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Welcome back to Formula 1: Race Week British Grand Prix the 11th race on the calendar. This week the 20 drivers race at a known track to all, Silverstone, where the opportunity for overtakes is a stark contrast from last week’s Austrian GP. Something else that adds to the drama for Silverstone, Formula 1 teams have their home factories located close enough to the circuit that they can bring new upgrades to this track with relative ease. This leads to things like the Williams being competitive all weekend and a possible British driver on the podium. Plenty of opportunities for overtakes exist here so let’s find some quality plays for our DFS lines.

Team Breakdowns

Alpine

Alpine feels like discount Mercedes right now, just genuinely off the pace but at a discount for DFS. Pierre Gasly ($5600) has been better than his teammate as of late so I would play Pierre over Esteban Ocon ($6000) but just like their DraftKings pricing, it won’t take much for them to invert.

Aston Martin

The talk of the grid at the start of the season has been whispers lately. The Aston tends to be a draggy car which never boded well for them in Austria, the trend continues into Silverstone. Fernando Alonso ($8400) P9 and Lance Stroll ($6200) P12 are not a priority for me this weekend and probably won’t be for a while. 

Alfa Romeo

The last guy in Zhou ($3400) tends to find himself in GPP winning lineups even though he is not exciting to roster. 

Alpha Tauri

Yuki Tsunoda ($5000) should comfortably beat his teammate Nyck De Vries ($3200).

Ferrari

What a confusing time to be a Scuderia Ferrari fan, one side of the garage looks great, the other side looks pretty appealing…until they put on their clown masks. Carlos Sainz ($8000) comes into this race with some good momentum having crossed the finish line in Austria 4th, Carlos drove his Ferrari during this weekend’s practice sessions to within 2 hundredths of Max’s practice times and qualifies just behind his teammate in 5th. While his teammate did outpace him over one lap, Charles Leclerc ($10,200) did experience some electrical issues that prevented him from getting laps in on the Silverstone circuit. Ferrari ($9700) does have a good track record here, winning last year’s race, and should not be overlooked especially in large-field GPPs.

Haas

Nico Hulkenberg ($4200) and Kevin Magnussen ($3800) aren’t separated by much. Nico comes with risk as he continues to get the better of his Haas over one lap, which puts them in a bad place DFS value-wise because he tends to fall back during the race.

McLaren

As mentioned in last week’s Austrian article, “Upgrades people, upgrades!” McLaren looks like it loves its upgrades. Lando Norris ($6800) held the pole before Max just did Max things. Considering Lando’s pace from last week (on a circuit he does well at) and this week’s efforts from his teammate Oscar Piastri ($4800), the McLaren ($5200) looks like a great DFS play and will be popular on DK, my advice, join the party.

Mercedes

The Mercedes Petronas AMG Race Car continues to be a shell of itself. Neither Lewis Hamilton ($9600) nor George Russell ($7400) were in the top 10 in either Friday practice session and qualified 7th and 6th respectively. The Mercedes ($9100)  did show some encouraging long-run pace but nothing that has me excited to roster them in my DFS lines.

Red Bull

If last year’s race was a nice reminder that random things happen in racing, Max Verstappen ($15,000) did not dominate from P2 a fate Im sure he will be looking to make up. His Red Bull Rocketship continues to be the class of the field. Starting from pole I expect Max to dominate with contenders not so far off, but still behind. 

The sister Red Bull is just as classy on Friday but disappears during qualifying. Having been just 2 tenths off in FP2 Sergio Perez ($10,800) has the car, but continues to throw it all away on Saturdays. This marks the 5th consecutive time Sergio has failed to make it out of Q1. Last week I thought it was prudent to use Sergio in my DFS lines, while he scored well, he was not optimal. Perhaps if his price goes down and he becomes a better value he would be a good DFS play, but for now, limited exposure paired with Red Bull Racing ($14,000) would be a good way to be contrarian in GPPs, but probably a thin play overall.

Williams

Just like McLaren, the Williams has taken very well to their upgrades. Alex Albon ($5200) has always been a good driver battling an underwhelming car, but with James Vowles at the helm, the team continues to improve and look like a proper race team. The only “issue” I have with playing Alex’s teammate Logan Sargent ($3000) is that he might have qualified just outside of a comfortable zone if he goes backward in the race. Williams ($3100) however showed its overall pace this weekend as Albon was in contention during all three practice sessions, and his teammate qualified P14.  As of now, I will have some Logan, that price tag is too nice, but I will post in Discord my issues with him as a value play if something does go wrong. 

Advice:

Drivers I will be heavy on:

Max Verstappen

Carlos Sainz

Lando Norris

Oscar Piastri

Alex Albon

Less than $5k drivers:

Yuki

Piastri

Zhou

DeVries

Constructors:

Red Bull

McLaren

Williams

As always if you want to chop up some plays, @tcuz86 in the Discord. I appreciate you taking the time to read this edition of Formula 1: Race Week, British GP.

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Saturday is here, and we have a nice 11-game slate starting at 1:05 ET! There are quite a few options I’m excited about on this slate, and plenty of targets to stack against! Time to get this money train rolling. Let’s do it!

MLB DFS Aces

James Paxton vs Oakland Athletics

Paxton was one of the best pitchers in MLB before he missed what felt like 10 years with injury. Well, he is back and as good as ever, sporting a 2.70 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and 61/13 K/BB over 50 innings of work. Saturday he takes on the lowly Athletics, and is a monster -220 favorite.

Oakland isn’t a team that strikes out a ton, but they also rank 30th in MLB in both runs scored and hits. Estuery Ruiz is now on the IL, which takes away some speed from the basepaths. Paxton is expensive, but he may be worth every penny in what looks like a dream home matchup this afternoon.

Kevin Gausman vs Detroit Tigers

Saturday’s slate seems like as good a time as any to take advantage of some significant mismatches. The Tigers haven’t been much better offensively than the Athletics, and they have to face the workhorse Gausman.

Also listed as a -220 favorite, Gausman is one of the frontrunners for CY Young in the American League. He has racked up 146 strikeouts to just 27 walks in his 109.2 innings in 2023. Gausman has 11+ strikeouts in three of his last seven games, and seven times overall this season.

He is a solid bet to lead the Jays to another road win here, and should have little issue racking up strikeouts here once again on the road in a pitcher’s park in Detroit.

Tyler Wells vs Minnesota Twins

It is well-known how bad the Twins have struggled at making contact this season. For the entire season, the Twins have a K rate of nearly 27%, which is the worse in all of MLB. They are a league-average offense that is loaded with bats like Joey Gallo and Byron Buxton that are true three-outcome hitters.

Wells should have no problem racking up some Ks here, and regardless of that, he has been incredibly solid this season. He owns a 3.19 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and 99/22 K/BB in 2023. Home runs have been an issue, as he has served up 21 of those bad boys already. Crazily enough, he somehow finds a way to give up primarily solo shots.

A product of keeping the bases clear, Wells hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in a start since May 24th against the Yankees, despite having three games where he allowed 2 HR.

If he keeps the ball in the park and ducks off the pond, he is a sneaky contender for one of the high scores of the day.

MLB DFS Stacks

San Fransisco Giants vs Connor Seabold

Seabold is…not good. On the season, he has an ERA nearing 7, a 1.47 WHIP, and has allowed EIGHT home runs over his last three starts. While this Giants offense isn’t nearly as good as the Dodgers and Braves who did 2/3 of that damage to Mr. Seabold, the upside is there.

There are few bats that I’m excited about for this one, but I expect plenty of fireworks. This is the ultimate “get-right” situation for the Giants. JD Davis, Patrick Bailey, Joc Pederson, Luis Matos, and LaMonte Wade Jr. are my primary targets here. Blake Sabol might get a start, and he is worth a look as well. This is more of a lack of confidence in Seabold than it is confidence in the Giants.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Touki Toussaint

Remember when Touki was one of the top prospects in the minors? He was supposed to be the next big thing? He had his moments, but overall he is a fringe MLB player at best. His command was always poor, and that isn’t going to serve him well against the Cardinals.

Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado will have their way with him, Brendan Donovan is swinging a hot bat, Nolan Gorman has top-shelf power, and Jordan Walker is struggling, but this may be the spot to get him going as well. I love this stack, and even though the team sucks overall, we are just here for fantasy points. Stack ’em up!

Cincinnati Reds vs Colin Rea

The Reds were mowed down by Corbin Burnes for the most part yesterday, but showed some signs of life late. Colin Rea isn’t the pitcher who will be fooling many of these hitters. He has a total of 7 strikeouts over his last three starts (18.1 IP), and if these Reds are making contact, it is generally very loud contact.

Elly De La Cruz, Matt Mclain, Jonathan India, Joey Votto, and even Will Benson or Tyler Stephenson for a wraparound stack. I’m all over the Reds here, and think they put a hurting on Rea. I optimistically hoped they would get to Burnes, but Counsell was smart and pulled him just as the wheels started to fall off.

This is a huge game in the division, and I’m expecting fireworks on both sides. The Brewers are a solid stack as well against Luke Weaver, but I’ll take some lower ownership on the Reds.

MLB DFS Summary

Good luck on Saturday! I love the Cardinals stack and will be filling in around Wells and one of the other top arms with bats from the Reds and Giants! Let’s kick the weekend off right!

Find the team in the Win Daily Discord channel and let’s chat about some plays!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!

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Welcome to the latest edition of Formula 1: Race Week Austrian Grand Prix. This race starts a 4 pack of races over the next 4 weeks. This race goes live at 9 am EST on ESPN. The short, 2-mile circuit has 3 straights and quick corners, a paradise for the Red Bulls and Ferrari. Since the race goes live early I wanted to do more of a notes-style breakdown for quicker reading. If you have any questions or want to chop up lineups, @tcuz86 in Discord. But for now, let’s go alphabetically through the grid.

Team Breakdowns

Alpine

Don’t play both together, did not show anything in practice, Ocon ($6600)  qualified P12 while Gasly ($5800) qualified P9. Both feel like neutral plays, neither a priority.

Aston Martin

I tend to avoid playing both Aston together, but Aston looks up to the task, and Lance Stroll is cheap. Fernando Alonso ($10,400) and Lance Stroll ($6400) start P7 and P6 respectively. The guys behind them don’t worry me too much outside of George Russell and Sergio Perez. Aston brought updates to their car last race and definitely have taken a step forward.

Alfa Romeo

Outside of the last guys in, I really don’t want anything to do with Alfa. Zhou Guanyu ($3800) was in the top 10 during practice but sank like a rock in qualifying and the sprint race. He is inexpensive, however, and considering how much I want to play the top-priced guys we are going to need the value plays.

Alpha Tauri

Rinse and repeat for Alpha. Both look beta (sorry I had to) Alpha Tauri’s Yuki Tsunoda ($5200) feels like a premium for 5 beat teammate points, he has shown an ability on Sundays so I’m not so quick to throw him out for potential. Nyck De Vries ($3200) is just like Zhou in that he’s inexpensive and we will need value to load up on the top options.

Ferrari

The Austrian GP is held in Spielberg, Austria, and is commonly known as the Red Bull Ring. It is the home of Red Bull Racing, but it’s a track that always comes easily for Ferrari. Charles Leclerc ($8200) was less than .003 seconds off the pole from Max; both Ferraris performed well during the sprint race and have qualified P2 and P3 for Carlos Sainz ($7400). I like Ferrari ($8800) paired with one of their drivers. 

Haas

The issue with Haas($3400) is they qualify well and fall apart in the race. The reason this happens is that Haas is really good at getting their tyres up to temperature, but they can’t regulate that temperature over the race, overcooking them. Nico Hulkenberg ($4800) looks like a prime candidate for negative fantasy points, however, Kevin Magnussen ($3600) might be able to pay off his salary if his teammate drops down, making him a decent GPP play.

McLaren

Upgrades people, upgrades! For at least one car anyway. Lando Norris ($6000) loves this circuit, he has 2 top 3 qualifying results and 2 podiums. Starting in P4 Lando should do just fine here. Oscar Piastri ($4200), not so much. I might sprinkle him in, but he starts kind of high and he needs to beat his teammate to be a good play.

Mercedes

The Mercs look okay. George Russell ($8000) starts P11 and always finds himself in the top 8, so I can see him gaining positions up to his teammate in P5. Lewis Hamilton ($10,200) could drop a couple of spots to the ever-improving Aston Martins.

Red Bull

The rocket ships always stand alone. Max ($15,000) starts P1 and had a 21-second lead on a track where the average lap time is 1 minute 4 seconds in the wet. It would be kind of fun to see a car lap all the way to P2, Max could do it. Sergio Perez ($11,000) is an interesting play, piloting the sister rocketship from P15 there is no reason Sergio couldn’t make up 14 spots. Once again, until further notice, it’s Red Bull ($14,000) rocketship racing and everyone else.

Williams

Formula 1 DFS is different, 1 point for classification can win you a contest. 1.5 points could win you a GPP. Being the bare minimum Logan Sargent ($3000) just needs to classify to help a GPP lineup, an American in my F1 lines…eagle scream (it’s actually a hawk), fireworks, baseball, Fourth of July…yea I’ll have him. Alex Albon ($4400) worries me because he starts a little too high. In P10 with Sergio, George, and Ocon behind him, there’s a potential he drops 3 spots. As long as he beats his teammate though the negative points are nerfed making Alex still a worthy play.

If you have any questions or if you’d like to talk strategy @tcuz86 in Discord.

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It’s finally Saturday! As always, we have a full day of games, first one starts at 1:40 ET and we conclude with Diamondbacks/Angels at 10:07. I went to bed with some awful sickness last night, so I’m going to keep this one short, and sweet. Let’s roll!

MLB DFS Aces

Dylan Cease vs Oakland Athletics

We will continue to pick on the A’s until they start caring about winning baseball games. Fortunately, that day isn’t coming any time soon. Cease has had a rollercoaster of a season, but he is still striking batters out at an elite rate.

Over his last five starts, he has allowed no more than 2 ER and has struck out 9+ in three of them. The victims? Dodgers, Angels, and Rangers. This guy is as locked in as any pitcher in the game, and he is in a fantastic spot again against an Oakland team that continues to rank near the bottom of every offensive category (aside from the zillion steals by Esteury Ruiz).

He is my favorite arm of the day, and I’m sure I’m not alone in that. Cease time!

Tyler Glasnow vs Seattle Mariners

This one is a combination of excitement that Glasnow finally put together a dominant showing last time out (5 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 12 K), and a play against a struggling Mariners offense. I’m not expecting the numbers that Glasnow put up against the Royals last time out, but this is still a great spot.

The Mariners have a team K rate north of 27% over the last 14 days and are quickly falling out of contention at the midway point this season. The Rays are still sitting pretty, and Glasnow will be key to any deep run they want to make this season.

With George Kirby on the other side of this one, the total is set at just 7.5, and I’m not opposed to the F5 under here as well.

Eury Perez vs Atlanta Braves

Here is my bold call of the day. Wind and humidity have only added to the risk for pitchers facing the best lineup in baseball, but Perez has been absolutely electric lately. Over his last three starts, he has thrown 18 shutout innings with a 24/2 K/BB. Five of his last six outings have been scoreless, and the one that wasn’t? He gave up a single run to the White Sox on a solo shot.

While it would be pure magic for him to shut out this lineup, I think he can be a nice GPP pivot on Saturday. He has a 54/15 K/BB, 1.34 ERA, and 0.98 WHIP across 47 innings. This kid is off to a phenomenal start to his career, and he could be a money maker Saturday.

The risk is clear, but the payoff may be worth the squeeze.

MLB DFS Stacks

Chicago White Sox vs Kyle Muller

Nearly boasting a WHIP of 2 (1.94) across 47 innings of work with just a 33/22 K/BB and 9 HR allowed, it is safe to say that Kyle Muller isn’t having much success. The White Sox have been a major disappointment this season, but there are still some guys swinging the lumber.

Luis Robert has been the hottest hitter not named Ohtani in the league over the last month, Eloy Jimenez is (fingers crossed) finally healthy, Andrew Benintendi has been setting the table quite nicely, and Andrew Vaughn is seeing the ball well. If Jake Burger is in the lineup, I’ll give him a look as well for his power.

Muller has allowed 42 ER in 47 innings. This is unlikely to end well for him.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Luis Severino

I’m going a bit off the wall here are targeting Severino with a struggling offense. He looked solid his last time out against Texas, but prior to that, he gave up 19 ER in 18.2 IP across four starts. The Cardinals are a dumpster fire, but they still have elite hitting littered across their lineup, and I’m shooting my shot here.

Paul Goldschmidt never ages, Nolan Arenado is still crushing the ball, and Jordan Walker has been quietly elite in his rookie season. You can look toward Brendan Donovan also, as he has been seeing the ball well of late, and one day Willson Contreras will be hitting the ball again, right? RIGHT?

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Daniel Lynch

Led by Mookie Betts, the Dodgers have been on fire of late. Tonight they draw a matchup against Lynch, who is actually coming off of consecutive solid outings. He just finished a 6 inning day against the Rays where he allowed just one ER on a solo homer. What he didn’t do, and doesn’t do well is miss bats. He has 7 strikeouts over his last 20 innings of work.

If you aren’t missing bats, you likely aren’t finding much success against a stacked lineup like LA. I’m all aboard here starting with Mookie Betts, then Freddie Freeman, JD Martinez, and Will Smith. James Outman, Jason Heyward, or David Peralta are fine fillers down at the bottom of the order as well. I’m not a believer in Lynch.

MLB DFS Summary

There is a Coors game, and I don’t blame you for going there, but I like some other spots! Let’s find ourselves a GPP win behind our guy Eury Perez, what do you say?

Find the team in the Win Daily Discord channel and let’s chat about some plays!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!

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