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DeAndre Hopkins

Week 13 Wide Receiver DFS Picks

Sean Escobar 4 years ago

written by Sean Escobar

The slate of wide receivers is incredible as we are approaching teams clinching playoff spots. We have a limited slate as three games on Thanksgiving with quality receivers make DFS interesting. There are some spots where you can afford some expensive receivers and some cheaper options with a good upside. Let’s dive into the best wideouts for Cash Games, GPP and who you should avoid with our Week 13 Wide Receiver DFS Picks.

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Week 13 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays

Chris Godwin, TB @ JAX

DK ($7,700) FD ($8,200)

Chris Godwin is behind just Michael Thomas for receiving yards this season. Godwin has the ability to beat a defense with his nine touchdown receptions on the year as well. He’s coming off a great game where he had 184 yards and two touchdowns. I think Jameis Winston will have enough time to deliver some passes to his receivers against Jacksonville so expect Godwin to have a solid game.

Jamison Crowder, NYJ @ CIN

DK ($5,600) FD ($6,300)

This might come as a shock but I think Crowder has a real chance of being a big-time player in this game. He leads the Jets in almost every important receiving category outside of touchdowns. Going up against a Cincinnati Bengals team that has the best interest in losing this game to almost guarantee the first overall pick in the NFL Draft, Crowder should have a big day. Expect around seven targets and 65 yards with a touchdown.

Week 13 Wide Receiver GPP Plays

Cooper Kupp, LAR @ ARI

DK ($7,100) FD ($7,800)

Arizona is the worst team at stopping the passing attack and Cooper Kupp is the most productive receiver for the Rams. This has the chance to be a huge game for Kupp after two duds. His price isn’t too high and will have lineups focused on him and Jared Goff. Expect around seven catches and possibly a trip to the end zone.

Mike Evans, TB @ JAX

DK ($6,900) FD ($7,700)

Loading up on the two best wide receivers that Tampa has to offer. Mike Thomas, Godwin and Evans are the only receivers with at least 1,000 receiving yards so one of the two Bucs receivers should have a great game. Jacksonville doesn’t have the secondary to stop both guys so one will have a solid game. Evans just needs to have a few more receptions than he has the past few weeks.

Week 13 Wide Receiver Fades

DeAndre Hopkins, NE vs HOU

DK ($7,600) FD ($8,300)

DeAndre Hopkins is a Top Five wide receiver in the NFL but I am not going against one of the NFL laws: Bill Belichick eliminates the opposing number one option. Hopkins is just that and for that reason alone, I am fading Hopkins this week.

Jarvis Landry

DK ($6,400) FD ($7,400)

The Cleveland Browns are heading into an emotional game for Pittsburgh as this is their retribution for what happened a few weeks ago between these teams. Especially with this game being in Pittsburgh and the possibility of Odell Beckham being limited makes Landry not as huge of an option as he should be. Pittsburgh also has a solid passing defense as they give up just 217.2 yards a game.

Monkey Knife Fight DFS Picks of the Week

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Chris Godwin, Davante Adams and Mike Evans over 2.5 touchdowns

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a huge passing offense and going up against Jacksonville, I believe Jameis Winston will be good enough to throw at least one touchdown to either Godwin or Evans. Davante Adams is currently injured with a toe injury but I expect he will play against the Giants. Aaron Rodgers will almost guarantee a touchdown to Adams as the Giants don’t have enough to stop him. He did just grab his first touchdown of the season last week so they can build on that.

4 years ago 0 comment

11/22 DFS and Betting Winners: Texans Light it up

Vincent Pensabene 4 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A look back at some of the best performances from the Thursday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season. All that and more on the 11/22 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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11/22 Win Daily DFS: DeAndre Hopkins

Here is a snippet from the DFS Week 12 Thursday Night Showdown Preview article written by David Jones. Deshaun Watson had the best game out of every skill position player during the Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans game as he had a solid performance. Hopkins had six catches on eight targets for 94 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

Outlook for the rest of the season: DeAndre Hopkins is a Top Five wide receiver in the NFL this season. Deshaun Watson is always throwing in Hopkins’ direction as he has the second-most targets so far this season after this TNF matchup. He also has 52 catches that resulted in a first down. If you choose to make DeAndre Hopkins your MVP player, expect a dominant DFS performance.

11/22 Win Daily DFS Winner: Capper Steve

Here is a snippet of last night’s Sports Betting Picks from Capper Steve. He went 2-0 on his picks yesterday and if you followed his action, you would be up to four units. Capper Steve is one of the best in the business and is giving away his picks for all Premium members of the Win Daily family. His picks alone make you a surplus so what are you waiting for?

11/22 Win Daily DFS Winner: Boston Bruins First Line

Here is a snippet from the NHL DFS Daily Hot Shot article written by Richard Masana. The Boston Bruins had a rough week going into this game against the Buffalo Sabres. Bergeron finished with an assist, Marchand had two goals and Pastrnak had a goal and assist. They scored all three goals in the game for the Bruins and were the reason they won the game.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Boston’s first line is one of the best in the NHL. Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak are both Top five in points and goals this season. They control the game and are a huge reason why the Bruins are third in the conference. Expect Boston to continue being this dominant and make you a lot of money if you take them.

11/22 DFS Winner: Will Fuller V

Here is another snippet from the DFS Week 12 Thursday Night Showdown Preview article written by David Jones. David mentioned that one of his MVP pivots would be Will Fuller and he definitely was worth the play. Fuller finished with seven catches for 140 yards against the Colts.

Outlook for the rest of the season: What a way to come back from missing a month of action due to injury. Fuller had an injury scare after a 51-yard play but had his second-highest yardage game of the season. He should wreak havoc after next week’s game against the New England Patriots.

David Jones won another showdown and is probably the best in the business at taking these difficult to win tournaments down. Congrats Davis!!

4 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 8 Wide Receiver DFS Picks: Hop Until You Can’t Stop, Again!

MLBMovingAvg 4 years ago

written by MLBMovingAvg

Last week’s article went well but it was nothing special. We got a gem from DeAndre Hopkins but our punt plays did absolutely nothing. That’s going to happen with punt plays though and it’s impossible to get them right every week. With that in mind, let’s get into our Week 8 wide receiver breakdown.

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If you’d like to see more of my work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

Week 8 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays

DeAndre Hopkins, HOU vs. OAK

DK ($8,100) FD ($8,200)

Whenever someone treats you right, it’s silly to turn your back on them. Hopkins was the star of the article last week and we’re going to go right back to the well here. While the nine receptions for 106 yards and a TD is nice, what I like is his usage. In fact, Hopkins now has at least 12 targets in back-to-back games and is second among all WRs, playing 97 percent of his team’s snaps. Those usage numbers should only go up with Will Fuller out for the next few weeks due to a hammy strain. Facing Oakland is the icing on the cake, with the Raiders allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing WRs this season.

Tyler Lockett, SEA at ATL

DK ($7,000) FD ($7,200)

Using players against the Falcons has become a cheat code. This defense is allowing 31.9 points per game which is the second-worst mark in the NFL. That’s led to them posting a 26^th OPRK against wide receivers so far this season which is big news for Russell Wilson and his top receiving option. Lockett is just that, leading the Seahawks in catches, yards, targets, and snaps. That’s why he’s averaging 17 DK points per game and that’s bad news for this horrific defense.

Week 8 Wide Receiver GPP Plays

Kenny Golladay, DET vs. NYG

DK ($6,400) FD ($6,700)

Golladay is coming off his worst game of the season but a matchup against Xavier Rhoades will kill any WR’s value. Prior to that, Golladay was one of the league leaders, averaging nearly 20 DK points per game. It’s no surprise when you consider his usage, with Golladay totaling at least eight targets in each of his first five games. That’s really all you can ask for against a defense like this, with the Giants owning a 24^th OPRK against wide receivers this season while surrendering the fifth-most yards in football.

John Brown, BUF vs. PHI

DK ($5,900) FD ($5,900)

This FanDuel price is truly ridiculous. Brown has been performing at a $7,000 level all season long on FanDuel and they’re simply slow to react to his breakout. The simple fact is, this dude is the focal point of this passing game. That’s evident when you see that he’s leading the Bills with an 86 percent snap share and a 22 percent target share. That usage is backed up by brilliant production, with Brown accruing 473 receiving yards this season, a Top-20 total. The best part about all of this is a matchup with the Eagles secondary, with Philly allowing the most fantasy points and yardage to opposing wide receivers this season.

D.K. Metcalf, SEA at ATL

DK ($5,000) FD ($6,600)

We already professed our love for the Seahawks in the Lockett write-up and that’s going to make it tough to fade Metcalf too. The physical attributes from Metcalf are truly special, setting records at the combine for strength and speed. That talent is one thing but he’s showing flashes of that on the field as well. In fact, Metcalf is averaging 10.7 DK points per game over his last three fixtures, becoming a much bigger part of this offense. His nine targets in Week 7 actually marked a career-high and that directly correlated with the Will Dissly injury. Look for Metcalf’s targets to continue to rise over the second half of the season, as he could become a red-zone threat too. Not to mention, he’s already playing 77 percent of the team’s snaps and that could rise the more he gets used to this offense.

Week 8 Wide Receiver Punt Plays

Corey Davis, TEN vs. TB

DK ($4,400) FD ($5,500)

Davis is honestly one of the most frustrating players in fantasy but any top WR for a team is worth a shot at this price. That’s just what Davis is, leading the Titans in snap share, targets and total catches. That’s led to Davis averaging 13 DK points per game over his last four fixtures, which is way too good for a player in this price range. Inserting Ryan Tannehill behind center has apparently revived this passing game too, as his 312 passing yards in Week 7 is easily the best mark of the season. That’s terrifying for a terrible secondary like this, with Tampa owning a 28^th OPRK against WRs this season.

Kenny Stills, HOU vs. OAK

DK ($4,700) FD ($5,700)

Hopkins is an easy bet to succeed but Stills is the sneaky guy in this offense. With Will Fuller (hamstring) out, Stills could be in line for his biggest workload. If you take out a game where he got injured, Stills actually has eight catches for 194 combined yards over his last two games. More importantly, he played 94 percent of the teams snaps last week and it’s clear they want him in that number-two spot while keeping Keke Coutee in the slot. If you get a WR playing this many snaps against a defense like this at this sort of price, you don’t fade him!

Auden Tate, CIN at LAR

DK ($4,200) FD ($5,400)

Tate just continues to be disrespected by these DFS sites and it’s hard to understand why. Over his last five games, Tate has never played fewer than 89 percent of the team’s snaps. That’s led to him collecting at least six targets in all five of those fixtures, amassing 40 total targets in that span. That’s a monstrous role from a player priced this cheaply and this matchup is better than it looks on the surface. While Tyler Boyd will be suctioned up by Jalen Ramsey, Tate should feast on this otherwise subpar secondary. That’s especially big considering Cincy should be throwing a lot, entering this matchup as a 13-point underdog.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Week

DeAndre Hopkins Over 6.5 Receptions

Anytime someone has 12 targets in back-to-back games, they’re a great bet for at least seven catches. It happens to be a guy with the best hands in the league and he could see even more targets with Will Fuller now sidelined. The matchups isn’t too shabby either.

4 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS Week Seven: Touches and Targets Outlooks

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Seven 11-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.

High Tier

NFL DFS WR: Cooper Kupp (LAR) ($7800 FD|$7400 DK)

69 Targets (2nd in NFL), 45 Receptions (3rd), 11 yards per reception, 242 YAC (1st), Four TDs.

I just don’t see how you do not roster Cooper Kupp this week. The Falcons defense has certainly seen better days. They are the worst team in the NFL in getting to the QB, logging only five sacks through their first six. An ineffective pass rush combined with a very beatable secondary would yield a Falcons defense that his given up over 331 yards through the air over their last three games. Cooper Kupp averages 11 receptions per game and is so good after the catch. He is Jared Goff’s go to, who I also expect to have his best game in 2019.

NFL DFS WR: DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) ($8000 FD|$7800 DK)

56 Targets (5th in league), 40 Receptions (5th in league), 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.

It looks like everyone is going to hit the snooze button on Deandre Hopkins, but if I were you I would absolutely keep him in your player pool. He is going to sneak up on us one of these slates where he is sub 10% owned, like this week. He has an excellent matchup and even despite his lackluster fantasy performance as of late, he still see’s a 28% target share within the offense, fourth best in the NFL.

NFL DFS WR: T.Y. Hilton (IND) ($7600 FD|$5900 DK)

30 Targets, 24 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Four TDs. 36% RZ target share**

I want to start out by saying that I think T.Y. Hilton is grossly underpriced on DK given his history against the Houston Texans. In 14 career games, Hilton averages nine targets, five receptions, and 103 yards per game. Houston consistently gets burned by WR’s in 2019 (Thomas, Allen, Ridley, Hill, and even Ginn Jr.) so I’m more than okay with eating the chalk here. You just can’t ignore what he has done in the past and what he is doing this season, he is the Colts one true weapon and I expect a big Sunday.

Honorable Mention: Keenan Allen ($7500 FD|$6700 DK), Adam Thielen ($7100 FD|$6900 DK).

Mid Tier

NFL DFS WR: D.J. Chark Jr. (JAX) ($6600 FD|$6000 DK)

44 Targets, 30 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, Five TDs. Fourth most deep targets in NFL (13).

Grand Master Minshew had a bit of a the struggle last week in what ended up being a defensive slug fest. I fully expect a bounce back from the rookie QB and there couldn’t be a better spot than against the Bengals. Cincinnati isn’t as bad through the air (241 YPG) as they are against the rush (184 YPG), but still bad enough in coverage that I can see D.J. Chark continue his dominance. It is also worth noting Dede Westbrook is listed as a game-time decision on Sunday, James O’Shaugnessy TE OUT, and George Swain TE OUT. Rookie TE Josh Oliver will see his first career start.

NFL DFS WR: Robert Woods ($7300 FD|$5900 DK)/Brandin Cooks ($6700 FD|$5400 DK) (LAR)

Woods: 51 targets, 31 receptions, 11 yards per catch, one TD.

Cooks: 37 targets, 23 receptions, 15 yards per catch, one TD.

The same applies as I talked about with Cooper Kupp. Robert Woods is another receiver who is great with YAC (173) and gets his fair share of targets (51). Brandin Cooks is always boom or bust, but if he Booms for two deep bombs you’ll be on the outside looking in. Definitely worth a shot in tourneys, I would alternate between the three Rams receivers in multiple lineups.

NFL DFS TE: Evan Engram (NYG) ($6800 FD|$6500 DK)

48 targets, 33 receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.

If you’re wanting to spend up at tight end in Week Seven , Evan Engram is your top option. If you don’t know by now, the Arizona Cardinals are the worst defense in the NFL against tight ends, allowing nearly 25 FPTS per game. The Cardinals do get Patrick Peterson back, which will certainly help, but they’ve struggled for a couple years against the position, even when he is healthy.

NFL DFS TE: Tyler Lockett (SEA) ($6500 FD|$6600 DK)

I put Tyler Lockett in here just so I can advise you not to play him. Marlon Humphrey is like super glue and has shut down the likes of Odell Beckham Jr., JuJu Smith-Schuster, Tyler Boyd, and Sammy Watkins. Tyler Lockett is no where near the caliber of the first two listed so I can see Marlon shutting this guy down easily, forcing the ball to DK Metcalf who I actually do like. He will draw softer coverage and the Ravens have been bad against WR2. Marcus Peters was traded to the Ravens and will play on Sunday, bolstering a weaker secondary.

NFL DFS TE: George Kittle (SF) ($7100 FD|$6700 DK)

88% Snap Share. 37 Targets, 31 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, One TD.

George Kittle is a premier tight end option on a week to week basis. I’m not crazy about the spend up but if you’re looking for a safe floor, he is a good option with Deebo Samuel out this Sunday.

NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($5600 FD|$6100 DK)

99% Snap Share. 52 targets, 35 receptions, 12 yards per recption, Two TDs.

The outing between the Giants and Cardinals screams pass funnel game. These two teams are both in the bottom three in terms of passing yards per game. They are also two of the fastest paced offense in the 2019 season. There’s a lot of love to go around with Christian Kirk slated to play, and David Johnson said he will be good to go for Sunday. I will have exposure to all three key offensive pieces in tournaments, including Kyler Murray.

NFL DFS WR: DK Metcalf (SEA) ($6200 FD|$4800 DK)

31 Targets, 16 Receptions, 21 yards per reception (1st in NFL), Two Tds.

I’m a bit nervous about this play, I really need to see how Marcus Peters lines up with the defense, but it’s hard to say at this point. The Ravens are prone to giving up huge plays, particularly to the WR2 position. Seattle is 17th in the league in terms of big plays and Baltimore is giving up an average of 6.3 yards per play, third worst in the league.

NFL DFS WR: Mark Andrews (BAL) ($6700 FD|$4900 DK)

47 Targets, 33 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Three TDs.

I’m pretty sure I’d rather spend only $100 more for Evan Engram on FD, but love Mark Andrews low price on DK. He hasn’t seen less than seven targets in any game this season and logged another healthy week of practice. Hollywood Brown will likely not start this game, increasing Andrews target share. The Seahawks give up the fourth most FPTS to opposing tight ends (15.4 FPTS per game).

NFL DFS WR: Calvin Ridley (ATL) ($5500 FD|$5300 DK)

38 Targets, 27 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.

I want exposure on the Atlanta side of this high implied total with the Rams vs. Falcons, but I’m not interested in spending up for Julio Jones. Calvin Ridley has seen a steady share of targets (one game with less than six targets) and should see at the very least see another six targets in a game where Atlanta is going to have to rely on their passing game to keep up with the average of five TDs per game that the defense has given up over their last three games.

NFL DFS TE: Austin Hooper (ATL) ($6600 FD|$5300 DK)

51 targets, 42 receptions, 11 yards per reception, Three TDs.

Atlanta won’t be running the ball this game and Matt Ryan is averaging close to 50 throws per game, Hooper should plenty of looks at home. Austin Hooper has only one game with less than six targets.

NFL DFS WR: John Brown (BUF) ($5900 FD|$5500 DK)

Josh Allen has been an absolute monster against the Dolphins, averaging 300 yards per game through the air, and over 100 yards on the ground. John Brown can take the top off of any defense and Miami, as we all know, is bottom three in every statistical category on defense. I question how often the Bills throw in this game, but I can see Brown easily reaching value with a big play or two.

Honorable Mention: Tyler Boyd (CIN) ($5600 FD|$5600 FD), Auden Tate (5900 FD|$4500 DK)

Low Tier/Punts

NFL DFS WR: Zay Jones (OAK) ($4500 FD|$3100 DK)

Near min price on both sites, lining up at the WR1 for Oakland with no Tyrell Williams.

NFL DFS WR: Allen Lazard (GBP) ($4500 FD|$3000 DK)

Minimum price on both sites, lining up at the WR1 position for Green Bay with Devante Adams out, Marquez Valdes-Scantling doubtful, and Geronimo Allison ruled out.

NFL DFS TE: Josh Oliver (JAX) ($4000 FD|$2900 DK)

Josh Oliver is below minimum price on both sites and will be the lone tight end with James O’Shaugnessy and George Swaim confirmed out this week. The absence of Dede Westbrook would be a huge boost for the rookie tight end making his 2019 season debut. Oliver should have an immediate role in the Jacksonville offense.

Honorable Mention: Cole Beasley ($5600 FD|$4700 DK) Dante Pettis ($5100 FD|$4100 DK)

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL Premium

Winner’s Circle: Week 7 NFL DFS Round Table Discussion

5 years ago

written by

Our Team of DFS Pros have a open discussion on building their FanDuel lineups for Week 7 NFL DFS. Get into the minds of DFS Pros Jason Mezrahi, David Jones, and Javier Prellezo. 1) Who is your top play on this slate at each position?Jason MezrahiQB- Matt Ryan or Jared GoffRB- Dalvin Cook or Saquon B...

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 7 Wide Receiver DFS Picks: Hop Until You Can’t Stop

Joel Bartilotta 5 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Last week’s article was pretty good but not great. Players like Adam Thielen and Terry McLaurin were superb in our cash game section but Will Fuller and Byron Pringle were disappointing in the GPP write-up. We did hit on Jamison Crowder, though. and that shows just how important it is to have a solidified QB throwing the ball to our WRs. So, let’s keep the momentum rolling here and get into our Week 7 Wide Receiver Breakdown.

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Week 7 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays

DeAndre Hopkins, HOU at IND

DK ($7,800) FD ($8,000)

This Colts-Texans matchup may not be the marquee game to the media but it certainly should be. This is the sort of game that’s going to go a long way in deciding who will win this division and that makes me want to ride the studs. Hopkins is just that and his role is simply impossible to overlook. Receiving at least seven targets in all six games is a good indicator of how important he is to this team and he actually recorded 12 targets and nine receptions in Week 6.

My favorite stat is that he’s played 97 percent of his team’s snaps this season, which is tied with Odell Beckham for the leading mark of all position players. Something lights up in Hopkins’s eyes when he sees the Colts too, collecting 20 catches for 291 receiving yards and three TDs in his last three games against Indy. What’s more is the fact that he was targeted an absurd 39 times in those three games, thus indicating how important these matchups are to Houston.

Cooper Kupp, LAR at ATL

DK ($7,400) FD ($7,800)

Kupp is actually second among all WRs in fantasy points per game and it’s really no surprise when you see his statistics. Not only does he see 28.4 percent of his team’s targets, he also leads the NFL with 69 targets in total. That’s led to him recording 45 receptions for 522 yards and four TDs. Those steady numbers have to be horrifying for a defense like this, with Atlanta sitting at the bottom of the league in nearly every statistic. In fact, the Falcons allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

Week 7 Wide Receiver GPP Plays

Robert Woods, LAR at ATL

DK ($5,900) FD ($7,300)

I absolutely love the Rams on this slate. After a disastrous Week 6, they should have no problem rolling right through this defense. Allowing the second-most fantasy points to WRs is one thing but they also rank 31^st in total defense as well. That’s a recipe for disaster against a talented offense like this, particularly a guy like Woods. While he had just four targets in Week 6, Woods actually had at least eight targets in four of his first five games. That target share is important but playing a team-high 96 percent of the team’s snaps tells us that he’s a near guarantee to reach that target total again against this bad defense. Don’t forget about Brandin Cooks too, as he should get a few long balls in this stellar matchup.

John Brown, BUF vs. MIA

DK ($5,500) FD ($5,900)

Many people overlook Brown’s exploits because he’s on a weak Buffalo offense but he’s quietly had a great year for them. The thing that I really like about him is the fact that he’s the focal point of this offense. In fact, Brown leads the Bills with 39 targets while playing 86 percent of the team’s snaps. He’s been productive with that usage too, averaging 15.3 DK points per game. That’s fantastic news against a Dolphins defense that allows the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers while being ranked last in both total yardage and points allowed.

Week 7 Wide Receiver Punt Plays

Auden Tate, CIN vs. JAX

DK ($4,500) FD ($5,900)

With A.J. Green and John Ross out for the foreseeable future, Tate has found himself in quite the role. Let’s take a look at that usage, with Tate playing 93 percent of the teams snaps over his last four games while averaging 8.5 targets per game. That’s really all you can ask for, especially considering that Tate has 18 catches for 255 receiving yards in that span as well. We’re really not concerned with the Jags defense right now either, allowing an average of 381 total yards to Teddy Bridgewater, Joe Flacco and Kyle Allen over their last three games.

Dante Pettis, SF at WSH

DK ($4,100) FD ($5,100)

Gosh, this is truly a punt play. Pettis has been an absolute dumpster fire this season but there are signs that he’s starting to find a real role in this offense. While they haven’t supported a receiver all season, there’s an opportunity for someone to take over that role. The usage numbers would tell us that its Pettis, leading all San Fran WRs in targets and snaps over the last three weeks. He actually played a season-high 72 percent of the snaps on Sunday and his six targets also marked a season-best. That’s really all you can hope for with someone priced this cheaply, especially against a Washington defense who allows the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers while sitting 28^th in total defense.

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS Week Six: Touches and Targets Outlooks

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Six 10-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.

High Tier

NFL DFS WR: Julio Jones (ATL) ($8500 FD|$8000 DK)

77% Snap Share. 44 Targets, 26 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.

Another down week for Julio Jones in Week Five. I have to imagine he’s going to have a big game sooner rather than later, and he gets the matchup for it in Week Six. Matt Ryan has the third most passing yards through six weeks (1636) and other than the Colts game has thrown 43 times or more. Julio Jones should get plenty of targets this week.

NFL DFS WR: DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) ($8400 FD|$7400 DK)

100% Snap Share. 44 Targets, 31 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Same applies as above, DeAndre Hopkins hasn’t quite gotten things going yet but draws a favorable matchup against a very weak K.C. secondary. Ownership should be identical for Fuller and Hopkins so I will definitely have shares of both, just not paired with Watson.

NFL DFS WR: Amari Cooper (DAL) ($8100 FD|$7000 DK)

91% Snap Share. 43 Targets, 32 Receptions, 16 yards per reception, Five TDs. Fourth best fantasy point per game output for WR’s (22).

Amari Cooper comes in as my top rated receiver for the Week Six slate. He is seeing a nice target share on a week to week basis (26%) and is facing a bottom 10 defense vs. the pass. Not to mention the Jets are missing two more defensive lineman on top of C.J. Mosley this week, so I can see the Cowboys having their way in New York.

NFL DFS WR: Adam Thielen (MIN) ($8100 FD|$7000 DK)

77% Snap Share. 30 Targets, 20 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Five TDs. 42% red zone target share**

I know the big debate this week is play Stefon Diggs or Adam Thielen. My personal take is I favor Thielen just based on his red zone utilization. He is seeing a ton of looks down towards the goal line and that’s what we want if we’re going to pay off his salary. The Eagles are in the bottom six against the pass and we saw Kirk Cousins turn things around against a lowly Giants defense last week. I’m not necessarily crazy about Cousins this week, but a good matchup for the receivers nonetheless.

Honorable Mention: Michael Thomas ($8200 FD|$8400 DK), Michael Thomas ($8200 FD|$7800 DK).

Mid Tier

NFL DFS WR: Will Fuller V (HOU) ($6600 FD|$6000 DK)

100% Snap Share. 39 Targets, 28 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Three TDs.

Will Fuller reeled in 14 of his 16 targets for 217 yards and three TD’s in Week Five. I like both Deandre Hopkins and Fuller against a pourous K.C. secondary and expect a high scoring shootout. I will have equal shares of both in my lineups.

NFL DFS WR: Tyreek Hill (K.C.) ($7400 FD|$6900 DK)

Tyreek Hill is back from a clavicle injury and you shouldn’t hesitate to plug him in. Having him back in the Chiefs offense will really open things up and he naturally will draw a majority of the targets.

NFL DFS TE: Mark Andrews (BAL) ($6300 FD|$4800 DK)

48% Snap Share. 39 targets, 28 receptions, 11 yards per reception, Three TDs.

Not quite the fantasy output I expected from Andrews in Week Five, but they did face a Pittsburgh defense that has made vast improvements on defense and after all, it was an AFC North matchup. It looks like Marquise Brown is highly likely to play after coming down awkwardly on his ankle during his lone touchdown reception last week. This will instantly give Mark Andrews a boost and he almost always has the advantage over opposing safeties. This week is no different.

NFL DFS TE: Zach Ertz (PHI) ($6500 FD|$5200 DK)

93% Snap Share. 45 Targets, 29 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, One TDs.

Zach Ertz has seen seven or more targets in every game this season and is a big chain mover in the middle of the field. He is one of the better players in terms of YAC and offers high upside again here this week with Alshon Jeffrey being mainly used in the red zone. I do think this game could be a sneaky shootout so keep consider Ertz as a tournament play in Week Six.

NFL DFS TE: George Kittle (SF) (Ques.) ($6500 FD|$5200 DK)

88% Snap Share. 29 Targets, 23 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.

Another tight end to consider if you’re trying to pivot off of Hooper at a similar price is George Kittle. Other than Week two against the Bengals, Kittle has seen eight or more targets. Vegas currently has this game pegged at a 50 point game total. We could see a shootout here with the Rams giving up 271 yards or more in their last three games and Aqib Talib is out so that should open things up even more. If you like a SF stack this weak I would pair Jimmy Garoppolo and Kittle.

NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($5600 FD|$6100 DK)

99% Snap Share. 44 targets, 29 receptions, 12 yards per recption, Two TDs.

Christian Kirk is listed as a game-time decision this Sunday so I’m back on Larry Fitzgerald. He comes in at a great price again considering how much Atlanta is giving up through the air their last three games (317). If David Johnson is anything short of 100% this will only increase the target share for Fitz in Week Six.

NFL DFS WR: Robert Woods (LAR) ($7100 FD|$5600 DK)

93% Snap Share. 47 Targets, 31 Receptions, 11 yards per reception.

The Rams are at home with one of the higher implied totals on the slate. They have a pass heavy offense, averaging 46 pass plays per game (second most). Cooper Kupp is where most will naturally levitate to if they’re getting exposure to this game, but Woods is a top five receiver in terms of targets and YAC (173). He may not have found his way into the end zone yet, but he has big play upside in an NFC West tilt where the Rams need to find a way to win if they have a chance to keep up with San Francisco and Seattle for the division.

NFL DFS WR: Tyler Lockett (SEA) ($6300 FD|$6400 DK)

96% Snap Share. 36 Targets, 30 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Three TDs.

I’m looking at this play mostly due to low ownership. His target share has gone down the last two weeks and he will draw a Cleveland Browns defense who have been fairly stingy against the pass, sacking the QB 16 times (7th best) and allowing just over 200 yards per game through the air. Despite the tough matchup, I think Carson can really open things up in the pass and Russell Wilson has a way of getting things done, even under pressure.

NFL DFS WR: Calvin Ridley (ATL) ($5500 FD|$5700 DK)

78% Snap Share. 32 Targets, 21 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Three TDs.

I’m not crazy about Calvin Ridley’s 14% target share, but he plays in an offense that is passing the ball almost 50 times per game. The Falcons and Cardinals are also top ten in terms of offensive pace, and their defenses both are subject give up a lot of points through the air. I am prioritizing Julio Jones, but I do like exposure to Ridley just based on sheer volume in a high passing offense.

NFL DFS WR: Michael Gallup (DAL) ($6100 FD|$5600 DK)

95% Snap Share. 29 targets, 20 receptions, 17 yards per reception, One TD.

Michael Gallup has had a very solid floor in DFS NFL through his first three starts. He has seen seven or more targets and 14 targets in his last game against GB. I don’t expect Cowboys to be playing from behind, so he likely won’t draw quite as many targets in Week Six, but I do love the safe floor he provides at a very nice price on both sites.

NFL DFS WR: Terry McLaurin (WAS) ($6600 FD|$6000 DK)

Case Keenum is back under center for the Week Six tank bowl. Miami, as we all know, has been absolutely horrendous on all facets of defense. They are giving up the second most yards through the air (296) and the most on the ground (175). Redskins aren’t far behind in terms of offensive efficiency, but I do think the Dolphins are outmatched, even by Washington. Terry McLaurin has seen seven or more targets in every outing this season and now has Keenum back under center.

Honorable Mention: DJ Chark Jr. (JAX) ($6500 FD|$5500 FD)

Low Tier/Punts

NFL DFS WR: Dede Westbrook (JAX) ($5400 FD|$5100 DK)

100% Snap Share. 37 Targets, 23 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.

NFL DFS WR: Marquise Goodwin (LAR) ($5200 FD|$4500 DK)

63% Snap Share. 12 Targets, 9 Receptions, 18 yards per reception, One TD.

NFL DFS TE: Hayden Hurst (BAL) ($4400 FD|$3200 DK)

73% Snap Share. 16 Targets, 12 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.

NFL DFS WR: Mohamed Sanu (ATL) ($6000 FD|$4500 DK)

82% Snap Share. 36 Targets, 29 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.

NFL DFS WR: Jamison Crowder (NYJ) ($5400 FD|$4000 DK)

96% Snap Share. 31 Targets, 22 Receptions, 8 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Willie Snead (BAL) ($5000 FD|$5500 DK)

75% Snap Share. 16 Targets, 12 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, Two TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Robby Anderson (NYJ) ($4600 FD|$3300 DK)

45% Snap Share. 21 Targets, 11 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Preston Williams (MIA) ($5600 FD|$4100 DK)

81% Snap Share. 30 Targets, 15 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, One TD.

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5 years ago 0 comment

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Winner’s Circle: Week 6 NFL DFS Round Table Discussion

5 years ago

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Our Team of DFS Pros have a open discussion on building their FanDuel lineups for Week 6 NFL DFS. Get into the minds of DFS Pros Jason Mezrahi, David Jones, and Javier Prellezo. 1) Who is you top play on this slate at each position?Jason MezrahiQB- Deshaun WatsonRB- Malcolm BrownWR- DeAndre HopkinsT...

5 years ago 0 comment

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NFL DFS Week Five: Touches and Targets Outlooks

5 years ago

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This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Five 12-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.

High Tier

NFL DFS WR: Julio Jones (ATL) ($8200 FD|$7700 DK)

77% Snap Share. 37 Targets, 23 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.

Julio Jones comes in as a top play once again in Week Five. Bit of a disappointing performance in Week Four as Matt Ryan threw the ball 53 times for nearly 400 yards and Jones only drew seven of those targets. Julio Jones and the Falcons will look to rebound against a beatable Houston Texans secondary and a defense that ranks 13th overall DVOA.

NFL DFS WR: DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) ($8500 FD|$7800 DK)

100% Snap Share. 36 Targets, 24 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins correlation will likely be the heaviest chalk in Week Five. I’m not as crazy as everyone else is about this matchup. Yes, the Falcons rank 25th in terms of getting pressure on the QB but Houston ranks 31st in allowing pressure against the QB (11.9% ADJ. Sack Rate). Atlanta faced a Tennessee team in Week Four that struggles the most in the league in protecting the QB and managed to not register even one sack. If the offensive line can give Watson the protection he absolutely needs to be successful than I can see Houston having a great day, but it is risky.

NFL DFS RB: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8700 DK)

100% Snap Share, 31 Targets, 25 Receptions for 218 yards, 86 carries for 411 yards, 6 yards per touch, Four TDs.

I predicted 30 touches last week for Christian McCaffrey and he ended up with 37 touches for 179 all-purpose yards and a TD. The entire offense revolves around him and he will continue to receiver monster work loads week in and out. CMC is once again viable in all formats in Week Five.

NFL DFS RB: Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) ($8800 FD|$8300 DK)

71% Snap Share, 14 Targets, 11 Receptions, 63 yards. 73 carries for 324 yards, 4.4 yards per touch, Three TDs.

After starting out looking like the a perennial defense, the Packers have come back down to reality and rank 26th against the run in Week Five. They surrender over 140 yards per game on the ground but they do have a very good secondary. This is clearly Zeke’s day and I will have plenty of shares.

Mid Tier

NFL DFS WR: Adam Thielen (MIN) ($6900 FD|$6700 DK)

93% Snap Share. 22 Targets, 13 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Three TDs.

Adam Thielen expressed his frutration with the poor passing performance by the Vikings offense. All the right pieces are there, unfortunately it falls on one guy and that is Kirk Cousins. Thielen is in a great spot, as is Stefon Diggs. I’d like to think we can expect a breakout performance in the passing game against the Giants who allow nearly 300 yards through the air per game, but Cousins is just not getting it done.

NFL DFS WR: Alshon Jeffrey (PHI) ($6700 FD|$5900 DK)

83% Snap Share. 15 Targets, 8 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Very nice matchup for Alshon Jeffrey against a Jets defense that gives up nearly 300 yards through the air per game. His numbers aren’t there just due to injury early in the season but he is a good play at a fair price, particularly on DK.

NFL DFS TE: Mark Andrews (BAL) ($6100 FD|$4800 DK)

48% Snap Share. 32 targets, 23 receptions, 266 receiving yards. Three TDs.

You didn’t fall asleep on my boy, did you? Mark Andrews has been dealing with a foot injury all season but heads into Week Five without an injury designation (finally) and practiced in full on Friday. The Steelers do struggle defending slot receivers and Andrews is lining up in the slot at a 40% clip. Outside of Andrews being Lamar Jackson’s favorite target, his size advantage, and the fact that he’s quickly becoming a top tier NFL tight end, I see no reason not to play him.

NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($5800 FD|$6000 DK)

99% Snap Share. 36 targets, 23 receptions, 300 yards, Two TDs.

Christian Kirk is out so that’s going to give Fitz a nice boost in looks. The Bengals look decent against the pass, but with David Johnson in such a good spot I just see this Cardinals offense being able to stay on balance and effectively throw the ball just as well as they will run it on Sunday.

NFL DFS WR: Tyler Boyd (CIN) ($6700 FD|$6500 DK)

87% Snap Share. 38 Targets, 27 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

Same situation as the Cardinals, John Ross is out for the next 6-8 weeks so Boyd should draw a nice chunk of those targets against a sub-par defense.

NFL DFS RB: Joe Mixon (CIN) ($7100 FD|$6100 DK)

95% Snap Share. 54 touches, 202 yards, One TD.

The Bengals offensive line has been questionable, but the Cardinals surrender nearly 150 yards per game on the ground. Mixon is still looking for his footing on the season and this is as good of a spot as any to find it.

Low Tier/Punts

NFL DFS WR: Will Fuller (HOU) ($5700 FD|$4500 DK)

100% Snap Share. 23 Targets, 14 Receptions, 13 yards per reception.

NFL DFS WR: KeeSean Johnson (ARI) ($4600 FD|$3500 DK)

63% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 11 Receptions, 10 yards per reception.

Christian Kirk is out, boost in targets for Keesean Johnson.

NFL DFS WR: Auden Tate (CIN) ($5300 FD|$3500 DK)

73% Snap Share. 18 Targets, 11 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

I hate Auden Tate’s price on Fanduel but I’m more than fine with the $3500 tag on DK. Tate should see a boost as well with no John Ross.

NFL DFS WR: John Brown (BUF) ($5500 FD|$5100 DK)

90% Snap Share. 34 Targets, 23 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Phillip Dorsett (NEP) ($5400 FD|$4900 DK)

71% Snap Share. 23 Targets, 15 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Three TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Calvin Ridley (ATL) ($5400 FD|$4900 DK)

76% Snap Share. 23 Targets, 16 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Two TDs.

NFL DFS TE: Tyler Eifert (CIN) ($4600 FD|$3300 DK)

45% Snap Share. 17 Targets, 11 Receptions, 81 yards, One TD.

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NFL DFS Week Two: Touches and Targets Outlooks

5 years ago

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This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Two 13-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.

High Tier

NFL DFS WR: DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) ($9000 FD|$8100 DK)

61% Reception rate. 13 Targets, 8 receptions, 13.9 yards per reception (Week One).

DeAndre Hopkins is such a key part of this offense and his 100% snap share makes him a top wide receiver play week in and out. Sammy Watkins had a huge game with nine receptions, 198 yards, and three touchdowns. I’m not not a believer in this Jacksonville defense and I do not think Week One was an outlier. I’ll take Hopkins as a top play in Week Two.

NFL DFS WR: JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT) ($8100 FD|$7500 DK)

75% Reception rate. 8 Targets, 6 Receptions, 9.8 yards per reception (Week One).

Let’s keep this one simple. The Bengals just tossed over 400 passing yards and two TDs against the Seattle defense in their house. Big Ben is better at home through history, but we have seen those splits come closer together the last two years. The Steelers lost two massive pieces on their offense and the 33-3 beat-down in Foxborough doesn’t bode much confidence. Nonetheless I think we have to consider a Big Ben/Smith-Schuster correlation for tournaments if you’re running multiple lines. Smith-Schuster just as one-off is fine too.

NFL DFS WR: Michael Thomas (NOS) ($8500 FD|$8000 DK)

77% Reception rate. 13 Targets, 10 Receptions, 12.3 yards per reception (Week One).

Michael Thomas should draw a good bit of ownership on Sunday, although he does draw Marcus Peters in coverage. This game comes in with the highest score total so this is definitely a spot you’ll want to highly consider. There isn’t a whole lot of weight to back the Drew Brees dome/no dome theory. Any QB is going to be better when not dealing with the elements, but Brees has identical completion percentages, (66% no dome, 69% dome) and not a big flux in points scored on the road versus at home.

NFL DFS WR: Keenan Allen (LAC) ($7700 FD|$7600 DK)

80% Reception rate. 10 Targets, 8 Receptions, 15.4 yards per reception (Week One).

Keenan Allen is probably my bottom play in terms of top receivers. He doesn’t get that great of a matchup but the Chargers really have no other weapons outside of Allen and Ekeler. Mike Williams is banged up and Hunter Henry is out again. The Chargers have limited options so we should see Rivers try to get the ball to who he is comfortable with and that is Keenan Allen.

NFL DFS RB: Saquon Barkley (NYG) ($9200 FD|$9200 DK)

85% Snap Share, 6 Targets, 4 Receptions, 9.3 yards per touch (Week One).

Game-script affected the way Saquon Barkley was utilized in the Giants offense. He only had 11 carries and four receptions and still managed 139 all-purpose yards. That is the definition of efficiency and Buffalo isn’t quite as good as Dallas against the run. Sterling Shephard is now in concussion protocol and the Giants lack offensive luster outside of Shephard, Engram, and Barkley. He should see a nice increase in usage and wouldn’t be surprised to see him get 20+ touches in Week Two.

Honorable Mention:

Ezekiel Elliott ($8500 FD|$8700 DK): 14 touches, 63 all-purpose yards, 1 TD (Week One).

Mid Tier

NFL DFS WR: Adam Thielen (MIN) ($7300 FD|$7100 DK)

100% Reception rate. 3 Targets, 3 Receptions, 14 yards per reception (Week One).

Kirk Cousins only threw the ball 10 times in Week One, completing eight of them for 98 yards and a TD. Dalvin Cook and the Minnesota defense pretty much handled the rest. This is a big division game against Green Bay and I think we see a lot more passing given run defense is one of the Packers’ strengths. Adam Thielen should see at least 10 looks on Sunday.

NFL DFS WR: Cooper Kupp (LAR) ($6800 FD|$6000 DK)

70% Reception rate. 10 Targets, 7 Receptions, 6.6 yards per reception (Week One).

Cooper Kupp gets one of the best pound for pound matchups on the slate against P.J. Williams. The Rams didn’t look great offensively last Sunday but Jared Goff home/road splits are a thing. At home, Goff is completing 68% of his passes compared to 60% on the road. He also averaged 342 passing yards per per game at home (he threw over 400 in some) versus 243 on the road. Kupp was one of the highest targeted receivers in the red zone and averaged nine targets per game last season. I like him particularly on DK for the PPR.

NFL DFS WR: Julian Edelman (NEP) ($7100 FD|$6900 DK)

62% Reception rate. 95 Targets, 59 Receptions, nine yards per target (Week One).

It will be interesting to see what kind of game plan Bill Belichick rolls out in Miami. His team is talented in all three phrases and he has numerous weapons and depth to compliment those weapons. I’m not a huge fan but I’d be neglectful to not include Julian Edelman. My theory is based on game script. I think this game correlates better with RB paired with DST as opposed to QB with WR. I just think they play smart, sound football and grind it out. Edelman should be considered, he just won’t be in my main lineup.

Honorable Mentions: Robert Woods ($7300 FD|$6400 DK), Kenny Golladay ($6600 FD|$6600 DK), Tyler Boyd ($6300 FD|$6600 DK),

Low Tier/Punts

NFL DFS WR: John Brown (BUF) ($6300 FD|$5200 DK)

70% Reception rate. 10 Targets, 7 Receptions, 17.6 yards per reception (Week One).

John Brown presents great speed against a terrible New York Giants defense. Prior to his departure of Arizona he had dealt with injuries off and on and then was traded to Baltimore and saw minimal work when rookie QB Lamar Jackson came in and ran his way through the rest of the season. Brown is a good receiver and matches up well against Janoris Jenkins. Although I still love a Zay Jones play to pivot off of him, I give John Brown the edge.

NFL DFS WR: Tyrell Williams (OAK) ($5900 FD|$4400 DK)

85% Reception rate. 7 Targets, 6 Receptions, 17 yards per reception (Week One).

The Raiders present overall great value across the board. K.C. has a weak secondary and rookie Gardner Minshew made that pretty evident after going 22-25 and two TD’s last week. Carr has limited weapons and Tyrell should continue to benefit.

NFL DFS WR: Randall Cobb (DAL) ($5500 FD|$4500 DK)

80% Reception rate. 5 Targets, 4 Receptions, 17 yards per reception (Week One).

NFL DFS WR: Chris Conley (JAC) ($4500 FD|$3100 DK)

85% Reception rate. 7 Targets, 6 Receptions, 16 yards per reception (Week One).

NFL DFS RB: Josh Jacobs (OAK) ($4500 FD|$3100 DK)

24 touches for 113 all-purpose yards and 2 TD’s (Week One).

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