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We had a full 15-game slate for Friday June 14. There were 16 games if you included the remainder of the suspended St Louis-New York game. All prices and point values are based off DraftKings.

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Winners

Jakob Bauers ($3,300)

Jakob Bauers had a career night at the plate, hitting for the cycle from the eighth spot in the order against the Detroit Tigers. He finished 4-for-5 with a double, triple, home run, four RBI and two runs scored. Bauers had not been a solid hitter for a long period of time this season, which made the feat even more incredible.

Bauers’ Outlook

Bauers has not looked like a prolific hitter thus far in 2019. He had been on a prolonged cold streak, going 20-for-107 with five home runs, 14 RBI and 36 strikeouts. Bauers is up to eight home runs and 26 RBI. The Cleveland Indians continue their series with the Tigers today, but do not expect Bauers to have a similar night. Fade him today.

Eloy Jimenez ($4,000)

Eloy Jimenez had a monster night at the plate yesterday against CC Sabathia and the New York Yankees. He finished 3-for-5 with a pair of homers, six RBI and three runs scored. Jimenez is now up to 11 home runs and 25 RBI on the season.

Jimenez’s Outlook

This was the best game of Eloy Jimenez’s rookie campaign. He provided the power numbers that usually take him a full calendar month to achieve. He was 9-for-25 in his previous seven games and five of those hits have left the ballpark. The Chicago White Sox continue their series against the New York Yankees today and with the Yanks implementing a bullpen day, Jimenez will continue to hit.

Losers

Blake Snell ($10,000)

Blake Snell did not seem to have his regular stuff against the Los Angeles Angels at the Trop last night. He went 3.1 innings and gave up four runs (three earned) on five hits. He also tallied four walks and three strikeouts but was not a factor in the decision. With the huge price tag and very limited production from Snell, you had to be disappointed in this outing.

Snell’s Outlook

Blake Snell has not looked like the dominant AL Cy Young Award ace that he was just one season ago. The 3.1 innings pitched was tied for his shortest outing of the season. The four walks is uncharacteristic of Snell, as he had four base on balls in the entire month of April. He has worked 38 innings in his past seven starts and has a WHIP of 1.37. His next scheduled start is on Wednesday afternoon in the Bronx against the division-rival New York Yankees. Expect Snell to bounce back and provide some length against the Yankees before they get their power sluggers back from their minor league rehab assignments.

Ryan Braun ($4,300)

Ryan Braun was held hitless in his five at-bats yesterday against the San Francisco Giants. Two of his at-bats ended with strike three and he left four runners on base. Braun has not looked like himself away from Miller Park and is in a miniature slump,, so fade him today.

Braun’s Outlook

Braun has looked like two completely different hitters at home and on the road and the splits show that. Away from Miller Park this season, he is batting .211 with almost a 300-point drop in his OPS. Compare that to a .315 average at home. He has been hitting .233 this past week. The Brewers will continue their series against the Giants this afternoon. Do not expect the former Most Valuable Player to begin hitting on the road today.

Injury Update

Jordan Montgomery of the New York Yankees threw live batting practice yesterday. He has not pitched this season after undergoing Tommy John surgery last May. The Yankees are eyeing an August return for him.

The Athletics announced that Stephen Piscotty had melanoma removed from his right ear. The team expects him to be out of the lineup for a week while he recovers at home and awaits further results.

Rookie phenom Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays was pulled in the first inning after being hit by a pitch in the left hand. The official injury is a left hand contusion and X-rays came back negative.

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We had a full 15-game slate for Friday June 14. There were 16 games if you included the remainder of the suspended St Louis-New York game. All prices and point values are based off DraftKings.

GET YOUR WIN DAILY PREMIUM GOLD SUBSCRIPTION HERE!

Winners

Jakob Bauers ($3,300)

Jakob Bauers had a career night at the plate, hitting for the cycle from the eighth spot in the order against the Detroit Tigers. He finished 4-for-5 with a double, triple, home run, four RBI and two runs scored. Bauers had not been a solid hitter for a long period of time this season, which made the feat even more incredible.

Bauers’ Outlook

Bauers has not looked like a prolific hitter thus far in 2019. He had been on a prolonged cold streak, going 20-for-107 with five home runs, 14 RBI and 36 strikeouts. Bauers is up to eight home runs and 26 RBI. The Cleveland Indians continue their series with the Tigers today, but do not expect Bauers to have a similar night. Fade him today.

Eloy Jimenez ($4,000)

Eloy Jimenez had a monster night at the plate yesterday against CC Sabathia and the New York Yankees. He finished 3-for-5 with a pair of homers, six RBI and three runs scored. Jimenez is now up to 11 home runs and 25 RBI on the season.

Jimenez’s Outlook

This was the best game of Eloy Jimenez’s rookie campaign. He provided the power numbers that usually take him a full calendar month to achieve. He was 9-for-25 in his previous seven games and five of those hits have left the ballpark. The Chicago White Sox continue their series against the New York Yankees today and with the Yanks implementing a bullpen day, Jimenez will continue to hit.

Losers

Blake Snell ($10,000)

Blake Snell did not seem to have his regular stuff against the Los Angeles Angels at the Trop last night. He went 3.1 innings and gave up four runs (three earned) on five hits. He also tallied four walks and three strikeouts but was not a factor in the decision. With the huge price tag and very limited production from Snell, you had to be disappointed in this outing.

Snell’s Outlook

Blake Snell has not looked like the dominant AL Cy Young Award ace that he was just one season ago. The 3.1 innings pitched was tied for his shortest outing of the season. The four walks is uncharacteristic of Snell, as he had four base on balls in the entire month of April. He has worked 38 innings in his past seven starts and has a WHIP of 1.37. His next scheduled start is on Wednesday afternoon in the Bronx against the division-rival New York Yankees. Expect Snell to bounce back and provide some length against the Yankees before they get their power sluggers back from their minor league rehab assignments.

Ryan Braun ($4,300)

Ryan Braun was held hitless in his five at-bats yesterday against the San Francisco Giants. Two of his at-bats ended with strike three and he left four runners on base. Braun has not looked like himself away from Miller Park and is in a miniature slump,, so fade him today.

Braun’s Outlook

Braun has looked like two completely different hitters at home and on the road and the splits show that. Away from Miller Park this season, he is batting .211 with almost a 300-point drop in his OPS. Compare that to a .315 average at home. He has been hitting .233 this past week. The Brewers will continue their series against the Giants this afternoon. Do not expect the former Most Valuable Player to begin hitting on the road today.

Injury Update

Jordan Montgomery of the New York Yankees threw live batting practice yesterday. He has not pitched this season after undergoing Tommy John surgery last May. The Yankees are eyeing an August return for him.

The Athletics announced that Stephen Piscotty had melanoma removed from his right ear. The team expects him to be out of the lineup for a week while he recovers at home and awaits further results.

Rookie phenom Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays was pulled in the first inning after being hit by a pitch in the left hand. The official injury is a left hand contusion and X-rays came back negative.

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Stephen Strasburg vs. Chicago White Sox

I love attacking the White Sox, as they strike out so much and we know the upside Strasburg holds. Strasburg has been sensational this year, and he is coming off an 11 strikeout gem against the Atlanta Braves. With the strikeouts up and down this White Sox lineup we should expect nothing less than a repeat performance here. At home this season Strasburg has a 10.96 K/9 and is holding hitters to a .220 average. I love the safe feel I get with Strasburg along with the upside he holds.

Blake Snell @ Detroit Tigers

I know his last two starts haven’t paid his price tag off, but I love this as a get right spot for him. This Tigers lineup is absolutely dreadful and the only player I’m ever scared of is Nicholas Castellanos, but Snell is mowing down right-handed bats. This season Snell has a 12.06 K/9 against right-handed bats and the Tigers lean extremely RHB heavy. Right-handed hitters against are only hitting .207 vs. Snell. I know the past couple games might get people off Snell so I’m hoping I can snag low ownership with him in GPP.

Max Fried @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Pitchers in Pittsburgh always give me that little bit of extra comfortability that I need with a non ace. Now Fried doesn’t give you that crazy upside, but he does give me that security blanket. The Pirates are significantly worse against left handed pitching and the ballpark gives me more relief. Fried holds a 53.2% ground ball rate on the road paired with a 40% hard hit rate. Although the balls are getting hit hard, they’re hit on the ground.

Madison Bumgarner @ New York Mets

I’m not worried about the Mets as their offense is dreadful. With Conforto on the shelf and the offense completely banged up I could see MadBum cruising. They have many strikeouts up and down the lineup and Bumgarner can dice them up with the best of them. Bumgarner has been much better this season on the road (somehow) as his ERA drop as almost a full run. Away from SF Bumgarner holds a 9.16 K/9 and I think he could easily touch that in six innings with the way the Mets strike out.

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James Paxton makes his return on the early slate against San Diego and would seem rather chalky at first glance against the Padres. But the New York Post has already reported Paxton does not expect to throw more than 75 pitches and Aaron Boone said he will not get to 100. He will not be worth the $10,700 on DraftKings.

On a two-pitcher site like DraftKings, there seems to be no way you cannot use Chris Paddack at $10,100, even against the Yankees, who are ranked sixth in batting in the majors. You may have to pay up because the rest of the short early slate features too much mediocrity. Oakland are no pushovers, but my other choice has to be Griffin Canning at 8,300. He has allowed three earned runs or less in four of five starts and has struck out at least five in every outing. This is the first time he will face the A’s, so that might help provide a slight advantage, especially in a day game.

John Means is very tempting vs. the Tigers on the night slate at 6,900. He has a 1.54 home ERA in four home starts. But the strikeout upside is not there with Means. You will have to hope the nature of the opponent could help to push him past his normal K output. Detroit is fifth in the league in strikeouts so I will take the tournament play on Means.

The Cardinals have been falling in the overall team batting rankings, but they are only 25th in terms of team Ks, so Aaron Nola will not be one of my top plays at 9,000.

Blake Snell is the obvious chalk and cash game play vs. Toronto and should be worth the 11,300. Pairing him with Means or our favorite value pitcher of the night on a two-pitcher site like DraftKings could work out well.

That favorite value pitcher, even over Means, is Pablo Lopez of Miami at 6600 vs. the Giants. He has been so much better at home, with a 1.93 ERA and 26 Ks in 23.1 IP. Madison Bumgarner, at 9,900 on the other side, may be my top play of the night. I will use both starters in different lineups.

I also like Walker Buehler as a pivot off Bumgarner in the same price range (9,900) against a patchwork Mets lineup. I will fade Noah Syndergaard at 9,300 against that formidable Dodgers lineup.

MONKEYKNIFE FIGHT PICK OF THE NIGHT

Madison Bumgarner over5.5 strikeouts, Pablo Lopez over 4.5

This should be a pitching duel, as Lopez really enjoys pitching in his home park. A former MLB pitcher once told me that certain starters are so much more at ease at home, with all the familiar surroundings making it more mentally comfortable. But Bumgarner will be prolific too, as there’s no road crowd to get to him here. It will almost be like pitching in a neutral park. Play MLB Prop Games NOW and get 100 percent Bonus!

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Our pitching picks have been on point recently and I absolutely love this group of pitchers on this slate. What’s funny is that we’re actually going to fade a couple of studs. That truly says a lot about the very talented arms on this schedule and it’s dealers choice in terms of cheap or expensive arms. 

Cash Game Pitcher of the Day 

Blake Snell, TB at CLE 

DK ($11,400)   FD ($11,200) 

There are a ton of great options on this slate, but Snell has the best matchup of all the studs. The Indians rank 24th in scoring, 26th in OPS and 25th in wOBA. They’re equally as bad against lefties, ranking 24th in both average and OPS while ranking 21st in strikeouts. That makes any pitcher worth considering against them, especially a guy who’s coming off an AL Cy Young. Snell is not far off of that 2018 form, posting a 3.31 ERA and 1.00 WHIP and owning a 71: 12 K:BB rate across 49 innings of action. 

Top-Tier Options 

Robbie Ray, ARI at SF 

DK ($10,900)   FD ($8,700) 

While I can’t justify using him on DK at $10,900, the $8,700 price tag on FanDuel makes him tough to avoid. What I really like about Ray is this matchup, with the Giants ranking as one of the worst offenses in the league, In fact, San Francisco currently sits 27th in runs scored, 28th in OPS and 29th in wOBA. That’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that Oracle Park is arguably the best pitcher’s park in the Majors. That puts Ray squarely in play, as his 30 percent K rate, .299 wOBA and 3.35 ERA is hard to overlook against a lineup like this. 

Jose Berrios, MIN vs. CWS 

DK ($10,200)   FD ($9.900) 

The Twins have been one of the biggest surprises in the league and Berrios is a huge reason why. The stud righty has broken out to post a 3.39 ERA and 1.13 WHIP while providing a 60:11 K:BB rate. Those are some of the best numbers in the AL and it really makes him tough to fade against an offense like this. Not only does Chicago rank 20th in both runs scored and OPS, they also have the worst K rate in the Majors dating back to last season. That’s why Berrios enters this game as a –230 favorite, which only adds more spunk to his value. 

Noah Syndergaard, NYM vs. DET 

DK ($10,100)   FD ($10,600) 

This is probably my favorite tournament play on the board, as Syndergaard’s upside is simply monstrous in a matchup like this. While the season-long numbers are nothing special, his peripherals are simply elite. In fact, Syndergaard has a 2.76 career FIP and 27 percent K rate while posting a .276 xwOBA so far this season. That means he’s been the victim of some bad luck and a start against the Tigers is a good way to regress back to the mean. Detroit currently ranks 29th in OPS, runs scored and K rate while sitting 28th in wOBA. That spells disaster in a pitching park like Citi Field, especially considering they’re about to lose a DH.  

Mid-Tier Option 

Joey Lucchesi, SD at TOR 

DK ($8,900)   FD ($7,000) 

Lucchesi was my play of the week last Friday on FanDuel and he continues to be undervalued. While his 4.28 ERA and 1.26 WHIP doesn’t look like anything special, his peripherals tell a different story. We’re talking about a guy with a .293 xwOBA and 3.50 xFIP to match his impressive 25.4 percent K rate. Those are elite peripherals and you’d usually see those sort of numbers from a $9,000 player. Getting to face Toronto is nothing to fear either, with the Blue Jays ranking 27th in wOBA, 20th in K rate and 26th in both runs scored and OPS. That’s why Lucchesi enters this matchup as the favorite with Toronto projected for only four runs. 

Cheap Pitchers 

Drew Pomeranz, SF vs. ARI 

DK ($7,200)   FD ($5,900) 

Alright, we’re going to get a little risky here with these final two picks. I always have a hard time fading a Giants pitcher at home in a quality matchup, especially when they’re so cheap. Pitching at Oracle Park simply can’t be matched, as that’s easily the lowest-scoring park in the Majors. That’s why we’re looking at a 7.5-total here, with Arizona projected for fewer than four runs. Pomeranz is a decent bet for a quality start, which is all you can ask for from someone priced so cheaply. The San Fran southpaw is not as bad as his numbers indicate either, as his 4.00 career ERA and 23 percent K rate are acceptable numbers from someone in such a good situation. The Diamondbacks ranking 23rd in xwOBA only adds to Pomeranz’s intrigue. 

Kyle McGowin, WSH vs. MIA 

DK ($7,000)   FD ($5,500) 

This is simply a punt play because anyone is worth starting against the Marlins. Miami’s offensive numbers are downright historic, as they rank last in wOBA, xwOBA, xSLG, runs scored and OPS. That puts any pitcher in play against them and it’s hard to overlook a guy who’s only $5,500 on FanDuel in such a premium matchup. McGowin’s Triple-A numbers are rather impressive too, with the right-hander having posted a 3.50 FIP and 26 percent K rate at that level over the last two years. He also enters this matchup as a –150 favorite with Miami projected for only four runs.

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day 

Jose Berrios 1.5 more strikeouts than Reynaldo Lopez 

With Minnesota entering this game as a monster favorite, it seems likely that Berrios will last much longer than Lopez. That alone makes this a great spot, as Berrios is the far superior pitcher. The fact that Chicago ranks 25th in K rate while Minnesota sits third only adds to the value of this pick, as I could see Berrios recording four more Ks than Lopez.  

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Noah Syndergaard over 6.5 strikeouts 

The upside here is simply ridiculous. We’re talking about a pitcher with a 27 percent K rate facing the second-worst lineup in baseball. It’s not only that the Tigers have a horrible lineup, they also own the second-worst K rate in the Majors while playing without a DH. Those factors are hard to overlook and working in a pitcher’s park like Citi Field puts Syndergaard in play for double-digit Ks. 

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