you, Springer and Guerrero, without breaking the bank.  

MLB DFS Summary

Other stacks I like tonight are going to be the Dodgers vs. Adrian Houser, Boston Red Sox vs. Jose Berrios, and Houston Astros vs. Dylan Bundy.

Make sure to check out our new Home Run Model, it’s been running white hot!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

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