Tag:

Alex Bowman

NASCAR DRAFTKINGS DFS: Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

We move to the Atlanta Motor Speedway this week for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. This is another 1.5 mile track than has held racing since 1960. Jimmie Johnson once again is the active driver who has had the most success here with 4 wins, tied with legends Richard Petty, Dales Earnhardt, and Bobby Labonte. Brad Keselowski is the only other driver with multiple wins, taking down 2 of the last three in 2017 and 2019.

Hendrick Motorsports leads all owners with 9 wins, followed closely by Joe Gibbs Racing with 7 wins in Atlanta. Neither though have won the last 3 years. Chevrolet leads with 23 wins over the 19 for Ford, but the latter has taken the last 3 races.

***Owner Wins at Atlanta Motor Raceway***

Hometown Chase Elliott hopes to improve off of his poor Truck Race effort. He is on the Pole with Aric Almirola next to him in the front row. Dominators Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin are also in the top 10. The early race to the lead could be a big factor in who dominates and wins DFS GPP’s.

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I decided to just lock it in with 41 lineups and not mess with them Sunday AM.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

Brad Keselowski $8,900 (This price is a bit ridiculous – Should by over $10K)
Jimmie Johnson $10,200
Kevin Harvick $11,700

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

Clint Bowyer $8,700
Ryan Blaney $8,700
Alex Bowman $9,100

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

Michael McDowell $5,200
Austin Dillon $6,400
Brennan Poole $4,900

Here is my Driver Usage for Sunday’s Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500.

I also like 5 plays to win the race. I like Clint Bowyer for the WIN, but the 4 other obviously are in the mix.

I am again on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5 and a couple of driver match ups. 3 units on Clint Bowyer and 1 unit on all other plays.

TOP 3 PICKS: Kurt Busch +500; Clint Bowyer +750

TOP 5 PICKS: Kurt Busch +275; Clint Bowyer +375; Austin Dillon +1100

Matchups: Clint Bowyer over Erik Jones -108; Austin Dillon -130 over Ryan Newman

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4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

FanDuel NASCAR DFS Picks | Coca-Cola 600 | GPP

Michael Rasile 4 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

The following FanDuel NASCAR DFS Picks are intended for GPP purposes only. For further analysis, check out the articles at windailysports.com/nascar/ or join us in the discord chat!

The NASCAR Cup Series is back in action today for the third time in seven days. Qualifying for the Coca-Cola 600 kicks off today at approximately 2 p.m. The green flag is scheduled to drop at approximately 6:28 p.m. (all times Eastern) at the Charlotte Motor Speedway.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. ($13,700) – Truex finished first in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600, logging 116 laps-led and 83 fastest-laps. Truex is the favorite to win this race after Kyle Busch.

KYLE BUSCH ($14,000) – Busch finished third in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600, logging 79 laps-led and 52 fastest-laps. Busch is the favorite to win this race.

JOEY LOGANO ($11,300) – Logano finished second in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600, logging zero laps-led and fourteen fastest-laps. Logano is second in the driver ratings and has taken the checkered flag twice during 2020 at Las Vegas and Phoenix.

PIVOTS: Chase Elliott, Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin, Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski

TYLER REDDICK ($6,800) – Reddick was the 2019 NASCAR Xfinity Series Champion. Reddick took the checkered flag at the 2019 Alsco 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway, logging 110 laps-led and 60 fastest-laps.

COREY LAJOIE ($3,500) – After starting 30th, LaJoie finished 12th in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600. LaJoie’s team has minimal resources, but his desire to take over #48 car when Jimmie Johnson retires this year helps ensure you are restoring a driver that will give his best performance possible.

PIVOTS: Christopher Bell, Kurt Busch, Aric Almirola, Ryan Newman, Chris Buescher, Bubba Wallace

NOTE: Be sure to check out our #nascar channel in Discord for assistance building your lineup, and any updates related to FanDuel NASCAR DFS Picks!

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4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks | Toyota 500

Joshua Moore 4 years ago

written by Joshua Moore

Want to ask Josh questions about his DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following analysis, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks, is intended for DraftKings NASCAR DFS GPP purposes only (Toyota 500 at Darlington – May 20, 2020). The projections below include the official starting positions for each driver.

THE PICKS

JIMMIE JOHNSON ($9,100) – Johnson got to the front of the pack on Sunday, before crashing, and landing him in the 37th starting position for Wednesday. Johnson is projected to finish 12th, and provides significant positive place differential upside. Given the upside, it appears Johnson may be quite chalky, but go ahead and eat the chalk, and move on to your next driver selection.

WILLIAM BYRON ($8,900) – Bryon also found himself in trouble on Sunday, ending his day early, and securing the 34th start position for the Toyota 500. If Byron can remember this is not an iRace, settle in, and log some solid long-run laps – he can provide excellent positive place differential upside. Along with Johnson, Byron will most likely find his way into a lot of line ups Wednesday.

RICKY STENHOUSE JR. ($7,900) – Wrecky Ricky did not make it through the first lap before he ended up in the wall on Sunday, landing him in the 39th start position for the Toyota 500. With minimal downside risk and significant positive place differential upside, it appears Ricky could make it into a lot of lineups for this slate.

KEVIN HARVICK ($11,600) – Harvick won The Real Heroes 400 at Darlington Raceway this past Sunday, landing him in the 20th position to start the Toyota 500. Harvick had the best car on Wednesday, is the favorite to win on Sunday, provides positive place differential upside, and has the ability to lead laps. Plug Harvick in and watch him roll to a victory.

JOEY LOGANO ($9,400) – Logano has a shot at taking the checkered flag every time he fires up the engine. Logano will be starting 3rd with Ty Dillon and Ryan Preece in front of him, giving him a clear path to clean air and laps led. If Logano grabs a bunch of laps led, and finishes in the top five, he will be a great play.

KYLE BUSCH ($12,000) – Kyle Busch is the most expensive driver on the slate; starting 26th and projected to finish second, he’s well-positioned to provide positive place differential points. If you believe Kyle will lead a significant portion of laps, he’s a fine play.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

Alex Bowman, Kurt Busch, Erik Jones, Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski, Cole Custer, Christopher Bell, Daniel Suarez

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THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included)*

NO.	DRIVER	TEAM	MANUFACTURER	SALARY_DK	START	PROJECTED_FINSIH	PROJECTED _DK_POINTS*
4	Kevin Harvick	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$11,600	20	1	65
18	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$12,000	26	2	66
11	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$10,700	16	3	54
19	Martin Truex Jr.	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$11,110	15	4	51
88	Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$10,000	19	5	53
9	Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$10,300	17	6	49
22	Joey Logano	Team Penske	Ford	$9,400	3	7	33
2	Brad Keselowski	Team Penske	Ford	$9,700	8	8	36
1	Kurt Busch	Chip Ganassi Racing	Chevrolet	$8,700	18	9	44
20	Erik Jones	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$8,500	13	10	37
24	William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$8,900	34	11	56
48	Jimmie Johnson	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$9,100	37	12	57
12	Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	Ford	$8,300	5	13	23
42	Matt Kenseth	Chip Ganassi Racing	Chevrolet	$7,600	11	14	27
21	Matt DiBenedetto	Wood Brothers Racing	Ford	$7,000	7	15	21
8	Tyler Reddick	Richard Childress Racing	Chevrolet	$7,700	14	16	26
10	Aric Almirola	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$7,400	9	17	19
6	Ryan Newman	Roush Fenway Racing	Ford	$6,400	6	18	14
14	Clint Bowyer	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$7,300	4	19	10
3	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	Chevrolet	$7,200	10	20	14
41	Cole Custer	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$6,600	22	21	24
95	Christopher Bell	Leavine Family Racing	Toyota	$6,800	24	22	24
17	Chris Buescher	Roush Fenway Racing	Ford	$6,100	32	23	30
38	John Nemecheck	Front Row Motorsports	Ford	$6,200	12	24	8
96	Daniel Suarez	Gaunt Brothers Racing	Toyota	$6,100	25	25	19
47	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	JTG Daugherty Racing	Chevrolet	$7,900	39	26	31
13	Ty Dillon	Germain Racing	Chevrolet	$5,900	2	27	-8
37	Ryan Preece	JTG Daugherty Racing	Chevrolet	$5,400	1	28	-11
43	Bubba Wallace	Richard Petty Motorsports	Chevrolet	$5,700	21	29	7
34	Michael McDowell	Front Row Motorsports	Ford	$5,800	23	30	7
66	Timmy Hill	MBM Motorsports	Toyota	$4,900	33	31	15
77	Ross Chastain	Spire Motorsports	Chevrolet	tbd	29	32	9
32	Corie LaJoie	Go Fas Racing	Ford	$5,500	31	33	9
15	Brennan Poole	Premium Motorsports	Chevrolet	$4,800	27	34	3
27	Gray Gaulding	Premium Motorsports	Ford	$4,500	28	35	2
51	Joey Gase	Petty Ware Racing	Chevrolet	$4,600	30	36	2
00	Quin Houff	Starcom Racing	Chevrolet	$4,700	35	37	5
53	Garrett Smithley	Rick Ware Racing	Chevrolet	$5,200	36	38	4
78	BJ McLeod	BJ McLeod Motorsports	Chevrolet	$5,000	38	39	4

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4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR IS BACK – The Real Heroes 400 DFS – Darlington Raceway – 5/17/20

Joshua Moore 4 years ago

written by Joshua Moore

Want to ask Josh questions about The Real Heroes 400 DFS directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following NASCAR Cup Series – The Real Heroes 400 DFS – Darlington Raceway – 5/17/20 analysis is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes.

1. FRONT RUNNER – JOEY LOGANO (FD-$12,200)

Joey Logano, in the Team Penske Shell Penzoil Ford, will be starting from the 9th position on Sunday. Logano has won two of the four Cup Series races in 2020 and will be in a strong position to take the captured flag again at this track that is, too tough to tame.

Pivots: Denny Hamlin (FD-$12,500), Kyle Busch (FD-$14,000), Kevin Harvick (FD-$14,500), Alex Bowman (FD-$10,600), Brad Keselowski (FD-$12,000)

*Make sure to roster the race winner. A second driver from this category may be rostered if they will capture a significant portion of laps led.

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE!

Select drivers that will give you positive place differential points. Consider rostering the following:

CHASE ELLIOTT (FD-$11,700) – Elliott is starting 11th. Elliott has faced some challenges in 2020 capturing the checkered flag, but continues to be ranked third in driver/owner points.

ERIK JONES (FD-$9,800) – Jones is starting 20th. Jones won the last Cup Series race in Darlington, South Carolina (2019 Bojangles’ Southern 500 – September 1, 2019).

KURT BUSCH (FD-$9,400) – Kurt Busch is starting 22nd. Busch logged 65-fastest laps on his way to a 7th place finish last time out at Darlington.

WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$9,000) – Byron is starting 18th. Byron finished 21st last time out at Darlington, but started on the pole. The combination of Bryon and crew chief Chad Knaus, seems to make Byron a great option to capture the upside.

MARTIN TRUEX (FD-$11,500) – Truex is starting 15th. Truex may be the fifth-best driver after Logano, Busch, Hamlin, and Harvick, but has yet to see a top-10 finish in 2020. The starting position makes Truex attractive, but roster this driver with caution.

TYLER REDDICK (FD-$6,600) – Reddick, a teammate of Austin Dillon, is starting 29th. Reddick has an excellent history in the NASCAR Xfinity Series and looks to continue to excel in his rookie year as a Cup driver.

RYAN NEWMAN (FD-$7,000) – Newman is starting 21st. If nothing else, who does not want to see Newman fighting for the win on Sunday. Newman offers great upside, but roster with caution.

3. DEEP PUNTS

Look towards a balanced build this week for The Real Heroes 400, and roster drivers that will finish on the lead lap. Consider avoiding drivers Timmy Hill, Joey Gase, Quin Houff, Reed Sorenson, and Garrett Smithley that have not finished on the lead lap in a 2020 NASCAR Cup Series race.

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4 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NASCAR

NASCAR DFS: Auto Club 400 Analysis

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

The NASCAR Pennzoil 400 last week again did not break the bank even though I threw a ton of lineups at it. Many DFS cashes, but not the one perfect lineup needed to make serious cash. This week, we head to Fontana, California for the 24th Auto Club 400. Kyle Busch and Jimmie Johnson have won here three times each. No one else in this year’s field has won multiple times, but Kurt Busch, Keselowski, Truex Jr., Harvick, and Larson have each taken the checkered flag at this event. Roush Fenway leads at Fontana with 6 wins and the manufacturer Ford has 10 victories, but neither have dominated the event.

Alex Bowman dominated Friday as he led both practice sessions showing very good speed. Kurt Busch also did very well with the 4th best speed in each session. Kyle Larson, Matt DiBenedetto, Ryan Blaney, and Brad Keselowski also were able to gain the top 10 speed in each session. Rookies Christopher Bell and Tyler Reddick also showed some promising speed as well as. I think both of these new drivers will win this season.

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Qualifying Saturday was lead by Clint Bowyer who took the pole with a speed of 179,614 mph. Multiple time winner Jimmie Johnson will join Bowyer in the front row followed by Alex Bowman, who dominated practice, and Kurt Busch who will be in row #2. Other notables in qualifying include Keselowski in 15th, Kyle Busch in 17th, Hamlin in 28th, and Martin Truex Jr. who will start in the rear of the field in 38th after having troubles with pre-qualifying inspections.

Martin Truex Jr. is going to be hard to pass up with all of those points available for position differential. I am still riding Kyle Busch for the win, but Alex Bowman’s performance so far this week is hard to ignore. While I will fade him to win with his low odds, I will play him a bit in DFS as a potential dominator.

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. My mix of players with huge position differential possibilities and those who could dominate the race will hopefully get me the coverage needed. I will be working my DFS lineups late into the night Saturday and will post on twitter and discord my driver usage early Sunday. I will be playing far fewer lineups this week, but have not yet landed on a specific number.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kyle Busch $11,300
Martin Truex Jr. $10,400
Kevin Harvick $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

Alex Bowman $8,800
Aric Almirola $8,300
Kurt Busch $8,600

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

Christopher Bell $7,000
Matt DiBenedetto $7,600
Bubba Wallace $6,100

I also like 5 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am a bit more chalky this week with 3 of my pick being in the top 5 in odds. Kyle Busch to my pick to win this week.

***DraftKings Picks to Win the Auto Club 400 in Las Vegas***

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

NASCAR DFS: Final DraftKings Daytona 500 Analysis

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

The NASCAR field is finally set for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations duel races on Thursday help set the starting lineup. The first Duel race was won by Joey Logano who led 19 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. continued his good showing at Daytona with 27 led laps and an 8th place finish. Only Daniel Suarez was not running at the end after his crash. The 2nd Duel race was won by William Byron. Kevin Harvick led the most laps at 34 and finished 4th followed by 12 laps led by Alex Bowman who was the pole-sitter but finished 15th. As with the first duel, only one driver J.J Yeley was off the grid at the finish after the accident.

***Bluegreen Vacations Duel 1 At DAYTONA***

***Bluegreen Vacations Duel 2 At DAYTONA***

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Based on the finishes in the Duel races, we are going to have some chalk in DFS Sunday. Stenhouse Jr. leads everyone on the pole followed by Bowman and Duel Winners Logano and Byron.

Friday’s practice was lead by William Byron followed by Ryan Preece and Chase Elliott as Chevrolet dominated taking the top 7 spots for top speed. On Saturday, Joey Logano leads the afternoon practice session as Ford dominated.

Kyle Busch is going to be the top chalk starting in the 28th position. Hamlin 21st, Blaney 27th, and Elliott 25th will also be very highly owned. Only Bowman 2nd and Logano 3rd intrigue me at the top. I see Logano winning this race and leading the most laps. Kyle Busch and Hamlin would be my next 2 choices for top DFS point-getters.

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I have adjusted my top NASCAR plays at each pricing tier based on the starting grid, duel races, practicing, and most importantly the eye test.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kyle Busch $9,800
Joey Logano $10,500
Denny Hamlin $10,400

Mid-Tier

Erik Jones $7,900
Matt DiBenedetto $7,800
Jimmie Johnson $8,200

Value Plays

Christopher Bell $6,700
Brendan Gaughan $7,200
Tyler Reddick $6,400

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

DFS NASCAR Post-Qualifying Analysis for Miami

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

The weather, unfortunately, wiped out qualifying, thus the starting lineup was put in place using owner’s points. The final four left in the chase for the Championship will start in the top 4 which makes for excitement in the race but does not give us too much for DFS purposes. Below is our DraftKings DFS NASCAR post-qualifying analysis for Miami.

There does not seem to be any huge advantage for anyone, but if I have to rank them in order, I would have to go with the following ranking.

Hamlin
Truex Jr.
Harvick
Kyle Busch

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They were only able to get one practice session in Saturday. Kyle Busch topped the session with the best speed of 168.966 and the best overall lap average. Martin Truex Jr. was 2nd in both categories. Hamlin was 3rd in Practice and 5th in lap averages followed by Harvick who was 9th in practice and 4th in lap averages. Even after these results, I am sticking with my ranking. While you can’t ignore Kyle ever, I just think the other 3 have been better in my eyes.

Joey Logano is still the most intriguing driver in my eyes outside of the championship four. I think he wants to repeat in this race and prove he is still on top of his game. I also like Keselowski. He was fast in practice which helps, but he has had several issues in recent races. I will have him in one of my lineups. I also expect Chase Elliott to be in the mix.

I have ranked my top drivers outside of these seven below. The only addition to my first article this week is Erik Jones who looked good in practice. These are the 14 drivers I focused on for my DFS lineups.

Jimmie Johnson
Alex Bowman
Erik Jones
Austin Dillon
Matt DiBenedetto
Ty Dillon
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

I have decided to only play 5 lineups this week. My Optimal Lineup includes Hamlin, Truex Jr., Logano, and Austin Dillon plus 2 value plays. It was very difficult to decide who to use, but I thought this foursome was the best. I do have Harvick and Kyle Busch in a lineup as well as many of the others I spoke of above.

The odds on DraftKings have not changed as the top four are still +325. My other top picks for this site would be Logano at +2000, Jones at +4000, and Johnson at +10000. I think Logano is the best value.

These odds are so much better than what FanDuel is offering, except for Jones who is +5000. Nothing else intrigued me.

While winning some serious cash is top on my list tomorrow, I do want this championship to come down to the last lap. I think Hamlin edges out Truex Jr. with Logano finishing 3rd. Good Luck!

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Since I am on Hamlin and Truex Jr. to lead, I have to go with the under on both Harvick and Kyle Busch.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings Analysis for Miami

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Phoenix pretty much went as I thought. I was in on Chase Elliott and he crashed. He had to push it and it ended up costing him. I am just glad he went all in trying to win. We are now down to the final four and will crown a Champion on Sunday. Below is my DraftKings NASCAR DFS analysis for Miami.

***Final Four eligible for the Championship***

The creme rose to the top as these four drivers were the dominate ones this season, each winning at least 4 times. It is no surprise that they top the odds to win Sunday’s event as all 4 drivers are +325 on DraftKings.

Homestead-Miami Speedway, a 1.5-mile track, has hosted the Ford EcoBoost 400 since 1999. Only Denny Hamlin has won this race multiple times in 2009 and 2013, but each of the other three finalists also have a recent win here (Harvick 2014, Kyle Busch 2015, Martin Truex Jr. 2017) I really do not see any of them having an advantage at this point, but qualifying could change that.

A few other drivers I think have a chance to win with favorable odds include Joey Logano, last year’s winner, at 14-1, Jimmie Johnson, the 2016 winner, at 100-1, and Alex Bowman at 50-1.

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Looking at DraftKings DFS, the top 4 are reasonably priced led by Busch at $11,400 followed by Hamlin at $11,000, Harvick at $10,800, and Truex Jr. at $10,600.

Of those outside of the championship hunt, the top 3 values I see are Joey Logano at $9,800, Alex Bowman at $7,800, and Matt DiBenedetto at $7,600. I am very leery at this point of any deep value unless someone shows something in practice or qualifying. Below are my top drivers at each price point pre-qualifying.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kevin Harvick $10,800
Denny Hamlin $11,100
Joey Logano $9,800

Mid-Tier

Alex Bowman $7,800
Matt DiBenedetto $7,600
Jimmie Johnson $7,900

Value Plays

Ty Dillon $6,500
Austin Dillon $7,100
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,900

I will be updating my DFS picks after qualifying Saturday including my Driver usage and Optimal lineup.

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5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NASCAR

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Martinsville

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Just 4 events left after a crazy finish in Kansas that saw Joey Logano edge out Brad Keselowski for the last of the 8 playoff spots. Now we head to Martinsville in NASCAR DFS to start the final-four playoff push for Miami. Kyle Busch leads the playoff standings with 46 points followed closely by Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin.

***Current Playoff Standings. The top 4 after Martinsville, Texas, and Phoenix race for the title in Miami on November 17th***

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The Martinsville Speedway is a 0.52 mile track that opened in 1947. The STP 500 is ran in the Spring and this race, the First Data 500, is always in the Fall. Jimmie Johnson and Hendrick Motorsports have dominated this event in the past as Johnson has 6 wins, with the last in 2016, and Hendrick Motorsports has 16 wins since 1987. Chevrolet dominated with 6 straight wins from 2011 to 2016, but Toyota and Ford have won the last two with Kyle Busch and Joey Logano. Denny Hamlin is the only other multiple winner of this event, winning back to back in 2009-2010. Johnson and Hamlin also have won the Spring STP 500 3 times each with Brad Keselowski winning it twice.

Here were my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings. This is a race where the cream usually rises to the top, and I like to choose drivers that qualify well. Sometimes you are forced to go outside the top 10 for value, but otherwise the top is best. You will also see the best drivers are slightly more expensive this week.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Denny Hamlin $11,000
Joey Logano $10,100
Kyle Busch $11,800

Mid-Tier

Alex Bowman $8,300
William Byron $8,000
Jimmie Johnson $8,100

Value Plays

Ty Dillon $6,200
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000
Paul Menard $7,100

Qualifying was not too surprising. Denny Hamlin took the pole and will be my main play for the race. Chase Elliott qualified 2nd, but due to a blown engine in practice, he will be starting at the rear of the field. The other playoff drivers were all over the grid with Truex Jr. 3rd, Blaney 6th, Joey Logano 10th, Kyle Busch 13th, Larson 14th, and Kevin Harvick a disappointing 22nd.

I decided to play only 3 lineups this weekend. Hamlin is in all three of them, then I mixed in the rest of my favorite plays. I was planning on playing deeper, but I decided to go with less lineups in more contests. My best week ever in NASCAR DFS was using one lineup that pushed over 600 points, so lets hope this strategy works again. My driver usage is below. Good Luck!

***DraftKings DFS Picks for Martinsville***

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I am going with the under for both drivers in this play. Elliott is at the back of the pack to start and I do not see Busch contending. Neither will lead enough laps to get the needed Fantasy Points.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings analysis for Talladega

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

There are just 6 races left in the NASCAR season, and 12 drivers left in the race for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Championship. The 1000Bulbs.com 500 at Talladega Sunday will go a long way in determining the top 8 that will move on to stage 3 of the playoffs.

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This 2.66 mile track is in my opinion the hardest one to handicap as “The Big One” is always looming. I like to lean on those drivers who will be as close to the front as possible in case a pileup happens. This race is also a bit different than the earlier one in the season due to the playoffs. Those comfortably in the top of the standings will be more cautious, and those below the cut line of 8 will be more aggressive trying to get a win that gives them an automatic spot in the next round.

***The Playoff Rankings – The top 8 after the race next week in Kansas move on.***

Chase Elliott in the No. 9 won for Hendrick Motorsports in the GEICO 500 at Talladega earlier this season. Kyle Larson was in a spectacular multi-car crash on the last lap. This was the first time since 1987 they ran here without a restrictor plate. The final results were littered with low price DFS longshots including Preece, Hemric, and Gaughan. I expect some of the same this Sunday. Having the right mix of lap leading dominators and value plays will be key in winning DFS GPPs.

***Final Results of the 2019 GEICO 500 at Talladega***

My pre-qualifying DFS rankings were as follows, but I think there are 10-12 drivers who could come away with the win including some below $8K.

High Priced

Kyle Busch $10,900
Brad Keselowski $9,600
Chase Elliott $10,100

Mid-Tier

Matt DiBenedetto $7,900
Jimmie Johnson $8,200
Alex Bowman $8,400

Value Plays

Ty Dillon $6,800
Bubba Wallace $6,200
Daniel Hemric $6,400

While I like to get an early feel for my lineups, qualifying position is crucial in DFS, especially at Talladega. The High/Low stacking process is most popular, but I think finding those in the 10-20 range that can win are golden.

Qualifying was a Hendrick Motorsports domination show as they took the top 4 qualifying spots. Only Almirola was able to join that foursome under 50 seconds. Two of my favorites this week Kyle Busch (26th) and DiBenedetto (31st) disappointed in qualifying, but I will still be on them in DFS. Denny Hamlin will have a lot to work to do from the back of the pack as he cut short his qualifying run due to an engine issue.

After readjusting some of my percentages, I came up with 42 lineups for DraftKings that I think can compete well for GPP wins. I am a bit heavier on the Hendrick drivers than I like, but you cannot ignore how well they did. I think Chase Elliott has to be considered the huge favorite to lead DFS in points. Others I have given a strong look to beyond Kyle Busch, DiBenedetto, and Hamlin, that did not qualify well, include both Dillons at 20th and 21st, Harvick in 15th, and Suarez in 19th.

I have included my driver percentages below, but for an “OPTIMAL” lineup I would have to include Elliott, Hamlin, Bowman, and DiBenedetto. I am using them in a single entry event. Good Luck Sunday!

***DFS Driver Usage for Talladega 10/13/19***

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

5 years ago 0 comments

Alex Bowman

NASCAR DRAFTKINGS DFS: Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

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THE PICKS

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(fastest laps, laps led not included)*

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Alex Bowman

THE PICKS

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included*)

1. FRONT RUNNER – JOEY LOGANO (FD-$12,200)

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE!

3. DEEP PUNTS

Join our Gold Membership and receive one on one coaching in our private discord chat, access to cheat sheets, access to projection models, and all of our PRO DFS and Sports Betting articles.

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(fastest laps, laps led not included)*

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