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Welcome to the Week 11 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season.  This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend.   My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.

With Thanksgiving upon us, we’re officially in the home stretch folks.  Teams are going to start jockeying for playoff position in the coming weeks and the contenders and pretenders are both starting to show their true colors.  The Vikings were completely embarrassed this weekend and the Eagles eeked out another one.  The Ravens are starting to look like the real deal as well. 

Let’s dig in to the data!

Wide Receiver Targets

Before we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets.  Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production.  The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. 

With Chase out in Week 11, Tee Higgins was primed for a breakout performance.  Boy did he deliver.  Higgins was tied for the league lead in targets in Week 11 with 13 of them.  His 13 targets were the most he’s had this season, as were the 9 catches and 148 receiving yards.  The only thing he didn’t do right this weekend was finding the end zone.  He’ll look to continue with the good ways in Week 12 against the Titans. 

Davante Adams is heating up!  Adams was targeted 13 times in Week 11 and made the most out of them.  He finished the game with 7 catches for 141 yards and 2 touchdowns.  He’s now broken the century mark in 3 straight and has 5 touchdowns over those games.  He’s on an absolute heater right now and his fantasy owners are finally reaping the benefits of drafting him early. 

This one is bittersweet.  Wan’Dale Robinson had the game of his young career, but it ended in misery.  He set career-highs in targets with 13, receptions with 9, and yards with 100.  When all was said and done though his season came to an end as he tore his ACL.  His future is bright though.  We’ll miss you kid!

Running Back Targets

Another week where the running backs were essentially MIA in the receiving game.  No running back was targeted more than 7 times this week.  We’ll focus on Tony Pollard here though.  Pollard was targeted just 6 times but he caught all 6 for 109 receiving yards and 2 receiving touchdowns.  He was a huge reason the Cowboys were able to thoroughly dominate the Vikings this weekend.  Up next for him will be a date with the Giants on Turkey day. 

Tight End Targets

For just the second time this season, Pat Freiermuth had double-digit targets.  His 12 targets this weekend were a season-high and his 8 receptions tied a season-high.  With all that being said, the damage that he did was minimal as he only finished with 79 yards and no touchdowns. 

Is there a more fun tandem to watch than Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce?  Kelce had yet another monster game this weekend.  He turned his 10 targets into 6 catches, 115 yards, and 3 touchdowns!  His 3 touchdowns now give him 11 on the year.  Kelce continues to be one of the most dominant pass catchers in the game. 

Quarterback Target Share

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys had as dominant of a game as we’ve seen this season.  A lot of it had to do with how he used his pass-catchers. Nearly a third of all of his 30 passes went to his running backs.  With how well Pollard played, a bulk of those went to him. 

With the majority of his receiving corps out or getting injured mid-game, Patrick Mahomes went to old reliable often.  Nearly 50% of Patrick Mahomes passes went to his tight ends.  While Kelce got the majority of them, Jody Fortson and Noah Gray also got a handful of targets this weekend. 

Jalen Hurts only threw the ball 23 times this weekend, but 80% of those went to his wide receivers.  While Davonta Smith and A.J. Brown were the most heavily targeted, it was Quez Watkins that had arguably the most important catch as his went for a TD. 

Running Back Touches

After a couple of down weeks in regards to carries, the workhorse known as Derrick Henry returned in Week 11.  His 28 carries led all running backs this week.  He didn’t break 100 yards, but most importantly he found the end zone.  His TD game him 10 for the season, the fifth straight season he’s had double-digit rushing touchdowns.  Up next for the Titans will be the Bengals in what is essentially a neutral matchup for Henry. 

For the second consecutive week, Josh Jacobs had at least 20 carries. His 24 carries were the second most he’s had this season and the fifth time he’s had at least 20 this season.  He also broke the century mark with 109 yards on the ground.  He’s now had at least 100 rushing yards 4 times this season. 

Playbook

The ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.

Between David Montgomery and Justin Fields, the Bears ran a mostly run-type offense this week.  41 of their 60 plays were run plays and the bulk of those runs were Fields and Montgomery.  They combined for 35 carries in Week 11.

With Dameon Pierce having a down game and the Texans went with a pass-heavy offense.  They threw the ball more than 66% of the time this weekend.  The passing game didn’t do much better than the run game as the Texans lost pretty badly to the Commanders. 

Make sure to check out all of our NFL articles here.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Welcome to the Week 10 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season.  This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend.   My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.

Week 10 was filled with drama and great games.  What we witnessed in Buffalo between the Bills and Vikings may go down as the game of the year.  The comeback by Aaron Rodgers and the Packers vs. Dallas may be the comeback of the year.  And finally, the Eagles have lost so we no longer have a perfect team. 

Let’s dig in to the data!

Wide Receiver Targets

Before we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets.  Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production.  The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. 

If you still haven’t watched a replay of the ‘catch’ by Justin Jefferson, I highly recommend you take a few moments out of your day to go see it.  You won’t regret it!  Jefferson was tied for the lead league in targets this weekend with 16.  He was able to catch 10 of them for 193 yards and one touchdown.  The star receiver for the Vikings just continues to get better. 

The 16 targets were the most he’s had this season as were the 193 receiving yards.  He’s now gone over the 100-yard mark in 6 of his 9 games this season.  He’ll get a matchup with the Dallas Cowboys in Week 11.

The other receiver to have 16 targets this week was on the other side of this game. Stefon Diggs corralled 12 of the 16 targets for 128 receiving yards.  The 12 catches were the most he’s had since Week 2 against the Titans.  Like Jefferson, Diggs has now surpassed the 100-yard mark in 6 of the 9 games he’s played this season. Next week he’ll look to keep up the momentum with a matchup vs. the Cleveland Browns. 

Was this the coming-out party for Ceedee Lamb?  Lamb had a career-high 15 targets on Sunday and boy did he make the most of them.  Lamb caught 11 of the 15 passes thrown his way and went for 150-yards and 2 touchdowns.  This was just the fifth 100-yard game for the third-year receiver and the first since Week 8 in 2021.   He’ll look to build off of this monster game in Week 11 vs. a Vikings team that is absolutely rolling right now. 

Running Back Targets

Austin Ekeler was the only running back even to sniff double-digit targets this weekend.  As has been the case in most weeks, Ekeler led the way with 12 targets this weekend.  He’s now had double-digit targets in 3 of his last 4 games.  While the targets were high, he failed to really do any meaningful damage with them as he caught 7 of them for just 39 yards.  Next week will be a tough matchup for the Chargers as they’ll play host to Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. 

Tight End Targets

Justin Jefferson wasn’t the only Vikings player to get targeted a whole bunch.  T.J. Hockenson led all tight ends this week with 10 targets.  Since joining the Vikings, he’s now been targeted a total of 19 times.  This week, he finished with an ok stat line of 7 catches and 45 yards.  Hock has now gone 5 consecutive games without finding the endzone, making him somewhat of a fantasy disappointment. 

Quarterback Target Share

Unlike the majority of recent weeks, more Dolphins players played a role in the passing the game this weekend.  While Hill was still the most heavily targeted Dolphins player, he was only targeted 6 times.  Running backs played a big part this weekend as nearly 40% of Tua’s passes this week went to the likes of Alec Ingold, Jeff Wilson, and Raheem Mostert

Justin Fields doesn’t throw often, but when he does, Cole Kmet is licking his chops.  Kmet was Fields most often used pass catcher this weekend and he did not disappoint.  His 7 targets led the Bears, as did his 2 receiving touchdowns and his 74 yards.  Kmet and Fields are just warming up and it’s going to be fun to continue to watch this tandem get more comfortable with each other. 

Kyler Murray essentially threw only to his receivers this weekend, and by receivers, I mean Rondale Moore and DeAndre Hopkins.  Moore and Hopkins accounted for 27 of Murray’s 35 passes this weekend. That’s a pretty centralized strategy if you ask me!

Running Back Touches

For just the second time this season, Saquon Barkley had more than 30 carries.  He set a season-high with 35 carries this weekend, 4 more than his previous best of 31.  He also had his second-most rushing yards this season with 152 yards.  The hot New York Giants will only go as far as Barkley will take them, and he’s trying his hardest to take them to the top!

Despite Chuba Hubbard returning from injury this week, D’Onta Foreman continued to be the main guy in Carolina as he carried the ball a season-high 31 times on Sunday.  He also rushed for a season-high 130 yards and found the endzone once.  Foreman owners had to be relieved after the absolute dud he put up in Week 9. 

Playbook

The ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.

As I mentioned above, D’Onta Foreman ran a ton this weekend.  This led the Panthers to go with a predominantly run-based offense this weekend as they ran close to 75% run plays vs. just 25% for passes.  I guess they have little faith in PJ Walker and his arm. 

On the other side of the playbook, we have the Jacksonville Jaguars.  While the masses gravitated to Travis Etienne this weekend, he was essentially irrelevant as he only ran the ball 11 times for 45 yards.  70% of the plays the Jaguars ran this weekend were passes as Trevor Lawrence threw the ball 40 times this weekend. 

Make sure to check out all of our NFL articles here.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Welcome to the Week 7 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season.  This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend.   My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.

We are now more than third of the way through the 2022 NFL season and what a weird season it’s been so far.  The Buccaneers are a mess while the Giants are up to 6-1.  Matt Ryan has officially been benched while PJ Walker is thriving.   

There were some big injuries this past weekend, none more impactful than Breece Hall going down with an ACL tear.  That led the Jets to trading for James Robinson last night.  Will we finally see the capabilities of the running back on a more consistent basis?  Maybe, maybe not!

Let’s dig in to the data!

Wide Receiver Targets

Before we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets.  Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production.  The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. 

The base line stats for Mike Evans were pretty impressive this weekend.  He led the league in targets with 15 and caught 9 of them for 96 yards.  It was the one pass that he didn’t catch that all Buccaneers fan will remember though.  He dropped a perfect pass from Brady in the first quarter that would have went for a TD. 

That play could have drastically changed the outcome of this one.  Evans’ 15 targets and 9 catches were season-highs.  The Bucs will have a short turnaround as they face an equally disappointing Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night. 

After sitting out in Week 6 with an injury, the Chris Olave show continued in Week 7 with an impressive game.  Olave had just his second 100 yard receiving game of his career thanks to a career-high 14 targets.  The Saints rookie is putting together an impressive first season.  He also ran a career high 49 routes, 10 more than he had run in any game this season.  Up next for the Saints will be a matchup with the Raiders, a team that has been about league average vs. Wide Receivers. 

There was no rust involved with DeAndre Hopkins.  After sitting out the first 6 weeks with a suspension, Hopkins returned this week to 14 targets.  He was able to turn those 14 targets into 10 catches and 103 receiving yards.  The only thing he did wrong in this game was that he failed to find the End Zone.  The Hopkins show will continue in Week 8 with a favorable matchup vs. the Minnesota Vikings.

Running Back Targets

The Austin Ekeler cheat code has been released.  For the third time in the last 4 weeks, Ekeler had a multiple touchdown game.  This week he had one on the ground and one through the air.  His 12 targets led all running backs this week, as did his 12 receptions.   Yes, he caught every ball thrown his way.  He’ll be tutoring Mike Evans on the proper way to catch a ball.  Ekeler is on an epic run right now.  The only thing that will be able to slow him down will be the bye that his team has in week 8.

Running back Aaron Jones did the majority of his damage this weekend in the air and not on the ground.  Jones had the second most targets of any running back this week with 10.  He was able to coral 9 of those passes into 53 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns.  The 10 targets and 9 catches were by far the most he’s had all season.  He’ll have to do more though if the Packers ever expect to win another game.  He’ll get that chance in Week 8 vs. Buffalo, an extremely tough matchup.   

Tight End Targets

This was a weird week for tight ends as not a single tight end was targeted more than 9 times.  We typically have a few in double digits, not this week though.  The star of the show this week for tight ends was George Kittle of the 49ers.  He had 9 targets and was able to catch 6 of them for 98 yards and 1 TD.  This was by Kittles’ best performance of the year.  He’ll look to keep up the momentum in Week 8 vs. the Rams, a team coming off a bye in Week 7.

Quarterback Target Share

Of Davis Mills 40 passes this weekend, more than 40% of them went to his running backs.  Dare Ogunbowale and Rex Burkhead combined for 13 of the passes that Mills threw. 

On the opposite end of the spectrum we have Tom Brady.  Brady threw the ball 48 times this weekend, with 75% of them going to his receivers.  28 of those passes went to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.  While Evans finished with 96 yards, he’ll probably be losing some sleep over that one that he dropped in the first quarter. 

Running Back Touches

The workload for Derrick Henry continues to increase week after week.  After bottoming out in Week 2 with just 13 carries, Derrick Henry reached 30 for the first time this season.  He turned those 30 carries into a season high 128 yards.  We are seeing the return of the work horse we’ve grown accustomed to watching over the last few years.  Week 8 will be a matchup vs. a Texans team that has given up the fourth most rushing yards in the league. 

Can anyone, and I mean anyone stop the New York Giants?  After being a joke for the last few years, the Giants are now 6-1.  That has mostly been due to the performance of their former first round pick Saquon Barkley.  For the second consecutive week, Barkley rushed more than 20 times.  His 24 carries in Week 7 were the second most he’s had this season and he reached 100 yards rushing for the third time this year.  A healthy Barkley is good for the NFL and the Giants. 

Playbook

The ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.

What a weird offensive scheme the Ravens went out with this week.  Gus Edwards made his return after tearing his ACL prior to the 2021 season.  That led the Ravens to go with a run dominant offense.  They ran the ball more on more than 70% of their plays this weekend.  Normal target monster Mark Andrews saw just 2 targets and Lamar Jackson threw the ball just 16 times. 

Conversely, we have the Los Angeles Chargers.  The ran a pass heavy offense this weekend, with nearly 80% of their plays being through the air.  Just Herbert ended up with 51 passes to their 15 runs.  That’s what the game calls for though when you’re down most of the game but quite a bit.

Make sure to check out all of our NFL articles here.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Welcome to the Week 7 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season.  This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend.   My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.

We are now more than third of the way through the 2022 NFL season and what a weird season it’s been so far.  The Buccaneers are a mess while the Giants are up to 6-1.  Matt Ryan has officially been benched while PJ Walker is thriving.   

There were some big injuries this past weekend, none more impactful than Breece Hall going down with an ACL tear.  That led the Jets to trading for James Robinson last night.  Will we finally see the capabilities of the running back on a more consistent basis?  Maybe, maybe not!

Let’s dig in to the data!

Wide Receiver Targets

Before we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets.  Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production.  The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. 

The base line stats for Mike Evans were pretty impressive this weekend.  He led the league in targets with 15 and caught 9 of them for 96 yards.  It was the one pass that he didn’t catch that all Buccaneers fan will remember though.  He dropped a perfect pass from Brady in the first quarter that would have went for a TD. 

That play could have drastically changed the outcome of this one.  Evans’ 15 targets and 9 catches were season-highs.  The Bucs will have a short turnaround as they face an equally disappointing Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night. 

After sitting out in Week 6 with an injury, the Chris Olave show continued in Week 7 with an impressive game.  Olave had just his second 100 yard receiving game of his career thanks to a career-high 14 targets.  The Saints rookie is putting together an impressive first season.  He also ran a career high 49 routes, 10 more than he had run in any game this season.  Up next for the Saints will be a matchup with the Raiders, a team that has been about league average vs. Wide Receivers. 

There was no rust involved with DeAndre Hopkins.  After sitting out the first 6 weeks with a suspension, Hopkins returned this week to 14 targets.  He was able to turn those 14 targets into 10 catches and 103 receiving yards.  The only thing he did wrong in this game was that he failed to find the End Zone.  The Hopkins show will continue in Week 8 with a favorable matchup vs. the Minnesota Vikings.

Running Back Targets

The Austin Ekeler cheat code has been released.  For the third time in the last 4 weeks, Ekeler had a multiple touchdown game.  This week he had one on the ground and one through the air.  His 12 targets led all running backs this week, as did his 12 receptions.   Yes, he caught every ball thrown his way.  He’ll be tutoring Mike Evans on the proper way to catch a ball.  Ekeler is on an epic run right now.  The only thing that will be able to slow him down will be the bye that his team has in week 8.

Running back Aaron Jones did the majority of his damage this weekend in the air and not on the ground.  Jones had the second most targets of any running back this week with 10.  He was able to coral 9 of those passes into 53 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns.  The 10 targets and 9 catches were by far the most he’s had all season.  He’ll have to do more though if the Packers ever expect to win another game.  He’ll get that chance in Week 8 vs. Buffalo, an extremely tough matchup.   

Tight End Targets

This was a weird week for tight ends as not a single tight end was targeted more than 9 times.  We typically have a few in double digits, not this week though.  The star of the show this week for tight ends was George Kittle of the 49ers.  He had 9 targets and was able to catch 6 of them for 98 yards and 1 TD.  This was by Kittles’ best performance of the year.  He’ll look to keep up the momentum in Week 8 vs. the Rams, a team coming off a bye in Week 7.

Quarterback Target Share

Of Davis Mills 40 passes this weekend, more than 40% of them went to his running backs.  Dare Ogunbowale and Rex Burkhead combined for 13 of the passes that Mills threw. 

On the opposite end of the spectrum we have Tom Brady.  Brady threw the ball 48 times this weekend, with 75% of them going to his receivers.  28 of those passes went to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.  While Evans finished with 96 yards, he’ll probably be losing some sleep over that one that he dropped in the first quarter. 

Running Back Touches

The workload for Derrick Henry continues to increase week after week.  After bottoming out in Week 2 with just 13 carries, Derrick Henry reached 30 for the first time this season.  He turned those 30 carries into a season high 128 yards.  We are seeing the return of the work horse we’ve grown accustomed to watching over the last few years.  Week 8 will be a matchup vs. a Texans team that has given up the fourth most rushing yards in the league. 

Can anyone, and I mean anyone stop the New York Giants?  After being a joke for the last few years, the Giants are now 6-1.  That has mostly been due to the performance of their former first round pick Saquon Barkley.  For the second consecutive week, Barkley rushed more than 20 times.  His 24 carries in Week 7 were the second most he’s had this season and he reached 100 yards rushing for the third time this year.  A healthy Barkley is good for the NFL and the Giants. 

Playbook

The ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.

What a weird offensive scheme the Ravens went out with this week.  Gus Edwards made his return after tearing his ACL prior to the 2021 season.  That led the Ravens to go with a run dominant offense.  They ran the ball more on more than 70% of their plays this weekend.  Normal target monster Mark Andrews saw just 2 targets and Lamar Jackson threw the ball just 16 times. 

Conversely, we have the Los Angeles Chargers.  The ran a pass heavy offense this weekend, with nearly 80% of their plays being through the air.  Just Herbert ended up with 51 passes to their 15 runs.  That’s what the game calls for though when you’re down most of the game but quite a bit.

Make sure to check out all of our NFL articles here.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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The Thursday night showdown kicks off the Week 15 NFL DFS contests, and we’ve got the picks to help you win big tonight and make some serious green!
NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy and how it relates to Week 14 NFL DFS showdowns, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.
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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 4 NFL DFS contests!
NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.
Let’s get to the game!
Week 4 NFL DFS MVP cand...

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We are here ladies and gentlemen! Week 4 is upon us and we have loads of content coming out over the next few days to help you take down your GPP’s and cash in your 50/50’s and Double-Ups. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the first kick. When you have time, be sure to check out Stix’s Cash Game and GPP articles, as he will provide his own insights on some of the plays below and will likely have some guys that I didn’t even consider. I will not waste a ton of your time here as I know what you are here for so enjoy the WDS: Week 4 NFL Running Back DFS Breakdown 10.3

***Note to all new players: Any players that may list in cash are viable options for GPP play. Just understand that Cash plays are likely to have higher ownership.***

GPP:

(if you do not want to use Javonte because of the timeshare Michael Carter is in a great spot as a pivot at 5%)

Javonte Williams, Broncos $5,000DK/$5,900FD : (1.5%)

I will continue to beat this drum because it is only a matter of time before his talent results in a GPP takedown. With Melvin Gordon playing well, people will continue to avoid playing him in a 50/50 time share situation until the status quo changes. As a rookie he already has all of the tools to be an elite three down back but there is one thing people do not know, yet. He is one of the most intelligent people on the football field full stop. Not only does he understand his role, he understands the roles of every other player on the field which combined with his physical skills can and will make him an elite running back in this league the moment he gets the backfield to himself. Against the Ravens his pass catching ability is going to be vital (remember what I said about Swift last week being able to exploit the linebackers and safety’s). He will be finding open zones due to the cover 1 free concepts that are perfect for his open field agility and ability to break tackles. Gordon is questionable as of now but most people will stay away due to not knowing if he will be the main guy in the late games.

Nick Chubb, Browns, $7,000DK/$8,000FD: (3.5%)

Chubb is another player that I will continue to ride until he finally explodes and the fact that you can get him for only 7K, at under 4% ownership, against a bottom three run defense, in a pickem game, with a 51.5 total screams GPP play. Last week the Browns finally gave us the volume that we were expecting from Chubb with 22 carries. Luckily for us this week he only gained 84 yards and failed to get into the end zone for the first time in the regular season since week 10 of 2020. Chubb is an elite back averaging 5.5 yards per carry and Jarvis Landry will be out for at least a few more weeks. While Beckham will try to put the team on his back the Browns are at their absolute best when controlling the game from the ground.

Miles Sanders, Eagles, $6,400DK/$6,500FD: (3%)

The Eagles coaching staff embarrassed themselves on a nationally televised game and has everyone asking them why they would choose to not even consider running the football against a team that was short two of their defensive linemen and was susceptible to the run. Miles Sanders racked up 27 yards on only two carries and 28 yards on only three catches. It was an embarrassing game plan, so I am fairly certain after all of those questions and the clear accuracy issues of Jalen Hurts that they will make more of an effort to at minimum run enough to keep the Chiefs honest. I just do not see a scenario where Sirianni bails on his run game to an embarrassing degree two weeks in a row.

Also Consider: Zack Moss (3.5%), Michael Carter (5%), Antonio Gibson (10%)

WDS: Week 4 NFL Running Back DFS Breakdown 10.3

Cash:

Derrick Henry, Titans, $8,800DK/$10,200FD: (20%)

This doesn’t take much explanation, his price will continue to climb from here and he is in a prime spot against the Jets. One thing that I would like to point out that Adam already has. Henry is now being used in the passing game. He is on pace for 73 targets this season dwarfing his career-high of 31. So now we have Derrick Henry catching four or five passes a game and his rushing volume is still the best in the league. Add in no AJ Brown and he is a must for your cash contests. Draftkings has not caught up to what Henry is doing in PPR. He is $1,000 too cheap this week.

David Montgomery, Bears, $5,800DK/$7,500FD: (17%)

I told you guys way back in the preseason that Nagy was going to have to sacrifice his play-calling duties to have a chance to keep his job. Well, four weeks in, and the rumors are that Nagy quietly surrendered the play-calling back to Lazor this week. When that happened last season David had the best six-game stretch of his career rushing for 598 yards with seven rushing TDs and 24 catches for 226 yards and one TD. The icing on the cake is that we get to enjoy this change at the same time that the Bears match up against a competitive but defensively inept Lions squad. Sadly his ownership will be high but I am still going to mix him into my GPP’s as well as Cash contests. Happy Monty day!

Alvin Kamara, Saints, $8,400DK/$9,000FD: (18%)

I haven’t been on the Kamara train this season but this is an absolute smash spot against the Giants this week. The Giants are a little better than people give them credit for against the run but they are by no means great. Washington ended up being a random shootout on a Thursday night and they abandoned the run. Atlanta is…..Atlanta right now. Denver is the only other team they faced with a legit run game and they tore them up to the tune of 165 yards on the ground. One thing at least to this point that I will say is that I was mistaken about the volume he would get in the run game. He has exceeded 20 carries in 2 of 3 and while his receiving numbers are down with Winston he is still getting at least four targets a game which still gives him some upside in that regard.

Also Consider: Alvin Kamara (18%), D’Andre Swift (15%), Chubba Hubbard (25%/FD), Najee Harris (15%)

It is time folks and I wish you all great success in in 2021 and beyond and our WDS: Week 4 NFL Running Back DFS Breakdown 10.3 helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the Running Back DFS Breakdown, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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