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Investment: $1,641                                                                 Projection: $2,269.90

My projection for profit has not changed from last week, it is still at +628.90 on Draft Kings. Just a reminder, how I calculate being overweight and underweight is 1/12 = 8.33%. 12 is the number of teams that participate in drafts. I see my Week 3 fantasy projection and beyond looking very, very good. And you will see why below.

Hits:

Jerome Ford (21%) – tied with Joshua Kelley for my highest-owned RB, this will look very, very good if he continues to lead the Browns backfield. Which he should. Kareem Hunt was just signed but he might be third on their depth chart behind Pierre Strong. Like Joshua Kelley last week, Ford has a tough matchup this week against the Titans’ run-stopping defense. But after this weekend, he is set up very well. The reason why I targeted Kelley and Ford in the later rounds is very simple. Great offensive lines, great offenses, and clearly the backup.

Tyler Lockett (22%) & Geno Smith (20%)– after Geno disappointed at home vs. the Rams in Week 1 he came back strong in Week 2 leading Seattle to a gritty Week 2 win in overtime. Lockett performed well with 2 TDs and surprisingly is one of the NFL’s red zone target leaders through two weeks.

Hunter Henry (21%) – my highest owned TE is the second highest TE in fantasy scoring through two weeks trailing only TJ Hockenson. Giddy up!

Jayden Reed (20%) – drew 8 targets in Week 2 and converted that to a modest 37 yards but did have two TDs. He is currently out-targeting Romeo Doubs (4%) and will continue to benefit if Christian Watson misses more time. I love my exposure to this sure-handed rookie WR.

Tony Pollard (17%) – had his all-time touch high in Week 2 and I do not see any reason why this shouldn’t continue. He was my favorite target in Round 2, and rightfully so. I know everyone loved the discount last year when Ezekiel was in town, but those wanting Pollard’s services this year had to pony up a high draft pick. And I was one of the first in line.

Kirk Cousins (12%) – ladies and gentlemen your fantasy QB #1 after two weeks. Not Mahomes, not Hurts, and not even Aaron Rodgers. Ouch, too soon. You like that!!!! 

Kyren Williams (6%) – although I am slightly below the field on Kyren, I consider that a hit. He went mainly undrafted early in the summer and I am only at 2% on Cam Akers. Having 3x more Kyren (rounds 17-20) than Cam Akers (rounds 5-8) will bode well for my portfolio.

Justin Fields (5%) – CJ Stroud has more 300-yard games than Justin Fields. Fields has looked terrible through two games. He holds onto the ball for too long, takes a lot of sacks, and takes a lot of time to go through his progressions. I wasn’t comfortable taking Fields in the 4^th-5h round, as I didn’t think he would take the necessary strides in his passing to warrant such a pick. I am at even ownership with his top pass catcher DJ Moore (4%), who had a productive Week 2 after a stinker in Week 1.

Misses:

Elijah Moore (14%) – Deshaun Watson and the rest of the Browns’ passing offense has gotten off to a slow start. Maybe they will turn more towards the passing game after the Chubb injury, but that remains to be seen. Through two weeks Moore has turned 16 targets into 79 scoreless yards. Although I love his target share, he has not produced accordingly.

Joe Burrow (10%)– yikes. What is up with Broadway Joe? Barely had 100 yards passing into the 3^rd quarter. He reaggravated his calf injury in the 4^th quarter and is hopefully all right for this weekend. But he and the rest of the Bengals’ offense has not looked good. They got off to a slow start last season, but this slow start just feels different. It feels like it might linger on. I drafted Tee Higgins (13%) and Jamarr Chase (13%) at an above-the-field rate, and on almost all these teams I have Joe Burrow. Hopefully, he can right the ship. If not, I don’t see many of these Bengals’ stacks advancing into Round 2.

Damien Harris (9%) – although I am only slightly above the field on this Bills running back, it looks like Latavius Murray has the goal line and short yardage RB job. This bodes badly for my Damien Harris shares. I drafted him more highly on my Zero RB builds, so hopefully my WRs on those teams can propel me.

Jordan Love (7%)– looks good running and passing. Goes through progressions very well and doesn’t panic while being pressured. In week 2, he was down his top RB, WR, and LT and still performed very well. I am only slightly below the field at 7%, but after two weeks I wish I had much more of this Green Bay QB.

George Pickens (3%) – it’s not that I didn’t believe in his talent, I just did not feel comfortable drafting him where other teams were. Throughout the summer he rocketed up draft boards after an impressive pre-season. With Diontae Johnson (9%) set to miss a few weeks, he is operating as the Steelers WR #1. And he looks gooood.

My highest scoring team from Week 2. Tony Pollard didn’t even make it!

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