RBC Heritage Preview: DeepDiveGolf’s Tournament Analysis, Weather, And Advice DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 7 days ago
RBC Heritage Preview: DeepDiveGolf’s Tournament Analysis, Weather, And Advice DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 7 days ago
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports NFL Paper Plays: Davante Adams Ruthless Aggression Jim Thomson 6 months ago written by Jim Thomson JT’s Paper Plays give the best shot to make a PROFIT and WIN DAILY. 6 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL NFL DFS: The Inside Look- Week 9 – Win Daily Sports Joel Bartilotta 1 year ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Week 9 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season. This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend. My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.What a weird weekend Week 9 was. The New York Jets beat up on the intra-state rival Buffalo Bills, the demise of Aaron Rodgers continued, and the Lamar Jackson we’ve known to love may be making a comeback. Let’s dig in to the data!Wide Receiver TargetsBefore we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets. Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production. The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. After putting in arguably the worst game of his career in Week 8, Davante Adams had a huge comeback in Week 9. He led all wide receivers this week with 17 targets and was able to catch 10 of them for 146 yards and 2 touchdowns. The 17 targets were the most he’s had since Week 1 when he also had 17. Up next for Adams and the Raiders will be a matchup against Jeff Saturday and the Indianapolis Colts. Listen, did you know the Vikings are 7-1? A lot of that has had to do with the stellar play of Justin Jefferson. For the third time this season, Jefferson was targeted 13 times. He made the most of those 13 targets as he finished with 7 catches, 115 receiving yards, and 1 touchdown. This was the fifth time this season that Jefferson surpassed the century mark. Next week will be a tough draw for him as the Vikings will head to Buffalo to play the Bills. Running Back TargetsThis wasn’t a good weekend for running backs and targets. Not a single running back was targeted more than 9 times and none had more than 58 yards receiving. We’ll focus on Austin Ekeler here as he led the way with 9 targets. While he was able to catch 7 of them, he only went for 24 receiving yards. He was however able to convert one of them into a touchdown. Tight End TargetsOutside of Travis Kelce, no tight end was targeted in double digits this weekend. Kelce was tied with Davante Adams this weekend for the lead in targets with 17. The 17 targets that Kelce had this weekend were by far the most he’s had this season and also the most he’s ever had in his career. He was able to catch 10 of them for 106 yards, surpassing the 100-yard mark for the third time this season. With all that being said, he’s now gone 3 consecutive games without finding the end zone. He’ll look to change that this coming weekend in a matchup vs. the Jaguars. Quarterback Target ShareThe combo of PJ Walker and Baker Mayfield combined to throw the ball 30 times this weekend. They relied heavily on their backs as nearly a third of all their passes went to them. Raheem Blacksheer, D’Onta Foreman, Spencer Brown, and Giovanni Ricci combined for 11 targets on Sunday. We’ll look to see if that distribution continues on Thursday night as the Panthers take on the Falcons. If you can figure out the methodology behind who Jalen Hurts throws to on a given week, please pass the info on. This week it was his tight ends that saw the bulk of the receiving load. Of Hurts’ 26 passing this weekend, more than 40% of them went to his tight ends. Dallas Goedert led the team in targets this weekend with 9. The 8-0 Eagles can do no wrong at this point. The Tua/Hill combo may be the most fun thing to watch this season. Nearly 65% of Tua’s 29 passes this weekend went to his wide receivers, with the bulk of those going to Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Targets and those 2 seem to be as safe as there is in the NFL right now. Running Back TouchesWith James Robinson shipped off to the Jets, we’re starting to see what Travis Etienne can do. Over the last 4 weeks, we’ve seen his carries go from 10 to 14 to 24 to a season-high of 28. He’s also now rushed for over 100 yards in 3 consecutive weeks and has also found the end zone in all 3 of those games. He was the chalk running back this weekend and he did not disappoint! He’ll have his hands full in Week 10 against the Chiefs. Dameon Pierce, take a bow! The rookie running back for the Texans had a career-high 27 carries this weekend. He was able to rush for a career-high 139 as well. The only thing he didn’t do right was find the end zone. The rookie has been a big part of this offense this season and that should continue in a matchup against the surprisingly solid New York Giants in Week 10.PlaybookThe ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.Tennessee ended up running the fewest amount of plays this weekend at 42. 70% of those plays however were runs. Between Derrick Henry and Malik Willis, the Titans ran the ball 29 times this weekend compared to just 13 pass plays. One thing we do know is that once Ryan Tannehill is back, that will like shift just a bit.On the polar opposite end of the spectrum was the Kansas City Chiefs. They not only ran the most plays at 81, but they also threw the ball nearly 80% of the time. Patrick Mahomes threw the ball 68 times! That was a season-high by a wide margin and for the second consecutive week, Mahomes threw for over 400 yards. What a stretch that Mahomes is currently in!Make sure to check out all of our NFL articles here.Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 1 year ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL NFL DFS: The Inside Look – Week 1 – Win Daily Sports Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Week 1 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season. This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend. My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.With the completion of the Monday Night game between the Broncos and Seahawks, Week 1 is finally over. And what a week it was!Let’s dig into the data!Wide Receiver TargetsBefore we dig into individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets. Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production. The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. Of the top 10 receivers in terms of targets this past week, 4 were new weapons in new cities. Davante Adams led the way this week with 17 targets. Adams and Derek Carr clicked instantly as he went for 141 yards on 10 receptions and even found the endzone. Adams’s 17 targets were nearly half of the passes thrown by Carr. It’s clear right from the start that the Raiders’ offense will go through Adams. Adams will have the benefit of facing off against a Cardinals team in Week 2 that saw their defense give up 360 passing yards, more than any team in the league.A.J. Brown was another new face in a new city as the former Titans receiver made his Eagles debut. Brown’s 13 targets were the most of any Eagles player. His final stat line in Week 1 was 10 receptions for 155 yards. Although he didn’t find the end zone in Week 1, the Eagles were able to win in a shootout vs. the Lions. Up next will be a date with the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings were middle of the pack this week against the pass, giving up 260 passing yards. A mainstay of this article from last year, Cooper Kupp went out and did Cooper Kupp-type things on Thursday night. While the rest of the Super Bowl Champion Los Angeles Rams struggled mightily in Week 1, Kupp was the bright spot of the night. He was targeted 15 times and caught 13 of them for 128 yards and a TD. Stafford and the Rams will look to get back on track next week vs. a Falcons team that gave up 2 passing TD this weekend. Running Back TargetsWith the Broncos down seemingly the entire game, Russel Wilson went with a pass-heavy offense and that included Javonte Williams. Williams led all backs in Week 1 with 12 targets. Of those 12 targets, he was able to reel in 11 of them for 65 yards. When it comes to pass-catching running backs, Joe Mixon is normally at the top of the list. Mixon ended Sunday with 9 targets and was able to reel in 7 of them for 63 receiving yards. Some of the extra targets that Mixon received this weekend were partly due to Tee Higgins missing most of the game with a concussion. It will be interesting to see in Week 2 if he has that big of a target share should Higgins return. Up next, the Bengals will face off against the Cowboys in Week 2.Tight End TargetsWith the Rams down most of the game, Stafford was forced the throw the ball quite often. Only a handful of QB’s threw the ball more than Stafford this weekend. Kupp was near the top of the list in targets for receivers, but Tyler Higbee was all the way at the top of the list for tight ends and targets. Although Higbee led all tight ends in targets, he was only able to catch 5 of them for 39 yards. Higbee owners are hopeful that the targets will continue in Week 2, but more hopeful that he’ll catch a few more than he did in Week 1.After a solid rookie season, Pat Freiermuth picked up right where he left off. His 10 targets trailed only Higbee. He was able to catch 5 of the 10 targets and finish with 75 yards. Next up for Freiermuth and the Steelers will be a matchup with the Patriots. Quarterback Target ShareIt was the Saquon Barkley show on Sunday, on the ground and in the air. Daniel Jones only threw the ball 21 times on Sunday, but nearly a third of those targets went to Barkley. Finally healthy, Barkley is back to being the focal point of this Giants offense. His 7 targets led the team and Jones targeted his running backs a total 8 times. Of the 38 passes Trevor Lawrence threw on Sunday, more than 70% went to his wide receivers. He clicked instantly with his shiny new weapon as Christian Kirk accounted for 12 of his targets. Zay Jones wasn’t too far behind that number with 9 himself. In what will be a pass-heavy offense this season, we can feel comfortable using his receivers because we know they will get plenty of looks. Running Back TouchesJonathan Taylor picked up right where he left off. Taylor rushed 31 times on Sunday for 161 yards and 1 TD. If you were lucky enough to snag him in season-long drafts or were able to keep him from last year, consider yourself extremely lucky. If he isn’t already, he’s on his way to becoming the top back in the league. In Week 2 the Colts will face off against a Commanders team that gave up only 66 yards on the ground in Week 1.Joe Mixon had not only a ton of targets on Sunday but also a ton of touches. He trailed only Taylor on Sunday. It was all good news though as he had one of the lowest yards per carry of any of the top backs. On 27 carries, he finished with just 82 yards. Is this the Saquon Barkley the Giants were hoping for when they drafted him? Barkley had one of the best games in his career Sunday. On 18 carries, he finished with 164 yards on the ground and found the endzone. Finally healthy, Barkley will look to surpass the 1,000-yard rushing mark for the first time since 2019. He’s well on his way after a great Week 1. PlaybookThe ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.With the weather being just absolutely awful, the Bears ran the ball nearly 70% of the time on Sunday. As the weather gets better for them, I’m sure we’ll see Justin Fields throwing the ball just a bit more than he did on Sunday.Facing off against a tough run defense in the Ravens and also being down the majority of the game, Joe Flacco and the Jets went with a pass-heavy offense. They threw the ball nearly 80% of the time. Flacco threw the ball 59 times on Sunday, finishing with 307 yards. Another team that had a pass-heavy offense was the Las Vegas Raiders. They threw the ball just a bit more than 70% of the time on Sunday. This is a trend that will more than likely continue as Carr will continue to throw heavily at Adams. Not already a member? Join today for a low price of $5.99 weekly. Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL NFL DFS: The Inside Look- Week 17 – Win Daily Sports Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Week 17 edition of The Inside Look for the 2021 NFL season. This will be a data-driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend. My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.Outside of the MNF game, we have a pretty good sense of what transpired this past weekend. Let’s dig into the data!Wide Receiver TargetsBefore we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets. Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production. The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. The leader in targets yesterday was Mr. Davante Adams. For the third time in 3 weeks, Adams had at least 13 targets. His 14 targets this weekend were the most he’s had since week 14 vs. the Chiefs. Adams has just been a model of consistency of late. His 136 yards marked the fifth time in six games where he exceeded 100 yards receiving. Aaron Rodgers has hinted that this may be it for him. If it is, the Rodgers/Adams combo will be sorely missed as it’s been one of the most fun combos to watch.Last week it was Tee Higgins, this week it was Ja’Marr Chase. Chase had himself a day yesterday, catching 11 of his 12 targets for a whopping 266 yards and 3 touchdowns. The season high 266 yards were the second time that Chase has reached at least 200 yards in a game this season. His 11 receptions were also a season high for Chase. With Chase having 12 targets this weekend, it marked the fifth time this season where he had double digit targets. He’ll look to keep padding his rookie stats next weekend against their state rivals the Browns.Another guy that had a splendid day in week 17 was Amon-Ra St. Brown. St. Brown has seen a steady progression in play all season. He now has 5 straight weeks of at least 11 targets. His 111 yards this weekend marked the first time in his young career that he reached the coveted 100 yard mark. While Chase is the lock to win the rookie of the year award, St. Brown has put together a very impressive rookie campaign. He’ll look to close it out next week vs. the Packers. Running Back TargetsThis was as boring of a week for pass catching running backs as we’ve had all year. Not a single running back had double digit targets and none had more than 70 receiving yards. That said, we’ll still want to highlight at least one person and that will be Alvin Kamara. This wasn’t quite the season that Kamara had envisioned. He’s on pace to have career lows in receptions, receiving yards, and his lowest rushing output since his rookie year. He did however have a pretty good week 17. For the first time since week 7, he had a receiving touchdown. His 68 receiving yards were also the most he’s had since then. Up next week is a matchup vs. a poor Falcons defense. He’ll look to end the regular season on a positive note next week vs. the Falcons.Tight End TargetsWith Chris Godwin out and Antonio Brown leaving mid game, Rob Gronkowski became a favorite weapon for Tom Brady. After averaging 7.5 targets per game in the last 4 games, Gronk reached double digit targets in week 17 with 10. It marked the second time in the last 3 games he had double digit targets. Of the 10 targets, he was able to catch 7 of them for 115 yards. The 115 yards was just the second time all year he was able to reach the 100 yard mark. Although he had a solid target and receiving game, this is now the fourth straight week with no touchdowns. He’ll look to end that streak next week vs. the Panthers.The only other tight end to have double digit targets in week 17 was Dalton Schultz of the Dallas Cowboys. Schultz’ 10 targets marked the first time this season he had double digit targets. His targets have been increasing over the last few weeks as he’s had 8, then 9, and now 10 targets. While he had a ton of targets this weekend, he did little with them as he only caught 6 of them for 54 yards and zero touchdowns. Does Dak target him again this much next week vs. the Eagles in a prime-time game on Saturday night? Quarterback Target ShareI know Mike Glennon is tops on the list in terms of using his running backs in the passing scheme in week 17, at least in terms of %. We’ll get to him much later. To start I want to focus on Jalen Hurts. Hurts has really become a fan of throwing the ball to Dallas Goedert. This week Goedert was his most used pass catcher. Last week Goedert was his second most used receiver. Week in and week out Hurts’ favorite targets are Goedert and Smith. This week was a very different feel for the Baltimore Ravens. On most Sundays Mark Andrews is far and away the most targeted guy on the Ravens. This week, not so much. Andrews was the third most targeted pass catcher for the Ravens in week 17. Huntley looked more often for his wide receivers and unfortunately, it wasn’t overly successful as the Ravens lost another one and will need a miracle next week to squeak into the playoffs.Running Back TouchesRashaad Penny is on a heater folks. Over the last 4 weeks Penny has games of 137 rushing yards, 135, and 170! Going into week 17, Penny hadn’t had more than 17 carries. This week he ended up with 25 carries. The Seahawks had a dominant performance yesterday vs. the Lions and Penny was a huge part of it. He’ll look to close out a disappointing Seahawks season next week vs. a tough Cardinals team.Jonathan Taylor has more games over 100 yards rushing this year than he has less than it. He’s put together just an amazing season. On 20 carries this weekend, he was able to gain over 100 yards rushing for the fourth consecutive week and seventh out of his last 8 games. After disappointing his fans last weekend, he was able to find the end zone once again in week 17. That makes it 17 rushing touchdowns on the year. He’ll look to add to his already impressive sophomore season next weekend vs. the Jaguars. If you’re confused with how the Titans use their backs, you’re not alone. After getting 22 carries in week 15, Foreman dropped to just 9 carries in week 16. In week 17 he had a season high 26. For the third time in the last 5 weeks, Foreman broke the 100 yard mark and had a season high 132 rushing yards. Up next week is a matchup vs. the Texans and your guess is as good as mine as to who will get the bulk of the carries.PlaybookThe ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.We need to talk about he game that Mike Glennon of the New York Giants had. Thanks to a handful of sacks, Glennon had an NFL record low -10 yards passing. That’s not a mark on your screen. It’s really a negative sign next to the yardage. Yesterday’s performance by Glennon will go down as one of the worst individual performances of all time. There’s a reason the Giants ran the ball 80% of the time yesterday…If your fantasy team was relying on Dalvin Cook to guide you to your season long fantasy championship yesterday, sorry. With the Vikings not being able to get anything going on the ground, they passed the ball 80% of the time. That didn’t work much either as Sean Mannion couldn’t get much going. The Vikings will hope to get Kirk Cousins back for their week 18 matchup against the Bears.Inside Look Wrap UpWhile Joe Burrow didn’t throw for over 500 yards again this week, he did come close. Those in their championship games that had Burrow this weekend should be hopefully feel good about their chances to raise their trophies. This was another fun week of football, as long as your name was not Antonio Brown (I truly hope he gets the help he needs). In week 17 we saw just 5 guys get over 100 yards receiving, compared to 11 last week. We saw a lot more success on the ground though this weekend as 7 guys had over 100 yards rushing. We’re almost at the finish line folks!When setting lineups each week, make sure to our optimizer here.Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLPremium NFL DFS: Quarterbacks and Stacks – Week 15 – Win Daily Sports Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Week 15 edition of QB’s and Stacks. I’m Jared and I’ll be filling in for A Through Z. With Covid making its way virtually through every locker room, it’s going to be a weird week. We’ll want to make sure that we are keeping as close of an eye to injury reports a... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNFL Week 2 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Lions at Packers Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 2 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first TNF showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 2 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Week 2 NFL DFS Chalk: Aaron Rodgers (FD $16,000, DK $17,100)Pivot: Davante Adams (FD $15,000, DK $17,700)Contrarian #1: Aaron Jones (FD $12,500, DK $15,600)Contrarian #2: Jared Goff (FD $14,500, DK $15,000)Contrarian #3: T.J. Hockenson (FD $11,000, DK $14,400)I have to believe that despite Davante Adams being the most expensive player on the slate and a poor week 1 performance from three-time NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers, the Packers QB will be the chalk for showdown captain. The Lions secondary is now without Jeff Okudah (again) and there’s a lot of new faces on a team that in Week 1 only had to contend with Jimmy Garoppolo. Rodgers is poised for a bounceback game at home on prime time — his favorite time to shine. There’s probably enough value in the Lions secondary receiving options to warrant using Rodgers at captain and just finding ways to fit Adams and some bargain pieces.Packers notes: Rostering Rodgers/Adams somewhere in your six slots is the priority here, and Randall Cobb ($3K captain/$2K flex) offers perhaps the best value among the other skills positions for the Packers. Marques Valdez-Scantling saw eight targets in Week 1, but I’m still more interested in Aaron Jones and Robert Tonyan as the most important offensive weapons not named “Davante.” Tonyan hasn’t traditionally done as much work between the 20s and has done most of his eating in the red zone, but a new game plan for confusing a relatively weak nickel/LB corps means he could see a few extra check-down targets this week. I’d also expect the touches and targets for Jones to at least double what he saw in Week 1 (five carries, two targets), but the new Lions base defensive scheme could be vulnerable to a big day from Jones, since there’s just three down linemen, two outside linebackers and two off-ball, “inside” LBs — more of a 5-2 front with the two edge players standing up instead of having hands in the dirt. For that reason, we could see A.J. Dillon used more this week, but he only played 16 snaps in Week 1.Lions notes: If we ignore the running games altogether, there’s a clear path to getting Jared Goff with T.J. Hockenson and a value WR along with Rodgers/Adams if we take a shot on Cobb at captain, but that’s more of a longshot build. With the injuries to Lions WRs Tyrell Williams (out, concussion) and Khalif Raymond (thigh, questionable) the smart move might be to eliminate the always risky Goff from our builds and focus on Hockenson along with cheap WRs Quintez Cephus (six targets in Week 1) and rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown (3-50-0 on four targets in his debut). D’Andre Swift is perhaps the most dynamic player in the Lions offense and was a target monster in Week 1` (8-65-1 on 11 targets to go along with 39 rushing yards), but he’s questionable despite being expected to suit up in the contest. Former Packer RB Jamaal Williams had solid Week 1 as well, finishing with 8-56-0 receiving on nine targets and racking up 54 rushing yards on just nine carries. If the Packers jump out to a big lead like the 49ers did in Week 1, we could see similar totals in the MNF game script.Week 2 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)Remember to build your team based on a Week 1 NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense togetherDON’T: Go too heavy on the DSTs, which are both weak and don’t offer much upside in a game that should exceed the 49-point game total.DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.DON’T: Play too much Jared Goff. He’s not that good, and we know this.Now that we’ve established some Week 1 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):Aaron RodgersDavante AdamsT.J. HockensonAaron JonesD’Andre SwiftJared GoffRobert TonyanJamaal WilliamsRandall CobbQuintez CephusAmon-Ra St. BrownMarques Valdez-ScantlingA.J. DillonPackers DSTAllen LazardMason CrosbyTrinity BensonAustin SeibertLions DSTMarcedes LewisDaniel FellsKylin HillDon’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week1 action! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Collector’s Corner: NFL Playoffs – NFC Trading Cards jason mezrahi 3 years ago written by jason mezrahi Now into the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs, we’ll look at what trading cards could see a value bump. We’ll conclude with the NFC.Note: I’ll use my DFS-derived Cash-GPP-Punt terminology to break down the best buys – “Cash” being solid, low-risk with a high ceiling but moderate growth potential, “GPP” being a little more risky but marked by enormous growth potential, and “Punts” – which can be had cheaply but don’t offer quite the same upside/growth potential as the Cash and GPP plays.Divisional AdvancersGreen Bay PackersCash – For some reason, Aaron Rodgers trading cards don’t get a lot of hype, but they’re highly coveted. It may be because they came around long before the existence of Panini’s Prizm flagship, but also because he spent a few years waiting in the wings behind Brett Favre before he forged his own inevitable path to Canton. His 2005 Topps RC is reasonably priced, but there’s a really sweet – and relatively rare – 2005 Bowman Chrome Auto rookie up for auction on eBay that could sell for more than $2K when it’s all said and done. A PSA 10 (also numbered to 199) sold on Dec. 21 for $5K. I think we could see that particular card (in a graded PSA 10) jump up to $10K if he wins another Super Bowl – and especially if he beats Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the big game.GPP – Davante Adams trading cards are primed for a huge jump, as you can still pick up a raw 2014 Prizm Silver Refractor #281 for about $100 or so. One card that I really like is his 2014 Topps Chrome 1985 throwback design – which is very affordable and looks awesome.What a cool-looking card — and not too expensive!Punt – While Aaron Jones is a solid talent, he may price himself out of Green Bay soon, and we could see A.J. Dillon get a shot as the lead back. Dillon’s trading cards are still very affordable now and there’s lots of cool parallels. I pulled a gorgeous 2020 Mosaic Silver Prizm out of a hobby box that would be worth grading were it not for a minor edge issue on the card’s right side.If you look closely, you can see some minor edge issues that could prevent this card from grading a Gem Mint 10.New Orleans SaintsCash – Drew Brees has a nice array of rookies to choose from, some of which command huge prices. The main issue keeping his trading cards from increasing in the next few months is that he’s obviously in a Chargers uniform in all of them. They’re still great buys because when he retires and is inducted into the HOF a few years down the road, they’ll see a huge bump.GPP – Alvin Kamara rookie trading cards are worth way more than Michael Thomas, and the 2020 season has extended that gap even more. But if the Saints are going to win a title this season, he’s going to be a big part of it. You can buy his 2017 Panini Silver Prizm #291 in a Gem Mint PSA 10 for about $400, and even a 2017 Donruss Rated Rookie #349 PSA 9 is a great buy at just $50.The 2017 Donruss set is filled with big rookies, including Kamara, Mahomes and Christian McCaffrey, to name a few.Punt – Taysom Hill and Jameis Winston trading cards are dirt cheap, and while they’re both in different uniforms in their rookie cards, one of them is going to inherit an offense that could help skyrocket their value. Jump aboard while they’re affordable.Tampa Bay BuccaneersCash – Tom Brady remains the GOAT, and his rookie cards are crazy expensive. Some sellers on eBay post his cards for hilariously unrealistic prices for that site, so I’d advise against shelling out six or seven figures on that site. Still – high-grade examples of his top rookie cards regularly sell for $40-50K right on eBay, so it’s anybody’s guess what the market holds in the coming months. I’m not sure how much higher they’ll go, but if he wins a title with the Bucs, even his 2020 cards should go up.Is this Brady rookie card worth $250K in a PSA 10? There are only seven graded that high on the PSA registry.GPP – Ronald Jones had a solid 2020 season, and Gronk cards may have reached their peak, but Mike Evans and Chris Godwin still could see a bump.Punt – I’ve got my eyes on Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Tyler Johnson, but there’s plenty of barriers to their immediate success at those skill positions in Tampa.Los Angeles RamsCash – I’d say the safest bet is probably Cooper Kupp, because we know how crazy Jared Goff’s career has been thus far. I have a few Goff cards but no rookies, and that might be a good segue into the GPP section, because that’s where he probably belongs.GPP – Cam Akers is really talented and has a bright future ahead of him in Los Angeles. I’m buying him up and enjoying how cheap his cards were before he was a regular part of the offense. It’s worth following a couple auctions to see where his cards go in the next couple of weeks.Punt – Van Jefferson might get his shot as soon as one of the top two Rams WRs (Kupp and Robert Woods) moves on, and there’s plenty to like at his current price point.Eliminated: Seattle Seahawks, Washington Football Team, Chicago BearsCash – Russell Wilson, DK MetcalfGPP – Antonio Gibson, Logan Thomas, Chase Young, Terry McLaurin, David Montgomery, Allen RobinsonPunt – Antonio Gandy-Golden, Cole Kmet, Anthony Gordon, Deejay Dallas 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNFL Week 9 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview: Packers at 49ers jason mezrahi 3 years ago written by jason mezrahi The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the first Week 9 NFL DFS contests!Introduction to Single-Game ShowdownsDraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.Let’s get to the game!Week 9 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Let’s start with a snapshot of the top options at captain on DK: Wow. That’s a lot of red — but at least we don’t see any injury notes next to the top two options: Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams. Rodgers is actually cheaper than Adams but my guess is that he’ll end up being the chalk in the top spot. We’ll know a little bit closer to lock if that’s the case.Chalk: Aaron Rodgers (DK $16,500, FD $15,000)Pivot: Davante Adams (DK $18,600, FD $15,500)Contrarian #1: Nick Mullens (DK $13,800, FD $12,000)Contrarian #2: Jerick McKinnon (DK $12,000, FD $7,000)Aaron Jones is still nursing a calf injury and is listed as questionable – he’ll be a game-time decision and his absence would force the Packers to start someone a relative unknown, be that DK minimum-price Tyler Ervin (who has logged the most field time of the available Green Bay RBs this season with four carries for 43 rushing yards and 6-33-0 on nine receiving targets) or 2019 sixth-round pick Dexter Williams, who’s minimum price (DK $300, FD $5,000) on both sites.Jones has played injured before, and he’s even been effective – so as of writing this I’m expecting him to suit up. After Adams, we could see lots of targets for TE Robert Tonyan, WR Allen Lazard (if he comes off IR before the game and is activated), and even the likes of Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Equanimeous St. Brown.On the 49ers side, things are looking even more bleak, with all the team’s high-profile fantasy starters missing tonight’s contest – including QB Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle, IR), TE George Kittle (broken foot, IR), RBs Raheem Mostert (ankle, IR), Tevin Coleman (knee, out) and Jeff Wilson (ankle, IR), as well a triumvirate of WRs in the speedy Deebo Samuel (COVID-19), rookie standout Brandon Aiyuk (COVID-19), and red-zone target Kendrick Bourne (COVID-19). Dante Pettis (shoulder) got cut this week and promptly signed with the Giants.We’re left with backup QB Nick Mullens, quick-twitch RB Jerick McKinnon, rookie RB JaMycal Hasty, TEs Jordan Reed and Ross Dwelley, and these WRs: Trent Taylor, Richie James (questionable with an ankle injury) and practice squad bodies River Cracraft (not joking) and Kevin White, who was once a highly regarded WR prospect for the Bears.I expect to see a lot of two-TE sets and formations with both McKinnon (lined up as a WR) and Hasty. This is madness, but we can embrace it and use it to our advantage in this showdown.There will be no trouble fitting the top few performers from both teams if we punt CPT on DK, but even with Rodgers or Adams at 1.5x we can likely get Ervin or Dexter Williams and another Packers pass catcher in there alongside the SF pieces we like.Week 9 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense togetherDON’T: Be afraid to play minimum salary guys tonight. There are several who could have a huge impact on this game.DO: Stay tuned to the inactives and make the necessary pivots. There may be a few builds that we don’t need to tinker with once we know the status of Aaron Jones, but I’m sure there will be relevant breaking news as we approach 8 p.m.DON’T: Forget about defenses and kickers. Mistakes could abound in this game, and while we’ve seen some poor play from the Packers DST, they and the 49ers DST could be worth a look.Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):Aaron RodgersDavante AdamsAaron Jones (questionable)Jerick McKinnonNick NullensJaMycal HastyRobert TonyanJordan ReedTrent TaylorTyler Ervin (bump above Hasty if Jones is out)Dexter Williams (if Jones is out)Allen Lazard (if active)Mason CrosbyRoss DwelleyPackers DSTMarquez Valdes-ScantlingRobbie Gould49ers DSTJace SternbergerRichie James (questionable)Equanimeous St. BrownKyle JuszczykNote: Injuries could also force us to consider Packers WR Malik Taylor (if Lazard is still out), Kevin White (if James is inactive) and 84-year-old Paul Hornung (joking).Good luck! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL @StixPicks 2020 Wide Receiver Evaluation Michael Rasile 4 years ago written by Michael Rasile @StixPicks 2020 Wide Receiver EvaluationMichael Rasile is joined by Nick Bretwisch to look at and discuss 2020 wide receiver evaluation. Nick breaks down the top 30 thoroughly to give an understanding of who you should be looking to grab and who not to touch. They then look at the upside players towards the end of your draft to make sure that you’ll have some potential on your bench.Understanding who is being drafted where is something that will help you decided when it’s time to draft an elite wide receiver or when you should wait. With running back being very thin and wide receiver being very thick, we run through the top 60 giving insight on who else you may be able to grab instead.The great debate of which Tampa Bay wide receiver to take might be just as exciting as if we forgot about how good AJ Green was.Listen to the episode below and don’t forget to subscribe and leave a 5 star reviewYou can also listen on these platformsApple PodcastsSpotifyAnchorFollow Nick -> https://twitter.com/StixPicksCheck out Nick’s articles on Win Daily Sports -> https://windailysports.com/author/nbretwisch/Check out the QB Evaluation and RB EvaluationWin Daily Sports Discord Chat -> https://discord.com/invite/KEFD2KrMake sure to follow Win Daily, too!https://www.instagram.com/windaily/https://twitter.com/windailysportshttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCY2I3VNyf_dtW-2xl5vwv0Qhttps://www.twitch.tv/windailysportshttps://windailysports.com/ 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports Betting NFL Player Total Prop Bets | 2020 Season ddwessels@att.net 4 years ago written by ddwessels@att.net NFL Player Total Prop BetsSia and Michael make some NFL Player Total Prop Bets for the 2020 season.You can find lines and over/unders at DraftKings, FanDuel, and Monkey Knife Fight!Sia’s PicksDrew Lock over 3375.5 (-110 on DK)@StixPicks likes this one too (needs to average 211 yards per game)Defense isn’t good enough to be lockdown so Drew will have all four quarters to throw the ball in most gamesAll kinds of weapons with Jeudy, KJ Hamler and Sutton and FantPlus two RB’s that can catch in Lindsay and MelvinKenyan Drake over 1050.5 rushing yards (-110 on DK)Hate RB props because of injury risk but this one seems worth it. No major competition for Kenyan (Chase Edmonds is backup)Arizona continues to add weapons on the outside which should free up more spaceIf Kyler runs and Read-Option it’ll give freeze the LBs and give Drake the alley he needs to make one cut and fly.Note Jason likes the value in Arizona at 60 to 1. If you look at schedule they can get to the playoffs. Tough but doable.Note Kyler passing prop is 3950.5. He probably gets there but like this one better.Davante Adams over 1200.5 yards (-110 on DK)997 yards in 12 games last year. Couple of which he was hobbled2018 he played 15 games and got 1386 yardsGB going to be more of a running team this year BUT Davante is a lock for major targets if healthy. If he plays 14 games he clears this number. 13 games and it’s still possible.He’s still only 27Last two games (playoffs) he caught 9 of 10 for 138 and 8 of 11 for 160. Expect a few dud games from Davante but enough huge ones to hit the numberMichael’s PicksDrew Brees Passing Yards o/u – 4049.5 yds – UNDER -112 (FanDuel)Hasn’t hit 4000 yards since 2017. Another year older.Hurt the last two seasons and Taysom Hill comes in to throw the ball sometimesBased on defensive efficiency for 2020 Saints offense is in the bottom half of the league (23rd)Also harder based on 2020 SOS from Vegas Win Totals (23rd)Balanced run/pass attack, not quite what we remember when they were throwing the ball 650 times a year. Last two years: 2019 – 581 to 407; 2018 – 519 to 471Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards o/u – 1160.5 – OVER -110 (DraftKings)CONTRACT YEARFinally healthy last year, only missed two games both towards the end of the seasonRushing Def against in the top half of the league. If receivers can do anything theyll be able to run as much as they’d likeStephanski is leaving but Kubiak had the heaviest hand in creating that offense last year.Strength of schedule is easier than average, hopefully leading to more leads late in games and opportunities to run out the clock.Nick thinks Mattison and Boone are going to take away carries, but I think Cook hits the over hereHenry Ruggs III Receiving Yards o/u – 740.5 – OVER -112 (FanDuel)No other wide receivers there…Route runner not just a straight line speed guyDarren Waller TE was their leading receiver last year with 90 catches for 1145 yrd – most likely some regression thereNo wide receiver topped 50 catches – Renfrow had 49Immediately comes in as the best receiver on the teamAveraged 17.5 yr/r – if he averages 3 catches a game for 17.5 yards he beats out the 740.5 totalBowden will be more of a gadget playNever topped 750 in college, but also had 3 other incredible receivers on that team and didn’t need to play all that much in most second halvesGo ahead and place your bets 👉 👉 👉 DraftKings and FanDuelHop on our Free Expert Discord Chat!https://discord.com/invite/QsK3HJsMake sure to follow Win Daily, too!https://www.instagram.com/windaily/https://twitter.com/windailysportshttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCY2I3VNyf_dtW-2xl5vwv0Qhttps://www.twitch.tv/windailysportshttps://windailysports.com/blog/ 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
