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FanDuel NASCAR DFS | Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 | Atlanta Motor Speedway

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 picks. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only. 

Follow jmo on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Cup Series returns today with the Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway in Speedway, Indiana.

This race is 160-laps, or 400-miles, on this 2.5-mile track.

The optimal lineup to begin race will be Joey Logano, Alex Bowman, Aric Almirola, Kurt Busch, and Justin Allgaier.

THE PICKS | FanDuel

FRONTRUNNERS

NOTE: Roster the race winner.

KEVIN HARVICK, DENNY HAMLIN, RYAN BLANEY

Additional options: Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Aric Almirola, Kurt Busch, Martin Truex, Kyle Busch

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

NOTE: Roster drivers that provide positive place-differential points and a strong finishing position.

ERIK JONES, CHRISTOPHER BELL, CLINT BOWYER, WILLIAM BYRON

Additional options: Ryan Preece, Michael McDowell, Cole Custer, Matt Kenseth, Chris Buescher, Ryan Newman, Matt DiBenedetto, Ricky Stenhouse, Bubba Wallace

STARTING TOO HIGH

NOTE: Avoid rostering drivers that finish below their starting position.

The following drivers are starting to high (increasing their potential for negative-place differential) and/or do not appear likely to hit value:

Justin Allgaier, Alex Bowman, Tyler Reddick, Austin Dillon, John Nemechek, Ty Dillon, and Daniel Suarez.

Drivers that may not be attractive plays on FanDuel, can be better plays on DraftKings. Check out WinDaily’s DraftKings article for today:

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series 7/5/20 by Matt Vecchio.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

NOTE: Only roster drivers that finish on the lead lap.

The following drivers are not expected to finish on the lead lap:

Ross Chastain, Quin Houff, Brennan Poole, Joey Gase, Timmy Hill, BJ McLeod, JJ Yeley, Garrett Smithley, and Josh Bilicki.

SLATE ANALYSIS

LAST TIME OUT AT INDIANAPOLIS

The last time out at Indianapolis (September 8, 2019), Harvick took the checkered flag, followed by Logano, Wallace, Byron, Bowyer, Hamlin, Blaney, Newman, and Elliott.

Harvick recorded the most laps led with 118. Blaney led 19 laps, Logano led 11 laps, and Byron and Chastain each led a lap.

Harvick also recorded the most fastest-laps with 43. Kurt Busch recorded 18, Blaney recorded 13, Hamlin recorded 5, Wallace recorded 4, Kyle Busch recorded 3, Logano, Byron, Bowman, Truex, and Bilicki each recorded 2, and Elliott, McDowell, DiBenedetto, and, Stenhouse each recorded a fastest-lap.

The optimal FanDuel lineup for the 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 included Hamlin, Harvick, Byron, Newman, and Wallace with a total of 316.9 points. The driver’s salary ranged from $5,000 to $14,000 and left $500 salary remaining.

RECENT CUP SERIES RACES

The last two Cup Series races were at a two-and-a-half-mile track, Pocono Raceway.

The 2020 Pocono Organics 325 (Saturday, June 27, 2020) optimal lineup included Harvick, Hamlin, Almirola, Bell, and McDowell (293.4, $49,000).

The 2020 Pocono 350 (Sunday, June 28, 2020) optimal lineup included Hamlin, Jones, Bowyer, Almirola, and DiBenedetto (297.30, $49,500).

2020 NASCAR CUP SERIES PERFORMANCE

Race winners during the 2020 Cup Series:

Hamlin (4), Harvick (3), Keselowski (2), Logano (2), Blaney, Elliott, Truex, Bowman

Top-five finishes during the 2020 Cup Series:

Hamlin (9), Harvick (8), Blaney (7), Elliott (7), Kyle Busch (7), Keselowski (5), Almirola (4), Jones (4), Logano (3), Kurt Busch (3), Stenhouse (3), Truex (2), Bowman (2), Bowyer (2), DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Reddick, Buescher, Bell

Top-ten finishes during the 2020 Cup Series:

Harvick (12), Hamlin (10), Keselowski (10), Elliott (9), Kurt Busch (9), Kyle Busch (8), Truex (8), Blaney (7), Almirola (7), Jones (6), Logano (6), Bowman (5), Bowyer (5), Byron (5), DiBenedetto (4), Austin Dillon (4), Buescher (4), Bell (4), Stenhouse (3), Reddick (3), Wallace (2), Nemechek (2), McDowell, Newman, Custer, LaJoie, Ty Dillon, Kenseth

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

RESOURCES

  • The starting line up is available here.
  • Pit stall selections are available here.
  • Driver rankings are available here.
  • Race results for the last time out at Indianapolis are available here.
  • Loop data for the last time out at Indianapolis is available here.
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Pain Relief 500 picks.

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your Pain Relief 500 picks. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only.

Follow Josh on twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Cup Series is back today with the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 at Martinsville Speedway in Ridgeway, Virginia. Lock for this slate is at 7 p.m ET.

This race is 263-miles, or 500-laps on this 0.526-mile race track.

Leaving more than $200 of salary remaining will increases your chances of creating a unique lineup. Be sure to include the race winner in your lineup, drivers that finish on the lead lap, drivers that have positive place differential, and capture laps led points.

FRONTRUNNERS

Martin Truex Jr. – Truex won the fall 2019 race at Martinsville while leading 464-laps. Truex has the ability to win this race and capture a significant portion of laps led, if he has a performance similar to last fall.

Brad Keselowski – Keselowski won the spring 2019 race at Martinsville and finished 3rd in the fall race. Starting 6th, Keselowski has the momentum and the ability to battle Truex for the checkered flag.

Additional options: Denny Hamlin, Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Kyle Busch

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

Austin Dillon – Dillon provides salary relief at $7,300 and place differential upside starting 22nd. In the last three races, Dillon has finished 11th, 6th, and 8th, and Dillon finished 11th in the spring 2019 race at Martinsville.

Additional options: Bubba Wallace, Cole Custer, Kurt Busch, Jimmie Johnson, Christopher Bell, Chris Buescher, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Michael McDowell

DEEP PUNTS

Avoid rostering any of the following non-lead lappers: Garrett Smithley, JJ Yeley, Reed Sorenson, Timmy Hill, Joey Gase, Brennan Poole, Quinn Houff, and David Starr.

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

Go over to FanDuel now to create your line ups!

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FanDuel NASCAR DFS | Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 | Atlanta Motor Speedway

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your QuikTrip 500 DFS picks. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only. 

Follow Josh on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Cup Series returns today with the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway in Hampton, Georgia.

This race is 325-laps, or 500.5-miles, on this 1.54-mile track.

The optimal lineup to begin race will be Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola, and Chris Buescher.

THE PICKS | FanDuel

CHASE ELLIOTT – Elliott starts on the pole today and has been one the strongest performing drivers recently. With a victory and four top-five finishes, Elliott offers salary relief from Harvick and Kyle Busch and appears to be in a better position to dominate this race. Starting on the pole does present risk of negative place differential though, so looking for laps led and top-five finish from Chase if he is going to be rostered.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. – Truex had one of the better cars last time out at Atlanta. Starting 11th, Truex provides some place differential upside in comparison to the other top-twelve drivers and is $1,800 less than Harvick.

KEVIN HARVICK – Harvick is the highest-priced driver on this slate and the favorite to win. Starting 9th, Harvick has positive place differential potential and the ability to lead laps in this race. Harvick should garner a considerable amount of ownership today.

BRAD KESELOWSKI – Keselowski is coming off two recent victories and has six top-ten finishes this season. Starting 6th, Keselowski has the potential to lead laps and finish top-five in this race.

JIMMIE JOHNSON – Johnson does not offer the same dominator potential as the other drivers listed above, but starting 15th, and projected to finish 9th, he has the positive place differential upside at a reduced salary. Johnson feels safer than many plays available today, but he’s not a requirement in every line.

CHRISTOPHER BELL – Bell is starting 27th today, provides salary relief, and positive place differential upside. Be careful with punting on FanDuel, so outside of Custer and McDowell, avoid rostering any drivers below Bell.

Additional options: Denny Hamlin, Joey Logano, Alex Bowman, Kyle Busch, Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola, Tyler Reddick, Matt DiBenedetto, Cole Custer, Michael McDowell, Erik Jones, Chris Buescher, and Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

NOTE: Be sure to roster drivers that finish on the lead lap.

The following drivers have not finished on the lead lap during the 2020 Cup Series: Josh Bilicki, Garrett Smithley, BJ McLeod, Timmy Hill (with exception for the Supermarket Heroes 500), Joey Gase, Quinn Houff, JJ Yeley (with exception for the Fan Shield 500), Reed Sorenson, and Brennan Poole (with exception for the Daytona 500).

Timmy Hill finished 19th at the Supermarket Heroes 500, but he does not provide sufficient upside due to the unlikeliness to achieve a top-ten or top-fifteen finish.

SLATE ANALYSIS

LAST TIME OUT AT ATLANTA

The last time out at Atlanta, Brad Keselowski took the checkered flag, followed by Martin Truex Jr., Kurt Busch, Kevin Harvick, Clint Bowyer, Kyle Busch, Erik Jones, Aric Almirola, Chris Buescher, and Daniel Suarez.

Kyle Larson in the number 42 car, now driven by Matt Kenseth recorded the most laps led with 142. Harvick led 45 laps, Ryan Blaney led 41 laps, Almirola led 36 laps, Keselowski led 33 laps, Joey Logano led 22 laps, Truex led four laps, and Kurt Busch and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. each led one lap.

Larson also recorded the most fastest-laps with 54 laps. Harvick and Truex recorded 38 fastest-laps each. Keselowski recorded 28, Kyle Busch recorded 25, Logano recorded 24, Blaney recorded 17, and Almirola recorded 14.

The optimal FanDuel lineup for the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 included Keselowski, Truex, Kurt Busch, Jones, and Buescher with a total of 382.8 points. The driver’s salary ranged from $6,000 to $13,000 and left $100 salary remaining.

The optimal DraftKings lineup for the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 included Keselowski, Truex, Larson, Jones, Buescher, and David Ragan in the number 38 car. The total score was 382.25 points, the driver’s salary ranged from $5,800 to $11,100, and left #-0- salary remaining.

RECENT CUP SERIES RACES

The Cup Series has raced three times at mile-and-a-half tracks during 2020, most recently at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

The optimal lineups for the 2020 Alsco Uniforms 500 were (FD) Elliott, Hamlin, Blaney, Austin Dillon, Stenhouse Jr., and (DK) Elliott, Harvick, Logano, Blaney, Stenhouse Jr., Austin Dillon.

The optimal lineups for the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 were (FD) Elliott, Keselowski, Johnson, Blaney, Custer, and (DK) Truex, Elliott, Bowman, Blaney, Custer, McDowell.

The optimal lines for the 202 Pennzoil 400 were (FD) Logano, DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Stenhouse Jr., Wallace Jr., and (DK) Harvick, Logano, Stenhouse Jr., Wallace Jr., Ty Dillon.

2020 NASCAR CUP SERIES PERFORMANCE

The following drivers have taken the checkered flag during the 2020 Cup Series: Keselowski (2), Hamlin (2), Logano (2), Elliott, Harvick, and Bowman.

The following drivers have top-five finishes during the 2020 Cup Series: Harvick (5), Kyle Busch (5), Elliott (4), Keselowski (4), Hamlin (4), Blaney (3), Kurt Busch (3), Logano (2), Bowman (2), Bowyer (2), Jones (2), Johnson (2), Stenhouse Jr. (2), DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, and Buescher.

The following drivers have top-ten finishes during the 2020 Cup Series: Harvick (8), Keselowski (6), Kurt Busch (6), Kyle Busch (5), Elliott (5), Hamlin (5), Logano (4), Jones (4), Johnson (4), Truex (4), Blaney (3), Bowyer (3), Austin Dillon (3), Almirola (3), Bowman (2), Stenhouse Jr. (2), DiBenedetto (2), Buescher (2), Byron (2), Reddick (2), Wallace (2), Bell (2), Nemechek, Custer, and Newman.

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

RESOURCES

  • The starting line up is available here.
  • Pit stall selections are available here.
  • Driver rankings are available here.
  • Race results for the last time out at Atlanta are available here.
  • Loop data for the last time out at Atlanta is available here.
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We move to the Atlanta Motor Speedway this week for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. This is another 1.5 mile track than has held racing since 1960. Jimmie Johnson once again is the active driver who has had the most success here with 4 wins, tied with legends Richard Petty, Dales Earnhardt, and Bobby Labonte. Brad Keselowski is the only other driver with multiple wins, taking down 2 of the last three in 2017 and 2019.

Hendrick Motorsports leads all owners with 9 wins, followed closely by Joe Gibbs Racing with 7 wins in Atlanta. Neither though have won the last 3 years. Chevrolet leads with 23 wins over the 19 for Ford, but the latter has taken the last 3 races.

Owner Wins at Atlanta Motor Raceway

Hometown Chase Elliott hopes to improve off of his poor Truck Race effort. He is on the Pole with Aric Almirola next to him in the front row. Dominators Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin are also in the top 10. The early race to the lead could be a big factor in who dominates and wins DFS GPP’s.

Starting Grid for Atlanta

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I decided to just lock it in with 41 lineups and not mess with them Sunday AM.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

  1. Brad Keselowski $8,900 (This price is a bit ridiculous – Should by over $10K)
  2. Jimmie Johnson $10,200
  3. Kevin Harvick $11,700

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

  1. Clint Bowyer $8,700
  2. Ryan Blaney $8,700
  3. Alex Bowman $9,100

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

  1. Michael McDowell $5,200
  2. Austin Dillon $6,400
  3. Brennan Poole $4,900

Here is my Driver Usage for Sunday’s Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500.

Driver Usage for Sunday’s Race

I also like 5 plays to win the race. I like Clint Bowyer for the WIN, but the 4 other obviously are in the mix.

WIN Best on Sunday’s Race

I am again on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5 and a couple of driver match ups. 3 units on Clint Bowyer and 1 unit on all other plays.

TOP 3 PICKS: Kurt Busch +500; Clint Bowyer +750

TOP 5 PICKS: Kurt Busch +275; Clint Bowyer +375; Austin Dillon +1100

Matchups: Clint Bowyer over Erik Jones -108; Austin Dillon -130 over Ryan Newman

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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NASCAR moves to the Bristol Motor Speedway tomorrow for The Supermarket Heroes 500. This half mile track has given me fits in DFS, but I have had a good run at picking the winners. This week will be very tricky on DrafKings as the pricing and starting lineup is very difficult and true to normal form. Brad Keselowski will be on the pole with Almirola at his side. The top 10 is full of drivers who can take this down and is led by Kyle Busch in the 7th spot who has won at Bristol 8 times.

The Supermarket Heroes 500 Starting Lineup

Joe Gibbs has dominated taking 4 of the last 5 races, and 5 of the last 9 with Toyota. Chevrolet has 3 wins in the last 10 with Jimmie Johnson winning 2 of them. Brad Keselowski and Matt Kenseth are the only other active drivers with a win in the last 10 races.

Winners of the last 10 Food City 500 Races at Bristol

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am all about those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

  1. Kyle Busch $12,500
  2. Jimmie Johnson $10,200
  3. Brad Keselowski $9,100

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

  1. Kurt Busch $8,300
  2. Ryan Blaney $8,600
  3. Matt Kenseth $8,100

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

  1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,400
  2. Christopher Bell $7,300
  3. Aric Alirola $6,700

I also like 5 plays to win the race. I am riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win his 3rd Food City 500 in a row this week, but I do like 4 other value plays.

My Picks to WIN at Bristol Sunday

I am also on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5, Top 10, and a couple of driver match ups. 2 units on Kyle Busch and 1 unit on all other plays.

TOP 3 PICKS: Kyle Busch +100; Brad Keselowski +300

TOP 5 PICKS: Kyle Busch -152; Brad Keselowski +170

TOP 10 PICKS: Jimmie Johnson -118, Kurt Busch -137, Ryan Blaney -180

Matchups: Kyle Busch over Chase Elliott -136; Christopher Bell over Austin Dillon +135

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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FanDuel NASCAR DFS Picks

The following FanDuel NASCAR DFS Picks are intended for GPP purposes only. For further analysis, check out the articles at windailysports.com/nascar/ or join us in the discord chat!

The NASCAR Cup Series is back in action today for the third time in seven days. Qualifying for the Coca-Cola 600 kicks off today at approximately 2 p.m. The green flag is scheduled to drop at approximately 6:28 p.m. (all times Eastern) at the Charlotte Motor Speedway.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. ($13,700) – Truex finished first in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600, logging 116 laps-led and 83 fastest-laps. Truex is the favorite to win this race after Kyle Busch.

KYLE BUSCH ($14,000) – Busch finished third in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600, logging 79 laps-led and 52 fastest-laps. Busch is the favorite to win this race.

JOEY LOGANO ($11,300) – Logano finished second in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600, logging zero laps-led and fourteen fastest-laps. Logano is second in the driver ratings and has taken the checkered flag twice during 2020 at Las Vegas and Phoenix.

PIVOTS: Chase Elliott, Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin, Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski

TYLER REDDICK ($6,800) – Reddick was the 2019 NASCAR Xfinity Series Champion. Reddick took the checkered flag at the 2019 Alsco 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway, logging 110 laps-led and 60 fastest-laps.

COREY LAJOIE ($3,500) – After starting 30th, LaJoie finished 12th in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600. LaJoie’s team has minimal resources, but his desire to take over #48 car when Jimmie Johnson retires this year helps ensure you are restoring a driver that will give his best performance possible.

PIVOTS: Christopher Bell, Kurt Busch, Aric Almirola, Ryan Newman, Chris Buescher, Bubba Wallace

NOTE: Be sure to check out our #nascar channel in Discord for assistance building your lineup, and any updates related to FanDuel NASCAR DFS Picks!

Follow Josh on twitter at @dfs_noshame.

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Want to ask Josh questions about his DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following analysis, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks, is intended for DraftKings NASCAR DFS GPP purposes only (Toyota 500 at Darlington – May 20, 2020). The projections below include the official starting positions for each driver.

THE PICKS

JIMMIE JOHNSON ($9,100) – Johnson got to the front of the pack on Sunday, before crashing, and landing him in the 37th starting position for Wednesday. Johnson is projected to finish 12th, and provides significant positive place differential upside. Given the upside, it appears Johnson may be quite chalky, but go ahead and eat the chalk, and move on to your next driver selection.

WILLIAM BYRON ($8,900) – Bryon also found himself in trouble on Sunday, ending his day early, and securing the 34th start position for the Toyota 500. If Byron can remember this is not an iRace, settle in, and log some solid long-run laps – he can provide excellent positive place differential upside. Along with Johnson, Byron will most likely find his way into a lot of line ups Wednesday.

RICKY STENHOUSE JR. ($7,900) – Wrecky Ricky did not make it through the first lap before he ended up in the wall on Sunday, landing him in the 39th start position for the Toyota 500. With minimal downside risk and significant positive place differential upside, it appears Ricky could make it into a lot of lineups for this slate.

KEVIN HARVICK ($11,600) – Harvick won The Real Heroes 400 at Darlington Raceway this past Sunday, landing him in the 20th position to start the Toyota 500. Harvick had the best car on Wednesday, is the favorite to win on Sunday, provides positive place differential upside, and has the ability to lead laps. Plug Harvick in and watch him roll to a victory.

JOEY LOGANO ($9,400) – Logano has a shot at taking the checkered flag every time he fires up the engine. Logano will be starting 3rd with Ty Dillon and Ryan Preece in front of him, giving him a clear path to clean air and laps led. If Logano grabs a bunch of laps led, and finishes in the top five, he will be a great play.

KYLE BUSCH ($12,000) – Kyle Busch is the most expensive driver on the slate; starting 26th and projected to finish second, he’s well-positioned to provide positive place differential points. If you believe Kyle will lead a significant portion of laps, he’s a fine play.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

Alex Bowman, Kurt Busch, Erik Jones, Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski, Cole Custer, Christopher Bell, Daniel Suarez

NOTE: Be sure to check the #nascar channel in Discord for any updates regarding DraftKings NASCAR DFS!

THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included*)

NO.DRIVERTEAMMANUFACTURER SALARY_DK STARTPROJECTED_FINSIHPROJECTED _DK_POINTS*
4Kevin HarvickStewart-Haas RacingFord$11,60020165
18Kyle BuschJoe Gibbs RacingToyota$12,00026266
11Denny HamlinJoe Gibbs Racing Toyota $10,70016354
19Martin Truex Jr. Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota $11,11015451
88Alex BowmanHendrick Motorsports Chevrolet $10,00019553
9Chase ElliottHendrick Motorsports Chevrolet $10,30017649
22Joey LoganoTeam PenskeFord$9,4003733
2Brad KeselowskiTeam PenskeFord$9,7008836
1Kurt BuschChip Ganassi RacingChevrolet$8,70018944
20Erik JonesJoe Gibbs Racing Toyota $8,500131037
24William ByronHendrick Motorsports Chevrolet $8,900341156
48Jimmie JohnsonHendrick Motorsports Chevrolet $9,100371257
12Ryan BlaneyTeam PenskeFord$8,30051323
42Matt KensethChip Ganassi RacingChevrolet$7,600111427
21Matt DiBenedettoWood Brothers RacingFord$7,00071521
8Tyler ReddickRichard Childress RacingChevrolet$7,700141626
10Aric AlmirolaStewart-Haas Racing Ford $7,40091719
6Ryan NewmanRoush Fenway RacingFord$6,40061814
14Clint BowyerStewart-Haas Racing Ford $7,30041910
3Austin DillonRichard Childress RacingChevrolet$7,200102014
41Cole CusterStewart-Haas Racing Ford $6,600222124
95Christopher BellLeavine Family RacingToyota$6,800242224
17Chris BuescherRoush Fenway RacingFord$6,100322330
38John NemecheckFront Row MotorsportsFord$6,20012248
96Daniel SuarezGaunt Brothers RacingToyota$6,100252519
47Ricky Stenhouse Jr.JTG Daugherty Racing Chevrolet $7,900392631
13Ty DillonGermain RacingChevrolet$5,900227-8
37Ryan PreeceJTG Daugherty RacingChevrolet$5,400128-11
43Bubba WallaceRichard Petty MotorsportsChevrolet$5,70021297
34Michael McDowellFront Row MotorsportsFord$5,80023307
66Timmy HillMBM MotorsportsToyota$4,900333115
77Ross ChastainSpire MotorsportsChevrolettbd29329
32Corie LaJoieGo Fas RacingFord$5,50031339
15Brennan PoolePremium MotorsportsChevrolet$4,80027343
27Gray Gaulding Premium Motorsports Ford$4,50028352
51Joey GasePetty Ware RacingChevrolet$4,60030362
00Quin HouffStarcom RacingChevrolet$4,70035375
53Garrett SmithleyRick Ware RacingChevrolet$5,20036384
78BJ McLeodBJ McLeod MotorsportsChevrolet$5,00038394

Join the Win Daily family today at https://windailysports.com/ and join our discord chat to get real-time updates for DraftKings NASCAR DSF!

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Finally we get back to some real NASCAR racing Sunday at Darlington Speedway. This starts a crazy good stretch of seven races is eleven days, but this comes with some negatives. There is no qualifying for this race and the starting grid was based off of owners points in 4 groupings, and a random draw. This will put the cream of the crop at front of the field and will make decisions on value plays critical.

The Real Heroes 400 Starting Grid

NASCAR has been racing at Darlington since 1950 on this 1.366 mile oval. Joe Gibbs (4 wins)(Jones, Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, and Hamlin on his current team) and Toyota (5 wins)(Joe Gibbs Team plus Bell, Suarez, and Hill) have dominated at this track the last 7 races. Only Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have multiple wins at this track.

Brad Keselowski gained the pole followed by Alex Bowman in the first row. Harvick, Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin are possible dominators in the top ten. I would be shocked if any drivers outside of the top ten make it into the top five without some major crash. My top three picks to possibly break the top five would be Elliott (11th), Byron (18th), and Jones (20th). I am not too thrilled with many outside of the top 20 to make up serious ground, but I would take Newman (21st), Kurt Busch (22nd), and Bell (28th) as my top three. I did have to throw in a few deep value plays just to get some diversity in my lineups, but other than McDowell (31st), T, Dillon (33rd), and Suarez (37th), I do not give many of them any hope to score decent DFS points.

The Real Heroes 400 Top 10 Starting Grid

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided other than to add some diversity in case of any big crashes. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Denny Hamlin $11,100
  2. Joey Logano $10,100
  3. Kyle Busch $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Erik Jones $9.200
  2. William Byron $8,700
  3. Kurt Busch $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Ryan Newman $6,500
  2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
  3. Daniel Suarez $6,200

I also like 4 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am riding Denny Hamlin as my pick to win this week, but I do like 3 other value plays.

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Want to ask Josh questions about The Real Heroes 400 DFS directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following NASCAR Cup Series – The Real Heroes 400 DFS – Darlington Raceway – 5/17/20 analysis is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes.

1. FRONT RUNNER – JOEY LOGANO (FD-$12,200)

Joey Logano, in the Team Penske Shell Penzoil Ford, will be starting from the 9th position on Sunday. Logano has won two of the four Cup Series races in 2020 and will be in a strong position to take the captured flag again at this track that is, too tough to tame.

Pivots: Denny Hamlin (FD-$12,500), Kyle Busch (FD-$14,000), Kevin Harvick (FD-$14,500), Alex Bowman (FD-$10,600), Brad Keselowski (FD-$12,000)

*Make sure to roster the race winner. A second driver from this category may be rostered if they will capture a significant portion of laps led.

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE!

Select drivers that will give you positive place differential points. Consider rostering the following:

CHASE ELLIOTT (FD-$11,700) – Elliott is starting 11th. Elliott has faced some challenges in 2020 capturing the checkered flag, but continues to be ranked third in driver/owner points.

ERIK JONES (FD-$9,800) – Jones is starting 20th. Jones won the last Cup Series race in Darlington, South Carolina (2019 Bojangles’ Southern 500 – September 1, 2019).

KURT BUSCH (FD-$9,400) – Kurt Busch is starting 22nd. Busch logged 65-fastest laps on his way to a 7th place finish last time out at Darlington.

WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$9,000) – Byron is starting 18th. Byron finished 21st last time out at Darlington, but started on the pole. The combination of Bryon and crew chief Chad Knaus, seems to make Byron a great option to capture the upside.

MARTIN TRUEX (FD-$11,500) – Truex is starting 15th. Truex may be the fifth-best driver after Logano, Busch, Hamlin, and Harvick, but has yet to see a top-10 finish in 2020. The starting position makes Truex attractive, but roster this driver with caution.

TYLER REDDICK (FD-$6,600) – Reddick, a teammate of Austin Dillon, is starting 29th. Reddick has an excellent history in the NASCAR Xfinity Series and looks to continue to excel in his rookie year as a Cup driver.

RYAN NEWMAN (FD-$7,000) – Newman is starting 21st. If nothing else, who does not want to see Newman fighting for the win on Sunday. Newman offers great upside, but roster with caution.

3. DEEP PUNTS

Look towards a balanced build this week for The Real Heroes 400, and roster drivers that will finish on the lead lap. Consider avoiding drivers Timmy Hill, Joey Gase, Quin Houff, Reed Sorenson, and Garrett Smithley that have not finished on the lead lap in a 2020 NASCAR Cup Series race.

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Last Week’s NASCAR Auto Club 400 was a step in the right direction as we made a slight profit. Alex Bowman won the race with the best car. Unfortunately, much of the chalk hit, so winning any big money was difficult with a number of ties at the top. This week’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix should be a bit different, with opportunities to have some lineup diversity.

The 48th running of this race, over the 1-mile tri-oval track, will have 3 stages and 312 laps as Stage 1 is set to end at Lap 75, and Stage 2 Lap 190. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated recently winning four of the last five Phoenix races, leading the most laps in each of the last six races (He has Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Truex Jr., and Jones this year) Many drivers have won multiple times on this surface including Kevin Harvick 9 (Five FanShield 500’s), Jimmie Johnson 4, Kyle Busch 3, and Denny Hamlin 2. Joey Logano and Kurt Busch have also won here before.

FanShield 500 Stats

Chase Elliott shined in Friday’s practice sessions finishing 2nd early and 1st in the late session. Many drivers showed well in both finishing in the top 10 of each including William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Erik Jones.

Practice Session #1 Friday
Practice Session #2 Friday

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Chase Elliot continued his weekend dominance in Phoenix also taking down the Pole in Saturday’s qualifying. His performance is much like what Bowman did last week and is hard to ignore in DFS and Win betting. Phoenix dominator Kevin Harvick joins Elliott in the first row. Hamlin, Larson, a Blaney round out the top 5.

Last year’s winner Kyle Busch will start in 10th and will have other top drives right behind him including Logano 13th, Keselowski 14th, Jimmie Johnson 21st. Martin Truex Jr. who qualified 12th will start the race in the rear due to an engine change.

FanShield 500 Qualifying Results

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track and showed speed in practice and qualifying. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided as they will go down multiple laps quickly with little chance to make a top 15 run. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $11,00
  2. Kyle Busch $12,000
  3. Brad Keselowski $10,400

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Chase Elliott $9.600
  2. William Byron $8,300
  3. Erik Jones $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,500
  2. Kurt Busch $8,100
  3. Bubba Wallace $6,000

I also like 6 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am again riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win this week, but Kevin Harvick can never be ignored.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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